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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20251211Staff Comments.pdf RECEIVED December 11, 2025 ADAM TRIPLETT IDAHO PUBLIC DEPUTY ATTORNEY GENERAL UTILITIES COMMISSION IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION PO BOX 83720 BOISE, IDAHO 83702 (208) 334-0318 IDAHO BAR NO. 10221 Attorney for the Commission Staff BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER ) COMPANY'S APPLICATION FOR ) CASE NO. IPC-E-25-31 APPROVAL OR REJECTION OF AN ) ENERGY SALES AGREEMENT WITH ) FOSSIL GULCH WIND PARK,LLC FOR THE ) COMMENTS OF THE SALE AND PURCHASE OF ELECTRIC ) COMMISSION STAFF ENERGY FROM THE FOSSIL GULCH WIND ) PARK ) COMMISSION STAFF ("STAFF") OF the Idaho Public Utilities Commission ("Commission"), by and through its attorney of record, Adam Triplett, Deputy Attorney General, submits the following comments. BACKGROUND On September 30, 2025, Idaho Power Company("Company"), applied for approval of an Energy Sales Agreement ("ESA") with Fossil Gulch Wind Park, LLC ("Seller") for energy generated by the 10.5-megawatt("MW") Fossil Gulch Wind Park("Facility") in Twin Falls County, Idaho. The Facility delivered energy to the Company under an agreement dated September 9, 2004 ("2004 Agreement"), which expired on September 30, 2025. Since the 2004 Agreement expired before approval of the proposed ESA, the Company and the Seller entered into an Interim Agreement, under which the Company will buy generation from the Facility at Surplus Energy Price defined in the ESA for the lapsed contract period from September 30, 2025,until the service date of the final order issued by the Commission. STAFF COMMENTS 1 DECEMBER 11, 2025 STAFF ANALYSIS Staff s review focused on the avoided cost rates, the Maximum Capacity Amount, the Interim Agreement due to the lapsed contract period, the replacement of the 90/110 rule, shortfall damages, the definition of Surplus Energy,provisions addressing potential modifications to the Facility, and Appendix E (Wind Energy Production Forecasting). Staff recommends that the Commission approve the Interim Agreement, approve the ESA, and declare that all payments the Company makes to the Seller for purchases of electric energy generated by the Facility as prudently incurred expenses for ratemaking purposes, conditioned on the Company and Seller updating the ESA to reflect the following modifications through a compliance filing: 1. Recalculate avoided cost of energy based on: a. The AURORA model from the 2025 Integrated Resource Plan ("IRP"), instead of the AURORA model from the 2023 IRP; b. Inclusion of all resource changes of high certainty as of September 26, 2025, the execution date of the ESA; and c. The Facility's updated generation profile. 2. Recalculate avoided cost of capacity based on: a. The data from the 2025 IRP, instead of the 2023 IRP; and b. The Facility's updated generation profile. 3. Address the issue of Maximum Capacity Amount by: a. Modifying it to 10 MW; or b. Adopting a bifurcated rate that includes a rate of avoided cost of energy, avoided cost of capacity, and wind integration charges for hourly generation up to 10 megawatt hours ("MWhs") and a second rate of avoided cost of energy and wind integration charges without avoided cost of capacity for any hourly generation above 10 MWhs,until the first capacity deficit date. After that date, a single rate of avoided cost of energy, avoided cost of capacity, and wind integration charges will be applied to all generation. If the parties decide to adopt a bifurcated rate, Staff further recommends that the first capacity deficit date used should start with the authorized date as of the execution date of the ESA on September 26, 2025, STAFF COMMENTS 2 DECEMBER 11, 2025 and then be updated to reflect all resource changes of high certainty on the Company's system as of September 26, 2025. 4. Correct the calculation description in Article 6.4.4. 5. Update the definition of Surplus Energy. 6. Remove the modification language in Appendix B to avoid potential confusion. 7. Correct the error in Appendix E. Avoided Cost Rates Since the Facility is above the 100-kW wind eligibility cap set for published avoided cost rates, the proposed rates are determined under the Company's Incremental Cost Integrated Resource Plan ("ICIRP") method for qualifying facilities ("QF") exceeding the eligibility cap. Staff reviewed the proposed rates, which include avoided cost of energy, avoided cost of capacity, and wind integration charges. Each component is discussed below. Avoided Cost of Energy Staff analyzed the proposed avoided cost of energy and recommends that the parties update avoided cost of energy through a compliance filing based on the most recent IRP filed with the Commission, all resource changes of high certainty as of September 26, 2025, and the Facility's updated generation profile. a. 2025 IRP vs. 2023 IRP In determining the proposed avoided cost of energy, the Company started with the AURORA model from the most recently acknowledged IRP (i.e. the 2023 IRP) and then updated the load forecast and the gas price forecast used in the model with the newer forecasts approved in the latest annual update case (Case No. IPC-E-24-40). Response to Staff Production Request No. 4 (e), (f), and(g). However, Staff believes that the parties should have used the AURORA model from the most recently filed IRP (i.e. the 2025 IRP), instead of the AURORA model from the most recently acknowledged IRP. Order No. 32697 requires that variables and assumptions utilized in the IRP methodology remain fixed between IRP filings, except for load forecasts and fuel price forecasts, which should be updated annually. Order No. 32697 at 22. The Company filed the 2025 IRP on June 27, 2025, and the parties executed the ESA on September 26, 2025. STAFF COMMENTS 3 DECEMBER 11, 2025 Staff recommends that the parties use the AURORA model from the 2025 IRP to determine avoided cost of energy. b. Resource Changes of High Certainty Order No. 32697 also states that it is appropriate to consider long-term contract commitments and expirations/terminations in the ICIRP method. Therefore, the Company has included contract changes in the ICIRP method on a continuous basis and has reported these changes in the annual compliance filing occurring on October 15 of each year. However, resource changes in the Company's system are not always contract based. For example, a resource can be added to the Company's system through a Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity("CPCN"), which allows the Company to own the resource without contracting with another party. Similarly, a resource can be canceled through a withdrawal of a CPCN without any contract expirations or terminations. Therefore, Staff recommends that the Company incorporate all resource changes of high certainty-(i.e. contract-based and non-contract-based) in the AURORA model to calculate the avoided cost of energy, as of September 26, 2025, the execution date of the ESA. Examples of resource changes of high certainty as of September 26, 2025, that have not been reflected in the AURORA model from the 2025 IRP include the withdrawal of the 600-MW Jackalope Wind Project, the 80-MW Blacks Creek Project, and the 167-MW Bennett Expansion Gas Project. Response to Staff Production Request No. 4 (h). The withdrawal of the 600-MW Jackalope Wind Project was filed on September 19, 2025. The project includes a 300-MW Power Purchase Agreement("PPA") and a 300-MW wind plant to be owned by the Company under the CPCN Certificate#559. See Case No. IPC-E-25-28. The 80-MW Blacks Creek Project is being acquired through a PPA executed on August 8, 2025. See Case No. IPC-E-25- 27. The Company filed a CPCN for the 167-MW Bennett Gas Expansion Project on September 19, 2025. See Case No. IPC-E-25-29. Although these resource changes have not been approved by the Commission by the time Staff is producing the comments, Staff believes these resource changes are of high certainty and should be added to the AURORA model from the 2025 IRP.1 1 For determining first capacity deficiency periods,the Commission allowed executed contracts where pre-approval is unnecessary to be included in the Load and Resource Balance. Order No.35834 at 9. Recently,the Commission allowed Boise Bench and Hemingway Expansion battery storage facilities,which already received approval of their CPCN,to be included in the analysis of determining the first capacity deficiency period. However,the Commission further stated that it will evaluate inputs to the capacity deficiency analysis on a case-by-case basis moving forward. Order No. 36855 at 4. STAFF COMMENTS 4 DECEMBER 11, 2025 c. The Facility's Updated Generation Profile The Facility's generation profile is used to calculate avoided cost of energy. Response to Staff Production Request No. 4 (b). The proposed avoided cost of energy is based on a generation profile with a total annual generation amount of 25,464 MWhs. Response to Staff Production Request No. 4 (c). However, after the avoided cost of energy was calculated, the new ownership group updated the Facility's generation profile with an updated total annual generation amount of 24,072 MWhs. Supplemental Response to Staff Production Request No. 3. Although the parties updated the Initial Year Monthly Net Energy Amounts in the ESA based on the updated generation profile, the proposed avoided cost of energy in the ESA was not updated. Staff recommends that the parties update the avoided cost of energy based on the Facility's updated generation profile so that accuracy in pricing and consistency within the ESA are achieved. Avoided Cost of Capacity The ESA proposes immediate capacity payments, and Staff believes this treatment is reasonable. The ESA also proposes using Effective Load Carrying Capability ("ELCC") to determine the Facility's capacity contribution. Staff believes this method is reasonable. However, Staff identified two issues in the proposed avoided cost of capacity. Staff recommends that the parties address them through a compliance filing by using the data from the most recent IRP filed with the Commission and the Facility's updated generation profile. a. Immediate Capacity Payments During the contract term of the 2004 Agreement, the Company has acquired significant amounts of capacity to meet its capacity needs. For example, the Company has acquired resources in 2023,2 2024,3 and 20254 to address the system's capacity deficiency in these years. Staff believes that the Facility has contributed to meeting the Company's need for capacity and should be granted immediate capacity payments, instead of waiting until the first capacity deficit year. 2 Case No.IPC-E-22-13. 3 Case Nos.IPC-E-23-05 and IPC-E-23-20. 4 Case No.IPC-E-23-20. STAFF COMMENTS 5 DECEMBER 11, 2025 Additionally, the Commission expressed that lack of continuous operation of a plant could affect capacity payments. Order Nos. 33357, 34692, 34887, and 35303. Since this Facility has continuously operated after September 30, 2025 (Response to Staff Production Request No. 1), the expiration date of the 2004 Agreement, Staff believes that the Facility should be granted immediate capacity payments. b. ELCC The currently approved ICIRP method determines a project's capacity contribution by comparing its performance against the performance of a Company's benchmark resource during the timeframe of 3:00 pm to 7:00 pm in July. However, the proposed capacity contribution of this Facility is not calculated by this method, and is instead based on the Facility's ELCC value. The new method first calculates the perfect generation capacity required to achieve a loss of load expectation of 0.1 event-days per year. Then, the Facility is added to the system, and the perfect generation capacity required to achieve the same reliability target is calculated again. The ELCC value of the Facility is equal to the difference between the two perfect generation capacity sizes divided by the Facility's nameplate. Supplemental Response to Staff Production Request No. 3. Compared to the currently approved method that only measures a resource's performance during a few selected hours, the ELCC method is an improved method that considers the overall system reliability across all hours within a calendar year. This method has been used by the Company in its IRPs and resource procurement processes. Supplemental Response to Staff Production Request No. 3. Therefore, Staff believes the new ELCC method is reasonable. c. 2025 IRP vs. 2023 IRP The data used in determining the proposed avoided cost of capacity comes from the most recently acknowledged IRP (i.e. the 2023 IRP), such as the inflation rate, the general operation and maintenance ("O&M") escalation rate, and the cost of capital and the fixed O&M cost for a Simple Cycle Combustion Turbine plant. Supplemental Response to Staff Production Request No. 3. Staff believes that the parties should have used the data from the most recently filed IRP (i.e. the 2025 IRP), instead of the most recently acknowledged IRP. Order No. 32697 requires that variables and assumptions utilized in the IRP methodology remain fixed between IRP filings, except for load forecasts and fuel price forecasts, which should be updated annually. Order No. 32697 at 22. The Company filed the 2025 IRP on June 27, 2025, and the parties STAFF COMMENTS 6 DECEMBER 11, 2025 executed the ESA on September 26, 2025. Staff recommends that the parties use the data from the 2025 IRP to determine avoided cost of capacity. d. The Facility's Updated Generation Profile The Facility's generation profile is used to calculate avoided cost of capacity. Response to Staff Production Request No. 4 (b). The proposed avoided cost of capacity is based on a generation profile with a total annual generation amount of 25,464 MWhs. Supplemental Response to Staff Production Request No. 3. However, after the avoided cost of capacity was calculated, the new ownership group updated the Facility's generation profile with an updated total annual generation amount of 24,072 MWhs. Supplemental Response to Staff Production Request No. 3. Although the parties updated the Initial Year Monthly Net Energy Amounts in the ESA based on the updated generation profile, the proposed avoided cost of capacity in the ESA was not updated. Staff recommends that the parties update the avoided cost of capacity based on the Facility's updated generation profile so that accuracy in pricing and consistency within the ESA are achieved. Wind Integration Charges This 10.5-MW Facility is the first wind project after the new Schedule 87, Intermittent Generation Integration Charges, was approved in Order No. 36679. Therefore, it should be charged at the rates for the first 100-MW block of capacity. Staff verified that the proposed wind integration charges in the ESA are correct. Maximum Capacity Amount Although the Facility has the same nameplate capacity size of 10.5 MW in the ESA as it is in the 2004 Agreement, the Maximum Capacity Amount has increased from 10 MW in the 2004 Agreement to 10.5 MW in the ESA. When a proposed capacity size is greater than an original capacity size, the Commission has previously allowed two options. First, the parties can modify the proposed Maximum Capacity Amount to match the original size. Order No. 35296. Or alternatively, the parties can adopt a bifurcated rate structure: one rate that includes both avoided cost of energy and avoided cost of capacity for all generation up to the original size and a second rate that only includes the avoided cost of energy for the capacity exceeding the original size until the first capacity deficit STAFF COMMENTS 7 DECEMBER 11, 2025 date. See e.g. Order Nos. 34956, 35262, and 35223. After that date, a single rate that includes both avoided cost of energy and avoided cost of capacity will be applied to all generation. For this wind Facility, a bifurcated rate will include a rate of avoided cost of energy, avoided cost of capacity, and wind integration charges for hourly generation up to 10 MWhs and a second rate of avoided cost of energy and wind integration charges without avoided cost of capacity for any hourly generation above 10 MWhs, until the first capacity deficit date. After that date, a single rate of avoided cost of energy, avoided cost of capacity, and wind integration charges will be applied to all generation. If the parties desire to adopt a bifurcated rate, the first capacity deficit date should be determined as follows: First, the authorized first capacity deficit date as of September 26, 2025, the execution date of the ESA, which is June 2026 from Case No. IPC-E-23-27. Order No. 36226. Second, unlike the Surrogate Avoided Resource ("SAR") model that uses a fixed first capacity deficit date, the ICIRP method allows the authorized first capacity deficit date to be updated. Order No. 33933 in Case No. IPC-E-17-12 states that: We now clarify that under the IRP method of calculating avoided cost rates, consistent with Order No. 33357,utilities may continue to use a queue to track the order in which QF projects have entered negotiations with the utility and to consider the queue in the calculation of incremental pricing. As a result, the capacity deficiency date for a particular project under the IRP method may be later than the July 2026 date identified in the Company's IRP if that project enters the queue after other QFs. On the other hand, it may be earlier if earlier-queued QFs terminate their projects or otherwise drop out of the queue. For published rates under the Surrogate Avoided Resource (SAR) method, the capacity deficiency date is fixed as the date approved in Order No. 33898—July 2026. As stated above, Staff believes all resource changes (i.e. PPAs, Company-owned resources, etc.) of high certainty on the Company's system should be included when updating the capacity deficiency date under the ICIRP method, not just the QF changes in the queue. Therefore, Staff recommends that if the parties desire to adopt a bifurcated rate, the first capacity deficit date should start with the authorized date as of the execution date of the ESA on September 26, 2025, and then be updated to reflect all resource changes of high certainty as of September 26, 2025. STAFF COMMENTS 8 DECEMBER 11, 2025 Interim Agreement The 2004 Agreement was going to expire on September 30, 2025. Due to the Seller's delay, the parties did not execute the ESA until September 26, 2025. Application at 4 and 11. This resulted in a lapsed contract period between the expiration of the 2004 Agreement and the approval of the ESA. In order to continue generation during the lapsed contract period, the parties entered into an Interim Agreement, where the Facility's energy will be paid at the Surplus Energy Price during the lapsed contract period"subject to any true-up, adjustment, or rejection of terms and provisions, or the contract itself,by the Commission." Application at 12. Surplus Energy Price is defined as "the current month's Market Energy Reference Price or Light Load Purchase Price, whichever is lower." ESA at 27. In similar situations in the past, the Commission has allowed higher prices than the proposed Surplus Energy Price. For example, in Case Nos. IPC-E-24-09 and IPC-E-21-08, the interim price used was based on "the current month's Market Energy Reference Price or the applicable All Hours Energy Price, whichever is lower." Therefore, Staff believes the proposed Surplus Energy Price is acceptable. Replacement of 90/110 Rule Order No. 29632 states that: [i]t is the Commission's belief that a legally enforceable obligation translates into reciprocal contractual obligations for both parties, a quid pro quo. It is not just a lock-in of avoided cost rates but is also an obligation to deliver...For a QF it translates into an obligation or commitment to deliver its monthly estimated production. Idaho Power proposes that this delivery of committed energy fall within a 90/110 band...We find 90/110 to be reasonable. Therefore, QFs' contracts include a 90/110 rule as a provision. However, Order No. 30488 allowed wind QFs to replace the 90/110 rule with Mechanical Availability Guarantee ("MAG"), wind forecasting fees, and wind integration charges. Since the ESA contains these three elements, Staff believes it is acceptable to not include the 90/110 rule. Shortfall Damages Under the MAG, the Facility shall achieve a minimum monthly mechanical availability of 85%, meaning the Facility's monthly Net Energy needs to exceed 85% of the Facility's Calculated Net Energy Amount for the month. ESA at 8 and 25. If the Facility does not meet STAFF COMMENTS 9 DECEMBER 11, 2025 the 85%threshold, shortfall damages will be incurred. ESA at 8. However, Article 6.4.4 in the ESA incorrectly describes how damages should be calculated: "The month's Calculated Net Energy Amount minus the month's actual Net Energy delivers multiplied by the Availability Shortfall Price." (Emphasis added). Staff believes the shortfall damages should be calculated based on 85% of the Calculated Net Energy Amount, instead of 100% of the Calculated Net Energy Amount. Therefore, Staff recommends that the parties update the ESA through a compliance to correct the calculation description in Article 6.4.4.5 Definition of Surplus Energy The ESA defines Surplus Energy as follows: (1) All Net Energy produced by the Seller's Facility and delivered by the Facility to the Idaho Power electrical system that exceeds the Nameplate Capacity of the Facility. Deliveries above the Facility's Nameplate Capacity solely for the purpose of accommodating hourly scheduling in whole MWs by a third-party transmission provider shall not be considered Surplus Energy as described within this paragraph 1.42 item 1 or (2) All Net Energy produced by the Seller's Facility and delivered by the Facility to the Idaho Power electrical system prior to the Operation Date. ESA at 12. Subsequently, the Company explained that Surplus Energy is intended to only address Net Energy produced prior to the Operation Date, which is Item 2, not Item 1. The inclusion of Item 1 in the definition was an error. Response to Staff Production Request No. 6. Staff recommends that the parties update the ESA through a compliance filing to update the definition of Surplus Energy by removing Item 1.6 Provisions Addressing Potential Modifications to Facility There are two places in the ESA that address potential modifications to the Facility: Article 23 and Appendix B. Staff believes that Article 23 has comprehensively addressed potential modifications to the Facility and the language in the article complies with Order No. 35705. Staff also believes that the modification language in Appendix B is redundant and could 5 The Company is amenable to correcting the calculation description in Article 6.4.4. Response to Staff Production Request No. 7. 6 The Company is amenable to removing Item 1 from the definition of Surplus Energy. Response to Staff Production Request No. 6. STAFF COMMENTS 10 DECEMBER 11, 2025 cause potential confusion. Staff recommends that the parties update the ESA through a compliance filing to remove the modification language in Appendix B.7 Appendix E (Wind Energy Production Forecasting) Appendix E states that "Idaho Power will deduct the Facility's calculated share of the Wind Energy Production Forecasting costs specified in item d each month..." However, "item d"does not exist. It should have been"item 4". Response to Staff Production Request No. 12 (a). Staff recommends that the parties update the ESA through a compliance filing to correct this error in Appendix E.8 STAFF RECOMMENDATION Staff recommends that the Commission approve the Interim Agreement, approve the ESA, and declare that all payments the Company makes to the Seller for purchases of electric energy generated by the Facility as prudently incurred expenses for ratemaking purposes, conditioned on the Company and Seller updating the ESA to reflect the following modifications through a compliance filing: 1. Recalculate avoided cost of energy based on: a. The AURORA model from the 2025 IRP, instead of the AURORA model from the 2023 IRP; b. Inclusion of all resource changes of high certainty as of September 26, 2025, the execution date of the ESA; and c. The Facility's updated generation profile. 2. Recalculate avoided cost of capacity based on: a. The data from the 2025 IRP, instead of the 2023 IRP; and b. The Facility's updated generation profile. 3. Address the issue of Maximum Capacity Amount by: a. Modifying it to 10 MW; or The Company is amenable to removing the modification language in Appendix B to avoid potential confusion. Response to Staff Production Request No.9. 8 The Company is amenable to correcting the error in Appendix E. Response to Staff Production Request No. 12 (a). STAFF COMMENTS 11 DECEMBER 11, 2025 b. Adopting a bifurcated rate that includes a rate of avoided cost of energy, avoided cost of capacity, and wind integration charges for hourly generation up to 10 MWhs and a second rate of avoided cost of energy and wind integration charges without avoided cost of capacity for any hourly generation above 10 MWhs, until the first capacity deficit date. After that date, a single rate of avoided cost of energy, avoided cost of capacity, and wind integration charges will be applied to all generation. If the parties decide to adopt a bifurcated rate, Staff further recommends that the first capacity deficit date used should start with the authorized date as of the execution date of the ESA on September 26, 2025, and then be updated to reflect all resource changes of high certainty on the Company's system as of September 26, 2025. 4. Correct the calculation description in Article 6.4.4. 5. Update the definition of Surplus Energy. 6. Remove the modification language in Appendix B to avoid potential confusion. 7. Correct the error in Appendix E. Respectfully submitted this 11 th day of December 2025. Adam Triplett Deputy Attorney General Technical Staff. Yao Yin 1:\Utility\UMISC\COMMENTS\IPC-E-25-31 Comments.doex STAFF COMMENTS 12 DECEMBER 11, 2025 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS 11TH DAY OF DECEMBER 2025, SERVED THE FOREGOING COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF, IN CASE NO. IPC-E-25-31, BY E-MAILING A COPY THEREOF TO THE FOLLOWING: Idaho Power Company: DONOVAN E. WALKER ENERGY CONTRACTS LISA C. LANCE 1221 WEST IDAHO STREET (83702) TIMOTHY E. TATUM PO BOX 70 IDAHO POWER COMPANY BOISE ID 83707 1221 WEST IDAHO STREET (83702) E-MAIL: PO BOX 70 ee contracts c%idahc� er.conz BOISE ID 83707-0070 E-MAIL: dwalker�'Lt>.,i d ahoyower.co.m. llance{u, dqhopom% com ttatu com docockcts(tidah«porcr.coin. PATRICIA JORDA , SECRETARY CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE