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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20250612Staff Comments.pdf RECEIVED June 12, 2025 ADAM TRIPLETT IDAHO PUBLIC DEPUTY ATTORNEY GENERAL UTILITIES COMMISSION IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION PO BOX 83720 BOISE, IDAHO 83720-0074 (208) 334-0318 IDAHO BAR NO. 10221 Street Address for Express Mail: 11331 W CHINDEN BLVD, BLDG 8, SUITE 201-A BOISE, ID 83714 Attorney for the Commission Staff BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER ) COMPANY'S APPLICATION TO MODIFY ) CASE NO. IPC-E-25-02 ITS ENERGY RISK MANAGEMENT ) STANDARDS ) COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF COMMISSION STAFF ("STAFF") OF the Idaho Public Utilities Commission ("Commission"), by and through its Attorney of record, Adam Triplett, Deputy Attorney General, submits the following comments. BACKGROUND On January 31, 2025, Idaho Power Company("Company") applied for authority to modify its Energy Risk Management Standards ("ERMS"). The ERMS implement the Company's Energy Risk Management Policy, which together make up Idaho Power's Energy Risk Management Program. Application at 2. The ERMS defines "a systematic methodology to identify, quantify, and manage the market-driven risks associated with the Company's operations."Id. The current Energy Risk Management Program was approved by the Commission in Final Order No. 29102. STAFF COMMENTS I JUNE 12, 2025 According to the Company, the ERMS is used"to evaluate the prudence of prospective power supply transactions satisfying customer load for recovery in customer rates." Id. at 7. On March 12, 2025, the Commission issued a Notice of Application and Notice of Intervention Deadline, setting a deadline for interested parties to intervene. Order No. 36499. No parties petitioned to intervene. On April 23, 2025, the Commission issued a Notice of Modified Procedure, setting a June 12, 2025,public comment deadline and a Company reply deadline of June 26, 2025. Order No. 36570. STAFF ANALYSIS Staff believes the Company's proposed updates to the ERMS are reasonable and likely to benefit ratepayers. Therefore, Staff recommends that the Commission approve the changes to the ERMS, as filed. However, although these changes are likely to result in better power price stability, Staff does not believe that Commission approval and unquestioning use of these standards are proof of prudent power supply cost. Staff believes it is important for the Company to use these standards but with consideration of the circumstances of the current and future power purchasing environment as decisions are made. Case for Change Staff reviewed the Company's Application and confidential attachments, finding them to be informative regarding the history of the ERMS, the development of the current program, and the reasons for the proposed changes. Staff met twice with the Company to discuss the current system and the proposed changes in more detail. Due to the complexity of the ERMS, the direct meetings were helpful for Staff to understand the reasons for the changes. The Company asserts that it needs to update the standards because they"were created in a period when hydro and coal generation comprised a larger proportion of Idaho Power's overall load serving capacity and the Company had significantly less reliance on natural gas markets compared to today." Application at 4. Since the ERMS were first authorized, coal-fired generation capacity in the Company's system has decreased approximately 665 megawatts ("MW"), while gas-fired generation has increased approximately 1,300 MW. Id. STAFF COMMENTS 2 JUNE 12, 2025 Staff believes that in the past, large volumes of coal generation served as a natural hedge against market electricity prices. The price of the Company's coal supplies has historically been more stable, relative to natural gas and electricity prices,because coal supplies were captured either through vertically-integrated mine-mouth plants, or through long-term coal contracts. Because of the Company's load growth, and the retirement or conversion of coal resources, the Company faces an increased reliance on market purchases to serve load. Staff agrees that this results in a larger volume of hedging transactions. Staff also agrees that lengthening the time window to incrementally transact these hedges will reduce price risk. Staff verified that under the current ERMS, the Company's hedging transactions are currently conducted within a limited timeframe. See Company's response to Production Request No. 1, confidential attachment. Furthermore, the Company states that natural gas market contract terms are spanning years and trades are occurring multiple years into the future. Application at 5. Given that 90 percent of financial hedges are natural gas, without changes to the Company's ERMS, the Company will not be able to access these offerings, which currently trade with much less price volatility. Id. Staff believes this places the Company at a competitive disadvantage to other purchasers of natural gas and electricity, who are not limited by these time horizon requirements. Staff is aware of other regulated utilities that secure longer-term contracts and that conduct trades further into the future, which justifies the Company's proposed changes. Changes to Tier Two In view of these circumstances, the Company proposes to change its Tier Two volumetric limit by"expanding the time window..., establishing both deficit and surplus positions using a base-case hydro forecast, and instituting a stair-step approach to filling or reducing those positions over time." Id. at 6. In meetings with the Company, Staff reviewed several operational examples of these changes and agree they are reasonable and are likely to reduce risk and improve the Company's hedging outcomes. Staff is also aware that other regulated utilities apply similar mechanisms in their own risk management systems. Therefore, Staff believes that the Company's proposed changes to its Tier Two rules are reasonable and likely to benefit ratepayers. STAFF COMMENTS 3 JUNE 12, 2025 Changes to Tier One The Company is also making changes to its Tier One, High Price Limit, so that the limit works in conjunction with the changes and the new framework incorporated into Tier Two. Staff reviewed the proposed changes, the rationale for the changes, and agrees that the updates to Tier One are reasonable The Tier One limits are designed to manage the financial exposure to run-away pricing. The limits are based on low water and high price scenarios and hedges triggered when forward market prices exceed the limit. Id. at 5. Staff was consulted on the changes during the 2024 Fall Customer Advisory Group ("CAG") meeting and in a separate meeting with the Company on April 21, 2025, and agrees that the changes should limit financial exposure to high power prices and are integrated with the changes proposed for Tier Two. Changes to Tier Three The Tier Three, Floor Price Limit, addresses the risk of participation when a potential decline in electricity and/or natural gas prices is less than a risk of a potential price increase. Hedges would be triggered when market forward prices drop below these limits through an expanded evaluation time window. Again, proposed changes to the calculation and application of these limits were designed to integrate with changes to Tier Two. The Company believes that these changes would allow it access to a wider variety of products with more stable prices. Id. at 6. Staff verified the Tier Three method through response to Production Request No. 2, presentations made during the Company's 2024 fall CAG meeting, and the April 21, 2025, meeting between Staff and the Company and agrees that the changes are reasonable. STAFF RECOMMENDATION Staff recommends: 1. The Commission approve the Company's update to the ERMS as filed. 2. The Commission clarify that although the ERMS provides a framework and procedural guidelines for the Company's power supply transactions, the final determination of prudence occurs when the Company seeks recovery. STAFF COMMENTS 4 JUNE 12, 2025 Respectfully submitted this 12th day of June 2025. Adam Triplett Deputy Attorney General Technical Staff. Matt Suess, Joe Terry, James Chandler, Kimberly Loskot 1:\Utility\UMISC\COMMENTS\IPC-E-25-02 Comments.doex STAFF COMMENTS 5 JUNE 12, 2025 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS /l DAY OF JUNE 2025, SERVED THE FOREGOING COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF, IN CASE NO. IPC-E-25-02, BY E-MAILING A COPY THEREOF TO THE FOLLOWING: MEGAN GOICOECHEA ALLEN MATTHEW T. LARKIN IDAHO POWER COMPANY TIMOTHY E. TATUM PO BOX 70 JESSI BRADY BOISE ID 83707-0070 IDAHO POWER COMPANY E-MAIL: PO BOX 70 mgoicoecheaallenaidahopower.com BOISE ID 83707-0070 dockets Cajdahopower.com E-MAIL: mlarkin 6 idahopower.com ttatum c idahopower.com jbrady,c idahopower.com a, PATRICIA JORDA , SECRETARY CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE