Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAbout20251118Direct Matthew Suess.pdf RECEIVED November 18, 2025 IDAHO PUBLIC BEFORE THE UTILITIES COMMISSION IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER ) COMPANY'S APPLICATION FOR ) CASE NO. IPC-E-25-16 AUTHORITY TO INCREASE ITS ) RATES AND CHARGES FOR ) ELECTRIC SERVICE IN THE STATE ) OF IDAHO ) DIRECT TESTIMONY OF MATTHEW SUESS IN SUPPORT OF THE STIPULATION AND SETTLEMENT IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION NOVEMBER 18, 2025 1 Q. Please state your name, business address, and 2 present position with the Idaho Public Utilities Commission 3 ("Commission") . 4 A. My name is Matthew Suess, and my business address 5 is 11331 West Chinden Boulevard, Building 8, Suite 201-A, 6 Boise, Idaho, 83714 . I am employed as an engineer for the 7 Commission Staff ("Staff") . 8 Q. Please describe your educational background and 9 professional experience . 10 A. I was hired by the Commission in 2022 . My 11 educational background and professional experience are 12 provided in more detail in Exhibit No . 103 . 13 Q. What is the purpose of your testimony in this 14 case? 15 A. The purpose of my testimony is to identify the 16 primary causes of the incremental revenue requirement 17 ("IRR") filed by Idaho Power Company ("Company") to 18 increase its rates and charges . It is important to 19 identify how much, if any, of the IRR is being caused by 20 growth from new large-load ("NLL") customers . 21 Q. How is your testimony organized? 22 A. My testimony is subdivided under the following 23 headings : 24 The Company' s Original IRR Page 2 25 Analysis of the EPIS Page 3 CASE NO. IPC-E-25-16 SUESS, M. (Stip) 1 11/18/25 COMMISSION STAFF I The Types of New Load Growth Page 5 2 Primary Causes of the IRR Page 8 3 Conclusion Page 10 4 The Company' s Original IRR 5 Q. Please provide an overview of the Company' s 6 originally submitted IRR. 7 A. As filed, the Company' s system level IRR was an 8 increase of $206 million. ' For consistency, I will continue 9 using system level values versus jurisdictional values 10 throughout my testimony. 11 Q. What were the major contributing components to 12 this increase? 13 A. The single most significant component was a $95 14 million increase in the proposed return, 2 based on a $914 15 million increase to electric plant-in-service ("EPIS") . 3 16 A second large IRR component was a $30 million 17 increase to reduce the deferred balance for costs 18 associated with allowance for funds used during 19 construction to relicense the Hells Canyon Complex ("HCC 20 Relicensing AFUDC") . 4 21 A third large component was an $18 million 22 increase to levelize the recovery of Bridger coal plant 23 24 i Exhibit No. 28, cell J44. 2 $914M x 7.818% ROR x 1.334 net-to-gross tax multiplier. 25 3 Exhibit No. 28, cell J58 minus cell F58. 4 Exhibit No. 21 at 29. CASE NO. IPC-E-25-16 SUESS, M. (Stip) 2 11/18/25 COMMISSION STAFF I ("Bridger") retirement expenses . 5 2 The balance of the IRR comes from many other 3 components that are not large enough to be a major 4 contributing factor. 5 Q. Which of the components, if any, are increasing 6 due to baseline growth or NLL growth? 7 A. EPIS is the only component that has any growth- 8 related increase, and it is caused only by baseline growth. 9 Furthermore, the baseline growth contributions are less 10 than half of the incremental EPIS increase . I will 11 demonstrate both assertions later in my testimony. The HCC 12 Relicensing AFUDC, the Bridger retirement expenses, and the 13 other small factors are increasing for reasons other than 14 load growth. 15 Analysis of the EPIS 16 Q. Please provide an overview of the Company' s 17 originally submitted incremental EPIS increase . 18 A. The Company' s original filing claimed an 19 incremental EPIS increase of $914 million, which can be 20 divided into four categories . 21 The biggest category is the annualized balance 22 from 2024 EPIS, which is approximately $384 million. 6 This 23 EPIS was already declared prudent in the last rate case, 24 25 5 Noe Workpaper No. 32, cell G10. 6 Calculations from Exhibit No. 25, 28, and Noe Workpaper No. 13. CASE NO. IPC-E-25-16 SUESS, M. (Stip) 3 11/18/25 COMMISSION STAFF 1 but $384 million was excluded from the 2024 EPIS due to 2 using the average of monthly averages ("AMA") method to 3 value rate base . The full annualized amount is 4 incorporated in the 2025 test year for this case . 5 The other three categories are different parts of 6 the 2025 EPIS : the forecasted AMA for "EPIS less than $2 7 million" is approximately $161 million; 7 the forecasted AMA 8 for "EPIS greater than $2 million" is $156 million; $ and the 9 estimated annualized balance for "EPIS greater than $2 10 million" is $213 million. 9 Together the four components sum 11 to $914 million. 10 12 Q. Was the $914 million increase in EPIS accepted as 13 part of the settlement? 14 A. No, portions were removed as part of the 15 settlement . Broadly speaking, the $213 million annualized 16 balance for 2025 EPIS was removed, and the other two 2025 17 components were reduced by a combined total of $21 million. 18 The approximate incremental EPIS included in the 19 settlement is $693 million, down from the original $914 20 million. 21 Q. How much of this $693 million in EPIS is in 22 support of baseline or NLL growth? 23 24 7 AMA calculations applied to Noe Workpaper No. 13. 8 Exhibit No. 25, cell H252. 25 9 Id. cell J252. 10$384 million + $161 million + $156 million + $213 million. CASE NO. IPC-E-25-16 SUESS, M. (Stip) 4 11/18/25 COMMISSION STAFF 1 A. The annualized value of 2024 growth-driven EPIS 2 is approximately $156 million, " and the AMA value of 2025 3 growth-driven EPIS is $99 million. 12 Taken together, $255 4 million of the EPIS increase is growth-driven. 5 Using the same rate of return and net-to-gross 6 markup used by the Company in its application, one can 7 approximate that $255 million of growth-driven EPIS 8 increase would add $27 million to the IRR. 13 9 In other words, the maximum possible contribution 10 of growth-related projects to the IRR in this rate case is 11 $27 million, which is a relatively small portion of the 12 overall increase . Furthermore, the growth-related projects 13 can be differentiated between baseline growth and NLL 14 growth. 15 The Types of New Load Growth 16 Q. Please explain baseline growth and NLL growth and 17 discuss the implications . 18 A. The Company has experienced steady growth for 19 several years across multiple customer classes according to 20 its 2023 Integrated Resource Plan ("IRP") . 14 The Company 21 forecasts similar growth for many years to come . 15 This is 22 baseline growth. 23 11 Value estimated from 2024 Limited Issue Rate Case actuals. 24 12 AMA calculations applied to Noe Workpaper No. 13. 13 $255M x 7.818% ROR x 1.334 net-to-gross tax multiplier. 25 14 2023 IRP, Figure 4.1, at 43. is 2023 IRP, Appendix C at 5. CASE NO. IPC-E-25-16 SUESS, M. (Stip) 5 11/18/25 COMMISSION STAFF 1 However, beginning in 2026, and continuing 2 through at least 2030, The Company also forecasts extremely 3 rapid growth due to large customers via special contracts 4 (identified as "additional firm sales" in the IRP) . 16 This 5 is NLL growth. 6 Staff is concerned that the rapid expansion due 7 to NLL growth may incur unique costs in non-typical ways 8 and wants to ensure that those costs are identified and 9 properly allocated to the cost-causers . 10 Accordingly, it is important to distinguish 11 between baseline growth and NLL growth. 12 Q. How much of the $255 million growth-driven EPIS 13 is attributable to baseline growth, and how much to NLL 14 growth? 15 A. My analysis of various Company documents and 16 worksheets concludes that the entire $255 million is 17 attributable to baseline growth, and none of it is 18 attributable to NLL growth. 19 Q. Please explain how you reached this conclusion. 20 A. Three different lines of evidence support this 21 conclusion. 22 First, the individual projects that contributed 23 to the $255 million can all be traced to baseline growth. 24 The Company' s Response to Staff Request No . 36, Confidential 25 16 Id. CASE NO. IPC-E-25-16 SUESS, M. (Stip) 6 11/18/25 COMMISSION STAFF 1 Attachment, provided a list of all projects greater than $2 2 million forecast to be placed in service in 2025 . The list 3 included descriptions of each project' s purpose and need, 4 so I was able to determine which projects were for baseline 5 growth, and that no projects were for NLL growth. I 6 repeated this same search in the 2024 rate case workpapers, 7 identifying which projects were growth-related and that no 8 projects were for NLL growth. 9 Second, the Company provided off-the-record 10 system capacity analysis that shows that the new resources 11 placed in service in 2024 and 2025 were necessary to ensure 12 sufficient capacity for baseline growth of existing load to 13 ensure reliability. Without those resources, the system 14 would have been capacity deficient . The data also shows 15 that the new resources placed in service in 2024 and 2025 16 did not have extra capacity that might be used to serve the 17 NLL growth scheduled to begin in 2026 . 18 Third, two Clean-Energy Your Way ("CEYW") 19 resources have recently come online to offset the 20 incremental energy loads of two NLL customers - Black Mesa 21 Solar in 202417 and Pleasant Valley Solar No . l in 2025 . 18 In 22 accordance with the CEYW special contracts, each resource 23 procurement was structured as a power purchase agreement 24 25 17 Case No. IPC-E-22-06. 18 Case No. IPC-E-22-29. CASE NO. IPC-E-25-16 SUESS, M. (Stip) 7 11/18/25 COMMISSION STAFF 1 ("PPA") so the expenses are recorded to the Net Power 2 Supply Expense account19, not to EPIS . In other words, the 3 costs associated with these two projects are not part of 4 the $255 million growth-driven EPIS . 5 Primary Causes of the IRR 6 Q. If NLL growth is not causing the current IRR 7 increase, what is causing it? 8 A. I believe the IRR increase is being caused by a 9 combination of baseline load growth and other inflationary 10 pressures . 11 Q. Please discuss why you think baseline load growth 12 is a contributing factor. 13 A. The Company' s baseline load growth is significant 14 and persistent . The 2023 IRP 20-year load forecast is 1 . 1 15 percent annual growth for residential loads, 0 . 8 percent 16 for commercial loads, and 1 . 3 percent for industrial 17 loads . 20 This persistent dispersed growth has required - 18 and will require - continuous investment to upsize 19 distribution infrastructure, such as transformers, 20 switchgear, conductors, etc. Many of the 2025 growth- 21 related projects were for this purpose . 22 The persistent baseline growth has also required 23 several new resources to be added. For example, the 24 19 These PPA expenses are then passed through to the corresponding NLL 25 customers. 20 2023 IRP, Appendix A at 20-28. CASE NO. IPC-E-25-16 SUESS, M. (Stip) 8 11/18/25 COMMISSION STAFF 1 majority of the $255 million of new growth EPIS was for a 2 handful of resources including the Franklin 60-megawatt 3 ("MW") Battery Energy Storage System ("BESS") , the 4 Hemingway 36 MW BESS Addition, the Kuna 150 MW BESS, and 5 the Happy Valley 80 MW BESS . The resources have been 6 consistently identified as general-purpose capacity 7 resources necessary to serve system load. 8 Q. Please discuss why you think inflation is a 9 contributing factor. 10 A. Since emerging from the 2020 Covid shutdown, the 11 Unites States has experienced steep and broad-based 12 inflation. The Consumer Price Index value for typical 13 goods and services has increased by 25 percent between 14 December 2020 and September 2025 (260 . 5 to 324 . 8) . 21 15 Within the electrical equipment sector, prices 16 have gone up even more steeply. For example, the Producer 17 Price Index value for Electrical Equipment Manufacturing 18 has increased by 51 percent between December 2020 and 19 August 2025 (154 . 1 to 232 . 7) . 22 20 21 21 U.S. Inflation Calculator, Consumer Price Index Data from 1913 to 2025, retrieved from https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/consumer-price-index- 22 and-annual-percent-changes-from-1913-to-2008/, November 13, 2025. 23 22 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Producer Price Index by Industry: Electrical Equipment Manufacturing [PCU3353133531] , retrieved from 24 FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PCU3353133531, November 13, 2025. 25 CASE NO. IPC-E-25-16 SUESS, M. (Stip) 9 11/18/25 COMMISSION STAFF 1 Given that a high percentage of the expenses in 2 electrical projects are for materials and the fact that 3 labor costs have increased, it is reasonable to conclude 4 that inflation is a significant contributing factor to the 5 IRR increase . 6 Conclusion 7 Q. Please summarize your testimony. 8 A. The IRR increase in this general rate case is 9 driven by many factors, including baseline load growth and 10 inflation. However, none of it should be attributed to NLL 11 growth. 12 Q. Does this conclude your testimony in this 13 proceeding? 14 A. Yes, it does . 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 CASE NO. IPC-E-25-16 SUESS, M. (Stip) 10 11/18/25 COMMISSION STAFF Professional Qualifications of Matthew Suess Engineer Idaho Public Utilities Commission EDUCATION AND CREDENTIALS Mr. Suess graduated in 1989 from the United States Naval Academy, receiving a Bachelor of Science degree in Electrical Engineering. He graduated in 1990 from the Naval Nuclear Power Propulsion program in Idaho Falls, Idaho . In 1996, he received a Master of Science degree in Electrical Engineering from San Diego State University. He obtained an Energy Certificate from the Naval Postgraduate School in 2021 . He was first licensed as a Professional Engineer for Electrical Engineering in 1996 and has continuously maintained his license to the present . He completed the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners ("NARUC") Rate School in 2022 . EXPERIENCE Mr. Suess joined the Idaho Public Utilities Commission ("Commission") as a staff engineer in 2022 . His principal responsibilities are to review applications from regulated utility companies, analyze their requests, and prepare comments and recommendations for Commission review. Prior to joining the Commission, Mr. Suess was an active-duty naval officer for 21 years and then served the Navy for ten more years as a civilian employee . Of these combined 31 years in the Navy, he served his first seven years as a nuclear-trained submarine officer. The final 24 years he was an engineer assigned to manage the construction, operation and maintenance of buildings and utility systems on naval bases around the world. Exhibit No . 103 Case No . IPC-E-25-16 M. Suess, Staff 11/18/25 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS W'DAY OF NOVEMBER 2025, SERVED THE FOREGOING DIRECT TESTIMONY OF MATTHEW SUESS IN SUPPORT OF THE STIPULATION AND SETTLEMENT , IN CASE NO. IPC-E-25-16, BY E-MAILING A COPY THEREOF, TO THE FOLLOWING: DONOVAN E. WALKER TIMOTHY TATUM MEGAN GOICOECHEA ALLEN CONNIE ASCHENBRENNER IDAHO POWER COMPANY MATT LARKIN PO BOX 70 1221 WEST IDAHO STREET BOISE ID 83707-0070 P.O.BOX 70 E-MAIL: BOISE,ID 83707 dwalkergidahopower.com E-MAIL: mfzoicoecheaallenkidahopower.com ttatumkidahopower.com dockets(kidahopower.com caschenbrenner(kidahopower.com mlarkin(kidahopower.com CLEAN ENERGY OPPORTUNITIES: CLEAN ENERGY OPPORTUNITIES: KELSEY JAE COURTNEY WHITE 920 N. CLOVER DRIVE MIKE HECKLER BOISE, ID 83703 CLEAN ENERGY OPPORTUNITIES FOR E-MAIL: kelsey(kkelseyjae.com IDAHO 3778 PLANTATION RIVER DR., STE 102 BOISE,ID 83703 EMAIL: courtneykcleanenergyopportunities.com mike c(r�,,cleanenergyopportunities.com IIPA: IIPA: ERIC L. OLSEN LANCE KAUFMAN,PH.D. ECHO HAWK&OLSEN,PLLC 2623 NW BLUEBELL PLACE P.O. BOX 6119 CORVALLIS, OR 97330 505 PERSHING AVE., STE. 100 E-MAIL: lance(kae.isg insi hg t.com POCATELLO, ID 83205 E-MAIL: elokechohawk.com BOISE CITY.• BOISE CITY.• Ed Jewell Katie O'Neil Deputy City Attorney Energy Program Manager Boise City Attorney's Office Boise City Attorney's Office P.O. Box 500 P.O. Box 500 Boise,ID 83701-0500 Boise, ID 83701-0500 eiewellkcityofboise.org koneil(kcityofboise.org BoiseCityAttorney(kcityofboi se.org CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE - PAGE 1 FEA: FEA: Emily W. Medlyn Dwight Etheridge Jelani A. Freeman Exeter Associates,Inc. U.S. Department of Energy 10480 Little Patuxent Parkway, Ste. 300 1000 Independence Ave., S.W. Columbia,MD Washington,D.C. 20585 detheridgekexeterassociates.com emily.medlyn(khq.doe.gov j elani.freeman(khq.doe.gov ICIP: PETER J. RICHARDSON RICHARDSON ADAMS, PLLC 515 N. 27"' STREET BOISE,ID 83702 E-MAIL: peter(cr�richardsonadams.com MICRON: MaHydro: Austin Rueschhoff C. Tom Arkoosh Thorvald A.Nelson Nicholas J. Erekson Austin W.Jensen Arkoosh Law Offices Kristine A.K. Roach P.O. Box 2900 Holland&Hart,LLP Boise, ID 83701 555 17"' St., Ste. 3200 tom.arkooshkarkoosh.com Denver,CO 80202 nick.erekson(karkoosh.com darueschhoffkhollandhart.com erin.cecil(c_r�,arkoosh.com tnelsonkhollandhart.com awj ensenkho llandhart.com (cr�,�karoachhollandhart.com ELECTRONIC SERVICE ONLY: acleekhollandhart.com tlfriel(khollandhart.com Gannon, et al.,pro se: Korger: John Gannon Kurt J.Boehm johngannon200(kgmail.com Jody Keyle Cohn Randy Morris occidentalpacifickhotmail.com Boeham,Kurtz&Lowry Deborah Fease and Amy Lorrance 425 Walnut Street, Suite 2400 feased854(kgmail.com Cincinnati, OH 45202 kboelunkbkllawfirm.com jkylercohn ckbkllawfirm.com Northwest Energy Coalition (NWEC) Northwest Energy Coalition (NWEC) Benjamin J. Otto Lauren McCloy Attorney for NWEC Utility Regulatory Director 1407 W. Cottonwood Court lauren(knwenergy.org Boise,ID 83702 Derek Goldman benknwenergyy.org Policy Associate derek(knwenergy.org PATRICIA JORDA14, SECRETARY CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE - PAGE 2