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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20260714Staff Comments.pdf RECEIVED July 14, 2026 KELSEA E. ROSS IDAHO PUBLIC DEPUTY ATTORNEY GENERAL UTILITIES COMMISSION IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION PO BOX 83720 BOISE, IDAHO 83702 (208) 334-0318 IDAHO STATE BAR NO. 12050 Attorney for the Commission Staff BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER IDAHO POWER'S ) APPLICATION FOR DETERMINATION OF ) CASE NO. IPC-E-26-05 2025 DEMAND-SIDE MANAGEMENT ) EXPENSES AS PRUDENTLY INCURRED ) COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF COMMISSION STAFF ("STAFF") OF the Idaho Public Utilities Commission ("Commission"),by and through its attorney of record,Kelsea E. Ross, Deputy Attorney General, submits the following comments. BACKGROUND On March 13, 2026, Idaho Power Company ("Company") filed an application ("Application")with the Commission requesting an order designating expenditures of$28,936,689 in Idaho Energy Efficiency Rider("EE Rider") funds, and$8,939,724 of demand response("DR") program incentives, as prudently incurred demand-side management ("DSM") expenses. Application at 1. In its Application the Company included its 2025 DSM Annual Report("Annual Report") and two associated supplements ("Supplement 1" and"Supplement 2"). On April 21,2026,the Commission issued a Notice of Application and Notice of Modified Procedure, establishing written comment deadlines. Order No. 37013. STAFF COMMENTS 1 JULY 14, 2026 STAFF ANALYSIS Staff reviewed the Company's Application, testimony,reports, evaluations, and responses to production requests. Based on its review, Staff recommends the Commission approve $28,936,689 in EE Rider expenditures and $8,939,724 in DR program incentives as prudently incurred from January 1, 2025, through December 31, 2025. The comments below detail Staff s analysis of the Company's energy efficiency (`BE") and DR portfolios, program financials, cost-effectiveness analyses, program offerings, and on- going projects. The absence of any discussion on additional points should not be construed as Staff s support or endorsement for the Company's position without a full evaluation in the future. DSM Portfolio The Company reported that its DSM portfolio was cost-effective in 2025 with a Utility Cost Test("UCT")of 1.70. Application at 7. The portfolio captured a total of 153,099 Megawatt- hours ("MWh") of energy savings, including an estimate of 27,707 MWh of savings attributable to the Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance ("NEEA"). Id. at 6. At a sector level,the Company reported its Commercial & Industrial ("C&I") programs continued to provide the majority of savings with 91,620 MWh. Id. The Company represented the Residential sector captured 28,371 MWh of savings. Id. Finally, the Company stated the Irrigation sector contributed 5,400 MWh of savings. Id. The Company represented that of the Company's 13 offerings across all sectors, three were not cost-effective. Nesbitt Testimony at 21. In general, Staff believes the Company's DSM programs are well managed and cost-effective. Financial Review Staff conducted an audit of the Company's EE Rider and DSM expenses, which included sampling of transactions across the Company's programs. Based on its audit, Staff believes: 1. The Company's expenses were well documented, and controls were in place and adjusted as needed to ensure the proper payment of incentives and other costs; 2. The Company's internal review process identified and corrected mistakes prior to the filing of its DSM reports; and 3. The Company's EE Rider expenses are prudent. STAFF COMMENTS 2 JULY 14, 2026 Staff recommends that the Commission find that the Company prudently incurred DSM related expenses totaling $37,876,413 during 2025, consisting of $28,936,689 in EE Rider expenses and$8,939,724 in DR incentives. DR incentives were included for recovery and audited in the 2026 Power Cost Adjustment in Case No. IPC-E-26-10. Order No. 37054. The Company represented that its internal review identified three prior-year accounting adjustments to its 2025 EE Rider expenses. Application at 9. According to the Company,the first adjustment of$5,383 related to the Home Energy Audit program, and the second adjustment of $5,523 related to the Rebate Advantage program, were charged to operation and maintenance ("O&M") in 2024 but should have been charged to the Idaho Rider. Id. The Company corrected the errors in 2025 by adding the expenses to the Idaho Rider. According to the Company,because the Commission had already reviewed and deemed these expenses prudent in 2024, the Company removed them from its 2025 prudence request. Id. The Company further stated that the third adjustment of$2,278 related to the Irrigation Peak Rewards program, was charged to the Idaho Rider in 2024, but should have been charged to O&M. Id. The Company corrected the error in 2025 by reducing Idaho Rider expenses and added $2,278 back to its 2025 prudence request to avoid understating the prudent Idaho Rider expenses. Id. In addition to the prior-year adjustments discussed above, the Company stated that its annual review identified three current-year accounting adjustments to its 2025 EE Rider expenses after the 2025 financial books were closed. Application at 9-10. According to the Company, the first adjustment resulted in a $244 reduction related to the Home Energy Audit program, and the third adjustment resulted in a$723 reduction related to the Residential Energy Efficiency program. In both instances, the expenses were initially charged to the Idaho Rider but should have been charged to the Oregon Rider. Id. The Company removed these amounts from its 2025 prudence request so that only Idaho Rider expenses were included. Id. The Company further stated that the second adjustment was a$346 addition related to the Residential New Construction program. The expenses were initially charged to the Oregon Rider but should have been charged to the Idaho Rider. Id. The Company included the $346 adjustment in its 2025 prudence request so that all Idaho Rider expenses were reflected in the requested recovery amount. Id. Staff calculated the DSM Rider account balance as of December 31, 2025, in Table No. 1, below. STAFF COMMENTS 3 JULY 14, 2026 Table No. 1 Tariff Rider Reconciliation 2025 Idaho Power Beginning Rider Balance $ 7,570,508 2025 Tariff Revenue Plus Accrued Interest $ 34,095,662 Interest on Rider Balance $ 645,030 Total Funds Available $ 42,311,200 2025 Reported Expenses $ 28,945,938 Prior Year-End Accounting Adjustments 2024 Home Energy Audit $ (5,383) 2024 Rebate Advantage $ (5,523) 2024 Irrigation Peak Rewards $ 2,278 Current Year-End Accounting Adjustments 2025 Home Energy Audit $ (244) 2025 Residential New Construction Program $ 346 2025 Residential Energy Efficiency Overhead $ (723) 2025 Total Expenses $ 28,936,689 2025 Ending Balance $ 13,374,511 Table No. 1 shows,as of December 31,2025,that the EE Rider had an over-funded balance of $13,374,511. The EE Rider began the year with an over-funded balance of $7,570,508. Attachment 1,Appendix 1, at 173. The over-funded balance increased approximately$5.8 million during 2025. Staff believes that while this increase is lower than the approximately $6.9 million increase recorded in 2024, it remains generally consistent with recent historical trends. Based on the Company's annual reports, Staff calculated that the EE Rider balance increased by approximately $4.3 million in 2023, $3.3 million in 2022, and $5.3 million in 2021. Staff will continue to monitor the EE Rider balance, and absent a change in operations, may recommend a reduction in the EE Rider rate in the future. Expenses In 2025,the Company spent approximately $28.9 million on Idaho EE Rider expenditures. Attachment 1,Appendix 2, at 174. Staff calculated that this is approximately$3 million more than the Company's 2024 expenses of$25.9 million. Staff believes that one of the primary drivers was STAFF COMMENTS 4 JULY 14, 2026 the increase in C&I Retrofits spending. C&I Retrofits expense increased by $1,595,857, or 34%, from $3,117,026 in 2024 to $4,712,883 in 2025. Nesbitt Direct Testimony, Exhibit No. 1. The Company stated that this represented the largest increase among the Company's DSM programs and was largely due to higher program activity, with the Company completing 53 additional projects compared to 2024. Nesbitt Direct Testimony at 9. The Company represented that this program also contributed significantly to portfolio efficiency, increasing total savings by 7,513 MWh year-over-year and helping drive higher energy efficiency portfolio savings in 2025. Id. Program Management The Company represented it devotes significant resources to maintaining and improving a wide variety of EE offerings for all customer segments. Annual Report at 6-7. Staff reviewed EE program details contained in the Company's Application, supplements, evaluations, the Annual Report,workpapers, and responses to production requests. Based on its review, Staff believes the Company's EE programs are managed cost-effectively and that the Company is taking steps to improve EE program performance where necessary. Staff will continue to monitor the impacts of ongoing EE program changes with the Company in future filings. Heating and Cooling Efficiency The Heating and Cooling Efficiency ("H&CE") program provides incentives for homeowners,property owners,and builders to upgrade existing homes or construct new ones using energy-efficient heating and cooling equipment and services. Id. at 41. In Staff s Comments for the Company's 2024 DSM prudence filing,Case No.IPC-E-25-12, Staff expressed concerns about the decline in measure savings since 2020, stating, "future changes to individual measures may be warranted depending on 2025 performance." Staff Comments (Case No. IPC-E-25-12) at 7. In 2025, the H&CE program's cost-effectiveness decreased from a UCT 0.95 in 2024 to a UCT of 0.89. Annual Report at 41. The Company explained that the lower UCT was primarily driven by expenses associated with the third-party process and impact evaluation performed in 2025 to validate program savings and provide recommendations to improve performance. Id. at 44. The Company represented that without the evaluation expenses, administrative costs would have been 22% lower and the program's UCT would have been 1.02. Id. Staff believes that while the program was not cost-effective, the expense of the evaluation is necessary and that without the STAFF COMMENTS 5 JULY 14, 2026 evaluation expense,the program would have been cost-effective. Additionally, Staff believes that due to the changes detailed below, the cost-effectiveness of the program is expected to improve. The Company evaluated the program's existing measures using avoided costs from the 2025 Integrated Resources Plan ("IRP") to determine what changes would benefit cost- effectiveness in 2026. Id. at 43. The 2025 IRP avoided costs showed a shift in benefits from winter to summer months, thus the Company changed incentives for certain measures. Id. The Company represented that the ductless heat pump incentive,which made up 26%of 2025 program participation,realizes more savings in the winter and was thus reduced by the Company from$500 to $400. Id. at 45-46. The Company also stated that the central air conditioning("A/C")measure incentives, which realize more savings in the summer, were increased from $50 to $150 for units with a Seasonal Energy Efficiency Ratio ("SEER") of 15 and$100 to $250 for units with a SEER of 17. Id. Due to these changes, the Company expects participation for the ductless heat pump measure to decrease by about 10% and participation for the central A/C measures to increase by about 10%. Response to Staff Production Request No. 13. Staff developed Table No. 2 below to show the impacts of the changes on the Company's cost-effectiveness forecasts for the measures. Table No. 2—H&CE Measure Cost-Effectiveness Forecasts Measure UCT (before incentive change) UCT (after incentive change) Ductless Heat Pump 0.60 0.63 Central A/C (15 SEER) 1.37 1.07 Central A/C (17 SEER) 1.14 0.97 Id. Though the Company expects the UCT for the central A/C measures to decline with higher incentive payouts, Staff believes the participation changes will have a positive impact on the cost- effectiveness of the program. The Company stated that based on its forecasts, it expects the program to be cost-effective in 2026. Nesbitt Direct Testimony at 25. Staff will review the impacts of these changes on program performance in the Company's next DSM prudence filing. Hoene Energy Reports The Home Energy Reports ("HERs") program provides customers with periodic reports detailing their home's energy consumption compared to similar homes and providing suggestions on how to reduce energy usage. Annual Report at 52. It aims to provide behavioral savings of 1% STAFF COMMENTS 6 JULY 14, 2026 to 3% of household energy consumption and promote participation in other energy efficiency programs. Id. In 2025,the HERS program contributed over 72% of the total Residential portfolio savings. Id. at 17. In Case Nos. IPC-E-24-11 and IPC-E-25-12, Staff expressed concerns that the program's current randomized control methodology for validating savings excludes the participation of certain customers. Staff Comments(Case No.IPC-E-24-11)at 7; Staff Comments (Case No. IPC-E-25-12) at 8. In Order No. 36331, issued in Case No. IPC-E-24-11, the Commission directed the Company to continue exploring alternatives to savings validation that would allow all customers to participate. The Company represented that consistent with Order No. 36331, the Company hired a third-party evaluator("Evaluator")to conduct an evaluation("Evaluation")exploring the potential for using a deemed savings approach to calculate savings,which was included in Supplement 2 of the Annual Report. Overall,the Evaluator found that,although the deemed savings approach could reduce program costs and improve alignment between key stakeholders, it carries significant risks and limitations and ultimately recommended the Company continue using its existing randomized control trial ("RCT") billing analysis to validate HERs savings. May 2026 Energy Efficiency Advisory Group ("EEAG") — Home Energy Report Deemed Savings Investigation Results Presentation at 14. The Evaluator explained that for a deemed savings methodology, there is a significant risk of program savings deviating from the deemed savings estimate if key treatment group metrics and program design and implementation are not kept consistent. Id. at 19. This includes treatment group characteristics such as proportion of electric vs. gas heating, geographic location,household type, and average household square footage. Id. at 16. In addition, program design and implementation,including the cadence of HERS delivery,use of peer comparisons, and percentage of HERs emails opened must also remain the same. Evaluation at 16. The Evaluator argued that this need to prevent program changes could inhibit the Company's ability to make changes necessary to improve the program and ultimately limit performance. May 2026 EEAG— Home Energy Report Deemed Savings Investigation Results Presentation at 11. Furthermore, even if using a deemed savings approach to calculate savings, the Company would still need to perform a billing analysis regularly to ensure savings values were up-to-date and accurate. Evaluation at 16. The Evaluator explained that this would require the maintenance of a valid control group developed using an RCT methodology,meaning the Company would not STAFF COMMENTS 7 JULY 14, 2026 be able to provide HERS to all customers and maintain an accurate deemed savings estimate. Id. at 17. Additionally, certain household characteristics, such as whether a customer has sufficient billing data, would continue to limit the potential for increased treatment group sizes, as not all households will generate significant savings. May 2026 EEAG—Home Energy Report Deemed Savings Investigation Results Presentation at 10. For example,low energy consumers would result in lower savings, increasing costs with little benefit and lowering overall cost-effectiveness. Id. As part of the Evaluation, the Evaluator performed a statistical analysis to determine the required control group size necessary to estimate savings accurately for future iterations of the Company's HERS program. Evaluation at 13. The Evaluator calculated that after excluding control customers, about 500,000 remaining customers could be eligible to receive HERS. Id. at 14. To identify a 1%treatment effect for a treatment group of this size, the Evaluator determined the Company would need at least 32,025 valid control customers. Id. at 15. With about 51,000 valid control customers currently available and 100,875 participating homes in 2025, Staff believes the Company has room to increase the number of treatment households without moving to a deemed savings methodology. Evaluation at 14; Annual Report at 52. The Company took steps to increase the number of treatment customers in 2025,introducing HERs to a new treatment group of 29,659 additional Idaho customers. Annual Report at 53. Based on the results of the Evaluation, Staff believes that the risks of overstating a HERs deemed savings estimate are significant. This is because even if all protocols are diligently followed, the large variety of factors affecting household energy consumption create the potential for changes in savings that would not be reflected in the savings estimate without a full RCT regression billing analysis. May 2026 EEAG — Home Energy Report Deemed Savings Investigation Results Presentation at 14. These protocols also limit the Company's ability to adjust the program to improve performance whenever necessary. Id. at 11. Staff agrees with the Evaluator's recommendation that the Company continue to use its current RCT approach when validating HERs savings. However, Staff believes there is continued opportunity to offer HERs to additional treatment customers under the current validation methodology and will continue to work with the Company to identify additional ways to increase the number of customers receiving HERs without compromising the program's cost-effectiveness or the accuracy of reported savings. STAFF COMMENTS 8 JULY 14, 2026 Rebate Advantage The Residential Rebate Advantage program assists customers in purchasing Northwest Energy-Efficient Manufactured Housing Program("NEEM")certified,ENERGY STAR qualified manufactured homes and incentivizes sales consultants to encourage sales of energy-efficient homes and discuss energy efficiency with customers during the sales process. Annual Report at 68. In late 2024,the RTF shifted its baseline for its new manufactured homes measure from a non- NEEM certified home to a NEEM V1.1 home to better reflect current market practices. Update Planning UES: New Manufactured Homes and HVAC (RTF November 2024 Meeting) at 20. As a result,the Company found that the savings values for the program significantly decreased and it is no longer cost-effective. Annual Report at 69. The Company suspended the program beginning January 1, 2026, and plans to monitor market conditions with regional stakeholders to determine if and when the program can be restarted. Id. at 70. Low-Income Weatherization The Company offers two low-income weatherization programs: the Weatherization Assistance for Qualified Customers ("WAQC") program, and the Weatherization Solutions for Eligible Customers ("Weatherization Solutions")program. Id. at 19. The Company reported that each low-income weatherization program remained not cost-effective in 2025. Id. at 16. The Company identified that the WAQC program saw a decrease in participation and savings leading to a UCT of 0.12, or 0.13, when including the re-weatherization efforts. Id. at 80. The Company also identified that the Weatherization Solutions program saw an increase in participation and savings leading to a UCT of 0.17. Id. at 89. Staff recognizes the struggles of achieving a cost- effective low-income weatherization program and will continue to work with the Company to improve the cost-effectiveness of these programs. In 2023, a large balance of unused WAQC funds were carried over from previous years. In Order No. 35583 issued in Case No. IPC-E-22-15, the Commission approved the Company's proposal to allow carryover funds to be used for re-weatherization projects as a solution to deplete a large pool of built-up funding. In Order No. 36042 issued in Case No. IPC-E-23-11, the Commission approved the elimination of future carryover of unspent funds and the allowance of additional electric equipment upgrades necessary for completing Heating, Ventilation, and Cooling("HVAC")upgrades. As a result,Community Action Partnership("CAP")agencies were STAFF COMMENTS 9 JULY 14, 2026 able to spend most of the remaining carryover funds and ended 2025 with$22,657. Annual Report at 76. In alignment with its EEAG and CAP agencies, the Company ended its re-weatherization option at the end of 2025 and will spend the leftover funds on standard weatherization measures. Decision Memorandum(Case No. IPC-TAE-26-01). Small Business Lighting The Commercial Small Business Lighting program provides small businesses with a free lighting assessment and incentive for lighting projects of$0.40 per kilowatt-hour ("kWh") up to 100% of the project cost. Annual Report at 131. The program was not launched until September 2024; therefore, first year savings were minimal and the program was not cost-effective. 2024 DSM Annual Report at 131. However, Staff expected the program to be cost-effective moving forward. Staff Comments(Case No.IPC-E-25-12)at 10. As expected,the program gained traction in 2025, saving 663,044 kWh and ending the year with a UCT of 1.04. Annual Report at 131. Residential New Construction The Residential New Construction program offers home builders a cash incentive to build energy-efficient, single family, all-electric homes that use heat pump technology. Id. at 71. The program has three incentive levels for homes built 10%, 15%, or 20% above standard state energy code requirements. Id. In its Annual Report, the Company states the program saved 2,719 kWh per home, which is a decrease from the 3,309 kWh per home saved in 2024. Id. at 72. The Company explained that the decline in savings is due to a 55.7% decrease in the number of homes being built to the highest incentive level, which is the only incentive level that is cost-effective. Id.; Supplement I to Annual Report at 29. Though the program was cost-effective in 2025 with a UCT of 1.03, Staff is concerned that if this trend continues, the program may risk becoming not cost-effective in future years. Staff will review the program's performance and determine whether changes to measures that are not cost-effective are warranted in the Company's next prudence filing. NEEA Marketplace Pilot In its November 2025 EEAG, the Company introduced its proposal to join an online marketplace pilot through NEEA that will allow customers to explore energy efficient appliances STAFF COMMENTS 10 JULY 14, 2026 and streamline the rebate process. Nesbitt Direct Testimony at 36; November 2026 EEAG — Residential Presentation at 30. In Response to Staff Production Request No. 2, the Company clarified that it plans to participate in this pilot at the advanced level, which would allow for benefits such as utility branding of web pages, utility control over product categories, the ability to incentivize specific energy-savings measures, and the ability for customers to apply for rebates at the time of purchase. The Company explained that this will be funded separately from the Company's 2025-2029 NEEA funding cycle. Response to Staff Production Request No. 11. The Company expects the pilot to be cost-effective in 2026 with a UCT just over 1.0. May 2026 EEAG —Residential Presentation at 20. Staff will review the pilot's performance in a future filing. Demand Response The Company maintained three DR programs designed to reduce load during critical hours and minimize or delay the need to build new resources. Annual Report at 7. The A/C Cool Credit program, Flex Peak program, and Irrigation Peak Rewards program were designed to target the Residential, C&I, and Irrigation sectors, respectively. Id. at 4. In 2024, the Company's DR programs incurred $12,777,362 in incentive payments funded through base rates. Id. at 9. The programs achieved 161 MW of non-coincident demand reduction from its 328 MW of nameplate capacity. Id. at 8. Staff reviewed the Company's DR programs and believes that the programs were well managed, cost-effective, and prudent. STAFF RECOMMENDATION Based on its review, Staff recommends that the Commission approve $37,876,413 of 2025 DSM expenses as prudently incurred. Respectfully submitted this 14th day of July 2026. t�"� Kelsea E. Ross Deputy Attorney General Technical Staff. Rebecca Cottrell, Ty Johnson, Laura Conilogue I:\Utility\UMISC\COMMENTS\IPC-E-26-05 Comments.docx STAFF COMMENTS 11 JULY 14, 2026 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS 14TH DAY OF JULY 2026, SERVED THE FOREGOING COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF, IN CASE NO. IPC-E-26-05, BY &MAILING A COPY THEREOF, TO THE FOLLOWING: LISA C. LANCE RILEY MALONEY REGULATORY DOCKETS MARY ALICE TAYLOR IDAHO POWER COMPANY IDAHO POWER COMPANY PO BOX 70 PO BOX 70 BOISE ID 83707 BOISE ID 83707-0070 E-MAIL: llance@idahopower.com E-MAIL: dockets@idahopower.com rmaloney(a idahopower.com mtaylor@idahopower.com 4 L41 -k- PATRICIA JORDA9, SECRETARY CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE