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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20250918Staff Comments.pdf RECEIVED September 18, 2025 JEFFREY R. LOLL IDAHO PUBLIC DEPUTY ATTORNEY GENERAL UTILITIES COMMISSION IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION PO BOX 83720 BOISE, IDAHO 83720-0074 (208) 334-0357 IDAHO BAR NO. 11675 Street Address for Express Mail: 11331 W CHINDEN BLVD, BLDG 8, SUITE 201-A BOISE, ID 83714 Attorney for the Commission Staff BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF INTERMOUNTAIN ) GAS COMPANY'S APPLICATION FOR ) CASE NO. INT-G-25-04 AUTHORITY TO CHANGE ITS PRICES ) COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF COMMISSION STAFF ("STAFF") OF the Idaho Public Utilities Commission ("Commission"), by and through its attorney of record, Jeffrey R. Loll, Deputy Attorney General, submits the following comments. BACKGROUND On August 7, 2025, Intermountain Gas Company("Company") applied to the Commission requesting authority to implement new rate schedules, effective October 1, 2025, which will increase its annualized revenues by $303,638, due to increases in the Company's gas related costs ("Application"). If approved, the typical residential customer's monthly bill would decrease by$0.12, or 0.28%, commercial customer's monthly bill would decrease by$0.06, or .03%, and on average, large volume and transport customers would see their bills increase between$435.10 and$649.24, or 5.06%to 11.3%, depending on their rate schedule. STAFF COMMENTS 1 SEPTEMBER 18, 2025 The Company's rates include a base-rate component set in a general rate case and a gas- related cost component set in the Purchased Gas Cost Adjustment("PGA") case. The base-rate component is intended to cover the Company's fixed costs to serve its customers and rarely change. The Company's PGA is a Commission-approved mechanism that adjusts rates up or down to reflect changes in the Company's costs to buy natural gas from suppliers—including changes in transportation, storage, and other related costs. The Company defers these costs into its PGA account and then passes them on to customers through an increase or decrease in rates. In Order No. 26109, the Commission approved the Company's use of temporary pricing for certain rate schedules to be determined by a PGA based on gas-related costs. The Company's current temporary prices related to the cost of gas were approved in Order No. 36338 and are effective from October 1, 2024, through September 30, 2025. The Company requests authority to pass through to each of its customer classes: (1) costs incurred by the Company from firm transportation providers, (2) increases in the Company's Weighted Average Cost of Gas ("WACOG"), (3) newly determined customer allocation of gas- related costs under the Company's PGA provision, (4) one year temporary surcharges and credits related to natural gas purchases and interstate transportation expenses from the Company's deferred gas cost accounts, (5)benefits from the Company's management of storage and firm capacity rights on various pipeline systems, and(6)benefits related to the sale of liquefied natural gas from the Company's Nampa, Idaho facility. Application at 4. The Company seeks authority to remove the temporary surcharges and credits related to the cost of gas from the Company's present prices. Id. The Company represents the proposed changes to its gas-related costs would result in a price decrease for the Company's RS, GS-1, IS-R, and IS-C customer classes. Id. The Company represents the proposed changes to its gas-related costs would result in a price increase for the Company's LV-1, T-3, and T-4 customer classes. Id. The Company requests that the filing requirement for the Deferred Gas Cost Balance, Liquefied Natural Gas Sales Cost Benefit Analysis, and Weighted Average Cost of Gas reports be maintained at a quarterly frequency. Id. at 12. STAFF COMMENTS 2 SEPTEMBER 18, 2025 STAFF ANALYSIS Staff examined the Company's Application, exhibits, workpapers, and responses to Production Requests and confirmed: (1)the PGA proposal would not affect the Company's earnings; (2) the deferred costs are prudent and properly calculated; and(3) the Company's WACOG request is reasonable. Staff recommends that the Company's Application be approved. Table No. 1 summarizes the impact of the proposed changes on customer classes. Table No. 1: Summary of Proposed Rates Average Average Change in Class Change in Average Price Customer Class: Revenue $/Therm % Change $/Therm RS Residential $ (560,338) $ (0.00189) -00.28% $ 0.67147 GS-1 General Service (24,716) (0.00017) -00.03% 0.57600 LV-1 Large Volume 288,261 0.01891 5.06% 0.39267 T-3 Transportation(Volumetric) 52,200 0.00136 10.76% 0.01400 T-4 Transportation(Volumetric) - - 0.00% 0.01200 T-4 Demand Charge 548,231 0.02984 11.30% 0.29398 TOTAL $ 303,638 $ 0.00036 00.10% $ 0.35532 Overall, the Company's proposal increases annual revenue by approximately $303,638 which is detailed in Table No. 2 below. STAFF COMMENTS 3 SEPTEMBER 18, 2025 Table No. 2: Proposed Change to Annual Revenue Deferrals: INT-G-24-04 Temporaries Reversed $ 33,578,952 Additional INT-G-25-04 Temporary Credits and Charges Fixed Deferred Gas Costs $ (42,148,285) Variable Deferred Gas Costs 5,140,012 Lost and Unaccounted for Gas (1,193,817) LNG Sales Credit (1,086,693) Total Additional Temporary Credits and Surcharges (39,288,783) Total Deferrals $ ( 5,709,831) Fixed Cost Changes: NWP Full Rate Reservation $ (2,459,114) NWP Discounted Reservation 4,794,988 Upstream Full Rate (10,450,391) Upstream Discounted 11,103,840 SGS-2F and LS-2F 57,915 Other Storage Costs (5,475,000) Total Fixed Cost Changes $ (2,427,762) Changes in WACOG $ 8,662,228 Reallocation and True-Up of Fixed Costs $ ( 218,538) Total Base Rate Price Changes $ 6,015,928 Total Annual Price Change $ 306,097 Total Annual Price Change (Exh.No 1) 303.638 Differences due to rounding $ 2,459 The Company reversed$33,578,952 in temporary credits and surcharges that were part of last year's PGA, Case No. INT-G-24-04. The deferral account consists of capacity release revenues, overcollections from last year's PGA, per therm amortization of deferrals, Liquid Natural Gas ("LNG") off-system sales revenue, and interest. The proposed temporary credits and surcharges in the Application reduces the deferral by $39,288,783. This results in a total deferral balance reduction of$5,709,831. The Company included fixed cost changes in its Application Exhibit No. 1. The fixed cost changes include changes to the demand charges for transportation and storage of $2,427,762. Additionally, the Company included commodity price changes (WACOG) of $8,662,228, which is a reallocation and true-up of fixed costs; an adjustment based upon normalization of sales volume; and an adjustment to the fixed cost collection rate, of$218,538. STAFF COMMENTS 4 SEPTEMBER 18, 2025 Overall, the total PGA base rate price changes included by the Company is an increase of $6,015,928.1 The total deferral balance increase and the increase in the PGA base rate price change amounts to an annual price change increase of$306,097. The Company calculates a rounding difference of$2,459 due to the per therm rate going to only five decimal places. This results in a final annual price change calculation of$303,638. Weighted Average Cost of Gas The WACOG is the Company's average variable cost to buy and transport natural gas to meet customers' estimated annual requirements. The components of the WACOG include the volumetric interstate transportation rate, the city gate costs, the IGI Resources administration fees, and the Gas Technology Institute charges. The proposed WACOG is $0.28734 per therm, a 7.1% increase from the current WACOG of$0.26839. Chart No. 1 below displays the WACOG changes from the previous 10 years. Chart No. 1: WACOG(Per Therm) IGC PGA WACOG ($/Therm) 0.600 0.500 E 0.400 t 0.300 H -Ln 0.200 0.100 — 0.000 $0.297 $0.260 $0.227 $0.209 $0.217 $0.260 $0.424 $0.392 $0.528 $0.305 $0.268 $0.287 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022* 2022* 2022 2023 2024 2025 Year *Out of cycle adjustment 'Note: the PGA base rate is not associated with base rates set in a general rate case. STAFF COMMENTS 5 SEPTEMBER 18, 2025 Market Fundamentals &Price Analysis The Company expressed a concern within the industry after the winter of 2024-2025, regarding stagnant production in some areas as well as speculation that national storage levels would be well below historical levels by November 1, 2025, thus causing future prices to increase significantly versus past experience. Application at 7. The Company forecasts benefits to the Company's customers generated by the Company's management of its significant natural gas storage assets. Due to gas being added to storage that is procured during the summer season when prices are traditionally lower than during the winter, the cost of the Company's stored gas is normally less than what could be obtained on the open market in winter months. The Company has entered into various fixed price agreements to lock-in the price for portions of its underground storage and other winter"flowing" supplies, thus stabilizing a portion of the supply price and insulating it from the significant volatility seen in the futures market. Id. at 8. After analyzing the Company's projected cost to purchase natural gas by comparing it to forecasts by the Energy Information Administration("BIA"), as shown below, Staff believes the Company's projected natural gas costs are reasonable. Natural Gas Production Rising natural gas production in recent months has added to higher-than-anticipated inventory levels. We expect marketed natural gas production to grow by 3% over 2024 volumes, supported by growth of 2 Bcf/d in the Permian region and 0.9 Bcf/d in each of the Haynesville and Appalachia regions in 2025. This growth has been sustained in part by the deployment of drilling rigs to natural gas-intensive shale plays. Baker Hughes reported on August 8 that 19 more active rigs were focused on drilling for natural gas than there were at the start of April, an 18%increase. The Haynesville region led the increase in natural gas-directed rig deployment. Natural Gas Prices We expect the Henry Hub natural gas spot price will rise from an average of$3.20 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in July to $3.90/MMBtu in 4Q25 and $4.30/MMBtu next year. Rising natural gas prices reflect relatively flat natural gas production amid an increase in U.S. liquefied natural gas exports. EIA STEO, https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/pdf/steo_full.pdf STAFF COMMENTS 6 SEPTEMBER 18, 2025 Pipeline Capacity The Company holds excess pipeline capacity in case of increased demand and it mitigates the cost of holding this excess by selling it back into the market, benefiting customers through the PGA. This year, the Company released firm transportation capacity on the Northwest Pipeline, its upstream pipelines, and from Clay Basin storage. The Company's capacity release revenue for the current PGA is forecasted to be $17,148,108 which will be credited back to customers over the coming PGA year, a significant increase from last year's $9 million credit to customers. Exhibit No. 8. The Company's historical capacity release is shown below in Chart No. 2. Chart No. 2: Historical Capacity Releases IGC Historical Transportation Capacity Release $20,000,000 $15,000,000 $10,000,000 $5,000,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Seriesl $3,940, $3,940, $5,453, $7,125, $6,410, $6,351, $6,629, $5,740, $9,056, $17,481 Purchasing The Company continues to utilize index or spot purchases, allowing it to take advantage of low prices for real-time needs. Staff reviewed the Company's natural gas purchases during the PGA period by examining a sample of invoices. Staff confirmed that the natural gas purchases reconciled with the amount of natural gas purchases reported in the monthly deferrals. Transportation and Storage The Company delivers domestically produced natural gas to its city gates through the Northwest Pipeline. The Company also delivers natural gas from Canada by using pipeline capacity on Gas Transmission Northwest, TransCanada's Foothills Pipeline system, and TransCanada's Alberta system. STAFF COMMENTS 7 SEPTEMBER 18, 2025 Permanent transportation and storage costs reflect savings of$7.8 million. Typically, natural gas added to storage is procured during the summer season when prices are normally lower than in winter. The Company has been purchasing storage as needed to meet peak times in the winter and to hedge against higher prices. Application at 6. Liquid Natural Gas Storm In Order No. 32793, the Commission authorized the Company to sell excess LNG capacity from its Nampa LNG Facility to non-utility customers. In Order No. 35836, the Commission approved a Settlement and Stipulation authorizing the change in the non-utility LNG credits to $0.03 per gallon for capital improvements and $0.04 per gallon for operational and maintenance expenses. The new sales credit rates were used to calculate the 2025 LNG sales benefits. Historical LNG benefits included in the PGA are shown below in Chart No. 3. The Company proposes to credit customers $1,086,693 for their share of revenues of LNG sales. Staff reviewed the Company's non-utility sales of LNG and verified the credit to ratepayers has been calculated correctly. Chart No. 3: LNG Sales Ratepaver Benefits IGC Historical LNG Benefit $1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 $0 2016 PGA 2017 PGA 2018 PGA 1 2019 PGA 2020 PGA 2021 PGA 2022 PGA 2023 PGA 2024 PGA 2025 PGA Seriesl $236,805 $495,418 $529,445 $1,129,239 $1,005,060 $717,972 $221,993 $1,423,100 $1,401,373 $1,086,693 Lost and Unaccounted for Gas and Line Break Lost and Unaccounted For("LAUF") Gas is the difference between the volume of natural gas delivered to the distribution system at the city gate and volume of gas billed to customers at STAFF COMMENTS 8 SEPTEMBER 18, 2025 the meter. This year, the Company's LAUF Gas rate is -0.4601% (found gas). Workpaper No. 6. The Company allocates LAUF Gas at 75%to core customers (Residential and General Service) and 25%to industrial customers (Large Volume and Transportation). In this PGA, the total credit for LAUF is $993,971, which is a $745,478 credit to core customers and a $248,492 credit credited to industrial customers. Workpaper No. 5. The Company charges a Line Break Rate to parties who are responsible for damage to the distribution system causing a gas leak. The Company proposed to increase the rate from the current rate of$0.47576 to $0.49122. The Line Break Rate includes the WACOG of$0.28734 and Gas Transportation Cost of$0.20388. Exhibit No. 2, page 2. Staff believes the Company calculated the proposed Line Break Rate consistent with Order No. 33139. PGA Reporting In Order No. 34448, the Commission found that quarterly WACOG and monthly deferred cost reports provide useful information, assist Staff with determining whether to audit earlier than planned, and whether an interim filing might be needed. In its Application, the Company requested that the Commission maintain the quarterly requirement of filing for the Deferred Gas Cost Balance, LNG Sales Cost Benefit Analysis, and WACOG reports. The Company stated that it is committed to notifying the Commission if an interim filing might be needed. Staff believes quarterly reporting is reasonable given the Company's commitment to notify the Commission. CUSTOMER NOTICE AND PRESS RELEASE The Company's press release and customer notice were included with its Application. Staff reviewed the documents and determined that both met the requirements of Rule 125 of the Commission's Rules of Procedure. IDAPA 31.01.01.125. The notice was included with bills mailed to customers beginning August 11, 2025, and ending September 10, 2025. As of September 18, 2025, no customer comments had been filed. The Commission set a comment deadline of September 18, 2025. Some customers in the last billing cycles may not have received or had adequate time to submit comments before the comment deadline. Customers should have the opportunity to file comments and have those comments considered STAFF COMMENTS 9 SEPTEMBER 18, 2025 by the Commission. Staff recommends that the Commission consider late filed comments from customers. STAFF RECOMMENDATION After examining the Company's Application, natural gas purchases, and deferral activity for the year, Staff recommends the Commission: 1. Approve the Company's Application, increasing revenues by $303,638 as shown in Table No. 2, and approve the proposed WACOG amount of$0.28734 per therm; 2. Approve the Company's proposed Tariff Rate Schedules RS, GS-1, IS-R, IS-C, LV-1, T-3, and T-4 as filed with the Application; 3. Direct the Company to continue filing quarterly reports reflecting deferred gas costs and WACOG projections; 4. Order the Company to file an adjustment to its PGA-related rates, if gas prices significantly deviate from projections; and 5. Consider late-filed comments from customers. Respectfully submitted this 18th day of September 2025. ffrey 'Loll Deputy Attorney General Technical Staff: Leena Gilman, Joe Terry, Curtis Thaden, Vickie Stephens I:\Utility\UMISC\COMMENTS\INT-G-25-04 Comments.docx STAFF COMMENTS 10 SEPTEMBER 18, 2025 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS 181h DAY OF SEPTEMBER 2025, SERVED THE FOREGOING COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF , IN CASE NO. INT-G-25-04, BY E-MAILING A COPY THEREOF, TO THE FOLLOWING: LORI BLATTNER PRESTON N CARTER DIR—REGULATORY AFFAIRS MEGANN E. MEIER INTERMOUNTAIN GAS CO GIVENS PURSLEY LLP PO BOX 7608 601 W BANNOCK ST BOISE ID 83707 BOISE ID 83702 E-MAIL: lori.blattner( int a� E-MAIL: prestoncarterk i�pursley.com igcre ug latory(kint ag s.com mem(crs_i�pursle. stephaniewkgivenspursle, PATRICIA JORDAN, ECRETARY CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE