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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20251003Staff Comments.pdf RECEIVED October 03, 2025 ERIKA K. MELANSON IDAHO PUBLIC DEPUTY ATTORNEY GENERAL UTILITIES COMMISSION IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION PO BOX 83720 BOISE, IDAHO 83720-0074 (208) 334-0320 IDAHO BAR NO. 11560 Street Address for Express Mail: 11331 W CHINDEN BLVD, BLDG 8, SUITE 201-A BOISE, ID 83714 Attorney for the Commission Staff BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER ) COMPANY'S APPLICATION FOR ) CASE NO. IPC-E-25-10 APPROVAL OF A POWER PURCHASE ) AGREEMENT AND ENERGY STORAGE ) AGREEMENT WITH CRIMSON ORCHARD ) REDACTED SUPPLEMENTAL SOLAR, LLC ) COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF COMMISSION STAFF ("STAFF") OF the Idaho Public Utilities Commission ("Commission"), by and through its attorney of record, Erika K. Melanson, Deputy Attorney General, submits the following comments. BACKGROUND On March 13, 2025, Idaho Power Company("Company") filed an Application with the Commission for an order: (1) approving the 20-year Power Purchase Agreement("PPA") between Crimson Orchard Solar LLC ("Crimson Orchard") and the Company, supplying 100 megawatts ("MW") output to the Company; (2) approving the 20-year Energy Storage Agreement ("ESA")between Crimson Orchard and the Company for 100 MW of dispatchable energy storage capacity; and (3) acknowledging the lease accounting necessary to facilitate the SUPPLEMENTAL STAFF COMMENTS 1 OCTOBER 3, 2025 transaction and the resulting expenses associated with both the PPA and the ESA are prudently incurred for ratemaking purposes. On April 25, 2025, the Commission issued a Notice of Application and Notice of Modified Procedure, establishing an August 1, 2025, deadline for public and Staff comments, and an August 22, 2025, deadline for the Company to file reply comments. Order No. 36577. The Commission granted intervention to Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Association, Inc. ("IIPA") and Micron Technologies, Inc. Order Nos. 36538 and 36598. On August 1, 2025, comments were filled by Staff and IIPA. On August 15, 2025, the Company filed a Supplemental Application with the Commission, providing an Amendment to the PPA and ESA proposed in the Application. On August 22, 2025, the Commission issued an Order vacating the August 1, 2025, public comment deadline, and the August 22, 2025, reply comment deadline. Order No. 36736. On September 8, 2025, the Commission issued a Notice of Modified Schedule, establishing an October 3, 2025, deadline for public and Staff comments, and an October 17, 2025, deadline for the Company to file reply comments. Order No. 36755. STAFF ANALYSIS 1. Initial Summary Staff agrees that the Company's system continues to face a capacity deficit in 2027, and the Crimson Orchard resource is a least-cost, least-risk("LC-LW') solution. However, the Supplemental Application proposes be deemed prudent by the Commission. Staff believes the Company should bear this and therefore recommends approving the amended agreements with based on the originally submitted agreements. Also,because the purchase options have been replicated in the amended agreements, Staff reaffirms its recommendation from the first set of comments to exclude the purchase options from a determination of prudence. 2. Amended Agreement Terms Why Changes Were Made In its Supplemental Application, the Company explained how the Crimson Orchard developer("developer") SUPPLEMENTAL STAFF COMMENTS 2 OCTOBER 3, 2025 Supplemental Application at 6. The Company then explained The Company believes that under the current circumstances given the immediate deficits on Idaho Power's system combined with the very constrained generation construction and procurement environment as well as the lack of other viable options, that the Crimson Orchard Project including the proposed First Amendments to the PPA and ESA continues to be the least-cost, least-risk and prudent resource in order for the Company to meet its obligations to serve its customers in 2027 and beyond. Id. Amendments to the Agreements The Company explained that it signed a First Amendment to the PPA("PPA1") and a First Amendment to the ESA("ESA1"), with both amended agreements reflecting similar changes to their original agreements. The changes in each amended agreement were: (a) (b)Additional definitions related to the new agreement terms; (c)A revision to the force majeure definition; (d)Additional language regarding equal employment opportunity law; and (e)Additional language recommended by Commission Staff concerning the Bilateral Modification provision. Id. at 7. Staff Comments on the Changes Staff discusses changes related to item(a) above in subsequent sections of this analysis. Staff also believes that changes related to items (b), (c), and(d) are acceptable as proposed. Staff appreciates the Company's changes related to item(e), which incorporates Staff s recommendation regarding bilateral modifications. Staff therefore refrains from resubmitting that recommendation in these supplemental comments. Finally, Staff s original recommendation about prematurely determining prudence for the purchase options has not been addressed. Therefore, Staff reiterates its earlier recommendation that the Commission exclude the purchase options from any determination of prudence, and that SUPPLEMENTAL STAFF COMMENTS 3 OCTOBER 3, 2025 it require the Company to seek a determination of prudence if it exercises the purchase options and requests recovery. The Company's fundamental reason for the amendments is due to the -under the Trump Administration. Supplemental Application at 5. A change in the- —It is Therefore, the developer sought with the Company. For the reason stated in section two above, the Company opted to ■. The Company explained the negotiated on pages 7 and 8 of its Supplemental Application. In short, the new agreements require the Company with the developer,up to a If the— ,the negotiated accordingly. In its confidential response to Staffs Production Request No. 27,the Company provided the for their 20-year terms while assuming and The Company's results for both are sununarized in Table No. 1 below. Table No. 1 — NPV of the NPV of the S MWh Revenue SIMWh Revenue Requirement Requirement 100 MW P PA 100 MW ESA By comparing the NPV of the existing to the one can see that the PPA 1 has I The ESA1 has a Considered together, the SUPPLEMENTAL STAFF COMMENTS 4 OCTOBER 3, 2025 4. System Need and LC-LR Determination In its original comments for this case, Staff stated that the Company's system"faces a capacity deficit in 2027." Staff Comments at 2. Staff reaffirms its conclusion from its first set of comments that the Company's system faces a significant capacity deficit beginning in 2027 and that additional resources are needed to remedy the deficit. Given the potential described above, Staff would normally re-evaluate Crimson Orchard by comparing it to the nearest-priced competitive bids from the Company's Request for Proposal ("RFP"). Because each project submitted for bid may be subject to different levels , Staff would include in its comparisons. However, Staff believes the issue is moot because, as the Company stated, there are no viable competitor projects. Supplemental Application at 10, Response to Staff s Production Request No. 25. Therefore, because Crimson Orchard is the only viable project that can be online to meet the Company's 2027 capacity deficit, by definition, the project is the LC- LR project. However, Staff objects to the recurring dilemma of having to declare a project to be LC- LR because it is the only viable project. This is the third consecutive case in which the Company has requested approval of a new resource that is the only viable option. The previous two cases were IPC-E-24-45 and IPC-E-24-46. 5. Company Decisions Have Contributed to the Situation Staff believes several Company decisions have contributed to the current situation of last- minute projects with zero alternatives. Capacity Deficits in 2023-2025 Staff believes the problem surfaced during development of the 2021 Integrated Resource Plan("IRP"). It was during this planning exercise that the Company belatedly recognized that its system was already in deficit, but to acquire new resources within acquisition lead-time, it established a 2023 capacity deficit date. 2021 IRP, Staff Comments at 4. Because the time to acquire resources can range widely—from two to more than five years—addressing a capacity deficit only two years away forced the Company to pursue solutions that could be implemented within the lead-time available. Staff believes this eliminated resource alternatives requiring SUPPLEMENTAL STAFF COMMENTS 5 OCTOBER 3, 2025 longer lead-times from consideration that could have been lower cost had the deficit been identified earlier. Continuous baseline growth in the Company's service area has created additional capacity needs each subsequent year, perpetuating the problem of only being able to solicit resources that can be quickly placed in service. The Company has filed consecutive requests to acquire resources to be online in 2023,1 2024,2 and 2025.3 Special Contracts: Primary Cause of Capacity Deficits in 2026 and 2027 While the Company was chasing baseline capacity deficits from 2023 through 2025, it signed several special contracts with customers that committed the Company to serve additional large loads in 2026 and beyond. Staff observes that the capacity deficits in 2026 and 2027 are primarily being caused by these new large-load customers, with small contributions of future deficits attributed to existing customer classes. Draft 2025 IRP, Appendix C, at 7-9. Competing CoMpany Commitments Although the Company has an obligation to serve new customers within its service territory, the Company also has an obligation to ensure system reliability at just and reasonable rates for all its customers. When the Company agreed to serve the large new loads in 2026 and beyond, it committed to a time frame that left little time for schedule delays or project setbacks. Because of the current situation, Staff believes the Company was too optimistic about when new resources could be in place to meet these new large loads. The Company's 2023 IRP Near-Term Action Plan called for the construction of the Boardman-to-Hemingway (`B2H") transmission line by June 2026, in conjunction with additional economic resources. 2023 IRP at 8. As discussed later, the B2H transmission line has been delayed 18 months or more, forcing the Company to accelerate other resource acquisitions. In addition, the Company's efforts to solicit additional resources has been met with mixed results. To meet the large increase in load, the Company has filed multiple consecutive requests to acquire resources to be online in 2026,4 and 2027,5 with three of them being"zero- ' Case Nos.IPC-E-22-06 and IPC-E-22-13. 2 Case Nos.IPC-E-23-05 and IPC-E-23-20. 3 Case Nos.IPC-E-22-29 and IPC-E-23-20. 4 Case Nos.IPC-E-24-01,IPC-E-24-16 and IPC-E-24-45. 5 Case Nos.IPC-E-24-42,IPC-E-24-46,and IPC-E-25-10. SUPPLEMENTAL STAFF COMMENTS 6 OCTOBER 3, 2025 alternative" cases. Furthermore, the 2027 capacity deficit is still not resolved, requiring one or more additional cases for new resources to be filed. Ellsworth Direct at 12 Boardman to Hemingway Delay In the 2023 IRP, B2H was identified as an essential new resource to resolve the capacity deficit in 2026 and beyond. It was supposed to provide 500 MW of summer capacity beginning in June 2026. The IRP analysis showed that a mere six-month delay in completing B2H (November 2026) would add$20 million to the Company's costs.6 The analysis showed that failing to construct B2H would add $836 million to the Company's costs.7 In the Company's application for a Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity for B2H, Staff identified numerous project risks for the B2H project, including multiple schedule risks. Case No. IPC-E-23-01, Staff Comments at 9-12. In its Reply Comments, the Company agreed with Staffs assessment of the risks. Reply Comments at 6. In other words, the Company knew the risks associated with delivering B2H in 2026 but committed to serve the large new load in 2026 anyway. As part of this case, Staff asked for the latest status of 132H. The Company stated that the anticipated in-service date will be no earlier than late 2027 [emphasis added]. Response to Staff Production Request No. 24. Staff believes that the B2H project delay of 18 months (or more) is materially contributing to ongoing capacity deficits, the lack of viable options, and therefore, increased cost risks to existing customers. Limited Types of Resources In addition to B2H delays, the Company has encountered setbacks in procuring carbon- clean resources. Over the past nine months the Trump Administration has implemented several policy changes that are detrimental to carbon-clean resources, including new tax credit deadlines, volatile tariffs, and permitting delays. These are in addition to the normal problems of interconnection approvals, environmental studies, and conditional use permits. The cumulative effect has been the elimination or delay of many carbon-clean resource projects. 6 Idaho Power 2023 IRP,Table 10.2. Id. SUPPLEMENTAL STAFF COMMENTS 7 OCTOBER 3, 2025 Staff believes the Company's decision to de-emphasize natural gas ("NG") resources in its 2026-2027 REP contributed to making the current situation worse. In an earlier"zero alternative" case, Staff stated, One of Staff s primary concerns was the limited set of resources that the Company would accept in its solicitation. Section 3.1 of the 2026-2027 All-Source RFP listed eligible products, and the Company identified eight resource types. Only one of these eight resource types was based on gas, despite the affordability, dispatchability, and reliability offered by gas plants. Furthermore, the Company conditioned the sole gas-based option to be "Gas-fired Convertible to Hydrogen." In fact, only one of the initial 192 RFP bids was this resource type. Case No. IPC-E-24-46, Staff Comments at 3-4. Staff believes that if the Company had properly solicited for all resource types, more NG proposals may have been submitted. NG resources would not be subject to the same volatility from tax credits, tariffs, and federal permitting, so it is reasonable to assume that NG-based project proposals would still be viable even though many carbon-clean projects have been canceled. Furthermore,NG-based projects submitted two years ago would have avoided the current demand crisis that is emerging for NG-based projects today. 6. Ratepayers Should Not Bear Considering the Company's circumstances and the decisions it made that are contributing to those circumstances, Staff believes it is reasonable for the Company to bear a proportional amount of the risk-related consequences rather than placing the risk entirely on ratepayers. Ratepayers are already enduring a series of rate increases caused by baseline growth and inflation. Staff recommends that expenses be determined prudent SUPPLEMENTAL STAFF COMMENTS 8 OCTOBER 3, 2025 STAFF RECOMMENDATION Staff recommends that the Commission: 1. Approve PPA1; 2. Approve ESA 1; 3. Approve future payments — —as prudently incurred expenses for rate- making purposes once each system is in service; 4. Acknowledge the use of lease accounting for ESA1; and 5. Exclude the Purchase Options in PPA 1 and ESA 1 from the determination of prudence. Respectfully submitted this 3rd day of October 2025. El wl Erika K. Melanson Deputy Attorney General Technical Staff: Matt Suess 1:\Utility\UMISC\COMMENTS\IPC-E-25-10 Supplemental Comments-Redacted.docx SUPPLEMENTAL STAFF COMMENTS 9 OCTOBER 3, 2025 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE r% I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS DAY OF OCTOBER 2025, SERVED THE FOREGOING REDACTED SUPPLEMENTAL COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF, IN CASE NO. IPC-E-25-10, BY E-MAILING A COPY THEREOF TO THE FOLLOWING: DONOVAN E. WALKER TIM TATUM LEAD COUNSEL VP, REGULATORY AFFAIRS IDAHO POWER COMPANY IDAHO POWER COMPANY PO BOX 70 PO BOX 70 BOISE ID 83707 BOISE ID 83707 E-MAIL: dwalkerbidahopower.com E-MAIL: ttatumOidahopower.com dockets aNdahopower.com Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Assn, Inc. Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Assn, Inc. Eric L. Olsen Lance Kaufinan, Ph.D. Echo Hawk & Olsen, PLLC 2623 NW Bluebell Place P.O. Box 6119 Corvallis, OR 97330 505 Pershing Ave., Ste. 100 E-MAIL: lance(aaegisinsight.com Pocatello, ID 83205 E-MAIL: elo(wechohawk.com Micron Austin Rueschhoff Thorvald A. Nelson Austin W. Jensen Kristine A.K. Roach Holland & Hart, LLP 555 171h Street, Suite 3200 Denver, CO 80202 E-MAIL: darueschhofK@ ,hollandhart.com tnelson t,hollandhart.com awjensen a,,hollandhart.com karoach,c hollandhart.com aclee(c-chol landh art.com f PATRICIA JORD SECRETARY CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE