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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20260416Staff Comments.pdf RECEIVED April 16, 2026 KELSEA E. ROSS IDAHO PUBLIC DEPUTY ATTORNEY GENERAL UTILITIES COMMISSION IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION PO BOX 83720 BOISE, IDAHO 83702 (208) 334-0318 IDAHO BAR NO. 12050 Attorney for the Commission Staff BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER ) COMPANY'S 2025 VARIABLE ENERGY ) CASE NO. IPC-E-25-36 RESOURCE INTEGRATION STUDY AND ) PROPOSED UPDATE TO SCHEDULE 87 ) COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF COMMISSION STAFF ("STAFF") OF the Idaho Public Utilities Commission ("Commission"),by and through its attorney of record,Kelsea E. Ross,Deputy Attorney General, submits the following comments. BACKGROUND On December 26, 2025, Idaho Power Company ("Company") applied to the Commission requesting approval of the updated Schedule 87 Intermittent Generation Integration Charges with an effective date of February 1, 2026. The updated charges were determined based on the Company's 2025 Variable Energy Resource Integration Study ("2025 VER Study"). The Company also requested acknowledgement from the Commission that the Company has complied with Order No. 36661. STAFF ANALYSIS Staff reviewed the Company's Application and believes that the Company has complied with Order No. 36661. Therefore, Staff recommends that the Commission acknowledge the Company's compliance with Order No. 36661. STAFF COMMENTS 1 APRIL 16, 2026 For the proposed changes to Schedule 87, Staff recommends that the Commission direct the Company to file an updated Schedule 87 through a compliance filing to reflect the following: 1. An effective date based on the date of the final Commission's order in this case; 2. Wording in Schedule 87 to reflect that the tiers of integration charges are based on qualifying facilities' ("QF") incremental nameplate capacity, instead of capacity penetration levels; and 3. Integration charges based on a discount rate of 7.41% and an escalation rate of 2%. Lastly, Staff recommends that the Company work with Staff to study or address the following issues in the next variable energy resource ("VER") study: 1. Whether it is reasonable to use weighted integration charges for wind and solar QFs that cross the 100-megawatt("MW")threshold; 2. The relationship between reserve shortfalls and capacity inadequacy in terms of their contributions to the unreliability of a system and whether the capital and fixed Operation and Maintenance ("O&M") costs of incremental resources should be allocated between the purpose of meeting reserve requirements versus the purpose of meeting load requirements; 3. The amount of over and/or under-estimation of integration costs of on-site generation; 4. If and how on-site generation could be represented through a proxy; 5. Whether forecasted QFs should be included in the Base Portfolio; 6. Whether the Reliability and Capacity Assessment Tool ("RCAT") model and the AURORA model should be calibrated for the amount of reserves; 7. Whether there are costs associated with downward reserves that should be included in integration charges; 8. Whether contingency reserves should be treated as integration reserves; 9. Why the cost of following reserves is not zero and what impact it has on integration charges; and 10. Whether the calculation method for the 100-200 MW rates is reasonable. Compliance of Order No. 36661 Order No. 36661 required the Company to file a new VER study within six months after the filing of each Integrated Resource Plan ("IRP"). If the Company believes that a new study is STAFF COMMENTS 2 APRIL 16, 2026 unnecessary, the Company is required to file for a waiver of the study with evidence supporting the Company's position within two months after the filing of the IRP. Order No. 36661. The Company filed its 2025 IRP on June 27, 2025,in Case No. IPC-E-25-23, and within the six-month window, the Company filed a new VER study in this case on December 26, 2025. Order No. 36661 also required the Company to work with Staff prior to the next VER study (i.e. this current case) to resolve six issues mentioned in Staffs comments in Case No. IPC-E-25- 07. The Company has met with Staff multiple times since Order No. 36661 was issued to address Staffs recommendations in that case. Because the Company has attempted to resolve all of the issues mentioned in Staff s comments, Staff believes that the Company has complied with Order No. 36661. Staff will discuss each of the issues below. 1. How to Determine Capital and Fixed O&M Costs of Incremental Resources The Company believes that when additional variable energy resources require incremental reserve resources for integration purposes, it is reasonable to include the capital and fixed O&M costs of the incremental resources in integration charges. 2025 VER Study at 10. The Company presented a methodology to calculate these costs, when reserve shortfalls exceeded a specific threshold. Id. at 10-12. Although a methodology was explored to capture these costs,the Company did not explain why the capital and fixed costs of incremental resources should all be assigned as reserve costs. Staff recommends that the Company study the relationship between reserve shortfalls and capacity inadequacy in terms of their contributions to the unreliability of a system and whether the capital and fixed O&M costs of incremental resources should be allocated between the purpose of meeting reserve requirements versus the purpose of meeting load requirements. The Company believes that it is possible for a system to not meet its load due to lack of capacity, even though all the reserve requirements are met (such as a one in 1000 temperature event) and that it is possible for a system to meet its load with its capacity, even though reserve requirements are not met (such as a time when the amount of reserves may momentarily violate reserve requirements). Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 33 (a) and(b). On the other hand, there is a strong correlation between meeting load requirements and meeting reserve requirements. Id. at 33 (c). Staff believes that understanding the relationship between the two will inform the cost allocation of the incremental resources, if allocation of these resources is needed to ensure accurate integration charges. STAFF COMMENTS 3 APRIL 16, 2026 2. Whether it is Reasonable to Include an Analysis of Inter-Hour Integration Costs in the Next Study and Whether Inter-Hour Integration Costs Should Be Incorporated into the Integration Charges According to the Company, inter-hour integration costs should be and are already incorporated into the integration charges in the AURORA model used in the 2025 VER Study. Application at 5. Thus, Staff believes that this issue has been sufficiently addressed. For example, when AURORA foresees strong wind and solar generation within its foresight window of two days, it may determine it is optimal to shut down Bridger units. Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 48. However, if wind and solar output declines, Bridger units already idled cannot be readily dispatched. Id. As a result, AURORA must dispatch higher-cost alternative resources to meet load, even though keeping the Bridger units online would have resulted in a lower cost. Id. The cost difference between dispatching higher-cost alternative resources and keeping less-costly Bridger units online is recorded by the AURORA model as inter- hour integration costs. Id. 3. Whether Regulation Reserve Requirements Should Be Updated Before the Next VER Study (i.e., this Current Case) The Company stated that regulation reserve requirements had been updated through the 2025 IRP before the 2025 VER Study was filed. Application at 5. Therefore, Staff believes this issue has been fully addressed. 4. How to Reconcile Differences in Wind and Solar Integration Cost for Export Credit Rates The Company has stated that there is no need to develop wind Export Credit Rates("ECR") based on wind integration costs and solar ECR based on solar integration costs, because "[t]here are effectively no wind ECR customers for which a bifurcated rate would apply." Id. Staff agrees that solar-based ECR alone is reasonable at this point given the current situation. S. How to Address the Under Allocation Issue for the ECR In response to Staff s production request in Case No. IPC-E-25-07, the Company believes that the integration costs associated with on-site generation customers are under-allocated due to four reasons. Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 7 (b) in Case No. IPC-E-25- 07. First, the integration costs are incurred based on generation profiles, but they are recovered based on export profiles. Id. Second, utility-scale solar typically has axis tracking that reduces solar variability, whereas on-site solar generation does not. Id. Third, utility-scale solar projects typically oversize the panel-to-inverter ratio, which further reduces solar variability. Id. Fourth, STAFF COMMENTS 4 APRIL 16, 2026 exports occur more often in high-output, low-load hours, when the need for integrating resources is greater. Id. While Staff agrees that there is a basis for the Company's claims, Staff believes that the Company's method may be insufficient for determining integration charges for on-site generation customers and may over-estimate the amount. In general, to develop integration costs of variable energy resources, the Company needs to isolate and separate the amount of reserves needed to buffer variability of generation from the amount of reserves needed to buffer variability of load. The cost of the amount of reserves needed to buffer variability of load is assumed to be recovered through customer rates. Staff believes the Company's method works well when the data for both load and generation is kept separate, as is the case for QFs and other variable energy resources; however, on-site generators are both net consumers as a source of load as well as net generators of energy. Due to lack of data and the Company's methods used in the 2025 VER Study, Staff believes that variability of both load and generation are confounded (i.e., not kept separate); thus, there is a potential for overlap between the amount of reserves needed to balance their load as consumers of energy and the amount of reserves needed to balance their generation. The Company believes that the use of the integration charges should remain consistent with the existing ECR methodology, which was approved in Order No. 36048,unless it is changed in a future ECR case. Application at 6. The Company also believes this area is not an element of the integration study. Id. While Staff agrees that the application of the integration charges should remain consistent with the existing ECR methodology for the time being, Staff believes that integration costs of on- site generation customers should be examined in the integration study because they are a key element in the study design and can affect the integration charges in Schedule 87 and potentially future ECR rates. Therefore, Staff recommends that the Company work with Staff to quantify the amount of over and/or under-estimation of integration costs of on-site generation in the next VER study. 6. Whether On-Site Generation Can Be Incorporated in the Analysis Through Developing a Proxy to Overcome the Issue of Data Granularity Since the metering equipment of on-site generation customers cannot provide data with sufficient scope or granularity,the Company believes that the current method of the VER study is the best option available. Application at 6. However, Staff still believes it is important to examine whether on-site generation could be represented through a proxy to be incorporated into utility- STAFF COMMENTS 5 APRIL 16, 2026 scale variable energy resources, when reserve requirements are applied. Currently, the Company does not apply reserve requirements to on-site generation due to lack of visibility in the Company's Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition ("SCADA") system and due to lack of data in the absence of a production meter. Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 57 (b). Staff believes that without an estimation of reserves needed for exports from on-site generation customers,the integration charges may not be accurate. Thus,Staff recommends that the Company work with Staff to study if and how on-site generation could be represented through a proxy in the next VER study. Proposed Schedule 87 The Company proposed an updated Schedule 87 in Attachment No. 2 of the Application. Staff reviewed the proposed schedule and recommends that wording changes, rate changes, and an update to the effective date should be made to the schedule. Staff also recommends that the Company work with Staff to study whether it is reasonable to apply weighted integration charges to wind and solar QFs that cross the 100-MW threshold in Schedule 87. 1. Wording Changes Schedule 87 displays integration charges based on the capacity penetration level of intermittent generation. Application Attachment No. 2. Schedule 87 charges apply only to QFs, but capacity penetration levels can be affected by non-QF resources, such as Company-owned solar. Staff recommends that relevant wording in Schedule 87 be updated to reflect that the tiers of integration charges are based on QFs' incremental nameplate capacity instead of capacity penetration levels. 2. Rate Changes The Company provided workpapers showing the calculations of its proposed Schedule 87 integration charges. Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 2. Except for the discount rate used in the levelization process and the escalation rate used in the escalation process, Staff believes the charges were calculated in a reasonable manner. The Company applied a discount rate of 6.62% to calculate levelized integration charges, based on the weighted average cost of capital in the Company's most recent IRP acknowledged by the Commission. Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 2. Staff recommends that a discount rate of 7.41% be applied to calculate levelized integration charges, based on the STAFF COMMENTS 6 APRIL 16, 2026 rate of return approved in the Company's most recent general rate case, IPC-E-25-16.1 Using the rate of return approved in the Company's most recent general rate case is consistent with the method approved in Order No. 36679 in Case No. IPC-E-25-07.2 The Company applied an escalation rate of 2.4% from the 2025 IRP in the escalation process. Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 2 Attachment. Staff recommends that an escalation rate of 2% from the Company's SAR Model ("SAR Model") be applied to calculate integration charges. Staff believes that it is reasonable to use a Commission-approved escalation rate for rate-making purposes. 3. Update of Effective Date The Company requested a February 1, 2026, effective date for its updated Schedule 87. Application at 10. The Commission suspended the proposed updates"for thirty(30)days and five (5)months or until the Commission enters an order accepting,rejecting,or modifying the proposed rate increases." Order No. 36909 at 3. Staff recommends that the effective date be based on the date the Commission issues its final order in this case. Finally, Staff recommends that the Company work with Staff to study whether it is reasonable to apply weighted integration charges to wind and solar QFs that cross the 100-MW threshold in Schedule 87. There are two sets of integration charges in Schedule 87 (i.e. rates for 0-100 MW incremental QF nameplate capacity and rates for 100-200 MW incremental QF nameplate capacity), but the schedule does not address wind and solar QFs whose incremental nameplate capacity crosses the 100-MW threshold. In a situation where there is already 80 MW of QF capacity in the queue and a 30-MW QF is added to the queue, the Company will charge the 30-MW QF the100-200 MW rate for all its capacity rather than a weighted rate between the 0-100 MW rate and the 100-200 MW rate. Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 1. Staff believes this situation merits further consideration as a weighted rate may more accurately and more fairly reflect the associated integration costs. 1 Order No. 36892 at 3. 2 Order No.36661 approved Schedule 87 with Staff s proposed modifications. Order No.36661 at 2. Staff s proposed discount rate was based on the discount rate used in the Company's SAR Model. The discount rate used in the SAR Model was based on the Commission-approved rate of return from the Company's most recent general rate case. STAFF COMMENTS 7 APRIL 16, 2026 Additional Issues Staff identified several additional issues in the 2025 VER Study design, which includes forecasted QFs in the Base Portfolio, the reserves in the RCAT model, downward reserves, contingency reserves, following reserves in the Portfolio Cost without Ancillaries scenario, and the calculation method for 100-200 MW rates. Staff will discuss each issue in more detail below. 1. Forecasted QFs in Base Portfolio' The Base Portfolio used in the 2025 VER Study contains forecasted QFs under new and replacement contracts. Company's Responses to Staff Production Request Nos. 15, 16, and 47. For new contracts, the Base Portfolio includes a forecast of new solar QFs, but it does not include any new wind QFs. Id. at No. 47. For replacement contracts, the portfolio assumes that 75% of the capacity of expiring wind and solar QF contracts will seek to be renewed. Id. at Nos. 15 and 16. Staff is concerned about including forecasted QFs in the Base Portfolio. Staff believes that it will result in inaccurate integration charges for QFs because of a discrepancy between the QF position used to determine integration charges and the actual QF position in the Company's system. Thus, Staff recommends that the Company work with Staff to determine whether forecasted QFs should be included in the Base Portfolio in the next VER study. Integration charges in Schedule 87 are developed for QFs above the baseline of the Base Portfolio (i.e. 0-100 MW above the baseline and 100 MW-200 MW above the baseline). Minute Order for Tariff Advice No. IPC-TAE-25-02. When the Base Portfolio includes forecasted QFs, the QF seeking integration pricing will fill in the space of the forecasted QF capacity assumed in the Base Portfolio, causing a discrepancy between the QF position used to determine integration charges and the actual QF position in the Company's system. For example, assuming the Base Portfolio has 500 MW of existing QFs and 100 MW of forecasted QFs, then when a 10-MW QF seeking integration pricing, it will fall within the 600-700 MW range under the current methodology and be priced at the integration charges for that range. In reality, the QF actually occupies the position of 500-510 MW, which is outside the range of 600-700 MW. 2. Reserves in RCAT Model Currently, there is no calibration effort for the amount of reserves between the RCAT model and the AURORA model. Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 58 (e). 3 Other portfolios in the 2025 VER Study derive from the Base Portfolio and thus have the same issue. STAFF COMMENTS 8 APRIL 16, 2026 Staff recommends that the Company work with Staff to study whether the two models should be calibrated for the amount of reserves in the next VER study. When a portfolio is created through the AURORA Long-term Capacity Expansion functionality, the Company then uses the RCAT model to calculate the annual capacity positions of the AURORA-produced portfolio. This ensures that the 20-year load and resource buildouts created by the AURORA model will result in a positive capacity position sufficient to achieve the pre-determined reliability threshold of 0.1 event-days per year Loss of Load Expectation. If the portfolio results in a capacity shortfall,the Company will recalibrate the seasonal Planning Reserve Margin and the Effective Load Carrying Capability curve to re-run the AURORA model for a new portfolio. 2025 IRP at 120. The calibration process continues until both the AURORA model and the RCAT model converge on a similar capacity position. Id. at 100. However, the Company does not calibrate the amount of reserves between the two models. Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 58 (e). The RCAT model is a capacity model that does not currently consider economics and is not able to incorporate reserve requirements as dynamically as the AURORA model. Id. at 30. The Company incorporates reserves in the RCAT model by holding all the system reserves (without specifying reserve types) at the Hells Canyon Complex. Id. at 30 and 58 (b) (d). However, the relationship between the reserves in the RCAT model and the reserves in the AURORA model is unclear to Staff. Therefore, Staff recommends that the Company work with Staff to determine whether the two models should be calibrated for the amount of reserves in the next VER study. 3. Downward Reserves For regulating reserves and ramping reserves, the 2025 VER Study only uses upward reserve requirements, such as reg-up and ramp-up reserve requirements. The study does not include any downward reserve requirements, such as reg-down and ramp-down reserve requirements. The Company did not include downward reserves because curtailment provisions in wind and solar contracts typically allow these projects to be backed down, which removes the need for downward reserves. Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 47 0)in Case No. IPC-E-25-23. Staff is concerned whether there are any costs associated with the curtailment provisions and whether these costs should be reflected in the integration charges. Staff is also concerned whether such curtailment provisions are applicable to all types of ownership of wind STAFF COMMENTS 9 APRIL 16, 2026 and solar projects. Therefore, Staff recommends that the Company work with Staff to address these issues associated with downward reserve in the next VER study. 4. Contingency Reserves The 2025 VER Study calculates the costs of integration reserves based on the costs of regulating reserves, ramping reserves, following reserves, and contingency reserves. Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 14(d). Staff is concerned about whether it is reasonable to treat contingency reserves as a type of integration reserves, because it represents the system's ability to quickly recover from unexpected outages of a generator or transmission line. 2025 IRP Appendix D at 17. Staff does not believe that contingency reserves are deployed to address other system fluctuations such as load or output of variable energy resources. For example, in PacifiCorp's Flexible Reserve Study in Case No. PAC-E-26-01, contingency reserves are not used to integrate wind or solar resources. Rocky Mountain Power's Response to Staff Production Request No. 11 in Case No. PAC-E-26-01. Therefore, Staff recommends that the Company work with Staff in the next VER study to determine whether contingency reserves should be treated as integration reserves to integrate variable energy resources. S. Following Reserves in "Portfolio Cost without Ancillaries"Scenario In the 2025 VER Study, the costs of integration reserves for each portfolio are calculated based on the cost difference between two scenarios: "Portfolio Cost with Ancillaries" and "Portfolio Cost without Ancillaries". 2025 VER Study at 14. However, in the "Portfolio Cost without Ancillaries" scenario, all types of reserves have zero cost except for following reserves. Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 43. Staff recommends that the Company work with Staff to identify the reason why the cost of following reserves is not zero and what impact it has on integration charges. 6. Calculation Method for 100-200 MW Rates The Company represents the 100-200 MW rates are calculated based on the reserve cost difference between the 200-MW portfolio and the Base Portfolio divided by the incremental energy generation associated with the 200 MW of variable energy resources. 2025 VER Study at 14. However, Staff believes that the 100-200 MW rates should have been calculated based on the reserve cost difference between the 200-MW portfolio and the 100-MW portfolio, instead of the Base Portfolio, and divided by the incremental energy generation associated with the 100 MW, instead of 200 MW, of variable energy resources. For solar QFs, the Company determines the 0- STAFF COMMENTS 10 APRIL 16, 2026 100 MW rates based on the average integration charge of $1.58/MWh for the 100 MW solar portfolio and determines the 100-200 MW rates based on the average integration charge of $3.29/MWh for the 200 MW solar portfolio. Company's Response to Staff Production Request No. 2 Attachment. However, the $3.29/MWh is calculated based on the range of 0-200 MW, not the range of 100-200 MW. 2025 VER Study at 14. Staff believes that the first half of the 200 MW (i.e. 0-100 MW) should be charged at $1.58/MWh, which is lower than the average integration charge of$3.29/MWh, and the second half of the 200 MW (i.e. 100-200 MW) should be higher than the average integration charge of$3.29/MWh. Therefore, Staff recommends that the Company work with Staff to examine whether the calculation method for the 100-200 MW rates is reasonable. STAFF RECOMMENDATION First, Staff recommends that the Commission acknowledge compliance of Order No. 36661. Second, Staff recommends that the Commission direct the Company to file an updated Schedule 87 through a compliance filing to reflect the following: 1. An effective date based on the date of final Commission's order in this case; 2. Wording in Schedule 87 to reflect that the tiers of integration charges are based on QFs' incremental nameplate capacity, instead of capacity penetration levels; and 3. Integration charges based on a discount rate of 7.41% and an escalation rate of 2%. Lastly, Staff recommends that the Company work with Staff to address or study the following issues in the next VER study: 1. Whether it is reasonable to use weighted integration charges for wind and solar QFs that cross the 100-MW threshold; 2. The relationship between reserve shortfalls and capacity inadequacy in terms of their contributions to the unreliability of a system and whether the capital and fixed O&M costs of incremental resources should be allocated between the purpose of meeting reserve requirements versus the purpose of meeting load requirements; 3. The amount of over and/or under-estimation of integration costs of on-site generation; 4. If and how on-site generation could be represented through a proxy; 5. Whether forecasted QFs should be included in the Base Portfolio; STAFF COMMENTS 11 APRIL 16, 2026 6. Whether the RCAT model and the AURORA model should be calibrated for the amount of reserves; 7. Whether there are costs associated with downward reserves that should be included in integration charges; 8. Whether contingency reserves should be treated as integration reserves; 9. Why the cost of following reserves is not zero and what impact it has on integration charges; and 10. Whether the calculation method for the 100-200 MW rates is reasonable. Respectfully submitted this 16th day of April 2026. kdvx�— Kelsea E. Ross Deputy Attorney General Technical Staff. Yao Yin Michael Ott I:\Utility\UMISC\COMMENTS\IPC-E-25-36 Comments.docx STAFF COMMENTS 12 APRIL 16, 2026 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS 161h DAY OF APRIL 2026, SERVED THE FOREGOING COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF, IN CASE NO. IPC-E-25-36, BY E-MAILING A COPY THEREOF TO THE FOLLOWING: Idaho Power Company: DONOVAN WALKER TIMOTHY E. TATUM RILEY MALONEY MARY ALICE TAYLOR IDAHO POWER COMPANY PO BOX 70 BOISE ID 83707 E-MAIL: dwalker(k idahopower.com dockets(a,idahopower.com ttatum&idahopower.com rmaloney(a),idahopower.com mtaylor(kidahopower.com Intervenor,Idaho Winds: Irion Sanger Sanger Green, PC 4031 SE Hawthorne Blvd. Portland, OR 97214 Tele: 503-756-7533 irion&sanger-law.com dustin(cr�,sanger-law.com Adam Rabin Project Engineer Idaho Winds LLC 5420 West Wicher Rd. Glenns Ferry, ID 83623 arkpowerworks.com PATRICIA JORD , SECRETARY CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE