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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20250815Direct Michael Eldred - Surrebuttal.pdf RECEIVED August 15, 2025 IDAHO PUBLIC BEFORE THE UTILITIES COMMISSION IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER ) COMPANY'S APPLICATION FOR ) CASE NO. IPC-E-24-44 APPROVAL OF A SPECIAL ) CONTRACT AND TARIFF ) SCHEDULE 28 TO PROVIDE ) ELECTRIC SERVICE TO MICRON ) IDAHO SEMICONDUCTOR ) MANUFACTURING (TRITON) LLC ) SURREBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF MICHAEL ELDRED IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION AUGUST 15, 2025 1 Q. Please state your name and business address for 2 the record. 3 A. My name is Michael Eldred. My business address 4 is 11331 W. Chinden Blvd. , Building 8, Suite 201-A, Boise, 5 Idaho 83714 . 6 Q. By whom are you employed and in what capacity? 7 A. I am employed by the Idaho Public Utilities 8 Commission ("Commission") as a Utilities Analyst II in the 9 Utilities Division. 10 Q. Are you the same Michael Eldred who submitted 11 direct testimony in this proceeding on behalf of Commission 12 Staff? 13 A. Yes . 14 Q. What is the purpose of your surrebuttal testimony 15 in this proceeding? 16 A. The purpose of my surrebuttal testimony is to 17 address specific positions and recommendations included in 18 rebuttal testimony submitted by intervenors . These 19 positions and recommendations include : (1) The potential 20 reduction in average embedded cost; (2) The extension of 21 the take-or-pay provision and the Micron memory 22 manufacturing fabrication complex ("Micron FAB") load not 23 materializing; and (3) the clarification of my demand 24 pricing positions . 25 Q. Does the fact you do not address every issue CASE NO. IPC-E-24-44 ELDRED, M. (Sur-Reb) l 8/15/25 STAFF 1 raised in the direct or rebuttal testimony mean that you 2 agree with other parties' testimony on those issues? 3 A. No . It means I chose not to address all those 4 issues . It should not be read as an endorsement of, or 5 agreement with, any unaddressed issues . 6 Q. How is your testimony structured? 7 A. My testimony is subdivided into the following 8 sections : 9 I . Potential Reduction in Average Embedded Cost 10 II . Extension of Take-or-Pay Provisions 11 III . Clarification of my Demand Pricing Positions 12 I . Potential Reduction in Average Embedded Cost 13 Q. Please explain your concern with the potential 14 reduction in average embedded energy cost discussed in 15 Micron witness Gorman' s rebuttal testimony on pages 6-7 . 16 A. On pages 6-7 of Gorman' s rebuttal testimony, it 17 states : 18 All of these new capacity resource additions will help 19 to reduce the Company' s average embedded energy cost, but may not alter its marginal energy costs . Hence, as 20 long as Micron pays marginal energy rates rather than a portion of embedded system energy rates, Micron will 21 pay the fixed capacity cost for these resources but will not receive the benefit of the lower energy costs 22 associated them. This pricing structure will result in energy pricing benefits to non-special contract 23 customers . This can result in a reduction in costs to 24 the non-special contract customers, while Micron overpays . This outcome exceeds the stated objective of 25 ensuring "No Harm" to existing customers . CASE NO. IPC-E-24-44 ELDRED, M. (Sur-Reb) 2 8/15/25 STAFF 1 I agree there is potential for a reduction in 2 embedded energy costs but there is also a potential for an 3 increase in embedded energy costs . This is the speculative 4 nature of trying to forecast future energy costs and is the 5 primary reason I recommended in my direct testimony a 6 requirement for Commission approval and justification 7 before transitioning away from marginal cost-based energy 8 charges . The Company should be required to evaluate and 9 provide justification that moving from a marginal cost 10 basis to an embedded cost will not harm other customers 11 after the Micron FAB' s scheduled ramp period. 12 II . Extension of the Take-or-Pay Provision 13 Q. Please explain your concern with Gorman' s 14 recommendation to not extend the take-or-pay provision in 15 the Special Contract . 16 A. On pages 9-10 of Gorman' s rebuttal testimony, it 17 states : 18 The ESA as proposed in the Company' s Application 19 Provides robust customer protections including the take or pay minimum monthly billing demand 20 requirement . IPC states that the ESA includes "stringent terms intended to limit Micron' s ability to 21 request changes to [contract demand] levels" and "robust customer protections" including "the strongest 22 customer protections the Company has ever implemented for a special contract . " Extending the take or pay 23 provisions by five years as proposed by Mr. Eldred is 24 unnecessary to protect other customers and could result in discriminatory treatment by subjecting 25 Micron to terms and conditions that the Commission did not require for other recent special contracts . The CASE NO. IPC-E-24-44 ELDRED, M. (Sur-Reb) 3 8/15/25 STAFF Commission should approve the take or pay provision in 1 the proposed contract . 2 I am not persuaded by Gorman' s statements that 3 the take-or-pay provision should not be extended by 5 4 years . I believe the "strongest customer protections the 5 Company has ever implemented" is required along with 6 additional protections because this is the largest single 7 load the Company has proposed to bring on the system during 8 a time when the Company has near term capacity deficits and 9 requiring the Company to make large investments in new 10 capacity resources . 11 When determining my recommendation for a 5-year 12 extension of the take-or-pay provision, I reviewed how 13 other states have handled new large load customers and some 14 states include minimum contract lengths of ten years or 15 longer. l 2 My recommendation for extending the take-or-pay 16 provision by 5 years along with the proposed take-or-pay 17 provision during the scheduled ramp period is conservative 18 compared to some other states . In addition, my 19 20 1 Oregon House Bill No. 3536 requires a large energy use facility (20 MW or more) to enter into a contract of electricity service for a duration 21 of 10 years or longer and pay a minimum amount or percentage based on the customers projected electricity usage for the duration of the 22 contract. z Kentucky Power Company's Industrial General Service Tariff approved by 23 the Kentucky Public Service Commission requires commercial and industrial customers that add 150 MW or more to enter into a contract for an initial period of 20 years and the customer' s monthly billing 24 demand shall in no event be less than 900 of the greater of (a) the customer's on-peak contract capacity or (b) the customer's highest 25 previously established monthly billing demand during the past 11 months or (c) the customer's maximum demand created during the billing month. CASE NO. IPC-E-24-44 ELDRED, M. (Sur-Reb) 4 8/15/25 STAFF 1 recommendation allows the Company to verify that the Micron 2 FAB has reached a steady-state load that will provide 3 continued recovery of the incremental resources required to 4 serve them. I believe my recommendation for a 5-year 5 extension of the take-or-pay provision is the minimum 6 requirement for the extension because it provides a 7 reasonable balance on the length of the extension term and 8 provides a way to start reducing it, if it can be shown the 9 Micron FAB is providing adequate recovery. 10 Q. How do you respond to Gorman' s assertion that if 11 the Company' s projected load growth in several customer 12 classes and other large load additions occurs, then the 13 loss of the Micron Load will not result in stranded 14 production investment . Gorman, Di-Reb at 10 . 15 A. The Company is in the process of planning for and 16 is currently resourcing all projected load growth that the 17 Company has included in its Integrated Resource Plan. 18 These resources require several years of lead time to 19 implement and investments are being made to ensure the 20 Company can reliably meet all of its load obligations, 21 including the resources needed to meet Micron' s loads . And 22 because the Company has been chasing growth in demand since 23 2020 and is projected to continue to do so for the next 24 several years, if Micron' s loads do not materialize as 25 planned, it would be highly unlikely there would be CASE NO. IPC-E-24-44 ELDRED, M. (Sur-Reb) 5 8/15/25 STAFF 1 sufficient demand from other customers to mitigate or 2 eliminate stranded assets . 3 For Gorman' s contention to be true, I believe 4 there would have to be a significant unforeseen increase in 5 load growth in other customer classes that the Company has 6 neglected to plan for, in order to offset the stranded 7 investment due to the magnitude of Micron' s load. I 8 believe it is speculative to count on that type of load 9 growth to occur. By removing the take-or-pay provisions 10 too soon, the risk of stranded investment would no longer 11 be Micron' s, but would be borne by other customers instead. 12 Q. How do you respond to Gorman' s assertion that if 13 the Company has production capacity in excess of the amount 14 needed to serve retail customers, the Company has the 15 ability to enter into wholesale contracts . Gorman, Di-Reb 16 at 10 . 17 A. First, the Company is not in the business of being 18 a merchant wholesaler of electricity. It is in the 19 business of reliably meeting the load of its native load 20 customers within its service territory and doing so while 21 minimizing cost to those customers . The Company' s primary 22 purpose in selling excess energy into wholesale markets is 23 to more fully utilize its capacity sized to meet native 24 customer load and to offset net power cost to its 25 customers . CASE NO. IPC-E-24-44 ELDRED, M. (Sur-Reb) 6 8/15/25 STAFF 1 The memory chip markets that Micron operates in 2 have historically been highly cyclical and increase the 3 risk of the Micron FAB load not materializing as planned. 4 Given the size of Micron' s load, and if these loads do not 5 materialize, the Company could potentially become a much 6 larger player in the wholesale market . Because of the 7 volatility inherent in the wholesale electricity market, I 8 believe this would transfer an unreasonable amount of risk 9 from Micron to the Company' s other customers by requiring 10 the Company to rely on the market to recover its capital 11 investments without the take-or-pay provisions . As 12 discussed in my direct testimony, one of the main reasons 13 for recommending the extension of the take-or-pay 14 provisions by five years is to help mitigate the risk of 15 the Micron FAB load not materializing as planned and the 16 other factors discussed by Gorman do little to mitigate 17 this risk. 18 III . Clarification of my Demand Pricing Positions 19 Q. Do you agree with Dr. Kaufman' s assertion that 20 your positions on demand-charge pricing are inconsistent . 21 Kaufman, Re at 5, lines 5-11 . 22 A. No . I believe my position that an embedded cost 23 allocation is a reasonable approach for determining demand 24 charges is entirely consistent with my concern that unequal 25 load growth that drives in higher cost resources can CASE NO. IPC-E-24-44 ELDRED, M. (Sur-Reb) 7 8/15/25 STAFF 1 increase the average system embedded cost on a per kW basis 2 and can affect customer cost allocation unequally. There 3 are two reasons why these two positions are consistent . 4 First, I have been consistent in my position, 5 that the appropriate time to evaluate the cost allocation 6 is in a general rate case . Evaluating cost allocation in a 7 general rate case allows a wholistic evaluation of all 8 customer classes loads and the costs included for recovery 9 at that time without having to evaluate a customer class in 10 isolation with outdated information or rely on a long-term 11 forecast, both of which can introduce error in the fair 12 allocation of costs . 13 Second, the allocation of those costs should 14 depend on how those embedded costs are allocated and should 15 be based on the principle that the cost causer should pay 16 the cost . A fair allocation, which again should be 17 determined in a general rate case, needs to consider the 18 cost of resources Micron is driving into the system due to 19 the size of its incremental load compared to the cost of 20 resources driven by the growth of the Company' s other 21 customer classes . For example, instead of an allocation of 22 embedded cost based on each classes' load share, the load 23 share could be weighted based on the amount of incremental 24 growth in each class . 25 Q. Does this conclude your testimony in this CASE NO. IPC-E-24-44 ELDRED, M. (Sur-Reb) 8 8/15/25 STAFF I proceeding? 2 A. Yes, it does . 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 CASE NO. IPC-E-24-44 ELDRED, M. (Sur-Reb) 9 8/15/25 STAFF CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS 15TH DAY OF AUGUST 2025, SERVED THE FOREGOING SURREBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF MICHAEL ELDRED, IN CASE NO. IPC-E-24-44, BY E-MAILING A COPY THEREOF, TO THE FOLLOWING: MEGAN GOICOECHEA ALLEN CONNIE ASCHENBRENNER DONOVAN E.WALKER GRANT ANDERSON IDAHO POWER COMPANY IDAHO POWER COMPANY PO BOX 70 PO BOX 70 BOISE ID 83707-0070 BOISE ID 83707-0070 E-MAIL:mgoicoecheaallen(i�idahopower.com E-MAIL: caschenbrennerpidahopower.com dwalker(&idahopower.com gandersonAidahopower.com dockets(i�idahopower.com Micron Micron AUSTIN RUESCHHOFF AUSTIN W JENSEN THORVALD A NELSON KRISTINE A.K.ROACH HOLLAND&HART LLP HOLLAND&HART LLP 555 17TH ST STE 3200 555 17TH ST STE 3200 DENVER CO 80202 DENVER CO 80202 E-MAIL: darueschhoff@hollandhart.com EMAIL: awjensenghollandhart.com tnelson@hollandhart.com karoach@hollandhart.com aclee(&hollandhart.com Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Ass'n, Inc. Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Assn,Inc. Eric L.Olsen Lance Kaufman,Ph.D. Echo Hawk&Olsen,PLLC 2623 NW Bluebell Place P.O.Box 6119 Corvallis,OR 97330 505 Pershing Ave., Ste. 100 E-MAIL: lance@ae isg insi h Pocatello,ID 83205 E-MAIL: elogechohawk.com Industrial Customers of Idaho Power Industrial Customers of Idaho Power Peter J.Richardson Dr.Don Reading Richardson Adams,PLLC 280 S. Silverwood Way 515 N.27r1'St. Eagle,ID 83716 Boise,ID 83702 E-MAIL: dreadingga,mindspring.com E-MAIL: peterArichardsonadams.com Clean Energy Opportunities for Idaho Clean Energy Opportunities for Idaho Kelsey Jae Courtney White 920 N.Clover Dr. Mike Heckler Boise,ID 83703 Clean Energy Opportunities for Idaho E-MAIL: kelsey@kelseyjae.com 3778 Plantation River Dr., Ste. 102 Boise,ID 83703 E-MAIL: courtney(_cleanenergyopportunities.com mike(i�cleanenerayopportunities.com PATRICIA JORDAN CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE