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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20250529Staff Comments.pdf RECEIVED May 29, 2025 JEFFREY R. LOLL IDAHO PUBLIC DEPUTY ATTORNEY GENERAL UTILITIES COMMISSION IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION PO BOX 83720 BOISE, IDAHO 83720-0074 (208) 334-0357 IDAHO BAR NO. 11675 Street Address for Express Mail: 11331 W CHINDEN BLVD, BLDG 8, SUITE 201-A BOISE, ID 83714 Attorney for the Commission Staff BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION ) OF IDAHO POWER COMPANY FOR ) CASE NO. IPC-E-25-03 APPROVAL OF THE NORTH VALMY ) POWER PLANT NATURAL GAS ) CONVERSION AGREEMENT WITH NV ) COMMENTS OF THE ENERGY ) COMMISSION STAFF COMMISSION STAFF ("STAFF") OF the Idaho Public Utilities Commission ("Commission"), by and through its Attorney of record, Jeffrey R. Loll, Deputy Attorney General, submits the following comments. BACKGROUND On January 31, 2025, Idaho Power Company("Company") applied ("Application")to the Commission requesting an order approving a Natural Gas Conversion Agreement("Conversion Agreement")between the Company and Sierra Pacific Power Company d/b/a NV Energy("NV Energy"), relating to the North Valmy Power Plant("Valmy"). The Company represents the 2023 Integrated Resource Plan("2023 IRP") identified the conversion of both Valmy units from coal-fired operations to natural gas operations in 2026 as the least-cost, least-risk option and a subsequent updated analysis further supported the STAFF COMMENTS 1 MAY 29, 2025 conversion to natural gas. Application at 6. The Conversion Agreement memorializes the terms that will allow the Company's continued participation in the Valmy operations. Id. On May 31, 2017, in Case No. IPC-E-16-24, the Commission issued Order No. 33771, approving a settlement stipulation("2017 Settlement") in which the Company agreed to: (1) conduct ongoing analyses to evaluate the economics of a Unit 2 retirement; (2)negotiate with NV Energy to permanently end coal-burning operations at Valmy Unit 1 by December 31, 2019, and Valmy Unit 2 by December 31, 2025; or alternatively, (3)use prudent and commercially reasonable efforts to end its participation in Valmy along the same timeline. Order No. 33771 at 3. On May 31, 2019, in Case No. IPC-E-19-08, the Commission approved the Company's Framework Agreement with NV Energy as prudent and commercially reasonable. Order No. 34349 at 5. The Company represents the Framework Agreement memorializes the terms and conditions under which either partner may exit participation of Valmy. Application at 3. On November 3, 2021, the Commission acknowledged December 21, 2025, as the exit date for Valmy Unit 2 and expected the Company to continue to evaluate all possible options that would allow it to exit Unit 2 before December 31, 2025. Order No. 35217. STAFF ANALYSIS Staff reviewed the Company's request to approve the Conversion Agreement between the Company and NV Energy associated with the Valmy plant, and Staff evaluated the Company's Application,production request responses, and related previous cases. Staff recommends that the Commission approve the Conversion Agreement,updates to existing agreements, and the decision to convert Units 1 and 2 to natural gas in 2026 as prudent, contingent on the Company providing sufficient evidence that operating Units 1 and 2 as a coal plant through 2028—at which time Valmy is required to be out of coal according to federally enforceable retirement dates included in the current air permits—before converting it to gas was either not feasible prior to the Public Utilities Commission of Nevada's ("Nevada Commission") approval of converting the units to gas and/or more costly than the Company's proposal. Staff also recommends that recovery be based on appropriate and prudently incurred actual cost at the time when the Company seeks recovery. Furthermore, Staff believes that: 1. The Company's methods and models used to perform its analysis are reasonable; STAFF COMMENTS 2 MAY 29, 2025 2. The North Valmy Project Framework Agreement and Conversion Agreement both indicate financial responsibilities for the Company and NV Energy; and 3. The future responsibility for ongoing expenses after conversion is consistent with the previous agreements. Prudence of Valmy Conversion to Natural Gas To determine the prudence of the decision to convert the Valmy generating units to natural gas, Staff identified three feasible options it believes were available to the Company given the history and circumstances relative to the Valmy facility and the Company's need for system capacity that the facility can provide. The alternatives are as follows: Alternative 1: Exit Unit 2 as planned at the end of 2025 and obtain other resources to ensure reliability; Alternative 2: Convert Units 1 and/or 2 to natural gas in 2026 and continue the partnership in Valmy with NV Energy; or Alternative 3: Operate Units 1 and/or 2 as a coal plant through 2028 before converting the Units to natural gas. Staff believes the Company adequately analyzed and compared Alternatives 1 and 2. Staff believes that converting Units 1 and 2 to be fueled by natural gas and operating it in partnership with NV Energy is the least cost and least risk option between the two alternatives. However, Staff does not believe the Company has provided sufficient evidence showing that Alternative 3 should have been ruled out. Evaluation of Alternatives I and 2 As part of the 2023 IRP modeling analysis, the Company evaluated Alternatives 1 and 2 by modeling several different combinations of how and whether to continue to operate Valmy. Ellsworth Direct at 8. The results of the 2023 IRP analysis showed that converting Units 1 and 2 to natural gas in 2026 was the least cost, least risk option when evaluated over the 20-year IRP planning horizon on a net present value ("NPV")basis. Id. at 8-9. This option was more cost effective than other Valmy conversion options the Company evaluated and was $78 million less than the alternative where the Company exits Unit 2 in 2025 as planned. Id. at 9. STAFF COMMENTS 3 MAY 29, 2025 To evaluate the risk associated with converting Valmy to natural gas for Alternatives 1 and 2, the Company performed a stochastic analysis by analyzing 6 different variations of its preferred portfolio with 2 different Boardman to Hemingway ("B2H") transmission line online dates (July 2026 and November 2026) and 3 different implementations for Valmy using the then- current agreements as a baseline (exiting Valmy Unit 2 after 2025, converting Valmy Unit 2 to natural gas in 2026, and converting Valmy Units 1 and 2 to natural gas in 2026). 2023 Integrated Resource Plan at 142-143. For each of the 6 variations of the preferred portfolio, the Company ran 60 iterations with varying natural gas prices, customer loads, levels of hydroelectric generation, and carbon prices and then plotted the NPV distributions for each of the 6 portfolios. 2023 Integrated Resource Plan—Appendix C at 84-88. From these results, regardless of the B2H online dates, the preferred portfolio with conversion of Valmy Units 1 and 2 to natural gas in 2026 had the highest overall probability of being least cost over the range of risk variable values. Ellsworth Direct at 16. These results provided verification that converting Units 1 and 2 to natural gas is both least cost using baseline planning conditions, but also least risk when future conditions change. Id. In addition to the 2023 IRP analysis, the Company completed a subsequent updated analysis that included updated cost responsibilities agreed to in the Conversion Agreement and a change in the 132H in-service date from 2026 to 2027. The updated analysis shows converting Valmy Units 1 and 2 to gas in 2026 with B2H in 2027 is more cost effective by $880 million on a NPV basis than exiting Unit 2 as planned at the end of 2025. Id. at 15. The large increase in NPV compared to the 2023 IRP analysis is largely due to the delay in the 132H online date. Furthermore, the Company's analysis showed that the Company could not meet reliability targets using a portfolio with B2H delayed until 2027 and the Company exiting Unit 2 at the end of 2025. Id. This result indicated the capacity values provided by Valmy Units 1 and 2 after 2025 are required to meet the Company's reliability targets, especially when 132H is delayed until 2027. Staff believes the Company's 2023 modeling analysis and the subsequent updated analysis provides sufficient evidence that between completely exiting Valmy at the end of 2025 and converting Units 1 and 2 to natural gas in 2026, converting both units in 2026 is the least cost, least risk alternative. STAFF COMMENTS 4 MAY 29, 2025 Evaluation of Alternative 3 Staff does not believe that the Company provided sufficient evidence that would have ruled out Alternative 3 by performing an analysis on the Company opting into both Units as coal plants until 2028 and then subsequently converting to natural gas. Through discovery, Staff asked the Company if it performed an analysis on operating Units 1 and 2 beyond the retirements agreed to in the 2017 Settlement. The Company responded with the following reasons for not conducting this analysis: 1. The Company exited coal-fired operations of Unit 1 on December 31, 2019, as accepted by the Commission in Order No. 33983 as part of the Company's 2017 IRP; 2. The Company agreed to use prudent and commercially reasonable efforts to end participation in Unit 1 by December 31, 2019, and Unit 2 by December 31, 2025, as part of the 2017 Settlement approved by the Commission in Order No. 33771; and 3. The Framework Agreement between the Company and NV Energy provides the contractual mechanism that allows the Company to satisfy its obligation of the Settlement approved in Order No. 33771. Response to Staff Production Request No. 3 and 4. First, Staff does not believe these reasons were sufficient to excuse the Company from evaluating operating Valmy beyond the agreed upon exit dates, especially given updated information and the Company's current resource need that has changed since the 2017 Settlement was approved. Furthermore, the 2017 Settlement stated that"Idaho Power will conduct ongoing analyses to evaluate the economics of a Unit 2 retirement and submit the results as part of the Integrated Resource Plan." 2017 Settlement at 5. Staff believes the intent for that provision was for the Company to keep its options open as conditions changed. Second, when the Commission acknowledges the Company's IRPs, it does not approve the prudence of a selected resource plan. See Order No. 33983 at 18. Third, in Staff Production Request No. 5, Staff requested the limitations of operating Units 1 and 2 as a coal plant beyond 2025 outside of consideration of the current Valmy agreements and the 2017 Settlement. The Company responded with the following: 1. The federally enforceable retirement dates included in the current air permits require Valmy to be out of coal by December 31, 2028; STAFF COMMENTS 5 MAY 29, 2025 2. The Nevada Commission approved the conversion of Units 1 and 2 to natural gas on March 1, 2024; and 3. In March 2024, NV Energy submitted an application for an air permit modification to convert Units 1 and 2 to natural gas no later than June 1, 2027, which is expected to be complete by July 2025. However, Staff believes the only hard limitation that restricted evaluating operating Valmy beyond 2025 as a coal plant was the current federally enforceable retirement date of December 31, 2028. The Company could have performed an analysis of operating both units of Valmy as coal until the end of 2028 and if it was lower cost, the Company could have negotiated with NV Energy prior to its case with the Nevada Commission. Additionally, since the requested air permit modification has not been approved, it does not limit the Company from operating the Valmy Units as coal beyond 2025. Staff believes the Company should have evaluated Valmy fueled by coal as long as possible, if operating as a coal unit is less expensive and carries less risk than fueling Valmy with gas. Although this alternative would not be a long-term option due to the Valmy enforceable retirement date in 2028, customers could see incremental benefits. Staff recommends the Company provide sufficient evidence that operating Units 1 and 2 as a coal plant through 2028 before converting it to gas was either not feasible prior to the Nevada Commission's decision and/or more costly than the Company's proposal. Conversion Agreement Review Staff reviewed the Conversion Agreement (Exhibit No. 5 in Application) and assessed proposed updates to agreements related to the (1) Ownership of the North Valmy Power Plant (1978), (2)the Operation of the North Valmy Power Plant(1978), (3) the North Valmy Station Operating Procedures Criteria(1993), and(4)the North Valmy Project Framework Agreement (2019). All noted updates and changes appear appropriate to allow existing documents to align with the proposed Conversion Agreement. However, Staff is concerned with the financial commitments associated with Exit Fees for Unit 1, which the company is expected to continue to pay until the conversion is completed, as outlined in the Exit Fee Schedule of the North Valmy Project Framework Agreement. Additionally, the Company must contribute 50% of the costs associated with decommissioning, STAFF COMMENTS 6 MAY 29, 2025 demolition, and closure activities, as well as maintenance and upgrades that support the natural gas conversion from the original Unit 1 exit date of December 31, 2019, until the Unit 1 conversion is completed. The Company was unable to provide cost information and indicated it is still negotiating regarding the decommissioning and conversion costs. Staff recommends that the Company provide a report as a compliance filing to this case once a financial agreement is reached between the Company and NV Energy. Additionally, Staff recommends the Company provide an updated report in its filing when the Company seeks recovery for these financial commitments. The report should include all costs associated with the Exit Fee Schedule of the North Valmy Project Framework Agreement, including but not limited to, an account number or brief description of cost, date incurred, the original cost, and the Company's share of the cost. STAFF RECOMMENDATION Staff recommends: 1. The Commission approve the Conversion Agreement, updates to existing agreements, and the Company's decision to convert Valmy Units 1 and 2 from coal to natural gas as prudent, contingent on the Company providing sufficient evidence that operating Units 1 and 2 as a coal plant through 2028 before converting it to gas was either not feasible prior to the Nevada Commission's decision to convert the units to gas and/or more costly than the Company's proposal; 2. That recovery be based on appropriate and prudently incurred actual cost at the time when the Company seeks recovery of its investments; and 3. The Commission order the Company to provide a report as a compliance filing in this case and an update of the report when it seeks cost recovery, as detailed above. Respectfully submitted this 29th day of May 2025. �f effrey . Loll Deputy Attorney General Technical Staff Michael Eldred Vicki Stephens 1:\Utility\UMISC\COMMENTS\IPC-E-25-03 Comments.docx STAFF COMMENTS 7 MAY 29, 2025 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE r qt�- I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS DAY OF MAY 2025, SERVED THE FOREGOING COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF, IN CASE NO. IPC-E-25-03, BY E-MAILING A COPY THEREOF TO THE FOLLOWING: LISA D. NORDSTROM TIM TATUM MEGAN GOICOECHEA ALLEN IDAHO POWER COMPANY IDAHO POWER COMPANY PO BOX 70 PO BOX 70 BOISE ID 83707-0070 BOISE ID 83707-0070 E-MAIL: ttatuinAidahopower.com E-MAIL: lnordstrom idahopower.com m oicoecheaallen Lciddahopower.com dockets aidahopower.com Ed Jewell Katie O'Neil Jessica Harrison Energy Program Manager Deputy City Attorneys Boise City Dept. of Public Works Boise City Attorney's Office 150 N. Capitol Blvd. 150 N. Capitol Blvd. P.O. Box 500 P.O. Box 500 Boise, ID 83701-0500 Boise, ID 83701-0500 E-MAIL: E-MAIL: koneilAcityofboise.org e e� well�,cityofboise.org iharrison cccityofboise.org boisecitvattomey�cityof boise.org Austin Rueschhoff Eric L. Olsen Thorvald A. Nelson Echo Hawk & Olsen, PLLC Austin W. Jensen P.O. Box 6119 Kristine A.K. Roach 505 Pershing Ave., Ste. 100 Holland & Hart, LLP Pocatello, ID 83205 555 171h Street, Suite 3200 E-MAIL: elo�echohawk.com Denver, CO 80202 E-MAIL: darueschhoffc hollandhart.com tnelsona,- hollandhart.com awiensen cthollandhart.com k_aroach a hollandhart.com aclee ithollandhart.com Lance Kaufinan, Ph.D. 2623 NW Bluebell Place Corvallis, OR 97330 E-MAIL: lance c�aegisinsi hg�t.com PATRICIA JORDAN, SE RETARY CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE