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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20251223Exhibit 1.pdf Intermountain Gas Company IGRAC Invite and Meeting Materials 2025 — 2030 INTEPAOUNTAIN `�' GAS COMPANY A Subsidiary of MDU Resources Group, Inc. In the Community to Serve' Exhibit No. 1 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY A Subsidiary of MDU Resources Group, Inc. INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN DULY 9, 2025 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS RESOURCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE (IGRAC) Welcome & Introductions — Brian Robertson Safety Moment & Feedback Process — Brian Robertson IRP Recommendations — Brian Robertson System Overview — Brian Robertson Economic Forecast— Ryan Denton Residential & Commercial Customer Growth — Ryan Vol — Denton Design Heating Degree Days — Brian Robertson Industrial Customer Forecasts — Nicole Gyllensl<og & Jon Whiting Load Demand Curves — Ryan Denton Questions/Discussion 3 Introductions Name Organization you are representing 4 ■ Blueprint to meet the Company's firm customer demands over a five-year forecast period based on various assumptions Provides frequent updates to the projected growth on the Company's system Considers all available resources to meet the needs of the Company's customers on a consistent and comparable basis Solicits input from Stakeholders during the modeling process Helps to ensure Intermountain Gas Company will continue to provide reliable energy service while minimizing costs 5 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Integrated Resource Plan Process 6 Demand Supply & Delivery Resources (i Economic Overview - Transportation 1 Capacity & Storage Distribution Sys Ov tem L esidential & Commercial Overview Customer Growth Natural Gas Supplies Non-Traditional Design Resources Residential & Weather Commercial Usage Energy Efficiency: Per Customer --------------------=--- I Residential & Commercial Industrial Demand Demand Supply & Deliverability Load Demand Curves Optimization Modeling System Enhancements Demand Supply SAFETY MOMENT Preventing Eyestrain The National Safety Council provided several tips to take to avoid strained and tired eyes. • Keep your screen at arm's length. • Don't forget to blink. • Take a break every 20 minutes by looking away at something at least 20-feet away for at least 20 seconds. 1 • Be mindful of lighting and glare. • Make sure your screen isn't too bright. • Adjust computer monitor properly. • Increase your computer's type size. all �: i.nn.-!/wrr... .,.q/�11/�emb ..�,:� �o room..��ao:�,.�./cola-��•.;o�s/ageawl�os;�� t e.gainndf?ver=201906-17-171635-500 FEEDBACK SUBMISSIONS ■ IRP.Comments@intgas.com ■ Please provide comments and feedback within 10 days ■ Intermountain IRPWebpage: https://www.intgas.com/rates- services/rates-tariffs/integrated-resource-plan/ 8 s 2023 IRP ACKNOWLEDGEMENT . IRP RECOMMENDATIONS Final Order No. 36249 — Commission Acknowledged Intermountain's 2023 IRP Filing Commission Recommendations for Intermountain's IRP Process: Recommends the Company to work with Staff to implement IRP reporting that includes system enhancement information in future IRPs, within six months of a Commission order Recommends the Company to work with Staff to develop reports to the Commission of capacity enhancement projects that include in-service dates and project costs, within six months of a Commission order Establish the practice of authorizing the Company's DSM avoided costs as part of IRP filings and authorize the DSM avoided costs associated with this filing. 10 SYSTEM OVERVIEW BRIAN ROBERTSON SUPERVISOR, RESOURCE PLANNING 11 INTERMOUNTAIN ♦ COMPANY Intermountain Gas Company is a natural gas local distribution company, founded in 1950 and served its first customer in 1956 Provides service to 76 communities across southern Idaho 433,400+ customers 12 THROUGHPUT BY CUSTOMER CLASS Residential 36% Large Volume 47% Commercial 17% INTERMOUNTAIN DISTRIBUTION NATURAL GAS SYSTEM INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY WEBER oR[oo•r oNgo RA.YETrE ui• MUITLANO •cwo. NEW PLYYOUTN •. - - , .u.• ST ANTIN)NY MR KER•• EMaETT fUOAR CITY Ml m • REXSURO• f`I:NIDEfl• STAR. OMOEN CRY KETCNU�UN VALLEY LE"3 ,_'�t7E1{eM NO.EDALE•� • A\ #BOISE HAILEY \F R:09r• NAMPA PoRIE Kura• r-•�eELLEWE DAHO FALLS •10"1A •AWCN RRTN SHELLEY Z•. aoREL.Wo BAfALT RNEtiiIDE=J•�OVEUHo WIMAM"ME• r' �FCKFOOT •PORT HALL.!� @OWMO arrDiNONE �� N/-CMl BUCK ERUNEAu N 81£RRi •�l✓WloaID�W rw. / • • ' . lPaF.R1IJW GLL`lL'/// PA TELLO \ BA:RO •. ROY � LLS RUPET ER.I a0ASMIN-ia N RIVER AM o ORCE• FAR K10aw --&L OECLO OEOROETOYN. • wr.�aw..wo.. WRTAUON I�w�/,../�wi.� "LT., �YOW"-EUE:. 14 AREAS OF INTEREST (AOI) NATURAL GAS SYSTEM INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY CANADIAN GAS ■ Distribution System Segments. WASH' MONTANA ■ Canyon County WEISER OREGON AREA- WYOMINO OF MAP PAYETTE ARKER S ANTHONY ■ Central Ada County Lateral FRUITLAND NEW PLVMOUT CALIF. NEVADA UTAH COLORADO BUDA CITY FARM U.S.GAS REXBU G MIDDLETON STAR�O� SAN UAN BASIN MENAN SATTELIT LNG ■ North of State Street Lateral WI \d ARDEN CITY EWISWLLE RIGBV G ENLEAF,�, 9015E UN VALLEY I�,%V Q CHUM/ELKHORN UCON` ■ Sun Valley Lateral P`O' U • ILEY AND FALLS• IONA` AMMON 9iF m T ELLEVUE SHELL �O QQv FlRT BASALT 99 ■ Idaho Falls Lateral MT.HOME ��y-,E MORRET HAD BLACKFOOT 0 O� Ap GOODIN ABERDEEN HUBB 9Q¢� S SHONE ■ All Other Customers WENDEL0 y0 gPfR/CgMFquS • P NKOM ,POPOeO CONDA BRUNEAU• 0�P OF'94'lpJ QP JOJq •SODA SPRINGS BUHL MCCAMMON LEGEND FILER BURLEY* ARIMO• GRACE GEORGETOWN WILLIAMS PIPELINE MALTA INTERMOUNTAIN GAS CO.SERVICE LATERALS MONTPELIER • TOWNS SERVED BY INTERMOUNTAIN GAS CO. O INTERMOUNTAIN GAS CO.OFFICES 14 SeeNf:25 MILES 1 15 REGIONAL PIPELINES Imo a ►Layers/Legend 1?ctorl, ►Basemaps .e - - ►Find address S sill a Print _ o ,Ply is — Montan Helena n_ \ dvl ac Ilings i p Q O rS tern [k Oregon A Boise I d.9»F all s ed ord _ Choy `.► t 15 200k� (� n A n 100mi tlyh y rCy t 16 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN ECONOMIC FORECAST RYAN DENTON 17 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN WOODS & POOLE ECONOMICS, INC. Regional Projections The methods used by Woods & Poole to generate the county projections proceed in four stages: • First, forecasts to 2050 of total United States personal income, earnings by industry, employment by industry, population, household size, inflation, and other variables are made. • Second, the country is divided into 179 Economic Areas (EAs) as defined by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The EAs are aggregates of contiguous counties that attempt to measure cohesive economic regions in the United States. • The third stage is to project population by age, sex, and race for each EA on the basis of projected net migration rates. For stages two and three, the U.S. projection is the control total for the EA projections. • The fourth stage replicates stages two and three except that it is performed at the county level, using the EAs as the control total for the county projections. 18 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN Idaho Economic Forecast For the State of Idaho and the Counties in Idaho Future household growth, which is the key driver for future residential customer growth, is modeled as a function of total population (less those individuals in group quarters), and general economic conditions in the state. In brief: good or improving economic conditions will speed up the rate of household growth, however worsening or declining economic conditions will slow the rate of household formation and the rate of household growth. 19 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN Idaho Economic Forecast Idaho Seasonally Adjusted Nonfarm Employment MoM Change()an 2019-Dec 2021)-BLS 6.OeM COVID-19 Impact: teow The height of COVIDs impact on the economy occurred R R " R " A i~ P^�r� g, 3 3`9�Y°9 d'�9 xa�o� � i 8o s r``��q° i xa o z.owa primarily between March and May 2020. In April 2020 - Idaho saw a seasonally adjusted nonfarm employment fr decline 10.3% MoM (a loss of 79,300 in nonfarm £ book employment from the previous month). �- le— rz- Although there is a sharp recovery in the following Idaho Seasonally Adjusted Nonfarm Employment()an 2019-Dec2021)-BLS month, with reversion to pre-pandemic levels, this ap° recovery in MoM changes takes time to work itself ° through the levels of employment. Here we see residual effects in the following months/years, but we `„°° do see reversion back to the pre-pandemic trend rather quickly. a sego 19 ezo° R R R R R R R R .R R R .R 11 xa xa IV A?r A r' F, r' s .�` Y~ d, w o . 4 i P r' Is �` �9 d, o „• r�• P" r'�• g• s• �`" �P�' cf, xa od• 20 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN Idaho Economic Forecast Idaho Population YoY Change(2010-2024)-W&P&BLS 3. Population: 3.00% 2b The growth in population has been a driving force in economic growth prior to the pandemic and y 159w continues today, though it has slowed down a bit since 2021 . Population growth has brought new 1 jobs to the state and help boost the economy. ° Total population in Idaho has increased at a robust °°°% AIO All Ala A13 A11 Al5 Alb AIJ A10 A19 AA A21 AZ2 A23 2a21 pace since 2013. From 2019 to 2021 Idaho saw the Idaho Total Population(2010-2024)-W&P&BLS highest YoY percentage change in population in the nation, with the average YoY change being about 2� ...................................... 2.37%. This is an increase in the population of around 97,470 over these three years. ]590 This rapid increase in population was driven mainly by domestic migration from more expensive and densely populated states like Oregon, Washington, 20 and California. ° A19 A11 Ala A13 MA A35 A19 AS] AI9 A19 20A A21 2921 2023 A24 21 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN Idaho Economic Forecast Idaho Sea sonallyAdjusted Nonfarm Employment YoY Change(Jan 2015-April2025)-BLS me Employment: The top graph shows the total nonfarm ................... . ............................. .......... ............................ employment YoY changes for each month from January 2015 to April 2025. The bottom "ot'"�'"+'d'�''d',� ^a'a'^of'�.•�'+'A'B,s^ d'0.•�'"`'"at;�� a'.,� aa`.>`r'`r':.r,yc aof'�a rd r,�,r,yc ra�,rd�rst 3 yo rap'F rS r,�'.a'�y'?af`�.rd graph shows total nonfarm employment over s° that same period. Idaho Seasonally Adjusted Total Nonfarm Employees(Jan 2015-April 2025)-BLS There appears to be a slowing down largely 9 .0 due to a normalization of the labor market e'S° Wo after an abnormally fast post-pandemic 825,0 growing period. Other factors include �� slowing wage growth, slowing population A6U growth, falling working-age to retirees ratio, E'�° n5.° and broader economic conditions. But still 7W.a strong growth. 675.0 21 660.0 6]6.a 22 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Idaho Economic Forecast INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN Idaho Seasonally Adjusted Education&Health Services Employment YoY Change(Jan 2015-Apri12025)-BLS Employment: The top graph shows the education and health .................................. ........... services employment YoY changes for each month from January 2015 to April 2025. In d ° 2025 thus far we've seen a YoY change of °:F°¢, �,,a,, , •�,s•o,• a,, e, �,,,• •�,•,•,•�, 9�,9�� �,:2. o a��ap�aa �,3� a����M1 ry�n, f�� r y+ r°`r .�a r•r y e r•rye .a`r'r �''a r'' • a r°`r° a r r •3'e •r°r �'��°e r W �'e a r x.o 3.9% in January, 3.2% in February, 3.4% in ,° March, and 1 .8% in April (though April is - subject to revision). Idaho Seasonally Adjusted Education&Health Services Employees(Jan 2015-Apri12025)-BLS 1<5 IJO 35 The bottom shows this same sector but the 130 actual levels of employment over that same 9125 period. `'p .............. v 135 E 11e °105 1. ........ •" 22 96 90 ti� s�.� a,� e e o.,a a,� � � , y � � a o e.,e e a e a.�,.,a �iP•t°ti°_N n°��tin ti A A 4 6 A+6 �i T'A ti',(�i ti rP ti �`ii' ,>°�e,S to,>,.pe pais��F,e j,5�J,,lc?a�`•°1,m rid 3,�e�a��o•2,•e��1,d�3qv was d�..i1•s 3,,�e?a��•2a 1,•6\3,�o?d�o le�,m>3,fo?d sec rm ri 3,,�c?S"�o ro 1,e S,,�o?d"�•�o red y,�c?ap•`• 23 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN Idaho Economic Forecast Idaho Seasonally Adjusted Manufacturing Employment YoY Change(Jan 2025-Apri12025)-BLS Employment: so The top graph shows the YoY percent change in manufacturing employment from January - - ................... zo _ . ........................... 2015 to April 2025. In 2025 thus far we've seen eo a YoY change of 2.8% in January, 2.9% in February, 3.2% in March, and 3.6% in April 2° (again, April is subject to revision). Idaho Seasonally Adjusted Man u(acturing Employees(lan 2015-Apri12025)-BLS The bottom shows this same sector but the actual levels of employment over that same period. ................ ............. Overall Idaho is showing a lot of population and E 'ems employment growth strength. 23 ,_`r'°`r �°r ,a`r°r �°+ •'`r'r y°r ,a`r'°`r° �r r'r �°a m r'r` �t`�e`r°r �a ,e r°r �°r'A,'�r°r°�3�°+a,'`ra r'��9�z�,°`r'°`^ 24 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY The Economic Forecast INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN Idaho Projected YoY Percent Change in Total Employment(2025-2030)-W&P In the 2025 — 2030 Forecast Period Idaho's Economy is currently expected to experience: An average YoY population growth of 1 .05%, with _ the State's population reaching around 2,114,477 in 2030. 2.2. An average YoY increase in total employment of „ about 15,642, adding around 93,870 jobs. 2025 2- 2027 2- 2- 2030 Idaho Projected YoY Increase in Totat Employment(2025-2030)-W&P Ada and Canyon counties are projected to attain a 58 total combined population of about 868,976 in 2030. 15.7 iss 15] 2°25 2028 2021 2028 2020 2030 25 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY The Economic Forecast INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN Nonfarm employment in Idaho is expected to increase on average 1 .27% YoY over the 2025 to 2030 forecast period, which is around a 93,179 total increase. Some specific sector projections: •• ' ' ' ' Farm � Farm employment is projected to increase on average 0.28% GMEW YoY over the forecast period, which is an increase of around Manufacturing 0.34% 1,676 691 . Construction 882 Manufacturing employment is projected to increase on average 0.34% YoY over the forecast period, which is an increase of around 1 ,676. Construction employment is projected to increase on average 0.16% YoY over the forecast period, which is an increase of around 882. 26 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY The Economic Forecast INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN Combined, the transportation & warehousing, wholesale trade, retail trade, and utilities sectors are expected to see an average YoY percent growth of 0.66% over the 2025 to , , 2030 forecast period, an increase of around 8,766 in employment. Transportation 1.01% 3,230 Wholesale Trade 0.46% 1,104 Combined, the finance & insurance and real estate & rental Retail Trade 0.53% 3,964 & lease sectors are expected to see an average YbY percent growth of 1 .52%, an increase of around 12,873 in utilities 2.08% 468 employment. Finance & 0.93% 3,338 Insurance You can see the individual projections in the table. Real Estate & 1.95% 9,535 Rental & Lease 27 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY The Economic Forecast INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN The service industries in Idaho are projected to see the most growth. AvgYoY Totalincrease Combined, the professional & technical services, education, health care & social assistance, state & local Professional & 1.67% 8,416 government, accommodation & food services, and other Technical Services services employment are expected to see an average YoY Education 2 88% 5,154 percent growth of 1 .85%, an increase of around 57,298 Services over the 2025 to 2030 forecast period. Health Care & 2.65% 21,776 Social Assistance o State & Local This growth in the services industries represents 61 .49 /o of 1.02% 7,252 the total increase in nonfarm employees over this period. Government Accommodation & Food Services 1.81% 9,664 You can see the individual projections in the table. other Services (Excluding Public 1.41% 5,036 Admin) 28 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN The Economic Forecast, QUESTIONS ? 28 29 RESIDENTIAL & COMMERCIAL CUSTOMER GROWTH RYAN DENTON RESOURCE PLANNING ECONOMIST I 30 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY OPERATIONS DISTRICTS yyashingmn Fremont AHO FALLS yet0e ce,n DISTRICT .• Madism • n • • • •' • • S• ' OISE - ' ba DISTRICT •. Bonneville Blaha • arnare • TWIN FALL wham NAMPA • DISTRIC POCATELL DISTRICT • Gooding• lnmin • DI RICT • drib- • • • Mn daka • 3— Ptwer Bar•ock • • • • • • ' • Owyhee • •• • • Twin Falls • Casa. • Bear lake A INTERMOUNTAIN" 30 "GAS COMPANY 31 Intermountain Gas Co. w.hmgm^ Areas of Interest(A01) Fremom A01 N.State Street ette �m •• •rx'C.)W • • T H • �eRersan • Central A • • • Idaho Falls = • • L ateral any • Bonne ilk RATE Coun ^"� • Blaine • emare —� • Sun Valle a,.ham • Lateral • Gooding• • Lincoln • • • All Other • • Caribou • Minidoka • All Other Demme mower UVock • • Owyhee • • • •• • • • • Twin Falh • asva • Bear lake All Other 32 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN Base Case, High Growth, Low Growth The Base Case Economic Forecast assumes a normal amount of economic fluctuation and normal business cycle. It is the "best estimate" of future economic activity in Idaho and its counties. The Low Growth Scenario assumes a period of slower economic growth, with fewer employment opportunities, leading to a slower rate of population growth in the state and a slower rate of household growth. The High Growth Scenario assumes a more rapidly growing economy, such as what happened in the 1990s and what we have seen more recently. 33 CUSTOMER COUNT: FORECAST INPUTS We use total number of households and total employment data provided by Woods & Poole. Households are defined as occupied housing units. A housing unit is a house, an apartment, a group of rooms, or a single room occupied as separate living quarters. The employment data include wage and salary workers, self-employed workers, private household employees, and miscellaneous workers. Historical employment data, 1969-2022, are from the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 34 CUSTOMER COUNT: MODEL SELECTION AICc: Corrected Akaike Information Criterion Model Fit SMAPE: Symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error Model Accuracy aEa ReaiCentiai 26 M—Customer Count Forecast ad.commercial 24 1,1o1h Customer Count Far.-V £12900 Co L � Ma<a.mhrui r�rramee FaCr�nCa 1-0 � U 35 CUSTOMER COUNT: FORECASTING COMPONENTS ■ Customers = R0 + (3 i H H + R2Emp +Trend() + Monthly Data with Increasing Trend and Seasonal Components Fourier(period = "year", K) +ARIMA(p,d,q)(PDQ) — K=1 Harmonic to K=2 Harmonics — K=3 Harmonics ■ Where: ■ HH: Number of Households; E ■ Emp:Employment, 6 ■ Trend():Deterministic trend component, 4 ■ Fourier(period ="year", K):Captures seasonality using K harmonics, Z ■ ARIMA(p,d,q)(PDQ):p = nonseasonal autoregressive terms,d = nonseasonal differencing,q = nonseasonal 0 moving average terms.P = seasonal autoregressive terms, o s to u 20 25 36 35 D = seasonal differencing,Q = seasonal moving average Time(months) terms. 35 36 . COUNTY CUSTOMER FORECAST Ada County Residential Customer Count Forecast 1a,so0 Ada County Commercial Customer Count Forecast 210.000 205.0o0 14.250 200,000 10.000 195,000 13.- 19 OD La 13.500 SB5.000 E '^ 13.250 U U 160,000 ° 13.000 ~1)5,000 12,)50 i)0,000 2.500 165.000 12.250 160,000 155,000 12.000 —N6loiicel —Base —Low —H66 —X¢taictl —Bae slaw —XgX Average YoY growth: 1.7% Average YoY growth: 1.3 Total growth: 10.3%, 18,393 customers Total growth:7.8%, 1,026 customers 36 37 BEAR LAKE COUNTY CUSTOMER FORECAST Bear Lake County Residential Customer Count Forecast Bear Lake County Commercial Customer Count Forecast 1.360 48 1.360 2e6 z44 1,340 242 240 330 238 1,320 236 1. 234 310 232 1,300 230 C E 1.2W E 228 0 226 � 1.280 �2I4 U 222 1,270 0 220 ~1.260 ~218 1,2 216 50 214 1,240 2U 210 1,220,230 1 208 206 20 1,210 202 1,200 ryo''��,yAr,yo'1��'{Y6ry0�,('1Ar,y�,�'�'Pti�,{'1'�•[M1.�ph���n;J��ryM1h.�,ly�ryo�,`'��,[�e��'PM1M1�,L��,1;M1M1�'L�M10�,�'��.L�O M1OOV��,yo�p'E�.���'E��'N��`'C' ^P'� ti��'lS.����'Ds�M1�''G>OA,A'{�'C>�A�'t h�ry�o M1�ti p'L M1�'L.�1'L M1"hy�'E''G'O.�'{°O�'C'�M11�h ory�oti'L�M11�'l�O1ry0�ti M1 O'Ls��'Y'�'Ci'P,�+��J�� �o 'E,�o�9'�� �P M1ro°r�M1°M1 ro°�'E-E� �M1°M1M1 � M1°M1° '?'M1°M1 v �M1°�M1 M1°-Ary�� �M1ro°� t? ro°•fti�M1M1 M1 � —nsw��a —ease —row —Hen —es1«��a —base —mw —nen AverageYoY growth:0.7% AverageYoY growth:0.7% Total growth:4.3%,54 customers Total growth:4.3%,9 customers 37 38 FORECASTING GROWTH-AREAS OF INTEREST (AOI) Intermountain Gas Co. wazhingmn Areas of Interest(AOI) Fremo�n N.State Street .yens Gem • ,errerson • Central A a • •anion • Idaho Falls t • � • ateraI any . Coun Ada • Bo"^evllk Blaine • Elmore Sun Valley B:gham• • Lateral • Gooding• Lincoln • • • • All Other • � Caribou • • • Mnidoka • All Other S.Wck • • • • • • • • orryhee • .• • • Twin Falk • Casva • Bear lake All Other 38 39 CANYON COUNTY CUSTOMER FORECAST Canyon County Residential Customer Count Forecast Canyon County Commercial Customer Count Forecast er.Wo S6W A,mO 5]m ]/.WO S6m a.Wo ssW saW A.Wo Sam ]I..o S2W E U bi 6Om 3 4om 46m 63,mo 4]W 6r.Wo 46W `B,WO 46m s],Wo 4am asW ss,mo 4zm 'Q 9 R ro R 9 ro 9 ro 't'-9 ro ro 9 k 't'9�ro 9 k 't'ro ro R ro-P ro 9 R'Q 9 R 't'R 9 9-g ro ro R R ro ro ro ro 9 k 9 ro R 'Q ro ro ro�roproa 9ag'dp"d9rohroRro 9 srorororo`9�R�ro R�ro�9%g%ro R�%roRrororororo ro�rorororo�,g�,PT ro�R ro�rorororororo ro R%Pro'f'%ProRro ro�@%Broro�R 4�ro R9ro9 �HntoncY �9ase lox �Hg� M ton Y l Average YoY growth:3.1% Average YoY growth:2.4% Total growth: 19%, 12,201 customers Total growth: 14.5%,696 customers 39 40 SUN VALLEY LATERAL CUSTOMER FORECAST Sun Valley Lateral Residential Customer Count Forecast Sun Valley Lateral Commercial Customer Count Forecast a,mo L5e0 L3.Ao L5A LSW L.WO LSSD 2.W0 L5m 2,Wo L5W Om L z.mo E Ey L53o 2.A0 U U F U.W0 c Ld90 ~ LdW mo LdA Wo LdW S1.m0 Ld'A Lam 11.Ao Ld30 mwo LaA 'BpPakp`�A%Pay@A.NVAkAh'PARAP�P�k��P�P�R�R 9�`�P�h��R��k�'g Rk PkR'�P4`PA`p PAP�P'�R P�'g P�9�9�R 4'9'p P9h10P'9�9E9'p PAPA P6R PN'p 9aRaPA�kA'Q 9�kAR�R kry.9,B''42''P9M�h'.6'g kN9M9k�Bk,p 9k9k9'�9APA"{,P�9�9��k�'P 9�B�9�PSk�'B 9�P�B�R h9,Q�9�9 —Heloa<x —exie —lo. _Hen _s+ewa<x —ease —toe —Hen Average YoY growth: 1.5% Average YoY growth:0.2% Total growth:8.8%, 1,050 customers Total growth: 1.1%, 16 customers 40 41 IDAHO FALLS LATERAL CUSTOMER FORECAST Idaho Falls Lateral Residential Customer Count Forecast Idaho Falls Lateral Commercial Customer Count Forecast �.mo firm 69.W0 6.,W ®.mo 4BW 6.W0 ].6m 66 mo ],am 65.m0 ].6W 6d,Wo ].— o mo ,n],dm L E 62.m0 E ],3m U U A ].Im eB mB — `b.m0 r ].Bm fiBW `R.WO 46W s].ma 4]m 56.WB fi6m `3.m0 fi6m SG.mO 4dW S m0 43W Si.WO 4]W �Hemncal Base Lox �Hgli �Hmm�cd. �fiase �Lwv �Ng6 Average YoY growth:2.2% Average YoY growth: 1.6% Total growth: 13%,7,527 customers Total growth:9.7%,684 customers 41 42 NORTH OF STATE STREET CUSTOMER FORECAST North of State Street Residential Customer Count Forecast North of State Street Commercial Customer Count Forecast ®.Wo s.oW 6)Wa s.oW 66.W0 49W 65.W0 49W 64 m0 4: 6).WO 46W 62.W0 4�50 L E 61.Wo a6W U U 9 59.Wo 9 46W ~ 56.W0 ~45W 5.wo 45W s6.Wo aaW ..Wo aaW ..Wo 4350 `3.Wo a3W S.wo 42w �HewntalBase �Lwv �Hgl -HewnW Bare �lwv �Hgn AverageYoY growth: 1.7% AverageYoY growth: 1.4% Total growth: 10.3%,6,032 customers Total growth:8%, 364 customers 42 43 CENTRALADA CUSTOMER FORECAST Central Ada Residential Customer Count Forecast Central Ada Commercial Customer Count Forecast se.mo 4am 61.mo 43m 43W m.Wo 42W Ed,mO 42m 63.m0 63.Wo 4,— E61.m0 E 41m W.mo �aoW U U �W.mO 9 4om 39m S],mo 39m 36m W o SI,Wo 36m S.mO 3JW 52,mo 3)m -Hemncal -base �Loe -6h -Hemnvl &.:. lox -Heb Average YoY growth: 1.7% Average YoY growth: 1.4% Total growth: 10.3%,6,104 customers Total growth:8%,316 customers 43 44 TOTAL SYSTEM CUSTOMER • Total Residential Customers Forecast Total Commercial Customers Forecast 4W.WO ........ 42,DDD 41.000 4..- 41.,.. 39.000 sa.- 2 -2 390.000 37.000 AM Average YoY growth: 1.9% Average YoY growth: 1.4% 44 Total growth: 11.2%,44,474 customers Total growth:8%,2,985 customers 45 QUESTIONS ? 10 MINUTE BREAK HEATING DEGREE DAYS & DESIGN WEATHER BRIAN ROBERSTON MANAGER, SUPPLY RESOURCE PLANNING 48 Weather is a Key Residential & Commercial Demand Driver Heating Degree Days are Used to Capture Weather Effects Two Primary Weather Scenarios are Used in the IRP: Normal HDD Design HDD 49 HEATING DEGREE DAY (HDD) What is a Heating Degree Day? Industry-Wide Standard Measuring Degrees Below a Set Base Temperature Base of 65 Degrees is Most Common March 2nd, 2023 - Boise Example: Daily High: 39 Degrees OF Daily Low: 23 Degrees OF Mean: 31 Degrees OF 65 Degrees — 31 Degrees = 34 HDD 50 NORMAL HEATING DEGREE DAYS Benchmark for the IRP Used for Routine Planning and Represent the Typical or "Normal" Weather Expected on a Given Day 30-Year Rolling Average of Daily Mean Temperatures Normal for the IRP is the 30-Years Ended December 2024 51 NORMAL HEATING DEGREE DAYS Normal HDD 1200 o 1000 v v v Bw 0 600 400 0 z 3 200 0 H 0 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aui Sep 51 52 DESIGN DEGREE DAYS Design Degree Days Model the Coldest Temperatures that Could Feasibly Occur on Intermountain's System Created by Modeling Design Peak Day, then Modeling the Surrounding Week, Month, and Year 53 DESIGN DAY Design Peak Day is the Absolute Coldest Day Planned for in the Design Year Engaged Idaho State Climatologist, Dr. Russell Qualls, to Conduct a Peak Day Study Study Produced a Range of Peak Days forVarious Probability Assumptions 50-Year Peak-Day Event was Selected (78 HDD) Peak Day is Modeled to Occur on Jan 15th of the Design Year 54 P EAK 5-DAY DESIGN The Days Surrounding the Peak Day are Modeled After the Coldest Recorded Consecutive 5-Days in a 50 Year Period. Peak Day is Assumed to be the Second Day in the 5-Day Period. 55 Five Day Weather Forecast Day 1 Peak Day Day 3 Day 4 Day 5 to At ®40,� PEAK 5- DAY DESIGN Snow Snow Snow Snow Sunny -11 ° F -130 F -120 F -90 F -60 F December 21 st, 50-Year Peak Day December 23rd, December 24th, December 25th, 1990 Actual Event 1990 Actual 1990 Actual 1990 Actual PEAK MONTH DESIGN Peak Month . . 90 80 70 The Days Surrounding the Peal< ., 5-Day Period are Modeled After the Coldest Calendar Month in the last 50YearsS ' 30 The Current Peal< Month is ' December 198510 This Month Forms the Basis for January Design Weather Da DESIGNING OFTHEYEAR The Rest of theYear is Modeled After the Coldest Heating Year in a 50Year Record Oct 1984 — Sep 1985 Continues to be the Coldest This Period Also Included the Coldest Critical Three Month Heating Period (Dec- Feb) Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 58 DEGREE DAY GRAPH 1800 Iwo 1400 1200 1000 800 / %b 600 400 200 0 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep •••••• Actual Heating Year 1985 — — Weighted Normal(30 Year Roiling) Design Year 58 59 ♦ • DEGREE DAYS Intermountain's service area is climatologically diverse Idaho Falls or Sun Valley vs. Boise Intermountain has developed unique Degree Days for each AOI Methods used to calculate AOI Degree Days mirror the Total Company approach 60 A• DEGREE DAYS NATURAL GAS SYSTEM INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Weather Stations West to East: WEIaEP .,.°°•r °°-° • KBOI !RATE - FRum � MOUTN Mu v v+ . .u.• IgNY • KEU L PAR. ME- •pAR CITY ME PARaaA, URO • KTW F V;eR : . an .E,CHU NEr LER1aY NCMECALE% 8, p�M BgSE ILEY RY NAMPA A • KSUN KUNA. E EwE IDAHO FALME LS • •AWOM HEUSY • KPI H �.. FlRTNtraSaT agRELANC BAfALT anwGr"m RNE • KI DA •FONT NALL 600:M0 MgLNpiE ABEROEEN- BBUCK • KRXE "EA" Nam° POCATELLO I EIOELL - INP.OM /� AaERICaN FALLir - � BAN:RCFT ME \ U60laID RUPE�T i-"�� aCCANMON• iOOA iPRIN'iL YULE FALLS PAVL• "jam-" UVA HOT.RUN = F>.M EN Bib=.E)'Blgy—'R.FT RIVER APoYO. GRACE• — '.�•...... �..... K�ERL�'-_t—_'pECLO °EOR°ETOVVI. MURTAU H 'YONiPBIEq. 61 QUESTIONS ? 2025 IRP LARGEVOLUME CUSTOMER FORECAST JON WHITING & NICOLE GYLLENSKOG MANAGERS, INDUSTRIAL SERVICES 63 WHAT 1 LARGEVOLUME CUSTOMER? 152 largest customers; approximately 49% of 2024 sales Mix of "Industrial" and "Commercial" types As a group exhibit fairly high load factor Provide thousands of Idaho jobs; huge impact on economy 64 Annualized Large Volume Therm Sales 400 350 300 E 2 50 t 0 200 0 C 0_ 150 100 50 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 64 65 Intermountain Gas Company - Annual Therm Sales 800 100% 700 90% N 80% 600 aV 70% H 500 60% O 400 50% Ln 0 300 40% 200 30% 20% 100 10% 0 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Total Company Large Volume —LV % of Total 65 66 REQUIREMENTS OF A LARGEVOLUME CUSTOMER Minimum 200,000 Therms per contract-year requirement Must elect I of 3 tariffs: LV- I bundled sales T 3 interruptible transportation or T 4 firm transportation Minimum one-year contract; the contract sets the term and Maximum Daily Firm Quantity (MDFQ) for firm peak day use Contracts are site specific; can combine meters on contiguous property 67 CLASSIFICATION OF CURRENT 152 LV CUSTOMERS Percent of Total By Rate Class: # of % of Therms ❖ LV I Sales — 37 24% 4% ❖T3 Interruptible Transport — 9 6% 9% ❖T 4 Firm Transport — 106 70% 87% ❖Total — 152 100% 100% 68 SEGMENTATION OF 152 LARGEVOLUME CUSTOMERS ■ By Market "Segment" # % Therms% ❖ Potato Processors — 18 12% 28% ❖ Other Food Processors — 17 1 1 % 32% ❖ Meat & Dairy — 24 16% 14% ❖ Ag & Feed — 8 5% 1 ❖ Chemical/Fertilizer — 3 2% 8% ❖ Manufacturing — 33 22% 6% ❖ Institutional — 33 22% 6% ❖ Other — 16 1 1 % 5% 68 ❖ Total — 152 100% 100% 69 LOCATION OF 152 LARGEVOLUME • ByAO1: # % Therms% I FL — 27 18% 17% SVL — 4 3% 1 % Central Ada — 2 1 % I State Street — 4 3% 1 Canyon County — 20 13% 15% ❖All Other — 95 62% 65% ❖Total — 152 100% 100% 70 OVERVIEW OF FORECAST • Most not as weather sensitive as the Core Market Small population (not as many customers) Not as homogenous as Core (size, weather sensitivity) Don't use statistics/regression techniques Use an "adjusted" historical usage approach Forecast both Therm use and CD (MDFQ/MDQ) 71 APPLICATION OF FORECAST TECHNIQUE Adjusted historical data with customer information and other data (e.g. EDO's) to develop three forecasts Base Case High Growth Low Growth Assumed growth by specific customers Used recent trends to validate results 72 SCENARIOBASE CASE ASSUMPTIONS Starts with historical actuals Adjust for customer information and trends Natural gas prices competitive with other energy sources Economy dealing with inflation and supply chain issues Includes 5 new customers Mix of segments; AI I T 4. 3 are "All Other" and 2 are in Canyon. Compounded annual growth rate of 1 .9% 73 IRP Large Volume Base Case Forecast by Segment (Therms) 120,000 100,000 E 80,000 a� o 60,000 - _N 0 40,000 20,000 — 0 I Potato Other Food Dairy and Ag Chem/Fertlzr Manufact Institutional Other ■ 2025 ■ 2026 Li 2027 2028 ■ 2029 ■ 2030 73 74 GROWTHHIGH • ASSUMPTIONS Starts with Base Case Forecast Natural gas prices remain comparatively low Economy comes out of the inflation with continued growth Assumes 10 new customers totaling 7.2 million Therms by 2030 Additions mostly T 4 (9); 3 Meat & Dairy and 7 various segments; most growth in All Other Compounded annual growth rate of 2.2% 75 IRP Large Volume High Growth Forecast by Segment (Therms) 120,000 100,000 E 80,000 L Q� 60,000 O O o 40,000 — 20,000 loll 0 Potato Other Food Dairy and Ag Chem/Fertlzr Manufact Institutional Other 0 2025 ■ 2026 0 2027 2028 ■ 2029 0 2030 75 76 LOW GROWTH SCENARIO ASSUMPTIONS Starts with Base Case Forecast Assume gas prices are less competitive Economy slows; recession or inflation causes slowing in growth Removed any customer having difficulty staying above the 200,OOOTherm annual minimum Two new T-4 customers; I in Canyon, & I in the "Other," segment Compounded annual growth rate of 1 . 1 IRP Large Volume Low Growth Forecast by Segment (Therms) 120,000 100,000 E 80,000 L 0 60,000 - _N O 0 40,000 - 20,000 - 0 Potato Other Food Dairy and Ag Chem/Fertlzr Manufact Institutional Other ■ 2025 ■ 2026 012027 2028 ■ 2029 ■ 2030 77 78 IRP Large Volume Annual Therms 450,000 400,000 350,000 E 300,000 v t 0 250,000 o 200,000 0 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 ■ Base Case ■High Growth ■Low Growth 78 79 IRP Total Large Volume Annual Therms 500,000 450,000 400,000 350,000 v 300,000 250,000 0 0 0 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 -Base Case -High Growth -Low Growth 79 80 OPTIMIZATION MODELING - MDFQVSTHERM FORECAST d Use MDFQ not therm forecast in optimization model Contract includes Maximum Daily Firm Quantity (MDFQ) Intermountain provides MDFQ 365 day/year; gas supply MDFQ trends therm projections Only firm customers in design peak; no interruptible Includes new customer additions Compounded annual growth rate of 1 .5% 81 Base Case MDFQ by Segment 600,000 500,000 400,000 — IA — s H 200,000 - 100,000 — — - d` c�\ca Sao et` �o Cr 0 2025 0 2026 ■ 2027 2028 0 2029 0 2030 81 82 QUESTIONS ? LOAD DEMAND CURVES Incorporates several inputs Res & Com Customer Forecast, Normal and Design Weather, Use Per Customer, Demand Side Management, and Large Volume Forecast. LDC = (Customer Forecast * HDD * User Per Customer) — DSM + LV Forecast Load Demand Curve Utilization Identifies potential upstream pipeline and distribution system constraints Resource Optimization Storage Management Remedies for any constraints will be identified later Note: Load Demand Curves for upstream pipeline modeling will differ from distribution system modeling 84 Total Company 6,000.000 5.500,000 5.0 00.000 4,500,000 4.000,000 3.500.000 3.000.000 2.500.000 2.0 00.000 1,500,000 1,000.000 500.000 O`1O O�y O`1b p`1y O`1O O�6 Oo OHO O�6 O`1O O`1O O`A A O�� O`1� p`1A O�0 O�0 O�0 OHO p`10 O`ti0 O� OHO OHO O� O`19 O`1O O� OHO O� OHO 1\L 1\L \1\ry \1�ry ti�L y1 1\L 41\ry 41\� \1�ry 1�ry 1\L \ti�L \1\ry 1\L \�L \1\ry \ti�L 1�ry 1\L \1\� \�L ti�L 1\L \1\� \1�� 1\L 84 85 AREAS OF INTEREST ■ Idaho Falls Lateral ■ Sun Valley Lateral ■ Canyon County Lateral ■ North of State Street Lateral ■ Central Ada County 85 86 Idaho Falls Lateral 1.000,000 950.000 900.000 850,000 800.000 750,000 700.000 650,000 v 600.000 550.000 500,000 450.000 400.000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 O1� Otiy Otis oL(0 otiSO oLco oL`O obro co oy4b otirb oLA OVA OtiA OtiA otiA otiA 0l0 Oti0 OL0 Oti0 oy0 O�0 O�' ob°j O� oL°' oti0� oy°' O� O� O� O� ��ti ���ry �ti�ti ��� ��� ���ry ti�ti N 1�ti ti�ry ��ti \ti�ti 0�N�ti 0ti 0 ,,o .,� � a �d 0", .,o ti� � e� 0 86 87 Sun Valley Lateral 250,000 225.000 200,000 175,000 150,000 E d 125,000 100.000 75,000 50.000 25,000 r�tiory`O'tioti�tiory`O'o t� 0\ tio� ti� o� ca 87 88 Canyon County Lateral 1.200.000 1,150,000 1,100,000 1,050.000 1,000.000 950.000 900,000 850,000 800.000 750,000 v � 700,000 650,000 600,000 550.000 500.000 450.000 400,000 350.000 300,000 250,000 oti�' oti�' oti�' oti�' oti�' oti6 oti° oti6 oti�O oti° oti° 0A otiA otiA 0A otiA otiA 0�lb oti0 oti0 11b oti0 oti° off'' o off' oti° oti° oti° o� ��ti ��T \ti�T \��T 41 ati �ti I\T \4T \ITT ,�T 41ti \1�T 41 \-I�ti \gyp pc '15ti�ti ��ti ��ti \��ti \�\T �\'P ti�ti `1�ti ��' 1�' \��ti 1�T ti\ti \�\ti \N\T ti\T 88 89 North of State Street Lateral 875.000 825.000 775.000 725.000 675,000 625,000 575,000 525,000 E 475,000 d L 425,000 375,000 325.000 275,000 225,000 175,000 125,000 75,000 25.000 ti\ryp�y \vpryy \ryp�y t1 90 Central Ada County 875,000 825.000 775,000 725,000 675.000 625.000 575,000 525,000 E 475.000 d 425,000 375,000 325.000 275,000 225.000 175,000 125,000 75,000 25,000 oP' oti�' oti�' oti�' oti�' oti�O oti�O oti�O oti�O oti�O off° oti� otiA oti� otiA oti� oti� oryO otiO otiO otiO otiO otio off' off' off' off' oryo otio 05° 050 050 050 D�~\T 4�1\ry 0�4T O�41 �41 i)4 b�4T ro��\T 0�~\� O�~\ry �ti\� 1�1\� D�1\ry b�1\� O�~\T O�~\T �1\T t)1\T D�1\T �~\T O�4v 0�1\T �1\ry t)1\� b�~\� �1\� O�~\ry O�~\ry ��� l�~\� b�~\� O`~\~ 0��v '4 ti ti ti ti ti ti 1 'ti 'ti 90 91 QUESTIONS ? ADDITIONAL MEETINGS Wednesday,August 13, 2025 via Wednesday, September 17, 2025 via Microsoft Teams Microsoft Teams Usage Per Customer Potential Capacity Enhancements Energy Efficiency Resource Optimization Supply Side Resources Planning Results Distribution System Modeling 93 FEEDBACK SUBMISSIONS RP.Comments@intgas.com Please provide comments and feedback within 10 days 94 IGRAC #1 INTERMOUNTAINO GAS COMPANY A Subsidiary of MDU Resources Group,Inc. RESOURCEINTEGRATED INTERMOUNTAIN •URCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE Date &time: 7/9/2025, 9:00 AM to 11:00 PM MT Location: Microsoft Teams Meeting Presenters: Brian Robertson, Ryan Denton, Jon Whiting In attendance: Adam Bohrer, Bailey Steeves, Brian Robertson, Bruce Folsom, Chris Robbins, Darcy Neigum, Eric Wood, Jason Talford, Jon Whiting, Kathleen Campbell, Kristen Nieskens, Mark Sellers-Vaughn, Nicole Gyllenskog, Rebecca Wildman, Ryan Denton, Sean Keithly, Seungjae Lee, Teresa McKnight, Vicki Stephens, Zachary Sowards Introduction Brian Robertson, Supervisor of Resource Planning, opened the meeting by welcoming and thanking stakeholders for participating in Intermountain's IRP Process. Brian then proceeded with introductions, the agenda, a safety moment, and a reminder of the stakeholder engagement goals. Presentation #1 —2023 IRP Acknowledgement and IRP Recommendations (Brian Robertson) • Recommendations o Company work with Staff to implement IRP reporting that includes system enhancement information o File that information within six months of a Commission order o Establish the practice of authorizing the Company's DSM avoided costs as part of IRP filings and authorize the DSM avoided costs associated with this filing Comment: Jason Talford noted, for the third recommendation bullet point, that the Commissions findings in the order didn't direct for that to happen. Presentation #2—System Overview(Brian Robertson) • Large Volume 47% Residential 34% Commercial 17% • Areas of Interest o Canyon County o Central Ada County Lateral o North of State Street Lateral o Sun Valley Lateral o Idaho Falls Lateral Page 1 of 2 95 o All Other Customers Presentation #3— Economic Forecast (Ryan Denton) • Stated the Company is utilizing Woods& Poole data for economic forecasts • April 2020 saw a 10.3% decline due to pandemic • Idaho's population increased 2.37% Year-over-year from 2021 to 2023 • Nonfarm employment is slowing down after an abnormally fast post-pandemic growing period • Overall, Idaho is showing a lot of population and employment growth strength Presentation #4— Residential & Commercial Growth (Ryan Denton) • Forecast inputs o Woods and Poole population and employment o Historical customer count o Intermountain performs Base, Low, and High forecasts • ARIMA model with Fourier term Question: "Why is household and employment used as explanatory variables over population and income?" Answer: "Household and employment are direct impacts to residential and commercial customer counts, respectively. Population and Income are more of an indirect impact. For example, population could increase, however, if the number of people per household is also increasing, we may not see a similar rate of increase in customer counts."— Ryan Denton and Brian Robertson Presentation #5— Heating Degree Days & Design Weather(Brian Robertson) • Heating Degree Day based off 65 degrees • 30-day rolling average of daily mean temperatures • Design Degree Days model coldest temperature from Design Peak Day • Peak Day modeled to occur Jan 15 Presentation#6— Large Volume Customer Forecast (Jon Whiting) • 152 large volume customers make up 49% of sales • Minimum of 200,000 therms per contract year to be LVC • Start with historic trends and add customer trends • Forecasts broken out by classifications, segmentations, and location • Intermountain performs Base, Low, and High forecasts Presentation#7— Load Demand Curves (Ryan Denton) • Load Demand Curve = (Customer Forecast* HDD *Use Per Customer)—DSM + LV Forecast • Preliminary Load Demand Curves for Total System and AOIs were provided The Meeting was Adjourned—IGRAC #2 will be held on August 13, 2025 @ 9 AM MT Page 2 of 2 96 I 41FERIvAlClLj 4mrAl GAS COMPANY A Subsidiary of MDU Resources Group, Inc. INTEGRATED RESOU RCE PL AN AUGUST 13, 2025 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS RESOURCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE (IGRAC) • m I ■ Introductions ■ Feedback Process ■ Agenda FEEDBACK MISSIONS ■ RP.Comments@intgas.com Please provide comments and feedback within 10 days IRPWebpage: https://www.intgas.com/rates- services/rates-tariffs/integrated-resource-plan/ 3 99 1 . 1 Welcome & Introductions — Brian Robertson (Manager, Supply Resource Planning) Safety Moment — Brian Robertson (Manager, Supply Resource Planning) Distribution System Modeling — Kathleen Campbell, Zachary Sowards (Senior Engineer) Avoided Cost Methodology — Zachary Harris (Mgr Regulatory Affairs II) Energy Efficiency — Kathy Wold (Manager, Energy Efficiency) jiciency) Supply Resources and Transportation & Storage Resources — Eric Wood (Manager, Gas Sup ply) Questions/Discussion 4 100 SAFETY MOMENT Places prone to sunburn PROTECTION FROM THE SUN & HEAT po Strongly burns Medium burns Sligntly burns • Wear a Hat and Sunglasses— Besides skin damage the sun can damage your eyes; wear sunglasses with Z00% UV protection. ---- Some people think • Water— Drinking water keeps your about sun protection body hydrated in warm weather. only when they spend a day at the lake, beach, • Sunscreen — Use sunscreen with SPF or pool. Remember, 15 or higher. The higher the SPF, the sun exposure adds up better protection. Put it on every inch day after day and every of exposed skins. time you are in the sun. / • Time of Day—The UV rays of the sun are strongest between loam and 4pm.Try to limit sun exposure during this time of day; even on cloudy and cooler days. • Shade—The simplest and an effective 5 ' 1 ' means of staying out of the sun is 101 seeking shadows or shade. Demand Supply & Delivery Resources Economic Overview Transportation Capacity & Storage . Distribution System Residential & Commercial LINatural Overview Customer Growth Gas Supplies Non-Traditional Design Residential & Resources Weather Energy Efficiency: Commercial Usage Per Customer --------------------=--- Residential & Commercial Industrial Demand Demand Supply & Deliverability Load Demand Curves Optimization Modeling System Enhancements 6 Demand 102 AREAS OF INTEREST (AOI) NATURAL GAS SYSTEM J INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY r CANADIAN GAS ■ Distribution System Segments: WASH. MONTANA ■ Canyon County WEISER OREGON AREA- WYOMING OF MAP PAYETTE TVIONY ■ Central Ada County Lateral NEW PLYMOUT CALIF. NEVADA UTAH PARKER ANITY FRURLAND COLORADO -EMME \ U S GAS •SUGA CITY "North " P%RM STAR PG 1 O SAN UAN BASIN -SA7TREXBLIT GLNG ■ North of State Street Lateral MIDDLETON �Q�P MENAN0 WI R ARDEN CITY UN VALLEY IEWISVILLE RIGBY GREENLW,, �, • BOISE r I��QP K CHUM/ELKHORN UCO`N ■ Sun Valley Lateral 1P�°�P� U 1 • ILEY IUAHO FALLS IONv AMMON '9iF T ELLEYUE SHELLEY �,O��OP QP� FIRT BASALT ■ Idaho Falls Lateral MT.HOME CANYONy�a�yF� M FORT BLACKFOOT OR ,y O GOODIN ABERDEEN• HUBS y4�f� ■ All Other Customers wENDEL: S SHONE AMER/CgNFACL • PON O LLO�O, P S %P BRUNEAU• t�O�QSF,�pJGQPJ~JyOPq S • •SODA SPRINGS INGIS • McCAMMON LEGEND BURL FILER BURLEY OEClO ARIMO• GRACE GEORGETOWN WILLIAMS PIPELINE MALTA I INTERMOUNTAIN GAS CO.SERVICE LATERALS MONTPELIER • TOWNS SERVED BY INTERMOUNTAIN GAS CO. O INTERMOUNTAIN GAS CO.OFFICES 7 Scale:251WLE5 I I 103 DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM PLANNING KA A 0BELL, PE - SENIOR ENGINEER ZACHARY SOWARDS - SENIOR ENGINEER I DAH O 104 AUGUST 13TH, 2025 SYSTEM DYNAMICS: Piping: Diameter — '/2" to 16" Material — Polyethylene and Steel Operating Pressure — 60 psi to 850 psi Idaho — approx. 7,471 miles of distribution & 284 miles of transmission 9 105 SYSTEM DYNAMIC'S CONT Facilities: Regulator stations — Over 600 Other equipment such as LNG, gas quality, odorizer and compressors 10 106 SYSTEM DESIGN SYNERGI GAS MODELING To evaluate our systems for growth and potential future deficits we use our gas modeling software, Synergi Gas Distributed and supported by DNV Models incorporates: Total customer loads Existing pipe and system configurations Hydraulic modeling software that allows us to predict flows and pressures on our system based on gas demands predicted during a peak weather event. Models are updated every three years and maintained between rebuilds 12 108 SYNERGI MODEL D EXAMPLE + . ® =:��• _.� � � � \ - � 13 MODEL BUILDING PROCESS F Synergi models are completely rebuilt every three years and maintained/updated between rebuilds When models are rebuilt We export current GIS data to build spatial model We export 5 years of CC&B billing data to CMM to create an updated demands file We validation and calibrate each district model to a recent low-pressure event using existing data (ERXs/pressure charts/SCADA/metertek/LV usage) We create a design day model based on the updated heating degree day determined by gas supply (determined by trending historical weather events) IGC models were rebuilt in early of 2025 14 110 DATA 1 1 GATHERING CC&B (Customer Billing Data) PROD ote„ Cue . . 1. ,1 :?0 1-2013 P , 55,902.05 AA, Meru 06.2014 s788 K 12.20.2013 ay Seq o I S-5.02.OS S-5,902.05 $0.00 12N2011 $5902.05 $5 9.3205 $5,902.05 .y Seqrnt 5-s,,17 SD S3.171.S6 to 11-05-2013 Be segnwt $5,1L56 Ss,171.506 Bi)Nd I eredconsumPnoe01 _ i li1 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 :014 2014 VIA 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 V:l '01) 2011 2013 :01I Mil 2013 201) 713 2012 2012 11C) 1.1 1101 0605 0741 06.I 0sos owl olas ...Or.. ua It. 1oa1 Ow) 0605 o1Gl 060) ou1 Owl 03-05oi.1 12-0) lics Timoline Me corcecc Novefte, - 2014 - J+�+►�► )FeM34 AMM14 S-- OdM14 M1 nw=4 DM2M JMS feiM1S MerM16 re Met Reeds(01 I wk(11) ® GEI ® ■ ■ ■ 1 F,<)d Act, ,<s(0) Casey(0) 15 ))) ► Done 111 ✓Trusted sites(Protected Mode:Off y !100% DATA 1 1 GATHERING ■ SCADA Data t GPNG _,� QIGC Boise Usage . NOTE:The information on this website is for informational purposes only.It is not real-time data and is NOT to be used for ■ Real time and historical Idaho Falls operational purposes. Nampa flow characteristics at > Pocatello Data View Mode Time Period Twin Falls ® 10=111 specific locations in the 4 CNGC Cur day Cur day Prev day Prey day +MDU Monitored Area mcf/d Dth/d mcf Dth mclF Dth system ALSCO LV Run1 0.0 0.0 37.0 40.2 25.6 27.8 BandDFoods LV Run1 101.7 110.6 34.4 37.4 23.5 25.5 BoiseStateBoiler LV Run1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 BoiseStateEng LV Run1 0.0 0.0 3A 3.7 8.8 9.6 BoiseStateUniv LV Total 0.0 0.0 No data No data 8.8 9.6 CentralPaving LV Run1 0.0 0.0 139.0 151.1 3.0 3.3 CSBeefPackers LV Run1 1452.9 1579.5 490.0 532.7 285.0 309.8 DarigoldBoise LV Run1 30.5 33.2 10.4 11.3 29.6 32.2 Darling LV Run1 258.3 280.7 87.1 94.7 10.7 11.6 16 DoubleJMilling LV Runt! 0.0 0.0 129.0 140.2 309.0 335.8 112 DATA 1 1 GATHERING ■ Peak Heating Degree Day (HDD) modeled by IGC based on historical weather data Town HDD Avg Daily Temperature (OF) Peak HDD = 65 —Average Daily Temp Boise 75 -10 NATURAL GAS SYSTEM INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Nampa 68 -3 CANADIAN GAS WASH. IIONTAl111 Pocatello 82 -17 WEISER OREGON WYOMG OF N MAP TE PAYET KER ANTNONY FRURLAND NEW PLYMOUT 3 CALIF- NEVAOA AN � El rt(iADQ SUGAR Ix�V I.I.S. R%BURGIdaho Falls $$ —23 PAR O STAR SA1 UAx eSx MIODL MENAN WI ARDEN CITY UN VALLEY EWISVILLE RIGBY G EN BOISE ,y K CNUM/ELNNORN UCON IONA Twin Falls 77 —12 T UN I • ELLEVUE BN LEY µEL E, • MIN q� 1 ✓✓✓ F P L RRT BASALT � /7�� M.HOME PPZVP MFFORT IN D BLACKFOOT ,{y Ketchum 82 —17 O� GOOgN ME ABERDEEN HmU BEI WENDEL. Q `+ JkER/C1Nf III PO BOLL, CONDA BRUNEAU P P J"'vV P J S • S,L1V•fP JPgP Qq •SODA SPRINGS MDCAMMON �CLD AIRING.LEGEND BUNL FILER• URLEY O CE GEORGETOWN MALTA MERMOUMAIN WS CO.SERVICE LATERALS MONTPELIER • 11WNS111EDBYERERMOUNTAINOAEC1. INTERMOUNTAANDASCO.OFRCES E..x n N11— 17 113 CUSTOMER MANAGEMENT 1 MODULE (CMM) Customer Management Madulefor SynerGEE Gas,CMM%tOD File Etlh — Assignment Load Analysis Tools Help O-®cmm2adm Name Base Col.... Hed Col.... Cool Col.... Description �`®-DemaM Gra.ps ®Commmcial Meter 3 4 .-®Mder Codes ®Indurtrial 5 6 .® Rou[a ®IMerrvptible 7 6 ®M.dda ®L.rgi-.me 9 10 Brings CC&B customer ®Rat.CoJ. ®st—Codes ®Omer 15 16 -®Usage Read Codes ®Residential 1 2 - _--®Normal Read _ ®special 13 12 data into Synergi as ---®UNKNOWN = ®Sr mlodMi...11 12 p-®Weather Effector Types 3® C G-ones demands file '.--®CNG-ARUNGTON WA Attubde' C.mh- %I..a: t..® NBAKFROR Potld Code Isequd to 99M6 CNG-BFLtBJGHAM WA ®CNG-BREMERTON WA Seleclon Gileiu --a CNG-BURUNGTON MOUNT VERNON W POSTALMDE='99336' :--®CNG-HEM S0N OR -:--®CNG-HOQUTAM WA -:--®CNG-KELSO LONGWEW WA - -®CNG-MOSESIAKEWA ANO OR OO 0 FN®CNG Demand file applies - -ONTARIO OR ®CNG-RASCO WA Rawls(998I: ®CNG-RFND'ETON OR S.—Id ml a AcmuM N..b B.. Heal W."Z" FeHc'. load spatially in t h e a 1873610151 MD45M 0568 0.109 CNG PASCO WA 0 9-0 Chat P.I.s Chad Dde 772g593R9 P105912 0.233 0.106 CNG PA9C0 WA Piolie.. CAM Load Forecast 1917g17277 P2211 St1 0000 O.L97 CNG�PASCO WA -�C.tl.me MeterH N.ry 86N 5Fa2 GV877 0.232 1.116 CNG FWi. A Edil.. - Effectors by T'me 5713268823 GL6MI 0.." 0.106 CNG PASCO WA model. Reps m 98695g885 GL6701 0000 0111 CNG PASCO WA --.a S—Out vx CMM L.ad 6506B13E65 P221162 IA21 O.T99 CNG PASCO WA D IN fFWqMWA M.bredi re—t ov<laneas Albb- V.. Access Numbe UptlaM [ Selected iazultc mly CGS Hep 18 114 ■ CALIBRATEDVS PEAK 1 DEGREE R DAY LOAD VS TEMPERATURE PEAK DD I 0.9 de y = 0.0152x + 0. 1118 0.8 CALItSKATtu DD �I �I _ 0.7 ♦♦ ♦ HEAT BASE LL 0.6 U ♦♦ 0.5 ♦ • 4o DD = 0.72 MCFH 0.4 0.3 58 DD = 0.99 MCFH 0.2 0.1 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 DEGREE DAY 19 115 IDENTIFICATION OF SYSTEM DEFICITS/CONSTRAINTS SYNERGI MODELING CAPABILITIES: Review Large Volume Customer requests Model RNG Supports design/sizing of pipe and pipeline components (regulator stations, compressors) Future planning Model IRP predicted growth Identify deficiencies Determine system reliability Optimize distribution enhancement options Cold Weather Action Plans and Modeling Curtailments/Interruptible Customers 21 117 WHAT 1 CAPACITY DEFICIT? A deficit is defined as a critical system that is at or limiting capacity. Critical system examples include: Pipeline bottlenecks Minimum inlet pressure to a regulator station or HP system Minimum inlet pressure to compressor (suction) Component limiting capacity zz 118 i DISTRIBUTION MEET IRP GROWTH PREDICTIONS As part of the IRP process, we complete a comprehensive review of all of our distribution system models every two years to ensure that we can maintain reliable service to our customers during peak low temperature events. With our capital budget cycle, we also complete system reviews on an annual basis. If a deficit is predicted the system is evaluated and a reinforcement/enhancement is proposed and selected based on alternative analysis considerations and placed into the capital budget based on timing needs of the predicted deficit. 23 119 DISTRIBUTION ENHANCEMENT/ REINFORCEMENT OPTIONS TO ADDRESS DEFICITS ENHANCEMENT OPTIONS Pipeline: Replacements Reinforcements Loops & Back feeds Pressure Increases Uprates Facility Upgrades Additional Regulator Stations feeding the distribution system New Strategically placed Gate Stations Compressor Stations 25 121 DISTRIBUTION ENHANCEMENT EXAMPLE Facilities Color By Theoretical low- - Pressure (Primary Only) (psig) 4 ■ Not Applicable (7) pressure scenario ■ < 10.00 (301) ❑ 10.00 - 15.00 (518) ■ 15.00 - 25.00 (548) --� ■ 25.00 - 40.00 (627) x ■ 40.00 - 60.00 (67) ■ > 60.00 (16) 26 DISTRIBUTION ENHANCEMENT OPTIONS Facilities Color By Pressure(Primary Only)(psig) Low pressure scenario Not Applicable(7) 4 C 10.00 (301) ❑ 10.00- 15.00 (518) ❑ 15.00-25.00 (548) 25.00-40.00 (627) T - r 40.00-60.00 (67) >60.00 (16) Compressor station infeasible Other Solutions? r CASCADE NATURAL GAS 27 R, C O R P O R A T 1 O N A Subsidiary efMUUReeuroes Group,/M In the Community to Serve® DISTRIBUTION ENHANCEMENT OPTIONS % Reinforcement option # I .11 A,8uN5TC-N WA SW* WA-SION6jW 64 -!4 NO 17Z 28 124 fl• DISTRIBUTION ENHANCEMENT OPTIONS Facilities Color By Reinforcement option #2 Pressure(Primary Only)(psig) Not Applicable(8) < 10.00 (0) ❑ 10.00- 15.00 (780) 15.00-25.00 (367) * 25.00-40.00 (844) • 40.00-60.00 (71) >60.00 (16) AL 29 ENHANCEMENTS CONSIDERATIONS ■ Scope ■ Cost ■ Capacity Increase ■ Timing ■ System Benefits ■ Alternative Analysis ■ Feasibility 30 126 ENHANCEMENT REVIEWAND SELECTION PROCESS TO CAPITAL BUDGET ENHANCEMENT SELECTION GUIDELINES: Shortest segment of pipe that addresses deficiency Segment of pipe with the most favorable construction conditions Segment of pipe that minimizes environmental concerns and impacts to the community Segment of pipe that provides opportunity to add additional customers Total construction cost including restoration 32 128 ENHANCEMENT SELECTION PROCESS: District Info: Design Day IRP Growth Data -City Developments Models -New Housing Plats Info & Data System Limitation Computer Model Pressure Concerns BENEFIT FEASABILITY ID Potential Projects and Enhancement Types (Individually) `°" Project & Schedules I > Rank Projects Based O FEASABILfTY n Priority co 33 Schedule Into Budget 129 ITERATIVE PROCESS OF IRP 20251RP 2027 2028 2029 2030 20271RP 2028 2029 2030 2032 2029 IRP 2030 2032 2033 2034 34 130 QUESTIONS ? AVOIDED COST METHODOLOGY ZACHARY HARRIS MGR REGULATORY AFFAIRS II 132 ■ A BRIEF HISTORY INT G- 19-04, Order No. 34536 directed the Company to review its avoided cost calculations. In early 2020, Intermountain invited interested members of the Energy Efficiency Stakeholder Committee (EESC) to join an Avoided Cost Subcommittee. Met three times between February and June 2020 The Subcommittee came to an understanding on the general Avoided Cost methodology Avoided cost subcommittee met in March of 2022 Could not agree on distribution cost (still set at 0) In Order No. 35663 Commission approves the Company's proposals to streamline avoided cost updates by including them in IRP filings, discontinue their inclusion in DSM pruriency filings, and align program planning and cost-effectiveness testing with the most recent IRP and applicable avoided costs. 37 133 AVOIDED COST OVERVIEW "A Penny Saved is a Penny Earned ." The Avoided Cost is used to put a dollar value to energy savings. This allows utilities to spot opportunities where energy efficiency is more cost effective than a supply-side option. 38 134 NATURAL GAS SUPPLY CHAIN Gas Field Processing Transmission Gateway Distribution � � T v r e Oil and gas wells Gas processing Pressure """""" Gas wells to specification reduction and Coal seams Odorisation regulation ' Compression Flow metering 1990kh... Metering �0 Residential Commercial Production Transmission Distribution 0 • • � � • • Distribution Costs • Costs 39 135 • A ACNominai CC + TC + VDC ACNominal = Nominal Avoided Cost Per Therm CC = Commodity Cost TC = Transportation Cost VDC =Variable Distribution Cost 40 136 COMMODITY COST CALCULATION The price of a molecule of gas depends on the basin, the time of year, and even the day of the week. Calculation starts with internal 30-year price forecasts for three primary basins. Basins prices are weighted based on company Day Gas purchase data. Normal Heating Degree Days (HDD65) are used to shape monthly prices. 41 137 TRANSPORTATION COST CALCULATION Includes the cost of reserving additional capacity on the Northwest Pipeline. Based on costs & volumes listed in latest tariffs for RS and GS- I customers. Also contains variable costs associated with transporting gas to city gate. 42 138 DISTRIBUTION COST CALCULATION Energy efficiency can lead to delaying or even avoiding costly pipeline capacity expansions. Large expansions occur irregularly, making it difficult to quantify this type of saving. Currently, the calculation contains a placeholder value of $0.00 for this cost component. As part of this IRP Process, Intermountain will work with stakeholders to try to develop a distribution system cost. 43 139 2025 IRP UPDATES Levelized Avoided Cost by Year Discounted 2024$ Updated Basin price forecast. �Year Updated Cost Previous Cost Updated HDD Shaping to use 2024 Normal weather. 2025 $0.58 $1.05 2026 $0.67 $0.99 Added new year of Day Gas purchase data. 2027 $0.69 $0.93 2028 $0.70 $0.89 Updated transportation cost with latest PGA tariff. 2029 $0.70 $0.85 Inflation Rate updated from 3. 15% to 3.99 %. 2030 $0.69 $0.82 2031 $0.69 $0.80 2032 $0.69 $0.78 2033 $0.69 $0.77 2034 $0.69 $0.76 44 140 QUESTIONS ? KATHY WOLD MANAGER, ENERGY EFFICIENCY Energy irip- nr , - Demand Side Management (DSM) refers to resources acquired through the reduction of natural gas consumption due to increases in efficiency of energy use. 47 143 Energy INTERMOUNTAIN"'GAS COMPANY 0 Efficiency Rebate Minimum Efficiency Incentive Amount Combination Boiler for Space and Water Heat 95% AFUE $800 Furnace 95%AFUE $350 Boiler 95% AFUE $800 Storage Water Heater .68 UEF $115 Tankless Water Heater Tier 1 .91 UEF $325 Tankless Water Heater Tier II .87 UEF $300 Smart Thermostat ENERGY STAR!. Certified $100 Use the ENERGY STAR Smart Thermostat Finder. 48 www.intgas.com/saveenergy 144 Energy INTERMOUNTAIN"'GAS COMPANY 9 Efficiency WHOLE HOME TIER I - $900 WHOLE HOME TIER II - $700 • HERS rated • HERS rated • Air sealing at or below 3 ACH at SO Pa • Air sealing at or below 4 ACH at 50 Pa • Ceiling insulation at or above R-49 • Ducts and air handler located inside conditioned space or duct • Ducts and air handler located inside conditioned space or duct leakage to outside of less than 4 CFM25/100 ft2 CFA leakage to outside of less than 4 CFM25/100 ft2 CFA • Furnace efficiency at or above 95% AFUE • Furnace efficiency at or above 9711/c, AFUE 49 www.intgas.com/saveenergy 145 Energy INTERMOUNTAIN® GAS COMPANY 0 Efficiency WHOLE HOME TIER I - $900 WHOLE HOME TIER II - $700 • HERS rated • HERS rated • Air sealing at or below 3 ACH at 50 Pa • Air sealing at or below 4 ACH at 50 Pa • Ceiling insulation at or above R-49 • Ducts and air handler located inside conditioned space or duct • Ducts and air handler located inside conditioned space or duct leakage to outside of less than 4 CFM25/100 ft2 CFA leakage to outside of less than 4 CFM25/100 ft2 CFA • Furnace efficiency at or above 95", AFUE • Furnace efficiency at or above 97% AFU E NEW OPTION: Stack the savings and stack the cash in your pocket! Layer water heating and/or smart thermostat rebates on top of the Whole Home Tier I or Tier II rebate. Example 1: Example 2: Whole Home Tier 1 $900 Whole Home Tier II $700 Tier I Tankless Water Heater $325 Smart Thermostat $100 Smart Thermostat $100 Total Potential Rebate $800 50 Total Potential Rebate $1,325 146 www.intgas.com/saveenergy RI Energy INTERMOUNTAIN' Efficiency Commercial Energy Efficiency GAS COMPANY 60 HEATING INCENTIVES Eligible Appliance Efficiency Rating Rebate Condensing Unit Heater 90;:: AFUE or Greater Efficiency $1,500 Boiler Reset Control N/A $350 High-Efficiency Condensing Boiler 90%or Greater Thermal Efficiency and 2300 kBTUh $4.50/kBTUh KITCHEN EQUIPMENT INCENTIVES Eligible Appliance Efficiency Rating Rebate Fryer ENERGY STAR'5 Certified $800 Steamer ENERGY STARS Certified (2!38%cooking eff/!�2,038 BTU/hr/pan Idle Rate) $1,100 Griddle ENERGY STAR 51 Certified (>_38%cooking eff/<2,650 BTU/hr/pan Idle Rate) $200 51 147 ENERGY STAR R Commercial Food Service Product Finder WHAT IS A CONSERVATION POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT (CPA) ? Definition: A study estimating achievable energy savings through efficiency measures. Scope: Residential and Commercial Types of potential :Tech n i cal, Economic, Achievable. 148 Strategic planning and regulatory compliance. Supports Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) . Inform IGC's EE goals, portfolio planning, and budget setting, and identify new energy saving opportunities. 149 WHO CARES? Resource PlanningTeam — reduction of natural gas consumption due to increases in energy efficiency are a resource. Energy Efficiency — Conservation Potential Assessment identifies cost-effective energy saving potential 54 150 m WHO CONDUCTS THE CPA? GUIDEHOUSETEAM torsi- Jon Starr Neil Podkowsky Brian Chang Raniel Chan Professional Project Manager Measure Lead Modeling Lead Director Guidehouse Guidehouse Guidehouse Guidehouse 55 151 2025 CPA UPDATE ,a M - r AV 152 CONSERVATION POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT 2025 Guidehouse conducted comprehensive study for the 2023 IRP IGC did not have any program changes from the last study to this one Guidehouse updated model inputs for 2025 study, rather than run another full-scale study 57 153 1 1 UPDATED MODEL? Global Input forecasts (market characterization) using new data from IGC: Building Stock and Sales Retail Rates Avoided Costs Inflation Rate Discount Rate Measure Inputs (savings, costs, and lifetimes) as applicable using IGC Technical Reference Manual (TRM) Other Updates: Extended the forecast period by two years Shifted the starting year for adoption of Behavioral measures by two years, so the adoption trajectory now begins in 2025 instead of 2023. 58 154 WHATWAS UPDATED IN THE MODEL? Building Stock and Sales: Compared to the 2023 CPA, forecasted building stock is generally slightly higher for commercial and modestly lower for residential 59 155 WHATWAS UPDATED IN THE MODEL? Retail Rates: Compared to the 2023 CPA, rates are lower for 2024=2025 but higher in 2026 and beyond WHATWAS UPDATED IN THE MODEL? Avoided Costs: Compared to the 2023 CPA, avoided costs are lower in 2025 but higher in 2026 and beyond 61 157 WHATWAS UPDATED IN THE MODEL? Inflation Rate: Now 3 .99%, previously 3 . 15% Discount Rate: Now 2.68%, previously 3 .5 1 % 62 WHATWAS UPDATED IN THE MODEL? Updated Measure Inputs (savings, costs, and lifetimes) as applicable using IGC TRM v I .O. 27 out of the 120 measures were updated. 63 159 WHATWAS UPDATED IN THE MODEL? Other Updates: Extended the forecast period by two years: it now goes out to 2046 instead of 2044. Shifted the starting year for adoption of Behavioral measures by two years: adoption trajectory now begins in 2025 instead of 2023 . 64 160 Technical Potential Total energy savings available by end- use and sector, relevant to current population forecast TYPES OF Economic Potential POTENTIAL Utility Cost Test (UCT) cost- effectiveness screen Achievable Potential EE expected to be adopted by programs 350 300TOTAL GAS ENERGY E POTENTIAL BY a, 250 ` POTENTIAL TYPE 200 (MM THERMS/YEAR) c 150 m 0 a_ U 100 c cn 50 0 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 Technical —Economic —Achievable 162 66 ACHIEVABLE POTENTIAL FOR REBATE PROGRAMS The EE savings that could be expected in response to specific levels of program incentives and assumptions about existing policies, market influences, and barriers. Estimated by: Calculating the market share, or penetration of measures based on customer awareness of the measure and customer willingness to adopt the measure Willingness is determined by comparing payback time Achievable associated with efficient measure against competing Potential measures • " " • to be Calibrating forecast using historic program data adopted • programs 67 163 350 300TOTAL GAS ENERGY a, 250 POTENTIAL BY POTENTIAL TYPE 200 (MM THERMS/YEAR) c 150 m 0 a_ U 100 c cn 50 0 2026 030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 204 2046 Technical —Economic —Achievable 164 68 Unconstrained Historical Budget:This Business as Usual (BAU)•This scenario does scenario reflects a ramp up of customer adoption • • of natural gas energy efficiency over a 10-year • • not represent an intentionally defined change to • • •. the model; it does reflect an assumption that future period from the start of the EE program (through • program budgets will be closely correlated with 2029), driven by increased IGC program activity •• IGC's historic EE program spending. without constraining program spending to historic levels. Incentive levels are consistent with Business as Usual Scenario. Medium Adoption: This scenario increases the High Incentive, High Adoption:this scenario reflects the savings possible by increasing the adoption parameters compared to the incentives from 50% of measure incremental cost unconstrained historical budget scenario and to 65% of incremental cost and further increasing increases model parameter values relating to the customer awareness and willingness to adopt customer awareness and willingness to adopt energy efficiency measures to the highest values energy efficient technologies. Incentive levels are based on Guidehouse's experience and rules of consistent with Business as Usual Scenario. thumb. 69 165 Gas Results - Residential, All Scenarios zoo ALL 180 160 SCENARIOS: a) 140 120 RESIDENTIAL c y 100 � 0 a 00 80 c N 60 40 elm 20 now 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 —Technical —Economic Business as Usual —Unconstrained Historic Budget Medium Adoption High Adoption, High Incentive 166 70 Gas Results - Commercial, All Scenarios 180 ALL 160 E 140 SCENARIOS: L 120 OMME CRCIAL � 100 Y C v 80 d 60 dw� N 20 ago � do* � ago now 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 Technical -Economic Business as Usual =Unconstrained Historic Budget Medium Adoption High Adoption, High Incentive 167 71 160 140 ACHIEVABLE POTENTIAL 120 111111000 vFOR ALL E 100 do 400 SCENAR O 80 I / �o I IS c I 0 / 0 a 60op 00 / c M / �n / 40 600 / / / 20 / I doop I 0 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 Business as Usual —Unconstrained Historic Budget Medium Adoption High Adoption, High Incentive 168 72 COMPARISON OF 2023 AND 2025 STUDYACHIEVABLE • 1 ANNUAL 1 GAS SAVINGS 2.0 a� 1.8 t 1.6 1.4 ao 1.2 V) 1.0 C7 0.8 0.6 z aJ) 0.4 z 0.2 c Q 0.0 01 O N fM 193, Ln lD I- 00 Ql O T-1 fV rn IT Ln lD 1- 00 Q1 O r1 N m RT Ln lD O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O r4 PV PV N fV fV N N N N N N N N N N N fV N N N N N N N fV fV N 73 2023 Study (Business as Usual) —4--2025 Study (Business as Usual) --6--Historic Accomplishments 169 BIG PICTURE R TAKE-AWAYS The combined effect of the global input updates was to generally increase Benefit-Cost ratios (UCT) compared to the 2023 CPA, driven primarily by higher avoided costs in later years, combined with a lower discount rate (the future is more important). 74 170 BIG PICTURE R TAKE-AWAYS For "Business as Usual" scenario, achievable potential results are overall lower than the 2023 CPA, and the difference grow over time. Incremental Achievable Potential(therms/yr) BAU (Scen 1) 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2035 2040 2023 CPA Total 1,681,489 1,609,817 1.636.834 1.639.515 1,629,649 1.569.179 1.555,721 1.658,211 1,616.968 2025 CPA Total 1.435.954 1,563.629 1.325.611 1.219.682 1,232,025 1.217.600 1.164.390 973.022 836.745 Change -15% -3% -19% -26% -24% -22% -25% -41lr 2023 CPA Residential 1,656,777 1,582,970 1.607,031 1,606,593 1,593,441 1,529.423 1,511,952 1,587,032 1,497.466 2025 CPA Residential 1,420,173 1,537,652 1.297.384 1,188,569 1,198,097 1.180.763 1,124,447 910,776 733,919 Change -14% -3% -19% -2696 -25% -23% -26% 2023 CPA Commercial 24,712 26.848 29.804 32,921 36,208 39,756 43,769 71,179 119.502 2025 CPA Commercial 15,781 25,977 28.227 31,113 33,928 36,837 39,943 62,246 102.826 Change - -3% -5% •5% •6% -lab •9% •13% -14% 75 171 The measure competition group with the highest potential by far is Residential Furnaces, which contains three measures: Furnace 95 AFUE, Furnace 97 AFUE, and Gas Heat Pump (Space Heating). ■ These together account for 1 .2 million therms of the achievable potential for year 2024 (this was 1 .4 million therms in the 2023 BIC PICTURE CPA). ■ The key change with the 2025 CPA is that savings (and costs) TAKE-AWAYS for the 95 AFUE and 97 AFUE furnaces were reduced by approximately 75% per the IGC TRM. Additionally, the Gas Heat Pump measure (which has much higher savings) is cost- effective in more cases than previously, but the increase in savings for Gas Heat Pumps is not quite enough to offset the reduction from the Furnace measures. 172 76 BIG PICTURE R TAKE-AWAYS ■ In other scenarios, for example "Unconstrained" (Scenario 2), long-term potential is higher overall versus the 2023 CPA.This is driven by an increase in Commercial sector potential, is the result of more measure instances being modeled as cost-effective. Incremental Achievable Potential(therms/yr) Unconstrained (Scen 2) 2024 2025 2026 2027 2M 2029 2030 2035 2040 2023 CPA Total 1,831.708 1,844.290 2,035,668 2.308.830 2.714.656 3,338.038 3,869.440 4,567.530 4,863,836 2025 CPA Total 1,707.709 1.895.482 1.884,112 2.205,254 2.988.603 4,582.124 5,129.087 5,507.711 5.605,450 Change -7% 3% -7% -4% 10% 37% 33% 21% 15% 2023 CPA Residential 1,770.217 1.758,697 1.896.150 2.062.150 2,255.438 2.417.756 2.647.520 3,002.944 3,054.105 2025 CPA Residential 1.632,166 1,777,571 1.681.739 1,781.715 2,022,127 2,250.872 2.370,881 2,346,401 2,193,605 Change -8% 1% -11% -14% -10% -7% -10% -22% -28% 2023 CPA Commercial 61.491 85,593 139,518 246.681 459,218 920.282 1,221.921 1,564,586 1,809,730 2025 CPA Commercial 75.543 117.911 202,373 423.539 966,475 2.331,252 2,758,206 3,161,310 3,411,945 Change 23% 38% 45% 72% 1101i 120% 162% 89% 77 173 ACHIEVABLE B 6% POTENTIAL BY 5% SECTOR AS A PERCENT OF 4% TOTAL SALES c� 3% m 2% 0) 0 1% BIG PICTURE, IT'S 0% PRETTYSTILL 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 Commercial —Residential 174 78 WHAT'S NEXT? IRP team to apply study results to resource planning. IGC has filed an update to the Residential offering, that is still an open case. Proposing changes to the Commercial Program offering. 79 175 BREAK 80 176 SUPPLY & DELIVERY RESOURCES ERIC WOOD MANAGER, GAS SUPPLY GAS SUPPLY PLANNING What's the goal? To meet the energy needs and expectations of our customers: Reliability (365 days per year) Security (delivery on the coldest day) Competitive and stable prices through a mix is fixed priced hedges Efficiently meet future growth Frequently evaluate the portfolio 82 178 NATURAL R1 GAS SUPPLIES What are Traditional Supply Resources? What are Non-Traditional Natural gas supply; the molecules or Supply Resources? "commodity" Renewable Natural Gas Interstate pipeline capacity Hydrogen Storage facility capacity Energy Efficiency 83 179 NATURAL R1 GAS SUPPLIES Where Does "Our" Gas Come From? Canadian gas supply (-V90%) British Columbia Alberta Rockies' gas supply (- 10%) Wyoming, Colorado, Utah etc. Access to supply somewhat dependent upon available transport capacity 84 180 L, o* a LowerBeaa 'I4 R,Y!r Hom River,Cordova 1 alit Laird aasms Mcntney I i Deep bash Muskwa,D er Park, DIbi Ewe and Kli1a stales ` Phospe CANADA r_ Colorado Group ` Niobrara' I Frsftmk / Heath" Bakken uuc orlon Bluff North c° ;� �' on Mowry American - Bane •• Manco to Nibraro' Margg ` USA S New ( Marcellus asI a s r.,� ,.,�,. , I I ,�-� k••n p y er,[ur Harmo lie- tuel�Mulk� 1 L ' 7J odford Chatt Mgrrtarey v a ttevtIle _ Caney nasauga Current shale plays Barnett- 0 Prospective shale plays Woodford a Basins Stacked plays Eagioroed,i —Shallowest oryouogeet La Casita� Sabtnas basin` — IntertneGa:e depth or ape -� )Rurcos basin Deepest or oldest MEXICO Eagle Ford, Mixed shale and chalk play Tily3nian ITamWcobasin •• Mixed shale and ktnesroneplay ••• Mixed shale and light dolostons- �r Piniern, sihstoie-sands*one play 85 R ;m 2w km luxpan bas n�� amaulpas U.S DEPARTMENT OF VC mi Mane ®ENERGY NATURAL GAS SUPPLIES Gas Supply Forecast - Observations Robust increase in shale gas production Mature basins (WCSB, gulf on & offshore) Today: ample supply vs demand 86 182 NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION BY PLAY 2008-2025 Monthly U.S. dry shale natural gas production by formation billion cubic feet per day 100 90 Permian 80 70 Haynesville 60 Marcellus Utica 50 Eagle Ford 40 Bakken Barnett 30 20 Mississippian 10 Woodford Rest of U.S. 0 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 Data source: U.S. Energy Information Administration. Short-Term Energy Outlook. July 2025 e1d1 Source: EIA 87 183 U.S. NATURAL GAS CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR Table 4.3 Natural Gas Consumption by Sector Billion Cubic Feet 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 — Natural Gas Consumed by the Residential Sector — Natural Gas Consumed by the Commercial Sector — Natural Gas Consumed by the Industrial Sector, Total Natural Gas Consumed by the Transportation Sector, Total — Natural Gas Consumed by the Electric Power Sector e11 Data source: U.S. Energy Information Administration 88 184 Source: EIA AEO2025 NATURAL R1 GAS SUPPLIES Gas Supply - Pricing Natural gas is a commodity and market is liquid Price follows supply and demand fundamentals Price history & forecast 89 185 ■ RECENT HISTORIC GAS PRICES Pacific Northwest Historic Index Pricing S50.0000 Winter 22/23 Pipeline Constraints/Low 545-0000 Storage $40.0000 S35.0000 530.0000 525-0000 520 0000 Enbridge Pipeline S15.0000 Rupture $10-0000 55.0000 5- op Q1 Q1 to 1, N 00 O O O O O .--� .-1 .� N N M cn M V -zr In In t0 to tD f, N 00 00 00 as Ot O O -4 N N cn to M O V to 71 rl rl 111 1l r1 r-1 r1 r-1 e-1 71 r1 -1 1r 1l 'r rl .� r-1 N N N N N N N N N N N N N CL Z Q Io Z Q In Ir p Q Io Z Q to O 2 Q Io Z Q to O SUMAS ROCKIES AEOD(USS) 90 r, 186 NATURAL R1 GAS PRICE R FORECAST Intermountain's IRP Price Forecast Intermountain's long-term planning price forecast is based on a blend of current market pricing along with long-term fundamental price forecasts. The fundamental forecasts include sources such as Wood Mackenzie, EIA, the Northwest Power and Conservation Council (NWPCC), Bentek and the Financial Forecast Center's long-term price forecasts. Used weighted prices from the sources based on historical performance, beginning in year two of the forecast. While not a guarantee of where the market will ultimately finish, Henry Hub NYMEX is 100% of the forecast for the first year as it is the most current information that provides some direction as to future market prices. Intermountain is gathering Renewable Natural Gas information and plans to model RNG as a potential resource in the upstream optimization process. 91 187 INTERMOUNTAIN'S IRP PRICE FORECAST IGC Natural Gas Price Forecast (as of 5-7-2025) $8.00 $7.00 $6.00 Preliminary Weights: $5.00 Sumas — 10% o Rockies — 10% $4.00 AECO — 80% $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 ,ate �aJ ��Q �a� �aJ �eQ �a� �a� �e� ,ate �aJ �eQ ,ate �aJ ��Q 92 Sumas Rockies AEA® Weighted INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY 2025-30 INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN INTERSTATE TRANSPORTATION AND STORAGE RESOURCES 189 INTERSTATE TRANSPORTATION AND STORAGE RESOURCES Intermountain holds firm, long-term contracts for interstate capacity on four (4) pipelines - two U.S. and two Canadian All gas directly delivered to Intermountain comes through the Williams Northwest system Firm capacity on Northwest is determined at both receipt and delivery points 94 190 INTERSTATE TRANSPORTATION AND STORAGE RESOURCES Interstate Transportation Capacity — cont. Delivery to Intermountain Service Territory Firm Capacity Held Directly by Intermountain City Gate Delivery Direct from Suppliers Capacity Segmentation Capacity Release and Mitigation for Intermountain Market forces drive new capacity projects 95 191 Western••-� l t� -'`.�i�*.,�, Canada-~' t;, w/ili/b s SedimenA NORTHWEST PIPELINE Pipelines � ` ",• Northwest Pipeline GTN, NOVAAND Other Pipelines �Calga '�# +.h. Facilities , Q Underground Gas Storage OOTHILLS an wIC.. Y�. �+ 0 Liquefied Natural Gas(LNG) � .✓ ❑ Gas Processing Plant Sumas — - Q Gas Producing Region Ssaltle �` Spokane isMansinq�onnwam®aaasa�auoaMwa.aa Date:3030+ Cwta In Arcview 32a Wenatche Moses Lake Ke log Jackson Lewiston _- Prairie Plymout II Portland .•'�',• Z %.a A Bas.m, Basii. BaIN�"o Wind 1ilv :. Basin Grants Pass,, .•. ee Opal Basin ' ivide w : t SF'•...i ;{ Basin an�.k:•Flb cl "sapin1A :r a wash { •-r• in ;�t„S LEI Uinpuiiiisiri r +•r j• ,Y.Y r: •• n nacio _ Basin 96 CAPACITY RESOURCES Northwest Daily Maximum Transportation Capacity (MMBtu) 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 Stanfield 224,565 224,565 2241565 2241565 2241565 224,565 224,565 Rockies 5%328 591328 591328 591328 591328 595328 5%328 Cityga to 1000 1000 10,000 10,000 101000 10,000 10,000 Total Capacity 2931893 293,893 293,893 2931893 2931893 2931893 293,893 Storage Withdrawals with Bundled Capacity 155,175 155,175 155,175 155,175 1551175 155,175 155,175 JP TF-2 Capacity 30,337 30,337 301337 30,337 30,337 301337 30,337 Nampa and Rexburg 35,500 35,500 351500 351500 351500 35,500 35,500 Maximum Deliverability 514,905 514,905 514,905 514,905 514,905 514,905 514,905 97 193 STORAGE RESOURCES What is storage? Natural or man-made structures where natural gas can be injected and stored for later retrieval Gas is normally injected during periods of lower demand and lower prices Gas is usually withdrawn during periods of higher demand and higher prices 98 194 STORAGE RESOURCES Why do we need storage? Demand curve is not linear ➢ Annual supply curve somewhat linear Transport capacity is very linear ➢ Not feasible to meet peak demand with only interstate capacity and must-take gas purchases alone ➢ Storage enhances winter/peak delivery capability and minimizes costs by balancing flat supply with seasonal demands 99 195 Example Load Duration Curve With Only Storage and Gas Supply 400,000 350,000 Storage W ithdrawals 300,000 Transport Capacity y Storage Injections c 250,000 m 200,000 150,000 IF 100,000 50,000 0 1 25 49 73 97 121 145 169 193 217 241 265 289 313 337 361 I00 STORAGE RESOURCES Uses "Needle" peaking Winter baseload Day-to-day load balancing Natural gas price hedge ➢ System integrity/emergency issues Types Liquefied Storage (LNG) Underground 101 197 STORAGE RESOURCES Liquefied Storage Characteristics Natural gas is liquefied @ minus 2600 F Liquid occupies 1 /600 volume of vapor Nearly pure methane, non-corrosive, non-toxic and yes, SAFE High regasification/withdrawal capability Ideal for needle peaking, system balancing and system integrity issues 102 198 STORAGE RESOURCES Liquefied Storage Characteristics Liquefaction is slow which limits ability to cycle inventory Liquefaction is energy intensive 4 high cycling and inventory cost Generally stored in above-ground tanks No methane is released into the atmosphere 103 199 PLYMOUTH LNG FACILITY �r. STORAGE RESOURCES Underground Storage Characteristics Gas is injected under pressure into developed salt domes, depleted well structures, underground aquifers or other porous geological formations Maximum daily withdrawal less than liquid storage; operating capability is dependent upon inventory level and pressure Injections comparatively faster and cycling costs are lower than liquid storage; multiple inventory cycles can enhance cost effectiveness 105 201 STORAGE RESOURCES Location & Type of Storage used by Intermountain Nampa, ID LNG — liquid (Intermountain) Plymouth,WA LNG — (Northwest Pipeline) Rexburg, ID Satellite LNG (Intermountain) Jackson Prairie - underground aquifer in western WA (Northwest Pipeline) Clay Basin - underground depleted well reservoir in NE Utah (Questar Pipeline) 106 202 STORAGE RESOURCES - LOCATIONS a..et WLjrd Gm Swam';Areas wdsl Von SPpKANE • KdoV JP SU La.,Wn Plymouth LS Rexburg ��. 7j'Z W'yOrrtlnp 1Ao�ad GMW ANN Nun i 107 203 •sKrw�crtr ---Cay Basin wee.a.r+ STORAGE RESOURCES Intermountain's 2023/24 Storage Statistics (MMBtu) Daily Withdrawal Daily Injection Seasonal % of Redelivery Facility Capacity Nov-Mar Maximum % of Peak Max Vol # of Days Capacity Nampa 600,000 1% 60,000 16% 3,500 166 None Plymouth* 1,475,135 4% 155,175 43% 12,500 213 TF-2 Jackson Prairie 1,092,099 3% 30,337 8% 30,337 36 TF-2 Clay Basin 8,413,500 20% 70,114 19% 70,114 120 TF-1 108 204 Grand Total 2$% 86% Sample LDC with Efficient Mix of All Supply Resources 450 400 Storage Not Needing 35o Interstate Citygate Delivered Transport Capacity 300 250 Storage & Winter Gas Needinq Interstate 200 o Year round Gas 150 m � 100 50 0 1 15 29 43 57 71 85 99 113 127 141 155 169 183 197 211 225 239 253 267 281 295 309 323 337 351 365 Days 109 205 QUESTIONS ? FEEDBACK MISSIONS ■ RP.Comments@intgas.com Please provide comments and feedback within 10 days 207 THIRD MEETING September 17, 2025, 9:00 a.m. - Noon Potential Capacity Enhancements Resource Optimization Planning Results Remaining IRP Process 112 208 IGRAC #2 INTERMOUNTAIN"" GAS COMPANY A Subsidiary of MDU Resources Group,Inc. RESOURCEINTEGRATED INTERMOUNTAINAUGUST 13.2025 .URCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE Date &time: 8/13/2025, 9:00 AM to 11:00 PM MT Location: Microsoft Teams Meeting Presenters: Kathleen Campbell, Kathy Wold, Brian Robertson, Eric Wood In attendance: Bailey Steeves, Brian Robertson, Chris Robbins, Eric Wood, Jason Talford, Jenny DeBoer, Kathleen Campbell, Kathy Wold, Mark Sellers-Vaughn, Matthew Hunter, Michael Parvinen, Rebecca Wildman, Ryan Denton, Seungjae Lee, Vicki Stephens, Zachary Harris, Zachary Sowards Introduction Brian Robertson, Manager of Supply Resource Planning, opened the meeting by welcoming and thanking stakeholders for participating in Intermountain's IRP Process. Brian then proceeded with introductions, the agenda, a safety moment, and a reminder of the stakeholder engagement goals. Presentation #1 — Distribution System Modeling (Kathleen Campbell) • System Dynamics of Piping and Facilities • Synergi Gas is the model Intermountain uses to evaluate predicted flows and pressures during peak weather events • Discussed the process of building out the models o Rebuilt every 3 years, most recently in early 2025 • Customer Management Module (CMM) uses Customer Care & Billing and weather data to build regression models. • Kathleen then covered the capabilities of the Synergi model once the models are built out o Review large volume customer requests, future planning based on IRP growth, and determining system reliability to name a few • Described enhancement options o Pipeline, facility upgrades, additional regulator station, new citygate station, additional compressor stations • Discussed enhancement considerations and selection guide Presentation#2—Avoided Cost Methodology (Brian Robertson) • Brian gave a brief update to the history of the avoided cost model Page 1 of 2 209 • Explained that the avoided cost is the cost to serve a dth of gas, which will be evaluated to determine if there is an energy efficiency program that could replace that dth of gas at a lower cost. • Provided the formula and explained the inputs to the cost o Commodity Cost, Transportation Cost o Distribution Costs, although $0 for now Presentation #3— Energy Efficiency (Kathy Wold) • Kathy provided insights to current rebates and incentives • Explained what the Conservation Potential Assessment and its importance • Discussed the updates to the conservation potential and changes from the 2023 IRP o Main updates included building stock and sales, retail rates, avoided cost, inflation rate, and discount rate Question: "What is the reason for the decline in the discount rate?" Answer: Brian stated that"Intermountain will have to get back to you on this."After further digging, the reason is that the discount rate is impacted by the change in the inflation rate. There was dialogue between the CPA and how Energy Efficiency is modeled in the IRP. Ultimately, Intermountain would require investing time to incorporate some modeling that's never been done, so implementing it into this IRP may be difficult. IGC has reached out to Staff to discuss this further. • Kathy discussed technical, economic, and achievable potential • Intermountain has four scenarios, the base business as usual, unconstrained historical budget, medium adoption, and high incentive, high adoption. Kathy provided the projections for each scenario. • Finally, Kathy provided the big picture take-aways from all the updates for the 2025 IRP Presentation #4—Supply Resources and Transportation &Storage Resources (Eric Wood) • Eric provided a background of gas supplies around North America • Discussed historical pricing, what can impact those prices, and provided a price forecast for the IRP • Eric then shared the Company's current transportation and storage resources to serve customers Question: "Has the pipeline ever run out of gas?" Answer: "Not over a large area but in certain instances, some small areas of pipe can be constrained for different reasons."— Eric Wood The Meeting was Adjourned— IGRAC#3 will be held on September 17, 2025 @ 9 AM MT Page 2 of 2 210 ltlmrER AI:DLI 0 4T) liq GAS COMPANY A Subsidiary of MDU Resources Group, Inc. INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN 211 SEPTEMBER 17, 2025 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS RESOURCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE (IGRAC) • m I ■ Introductions ■ Feedback Process ■ Agenda FEEDBACK MISSIONS ■ ■ IRP.Comments@intgas.com ■ Please provide comments and feedback within 10 days 213 1 . 1 Welcome & Introductions — Brian Robertson (Manager, Supply Resource Planning) Safety Moment — Brian Robertson (Manager, Supply Resource Planning) Load Demand Curves — Ryan Denton (Resource Planning Economist) Potential Capacity Enhancements — Kathleen Campbell (Senior Engineer) Resource Optimization — Brian Robertson (Manager, Supply Resource Planning) Questions/Discussion 214 Demand Supply & Delivery Resources Economic Overview Transportation Capacity & Storage . Distribution System Residential & Commercial LINaturalOverview Customer Growth Gas Supplies Design Non-Traditional Residential & Resources Weather Energy Efficiency: Commercial Usage Per Customer --------------------=--- Residential & Commercial Industrial Demand Demand Supply & Deliverability Load Demand Curves Optimization Modeling System Enhancements Demand 215 BRIAN ROBERTSON MANAGER, SUPPLY RESOURCE PLANNING Ligioit 'ingsI ovvPirotectrurself If you hear thunder and sL�t shelter righen possible. Listed below are several tips before, during, and aft a storm: DURING THE STORM BEFORE THE STORM • • seeking shelter in sheds, picnic shelters, covered " tents or low, If planning any outdoor activities; check under Wait out - storm in a substantial weather forecasts and alerts. building or hard-topped vehicle with • Cancel or postpone if bad windows rolled up. AFTER THE STORM weather seems likely. Avoid = ground, "e ' Charges of lightning can linger in Make a lightning safety plan that the clouds; stay indoors for at Includes where to seek shelter and the Stay away from metalobjects; they . • not safest route to get there. attract lightning, but conducts it. least 30 minutes after the last sound of thunder. Unplug electrical items to avoid power Keep clear of doors an• windows. surges. Plumbing •- Bring family pets indoors or put them the stormpasses to shower or • • into a fully enclosed building. fishing,If return to shore and seek a safe \ i ' shelter as soon as possible. Article Reference: Druley, Kevin.,"Protect yourself from lightning" Family Safety& Health Fall 2019. Print. RYAN DENTON RESOURCE PLANNING ECONOMIST LOAD DEMAND CURVE KEYVARIABLES Customer usage per degree day. Low, base and high growth core market customer count projections. `Design weather' conditions. Demand-side management (DSM). Maximum daily flow quantity (MDFQ) for large volume customers. 219 PEAK SEASON CORE MARKET LOAD DEMAND CURVE METHODOLOGY Usage per - per Residential & Commercial t HDD Degree Total Daily Usage Residential & Commercial Total Daily Usage Demand-Side Management Large Volume MDFQ Total Dai I U sa e y g LOAD DEMAND CURVE Load demand curve: A forecast of daily gas demand using weather normal, `design temperatures', customer counts, and forecasted usage per customer. Designed to measure demand to compare to distribution capacity at our 5 areas of interest (A01). To measure total company demand for upstream capacity decisions. Based on current resources or resources scheduled to be available during the IRP period. Remedies for any constraints will be identified later. Storage management. 221 2025 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case Total Company 700,000 - 600 000 Peak Day 536,800 Dth - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 500,000 400,000 s 0 300,000 200,000 100,000 10/1/2025 11/1/2025 12/1/2025 1/1/2026 2/1/2026 3/1/2026 4/1/2026 5/1/2026 6/1/2026 7/1/2026 8/1/2026 9/1/2026 Core+LV-1 Demand less DSM — — Maximum Transport Deliverabiitywith LNG — — Maximum Transport Deliverability 222 2030 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case Total Company 700,000 600000 Peak Day 582,518 Dth - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 500,000 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 400,0()0 L 300,000 200,000 I 100,000 10/1/2030 11/1/2030 12/1/2030 1/1/2031 2/1/2031 3/1/2031 4/1/2031 5/1/2031 6/1/2031 7/1/2031 8/1/2031 9/1/2031 Core+LV-1 Demand less DSM — — Maximum Transport Deliverability with LNG — — Maximum Transport Deliverability 223 Idaho Falls Lateral Sun Valley Lateral Canyon County Lateral State Street Lateral Central Ada County 224 2025 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case Idaho Falls Lateral 120,000 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100,000 80,ODO 83 83 60,000 40,000 20,000 10/1/2025 11/1/2025 12/1/2025 1/1/2026 2/1/2026 3/1/2026 4/1/2026 5/1/2026 6/1/2026 7/1/2026 8/1/2026 9/1/2026 Demand less DSM — — Ma)dmum Physical Deliverability — — MaArnum Physical Deliverability with LNG Storage 225 2030 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case Idaho Falls Lateral 120,000 - - - - - . - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100,000 — 80,000 0 60,000 40,000 20,000 10/1/2030 11/1/2030 12/1/2030 1/1/2031 2/1/2031 3/1/2031 4/1/2031 5/1/2031 6/1/2031 7/1/2031 8/1/2031 9/1/2031 Demand less DSM — — Maximum Physical Deliverability Maximum Physical Deliverability with LNG Storage 226 2025 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case Sun Valley Lateral 30,000 25,000 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 10/1/2025 11/1/2025 12/1/2025 1/1/2026 2/1/2026 3/1/2026 4/1/2026 5/1/2026 6/1/2026 7/1/2026 8/1/2026 9/1/2026 Demand less DSM — — Maximum Physical Deliverability 227 2030 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case Sun Valley Lateral 30,000 25,000 - - - - - - - - - — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 20,000 o 1-5'000 10,000 5,000 10/1/2030 11/1/2030 12/1/2030 1/1/2031 2/1/2031 3/1/2031 4/1/2031 5/1/2031 6/1/2031 7/1/2031 8/1/2031 9/1/2031 Demand less DSM — — Maximum Physical Deliverability 228 2025 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case Canyon County Lateral 160,000 140,000 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 120,000 100,000 o 80'000 60,000 40,000 20,000 10/1/2025 11/1/2025 12/1/2025 1/1/2026 2/1/2026 3/1/2026 4/1/2026 5/1/2026 6/1/2026 7/1/2026 8/1/2026 9/1/2026 Demand less DSM — — Maximum Physical Deliverability 229 2030 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case Canyon County Lateral 160,000 140,000 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 120,000 100,000 80'000 60,000 40,000 20,000 10/1/2030 11/1/2030 12/1/2030 1/1/2 031 2/1/2 031 3/1/2 031 4/1/2 031 5/1/2 031 6/1/2 031 7/1/2 031 8/1/2 031 9/1/2 031 Demand less DSM — — Maximum Physical Deliverability 230 2025 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case State Street Lateral 90,000 80,000 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 70,000 60,000 50,000 s 0 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 r. A P/ 10/1/2025 11/1/2025 12/1/2025 1/1/2026 2/1/2026 3/1/2026 4/1/2026 5/1/2026 6/1/2026 7/1/2026 8/1/2026 9/1/2026 Demand less DSM — — Maximum Physical Deliverability 231 2030 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case State Street Lateral 100,000 90,000 80 000 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 70,000 60,000 o 50'ODO 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 10/1/2030 11/1/2030 12/1/2030 1/1/2031 2/1/2031 3/1/2 031 4/1/2031 5/1/2031 6/1/2 031 7/1/2031 8/1/2031 9/1/2031 Demand less DSM — — Maximum Physical Deliverability 232 2025 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case Central Ada Lateral 100,000 90,000 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 80,000 70,000 60,000 50'000 40,000 30,000 20,000 JL 10,000 AL A 10/1/2025 11/1/2025 12/1/2025 1/1/2026 2/1/2026 3/1/2026 4/1/2026 5/1/2026 6/1/2026 7/1/2026 8/1/2026 9/1/2026 Demand less DSM — — Maximum Physical Deliverability 233 2030 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case Central Ada Lateral 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 p 50,000 �v 40,000 30,000 20,000 At 10,000 10/1/2030 11/1/2030 12/1/2030 1/1/2031 2/1/2031 3/1/2031 4/1/2031 5/1/2031 6/1/2031 7/1/2031 8/1/2031 9/1/2031 Demand less DSM — — Maximum Physical Deliverability 234 QUESTIONS ? DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM ENHANCEMENTS KATHLEEN CAMPBELL, P.E. - SENIOR ENGINEER - ENGINEERING SERVICES ZACHARY SOWARDS - SENIOR ENGINEER- ENGINEERING SERVICES IGRAC #2 COVERED: System dynamics Synergi model process Identification of system deficits/constraints Distribution enhancement/reinforcement options to address deficit Enhancement considerations and selection process into 5-year budget 237 THIS PRESENTATION WILL COVER: Project needs to support core growth for each AOI Alternative Analysis to resolve deficit (if it has not already been covered in a previous IRP) Timing, Cost and capacity gained for each project/alternative. 238 AREAS OF INTEREST (AOI) NATURAL GAS SYSTEM r INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY ' CAW WN GA5 ■ Distribution System Segments: ,VON ■ Canyon County EOON APeA_ w ONTO -_ Of NAP = PATETTE �� `BANTNONT ■ Central Ada County Lateral :",,,,LAND. •NEW PLvNOUT CALIF. NEVADA UTAH CITY PASTAR a" NN11_ � "North of State Street" Lateral IFTON ; AEBMN ant INO w I. ��a CITE' SON VALLEY ►lWISNLL! RIGBY ` r KOOIUN!Fl MORN ■ Sun Valley Lateral �'• 'X ' VAILEY IONA o'NOPAus:: � S I- TEL-EVUE BMELLE- • LT Idaho Falls Lateral „._�■ ,� NOAELAN a KAC P°"T CANYON ■ -_� L—_ 0000N I 1 6NOnE AOLROCLN All Other Customers 4yEq f�,! POCArTtic4 rQ • IcAp FAQ IWON v YS t Ja'� • tCOA�nINGS Yt CAIAION 1W E>1MU R81 v tET �UEGLO Lt6t AAII.VO• CRIE •GEORGE.'TOW11 �u uN:I1•ta at ►MIAL TA PRF0MCI,WAA1 QAA CO WRWE W"ALS MCNTPFI.IFN • T:1404 UW.ED•W NTERNCIMTAROAS CO O WOL" 7UNTAN ILASCO.UPPKZ! >�• ;%PMFR 1 239 �.r ■ Reinforcements required to meet 2030 growth predictions Caldwell Reinforcement — Chinden (HWY 20) from to Prescott Lane to Middleton Road 2027 New Plymouth Gate Upgrade 2027 240 CANYON COUNTYAOI ■ No reinforcements required to meet 2030 IRP growth predictions ■ AOI Update ■ Ustick Phase 3 was completed in December 2024. 241 STATE STREET LATERAL R1 1 • Requires reinforcements by 2026 & 2027 to meet IRP growth predictions AOI Capacity Limiter: 12-inch HP bottleneck on State Street and 4 in HP bottleneck on Linder Rd & State Penn (Boise #2) Gate Capacity Alternatives considered for 12-inch HP & 4- HP bottleneck were discussed in 2021 IRP State Street Phase II Uprate was selected in 2021 IRP and is budgeted for 2026 State Penn Gate Upgrade is budgeted for 2026 Design and 2027 Construction 242 r•- rl ___may �l"_ -.J lr♦x+b ll r',1.L1 l�l_I_I__�__ _______i :-IP __ - l�� �_!___ I I `1 ✓.♦�V I 1 r`! �'_I. I_ ll�rJJI LJII♦♦ I I �� 1 i __�••+ !I r 1� � J__�- fir Jr � _ r-- � ' •. 1 _ �y,_��',J STATE STREETAOI - BOTTLENECK Ij III-Ir--r`-` r' L' Y. I I- R. !'C q. . LBOISE NO ' i 1 ,'_I _I'� '�y I .`IrJI I Ir I vF _ ! ` �-rtl \ 3.3 UN., I r 1�F J_��'II -J i I y J I l __ �_i R ' 2.b a_ L. iL' + r F F t•9). 64L I I I-rl }- r}, I r f 1 1 ' r_— I-r?.�. ;"rid�:l .i L.€agle L 000r 1`r -�� = J�J I i-Z f> u I l I {-i,-4 aJ1 l.' a.alHigh STRIBUTION FEED i �� r_LF L.•Ir� J l.L-1J L- ' ,L,_I _L+ _ _^ I '0 0°II=;J-c ! SE#2 EJ rt i i 111•< Iz 172...H�X421'4 TABok #2 Galte �IJ JJUJJ, a —J LtZn�rfJ . a I r 425--=1462. TOM r 7 'rFy, ♦ 2 SWRi.,r c-Stafe•S t HPl' I - _� rIJ x+^ pJ. J _ 12•NGv.2 _ -Ir J. 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I �44"HP UN'89 ' J '--8�HP l$irtncb-Chi:ndelyiT ♦'',8`'HP UN P41J'96�� \ �tJ--4",11PUN'90 r 4"HP UN ' r r- tr r r I L_ I Her f Mr 1-rLJ�,�n _�I -N. n 367---0045 .367----Op rY _ ail==br.^ 367--�0065 - 417---0100 42S-d�3E x^ -----r---- =_' IghtweylBs t" `7 rrL1 r'TIT - J _LJI�.7 1r r I 4 I I ' 'i i I -�r I-�,Z'-'. 11L• `_1-�` I.--r- Y,r•-- - I J_ Irk 1 I I I � li r tir♦i,JF�' '11I' I I jJ-� ' _� L_ 'I��•-� �LIf Ij I I ' rl I j Cllz. }{rI,}, I FFr•,T�}�-.Cry 1, <;'�N I L y- i-- I I, I I I I I' I ry Y.i�r,-r.• 7 T y t YJ t- J� (y (♦\-�y,;+ tE�j"'-•1 • I I Y J'� C 7 -r"1 I-�_rT dr I�X ��r 14Y<y� �I ;I ILIJi.J ��.�p 6�IfJ-FI. -----I-----T-- L,rIV' r II rI�LII I I ��� � �n T�'L �Z`�1 SX �!L Z� LJ.{ I�� "`i ' I --T___ 1 r !. r `�i nTIII�IZZLLJ rII !—_' Lr '+TS Caa _Ll l�l -I-nl Jj•I r�L1�..�a'g LIIrL � �hO �1I�. t_J JI L� Y- T•7<- r 1 Irk J? 1T____�__�___ Nampa Gate WP- 80 r \ ti r 7t I a f f i_ ♦ rY-I JtJ+`'tSr J_1,4 I J]' I_� L f4�J Z+lL r_>�i�T 1y l-'"I _F.`i 3Y�-1 J'J -LIy } r — rl�l 0207 F__4'� r'1l]Yr i •r 17r'��1�_�y.'I =;_'J I - rr ' TL RS 413.4 ' I I F�yh I ' ' I , I" ' I`'�'�J :'`L�7 _'� �,�J� JJ •1),LI?_fin '---,��h 8"HP U N'S6F�PUN'5610"HP UN'S�6 -- l =� l �y1 SettlersTL,I I 7-_L�i4T-0001 ' 371;LAT-AQOt 13]73AL-09 371iAT-0001 i I _'1" ' 7 r ' IPark ' 74� r „ E:" `�r ' l' � 243 /� ' r• N y`Jy ;I,N'-..f17� 74 lam, _i-�'-J-- -------+ _ 'LIP ry STATE STREET PHASE 11 UPRATE , IN'81 F-I, '_-•_--'-H_,Pq{7_�-lD-tII�om I -r=-ST=R IB--- 'III ---yrI-:lL.,�!11.rr_`I,''f�L1--F-li��L.r'r,1 r�I IIlr L--IJ'AJI�!I'2-J 1_l,1 i_).'C'l4]J.♦�_-rfI�+J.r'—''L-/-rIrII'L__r'I_J-�I--J .'1�Lrr-'-'--�CT`_`••I1,uI I_I_T['_II•_L-_trIr=�rI�lIr�1�-f7LL r,_1l-.-r.-.._�r-f��.{1•,Ltr-�r`y�����__zo_`!J-Ia^i I�aJ.r�T_aIr I'Ji Z,LJ,`1,�LL11y,_-•Yr_.-+ ,I-_i.�I_-_ L -_"1.i -IL y�'� a UI,, �'1 ~ , J_ ,I _ _1Ji T0001 ' J LBO I _ 3 ISE NO2aeoree ase atE- i�a91e 4d,Hi h _J fr ooll=;J�C SE i ' -- I�SJ-II fn-J,�t T�j L r1 I .1 r'ra , IZ b I r 172...H�X421'6a -r State Street Phase=l"I UTprate- �:} �- wBOise#2'Gate �'�+J WJ�- i �•r a - ais--=idsz. r (-StafeJSt HP, x,^ 425--'1462 ' Reg:500-325# + - _ L2 ', �.t I �',C tr��`l - �rli rrc i-`tyl-I•'� 'b Ii r --���- r .. l,"1 Boise z i-- --' r� • � v - iEa'�e-1 sl d`nd State - -•-• xr� , Park -1 - r I I I = v _ 'LI l 11 l _ rrl '+ I Y�� .. , ' 'n/`�_i , ---_ 8 mclsChlnden a� = h, I, r.�4l "HP UN'69 r '--87HP l.i_l' ♦`'r 6'BHP UN'S -8'{HIPUN'98�' � I n 367---0Oab ' r f-.367 OU y-r r r r I L- ' �'�i T f L J..'n __J� -H+911wrjpft Po _ -. 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J -F t- Lr I i -----I T----I l I' .Cr~ [ty IJ yj., `ytf JL JJ IC-I xYl �� �1 rI iL I ----- Josr ,5r'I- Trim L I_yJi JTzs k Y f�a7tr+' ` Y — �_1 L-J'-L____r I I I r b,. ; L - r /'Y r�1 1 Na-_________ I__ J{_JL____JI� L� I_I_L_ '~~r��`^ L1______L'�n L I I I I yy_ I I I I I I r-fC-�- _ J'T----'--�- �----- --4 y--T-'- - I I I't I I I Nampa Gate TAP- BO r _r: r '#FT- ir til�'Jrti lfl] Li" T< C�I� FiI l r�Zli L, -'I'�a r�f f„ r]] r rl� I LI UI J1+,J l r y� i J Z� J_ Z<<+I , ♦J f f3Y�-�rJlI,7-T_ •�rrDw -1 I I l I I I ��l 7' `.r! - r_i•`. - y )`lll rl -L I S I RS 302071 ]- I I I i 1- P-0 r+,l-I Ir9 ' ) l_11J'�� IJ- '��111M+ 'rjn r__ a� r I L�_i�; 1 r- r L I I rt� I-I� ( ` f�_p lil r,l J_ �V�J RS 40pQ r- �\rl_ yJl i6 i B+HP UN'56,^'6";HP UN'S61 8"F�P UN'S6 8'HP UN 56 10"HP UN'6 r,-- ---I L _ �`u^j yfrl�4' �Se1ttlersltTul--, T. - �� D1 = 317-LAT-0�001' S LAT-000I I 371-LAT-O 01 371iAT-00 1 I I _ I 7 ^•;J l` I I r �•I r Park ]r, ti I : g i 1 .J L:_J 1 L._ 244 CENTRAL . COUNTY • No reinforcements required to meet 2030 IRP growth predictions AOI Update 12-inch South Boise Loop was completed in 2023 245 SUN VALLEY LATERAL R1 1 • No reinforcements required to meet 2030 IRP growth predictions AOI Update Shoshone Compressor Shoshone Compressor was completed in 2023 --Station y r Jerome Compressor Sation 246 . 1 • FALLS LATERAL R1 1 • Requires reinforcements by 2030 to meet IRP growth predictions. AOI Capacity Limiter: Suction line pressure to the Wapello Compressor Wapello Compressor Station expected to be operational in 2026 247 . • FALLS • MER SUaAR£I7X RE>L(Q�URG MENAN LENISVI E RIGBY RIRIE UCON IONA Iloaho�a ils S ' MON s S E IFl MORE( NO BIA FORT LL `t 1 CHUBB K • C P •EL10 _ INKOM 248 WAPELLO COMPRESSOR / • 9 SHE 'EY Blackfoot , zc Mountain FIRTH �51 MORELAND • GROVELAND 9ingharr Nridge RIVERSIDE • �BLA�/wCF T 249 . • FALLS COMPRESSOR SUCTION PIPELINE 2030 SHE 'EY 261, Blackfoot Mountain RR,Ti f 40 MORELAIND • GROVLLAND Bingham andye RNERSIDE ' LBLA,CKF 250 AOI CAPACITY SUMMARY AND TIMING NEEDS: Ada State Street Canyon Canyon Countyrateral n Valley Ada County State Street Lateral Sun Valley AOI Idaho Falls Later CountyA01 Lateral AOI County AO AOI AOI o Falls AO AOI Capacity AOI Reinforcement Reinforcement AOI Capacit Reinforcemen Capacity Capacity Reinforcem pacity forcement Req (th/day) q ( / y) Required ( / y) q day) Required (th/day) t Required th da th da Required 1 . 1 111 • - 1 111State Street Uprate •1 111 • - 11 • - 1 111I FL CompressorStation State Penn Gate 1 : 1 111 Upgrade •1 111 • - 11 • - 1 111 • 1 : 1 111 • - • 1 111 • - •1 111 • - � 11 • - 1 111 • - 1 • : 1 111 • - Me • - •1 111 • - 11 • - 1 111 • / / : 1 111 • - M111 • - •1 111 • - 11 • - 111 • QUESTIONS ? IRP OPTIMIZATION MODEL Draft Design Base Results : : Demand Supply & Delivery Resources : Transportation, T Economic OverviewDistribution • LCapacity & Storage System Overview Residential & Commercial Industrial Demand Non-Traditional Customer Growth Natural Gas • Supplies Resources Design Weather 1 ' Design Residential & Energy Efficiency — Commercial Usage . R&C 1 ' Demand Supply & Deliverability ILoad Demand Curves Optimization Modeling System Enhancements IRP OPTIMIZATION MODELING IGC IRP Model "Integrates"/Coordinates all the main functional elements of IGC operation: Gas Demand/Load, how much & where is gas consumed,"Load Duration Curve" (LDC) by area of interest. Gas Supply, from where, how much, and what price is gas supplied to meet demand (LDC). Gas Transport, how does gas move from supply to demand area given pipeline size and prices. Demand Side Management (DSM), cost effective energy efficiency is used to reduce demand Local Gas Distribution, local lateral sizing is explicitly modeled to meet demand & ensure reliability The IRP model utilizes PLEXOS®, a linear optimization model, to determine the least cost manner to have loads served by supply, transport, DSM & laterals. All results presented here are draft subject to further IGC review. 255 WHAT IS OPTIMIZATION ? Utilizes a standard mathematical technique called "linear programming" . . .to optimize over all possible combinations. The model knows the exact load and price for every day of the planning period based on the analyst's input and can therefore minimize costs in a way that would not be possible in the real world. Therefore, it is important to recognize that linear programming analysis provides helpful but not perfect information to guide decisions. Selects from a mix of resources over planning horizon to meet forecasted loads. 256 MODEL ELEMENTS Functional components: Demand forecast (Area's of Interest) Traditional supply resources Existing and potential gas supplies by basin Storage resources Transportation capacity resources Price forecast Non-traditional supply e.g., new distribution capacity, RNG, DSM etc. 257 Woctorn C:anadian Station 2 Swdirviontary C. .fors tie1Wlb r AE O sum Cm Kl�t�sy�ts Stan told Me In Roby , �ortba.ftt Ap.lu. Opal XAs Rnv Rocks** Basin% �� 25 r MODEL 'ram,. ` _Ll_/ r ��' - `v`�M� •`!a _—\ STRUCTURE I A 131�; •Van uver 4 i 16 Slumas Kingsgate I Transport, Storage, pp • the Demand • IdahoWA ING70N ne T coma = u ^ �; MO Helena JP IC +-------------- Port nd PLY 3 .5wnneld ;alem ;, i gene OREGON YNampa Street NC ,Sun Valley NC Idaho Falls NC _.... .'Wa NC - r - L f,�4 - - w C Rexburg NC -----' ---- .... ------ ---------------- = -•-------- -- ) Great Sal• Opal Clay IC 259 MODELTransportation contracts are the means of how Intermountain gets the gas from STRUCTURE the supplier to the end user. Transportation has an MDQ, a "E` Reservation Charge (D I rate), a Flow Charge (transportation rate), and a fuel .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . loss percentage. . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . • • A maximum delivery quantity (MDQ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . which is the maximum amount of gas Intermountain can move on the pipeline ii on a single day. • A D I rate which is the reservation rate to have the ability to move the MDQ amount on the pipeline. • A transportation rate which is the rate per dekatherm that is actually moved on the pipeline. • The fuel loss percentage is the statutory percent of gas based on the tariff from the pipeline that is lost and unaccounted for from the point of where the gas was purchased to the citygate. 260 Intermountain has storage at 5 MODEL locations:Jackson Prairie OP), Plymouth STRUCTURE (Ply), a Basin, Nampa, and Rexburg.y) Clay Bi N p g PLY 1 • Storage injections targets are set at . . . . / 35% by the end of June, 80% by the end of August, and 100% by the end of . . . PLY 2 September to emulate cycling storage . . . . . Storage for non-needle peaking storage. PLY 3 Intermountain can withdrawal - . . ' . . ' ' approximately 30,377 dth per day from ` JP, 155, 175 dth per day from Plymouth, and 70, 144 dth per day from Clay Basin for a total of approximately 255,626 dth per day of off-system storage. • Intermountain can withdrawal approximately 50,000 dth per day from Nampa and 5,500 dth per day from Rexburg for a total of approximately 55,500 dth per day of on-system storage. 261 MODEL • Intermountain can purchase gas at three markets; AECO, STRUCTURE SUMAS, and OPAL. . . • . . . . . . . . . . • At each market Intermountain can purchase gas at different . . . . . . 16 locations along the pipeline. . . . . AECO . . . . . . Supply • For each year, Intermountain • • • • • . • • uses Base,Winter base, . . . . . . . . Summer and Winter day gas, and Peak day incremental supplies as inputs. • Over the planning horizon, the contracts are renewed in November and April. 262 MODEL STRUCTURE Total Supply 500,000 450,000 400,000 Supply 350,000 300,000 (A Core Demand less DSM E ......Base Supply m 250,000 ———Winter Base v 200,000 Winter Day • Summer Day 150,000 — —Peak Supply 100,000 50,000 OHO OHO OHO O�y Off~ O�y O�y O�1 O�1 O�y O�y O�y 1o\ti�ti 1y\ti�ti ti��y\� y\ti�ti �\ti�ti 3\ti�ti �\ti�ti �\ti�ti �\ti�ti �\ti�ti �\ti�ti �\ti�ti 263 MODEL Demand is forecasted at the five areas of interest, as well as all other customers. STRUCTURE • Demand is determined by the load demand curves. • Each area of interest has DSM, which decrements demand at the avoided cost price. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Demand Area Rexburg Idaho Falls-core Idaho Falls Idaho Falls NC Idaho Falls-non core 12 t- ! ya' Sun Valley-core �S6. alley I Sun Valley NC Sun Valley-non core - ` . i All Other core Al Other 'All Other NC All Other-non core `� IGC ` . or ^ . IGC NC ' Central Ada-core Central Ada Central Ada NC 'Central Ada-non core • Canyon County-core anyon County Canyon County NC-'Canyon County-non core State Street-core IN,N State Street N State Street NC State Street-non core . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 264 Lateral Capacity Summary By Year,Weather:Design,Growth:Normal 2025 Base Year(Dth) %of Existing Planned Capacity Existing+ %of Existing+ Area of Interest Total Peak Day Existing Capacity Capacity Upgrade Upgrade Capacity Upgrade Capacity IDAHO FALLS 86,121 90,400 95% 18,900 109,300 79% SUN VALLEY 19,994 20,000 100% 4,750 24,750 81% CANYON COUNTY 101,399 103,200 98% 35,800 139,000 73% STATE STREET 75,346 82,000 92% - 82,000 92% DRAFT MODEL CENTRALADA 72,996 74,500 98% 12,500 87,000 84% ALL OTHER 276,942 RESULTS 2026 Year 2(Dth) Planned Capacity Existing+ %of Existing+ Area of Interest Total Peak Day Existing Capacity %of Capacity Upgrade Upgrade Capacity Upgrade Capacity LATERALS IDAHO FALLS 86,555 109,300 79% 109,300 79% SUN VALLEY 20,247 24,750 82% 24,750 82% CANYON COUNTY 104,221 139,000 75% 139,000 75% STATE STREET 76,953 82,000 94% 82,000 94% CENTRALADA 74,489 87,000 86% 87,000 86% ALL OTHER 280,541 2027 Year 3(Dth) Planned Capacity Existing+ %of Existing+ Area of Interest Total Peak Day Existing Capacity %of Capacity Upgrade Upgrade Capacity Upgrade Capacity IDAHO FALLS 88,310 109,300 81% 109,300 81% SUN VALLEY 20,497 24,750 83% 24,750 83% CANYON COUNTY 107,241 139,000 77% 139,000 77% STATE STREET 78,362 82,000 96% - 82,000 96% CENTRALADA 75,984 87,000 87% - 87,000 87% ALL OTHER 283,670 265 2n28 Year4(Dth) Planned Capacity Existing+ %of Existing+ Area of Interest Total Peak Day Existing Capacity %of Capacity Upgrade Upgrade Capacity Upgrade Capacity IDAHO FALLS 89,942 109,300 82% 109,300 82% DRAFT SUN VALLEY 20,740 24,750 84% 24,750 84% CANYON COUNTY 110,237 139,000 79% 139,000 79% STATE STREET 79,870 82,000 97% 82,000 97% MODEL CENTRALADA 77,478 87,000 89% 87,000 89% ALL OTHER 2,37,240 2n29 Year S(Dth) RESULTS Planned Capacity Existing+ %of Existing+ Area of Interest Total Peak Day Existing Capacity %of Capacity Upgrade Upgrade Capacity Upgrade Capacity LATERALS IDAHO FALLS 91,611 109,300 84% 109,300 84% SUN VALLEY 20,984 24,750 85% 24,750 85% CANYON COUNTY 113,068 139,000 81% 139,000 81% STATE STREET 81,379 82,000 99% 82,000 99% CENTRALADA 78,974 87,000 91% 87,000 91% ALL OTHER 291,026 Year 6(Dth) Planned Capacity Existing+ %of Existing+ Area of Interest Total Peak Day Existing Capacity %of Capacity Upgrade Upgrade Capacity Upgrade Capacity IDAHO FALLS 93,230 109,300 85% 109,300 85% SUN VALLEY 21,224 24,750 86% 24,750 86% CANYON COUNTY 115,926 139,000 83% 139,000 83% STATE STREET 82,892 82,000 101% 82,000 101% CENTRALADA 80,473 87,000 92% 87,000 92% ALL OTHER 294,269 266 DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM SHORTFALL SOLVESAND UPGRADES ADA County — Bend 12-inch S Boise Loop State Street — State Street Uprate and State Penn Gate Upgrade Canyon County — 12-inch Ustick Phase III Sun Valley Lateral — Shoshone Compressor Station and Suction line pressure to the Wapello Compressor Idaho Falls — IFL Compressor Station 267 TRANSPORTATION SHORTFALL SOLVES ■ Contract Renewals ■ Rockies Connector ■ Alternative Transportation Uptake ■ Renewable Natural Gas ■ Others? 268 Lateral Capacity Summary By Year,Weather:Design,Growth:Normal 2025 Base Year(Dth) %of Existing Planned Capacity Existing+ %of Existing+ Area of Interest Total Peak Day Existing Capacity Capacity Upgrade Upgrade Capacity Upgrade Capacity IDAHO FALLS 86,121 90,400 95% 18,900 109,300 79% SUN VALLEY 19,994 20,000 100% 4,750 24,750 81% CANYON COUNTY 101,399 103,200 98% 35,800 139,000 73% STATE STREET 75,346 82,000 92% - 82,000 92% DRAFT MODEL CENTRALADA 72,996 74,500 98% 12,500 87,000 84% ALL OTHER 276,942 - RESULTS ?=i?6 Year 2(Dth) Planned Capacity Existing+ %of Existing+ Area of Interest Total Peak Day Existing Capacity %of Capacity Upgrade Upgrade Capacity Upgrade Capacity LATERALS IDAHO FALLS 86,555 109,300 79% 109,300 79% SUN VALLEY 20,247 24,750 82% 24,750 82% CANYON COUNTY 104,221 139,000 75% 139,000 75% STATE STREET 76,853 82,000 94% 82,000 94% CENTRALADA 74,489 87,000 86% 87,000 86% ALL OTHER 280,541 --j Year 3(Dth) Planned Capacity Existing+ %of Existing+ Area of Interest Total Peak Day Existing Capacity %of Capacity Upgrade Upgrade Capacity Upgrade Capacity IDAHO FALLS 88,310 109,300 81% 109,300 81% SUN VALLEY 20,497 24,750 83% 24,750 83% CANYON COUNTY 107,241 139,000 77% - 139,000 77% STATE STREET 78,362 82,000 965/8 13,000 95,000 82% CENTRAL ADA 75,984 87,000 87% - 87,000 87% ALL OTHER 283,670 269 2028 Year 4(Dth) Planned Capacity Existing+ %of Existing+ Area of Interest Total Peak Day Existing Capacity %of Capacity Upgrade Upgrade Capacity Upgrade Capacity DRAFT IDAHO FALLS 89,942 109,300 82% 109,300 82% SUN VALLEY 20,740 24,750 84% 24,750 84% CANYON COUNTY 110,237 139,000 79% 139,000 79% MODEL STATE STREET 79,870 95,000 84% 95,000 84% CENTRAL ADA 77,478 87,000 89% 87,000 89% ALL OTHER 287,240 2029 Year (Dth)- RESULTS Planned Capacity Existing+ %of Existing+ Area of Interest Total Peak Day Existing Capacity %of Capacity Upgrade Upgrade Capacity Upgrade Capacity LATERALS IDAHO FALLS 91,611 109,300 84% 109,300 84% SUN VALLEY 20,984 24,750 95% 24,750 95% CANYON COUNTY 113,068 139,000 81% 139,000 81% STATE STREET 81,379 95,000 86% 95,000 86% CENTRAL ADA 78,974 87,000 91% 87,000 91% ALL OTHER 291,026 2030 Year 6(Dth) Planned Capacity Existing+ %of Existing+ Area of Interest Total Peak Day Existing Capacity %of Capacity Upgrade Upgrade Capacity Upgrade Capacity IDAHO FALLS 93,230 109,300 85% 2,900 112,200 83% SUN VALLEY 21,224 24,750 86% - 24,750 86% CANYON COUNTY 115,926 139,000 83% 139,000 83% STATE STREET 82,892 95,000 87% 95,000 87% CENTRAL ADA 80,473 87,000 92% 87,000 92% ALL OTHER 294,269 270 DRAFT MODEL RESULT GENERAL SUPPLY BALANCE SUMMARY SLIP l; hrej. 10/1/2025 11/1/2025 12/1/2025 111/2026 2/1/2026 3/1/2026 4/1/2026 5/1/2026 6/1/2026 7/1/2026 8/1/2026 9/1/2026 AECO 5.020.377 6.065.968 7.147.872 7,147.872 6,456,143 6.761.047 3.341.270 2.457,540 1.285.824 1.096.245 1.299.113 2.957.778 Rockies 306.475 331.189 498.059 615.107 375.951 432.228 1.195.720 2.297,534 631.189 218.811 250.288 631.189 Sumas - - - 450 - 92.605 300.000 2,335,719 300.000 - - - All Other 2,737 2.649 2.737 2,737 2,472 2.737 2.649 2,737 2.649 2.737 2.737 2,649 Canyon Count' 2.031 1.965 2.031 2,031 1.834 2.031 1.965 2.031 1,965 2.031 2.031 1,965 Central Ada 2,373 2.296 2,373 2,373 2.143 2.373 2.296 2,373 2.296 2.373 2,373 2,296 Idaho Falls 1,541 1.491 1.541 1,541 1,392 1.541 1.491 1.541 1,491 1.541 1,541 1,491 State Street 2,345 2.270 2.345 2,345 2.118 2.345 2.270 2.345 2.270 2.345 2.345 2,270 Sun Valley 232 224 232 232 209 232 224 232 224 232 232 224 Storage - 7,541 2,110,606 1 4,702.679 1,848,802 123.489 - - - - - - 271 DRAFT MODEL RESULT GENERAL SUPPLY BALANCE SUMMARY Supply Area 10/1/2030 11/1/2030 12/1/2030 1/1/2031 2/i/2031 3/1/2031 4/1/2031 5/1/2031 6/1/2031 7/1/2031 8/1/2031 9/1/2031 AECO 4,881,307 5,331,070 6,792,507 7,147,872 6,456,143 6,331,960 3,624,443 1,614,240 1,313,353 1,117,970 1,341,912 2,110,613 Rockies 1,352,297 1,337,862 1,386,590 1,535,949 1,252,404 1,464,858 1,641,862 1,386,590 1,341,862 1,263,051 1,294,619 1,341,862 Sumas 108,590 105,087 108,590 108,590 98,081 108,590 405,087 418,590 405,087 418,590 418,590 405,087 All Other 14,112 13,657 14,112 14,112 12,746 14,112 13,657 14,112 13,657 14,112 14,112 13,657 Canyon County 8,750 8,468 8,750 8,750 7,903 8,750 8,468 8,750 8,468 8,750 8,750 8,468 Central Ada 12,236 11,841 12,236 12,236 11,052 12,236 11,841 12,236 11,841 12,236 12,236 11,841 Idaho Falls 12,328 11,930 12,328 12,328 11,135 12,328 11,930 12,328 11,930 12,328 12,328 11,930 State Street 12,094 11,704 12,094 12,094 10,923 12,094 11,704 12,094 11,704 12,094 12,094 11,704 Sun Valley 2,682 2,595 2,682 2,682 2,422 2,682 2,595 2,682 2,595 2,682 2,682 2,595 Storage - 135,684 2.270,407 4,714.616 1,582,433 89,975 - - - - - - 272 DRAFT MODEL RESULT GENERAL SUPPLY BALANCE SUMMARY Peak Day Supply 700,000 600,000 500,000 E 400,000 a� Ca w 300,000 0 200,000 100,000 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 AECO Rockies Sumas Storage DSM -Demand -Demand less DSM 273 M CAPACITY RESOURCES Northwest Daily Maximum Transportation Capacity (MMBtu) • Intermountain has segmented capacity from Sumas to IGC at 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Stanfield. Intermountain owns Stanfield 224,565 224,565 224,565 224,565 224,565 224,565 Stanfield to IGC. Rockies 59,328 59,328 59,328 59,328 59,328 59,328 0Intermountain recently added Citygate 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Stanfield Capacity via the GTN Total Capacity 293,893 293,893 293,893 293,893 293,893 293,893 X p re s s project. • Intermountain is actively Storage Withdrawals with Bundled Capacity 155,175 155,175 155,175 155,175 155,175 155,175 participating in a Rockies JP TF-2 Capacity 30,337 30,337 30,337 30,337 30,337 30,337 expansion to meet peak day Nampa and Rexburg 55,500 55,500 55,500 55,500 55,500 55,500 s h o rtfa I I s. Maximum Deliverability 534,905 534,905 534,905 534,905 534,905 534,905 on-System Storage is 55,000 dth/day. 274 Employs Utility Standard Practice Method To Optimize System Models DSM & Storage Handles storage withdrawal and injection across seasons Provides a check on need for lateral expansion. Provides a check on transport and supply capacity 275 QUESTIONS ? FEEDBACK MISSIONS ■ ■ IRP.Comments@intgas.com ■ Please provide comments and feedback within 10 days 277 IGRAC #3 INTERMOUNTAIN"" GAS COMPANY A Subsidiary of MDU Resources Group,Inc. RESOURCEINTEGRATED INTERMOUNTAINAUGUST 13.2025 .URCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE Date &time: 9/17/2025, 9:00 AM to 11:00 PM MT Location: Microsoft Teams Meeting Presenters: Ryan Denton, Kathleen Campbell, Zachary Sowards, Brian Robertson In attendance: Bailey Steeves, Brian Robertson, Bruce Folsom, Chris Robbins, Darcy Neigum, Eric Wood, Jenny De Boer, Kathleen Campbell, Kimberly Loskot, Kristen Nieskens, Mark Sellers-Vaughn, Matt Hunter, Michael Parvinen, Rebecca Wildman, Russ Nishikawa, Ryan Denton, Seungjae Lee, Vicki Stephens, Zachary Sowards Introduction Brian Robertson, Manager of Supply Resource Planning, opened the meeting by welcoming and thanking stakeholders for participating in Intermountain's IRP Process. Brian then proceeded with introductions, the agenda, a safety moment, and a reminder of the stakeholder engagement goals. Presentation #1 —Load Demand Curves (Ryan Denton) • Ryan shared the key variables, and the methodology of how the load demand curves are calculated. • Ryan described the reasons why load demand curves are important; mainly understanding capacity needs and storage management. • Ryan then shared the load demand curves first and final year of the planning horizon, describing the growth and any potential shortfalls for Intermountain's total system as well as each area of interest(AOI). Question: "What kind of sensitivity modeling is there around key variables" Answer: Brian stated that Intermountain does a high and low growth as well as sensitivity modeling around 4 demand side management scenarios. Presentation #2— Distribution System Enhancements (Kathleen Campbell and Zachary Sowards) • Kathleen and Zachary provided project needs for each AOI, describing timing, costs, and capacity gained for each project; o In 2027, Intermountain anticipates a Caldwell reinforcement and a New Plymouth gate upgrade to ensure 2030 growth projections are met. Page 1 of 2 278 o Canyon County, Central Ada, and Sun Valley showed no reinforcement needs as the recent upgrades from previous IRPs meet 2030 growth expectations. o State Street and Idaho Falls AOIs anticipate upgrades to meet 2030 growth expectations. Question: "Is there a target year for designing the distribution line?" Answer: Kathleen responded that there are multiple factors that go into distribution system projects. There are limitations to which projects can be done but the target is to ensure there is enough capacity in the five year IRP planning horizon. It also depends on the type of project, for example, a compressor generally wants to be built to serve for ten to twenty years of growth. Presentation#3—IRP Optimization Model (Brian Robertson) • Brian described the IRP Optimization Model (Plexos) and how it integrates all the elements of an IRP such as load demand curves, supply, transport, storage, demand side management, and distribution system modeling. o Transportation includes the maximum daily quantity, reservation charge, flow charge, and a fuel loss percentage rate. o As for storage, Intermountain has 30,377 dth per day from JP, 155,175 dth per day from Plymouth, and 70,144 dth per day from Clay Basin for a total of approximately 255,626 dth per day of off-system storage. Intermountain can also withdrawal 50,000 dth per day from Nampa and 5,500 dth per day from Rexburg. o Brian described how supply was modeled in a way that emulates real world supply purchasing. o Load Demand Curves are loaded into Plexos into demand areas. • Brian reshared draft model results of the capacity shortfalls at each AOI and summarized recent and future upgrades. • High level information on upstream transportation shortfall solutions was discussed. • Brian then shared supply and storage annual and peak day preliminary results. Question: "How does capacity needs of other states impact Intermountain?" Answer: Brian stated that Intermountain has firm capacity rights on upstream pipelines, which means the pipelines are obligated to provide Intermountain that service. The Meeting was Adjourned—Intermountain is focusing on the IRP narrative and aims to have a draft circulated by the end of October Page 2 of 2 279 ltlmrER AI:DLI 0 4T) liq GAS COMPANY A Subsidiary of MDU Resources Group, Inc. INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN DECEMBER 3, 2025 INTERMOUNTAIN GAS RESOURCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE (IGRAC) • m I ■ Introductions ■ Feedback Process ■ Agenda FEEDBACK MISSIONS ■ ■ IRP.Comments@intgas.com ■ Please provide comments and feedback within 10 days 282 1 . 1 Welcome & Introductions — Brian Robertson (Manager, Supply Resource Planning) Safety Moment — Brian Robertson (Manager, Supply Resource Planning) Upstream Capacity Needs — Brian Robertson (Manager, Supply Resource Planning) Questions/Discussion 283 BRIAN ROBERTSON MANAGER, SUPPLY RESOURCE PLANNING Be Ready _Winter Weather. If power lines fall on Install a smoke detector Have your chimney 1W our car,warn people and carbon monoxide or flue inspected , ,r lines s, or power lines. IJ po►t e not to touch the car detector in your home. every year. are down, Calf Make sure the ►'our local utility batteries are nd emergency Weathei proof working! smices your hone to protect against the cold. Insulate walls and attic. Chec-A our more ripe on winter Caulk and weather-strip weather indoor doors and windows. Never leave lit candles or other flames unattended. '',�. i Alake sure your Car 1S read{' Bring your pets indoors for winter Ira ref. as temperatures drop! Prepare yourself Dress warmly and limit Check antifreeze level for exposure to exposure to the cold to and have radiator iK inter weather. prevent frostbite. system serviced. Avoid getting wet to Replace worn tires and prevent hypothermia. Make a winter check tire air pressure. 285 emergency kit to Wh'w.Cdc.gov1phpr/infographies.htm keep in your car. Keep gas tank full to avoid ice in tank and fuel lines. BRIAN ROBERTSON MANAGER SUPPLY RESOURCE PLANNING 2025 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case Total Company 700,000 - 600 000 Peak Day 536,800 Dth - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 500,000 400,000 s 0 300,000 200,000 100,000 10/1/2025 11/1/2025 12/1/2025 1/1/2026 2/1/2026 3/1/2026 4/1/2026 5/1/2026 6/1/2026 7/1/2026 8/1/2026 9/1/2026 Core+LV-1 Demand less DSM — — Maximum Transport Deliverabiitywith LNG — — Maximum Transport Deliverability 287 2030 Load Demand Curve Design Base Case Total Company 700,000 600000 Peak Day 582,518 Dth - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 500,000 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 400,0()0 L 300,000 200,000 I 100,000 10/1/2030 11/1/2030 12/1/2030 1/1/2031 2/1/2031 3/1/2031 4/1/2031 5/1/2031 6/1/2031 7/1/2031 8/1/2031 9/1/2031 Core+LV-1 Demand less DSM — — Maximum Transport Deliverability with LNG — — Maximum Transport Deliverability 288 RESOURCE CAPABILITIES (VOLUMES IN DTHS/D) 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 Stanfield 2241,565 224,565 2241565 224,565 224,565 224,565 224,565 Rockies 59,328 59,328 59,328 59,328 59,328 59,328 59,328 Citygate 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Total Capacity 293,893 293,893 293,893 293,893 293,893 293,893 293,893 Storage Withdrawals with Bundled Capacity 155,175 155,175 155,175 155,175 155,175 155,175 155,175 P TF-2 Capacity 30,337 30,337 30,337 30,337 30,337 30,337 30,337 Nampa and Rexburg 55,500 1 55,500 55,500 55,500 1 55,500 1 55,500 55,500 Maximum Deliverability 534,905 534,905 534,905 534,905 534,905 534,905 534,905 289 Peak Day Load (Dths) Compared to Current Maximum Deliverability of Resources 70 0,00 0 60 0,00 0 50 0,00 0 40 0,00 0 30 0,00 0 200,000 100,000 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 O Peak Day Low Peak Day Base � Peak Day High Maximum Deliverability 290 OPTIONS AND ALTERNATIVES ■ Upstream options • Supply ■ Storage ■ Transportation ■ Downstream options ■ LNG ■ DSM ■ Electrification ■ Others? 291 REVIEW OF ROCKIES COLUMBIA CONNECTOR PROJECT Rockies Columbia Connector (Proposed) Project Over_vie-w: • Integrated expansion of NWP mainline to WMAarris. provide firm incremental transportation from �� the Rockies Opal area and Stanfield, OR with delivers to Idaho and points along the 1-5 o....� corridor AOCKIES N,•�a+.Mon COLI 14GL1 CONNECTOR am-d LEGEND Project Benefits: j ...�. - mow•-- - Supports growth in region ,,,,,•..,�,,,,,,,,,, Access to Rockies supply 'FAMPULD • �•^� Executable - Brownfield project - No showstoppers •��••� Enhances energy resiliency and reliability during peak demand periods „�„ ��......«... Addresses a •-300 MMcf/d supply shortfall due — to Woodfibre LNG in 2027 Es Esimated CO2 emissions reductions up to s 43,000 tons/year from NWP operations D.wL Project Status: Non-Binding Open Season closed August 6, ` 2025 (Open Season offered up to 650 MMcf/d) • Negotiating Precedent Agreements - Q4 2025 Finalizing scope based on Open Season / commitments wa.WWnO 202s nr VVA r CdWor"A.W.ti b nrna 292 NYSE:V~I v..vry­06-'.'' LNG PEAK-SHAVING 11 FACILITIES FilingFacility IRP / Planning Regulatory Reported Storage Link ProjectCost Capacity Puget Sound WA UTC docket _$489 million Energy (WA) Tacoma LNG PSE Gas IRP UG-230393 capital cost (end —9.6 million dth of 2022) Pacific Lelu Island LNG BC EAO, CEAA Planned $ 1 1 .4- 18 — 18-20M Dth Northwest LNG Export Project NA (Petronas) 2012 billion investment annually (BC, canceled) NW Natural Peak-shaving OPUC docket Capacity in (OR/WA) LNG NW Natural IRP UG 456 undisclosed PHMSA/permit filings FortisBC (BC) Tilbury LNG BCUC Tilbury BCUC Order —$ 1 . 14 billion —25.4 million dth LNG CPCN G-62-23 293 ■ PSE Tacoma LNG: december 12023.pdf, PSE LNG HIS Cover Pages.pdf ■ Lelu Island LNG: Pacific NorthWest LNG Project, British Columbia - Offshore Technology ■ Northwest Natural: Ic79has 155146.pdf ■ FortisBC Tilbury LNG: BCUC Approves FortisBC's Tilbury Liquefied Natural Gas 294 ESTIMATED RATE • RESIDENTIAL CUSTOMERS The table below reflects the estimated rate impact in 2030 to residential customers based on Rockies Columbia Connector capacity acquired. It's important to keep in mind by the time you get out to 2030, the impact of the expansion will be less because of customer growth will increase the billing determinants. 10090001 Estimated Annual Revenue Impact of $60,225,000 RCC Reservation Charge Percentage Increase 20.8% 295 QUESTIONS ? FEEDBACK MISSIONS ■ ■ IRP.Comments@intgas.com ■ Please provide comments and feedback within 10 days 297 IGRAC #4 INTERMOUNTAINO GAS COMPANY A Subsidiary of MDU Resources Group,Inc. Date &time: 12/3/2025, 9:00 AM to 9:35 PM MT Location: Microsoft Teams Meeting Presenters: Brian Robertson In attendance: Bailey Steeves, Brian Robertson, Bruce Folsom, Chris Robbins, Eric Wood, Jenny De Boer, Kathleen Campbell, Kristen Nieskens, Michael Brutocao, Michael Parvinen, Ryan Denton, Seungjae Lee, Vicki Stephens, Zachary Sowards Introduction Brian Robertson, Manager of Supply Resource Planning, opened the meeting by welcoming and thanking stakeholders for participating in Intermountain's IRP Process. Brian then proceeded with introductions, the agenda, a safety moment, and a reminder of the stakeholder engagement goals. Presentation #1 —Upstream Capacity Needs (Brian Robertson) • Brian shared charts on Intermountain's current usage under a peak event compared to the Company's current capacity to serve customers. He also shared the maximum capacity compared to the low, base, and high growth forecasts. This showed a need for more capacity to meet customers' needs under a peak event. • Brian described the options to meet this capacity need, sharing that the two most viable options are upstream transportation and LNG. • Brian shared the Rockies Connector Expansion and the benefits of this type of project. • Brian shared regional LNG projects, showing the costs of these projects, and describing the benefits of an LNG project. • Ultimately, Intermountain plans to move forward with the Rockies Connector Expansion while continuing to investigate LNG for future consideration in the case Idaho growth continues to expand. • Brian then shared estimated impacts to customer rates for this type of project. The Meeting was Adjourned—Intermountain is focusing on the IRP narrative and aims to have a final filed by the week of December 15. Page 1 of 1 298