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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20250324Direct Lance D. Kaufman Ph.D_Exhibits.pdf RECEIVED March 24, 2025 IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER CASE NO. IPC-E-24-44 COMPANY'S APPLICATION FOR APPROVAL OF A SPECIAL CONTRACT AND TARIFF SCHEDULE 28 TO PROVIDE ELECTRIC SERVICE TO MICRON IDAHO SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING (TRITON) LLC INTERVENOR IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS ASSOCIATION, INC. WRITTEN TESTIMONY OF LANCE D. KAUFMAN, Ph.D. March 22, 2025 TABLE OF CONTENTS IDAHO POWER'S MICRON SPECIAL CONTRACT CASE Case No. IPC-E-24-44 Written Testimony of Lance D. Kaufman, Ph.D. I. Introduction and Summary.............................................................................................................. 1 II. IPC No Harm Analysis.................................................................................................................... 1 EXHIBIT LIST Exhibit 101—Witness Qualification Statement Exhibit 102—Harm Exists Analysis Page 1 1 I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY 2 Q. PLEASE STATE YOUR NAME AND OCCUPATION. 3 A. My name is Lance D. Kaufman. I am a consultant representing utility customers before state 4 public utility commissions in the Northwest and Intermountain West. My witness qualification 5 statement can be found at Exhibit 201. 6 Q. PLEASE IDENTIFY THE PARTY ON WHOSE BEHALF YOU ARE TESTIFYING. 7 A. I am testifying on behalf of the Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Association, Inc. ("IIPA"). IIPA is a 8 non-profit trade association whose members are irrigation energy users in the Idaho, including 9 customers receiving electric services from Idaho Power Company. ("IPC"or"Company). 10 Q. WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF YOUR TESTIMONY? 1 1 A. I provide testimony on IPC's "No Harm" analysis with respect to Micron's FAB Special 12 Contract. 13 Q. PLEASE SUMMARIZE YOUR RECOMMENDATIONS. 14 A. I recommend that the Micron Special Contract be subjected to a thorough review and revised to 15 ensure that existing customers do bear an undue share of the cost of servicing the contract. 16 IL IPC NO HARM ANALYSIS 17 Q. PLEASE SUMMARIZE IPC'S FIXED COST ANALYSIS. 18 A. IPC conducted an analysis purporting to demonstrate that Micron's FAB Special Contract will 19 not increase rates for fixed generation and transmission of existing cost of service customers.' 20 IPC compares the Generation and Transmission cost per MWh for cost of service customers 'Confidential attachment to Idaho Power Company's Response and Opposition to IIPA's Objection to Modified Procedure,Demand for Hearing,and Motion to Consolidate for Hearing with Interrelated Cases and ICIP's Answer to and Concurrence with IIPA's Motion and Objection. Written Testimony of Lance D. Kaufman Case No. IPC-E-24-44 Page 1 I under allocated system costs with and without the Micron FAB. The study shows, erroneously, 2 that the introduction of the Micron FAB load and special contract will not increase cost of 3 service rates for other customers. 4 Q. WHY DO YOU STATE THAT THE RESULTS ARE INCORRECT? 5 A. The study results are unreasonable because it shows incremental fixed cost of new load in 2025 6 is $168 per MWh, while it is only $15 per MWh in 2032.21 am not aware of any studies 7 suggesting that the cost of building generation facilities in 2032 will be 10 percent of current 8 costs. 9 Q. HAVE YOU IDENTIFIED SPECIFIC PROBLEMS WITH IPC'S FIXED COST 10 ANALYSIS? 11 A. Yes, there are several critical flaws, and additional incidental flaws with the analysis. The 12 critical flaws are: 1) Solar and Wind costs are excluded from the Analysis; 2) Insufficient new 13 resources serving load under the with Micron Scenario, 3) Failure to account for the Fixed Cost 14 impacts of Solar and Wind Resources, and 4)No Transmission costs associated with the 15 Micron Scenario. 16 Q. WHY ARE YOU CONCERNED THAT THE COST ANALYSIS IS EXCLUDING 17 SOLAR AND WIND? 18 A. This is problematic because the Solar and Wind PPAs are more expensive than IPC's current 19 variable energy cost. In addition, if these facilities are rate based, IPC's current cost allocation 20 model will allocate the costs as fixed generation costs. In addition, these resources provide 21 some capacity value to the system. Not accounting for these resources means Micron is getting 2 Calculated from Confidential attachment to Idaho Power Company's Response and Opposition to IIPA's Objection to Modified Procedure,Demand for Hearing,and Motion to Consolidate for Hearing with Interrelated Cases and ICIP's Answer to and Concurrence with IIPA's Motion and Objection Written Testimony of Lance D. Kaufman Case No. IPC-E-24-44 Page 2 I free access to both the capacity that these resources offer and the clean energy characteristics, 2 without bearing the elevated costs. This issue is particularly problematic given the differences 3 in portfolios across the with and without Micron FAB scenarios. 4 Q. WHAT RESOURCES ARE ADDED IN 2030 UNDER EACH SCENARIO? 5 A. Table 1 compares 2030 resource additions under the with and without Micron FAB Scenario, 6 the year in which Micron FAB has contract demand of 507 MW. 7 CONFIDENTIAL TABLE 1 With Micron Without Micron Change Included in Cost Analysis 4 Hour Battery (MW) - Natural Gas Repower (MW) Excluded From Cost Analsys Wind (MW) 8 Solar (MW) 9 Several concerning issues arise when examining these changes in these portfolios. First, the 10 With Micron Scenario uses low cost repowered gas plant to meet demand while the without 11 micron scenario substitutes low cost gas resources with high cost battery resources. This 12 depresses the cost difference between the two scenarios. 13 The second issue of concern is that the incremental capacity in the With Micron 14 scenario falls far short of Micron's 507 MW of demand.3 Assuming a 70 percent capacity 15 contribution of batteries, a 100 percent capacity contribution of gas and a 15 percent capacity 16 contribution of solar, the With Micron Scenario only adds■ MW of capacity as shown in 17 Table 2. Including a 15 percent planning reserve, the With Micron Scenario should have 583 3 Application Par. 11. Written Testimony of Lance D. Kaufman Case No. IPC-E-24-44 Page 3 I MW of incremental capacity contribution, indicating the With Micron Portfolio is short by■ 2 MW. 3 CONFIDENTIAL TABLE 2 Capacity Contribution Change Capacity Included in Cost Analysis 4 Hour Battery (MW) Natural Gas Repower (MW) Excluded From Cost Analsys Wind (MW) Solar (MW) 4 Total 5 Q. WHY ARE THERE NO TRANSMISSION COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE 6 MICRON SCENARIO? 7 A. This is unclear. IPC recently filed for a new transmission line and represented to the 11PA 8 board that this line is built to meet wintertime peak load, which the Micron FAB facility 9 contributes substantially to as a flat, non-seasonal load. The Table 3 below summarizes an 10 allocation of incremental costs of transmission between existing customers and the Micron 11 FAB. 12 CONFIDENTIAL TABLE 3 Growth COS Total COS Micron Year COS(MW) Micron(MW) Allocation Cost Cost Cost 2025 2026 — 2027 - - — 2028 — 2029 — 2030 — 2031 - - — 2032 — 13 2033 — Written Testimony of Lance D. Kaufman Case No. IPC-E-24-44 Page 4 I Q. WHAT IS THE IMPACT OF ADDRESSING THESE SHORTFALLS? 2 A. I addressed the shortfall by 3 1. Including Valmy in both scenarios. 4 2. Including all resources in the cost analysis. 5 3. Add sufficient battery capacity to ensure that the capacity contribution difference 6 between scenarios in 2030 is 580 MW. 7 4. Increase the allocation of costs to Micron to reflect Micron's 507 MW of fiilly ramped 8 demand. 9 5. Reduce transmission costs in the Without Micron scenario by Micron's share of load 10 growth. 11 This results in substantial 'increases in the cost of the with Micron Scenario and demonstrates 12 that the Micron Contract increases rates by' percent, or- million over 10 years. See 13 Confidential Exhibit 102. 14 Q. ARE THERE OTHER INCIDENTAL FLAWS WITH THE COMPANY'S ANALYSIS? 15 A. Yes, the cost of service energy sales is escalated by a fixedo percent per year in the rate 16 analysis,but the cost of service demand growth is less than'percent in most forecast years. 17 This leads to a rapidly increasing load factor for cost of service customers, which is unrealistic. 18 This flaw is incidental because while correcting the energy results in higher cost per MWh, the 19 impact applies to both scenarios and has minimal affect on the cross scenario comparison. 20 A second incidental flaw with the company's analysis is that incremental costs are 21 reduced by- mullion per year for the repower of Bridger and Valmy. Its unclear why this 22 reduction is applied in both scenarios and why it is not applied to existing costs rather than new 23 costs. Written Testimony of Lance D. Kaufman Case No. IPC-E-24-44 Page 5 I The third incidental flaw with the company's analysis are inconsistencies between the 2 system peak, resource additions, and the source of load growth. The Without Micron System 3 Peak used to allocate costs increases from- MW in 2024 to- MW in 2033, an 4 increase of only■ MW. However, much of this growth is actually attributable to other large 5 single load data centers, which should also be subjected to a no harm test. If this is the case, it 6 may be more appropriate to have both the With and Without Micron scenarios exclude load 7 growth associated with new large loads over 20 MW. This would likely reduce the resource 8 additions in the Without Micron Scenario, further highlighting the rate impact of Micron's 9 FAB Special Contract. 10 Q. DOES THIS CONCLUDE YOUR TESTIMONY? II A. Yes Written Testimony of Lance D. Kaufman Case No. IPC-E-24-44 Page 6 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY that on this 22nd day of March, 2025, I served a true, correct and complete copy of the Written Testimony of Lance D. Kaufman on each of the following, via U.S. Mail or private courier, email or hand delivery, as indicated below: Monica Barrios-Sanchez, Commission Secretary ❑ U.S. Mail Idaho Public Utilities Commission ❑ Hand Delivered P.O. Box 83720 ❑ Overnight Mail Boise, ID 83720-0074 ❑ Telecopy (Fax) secretary(a puc.idaho.gov ® Electronic Mail (Email) Megan Goicoechea Allen ❑ U.S. Mail Donovan E. Walker ❑ Hand Delivered Connie Aschenbrenner ❑ Overnight Mail Grant Anderson ❑ Telecopy (Fax) Idaho Power Company ® Electronic Mail (Email) 1221 W. Idaho Street(83702) P.O. Box 70 Boise, ID 83707 m goicoecheaallen&idahopower.com dwalker(d),idahopower.com dockets&idahopower.com caschenbrenner(d),idahopower.com izanderson(k idahopower.com Lance Kaufman, Ph.D. ❑ U.S. Mail 2623 NW Bluebell Place ❑ Hand Delivered Corvallis, OR 97330 ❑ Overnight Mail lance(kae isg insi hg t.com ❑ Telecopy (Fax) ❑ Electronic Mail (Email) Austin Rueschhoff ❑ U.S. Mail Thorvald A. Nelson ❑ Hand Delivered Austin W. Jensen ❑ Overnight Mail Kristine A.K. Roach ❑ Telecopy (Fax) Holland&Hart, LLP ® Electronic Mail (Email) Micron Technology, Inc. 555 17th Street Suite 3200 Denver, CO 80202 darueschho f[&hollandhart.com tnelson(d),hollandhart.com awj ens en&holl andhart.c om Written Testimony of Lance D. Kaufman Case No. IPC-E-24-44 Page 7 karo ach(d,hollandhart.com aclee(a,hollandhart.com Industrial Customer of Idaho Power ❑ U.S. Mail c/o Peter J. Richardson ❑ Hand Delivered Richardson, Adams, PLLC ❑ Overnight Mail 515 N. 27th St. ❑ Telecopy (Fax) P.O. Box 7218 ® Electronic Mail (Email) Boise, ID 83702 peterkrichardsonadams.com Dr. Don Reading ❑ U.S. Mail 280 S. Silverwood Way ❑ Hand Delivered Eagle, ID 83616 ❑ Overnight Mail dreadingkmindspring.com ❑ Telecopy (Fax) ® Electronic Mail(Email) ERIC L. OLSEN Written Testimony of Lance D. Kaufman Case No. IPC-E-24-44 Page 8 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER CASE NO. IPC-E-24-07 COMPANY'S APPLICATION FOR APPROVAL OF A SPECIAL CONTRACT AND TARIFF SCHEDULE 28 TO PROVIDE ELECTRIC SERVICE TO MICRON IDAHO EXHIBIT 101 SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING TRITON LLC INTERVENOR IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS ASSOCIATION, INC. LANCE D. KAUFMAN, Ph.D. Exhibit 101 STATEMENT OF QUALIFICATIONS CURRICULUM VITAE LANCE KAUFMAN Western Economics,LLC 2623 NW Bluebell Place Corvallis OR,97330 (541)515-0380 lance@westemecon.com EDUCATION: University of Oregon Ph.D. Economics 2008—2013 University of Oregon M.S. Economics 2006—2008 University of Anchorage Alaska B.B.A. Economics 2001 —2004 CERTIFICATIONS: Certified Depreciation Professional Society of Depreciation Professionals 2018 PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE: Consultant Western Economics,LLC 2014—Present Senior Economist Oregon Public Utility Commission 2015—2018 Public Utility Advocate Alaska Department of Law 2014—2015 Senior Economist Oregon Public Utility Commission 2013—2014 Instructor University of Oregon 2008—2012 Research Assistant University of Alaska Anchorage 2003—2008 PROFESSIONAL MEMBERSHIPS: Society of Depreciation Professionals 2015—Present American Economics Association 2017—Present PUBLICATIONS: Kaufman,Lance(2013)Three Essays on Governance Structure in the Hospital hidustiy. University of Oregon Laura R. Sangare,Lance Kaufman,Robert A.Bardwell,Deborah Nichols,and Mersin Bryan (forthcoming)The risk of sleep-related death in an inclined sleep environment.BMC Public Health. RESEARCH,CONSULTING,AND ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS: • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2024 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding revenue requirement,rate spread,and rate design in Portland General Electric Company. Western Economics 11 Request for a General Rate Revision,Public Utility Commission of Oregon. Docket No. UE 435. • Echo,Hawk,and Olson,PC,Pocatello,ID 2024 Testified as an expert witness for Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Association regarding revenue requirement,rate spread,and rate design in Idaho Power Company.Request for a General Rate Revision,Idaho Public Utility Co.,Docket No.IPC-E-24-07. • Echo,Hawk, and Olson,PC,Pocatello,ID 2024 Retained as an expert witness for Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Association regarding revenue requirement,rate spread,and rate design in PacifiCorp. Request for a General Rate Revision,Idaho Public Utility Co.,Docket No.PAC-E-24-04. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2024 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding revenue requirement,rate spread,and rate design in PacifiCorp.Request for a General Rate Revision.Public Utility Commission of Oregon,Docket No.UE 433. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2024 Testified as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding revenue requirement,rate spread,and rate design in Puget Sound Energy.Request for a General Rate Revision,Washington Public Utility Commission,Docket No.UE-240004. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2024 Testified as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding revenue requirement,rate spread,and rate design in Avista Utilities.Request for a General Rate Revision,Washington Public Utility Commission,Docket No.UE-240006. • Hughes Socol Piers Resnick&Dym,Ltd.Martinez v TCC Wireless 2024 Deposed as an expert witness for plaintiffs re calculation of economic harm due to breach of contract in Martinez et al.v.TCC Wireless Circuit Court of Cook County,Illinois, County Department,Chancery Division. • The Municipality of Cedar Falls,Iowa,Cedar Falls,IA 2023 Retained as a consultant for Cedar Falls Utilities to conduct a depreciation study of their electric,gas,water,and telecommunications utilities. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2023 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding revenue requirement,rate spread,and rate design in Portland General Electric Company, Request for a General Rate Revision.Public Utility Commission of Oregon,Docket No. UE 416. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2023 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding cost of capital,rate spread,and rate design in PacifiCorp Request for a General Rate Revision Washington Utilities and Transportation Commission,Docket No.UE-230172. • Alliance for Retail Energy Markets,La Jolla,CA 2023 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance for Retail Energy Markets regarding resource adequacy of generation service providers in Arizona Public Service Company.Request for a General Rate Revision.Arizona Public Utilities Commission.Docket No. E-01345A-22-0144. • North Carolina Sustainable Energy Association,Raleigh,NC 2023 Western Economics 12 Retained as an expert witness forNorth Carolina Sustainable Energy Association regarding depreciation rates and coal plant securitization in Duke Energy Carolinas, Request for a General Rate Revision,North Carolina Utility Commission Docket No.E-7 Sub 1276. • Deep Blue Pacific Wind,Portland, OR 2023 Retained as an expert witness for Deep Blue Pacific Wind regarding least cost planning in Portland General Electric Compan3L 2023 Integrated Resource Plan,Public Utility Commission of Oregon,Docket No. LC 80. • Duane Morris LLP Boston,MA 2022 Deposed as an expert witness for plaintiffs re calculation of economic harm due to breach of contract in Harold Parsons v.The Commerce Insurance Company Suffolk Superior Court Commonwealth of Massachusetts. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2022 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding revenue requirement,rate spread,and rate design in Portland General Electric Company, Request for a General Rate Revision,Public Utility Commission of Oregon,Docket No. UE 394. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2022 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding depreciation rates in Portland General Electric Company Detailed Depreciation Study of Electric Utility Properties,Public Utility Commission of Oregon,Docket No.UM 2152. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2022 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding revenue requirement,rate spread,and rate design in Pacific Power Request for a General Rate Revision.Public Utility Commission of Oregon,Docket No.UE 399. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2022 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding revenue requirement,rate spread,and rate design in Puget Sound Energy General Rate Case to Update Base Rates,Washington Utility and Transportation Commission,Docket No.UE-220066,UG-220067,UE-210918. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2022 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers competitive energy service in AWEC's Investigation into Long-Term Direct Access Programs,Public Utility Commission of Oregon,Docket No.UM 2024. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2021 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers competitive energy service in Direct Access Rulemaking,Public Utility Commission of Oregon, Docket No.AR 651. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2022 Retained as an expert witness for Smart Energy Alliance regarding revenue requirement, rate spread, and rate design in Sierra Pacific General Rate Case to Update Base Rates, Public Utility Commission of Nevada,Docket No. 22-06014. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2022 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding revenue requirement,rate spread,and rate design in Avista Corp General Rate Case to Western Economics 13 Update Base Rates,Washington Utility and Transportation Commission,Docket No. UE-220053 &UG-220054. • Georgia Public Service Commission,OR 2022 Retained as an expert witness for Georgia Public Service Commission depreciation rates and decommissioning costs in Georgia Power Company's 2022 General Rate Case, Georgia Public Service Commission,Docket No.44280. • Nichols Kaster,PLLP,Minneapolis,Minnesota,2013— Deposed as expert witness for the plaintiffs re analysis of termination of older employees in re Raymond,et al.v. Spirit Aerosystems,Inc.,Case No. 16-1282-JTM-GEB,United States District Court,District of Kansas. • Jester,Gibson&Moore,Denver,CO 2022 Deposed as an expert witness for defendants and countersuit plaintiffs regarding lost earnings in Franklin D.Azar&Associates.P.C.,v. Ivy Ngo v.Franklin D. Azar. • Georgia Public Service Commission Public Interest Advocacy Staff,Atlanta,GA(2022) Provided Testimony as an expert witness in Docket No.44280 Georgia Power Company's 2022 Rate Case Depreciation Study. • Inland Empire Paper Co., Spokane,WA(2020) Provided Testimony as an expert witness in WUTC Docket No.UE-200900,Avista Corp's 2020 Rate Case regarding avoided cost pricing for a special contract. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2021 Provided Testimony as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding depreciation,cost of service,rate design,and revenue requirement in Portland General Electric Company 2021 General Rate Case,Public Utility Commission of Oregon,Docket No.UE 394. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2021 Provided comments as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers in Puget Sound Energy's 2022 General Rate Case.Washington Utilities and Transportation Commission. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2022 Provided comments as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers in Puget Sotuid Energy's 2022 General Rate Case.Washington Utilities and Transportation Commission. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland, OR 2021 Provided comments as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers in Avista Corp's Clean Energy Implementation Plan.Washington Utilities and Transportation Conmtission. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland, OR 2021 Provided comments as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers in PacifiCoip's General Rate Case,Public Utility Commission of Oregon,Docket No.UE 399. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland, OR 2021 Provided comments as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers in Puget Sound Energy's Clean Energy Implementation Plan.Washington Utilities and Transportation Commission. • Hagens Berman Sobol Shapiro LLP, Phoenix. Arizona. 2021 Western Economics 14 Deposed as an expert witness for plaintiffs re calculation of economic harm due to breach of contract in Kronenberg,et al. vs.Allstate Insurance Company,et al.United States District Court Eastern District of New York Case No.: 18-cv-06899(NGG)(JO). • Baumgartner Law,LLC,Denver,CO,2021 Deposed as an expert witness for plaintiffs re calculation of economic harm due to injury in re In Re: Bernadette Romero and Leonard Martinez v City of Westminster • Killmer,Lane,and Newman,LLP,Denver,Colorado,2020 Retained as expert witness for plaintiff re racial disparities in police use of force re Estate of Elijah J.McClain V. City Of Aurora.Colorado,Case No. 1:19-cv-01 160- RM-MEH,United States District Court,District of Colorado. • Hagens Berman Sobol Shapiro LLP,Phoenix,Arizona,2020 Deposed as an expert witness for plaintiffs re calculation of economic harm due to breach of contract in Fortson,et al.v.Garrison Property and Casualty Insurance Co.United States District Court Middle District of North Carolina Civil Action No. 1:19-cv-294. • Hagens Berman Sobol Shapiro LLP,Phoenix,Arizona, 2020 Deposed as an expert witness for plaintiffs re calculation of economic harm due to breach of contract in Lewis and Lewis,et al.v. Government Employees Insurance Co.United States District Court For the District of New Jersey Civil Action No. 1:18—CV-05111—RBK—AMD. • Cable Huston,LLP,Portland,OR 2020 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding revenue requirement,rate spread and rate design in Cascade Natural Gas Corporation Request for General Rate Revision,Public Utility Commission of Oregon,Docket No. UG 390. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2020 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding net power costs in Portland General Electric Company 2021 Annual Power Cost Update Tariffff,Public Utility Commission of Oregon,Docket No.UE 377. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2020 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding net power costs in Portland General Electric Company 2021 Annual Update Tari$Public Utility Commission of Oregon,Docket No.UE 381. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2020 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding revenue requirement,rate spread and rate design in Nevada Power Company 2021 General Rate Case,Public Utility Commission of Nevada,Docket No. 20-06003 • Frank& Salahuddin LLC,Denver,Colorado,2020 Retained as an expert witness for plaintiffs regarding calculation of lost earnings. • Level Development Group,LLC,Denver,Colorado,2020 Develop real estate valuation model for establishing sale price of newly constructed residential housing. • Hagens Berman Sobol Shapiro LLP,Phoenix,Arizona,2020 Deposed as an expert witness for plaintiffs re calculation of economic harm due to breach of contract in Jeff Olberg v.Allstate Insurance Company,Case No. C 18-0573-JCC, United States District Court,Western District of Washington at Seattle. Western Economics 15 • Hagens Berman Sobol Shapiro LLP,Phoenix,Arizona, 2020 Deposed as an expert witness for plaintiffs re calculation of economic hams due to breach of contract in re Cameron Lindquist v. First National Insurance Company of America. Case No. 18-cv-05301-RJB. United States District Court,Western District of Washington at Tacoma. • Killmer,Lane,and Newman,LLP,Denver,Colorado,2020 Deposed as expert witness for plaintiff re racial disparities in police use of force re Brandon Washington V. City Of Aurora, Colorado,Case No. 1:19-cv-0 1160- RM-MEH,United States District Court,District of Colorado. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2020 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding coal plant pollution control investments,coal plant decommissioning costs,rate spread and rate design re PacifiCorp 2020 Request for a General Rate Revision,Public Utility Commission of Oregon Docket No.UE 374. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR and Washington Attorney General,2020 Retained as an expert witness for Packaging Company of America and Washington Public Council regarding decommissioning costs and rate design re PacifiCorp 2020 Request for a General Rate Revision,Washington Utility and Transportation Commission. • Sanger Law,PC,Portland,OR,2019 Retained as a consultant for Renewable Energy Coalition and for Northwest& Intermountain Power Producers Coalition to provide analysis of PacifiCorp avoided costs in a Utility PURPA Compliance Filing at the Washington Utility and Transportation Commission Docket,No.UE-190666. • Sanger Law,PC,Portland,OR,2019 Retained as a consultant for Northwest&Intermountain Power Producers Coalition to provide analysis of Portland General Electric avoided costs in support of testimony to the Oregon Legislature. • Powder River Basin Resource Council,Laramie,Wyoming,2019. Testified as an expert witness for Powder River Basin Resource Council regarding coal plant closures re PacifiCorp 2019 Integrated Resource Plan,Wyoming Public Service Commission Docket No. 90000-147-M-19. • The Law Office of Ralph Lamar,Arvada,CO 2019 Deposed as an expert witness for plaintiffs regarding lost profits of a Farmers insurance agency • Jester,Gibson&Moore,Denver,CO 2019 Retained as an expert witness for plaintiffs regarding lost earnings in an ADEA wrongfinl termination matter. • Albrechta&Coble,Ltd.Fremont,OH 2O19 Retained as an expert witness for plaintiff regarding lost earnings in a race related wrongful termination matter. • Conrad Law,PC, Salt Lake City,UT 2019 Retained as an expert witness for Ellis-Hall Consultants,LLC.regarding economic damages in Ellis-Hall Consultants,LLC. et. al.v.George B. Hofmann IV,United States District Court,District of Utah,Central Division. Western Economics 16 • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2019 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding net variable power cost calculations in PORTLAND GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY, 2020 Annual Power Cost Update Tariff Public Utility Commission of Oregon Docket No. UE 359. • Sanger Law,PC,Portland,OR,2019 Testified as an expert witness for Renewable Energy Coalition and Rocky Mountain Coalition for Renewable Energy regarding Qualified Facility avoided costs in Application of Rocky Mountain Power for a Modification of Avoided Cost Methodology and Reduced Term of PURPA Power Purchase Agreements Public Service Commission of Wyoming Docket No. 20000-545-ET 18 • Sanger Law,PC,Portland,OR,2019 Retained as an expert witness for Cafeto Coffee Company regarding the necessity,design, and location of transmission lines in SPRINGFIELD UTILITY BOARD Petition for Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity Public Utility Commission of Oregon Docket No. PCN 3. • Baumgartner Law,LLC,Denver,CO,2018 Retained as an expert witness for plaintiffs re calculation of economic harm due to injury in re Eric Bowman.v. Top Tier Colorado. LLC.,Case No. 18CV31359,United States District Court,District of Colorado. • Cohen Milstein Sellers&Toll PLLC,Washington DC,2018 Retained as an expert witness for plaintiffs re calculation of economic harnn due to breach of contract in re Isaac Harris et al.v.Medical Transportation Management. laic.. Civil Action No. 17-1371,United States District Court,District of Columbia. • Davison Van Cleve,PC,Portland,OR 2020 Retained as an expert witness for Alliance of Western Energy Consumers regarding depreciation rates in re PacifiCorp Application for Authority to Implement Revised Depreciation Rates,Public Utility Commission of Oregon Docket No. UM 1968. • Davison Van Cleve,PC, Salem,OR and Washington Attorney General,OR 2020 Retained as an expert witness for Packaging Company of America and Washington Public Council regarding depreciation rates in re Pacific Power 2018 Depreciation Sandy. Washington Utility and Transportation Commission,Docket No.UE-180778. • Hagens Berman Sobol Shapiro LLP,Phoenix,Arizona,2018 Deposed as an expert witness for plaintiffs re calculation of economic harm due to breach of contract in re Vicky Maldonado and Carter v. Apple Inc..AppleCare Services Company Inc.,and Apple CSC,Inc.,Case No. 3:16-cv-04067-WHO.United States District Court,District of California. • Hagens Berman Sobol Shapiro,LLP,Phoenix,Arizona,2018 Deposed and testified as an expert witness for plaintiffs re calculation of unpaid mileage for truck drivers in re Swift Transportation Co.,Inc.,Civil Action No.CV2004-001777, Superior Court of the State of Arizona,County of Maricopa. • Killmer,Lane,and Newman,LLP,Denver,Colorado,2018 Retained as expert witness for plaintiffs re reasonable attorney fees in re Jeanne Stroup and Ruben Lee,v.United Airlines,Inc.,Case No. 15-cv-0 13 89-WYD-STV,United States District Court,District of Colorado. Western Economics 17 • Klein and Frank,PC,Denver,Colorado,2018 Retained as expert witness for plaintiffs re potential jury bias in re Gail GoehriQ and Chris Goehrig v. Core Mountain Enterprises.LLC,Case No. 2016CV030004. San Juan County District Court. • Robert Belluso,Pennsylvania,2017 Retained as expert witness for plaintiff re lost profit in re Robert Belluso D.O.v Trustees of Charleroi Cornnrnunit�,Park PHRC Case No. 201505365,Pennsylvania Human Relations Commission. • Lowery Parady,LLC,Denver,Colorado,2017 Analyzed payroll data and calculated unpaid overtime and unpaid hours for plaintiff class action in re Violeta Solis,et al. v. The Circle Group.LLC. et al..Case No. 1:16-cv-01329-RBJ,United States District Court,District of Colorado. • Sawaya&Miller Law Firm,Denver,Colorado,2017 Provided data processing and analysis of employment records. • Financial Scholars Group,Orinda,California,2017 Provided analysis of risk profile in bundled real estate and personal loans in re Old Republic Insurance Company v.Countrywide Bank et al.,Circuit Court of Cook County, Illinois,Chancery Division. • Financial Scholars Group,Orinda,California,2017 Provided consultation and analysis of financial market transactions in preparation of settlement claims filings in re Laydon v.Mizuho Bank.Ltd.,et al.and Sonterra Capital Master Fund Ltd.,et al v.UBS AG et al. • Clean Energy Action,Boulder,Colorado,2016—2017 Provided consultation on the appropriate discounting methodology used in energy resource planning in the Public Service Company of Colorado application for approval of the 2016 Electric Resource Plan,Proceeding No. 16A-0396E,Public Utilities Commission of the State of Colorado. • Confidential Client,2016 Provided analysis and report on the probability that distinct crimes are independent events based on geographical analysis of crime rates. • Christine Lamb and Kevin James Burns,Denver,Colorado,2016 Provided data analysis for defendant of the impact of ethnicity on termination decisions in re Aragon et al v. Home Depot USA,Inc., Case No. 1:15-cv-00466-MCA-KK,United States District Court,District of New Mexico. • Steptoe&Johnson LLP,Washington,DC,2015—2016 Programmed analysis of internet traffic data for plaintiffs applying a proprietary probability model developed to identify and verify accounts responsible for repeated infringements of asserted copyrights by defendants' internet subscribers in re BMG Rights Management(US)LLC. and Round Hill Music LP v. Cox Enterprises. Inc..et al., Case No. 1:14-cv-1611(LOG/JFA),United States District Court Eastern District of Virginia,Alexandria Division. • Padilla&Padilla,PLLC,Denver,Colorado,2014—2016 Provided research and analysis for plaintiffs re the impact on minority applicants from use of the AccuPlacer Test by the City and County of Denver,and estimated damages in Western Economics 18 re Marian G. Kerner et al.v. City and County of Denver,Civil Action No. 11-cv-00256-MSK-KMT,United States District Court,District of Colorado. • U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission,2013 Provided statistical analysis of EEOC filings. OTHER REGULATORY PROCEEDINGS: • Portland General Electric 2018 AUT UE 335 • Portland General Electric 2016 Annual Power Cost Variance Docket No.UE 329. • PacifiCorp 2016 Power Cost Adjustment Mechanism Docket No.UE 327. • Public Utility Commission of Oregon Staff Investigation into the Treatment of New Facility Direct Access Charges Docket No.UM 1837 • PacifiCorp Oregon Specific Cost Allocation Investigation Docket No.UM 1824. • PacifiCorp 2018 Transition Adjustment Mechanism Docket No.UE 323. • Portland General Electric 2018 General Rate Case Docket No.UE 319. • Avista Corp. 2017 General Rate Case Docket No.UG 325. • Portland General Electric Affiliated Interest Agreement with Portland General Gas Supply Docket No.UI 376. • Portland General Electric 2017 Automated Update Tariff Docket No.UE 308 • PacifiCorp 2017 Transition Adjustment Mechanism Docket No.UE 307 • Portland General Electric 2017 Reauthorization of Decoupling Adjustment Docket No.UE 306 • Northwest Natural Gas Investigation of WARM Program Docket No.UM 1750. • PacifiCorp Investigation into Multi-Jurisdictional Allocation Issues Docket No.UM 1050. • Idaho Power Company 2015 Power Supply Expense True Up Docket No.UE 305 • Homer Electric Association 2015 Depreciation Study U-15-094 • Submitted prefiled testimony regarding the depreciation study. • Chugach Electric Association 2015 Rate Case U-15-081 • Developed staff position regarding margin calculations. • ENSTAR 2014 Rate Case U-14-111 • Submitted prefiled testimony regarding sales forecast. • Alaska Pacific Environmental Services 2014 Rate Case U-14-114/115/116/117/118 Submitted prefiled testimony regarding cost allocations,cost of service,cost of capital, affiliated interests,and depreciation. • Alaska Waste 2014 Rate Case U-14-104/105/106/107 Submitted prefiled testimony regarding cost of service study,cost of capital,operating ratio,and affiliated interest real estate contracts. • Fairbanks Natural Gas 2014 Rate Case U-14-102 Submitted prefiled testimony regarding cost of service study and forecasting models. • Avista 2015 Rate Case U-14-104 Submitted analysis supporting OPUC Staff settlement positions regarding Avista's sales and load forecast,decoupling mechanisms and interstate cost allocation methodology. Represented Staff in settlement conferences on November 21,November 26,and December 4,2013. • Portland General Electric 2015 Rate Case Western Economics 19 Submitted pre-filed opening testimony addressing PGE's sales forecast,printing and mailing budget forecast,mailing budget,marginal cost study,line extension policy and reactive demand charge. Represented OPUC Staff in settlement conferences on May 20, May 27,and June 12,2014. • Portland General Electric 2014 General Rate Case Submitted analysis supporting OPUC Staff settlement positions regarding PGE's sales and load forecast,revenue decoupling mechanism,and cost of service study.Represented OPUC Staff in settlement conferences on May 29,June 3,June 6,July 2,and July 9 of 2013. Submitted testimony in support of partial stipulation,pre-filed opening testimony addressing PGE's decoupling mechanism,and testimony in support of a second partial stipulation. • PacifiCorp 2014 General Electric Rate Case Submitted analysis supporting OPUC Staff settlement positions regarding PacifiCorp's sales and load forecast and cost of service study. Represented Staff in settlement conferences on June 12 through June 14,2013. Western Economics 110 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER CASE NO. IPC-E-24-44 COMPANY'S APPLICATION FOR APPROVAL OF A SPECIAL CONTRACT AND TARIFF SCHEDULE 28 TO PROVIDE ELECTRIC SERVICE TO MICRON IDAHO EXHIBIT 102 SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING TRITON LLC INTERVENOR IDAHO IRRIGATION PUMPERS ASSOCIATION, INC. LANCE D. KAUFMAN, Ph.D. Confidential Exhibit 102 Harm Exists Analysis CONFIDENTIAL MICRONWITH •AD HARM Ski thousands.unless otherwise noted Column (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) W (M) (N) (0) (P) (Q) (R) Remaining System(Excl.Micron FAB) Micron FAB Allocation 11 1111pipil Demand Classified Revenue Requirement Energy Sales G+T Only Demand Classified Revenue Requirement Energy Sales G+T On/y Demand Classified Revenue Requirement Energy Sales G+T Ordy Row Year Generation Transmission Embedded Total (MWh) S/MWh _ Generation Transmission Embedded Total (MWh) S/MWh €Generation Transmission Embedded Total (MWh) f/MWh € (1) 2024 s s 1 s s � a s s s s s s s 1 $ $ $ (4) 2027 (5) 2028 (6) 2029 (8) 2031 (9) 2032 (10) ,..........2033,,,,,,,,,.����� ����� ...... ..................��o.. ��o� ����� ����� ���. ...... .. ��o. ....... o� �a (11) ` Total S- s s- s- f s s $ s- s s- s s- s- s (12) ............!r�!..............a.!•...,.,_,....!•.,..,s!•,...s,� ....... ...._..,.,...,,,!•,,..,f,,,.. ....,,f,,....,,. ..,,.._,..., ,,,.._..,..!•.,..,.,..!•..,.a...,.....,.!•,...._ ,...,,_,.,..!•..,.,a!•,,,,._!•......�,...a........... !•... WITHOUT •• •AD HARM EXISTS ANALYSIS fir thousands,unless otherwise noted Remaining System(Excl.Mlcrw FAB) Micron FAB Allocation Demand Classified Revenue Requirement Energy Sales G+T Ody Demand Classified Revenue Requirement Energy Sales G.T Ortly Demand Classified Revenue Requirement Energy Sales G.T Onty Year Generation Transmission Embedded Total (MWh) - f1MWh ;Generation Transmission Embedded Total (MWh) f/MMIh ;Generation Transmission Embedded Total (MWh) f/MWh (13) zoza $ s I s g a s s I s $ 1 Is 1 s s I s s � s (14) 2025 1 = I I 1 1 I 1 = 1 (15) 2026 I I I 1 I 1 (16) 2027 (17) 2028 (18) 2029 (19) 2030 (20) 2031 (21) 2032 (22) 2033 ....� ����� ..... ..... �i��� ��i�� ����� ����� ���. .... ��3. ..i.. ..... ..... ���� ��.� (zs) = rntal s� s s� s� s s 1 s 1 s 1 s 1 I $ 1 S� f s� s� $ (24) ...........N� ......._!•......f.....!•....._!•......s. ..........�L:A..........!•....s.......................1......s......................1......_,......................1..,..s.......................1...................................1...._.................1..........s�....,,i..,...f!•..,.._!•......�....s...........=................... ................................................................................................................................................................. ..........................................................................................................,.....,..................... (25) fINIVNh Increase/(Decrease)vs.No Micron FAB-TataUAverage .%€ = Total f in thousands Increasel(Decrease)vs.No Micron FAB-Total/Average $ - (26) = f7MVllh Increase)Decrease vs.No Micron FAB-NPV %€ Total f in thousands Increase!Decrease vs.No Micron FAB-NW f _............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................a...,.... :.,...,.....,.....,,....,,...,,....,,....,,................................,,....,,...,,....,,...,,....,,.............,...........................................................................................................-...;