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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20260408Staff Comments.pdf RECEIVED April 08, 2026 JEFFREY R. LOLL IDAHO PUBLIC DEPUTY ATTORNEY GENERAL UTILITIES COMMISSION IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION PO BOX 83720 BOISE, IDAHO 83702 (208) 334-0357 IDAHO BAR NO. 11675 Attorney for the Commission Staff BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER ) COMPANY'S APPLICATION FOR ) CASE NO. IPC-E-26-03 APPROVAL OF THE 2032 ALL-SOURCE ) REQUEST FOR PROPOSALS ) COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF COMMISSION STAFF ("STAFF") OF the Idaho Public Utilities Commission ("Commission"), by and through its attorney of record, Jeffrey R. Loll, Deputy Attorney General, submits the following comments. BACKGROUND On February 20, 2026, Idaho Power Company ("Company") applied to the Commission requesting approval of the Company's draft 2032 All-Source Request for Proposals ("RFP") for Peak Capacity&Energy Resources ("2032 RFP") ("Application"). On February 25, 2026, the Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Association, Inc. petitioned to intervene in the case. On February 27, 2026, the Northwest & Intermountain Power Producers Coalition("NIPPC")petitioned to intervene. Due to the Company's request for a quick decision, NIPPC contacted the other parties to propose a Modified Procedure schedule that included a cross- reply comment deadline after a public comment deadline and before a Company reply deadline. After the schedule was tentatively established,Boise City petitioned to intervene on March 5, 2026. Micron petitioned to intervene on March 23, 2026. STAFF COMMENTS 1 APRIL 8, 2026 The 2032 RFP is subject to the Commission's Procedure for Soliciting Large-Supply-Side Resources ("RFP Procedure"), detailed in Order No. 36898.1 The Company states that recent regulatory filings for resource procurement have included system reliability assessments updated from the 2025 integrated resource plan("IRP"),identifying an incremental perfect capacity deficit of at least 200 megawatts ("MW")in 2031 and 2032.2 The 2032 RFP seeks bids from all resource types with a commercial operation date between April 1, 2031, and May 31, 2032.3 The Company proposes identifying an initial shortlist of bids based on a screening process that includes a price and non-price evaluation.4 The Company would then use modeling tools from its IRP to identify the least-cost, least-risk portfolio from the initial shortlist.5 Next,the Company would perform a reliability assessment and additional risk analysis of the selected portfolio to develop the final shortlist prior to a contract negotiation period.6 The Company requests Commission approval of the 2032 RFP by April 24, 2026, to provide sufficient time for bid submission and evaluation.7 STAFF ANALYSIS Staff believes that the Company has an ongoing need for new resources and therefore it is appropriate for the Company to issue a new all-source RFP. Staff agrees that the proposed 2032 RFP is open to all resource types and that the proposed selection process is generally reasonable; however, Staff believes several selection process details should be modified. Staff recommends the Commission approve the 2032 RFP solicitation and resource selection process with the following changes: 1. Disallow an imputed debt cost adder to third-party owned bids; 2. Direct the Company to declare its plan to bifurcate the bids into two different competitive groups, and to clarify that runner-up bids from the 2031 group will be carried over to compete again with resources included in the 2032 group; and 'Application at 2. z Id. at 2-3. 'Id. at 5. 4 Id. 5 Id. at 6. 6 Id. at 6-7. 7 Id. at 7. STAFF COMMENTS 2 APRIL 8, 2026 3. Direct the Company to accommodate a Staff review of the selection and negotiation process while it is ongoing. Details of Staff s justification for its recommendations are discussed below. The Company Needs Additional Resources The Company's primary justification for issuing its RFP is based on the 2025 IRP forecast that the annual peak load will increase from 3,934 MW to 4,949 MW between 2026 and 2031, an increase of approximately 26 percent.$ This load growth results in "a capacity deficiency beginning in 2027 and generally growing through the entire 20-year planning period."9 To resolve the Company's capacity deficiency,the 2025 IRP Preferred Portfolio called for the addition of 450 MW of new gas, 1,345 MW of solar, 700 MW of wind, and 705 MW of battery storage by the year 2032.10 Although this particular resource mix is not binding, the important takeaway is that the Company must acquire approximately 3,000 MW of new resources by 2032. To meet the near-term needs,the Company has been negotiating with developers who were finalists from the 2028 All-Source RFP. These acquisitions are in various stages of approval and development. As each new resource is negotiated, or new load is added, the Company has been updating their 2025 IRP deficit analysis." The most recent analysis has "shown an incremental perfect capacity need of at least 200 MW in 2031 and 2032 with a greater need likely in 2032."12 Staff agrees with the Company's practice of refreshing the analysis and that a capacity deficit of at least 200 MW exists in 2031 and 2032. Therefore, Staff believes it is reasonable to issue an RFP to procure additional resources. The RFP Allows All Feasible Resource Types Staff believes that the proposed RFP meets the intent of Guiding Principle One of the Commission's RFP Procedure, which states: The solicitation should issue a Request for Proposal ("RFP") that maximizes competition between bidders and is resource-agnostic, soliciting bids from all feasible resource types (e.g., with respect to technology, fuel type, resource size, s 2025 IRP,Appendix C at 17. 9 Application at 2. io 2025 IRP,Appendix C at 43. Hackett Direct at 4. 12 Id. STAFF COMMENTS 3 APRIL 8, 2026 ownership arrangements,etc.),and with sufficient lead time that allows all potential bidders to meet the date when resources are needed. (emphasis added) Staff reviewed the proposed 2032 RFP and confirmed that it is open to both market-based and resource-based proposals, all types of resource technologies, and all types of ownership arrangements.13 However,Guiding Principle One also specifies that the solicitation provide"sufficient lead time that allows all potential bidders to meet the date when resources are needed." Staff believes that the Company is making improvements to provide more lead time, but more lead time is still needed. The previous 2028 RFP was released to bidders on August 16, 2024, with a target early commercial operation date("COD")of April 1,2028, a time window of approximately 3.6 years.14 This 2032 RFP was released in draft form in February 2026 and has a target early COD of May 31,2031,a time window of approximately 5.3 years.15 For bidders who target the secondary COD in this solicitation (May 31, 2032), the lead time is approximately 6.3 years. In concurrent case IPC-E-26-04,Company witness Richins explains how supply-chain lead times have increased dramatically for gas-powered generation equipment, forcing the Company to place orders in 2025 for reciprocating engines and simple cycle combustion turbines to be operational in 2029 and 2030, respectively.16 Richins also adds "there were no combined cycle combustion turbines available to meet a June 1, 2030, in-service date."17 Accordingly, Staff believes a six-to-eight-year lead time is necessary to allow the longest lead-time resources to be fairly considered. Staff suggests that the Company consider a 2034 RFP solicitation within the current calendar year. The Selection Process Staff carefully reviewed the Company's proposed selection process relative to the guiding principles included in the Commission's RFP Procedure and believes that it meets the intent of Guiding Principles Two and Three of the Commission's RFP Procedure, with three exceptions. 13 Exhibit No. 1,Sections 3.1,3.2 at 10-12. "Case No.IPC-E-25-27,Hackett Direct at I I-12. is Hackett Direct at 8. i6 Case No.IPC-E-26-04,Richins Direct at 8-9. 17 Id.at 9. STAFF COMMENTS 4 APRIL 8, 2026 Principle Two states that"the RFP selection process should be designed to select least-cost least-risk resources that satisfy the system need." Principle Three states that "the RFP and selection process should ensure competition, transparency, confidentiality, and fairness through all stages of the procurement process." In his testimony, Company witness Hackett divided the selection process into three parts: the RFP announcement plan, the bid submittal process, and the bid evaluation process.18 Staff believes the RFP announcement plan and the bid submittal process are reasonable and comply with the Commission's intent. Regarding the bid evaluation process, Staff identified three primary areas of concern: 1. The inclusion of a cost adder for imputed debt; 2. The lack of clarity about bifurcating bid groups; and 3. The lack of an independent evaluator. Staff discusses each of its concerns in the sections below. Imputed Debt In its draft RFP,the Company proposes to include an imputed debt cost adder to each third- parry owned asset, which would affect the comparative evaluation of resource bids.19 The proposed cost estimation method would typically add approximately 17 percent to the cost of third- party owned assets.20 Regardless of the magnitude of the cost adder, Staff believes that in principle,the inclusion of this adder is not appropriate in the economic evaluation of resource bids for the following reasons: 1. A change in the Company's credit rating and cost of debt due to the amount of imputed debt is uncertain due to many other factors involved in determining the Company's credit rating. 2. The Company monetarily accounts for imputed debt risk but does not monetarily account for comparable risks associated with Company-owned resources. 3. Imputed debt is not an actual cost incurred by the utility. 4. Including imputed debt as an adder does not reflect rate-relevant cost differences. '$Hackett Direct at 8,12,19. i9 Exhibit No. 1, Section 7.2 at 26. 20 The percent markup depends on the duration of the contract and the assumed debt recovery risk factor. Staff determined this value by analyzing bid cost worksheets from Case No.IPC-E-25-29. STAFF COMMENTS 5 APRIL 8, 2026 5. The amount of the adder is estimated and is not known and measurable for ratemaking purposes. Staff recommends that the Commission disallow imputed debt adjustments for the evaluation of least-cost resource alternatives in the RFP. Staff notes that other Idaho utilities have not included imputed debt cost adders in comparable RFP processes, and therefore inclusion of such an adder in this case represents a departure from typical practice. As an economic regulator, the Commission's analysis focuses on determining reasonable, least-cost outcomes and establishing just and reasonable rates, consistent with its statutory obligation under Idaho Code Title 61. Imputed debt, as applied by credit rating agencies such as Moody's Investors Service, Standard & Poor's Global Ratings, and other agencies, is a financial metric used to evaluate a utility's credit profile. Credit ratings are generally forward-looking assessments of a company's ability to meet its financial obligations over time and are used by investors and lenders to evaluate credit risk. Credit rating agencies generally consider both quantitative factors, such as financial metrics that measure profitability, leverage, cash flow adequacy, and liquidity, as well as qualitative factors, such as competitive position, industry dynamics, geographic diversification, regulatory environment, and management effectiveness. These agencies may treat certain long- term contractual obligations, including power purchase agreements ("PPAs") and battery storage agreements (`BSAs"), as debt-like based on their established methodologies. However, these assessments are forward-looking, are not tied to Commission approval, and are not directly used to establish rates. As a result, attributing a specific cost impact to imputed debt within the RFP introduces assumptions that cannot be isolated, quantified, or verified within the evaluation. Staffs analysis indicates that credit rating outcomes are influenced by multiple factors, including financial policies, overall business risk, and regulatory environment. Accordingly, isolating the impact of a specific resource decision on imputed debt introduces additional uncertainty into the analysis. Imputed debt places emphasis on financial risk associated with potential rating changes,while not reflecting corresponding risks associated with Company-owned resources or execution risks related to third-parry resources, such as PPAs or BSAs. The development risks associated with Company-owned resources may include,but are not limited to, stranded asset risk,regulatory risk, fuel cost risk(for resources requiring fuel inputs and resources that are priced on a $/megawatt-hour basis), compliance costs associated with environmental STAFF COMMENTS 6 APRIL 8, 2026 requirements, construction cost risk, and other project-specific execution risks. These risks are inherent to Company-owned resource development and are not reflected through a comparable adjustment in the Company's evaluation, resulting in an inconsistent treatment of risk across resource types. Imputed debt is not an actual cost incurred by the utility. Additionally,the application and magnitude of imputed debt may vary across rating agencies and over time. As a result, incorporating imputed debt into a least-cost analysis would introduce assumptions that are not directly measurable or verifiable within the ratemaking framework. As such, imputed debt does not represent a direct cost that can be compared across resource alternatives in a least-cost framework. Rating agency treatment of contractual obligations may occur prior to, or independent of, Commission review and approval. Therefore, such treatment may not reflect resources that are ultimately determined to be prudent or used and useful. Including imputed debt in the evaluation of resource alternatives could affect the comparison of PPAs and BSAs to Company-owned resources in a manner that does not reflect rate-relevant cost differences. Inclusion of an imputed debt cost adder may also reduce transparency and consistency in the evaluation of resource bids, as the adder relies on assumptions that are not applied uniformly across all resource types. Least- cost analysis is intended to compare costs that are directly relevant to customers, and inclusion of imputed debt introduces a factor that does not reflect such costs. Accordingly, inclusion of the adder introduces additional uncertainty into the evaluation that cannot be validated through the record. Staff concludes that an imputed debt cost adder is not a reasonable component of least-cost analysis and is more appropriately considered, if at all, in broader financial or cost-of-capital discussions. Consistent with Idaho regulatory principles, the Commission's role is to determine reasonable, prudently incurred, and rate-relevant costs for ratemaking purposes. Accordingly, Staff recommends that the Commission not allow the inclusion of an imputed debt cost adder in the evaluation of third-party resource bids. Lack of Clarity about Bifurcating Bid Groups Staff believes the 2032 RFP does not explain to bidders that bids will be bifurcated into two groups which will compete separately. The Company applied this practice in the 2026 and STAFF COMMENTS 7 APRIL 8, 2026 2028 RFPs and the Company confirmed that it again intends to bifurcate the bids.21 According to the Company, the first competitive group will include bids with CODS on or before May 31, 2031 ("2031 Bid Group").22 The second competitive group will include bids with CODS on or before May 31,2032 ("2032 Bid Group").23 The Company points out that Table 3.1 and Table 3.2 of the RFP define the two delivery windows.24 However, Staff believes that these delivery windows only imply two bidding groups; they do not explicitly explain the bifurcation process to bidders. Staff recommends that the Commission order the Company to notify potential bidders of an update to the RFP solicitation that includes a detailed explanation of the bifurcation process in Section 7 (Bid Evaluation,Negotiation and Approval) of the RFP solicitation. Furthermore, Staff believes there is ambiguity regarding what the Company will do with unsuccessful bids from the 2031 Bid Group and that it is conceivable that runner-up bids from the 2031 Bid Group may be more cost-effective than the best bids from the 2032 Bid Group. To ensure the least-cost resources are considered, Staff recommends that runner-up bids from the 2031 Bid Group should be automatically moved for competition in the 2032 Bid Group and that this change also be explained in Section 7 of the updated RFP solicitation. Lack of an Independent Evaluator Historically, the Company has been required to obtain a third-parry independent evaluator ("IE")by the Oregon Public Utility Commission ("OPUC"). Once hired,the IE would review the bids, cross-check scoring, and compare their results with the Company's. They would also review the Company's cost calculations, analyze each step of the selection process, and provide detailed reports of their findings to assure interested parties that the Company is fairly assessing each bid. However, for this RFP, the Company has filed OPUC Case No. UM 2434, asking the OPUC to waive the requirement for an IE. The primary justification provided by the Company is the operational urgency to compress the acquisition schedule.25 A second justification is the pending agreement for the Company to sell its Oregon assets,thereby ending OPUC jurisdiction.26 This waiver request was filed on February 20, 2026, and is still pending. 21 Company Response to Staff Production Request No. 11. 22 Id. 23 Id. 24 Id. 21 OPUC Case No.UM 2434,Application at 1. 26 Id. at 9. STAFF COMMENTS 8 APRIL 8, 2026 The Commission's RFP Procedure declares that the Commission may, as part of this review, require an IE to participate. Staff believes IE oversight of the selection process is a beneficial practice but is also mindful of the schedule delay that could occur if the Commission were to require one. If the Commission believes that the cost of a schedule delay by the inclusion of an IE outweighs the benefits of including one, Staff proposes providing direct oversight of the process as an alternative. Staff s oversight would be more limited than what an IE usually provides. Oversight would be limited to reviews scheduled prior to key decision points in the process, requiring the Company to present proposals explaining its decision-making process, and for Staff to review the proposals based on the Company's adherence to the Commission's guidelines and orders and other factors that can affect prudent decisions. Also, Staff is not proposing to produce a final report typically produced by an IE,unless ordered by the Commission, although anomalies would be documented for potential inclusion during future prudence reviews when the Company files resource approvals. The Company has indicated its willingness"to work with Staff throughout the 2032 RFP evaluation process."27 Assuming the Commission will determine that additional oversight is needed, Staff highly encourages the Company to include timelines in its reply comments for both alternatives relative to its RFP schedule to assist the Commission in selecting an option. These timelines include: (1) a best-case schedule to acquire the services of an IE used in previous RFPs, and (2) a schedule when Staff would engage with the Company prior to key decision points. Agreement to a Company-Proposed Change On March 26, 2026, the Company filed a notice to the parties of a "proposed revision to the draft 2032 Request for Proposals . . . ." The revision proposes to relax the requirement for bidders to have requested Network Resource Interconnection Service. Instead, the RFP will only require that bidders need to submit a generator interconnection request. Staff believes this is reasonable and supports the change. STAFF RECOMMENDATION Staff recommends the Commission approve the draft RFP with the following changes: 1. Disallow an imputed debt cost adder for third-party resource bids; 21 Company Response to Staff Production Request No. 12. STAFF COMMENTS 9 APRIL 8, 2026 2. Direct the Company to declare its plan to bifurcate the bids into two COD groups, and to clarify that runner-up bids from the 2031 Bid Group will automatically be forwarded to compete in the 2032 Bid Group; and 3. Direct the Company to accommodate a Staff review of the selection and negotiation process while it is ongoing. Respectfully submitted this 8th day of April 2026. Jeffrey' . Loll Deputy Attorney General Technical Staff. Matt Suess, Steven Verdieck,Kimberly Loskot,Karla Ducharme I:\Utility\UMISC\COMMENTS\IPC-E-26-03 Comments.docx STAFF COMMENTS 10 APRIL 8, 2026 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS 8TH DAY OF APRIL 2026, SERVED THE FOREGOING COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF, IN CASE NO. IPC-E-26-03, BY E-MAILING A COPY THEREOF, TO THE FOLLOWING: DONOVAN E. WALKER, LEAD COUNSEL TIM TATUM IPC DOCKETS CONNIE ASCHENBRENNER IDAHO POWER COMPANY IDAHO POWER COMPANY PO BOX 70 PO BOX 70 BOISE ID 83707-0070 BOISE ID 83707-0070 E-MAIL: dwalkergidahopower.com E-MAIL: docketskidahopower.com ttatumkidahopower.com caschenbrennergidahop ower.com Intervenor: Intervenor: Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Association Northwest Intermountain Power Producers Coalition Eric L. Olsen Echo Hawk& Olsen, PLLC Gregory M. Adams P.O. Box 6119 Richardson Adams, PLLC 505 Pershing Ave., Ste. 100 515 N. 271h Street Pocatello, ID 83205 Boise, ID 83702 elogechohawk.com greggrichardsonadams.com taysha(&echohawk.com Irion Sanger Lance Kaufman, Ph.D. Sanger Greene, PC Deborah Glosser, Ph.D. 4031 SE Hawthorne Blvd. 2623 NW Bluebell Place Portland, OR 97214 Corvallis, OR 97330 irion(ksanger-law.com lancegae isg insi hg t.com deborah. log_sser&gmail.com Spencer Gray Executive Director,NIPPC P.O. Box 504 Mercer Island, WA 98040 sgrayknippc.org Intervenor: Boise City Ed Jewell Katie O'Neil Deputy City Attorney Energy Program Manager Boise City Attorney's Office Boise City Dept. of Public Works 150 N. Capitol Blvd. 150 N. Capitol Blvd. P.O. Box 500 P.O. Box 500 Boise, ID 83701-0500 Boise, ID 83701-0500 boisecityattomeykcityofboise.org koneilkcityofboise.org eiewell(acityofboise.org STAFF COMMENTS 11 APRIL 8, 2026 Intervenor: Micron Austin Rueschhoff Thorvald A. Nelson Richard A. Arnett Holland& Hart, LLP 555 17th St., Ste. 3200 Denver, CO 80202 darueschhoff 2hollandhart.com tnelson(a,hollandhart.com raamettkhollandhart.com acleeka hollandhart.com tlfrielkhollandhart.com Kink, -ftAVkh4. Keri J. Aawker, Legal Assistant STAFF COMMENTS 12 APRIL 8, 2026