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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20250731Reply Comments.pdf ' 11 RECEIVED Avista Corp. uly 31, 2025 p' IDAHO PUBLIC 1411 East Mission P.O. Box 3727 UTILITIES COMMISSION Spokane, Washington 99220-0500 Telephone 509-489-0500 Toll Free 800-727-9170 July 31, 2025 Commission Secretary Idaho Public Utilities Commission 11331 W. Chinden Blvd. Bldg. 8, Ste. 201-A Boise, Idaho 83714 RE: Case No. AVU-E-24-13 - Avista's Reply Comments - 2025 Electric Integrated Resource Plan Dear Secretary: Avista Corporation, dba Avista Utilities (Avista or the Company), submits the following comments in response to comments received from the Idaho Public Utilities Commission Staff (Staff)and the Northwest Energy Coalition(NWEC)in the matter of the Company's 2025 Electric Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) in Case No. AVU-E-24-13. Avista appreciates the time and diligence of Idaho Staff and NWEC, and the valuable inputs given during the Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) process and looks forward to continued collaboration for planning in future IRPs. The following comments are in response to Staff s recommendations. Replies to Staff comments concerning Avista's 2025 Electric IRP: Recommendation The Company continue to evaluate potential resource allocation methods due to the divergence in resource strategies and to keep the Commission informed about any potential changes in the resource allocation method. Response At this time, Avista is not proposing any changes to resource allocation between Idaho and Washington beyond the currently used Production Transmission (PT) ratio. Although state level resource allocation would solve certain issues the Company may face in the future as state resource policies differ, it is Avista's understanding that any change in resource cost allocation must be approved in a general rate case, after an agreement between both Idaho and Washington on how resource costs and associated energy would be allocated prior to being presented in the general rate case. Two Washington State policies create the need for a potential change in cost allocation: 1)Climate Commitment Act(CCA), and 2) Clean Energy Transformation Act(CETA). These policies either require the Company to potentially change the dispatch of existing resources or acquire clean or non-greenhouse gas emitting resources at a higher cost than the least cost alternatives. These two policies have created some tension concerning cost recovery,but not to the level of the immediate need to develop an alternative process to divide resources, but such a process may be required in the future if resource choices or dispatch decisions are required to be specific to each jurisdiction. Recommendation The Company during the Request for Proposal (RFP) process evaluate the cost impact to Idaho and the fair allocation of generation and transmission resources for Idaho caused by any Washington specific resources. Response Avista plans to evaluate resources bid into the 2025 All-Source RFP using a methodology from both the perspectives of each jurisdiction.Avista will select the lowest cost project,but if resources are selected that are biased towards use mainly for Washington, this may necessitate a different resource cost allocation methodology than the current PT ratio methodology. Recommendation The Company address the aforementioned CCA issues in the next IRP. Response Avista will not include direct CCA costs in the 2027 IRP for Idaho's cost forecast, even though these costs presently exist for the utility on behalf of Idaho customers. Further, the Company will use an electric price forecast for resource alternatives not directly including the CCA pricing, specifically a price forecast for northwest energy without delivery into Washington State will be used for avoided cost purposes. Recommendation The Company include a scenario where the Washington market and the California market are not linked in the next IRP. Response Avista anticipates wholesale electric market prices will be higher during some periods of the year if the California/Quebec and Washington greenhouse gas credit markets do not link due to the potential for acquiring allowances for two state programs when transacting between regions. At the time of the 2025 IRP, the State of Washington passed legislation to enable linkage between programs. At this time, linkage has not occurred,but Washington is actively pursuing linkage with California.Avista agrees to model this scenario if the market is not linked or not making significant progress on linkage during the IRP process for linkage for the 2028 forecast year(this will be the first year considered in the 2027 IRP. 2 1 P a g e Recommendation The Company improve the clarity of market prices without the CCA in the next IRP. Response Avista agrees to provide a presentation at a 2027 TAC meeting on how the wholesale electric price forecast is developed and how the CCA is accounted for in the forecast. Further, Avista will provide a price forecast for the Idaho jurisdiction without direct CCA pricing in the 2027 IRP. Recommendation The Company continue to improve the IRP reliability analysis to measure resource adequacy metrics on additional portfolios under evaluation across more years in the planning horizon. Response Avista reliability analysis in the 2025 IRP was conducted for 2030 and 2045 for a limited number of scenarios. The scenarios with reliability modeled were considered based on whether there is a reliability concern and not for scenarios with objectives focusing on other issues. While it would be informative to have reliability analysis completed on every scenario, it may not be as useful in some scenarios because of the intent of what is being considered under those scenarios. Avista does plan to conduct more reliability analysis, however, the extent of the additional analysis will be limited based upon available tools. Avista's current tool resides within an Excel spreadsheet with an optimization routine. Avista is exploring the use of the Aurora model to make it feasible to model additional years and scenarios possible in a reasonable amount of time. Recommendation The Company exercise caution when planning DSM programs for EE measures and be ready to provide detailed support for the costs and cost-effectiveness of related programs. Response Avista is making significant changes in the 2027 IRP for the analysis of energy efficiency. Avista will be working with Cadmus for the 2027 and 2029 IRPs to provide third party analysis of potential energy efficiency and demand response measures. Recommendation The Company to continue to review the results of the CPA for additional errors and to carefully review the results of third-party evaluation and studies in the future. Response Avista agrees that careful evaluation of third-party studies in future IRPs will help to ensure results are reasonable and achievable. 3 1 P a g e The following comments are in response to NWEC. Load Forecasting The Idaho PUC and Avista should create a new rate class for data centers, cryptocurrency operations and other similar large loads, and the Commission should develop additional rules it deems necessary. Avista should require data centers, cryptocurrency operations and similar large loads to sign minimum 10-year contracts to ensure that infrastructure investments to serve data centers are fully recovered. Avista should require data centers to agree to pay for a minimum amount of energy monthly or annually, even if the facility uses less than expected, as well as requiring the facility to pay an additional fee if they use excess energy. Avista should require new data centers to pay the full cost of any transmission upgrades required to serve them. Response Avista is in the process of developing policies regarding large loads, such as data centers or cryptocurrency miners. The Company is not planning on developing a rate class for these types of customers currently but is monitoring and analyzing if there is a need to separate these types of customers as they are added to regional loads. NWEC's other suggestions concerning these types of large loads are in line with the internal discussions about policies being developed. Energy Efficiency We encourage Avista to take a closer look at how the context for utility operations, resource costs and critical peak challenges is dramatically increasing the real cost-effectiveness of energy efficiency, including a revamped assessment of diurnal, seasonal and critical peak conditions. Response The energy efficiency analysis for the 2025 IRP's Conservation Potential Assessment (CPA) will be done by a new consultant,Cadmus,for the 2027 and 2029 IRPs.This new work plus the updated load forecasting work may result in different amounts and types of energy efficiency being cost effective. Demand Response No doubt the effort to achieve substantial accelerated DR [demand response] is considerable and will take several years,but the results of the draft IRP pose a serious threat of"analysis paralysis." There are increasing opportunities for achieving greater demand response. Response The DR potential study will be done by a new consultant, Cadmus, for the 2027 and 2029 IRPs. The results of the 2025 All-Source RFP, which included DR bids, will determine actionable projects if cost competitive against other alternatives. 4 Page Storage We think storage can be counted on for a greater amount of new system resources starting immediately. Response Avista is currently evaluating bids from the 2025 All-Source RFP. If storage is a cost-effective solution to solve capacity deficits, it will be determined through the RFP process. New Supply Resources While investigating further extension to wholesale gas supply would provide useful information, we strongly recommend adding a comprehensive assessment of these non-gas alternatives. Response Avista looks forward to discussing how these assessments might apply in the 2027 IRP in the upcoming TAC meetings. Western Day-ahead Market Opportunities In its next IRP,we encourage Avista to include an analysis of the benefits of accessing a day-ahead market including the ability access a large set of diverse resources and an objective assessment of independent governance ultimately controlled by western stakeholders. Response The Company is still in the process of determining which regional market to participate in, this analysis and decision will be conducted outside of an IRP process. Transmission While the draft IRP indicates a related interest in upgrading the Colstrip Transmission System ("CTS"), we also encourage Avista to consider the possibilities for transmission expansion between the CTS and the Avista system. While that is necessarily a long and complex build and would involve multiple partners, we believe there is major value in strengthening access to Montana wind as well as the MISO and Southwest Power Pool markets that could be enabled by North Plains. ... Avista may also benefit from a focused reconductoring analysis. Response Avista agrees strengthening the Montana transmission system will be advantageous for Avista's customers. Resource Adequacy NWEC participates in the public process of the Western Resource Adequacy Program("WRAP") and applauds Avista's program participation. We encourage a more nuanced approach to its inclusion within the IRP context. Response Avista plans to continue using WRAP information for resource planning where appropriate. 5 1 P a g e Climate Baseline We are supportive of Avista's forward-looking approach to a climate-adjusted baseline. However, we also encourage Avista to adopt a consistent approach to use of IPCC metrics and methods. For example,in our view RCP 4.5 ("representative concentration pathway")should be employed year- round. Response Avista will be revisiting the base climate assumptions used in the development of the IRP forecasts and appreciate the input regarding moving to the use of a single RCP instead of using different RCPs for the winter and summer periods. Avista appreciates NWEC sharing their position. If you have any questions regarding this filing,please contact James Gall at 509-495-2189 or John Lyons at 509-495-8515. Sincerely, lals" Smj�" Shawn Bonfield Sr. Manager of Regulatory Strategy &Policy 509-495-2782 Shawn.bonfield&avistacorp.com 6 1 P a g e