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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20260123Comments - Redacted.pdf RECEIVED JANUARY 23, 2026 IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION Eric L. Olsen(ISB#4811) ECHO HAWK& OLSEN, PLLC 505 Pershing Ave., Ste. 100 P.O. Box 6119 Pocatello, Idaho 83205 Telephone: (208)478-1624 Facsimile: (208)478-1670 Email: elo@echohawk.com Attorney for Intervenor Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Association, Inc. BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER'S CASE NO.IPC-E-25-29 APPLICATION FOR A CERTIFICATE OF PUBLIC CONVENIENCE AND IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS NECESSITY FOR THE BENNETT GAS ASSOCIATION,INC.'S COMMENTS EXPANSION PROJECT AND FOR AN ASSOCIATED ACCOUNTING ORDER Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Association, Inc. ("IIPA"), by and through counsel, hereby submits its Comments on Idaho Power Company's Application for Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity for the Bennett Gas Expansion Project and for an Associated Accounting Order, as follows: Introduction/Summary The IIPA respectfully recommends that the Commission deny or defer Idaho Power Company's ("Idaho Power"or"Company")Application for a Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity("CPCN") for the Bennett Gas Expansion Project and for an Associated Accounting Order in IPC-E-25-29. Based on the evidentiary record,the Company has not demonstrated a capacity need attributable to existing customers, and therefore has not met the standard of necessity required for a CPCN. Using Idaho Power's own data,removal of a single disclosed Additional Firm Load("AFL")driver ) converts the Company's claimed Under Idaho law, a CPCN may be granted only upon a showing that a proposed resource is required to provide adequate, efficient,just, and reasonable service to the public. Idaho Code Sections § 61-501, § 61-502, and § 61-503 charge the Commission with determining whether a proposed facility or contract is necessary for public convenience and necessity,not whether it is desirable to serve the needs of a particular customer or discrete class of customers. Where a proposed resource is driven by the requirements of a single customer or a small group of new customers, and where existing customers do not contribute to the claimed capacity deficiency, the resource cannot be said to serve a public necessity absent a showing that the need would exist IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS ASSOCIATION,INC.BENNETT GAS EXPANSION PROJECT COMMENTS— Page 1 CASE NO.IPC-E-25-29 independently of that customer-specific demand. The Commission's obligation is to protect the public interest as a whole, including existing ratepayers, and to ensure that long-term commitments are justified by system-wide need rather than by individualized load accommodations. Moreover, the Company seeks approval of a long-lived,rate-based natural gas asset while simultaneously acknowledging that near-term capacity positions are`Very fluid,"that key assumptions have recently changed, and that major resource decisions have been deferred, accelerated,or withdrawn. This internal inconsistency further undermines any claim of necessity. Finally, Idaho Power requests approval of the CPCN while expressly disclaiming any prudence determination, seeking early accrual of AFUDC, and providing no binding mechanism to ensure that the customers who cause the alleged need bear the associated costs and risks. Granting a CPCN under these circumstances would expose existing customers (including irrigation customers)to stranded asset risk driven by speculative and customer-specific load growth. For these reasons, the Commission should deny, or at minimum defer,Idaho Power's request for a CPCN for the Bennett Gas Expansion Project until the Company demonstrates,with quantified analysis, that the project is necessary to meet system needs of existing customers. Our analysis shows that: 1. No system need has been demonstrated absent AFL; 2. Idaho Power failed to carry it's burden of proof for granting a CPCN; 3. Granting a CPCN would improperly prejudge cost causation; 4. The Alleged Urgency Is self created, assumption-driven, and reversible; and 5. The alleged urgency is self-created and reversible. 1. Idaho Power has not demonstrated a system capacity need attributable to existing customers A. Idaho Power's claimed 2028 capacity deficit is calculated using a load forecast that fully embeds Additional Firm Load Idaho Power asserts that it faces-capacity deficit in 2028,which it contends necessitates approval of the Bennett Gas Expansion Project. Mr. Ellsworth states that this deficit is derived from a"most recent system reliability assessment"using the Company's RCAT model with updated load and resource inputs'. 1 Direct Testimony of Jared L.Ellsworth("Ellsworth Direct"),p.4,lines 1-4;p.8,lines 1-4 IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS ASSOCIATION,INC.BENNETT GAS EXPANSION PROJECT COMMENTS— Page 2 CASE NO.IPC-E-25-29 The Company's load forecast underlying this assessment includes Additional Firm Load or large, discrete, firm industrial loads that are contractually distinct from legacy customer classes. Idaho Power does not dispute that AFL is included in the coincident peak forecast used to calculate the annual capacity position. Importantly, Idaho Power does not identify any separate calculation of system peak demand attributable solely to existing customers. The claimed deficit therefore reflects the arithmetic result of adding AFL to the system peak, not an independent demonstration of system wide need. B. Idaho Power admits it did not evaluate system capacity absent AFL The evidentiary record establishes that Idaho Power did not evaluate whether the claimed capacity deficit exists without AFL. In discovery, Idaho Power admits that it: • did not evaluate the system capacity position without AFL; • did not perform any resource expansion or reliability sensitivity excluding AFL; and • did not determine whether the alleged capacity need would exist absent AFL.2 Mr. Ellsworth confirms that the Company's planning process relies on RCAT-derived inputs that are passed into Aurora,but he does not identify any scenario or sensitivity in which AFL is removed or treated separately for purposes of evaluating necessity. These admissions are consistent with the Company's testimony, which presents only a single capacity position that embeds AFL by assumption, without any counterfactual analysis. As a result, the record contains no analysis demonstrating that existing customers contribute to the alleged deficit. C. The Company's own discovery responses provide the data necessary to quantify system capacity excluding AFL, but the Company did not perform the calculation Although Idaho Power declined to evaluate system capacity absent AFL, the Company produced the data necessary to do so. Specifically, Idaho Power produced: • projected system capacity positions; • coincident peak demand values; and 2 Ellsworth Direct,p. 5,lines 8-21;p.6,lines 105 IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS ASSOCIATION,INC.BENNETT GAS EXPANSION PROJECT COMMENTS— Page 3 CASE NO.IPC-E-25-29 • AFL coincident peak contributions for forecast years.3 Because annual capacity position is defined as: "Available Capacity Resources—Coincident Peak Load"the impact of AFL on the capacity position is mechanically determinable. Removing AFL from the coincident peak forecast reduces system peak by exactly the AFL coincident contribution. Nothing in RCAT or Aurora methodology prevents this subtraction. It is simple arithmetic. Thus,the Company's refusal to perform this calculation is not due to data limitations,but by choice. D. Using Idaho Power's own data, the capacity deficit does not persist absent AFL Using the Company's discovery responses, it is possible to reconstruct the system capacity position excluding AFL by subtracting AFL coincident peak from the Company's stated capacity position. The data produced by Idaho Power show that: • AFL coincident peak contributions in the late-2020s are and • those contributions are larger than, or comparable to,the claimed system deficit. Because the claimed 2028 deficit ISM=4 and because AFL coincident peak contributions produced in discovery exceed that magnitude, removal of AFL necessarily converts the deficit into a surplus. A conservative calculation,using the Company's own data for a single AFL driver DOM), shows that removing this single AFL driver results in a— surplus on the same"perfect capacity"basis, even before removing any other AFL components.5 Idaho Power has not disputed this arithmetic. Instead, it has declined to perform or present the calculation. Accordingly, the record demonstrates that the alleged capacity deficit does not persist absent AFL. 3 Response to IIPA Request No. 1-2(b) Projected Peak Load Existing Customers;Response to IIPA Request No. 1-3(f) Confidential Attachment;Response to IIPA Request No. 1-1(b)—System Peak Forecast a Ellsworth Direct,p.4,lines 1-4 5 70'h percentile peak load forecast for all months RCAT and Ellsworth direct:265 MW deficit in'28. Idaho Power construction upgrades IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS ASSOCIATION,INC.BENNETT GAS EXPANSION PROJECT COMMENTS— Page 4 CASE NO.IPC-E-25-29 E. Idaho Power provided no evidence that legacy customer classes contribute to coincident peak growth In addition to failing to model the system without AFL, Idaho Power did not quantify coincident peak growth attributable to legacy customer classes, such as irrigation, residential, or traditional commercial customers. The Company produced no evidence showing: • positive coincident peak growth for legacy classes; • that such growth contributes meaningfiilly to the claimed deficit; or • that the Bennett Gas Expansion Project is required to maintain reliability for those customers.6 Indeed, the Company's discovery responses reflect that peak growth is tracked at the system level with AFL embedded,rather than by class-level coincident contribution. Using the Company's data,' the total coincident peak load across theme listed"existing customers" for 2027 and 2028 is: • Max monthly coincident total (2027):_M8 • Max monthly coincident total (2028):_-9 • Increase from 2027 to 2028 =— In other words, for the Company's produced"existing customers,"coincident peak increases — MW from 2027 to 2028. Scaled against the 70th percentile system peak10(the percentile the Company says it uses in RCAT) the system peak growth (70th percentile July peak, 2027 to 2028) is— Therefore, the legacy share of system peak growth is about And compared to the Company's claimed system deficit of 265 MW with no new build,versus the existing customer 6 Response to IIPA Request No. 1-4:Response to IIPA Request No. 1-12 Confidential Attachment 7 Response to IIPA Request No. 1-2(b)Confidential Attaclunent Projected Peak Load Existing Customers.xlsx B Id 9 Id no Response to IIPA Request No. 1-1(b) -1 IDAHO IRRIGATION PUIIIPERS ASSOCIATION,INC.BENNETT GAS EXPANSION PROJECT CO'4INIENTS— Page 5 CASE NO.IPC-E-25-29 peak increase o� the measurable"existing customer"coincident-peak growth in the produced dataset- of the claimed 2028 deficit 2. Idaho Power Failed to Carry Its Burden of Proof for a CPCN A CPCN may issue only upon an affirmative showing that a proposed facility is necessary to provide adequate service to the public. That burden rests entirely with the applicant. Idaho Power did not carry that burden here. The Company elected to present a single, assumption-laden capacity position without performing the analyses necessary to determine whether the alleged deficit exists independently of Additional Firm Load or is attributable to existing customers. Idaho Power admits it did not evaluate system capacity absent AFL, did not perform sensitivity analyses excluding AFL, and did not quantify coincident peak contributions by legacy customer classes. These omissions are not technicalities. They prevent the Commission from making the findings required by Idaho Code Sections 61-501 through 61-503. The Commission cannot infer necessity from an untested forecast, cannot assume that discretionary new load constitutes a system obligation, and cannot approve a long-lived, rate-based resource without evidence that it is required to serve existing customers. Required Showing Idaho Power Evidence Capacity need absent AFL Not evaluated Coincident peak growth by legacy class Not quantified Deferral sensitive 1- ear Not analyzed Where an applicant declines to perform the analyses necessary to demonstrate necessity, the appropriate regulatory response is denial or deferral,not approval conditioned on assumptions the record does not support. 3. Granting the CPCN Would Improperly Prejudge Cost Causation and Expose Existing Customers to Unwarranted Risk Approval of the Bennett Gas Expansion Project would have inuuediate and irreversible consequences for ratepayers, even though Idaho Power has not demonstrated that existing customers require the resource. The majority of AFL is either unconfirmed or undisclosed by Idaho Power. Without approved energy service contracts, such as those held with Micron,there are no remedies available for existing customers if those loads fail to appear. A key example to illustrate the risk posed by speculative load growth is the proposed Diode Ventures"Gemstone Technology Park"data center project outside Boise. Diode Venhires, a IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS ASSOCIATION,INC.BENNETT GAS EXPANSION PROJECT COINMENTS— Page 6 CASE NO.IPC-E-25-29 Kansas-based subsidiary of Black&Veatch that develops large data-center campuses, has applied for service for a 600-800 MW load at a site in Kuna, Idaho: an amount of energy that would exceed the usage of hundreds of thousands of homes at full buildout.11 However, as noted in reporting on the project, Diode has not yet secured an operator or tenant to actually occupy and consume that power.A company spokesperson confirmed that the eventual customer for the facility, the entity that would be drawing and paying for that electrical load, is "not yet determined. ,12 Because Idaho Power's filings and utility planning treat this proposed load as potential future firm demand, it gets folded into forecasts of system need and resource acquisition planning. But unlike projects that have executed energy services agreements ("ESA") or other binding commitments (such as Micron's semiconductor expansion, which includes contractual guarantees about load and financial responsibility) the Diode project currently lacks such contractual safeguards. Without an ESA or approved energy service contract, there is no mechanism to guarantee that Diode (or a future tenant)will pay for the generation and grid upgrades sized to serve its projected load. This gap matters for ratepayers because under current utility ratemaking practice, the financial risk associated with non-materializing load, including the costs of generation plants, transmission upgrades, or other capacity acquisitions, can be allocated to the broader customer base if the speculative load never appears or is delayed. In other words: if Idaho Power builds capacity or secures generation assets based on projections that include Diode's un-contracted 600 - 800 MW and that load never materializes, the cost consequences could be shifted onto existing customers, rather than being borne by the developer or its tenants. The Bennett Gas Expansion Project is a long-lived, rate-based natural gas asset. Idaho Power seeks early accrual of AFUDC and expressly disclaims any current prudence determination. Granting a CPCN would therefore begin locking in cost recovery and risk allocation before the Commission has determined whether the project is necessary or who should bear its costs. At the same time, Idaho Power provides no binding mechanism ensuring that the customers who cause the alleged need—new large firm load customers—will bear the associated costs or risks over the life of the asset. Existing customers, including irrigation customers, would be exposed to stranded-asset risk driven by speculative and customer-specific load growth. The Commission should not prejudge cost causation,prudence, or risk allocation by granting a CPCN in the absence of a demonstrated system need. 11 https://www.idahostatesman.com/news/business/article303505246.html 12 Id. IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS ASSOCIATION,INC.BENNETT GAS EXPANSION PROJECT COMMENTS— Page 7 CASE NO.IPC-E-25-29 4. The Alleged Urgency Is Self-Created,Assumption-Driven, and Reversible Idaho Power characterizes the Bennett Gas Expansion Project as urgently required to address a near-term capacity deficit in 2028. The Company's own testimony, however, demonstrates that this asserted urgency is not the result of immutable system constraints, but rather of planning assumptions and discretionary decisions that have recently changed and may change again. A. Idaho Power Acknowledges That Near Term Capacity Positions Are"Very Fluid" Mr. Ellsworth expressly acknowledges that Idaho Power's annual capacity positions in the near term are "very fluid" and subject to material change as inputs are updated and assumptions evolve. He explains that Idaho Power regularly updates its system reliability assessments and has repeatedly adjusted its resource plans in response to changing conditions.13 This admission is significant. It confirms that the Company's asserted 2028 deficit is not a fixed or irreversible condition,but a snapshot dependent on current assumptions, including load forecasts, resource availability, and planning choices. B. Idaho Power Has Recently Accelerated, Deferred, and Withdrawn Major Resource Decisions The record reflects that Idaho Power has repeatedly altered the timing and composition of its resource portfolio in response to changing assumptions. Mr. Ellsworth notes that Idaho Power has made consecutive near-term resource acquisition requests for resources to be online in 2023 through 2027, reflecting ongoing adjustments to planning assumptions rather than a single, stable reliability trajectory.14 In addition, Idaho Power has withdrawn previously approved resources when underlying assumptions changed. Most notably, the Company filed a contemporaneous request to withdraw the CPCN associated with the Jackalope Wind Project due to uncertainty and delay, despite that project having been previously approved as part of the Company's resource plan.15 These actions demonstrate that Idaho Power retains substantial flexibility in managing near-term capacity needs and that reliability can be maintained through adaptive planning, rather than irreversible commitments to long-lived assets. 13 Ellsworth Direct 14 Id. 15 Id. IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS ASSOCIATION,INC.BENNETT GAS EXPANSION PROJECT COMMENTS— Page 8 CASE NO.IPC-E-25-29 C. The Bennett Gas Expansion Project Itself Reflects Planning Discretion,Not Emergent Need Idaho Power acknowledges that the Bennett Gas Expansion Project was originally contemplated to meet later capacity needs and was subsequently accelerated based on revised assumptions.16 Mr. Ellsworth explains that the project was initially considered to meet 2029 needs and was able to advance its commercial operation date to June 2028. That acceleration reflects a discretionary planning decision rather than an emergent reliability failure. Idaho Power did not present evidence that the system would become unreliable absent this acceleration, nor did it demonstrate that alternative measures could not bridge any interim need. D. Idaho Power Did Not Demonstrate That Deferral Would Jeopardize Reliability Despite asserting urgency, Idaho Power did not analyze whether deferral of the Bennett Gas Expansion Project would compromise system reliability. The Company did not model: • A one-year deferral scenario; • Interim alternatives such as short-term market purchases or demand-side measures; or • The reliability impacts of revised load or resource assumptions. Absent such analysis, the record does not support a conclusion that denial or deferral of the CPCN would result in inadequate service or reliability violations. E. Where Urgency Is Assumption-Driven and Reversible, Deferral Is the Appropriate Regulatory Response The Commission's role is to ensure reliable service while protecting the public interest. Where a claimed need is driven by assumptions the utility acknowledges are fluid, and where the utility has not demonstrated that immediate approval is necessary to avoid harm, deferral, not approval, is the prudent regulatory course. Deferring the CPCN would preserve the Commission's ability to: • Require a quantified showing of system need attributable to existing customers; • Evaluate cost causation and risk allocation; and • Avoid premature commitment to a long-lived, rate-based asset. '6 Id. IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS ASSOCIATION,INC.BENNETT GAS EXPANSION PROJECT COMMENTS— Page 9 CASE NO.IPC-E-25-29 DATED this 23rd day of January, 2026. ECHO HAWK& OLSEN ERIC L. OLSEN IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS ASSOCIATION,INC.BENNETT GAS EXPANSION PROJECT COMMENTS— Page 10 CASE NO.IPC-E-25-29 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY that on this 23rd day of January, 2026, I served a true, correct and complete copy of the foregoing to each of the following as indicated below: Monica Barrios-Sanchez, Commission Secretary ❑ U.S. Mail Erika Melanson, Deputy Attorney General ❑ Hand Delivered Idaho Public Utilities Commission ❑ Overnight Mail P.O. Box 83720 ❑ Telecopy(Fax) Boise, ID 83720-0074 ® Electronic Mail (Email) secretga@puc.idaho.gov erika.melanson(i�puc.Idaho.gov Lance Kaufman, Ph.D. ❑ U.S. Mail 2623 NW Bluebell Place ❑ Hand Delivered Corvallis, OR 97330 ❑ Overnight Mail lance@ae isg insi.hg t.com ❑ Telecopy(Fax) ® Electronic Mail (Email) Donovan E. Walker ❑ U.S. Mail Timothy Tatum ❑ Hand Delivered 1221 W. Idaho Street(83702) ❑ Overnight Mail P.O. Box 70 ❑ Telecopy(Fax) Boise, ID 83707 ® Electronic Mail (Email) dwalker(&�idahopower.com dockets@idahopower.com com ttatum(&b,iidahopower.com Austin Rueschhoff ❑ U.S. Mail Thorvald A. Nelson ❑ Hand Delivered Austin W. Jensen ❑ Overnight Mail Kristine A.K. Roach ❑ Telecopy(Fax) Holland& Hart, LLP ® Electronic Mail (Email) Micron Technology, Inc. 555 17th Street Suite 3200 Denver, CO 80202 darueschhoff(&,hollandhart.com tnelson@hollandhart.com awj ensen(d),hollandhart.com karoach@hollandhart.com aclee(&,hollandhart.com ]KRICE beSK IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS ASSOCIATION,INC.BENNETT GAS EXPANSION PROJECT COMMENTS— Page 11 CASE NO.IPC-E-25-29