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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20241122Direct Harold Walker III_Exhibits.pdf RECEIVED Friday, November 22, 2024 Preston N. Carter, ISB No. 8462 IDAHO PUBLIC Morgan D. Goodin, ISB No. 11184 UTILITIES COMMISSION Megann E. Meier, ISB No. 11948 GIVENS PURSLEY LLP 601 West Bannock Street P.O. Box 2720 Boise, Idaho 83701-2720 Office: (208) 388-1200 Fax: (208) 388-1300 prestoncarter@givenspursley.com morgangoodin@givenspursley.com mem@givenspursley.com Attorneys for Veolia Water Idaho Inc. BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION Case No. VEO-W-24-01 OF VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. FOR A GENERAL RATE CASE DIRECT TESTIMONY OF HAROLD WALKER,III FOR VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. NOVEMBER 22,2024 TABLE OF CONTENTS SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDATION ...................................................................................... 1 PRINCIPLES OF RATE REGULATION AND FAIR RATE OF RETURN ............................... 3 INVESTMENTRISK..................................................................................................................... 5 DESCRIPTIONOF VWID ............................................................................................................ 6 THEINDUSTRY............................................................................................................................ 7 COMPARABLEGROUP............................................................................................................. 10 CAPITALSTRUCTURE............................................................................................................. 13 EMBEDDED COST RATE.......................................................................................................... 17 FINANCIALANALYSIS ............................................................................................................ 18 RISKANALYSIS......................................................................................................................... 21 CAPITALCOST RATES............................................................................................................. 30 DISCOUNTEDCASH FLOW..................................................................................................... 38 CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL........................................................................................ 51 RISKPREMIUM.......................................................................................................................... 55 SUMMARY OF COMMON EQUITY COST RATE.................................................................. 60 OVERALL RATE OF RETURN RECOMMENDATION.......................................................... 62 APPENDIXA.............................................................................................................................A-1 OVERALL RATE OF RETURN TERMS, ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS Terms, Abbreviations and Acronyms Defined CAPM Capital Asset Pricing Model Commission Idaho Public Utilities Commission Company Veolia Water Idaho, Inc. Comparable Companies Water Group Followed by Analysts Comparable Group Water Group Followed by Analysts Cost of Capital Investor-required cost rate DCF Discounted Cash Flow DPS Dividend per share EPA U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's EPS Earnings per share Financial Risk Leverage GICS Global Industry Classification System GO General Obligation Bonds IOU Investor Owned Utilities Leverage Fixed cost capital Long-term U.S. Treasury Securities Base Risk-Free Rate M/B Market-to-Book Ratios Moody's Moody's Investors Service NARUC National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners Non-Systematic Risk Company-Specific Risk PUC Idaho Public Utilities Commission ROE Return on Equity RP Risk Premium S&P Standard & Poor's SIC Standard Industrial Classification Systematic Risk Non-Diversifiable Risk Value Line Value Line Investment Survey VUR Veolia Utility Resources LLC VWID Veolia Water Idaho, Inc. Water Group Water Group Followed by Analysts I INTRODUCTION 2 Q. Please state your name, occupation and business address. 3 A. My name is Harold Walker, III. 1 am employed by Gannett Fleming Valuation and Rate 4 Consultants, LLC as Manager, Financial Studies. My business address is 1010 Adams 5 Avenue, Audubon, Pennsylvania 19403. 6 Q. Please summarize your educational background and professional experience. 7 A. My educational background,business experience and qualifications are provided in 8 Appendix A. 9 SCOPE OF TESTIMONY 10 Q. What is the purpose of your testimony? 11 A. The purpose of my testimony is to recommend an appropriate overall rate of return that 12 Veolia Water Idaho, Inc. ("VWID" or the "Company") should be afforded an opportunity 13 to earn on its water utility service rate base. My testimony is supported by Exhibit No. 1, 14 which is composed of 19 Schedules. 15 SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDATION 16 Q. What is your recommended cost of equity? 17 A. My recommendation is that VWID be permitted an overall rate of return of 7.79%, 18 including a 10.80%1 cost of common equity, based upon the Company's capital structure 19 at September 30, 2024. My recommended cost of common equity reflects VWID's 20 unique risk characteristics. It should be noted that my current analysis contained in Exhibit No. 1 supports a cost of common equity of 10.8% for the Company. The Company's filing includes an overall rate of return of 7.47%and a 10.20%cost of common equity for filing purposes to minimize the requested revenue increase. PAGE 1 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Q. How did you determine your recommended common equity cost rate? 2 A. I used several models to help me in formulating my recommended common equity cost 3 rate including Discounted Cash Flow("DCF"), Capital Asset Pricing Model ("CAPM") 4 and Risk Premium("RP"). 5 Q. Is it important to use more than one market model? 6 A. Yes. It is necessary to estimate common equity cost rates using a number of different 7 models. At any given time, a particular model may understate or overstate the cost of 8 equity. While any single investor may rely solely upon one model, different investors 9 rely on different models and many investors use multiple models. Therefore,because the 10 price of common stock reflects a number of valuation models, it is appropriate to estimate 11 the market-required common equity cost rate by applying a broad range of analytical 12 models. 13 Q. Please summarize your common equity cost rate recommendation. 14 A. There is no market data concerning VWID's shares of common stock because VWID 15 shares of common stock are not publicly traded. Accordingly, due to the lack of market 16 data concerning VWID's equity, I used a comparable group of publicly traded companies 17 to estimate the common equity cost rate. Based upon the results of my entire analysis, I 18 conclude VWID's current common equity cost rate is at least 10.80%.2 The current 19 range of common equity cost for VWID is 10.00% (DCF), 11.50% (CAPM), and 10.90% 20 (RP). Value Line Investment Survey ("Value Line") is relied upon by many investors 2 After developing my recommendation in the current case it was pointed out to me that I recommended the same common equity cost rate in VWID's last rate case as I do in the current case. The similarity of my recommendation in the current case to that which I recommended in VWID's last rate case is purely coincidental since the inputs to the financial models differ,the results of the models employed generally differ,the absolute range of the models' results are closer together,and the range of the comparable earnings,although similar,also differ. PAGE 2 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I and is the only investment advisory service of which I am aware that projects earned 2 return on equity. As a check on the reasonableness of my common equity cost rate 3 recommendation, I reviewed Value Line's projected returns on common equity for 4 comparable utilities. Value Line's projected earned returns on common equity for my 5 comparable utilities average 11.1% and the median is 10.8%. The range of the projected 6 returns suggests that my recommendation that VWID be permitted an opportunity to earn 7 10.80% is reasonable, if not conservative. 8 PRINCIPLES OF RATE REGULATION AND FAIR RATE OF RETURN 9 Q. What are the principles guiding fair rates of return in the context of rate 10 regulation? 11 A. In a capitalistic or free market system, competition determines the price for all goods and 12 services. Utilities are permitted to operate as monopolies or near monopolies as a 13 tradeoff for a ceiling on the price of service because: (1)the services provided by utilities 14 are considered necessities by society; and(2) capital-intensive and long-lived facilities 15 are necessary to provide utility service. Generally,utilities are required to serve all 16 customers in their service territory at reasonable rates determined by regulators. As a 17 result, regulators act as a substitute for a competitive-free market system when they 18 authorize prices for utility service. 19 Although utilities operate in varying degrees as regulated monopolies, they must 20 compete with governmental bodies, non-regulated industries, and other utilities for labor, 21 materials, and capital. Capital is provided by investors who seek the highest return 22 commensurate with the perceived level of risk; the greater the perceived risk, the higher 23 the required return rate. In order for utilities to attract the capital required to provide PAGE 3 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I service, a fair rate of return should equal an investor-required, market-determined rate of 2 return. 3 Q. What constitutes a fair rate of return? 4 A. Two noted Supreme Court cases define the benchmarks of a fair rate of return. In 5 Bluefield 3, a fair rate of return is defined as: (1) equal to the return on investments in 6 other business undertakings with the same level of risks (the comparable earnings 7 standard); (2) sufficient to assure confidence in the financial soundness of a utility (the 8 financial integrity standard); (3) adequate to permit a public utility to maintain and 9 support its credit, enabling the utility to raise or attract additional capital necessary to 10 provide reliable service (the capital attraction standard). The second case,Hope4, I I determined a fair rate of return to be based upon guidelines found in Bluefield as well as 12 stating that: (1) allowed revenues must cover capital costs including service on debt and 13 dividends on stock; and(2) the Commission was not bound to use any single formula or 14 combination of formulae in determining rates. Utilities are not entitled to a guaranteed 15 return. However, the regulatory-determined price for service must allow the utility a fair 16 opportunity to recover all costs associated with providing the service, including a fair rate 17 of return. 'Bluefield Water Works&Improvement Company v.P.S.C.of West Virginia,262 U.S. 679(1923). 'Federal Power Commission v.Hope Natural Gas Company,320 U.S. 591 (1944). PAGE 4 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I INVESTMENT RISK 2 Q. Previously,you referred to risk. Please define the term risk. 3 A. Risk is the uncertainty associated with a particular action; the greater the uncertainty of a 4 particular outcome, the greater the risk. Investors who invest in risky assets expose 5 themselves to investment risk particular to that investment. Investment risk is the sum of 6 business risk and financial risk. Business risk is the risk inherent in the operations of a 7 business. Assuming that a Company is financed with 100% common equity,business 8 risk includes all operating factors that affect the probability of receiving expected future 9 income such as: sales volatility, management actions, availability of product substitutes, 10 technological obsolescence, regulation, raw materials, labor, size and growth of the I I market served, diversity of the customer base, economic activity of the area served, and 12 other similar factors. 13 Q. What is financial risk? 14 A. Financial risk reflects the manner in which an enterprise is financed. Financial risk arises 15 from the use of fixed cost capital (leverage) such as debt and/or preferred stock,because 16 of the contractual obligations associated with the use of such capital. Because the fixed 17 contractual obligations must be serviced before earnings are available for common 18 stockholders, the introduction of leverage increases the potential volatility of the earnings 19 available for common shareholders and therefore increases common shareholder risks. 20 Although financial risk and business risk are separate and distinct, they are 21 interrelated. In order for a company to maintain a given level of investment risk, 22 business risk and financial risk should complement one another to the extent possible. 23 For example, two firms may have similar investment risks while having different levels PAGE 5 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I of business risk, if the business risk differences are compensated for by using more or 2 less leverage (financial risk)thereby resulting in similar investment risk. 3 DESCRIPTION OF VWID 4 Q. Please give a brief description of the Company. 5 A. VWID is a private or investor-owned company. VWID is a regulated public utility that 6 provides water service to about 107,000 customers located in their franchise territories in 7 Boise,parts of Eagle, and unincorporated areas of Ada County, Idaho. The price of 8 service of VWID is regulated by the Idaho Public Utilities Commission("Commission" 9 or"PUC"). 10 VWID is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Veolia Utility Resources LLC ("VUR"). 11 VUR is the sole source of VWID's external capital. VUR owns and provides services to 12 water and wastewater utility companies which are located throughout the United States 13 (e.g., VWID). VUR was founded in 1869 and is based in Paramus,New Jersey. VUR is 14 a subsidiary of Veolia Utility Parent, Inc. ("VUPI").5 VUPI is 80% owned by Veolia 15 Water USA, Inc., a subsidiary of Veolia North America, Inc., and 20%by PGGM. 16 Veolia North America, Inc. is an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Veolia 17 Environnement S.A., a French transnational company with activities in three main service 18 and utility areas: water management, waste management and energy services.6 PGGM is 19 a Dutch pension company. 5 VUR's intermediate holding company, VUPI, is a separate legal entity with its own capital structure; maintains its own records;does not commingle funds,assets,or cash flows; and does not participate in a money pool with the rest of the Veolia group. 6 Veolia Environnement S.A. operates on five continents, in 57 countries, employs 218,000 people,had 113 million users of its drinking water supply services, 103 million wastewater users, produced nearly 42 terawatt hours of electricity and recovered 63 million tons of waste(as of 2023). PAGE 6 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I THE INDUSTRY 2 Q. Please give a brief overview of the industry in which the Company operates. 3 A. VWID operates in the water supply industry and the wastewater utility industry. The 4 water supply industry has a Standard Industrial Classification("SIC") code of 4941, has 5 water utilities, and includes establishments primarily engaged in distributing water for 6 sale for residential, commercial, and industrial uses. Government controlled 7 establishments such as municipalities, public service districts and other local 8 governmental entities dominate the industry. Private companies or investor owned 9 utilities ("IOU") are active in the construction and improvement of water supply facilities 10 and infrastructure. There are currently about 11,000 U.S. Businesses with a SIC code of 11 4941. 12 A comparative industry to the water supply industry is the wastewater supply 13 industry. The wastewater utility industry has a Standard Industrial Classification("SIC") 14 code of 4952 (Sewerage Systems), has sewer utilities, and includes establishments 15 primarily engaged in the collection and disposal of wastes conducted through a sewer 16 system, including such treatment processes as may be provided. There are currently 17 about 2,200 U.S. Businesses with a SIC code of 4952. 18 The water supply industry is the most fragmented of the major utility industries 19 with more than 53,000 community water systems in the U.S. (83% of which serve less 20 than 3,300 customers). The nation's water systems range in size from large municipally 21 owned systems, such as the New York City water system that serves approximately 9 22 million people, to small systems, where a few customers share a common well. PAGE 7 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I According to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's ("EPA") most recent 2 survey of publicly-owned wastewater treatment facilities in 2008, there are 3 approximately 15,000 such facilities in the nation, serving approximately 74% of the U.S. 4 population. Ninety eight percent of domestic wastewater systems are government owned 5 rather than IOUs. Currently, there are no wastewater utility companies that have actively 6 traded stock. 7 An estimated 16% of all water supplies are managed or owned by IOUs. IOUs 8 consist of companies with common stock that is either actively traded or inactively 9 traded, as well as companies that are closely held, or not publicly traded. Currently, there 10 are only about nine investor owned water utility companies with publicly traded stock in 11 the U.S. 12 The water utility industry's and wastewater utility industry's increased 13 compliance with state and federal water purity levels and large infrastructure 14 replacements are driving consolidation of the wastewater utility and water utility 15 industries. Because many wastewater utility and water utility operations do not have the 16 means to finance the significant capital expenditures needed to comply with these 17 requirements, many have been selling their operations to larger, financially stronger 18 utilities. 19 The larger IOUs have been following an aggressive acquisition program to 20 expand their operations by acquiring smaller wastewater and water systems. Generally, 21 they enter a new market by acquiring one or several wastewater or water utilities. After 'Many of the publicly traded water utility stocks also own some wastewater utilities but there are no publicly traded utility stocks which are comprised solely of wastewater utilities. PAGE 8 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I their initial entry into a new market, the larger investor-owned water utility companies 2 continually seek to expand their market share and services through the acquisition of 3 wastewater and water utility businesses and operations that can be integrated with their 4 existing operations. Such acquisitions may allow a company to expand market share and 5 increase asset utilization by eliminating duplicate management, administrative, and 6 operational functions. Acquisitions of small, independent utilities can often add earning 7 assets without necessarily incurring the costs associated with the Safe Drinking Water 8 Act ("SDWA")8 if such acquisitions are contiguous to the potential purchaser. 9 In summary, the result of increased capital spending, to meet the SDWA and 10 CWA requirements and replace the aging infrastructure of many systems, has moved the 11 wastewater and water industries toward consolidation. Moreover, Federal and State 12 regulations and controls concerning water quality are still in the process of being 13 developed and it is not possible to predict the scope or the enforceability of regulations or 14 standards which may be established in the future, or the cost and effect of existing and 15 potential regulations and legislation upon VWID. However, as a medium size water 16 system, VWID faces the cost of compliance with less financial resources when compared 17 to larger IOU water utilities. 'The SDWA is the principal federal law in the United States intended to ensure safe drinking water for the public. Pursuant to the act, the EPA is required to set standards for drinking water quality and oversee all states, localities, and water suppliers who implement these standards. The CWA,or Clean Water Act,is the primary federal law in the United States governing water pollution. The CWA's objective is to restore and maintain the chemical,physical,and biological integrity of the nation's waters by preventing point and nonpoint pollution sources,providing assistance to publicly owned treatment works for the improvement of wastewater treatment, and maintaining the integrity of wetlands. PAGE 9 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I COMPARABLE GROUP 2 Q. How do you estimate the cost of common equity for VWID? 3 A. VWID's common stock is not publicly traded. Accordingly, I employed a comparable 4 group of utility companies with actively traded stock, to determine a market-required cost 5 rate of common equity capital for VWID. Since no companies are perfectly identical to 6 VWID, it is reasonable to determine the market-required cost rate for a comparable group 7 of utility companies and adjust, to the extent necessary, for investment risk differences 8 between VWID and the comparable group. 9 Q. How did you select the comparable group used to determine the cost of common 10 equity for VWID? 11 A. I selected a comparable group of water utilities to determine the cost of common equity 12 for VWID considering security analysts' coverage. Unlike the other utility industries, 13 only a portion of the IOU water companies with publicly traded stock in the U.S. are 14 followed by security analysts. Coverage by security analysts is important when 15 determining a market required cost of common equity. Accordingly, security analysts' 16 coverage was considered when selecting my comparable group. I selected my water 17 utility comparable group, Water Group Followed by Analysts ("Water Group"),based 18 upon a general criteria that includes: (1) all U.S. water utilities that are covered by 19 security analysts as measured by the existence of sources of published projected five-year 20 growth rates in earnings per share (`BPS"); (2)with a Standard Industrial Classification 21 (SIC) of 4941 (i.e., Water Supply Facilities and Infrastructure); (3) with a North 22 American Industry Classification System (NAICS) of 221310 (i.e., Water Supply and 23 Irrigation Systems); (4) are not the announced subject of an acquisition; (5) currently pay PAGE 10 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I a common dividend and have not reduced their common dividend within the past four 2 years; (6) have market value of common stock, the product of multiplying the closing 3 stock price by the number of common shares outstanding, greater than $500.0 million; 4 and(7) have a total enterprise, the sum of market value, preferred stock and total debt, 5 greater than$700.0 million. 6 It should be noted that the Water Group is also referred to as the Comparable 7 Group and/or the Comparable Companies.9 The names of the utilities that comprise the 8 Comparable Group and their bond or credit ratings are listed in Table 1. Bond and Credit Ratings for The Water Group Followed by Anal S&P Credit Rating Water Group Followed by Anal American States Water Co A+ American Water Works Co Inc A California Water Service Gp * A+ Essential Utilities, Inc. A Middlesex Water Co A SJW Corp A- York Water Co A- Average A * - The A+bond rating is that for California Water Service, Inc. 9 Table 1 'All of the Comparable Companies also provide some wastewater service. PAGE 11 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Q. Why did you include not being the subject of an acquisition as a criteria for the 2 Water Group? 3 A. To begin with, there are only about nine investor owned water utility companies with 4 publicly traded stock in the U.S., and some of these companies are very small. As stated 5 previously, the IOU water industry receives only limited exposure on Wall Street. 6 Additionally, the merger activity in the water industry can result in abnormal or 7 "tainted" stock prices in terms of a DCF analysis because premiums are typically paid in 8 corporate acquisitions. That is, when a tender offer is made for the purchase of all the 9 outstanding stock of a company, the amount of that offer usually exceeds the price at 10 which the stock was previously traded in the market. These large premiums are often 11 reflected in the prices of other water utilities that are not currently the announced subject 12 of an acquisition.10 13 Q. Why is Veolia Environnement S.A. not included in your comparison group? 14 A. To begin with, Veolia Environnement S.A. does not operate primarily in the U.S. but 15 instead operates on five continents, in 57 countries. Second, VWID is not a wholly 16 owned subsidiary of Veolia Environnement S.A. Instead, VWID is a wholly owned 17 subsidiary of VUR, which is a subsidiary of VUPL VUPI is 80% owned by Veolia Water 18 USA, Inc. and 20%by PGGM. PGGM is a sperate Dutch pension company while Veolia 19 Water USA, Inc. is indirectly owned by Veolia Environnement S.A.11 0 Multiple publications mention these impacts including Research Magazine—April 2010, Barron's—March 2001, Utility Business—June 2002,Value Line Investment Survey—April 2013,and Wastewater Digest,March 2022. " Veolia Water USA,Inc. is a subsidiary of Veolia North America,Inc. Veolia North America,Inc. is a subsidiary of Vigie Groupe S.A.S.,and Vigie Groupe S.A.S. is a subsidiary Veolia Environnement S.A. PAGE 12 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Third,use of Veolia Environnement S.A. as a comparison company for VWID 2 would not meet the precepts of a fair rate of return, including the comparable earnings 3 standard, and the capital attraction standard. Finally, even if VWID were a wholly 4 owned subsidiary of Veolia Environnement S.A., which it is not, the use of Veolia 5 Environnement S.A. as a comparison company for VWID would not be appropriate 6 because Veolia Environnement S.A.'s is a multination company whose 2023 revenues 7 were generated primarily from solid waste service (32.4%), energy service (27.0%), 8 followed by water and wastewater service (40.6%).12 9 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 10 Q. What is required to develop an overall rate of return? 11 A. The first step in developing an overall rate of return is the selection of capital structure 12 ratios to be employed. Next, the cost rate for each capital component is determined. The 13 overall rate of return is the product of weighting each capital component by its respective 14 capital cost rate. This procedure results in VWID's overall rate of return being weighted 15 proportionately to the amount of capital and cost of capital of each type of capital. 16 Q. Does VWID directly raise or issue its own debt capital? 17 A. No,prospectively VWID does not raise its own capital; rather VUR is the sole source of 18 VWID's external capital. 19 Q. What capital structure ratios are appropriate to be used to develop VWID's overall 20 rate of return? 'Z Veolia Environnement S.A.'s 2023 water and wastewater revenues were derived from 113 million users of its drinking water supply services,and 103 million wastewater users. PAGE 13 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I A. Consistent with settled rate setting principles, I believe it is necessary to evaluate 2 VWID's current cost of capital based on VUR's September 30, 2024 capital structure, 3 which includes 47.22% debt and 52.78% common equity as reflected in Schedule 1. 4 These ratios synchronize capitalization with rate base. 5 Q. Is there a set of regulatory and financial principles used in deciding the appropriate 6 capital structure to use for cost of capital purposes? 7 A. Yes. There is a general set of regulatory and financial principles used in deciding the 8 capital structure issue for cost of capital purposes that are consistent with both regulatory 9 and financial theories: 10 1) It is generally preferable to use a utility's actual capital structure in developing its 11 rate of return. However, in deciding whether a departure from this general 12 preference is warranted in a particular case, it is appropriate to first look to the 13 issue of whether the utility is a financially independent entity. In determining 14 whether a utility is a financially independent entity or self-financing, it is 15 important to look to whether the utility: 16 • has its own bond rating; 17 • provides its own debt financing; and 18 • debt financing is not guaranteed by a parent company. 19 2) When a utility issues its own debt that is not guaranteed by the public or private 20 parent and has its own bond rating, regulatory and financial principles indicate to 21 use a utility's own capital structure,unless the utility's capital structure is not 22 representative of the utility's risk profile or where use of the actual capital 23 structure would create atypical results. Regulatory and financial principles PAGE 14 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I involve determining whether the actual capital structure is atypical when 2 compared with the capital structures approved by the Commission for other 3 utilities that operate in the same industry(i.e., water utility, gas distribution 4 utility, etc.), as well as those of the proxy utility companies that operate in the 5 same industry. 6 3) For utility subsidiaries without publicly traded stock, the manner in which the 7 utility obtains its debt financing determines whether it does its own financing. 8 Public Utility Commissions generally determine if a subsidiary has financial, 9 operational, and managerial relationships with its parent entity. However, having 10 such ties typically has not led to use of a parent's capital structure for regulatory 11 purposes, unless the subsidiary utility issues no long-term debt, issues long-term 12 debt only to its parent, or issues long-term debt to outside investors only with the 13 guarantee of its parent. 14 4) If a utility does not provide its own financing, Public Utility Commissions often 15 look to another entity. Generally, Public Utility Commissions use the actual 16 capital structure of the entity that does the financing for the regulated utility as 17 long as it results in just and reasonable rates. This generally means using a parent 18 company. 19 5) If the parent's capital structure is used,because it finances the operation of the 20 utility, regulatory and financial principles require adjustments in the utility's 21 allowed rate of return on equity to adjust for risk differences, if any,between the 22 parent and the regulated subsidiary. If, however, the financing entity's capital 23 structure is inconsistent relative to the capital structures of the publicly-traded PAGE 15 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I proxy companies used in the cost of equity analysis and capital structures 2 approved for other utilities that operate in the same industry (i.e., water utility, gas 3 distribution utility, etc.), Public Utility Commissions employ a hypothetical 4 capital structure. 5 Once the cost of equity for the proxy companies is determined, thereby 6 establishing a range of reasonable returns, Public Utility Commissions should determine 7 where to set the utility's return in that range based upon how the utility's risk compares 8 with that of other utilities that operate in the same industry(i.e., water utility, gas 9 distribution utility, etc.). The risk analysis begins with the assumption that the utility 10 generally falls within a broad range of average risk, absent highly unusual circumstances 11 that indicate an inconsistently high or low risk as compared to other utilities that operate 12 in the same industry (i.e., water utility, gas distribution utility, etc.). Generally, financial 13 risk is a function of the amount of debt in an entity's capital structure used for cost of 14 capital purposes. When there is more debt, there is more risk. 15 Q. How does your recommended capital structure compare with ratios employed by 16 other investor-owned companies? 17 A. The capital structure I recommend for VWID reflects a common equity ratio of 52.8% 18 which is similar to the range of the ratios employed by other investor-owned water 19 companies as shown on pages 1 and 2 of Schedule 2. A comparison of my 20 recommendation for VWID's capital structure ratios to those recently employed by the 21 Comparison Group is shown in Table 2. PAGE 16 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. Comparison of Capital Structure Ratios VWID Water Group At At Projected 9/30/2024 6/30/2024 2028 Debt 47.2 50.1 43.0 Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 0.0 Common Equity 52.8 49.9 57.0 100.0 100.0 1QD-Q 1 2 Table 2 3 The VWID's rate making capital structure ratios are reasonable based upon the 4 above information. Moreover, VWID's smaller size justifies the use of more equity 5 capital than the Comparison Group in order to counterbalance some of the risk associated 6 with its size. The size of company is an indicator of risk and is discussed later in my 7 testimony in more detail. 8 EMBEDDED COST RATE 9 Q. What embedded cost rates do you recommend be used to calculate VWID's overall 10 rate of return? 11 A. Consistent with my recommended capital structure ratios I recommend using VUR's 12 embedded debt cost rate of 4.43% for VWID as reflected in Schedule 1. This embedded 13 debt cost rate of 4.43% is detailed on the Company's Exhibit No. 6. The determination 14 of an embedded cost rate is a relatively simple arithmetic exercise because a company has 15 contracted for this capital for a specific period of time and at a specific cost, including 16 issuance expenses and coupon rate. PAGE 17 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 2 Q. Have you reviewed historical financial information of VWID as part of your 3 analysis? 4 A. Yes. On page 1 of Schedule 3, I developed a five-year analysis, ending in 2023, detailing 5 various financial ratios for VWID. On Schedule 4, 1 performed a similar five-year 6 analysis for the Water Group. Schedule 5 reveals the results of operations for a large 7 broad-based group of utilities known as the Standard&Poor's ("S&P")Utilities for the 8 five years ending 2023. This information is useful in determining relative risk 9 differences between different types of utilities. 10 Comparing VWID, the Comparable Group and the S&P Utilities' coverage of 11 fixed charges and the various cash flow coverage proves that the Comparable Group has 12 experienced a lower level of coverage than the S&P Utilities. Reviewing VWID's 13 various cash flow coverages shows VWID has had similar but higher levels of coverage 14 than the Comparable Group. 15 Q. What do you conclude from the comparison of all the information shown on 16 Schedules 3 through 5? 17 A. Taken together, these comparisons show that VWID is exposed to risk that is similar in 18 nature but greater in degree compared with the Comparable Groups. This is evident in 19 particular when one considers the size and diversification of VWID, or lack thereof, as 20 compared to the Comparable Companies. Moreover, the evidence from the various 21 financial ratios shows VWID's risks as being similar to the Comparable Companies' but 22 less than the larger S&P Utilities. Prospectively, VWID`s future construction PAGE 18 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I expenditures will place downward pressure on VWID`s financial ratios as measured by 2 interest coverage and cash generation. 3 Q. What information is shown on Schedule 6? 4 A. Schedule 6 lists the names, issuer credit ratings, common stock rankings,betas and 5 market values of the companies contained in the Comparable Group and the S&P 6 Utilities. As is evident from the information shown on Table 3, the Comparable Group 7 and the S&P Utilities are similar to each other in risk. S&P S&P Value Recent Market Issuer Credit Quality Line Market Quartile Rating Ranking Beta Value Name (Mill $) Water Group A High (A) 0.85 3,119.810 Mid-Cap S&P Utilities BBB+ Average (B+) 0.97 28,496.770 Large-Cap 8 Table 3 9 The Water Group's average issuer credit ratings and common stock rankings are 10 higher than the S&P Utilities. The average beta of the Comparable Group, 0.85, is less 11 than the average beta of the S&P Utilities, 0.97. Beta is a measure of volatility or market 12 risk; the higher the beta, the higher the market risk. The market values provide an 13 indication of the relative size of each group. As a generalization, the smaller the average 14 size of a group, the greater the risk. 15 Page 2 of Schedule 6 shows that VWID has recently experienced the lowest 16 return on equity ("ROE") when compared to the Comparable Companies. Further, PAGE 19 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I VWID's dividend payout ratio is lower than the Comparable Companies' dividend 2 payout ratio. 3 S&P, the predominant bond rating agency, considers profit to be a fundamental 4 determinant of credit protection. S&P states that a firm's profit level: 5 Whether generated by the regulated or deregulated side of the business, 6 profitability is critical for utilities because of the need to fund investment- 7 generating capacity, maintain access to external debt and equity capital, 8 and make acquisitions. Profit potential and stability is a critical 9 determinant of credit protection. A company that generates higher 10 operating margins and returns on capital also has a greater ability to fund 11 growth internally, attract capital externally, and withstand business 12 adversity. Earnings power ultimately attests to the value of the company's 13 assets, as well. In fact, a company's profit performance offers a litmus test 14 of its fundamental health and competitive position. 15 16 Accordingly, the conclusions about profitability should confirm the 17 assessment of business risk, including the degree of advantage provided 18 by the regulatory environment.13 19 Q. What information is shown on Schedule 7? 20 A. Schedule 7 reveals the capital intensity and capital recovery for VWID, the Comparable 21 Companies and the S&P Utilities. Based upon the 2023 capital intensity ratio of plant to 22 revenues, VWID ($11.34) is more capital intensive as compared to the Water Group 23 ($6.81) and more than the S&P Utilities ($4.70). From a purely financial point of view, 24 based on current accounting practices, the rate of capital recovery or depreciation rate is 25 an indication of risk because it represents cash flow and the return of an investment. 26 VWID's average rate of capital recovery is lower than the Comparable Group's, 27 suggesting more risk. 13Standard&Poor's Ratings Services, Criteria, Utilities:Key Credit Factors:Business And Financial Risks In The Investor- Owned Utilities Industry,Nov.26,2008,pps. 8-9. PAGE 20 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I The return on equity and depreciation expense provides the margin for coverage 2 of construction expenditures. For a utility company, depreciation expense is the single 3 largest generator of cash flow. From a financial analyst's point of view, cash flow is the 4 life blood of a utility company. Without it, a utility cannot access capital markets, it 5 cannot construct plant, and therefore, it cannot provide service to its customers. 6 RISK ANALYSIS 7 Q. Please explain the information shown on Schedule 8. 8 A. Schedule 8 details the size difference between VWID and the Comparable Group. 9 Company size is an indicator of business risk and is summarized in Table 4. Number of Times Larger Than VWID Water Group Capitalization 19.8x Revenues 21.9x Number of Customers 9.1x 10 Table 4 11 As shown in Table 4, VWID is smaller than the Water Group. The size of a company 12 affects risk. A smaller company requires the employment of proportionately less 13 financial leverage (i.e., debt and preferred capital) than a larger company to balance out 14 investment risk. If investment risk is not balanced out, then a higher cost of capital is 15 required. PAGE 21 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Q. Why is size significant to your analysis? 2 A. The size of a company can be likened to ships on the ocean, since a large ship has a much 3 better chance of weathering a storm than a small ship. The loss of a large customer will 4 impact a small company much more than a large company because a large customer of a 5 small company usually accounts for a larger percentage of the small company's sales. 6 Moreover, a larger company is likely to have a more diverse geographic operation 7 than a smaller company, which enables it to sustain earnings fluctuations caused by 8 abnormal weather in one portion of its service territory. A larger company operating in 9 more than one regulatory jurisdiction enjoys "regulatory diversification"which makes it 10 less susceptible to adverse regulatory developments or eminent domain claims in any 11 single jurisdiction. Further, a larger company with a more diverse customer base is less 12 susceptible to downturns associated with regional economic conditions than a small 13 company. For example, on average, the average company in the Water Group provides 14 water/sewer service in multiple states for about 970,639 customers. The average 15 population of the communities served by the average company in the Water Group is 16 about 3.5 million people. These wide-ranging operations provide the Water Group 17 substantial geographic, economic, regulatory, weather and customer diversification. 18 VWID provides regulated water service to about 107,000 customers. The concentration 19 of VWID's business in southwestern Idaho makes it very susceptible to any adverse 20 development in local regulatory, economic, demographic, competitive and weather 21 conditions. 22 Further, S&P, a major credit rating agency, recognizes the importance that 23 diversification and size play in credit ratings. S&P believes some of the critical factors PAGE 22 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I include: regional and cross-border market diversification(mitigates economic, 2 demographic, and political risk concentration); customer diversification; and regulatory 3 regime diversification.14 4 The size of a company can be a barrier to fluid access to capital markets (i.e., 5 liquidity risk). Investors require compensation for the lack of marketability and liquidity 6 of their investments. If no compensation is provided, then investors, or at least 7 sophisticated investors, shy away. 8 Q. Is the impact of size commonly recognized? 9 A. Yes, the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners ("NARUC"), and the 10 majority of acclaimed financial texts, recognize that size affects relative business risk. 11 Liquidity risk and the existence of the small firm effect relating to business risk of small 12 firms are well-documented in financial literature.15 Investors' expectations reflect the 13 highly-publicized existence of the small firm effect. For example, many mutual funds 14 classify their investment strategy as small capitalization in an attempt to profit from the 15 existence of the small firm effect. 16 As previously discussed, S&P recognizes that size plays a role in credit ratings. 17 Standard& Poor's has no minimum size criterion for any given rating 18 level. However, size turns out to be significantly correlated to ratings. 19 The reason: size often provides a measure of diversification, and/or affects 20 competitive position. . . . Small companies are, almost by definition, more 21 concentrated in terms of product, number of customers, or geography. In 22 effect, they lack some elements of diversification that can benefit larger 23 companies. To the extent that markets and regional economies change, a 24 broader scope of business affords protection. This consideration is 14Standard& Poor's, Corporate Ratings Criteria, Utilities: Key Credit Factors: Business and Financial Risks in The Investor-Owned Utilities Industry,Nov.26,2008. 15Banz, Rolf, W. "The Relationship Between Return and Market Value of Common Stocks," Journal of Financial Economics,9:3-18 1981. For subsequent studies see Fama and French,etc. PAGE 23 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I balanced against the performance and prospects of a given business. . . . 2 In addition, lack of financial flexibility is usually an important negative 3 factor in the case of very small companies. Adverse developments that 4 would simply be a setback for companies with greater resources could 5 spell the end for companies with limited access to funds.16 6 As shown on Schedule 9, size plays a role in the composition of investors, and hence 7 liquidity. In 2023, about 133% of the Water Group's shares traded while the larger 8 companies comprising the S&P Utilities had a much higher trading volume of 171%. 9 Insiders 17 hold more than ten times more, as a percent to total, of the Water Group's 10 shares than the S&P Utilities. Currently, only about 77% of the Water Group shares are 11 held by institutions18 while the larger companies comprising the S&P Utilities had much 12 higher institutional holdings of 85%. Due to small size and less interest by financial 13 institutions, fewer security analysts follow the Comparable Group, and none follow 14 VWID. 15 The lack of trading activity may affect the cost of equity estimates for small 16 entities such as VWID and the Water Group. When stock prices do not change because 17 of inactive trading activity, estimates of dividend yield for use in a dividend cash flow 18 model and beta estimates for use in the capital asset pricing model are affected. In a 19 stock market that is generally up, the beta estimates for the Comparable Companies may 20 be understated due to thin trading. 16Standard&Poor's,Corporate Ratings Criteria 2006;p.22. 17 An insider is a director or an officer who has a policy-making role or a person who is directly or indirectly the beneficial owner of more than 10%of a certain company's stock. "Institutional holders are those investment managers having a fair market value of equity assets under management of$100 million or more.Certain banks,insurance companies,investment advisers,investment companies,foundations and pension funds are included in this category. PAGE 24 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Q. Do VWID and the Comparable Companies have similar operating risks? 2 A. Yes. From an operations standpoint, VWID and the Comparable Companies have similar 3 risks and are indistinguishable. Both are required to meet Clean Water Act and Safe 4 Drinking Water Act requirements and are also required to provide safe and reliable 5 services to their customers and comply with Commission regulations. 6 Q. Is there any single measure that best shows investment risk from a common 7 stockholder's perspective? 8 A. No. However, from a creditor's viewpoint, the best measure of investment risk is debt 9 rating. The debt rating process generally provides a good measure of investment risk for 10 common stockholders because the factors considered in the debt rating process are 11 usually relevant factors that a common stock investor would consider in assessing the risk 12 of an investment. Credit rating agencies, such as S&P, assess the risk of an investment 13 into two categories based on: fundamental business analysis; and financial analysis.19 14 The business risk analysis includes assessing: Country risk; industry risk; competitive 15 position; and profitability/peer group comparisons. The financial risk analysis includes 16 assessing: accounting; financial governance and policies/risk tolerance; cash flow 17 adequacy; capital structure/asset protection; and liquidity/short-term factors. 18 Q. What is the bond rating of VWID and the Comparable Group? 19 A. Page I of Schedule 10 shows the average bond/credit rating Comparable Group. The 20 Comparable Group has an A credit profile and VWID does not have bonds rated. VUR 21 has an A credit profile. The major bond rating/credit rating agencies append modifiers, 19Standard&Poor's,Corporate Ratings Criteria,General:Criteria Methodology:Business Risk/Financial Risk Matrix Expanded, May 27,2009 and Standard&Poor's, Criteria Corporates General: Corporate Methodology,November 19,2013. PAGE 25 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I such as+, - for S&P and 1, 2, and 3 for Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") to each 2 generic rating classification. For example, an"A" credit profile is comprised of three 3 subsets such as A+, A, A- for S&P or Al, A2 or A3 for Moody's. The modifier of either 4 "+"or"1"indicates that the obligation ranks in the higher end of its generic rating 5 category; the modifier"2" indicates a mid-range ranking; and the modifier of"-" or 643" 6 indicates a ranking in the lower end of that generic rating category. 7 S&P and Moody's publish financial benchmark criteria necessary to obtain a 8 bond rating for different types of utilities. As a generalization, the higher the perceived 9 business risk, the more stringent the financial criteria so the sum of the two, business risk 10 and financial criteria, remains the same. 11 Q. What are some financial benchmarks applied by credit rating agencies for rating 12 public utility debt? 13 A. S&P describes its range of financial benchmarks as 14 Risk-adjusted ratio guidelines depict the role that financial ratios play in 15 Standard& Poor's rating process, since financial ratios are viewed in the 16 context of a firm's business risk. A company with a stronger competitive 17 position, more favorable business prospects, and more predictable cash 18 flows can afford to undertake added financial risk while maintaining the 19 same credit rating. The guidelines displayed in the matrices make explicit 20 the linkage between financial ratios and levels of business risk.20 21 Q. What other information is shown on Schedule 10? 22 A. Page 2 of Schedule 10 summarizes the application of S&P's and Moody's measures of 23 financial risk for VWID and the Comparable Group. S&P's and Moody's measures of 24 financial risk are broader than the traditional measure of financial risk(i.e., leverage). 20Standard&Poor's Corporate Rating Criteria,2000. PAGE 26 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Besides reviewing amounts of leverage employed, S&P and Moody's also focus on 2 earnings protection and cash flow adequacy. 3 As is evident from the information shown on page 2 of Schedule 10, for the five 4 years ending in 2023 and for the year 2023, VWID's cash flow adequacy ratios were 5 generally higher than the Comparable Companies in most instances. Comparing the 6 VWID and the Water Group's measures of cash flow adequacy shows that the VWID has 7 experienced a higher level of cash flow adequacy than Water Group, indicating that 8 VWID is a lower investment risk than the Water Group. Prospectively,based upon the 9 Company's construction program, the Company's ratios are likely to be strained. Based 10 solely upon VWID's historical ratios, it is my opinion that VWID's credit profile is 11 similar to the Comparable Companies. 12 However,based solely upon VWID's size, it is my opinion that VWID's credit 13 profile is lower than the Comparable Groups'. Based on VWID's smaller size, it is 14 highly likely that VWID's credit profile is below BBB (i.e., BB), based solely upon size. 15 An analysis of corporate credit ratings, shown on page 4 of Schedule 10, indicates that 16 there is an 87% (100%-0%-1%-4%-8%=87%) chance that VWID's credit profile falls 17 below BBB based on its small size alone.21 As S&P has stated, size is significantly 18 correlated to credit ratings. 19 An analysis of corporate credit ratings, summarized on page 4 of Schedule 10, 20 found The Berkshire Gas Company ("Berkshire") to be the smallest utility with a credit 21 rating. Berkshire's credit rating is only BBB+despite having a capitalization comprised 21 Additionally,using VWID's $310.628 million capitalization as a midpoint,I found only 15 companies which had capitalization of between $210.628 million to $410.628 million with a S&P bond or credit rating. Of these 14 companies,only 36%had bonds rated BBB or higher. PAGE 27 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I of about $213 million and a common equity ratio of 72%. According to this analysis of 2 corporate credit ratings, the smallest rated water utility is The York Water Company 3 ("York"). York's credit rating is only A-notwithstanding having a capitalization of 4 about $402 million and a common equity ratio of 55%. 5 Q. Have you reviewed the Company's large construction program? 6 A. Yes, the Company estimates their construction program to total $225.8 million(net of 7 advances and contributions) from 2024 through 2028. At year end 2023 the Company's 8 total capital outstanding was $310.6 million, indicating the need for a 73% increase 9 ($225.8 million- $310.6 million) in capital through 2028.22 10 Q. How does the magnitude of the Company's large construction program compare to 11 the Comparable Group's construction program? 12 A. The Company is forecasted to require 73% of additional capital to finance their 13 construction program while the Comparable Group is projected by Value Line to require 14 59% of additional capital to finance their construction programs. Accordingly, VWID's 15 capital requirements are about 23% greater than the Comparable Group's through 2028 16 indicating more risk for VWID. 17 In order to compete with the Comparable Group for capital, in the future, it will 18 be necessary for VWID to achieve higher returns on equity, and increased cash flow just 19 to maintain a similar credit quality. 20 S&P has stated: zz Perfluorooctanoic acid("PFOA") is a type of perfluoroalkyl and polyfluoroalkyl substance ("PFAS"), a group of human-made chemicals that are stable and do not break down easily. In April 2024 the EPA issued a Maximum Contaminant Level ("MCL") for six PFAS compounds. Currently, the Company anticipates that measures will be needed to comply with the EPA rule and is currently assessing those needs. PAGE 28 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I ... low authorized returns may affect the industry's ability to attract 2 necessary capital to develop new water supplies and upgrade the quality of 3 existing supplies . . . Traditional ratemaking policy has not provided 4 sufficient credit support during the construction cycle of the electric 5 industry over the past 15 years. To avoid a repeat in the water industry, 6 regulators must be aware of the increased challenges the industry faces.23 7 Investors will not provide the equity capital necessary for increasing the amount of 8 common equity in a capital structure unless the regulatory authority allows an adequate 9 rate of return on the equity.24 10 Q. What do you conclude from the various measures of investment risk information 11 you have testified to? 12 A. A summary of my conclusions regarding the risk analyses discussed previously is shown 13 in Table 5. Overall, the information summarized in Table 5 indicates that VWID has 14 similar investment risk as the Water Group. 21Standard&Poor's CreditWeek,May 25, 1992(emphasis added). 24National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners,loc.cit. PAGE 29 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. Summary of Risk Analyses VWID Water Group Followed by Analysts 1. Business Risk: 2. Country Risk Similar Risk Level 3. Industry Risk Similar Risk Level 4. Competitive Position Similar Risk Level 5. Profitability/Peer Group Comparisons Higher Risk Level 6. Capitalization Ratios&Financial Risk(Leverage)' Similar Risk Level 7. Debt Cost Rate* Similar Risk Level 8. Relative Size: 9. Regulatory Diversification Higher Risk Level 10. Economic Diversification Higher Risk Level 11. Demographic Diversification Higher Risk Level 12. Diversification of Weather Conditions Higher Risk Level 13. Customer Concentration of Revenues Higher Risk Level 14. Capital Intensity Higher Risk Level 15. Capital Recovery Higher Risk Level 16. Lower Liquidity: 17. Institutional Holdings Higher Risk Level 18. Insider Holdings Higher Risk Level 19. Percentage of Shares Traded Higher Risk Level 20. Required To Meet Clean Water Acts and Safe Drinking Water Act Similar Risk Level 21. Credit Market Financial Risk Metrics Higher Risk Level 22. Cash Flow Adequacy Higher Risk Level 23. Credit Rating/Credit Profile Similar Risk Level Based on recommended capital structure for rate making purposes. Comment:The terms"Similar Level"indicates same amount of risk and the terms"Higher Level"indicates greater risk. 1 Table 5 2 CAPITAL COST RATES 3 Q. What information is shown on Schedule 11? 4 A. Schedule 11 reviews long-term and short-term interest rate trends. Long-term and short- 5 term interest rate trends are reviewed to ascertain the"sub-flooring" or"basement"upon 6 which the Comparable Companies' common equity market capitalization rate is built. 7 Based upon the settled yields implied in the Treasury Bond future contracts and the long- 8 term and recent trends in spreads between long-term government bonds and A-rated PAGE 30 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I public utility bonds available to me at the time Schedule 11 was prepared, I conclude that 2 the market believes that if the Comparable Companies issued new long-term bonds near 3 term, they would be priced to yield about 5.4%based upon a credit profile of"A." 4 Further, it is reasonable to conclude the market anticipates that long-term government 5 bonds will be priced to yield about 4.2%, near term. 6 Since October 2008, the Federal Reserve ("FED") has been monetizing US 7 Treasury debt to artificially suppress interest rates through expansionary money policies 8 (i.e., quantitative easing). The Federal Reserve, with effectively unlimited money at its 9 disposal, intervenes at any time it wishes, in whatever volume it wishes, to make sure that 10 Treasury bond and bill prices and yields are exactly what the Federal Reserve wants them 11 to be. The U.S. Treasury bond market, and mortgage market, has become an artificial 12 market with no connection to objective risk and interest rates. 13 In August 2011, the Federal Reserve began "Operation Twist." Under"Operation 14 Twist,"the Federal Reserve began buying $400 billion of long-dated or long-term US 15 Treasury debt, financed by selling short-term US Treasury debt with three years to go or 16 less. The goal of"Operation Twist"was to try to drive long-term rates lower, which the 17 Federal Reserve thought would help the mortgage market. This process has created an 18 artificial demand for the US Treasury debt themselves, and easily drives interest rates 19 artificially lower and deceives investors into believing U.S. Treasury debt is safe with 20 wide demand. This has resulted in the entire capital system being impacted by the 21 Federal Reserve's distortion of the price of risk. 22 In the real world of economics, the borrower pays an interest rate to a 23 lender, who makes money(interest) by taking on the risk of lending and 24 deferring gratification. The lender is willing to not spend his money now. PAGE 31 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I In a free market economy, interest rates are essentially a price put on 2 money, and they reflect the time preference of people. Higher interest 3 rates reflect a high demand for borrowing and lower savings. But the 4 higher rates automatically correct this situation by encouraging savings 5 and discouraging borrowing. Lower interest rates will work the opposite 6 way. When the government/central bank tampers with interest rates, 7 savings and lending are distorted, and resources are misallocated. This is 8 evident in looking back on the housing bubble. The artificially low 9 interest rates signaled that there was a high amount of savings. But it was 10 a false signal. There was also a signal for people to borrow more. Again, 11 it was a false signal. As these false signals were revealed, the housing 12 boom turned into a bust.zs 13 14 In response to COVID-19, the Federal Reserve provided monetary and fiscal 15 stimulus to increase liquidity in the form of new fiscal stimulus programs and rate cuts. 16 "For context, new fiscal stimulus and total fiscal deficits in the US are roughly double the 17 levels seen in 2008-2009, and the US fiscal deficit we project for 2020 of 15%-18% is 18 only matched by deficits seen at the height of WWII in 1942-1943."26 The combined 19 result of these actions by the Federal Reserve and investors' flight to quality resulted in 20 artificial and historically low risk-free rates as measured by the 30-year treasury bond 21 yield. 22 Q. What are some of the results from the FED's monetary and fiscal stimulus? 23 A. The FED's quantitative easing of expanding its own balance sheet, by buying bonds, and 24 therefore injecting money into the economy, floods the economy with additional cash, 25 keeping interest rates low and impacts equity markets. Additionally, the FED's 26 uninterrupted and aggressive monetary expansion policy necessarily puts pressure on 27 inflation. The FED's monetary and fiscal stimulus, which included artificial and 25Pike,Geoffrey"The Threat of Negative Interest Rates,"Wealth Daily,May 30,2014, http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/the-threat-of-negative-interest-rates/5185,(6/03/2014) 26 https://www.jpmorgan.com/jpmpdf/1320748588999.pdf,(5/29/20). PAGE 32 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I historically low interest rates, have produced some of the highest inflation rates in the last 2 40 years according to CNBC. 3 Inflation rose 9.1% in June, even more than expected, as consumer 4 pressures intensify. 5 6 Shoppers paid sharply higher prices for a variety of goods in June as 7 inflation kept its hold on a slowing U.S. economy, the Bureau of Labor 8 Statistics reported Wednesday. 9 10 The consumer price index, a broad measure of everyday goods and 11 services related to the cost of living, soared 9.1% from a year ago, above 12 the 8.8%Dow Jones estimate. That marked the fastest pace for inflation 13 going back to November 1981.27 14 15 In response to the level of inflation rates, the Federal Reserve ("FED") announced 16 its goal of increasing interest rates as high as needed to get inflation back to 2%. 17 Americans are headed for a painful period of slow economic growth and 18 possibly rising joblessness as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to 19 fight high inflation, U.S. central bank chief Jerome Powell warned on 20 Friday in his bluntest language yet about what is in store for the world's 21 biggest economy. 22 23 In a speech kicking off the Jackson Hole central banking conference in 24 Wyoming, Powell said the Fed will raise rates as high as needed to restrict 25 growth, and would keep them there "for some time" to bring down 26 inflation that is running at more than three times the Fed's 2% goal. 27 28 "Reducing inflation is likely to require a sustained period of below-trend 29 growth," Powell said. "While higher interest rates, slower growth, and 30 softer labor market conditions will bring down inflation, they will also 31 bring some pain to households and businesses. These are the unfortunate 32 costs of reducing inflation. But a failure to restore price stability would 33 mean far greater pain. 27 Cox,J. (2022,July 13).Inflation rose 9.1%in June,even more than expected,as consumer pressures intensify. CNBC.Retrieved from https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/13/inflation-rose-9pointlpercent-in June-even-more-than- expected-as-price-pressures-intensify,(7/13/22). PAGE 33 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I As that pain increases, Powell said,people should not expect the Fed to 2 dial back its monetary policy quickly until the inflation problem is fixed.28 3 The Chairman of the Federal Reserve reiterated its goal of increasing interest rates 4 as high as needed to get inflation back to 2%. 5 It is the Fed's job to bring inflation down to our 2 percent goal, and we 6 will do so. We have tightened policy significantly over the past year. 7 Although inflation has moved down from its peak—a welcome 8 development—it remains too high. We are prepared to raise rates 9 further if appropriate, and intend to hold policy at a restrictive level 10 until we are confident that inflation is moving sustainably down toward 11 our objective. . . . 12 13 Restrictive monetary policy has tightened financial conditions, supporting 14 the expectation of below-trend growth. Since last year's symposium, the 15 two-year real yield is up about 250 basis points, and longer-term real 16 yields are higher as well—by nearly 150 basis points. Beyond changes 17 in interest rates,bank lending standards have tightened, and loan growth 18 has slowed sharply. . . . 19 20 But we are attentive to signs that the economy may not be cooling as 21 expected. So far this year, GDP (gross domestic product) growth has 22 come in above expectations and above its longer-run trend, and recent 23 readings on consumer spending have been especially robust. In addition, 24 after decelerating sharply over the past 18 months, the housing sector is 25 showing signs of picking back up. Additional evidence of persistently 26 above-trend growth could put further progress on inflation at risk and 27 could warrant further tightening of monetary policy.29 28 The Federal Reserve considers inflation, employment and the rate of borrowing, 29 among other economic factors when setting their target interest rate levels. 30 The Federal Reserve has decided to hold interest rates steady after its 31 meeting on June 11 and 12, 2024. The federal funds target rate has 32 remained at 5.25%to 5.5% since July 2023. 33 28 Schneider,H and Saphir,A(2022,August 26). Powell sees pain ahead as Fed sticks to the fast lane to beat inflation. REUTERS. Retrieved from hM2s://www.reuters.com/markets/us/feds-Powell-pain-ti hg_t-policy. -s�arowth-needed- for-some-time-beat-inflation-2022-08-26/,(8/27/22). 29 Jerome H. Powell, "Inflation: Progress and the Path Ahead" ("Structural Shifts in the Global Economy," an economic policy symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City,Jackson Hole,Wyoming,August 25,2023). (Emphasis added and footnotes omitted) PAGE 34 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I To combat inflation,the rate was raised 11 times between March 2022 2 and July 2023. Inflation has receded, but the Fed has signaled it wants 3 more positive data before pulling the trigger. 4 5 In March 2024, the central bank predicted three quarter-point cuts by the 6 end of the year. As time goes on, however, that has become less of a 7 certainty. 8 9 The FOMC meets eight times a year to discuss whether to adjust the 10 federal funds rate, a benchmark that governs overnight lending between 11 commercial banks. Led by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, the 12 group of 12 considers inflation, employment and the rate of borrowing, 13 among other economic factors. 14 15 The FOMC has met four times so far in 2024,but declined to change 16 rates. The remaining meetings this year are: 17 July 30 and July 31, 2024 18 Sept. 17 and Sept. 18, 2024 19 Nov. 6 and Nov. 7, 2024 20 Dec. 17 and Dec. 18, 2024 21 22 Amy Hubble, principal investment advisor with Radix Financial, told 23 CNBC Select she doesn't expect a rate hike in July. 24 25 "That doesn't mean that the Fed is doing nothing, though,"Hubble said. 26 "They're doing their job—while we don't have any weaknesses in the 27 job market, which is the Fed's most important objective, you still see 28 inflation above 3%. That's higher than we want. We have started to see 29 that come down,but we'll see how the summer goes."30 30 On November 7, 2024, the Federal Reserve made its second rate cut of this year, 31 with the decision coming less than two months after the central bank's 0.50 percentage 32 points cut in September. The Fed shaved borrowing costs by 0.25 percentage points, or 33 half the size of its September reduction, according to its Thursday statement. Fed officials 34 have justified the easing mode for policy as they view supporting employment becoming 30 Neubauer,K. and Amond, R. (2024, June 20) "When will interest rates go down?Interest rates have held steady since July 2023.," CNBC. Retrieved from https://www.cnbc.com/select/when-will-interest-rates- drop/#:—:text=lnterest%20rates%20have%20held%20steady%20since%2OJuly%202023.&text=The%2OFederal%20 Reserve%20has%20decided,March%202022%20and%20July%202023.(accessed June 28,2024)(Emphasis added) PAGE 35 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I at least as much of a priority as arresting inflation. "Even with the Fed lowering rates, 2 markets have not responded in kind. Treasury yields have jumped higher since the 3 September cut, as have mortgage rates. The 30-year mortgage, for instance, has 4 climbed about 0.7 percentage point to 6.8%, according to Freddie Mac. The 10-year 5 Treasury yield is up almost as much."31 6 Prospectively the capital markets will be affected by the upcoming unprecedented 7 large Treasury financings coupled with increased interest rates. Investors provide capital 8 based upon risk and return opportunities and investors will not provide common equity 9 capital when higher risk-adjusted returns are available. 10 COMMON EQUITY COST RATE ESTIMATE 11 Q. What is the best method of estimating common equity cost rates? 12 A. There is no single method(model) suitable for estimating the cost rate for common 13 equity. While a single investor may rely solely upon one model in evaluating investment 14 opportunities, other investors rely on different models. Most sophisticated investors who 15 use an equity valuation model rely on many models in evaluating their common equity 16 investment alternatives. Therefore, the average price of an equity security reflects the 17 results of the application of many equity models used by investors in determining their 18 investment decisions. 19 The application of any single model to estimate common equity cost rates is not 20 appropriate because the security price for which the equity cost rate is being estimated 21 reflects the application of many models used in the valuation of the investment. That is, "Cox,J. (2024,November 7).Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by a quarter point. CNBC.Retrieved from https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/07/fed-rate-decision-november-2024.html,(11/8/24). PAGE 36 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I the price of any security reflects the collective application of many models. Accordingly, 2 if only one model is used to estimate common equity cost rates, that cost rate will most 3 likely be different from the collective market's cost rates because the collective valuation 4 in the market reflects more than one method. 5 Noted financial texts, investor organizations and professional societies all endorse 6 the use of more than one valuation method. "We endorse the dividend discount model, 7 particularly when used for established companies with consistent earnings power and 8 when used along with other valuation models. It is our view that, in any case, an investor 9 should employ more than one model. ,32 10 The American Association of Individual Investors states, "No one area of 11 investment is suitable for all investors and no single method of evaluating investment 12 opportunities has been proven successful all of the time."33 13 In its study guide, the National Society of Rate of Return Analysts states, "No 14 cost of equity model or other concept is recommended or emphasized, nor is any 15 procedure for employing any model recommended . . . it remains important to recognize 16 that alternative methods exist and have merit in cost of capital estimation. To this end, 17 analysts should be knowledgeable of a broad spectrum of cost of capital techniques and 18 issues."34 12Sidney Cottle,Roger F.Murray and Frank E.Block,Graham and Dodd's Securities Analysis 5th Edition,McGraw- Hill,Inc., 1988,p. 568 (emphasis added). 33Editorial Policy, AAII Journal, American Association of Individual Investors, Volume 18, No. 1, January 1996, P. 1. "David C. Parcell, The Cost of Capital-A Practitioners Guide,National Society of Rate of Return Analysts, 1995 Edition. PAGE 37 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Several different models should be employed to measure accurately the market- 2 required cost of equity reflected in the price of stock. Therefore, I used three recognized 3 methods: the DCF shown on Schedule 12, the CAPM shown on Schedule 17, and the RP 4 shown on Schedule 18. 5 DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW 6 Q. Please explain the discounted cash flow model. 7 A. The DCF is based upon the assumption that the price of a share of stock is equal to a 8 future stream of cash flows to which the holder is entitled. The stream of cash flows is 9 discounted at the investor-required cost rate (cost of capital). 10 Although the traditional DCF assumes a stream of cash flow into perpetuity, a 11 termination, or sale price can be calculated at any point in time. Therefore, the return rate 12 to the stockholder consists of cash flow (earnings or dividends) received and the change 13 in the price of a share of stock. The cost of equity is defined as: 14 ...the minimum rate of return that must be earned on equity 15 finance and investments to keep the value of existing common 16 equity unchanged. This return rate is the rate of return that 17 investors expect to receive on the Company's common stock . . . 18 the dividend yield plus the capital gains yiel . . . 31 19 20 Q. Please explain how you calculated your dividend yield in the DCF shown on 21 Schedule 12. 22 A. As shown on page 1 of Schedule 12, I used the average dividend yield of 2.5% for the 23 Water Group. The individual dividend yields are shown on page 2 of Schedule 12 and 24 are based upon the most recent months' yield, September 2024, and the twelve-month 'SJ.Fred Weston and Eugene F.Brigham,Essentials of Managerial Finance,3rd ed.(The Dryden Press), 1974,p.504 (emphasis added). PAGE 38 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I average yield, ending September 2024. The second input to a market DCF calculation is 2 the determination of an appropriate share price growth rate. 3 Q. What sources of growth rates did you review? 4 A. I reviewed both historical and projected growth rates. Schedule 13 shows the array of 5 projected growth rates for the Comparable Companies that are published. Specific 6 historical growth rates are shown for informational purposes because I believe the 7 meaningful historical growth rates are already considered when analysts arrive at their 8 projected growth rates. Nonetheless, some investors may still rely on historical growth 9 rates. 10 Q. Please explain the sources of the projected growth rates shown on Schedule 13. 11 A. I relied upon four sources for projected growth rates, First Call, S&P, Zacks Investment 12 Research and Value Line.36 13 Q. Did you review any other growth rates besides those shown on Schedule 13? 14 A. Yes. I reviewed EPS growth rates reflecting changes in return rates on book common 15 equity (ROE) over time. I summarized recent ROES on page I of Schedule 14 and 16 compared those to the Water Group's higher levels projected to be achieved by Value 17 Line, as shown on page 2 of Schedule 14. ROEs increase when EPS grows at much 18 higher/faster rates than book value. 19 I also reviewed industry specific average projected growth rates that are published 20 by Zacks for the industries in which the Comparable Companies operate. According to 36With the exception of Value Line, the earnings growth rate projections are consensus estimates five-year EPS estimates. These consensus estimates are compiled from more than 1,700 financial analysts and brokerage firms nationwide. It should be noted that none of the consensus forecasts provides projected DPS estimates. Value Line publishes projected Cash flow,EPS and DPS five-year growth projections as well. PAGE 39 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Zacks, the Water Group's industry is projected to have EPS growth rates that average 2 9.9% over the next five years. 3 Q. What do you conclude from the growth rates you have reviewed? 4 A. Table 6 summarizes some of the various growth rates reviewed. Summary of Growth Rates Water Group Projected 5 Year Growth in EPS 6.7 Actual 5 Year Growth in EPS 5.4 Projected 5 Year Growth in DPS 6.8 Projected 5 Year Growth in EPS for the industry 9.9 5 Table 6 6 Academic studies suggest that growth rate conclusions should be tested for 7 reasonableness against long-term interest rate levels. Further, the minimum growth rate 8 must at least exceed expected inflation levels. Otherwise, investors would experience 9 decreases in the purchasing power of their investment. Finally, the combined result of 10 adding the growth rate to the market value dividend yield must provide a sufficient 11 margin over yields of public utility debt. 12 Q. What method did you use to arrive at your growth rate conclusion? 13 A. No single method is necessarily the correct method of estimating share value growth. It 14 is reasonable to assume that investors anticipate that the Water Group's current ROE will 15 expand to higher levels. The published historical earnings growth rates for the Water 16 Group averages 5.4%. Because there is not necessarily any single means of estimating PAGE 40 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I share value growth, I considered all of this information in determining a growth rate 2 conclusion for the Comparable Companies. 3 Moreover, while some rate of return practitioners would advocate that 4 mathematical precision should be followed when selecting a growth rate, the fact is that 5 investors do not behave in the same manner when establishing the market price for a 6 stock. Rather, investors consider both company-specific variables and overall market 7 sentiment such as inflation rates, interest rates and economic conditions when 8 formulating their capital gains expectations. This is especially true when one considers 9 the relatively meaningless negative growth rates. That is,use of a negative growth rate in 10 a DCF implies that investors invest with the expectation of losing money. 11 The range of growth rates previously summarized supports the reasonableness of 12 an expected 6.7% growth rate for the Water Group based primarily on the projected five- 13 year growth rates and considering the Water Group's industry projected EPS growth rates 14 of 9.9%. Like the projected growth rates, this investor-expected growth rate of 6.7% is 15 based on a survey of projected and historical growth rates published by established 16 entities, including First Call, S&P, Zacks Investment Research and Value Line. Use of 17 information from these unbiased professional organizations provides an objective 18 estimation of investor's expectations of growth. Based on the aforesaid, all growth rates 19 for the Comparison Companies have been considered and have been given weight in 20 determining a 6.7% growth rate for the Water Group. 21 Q. What is your market value DCF estimate for the Comparable Companies? 22 A. The market value DCF cost rate estimate for the Water Group is 9.3%, as detailed on 23 page I of Schedule 12. PAGE 41 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Q. Are there other considerations that should be taken into account in reviewing a 2 market value capitalization DCF cost rate estimate? 3 A. Yes. It should be noted that although I recommend specific dividend yields for the 4 Comparable Group, I recommend that less weight be given to the resultant market value 5 DCF cost rate due to the market's current market capitalization ratios and the impact that 6 the market-to-book ratio has on the DCF results.37 The Comparable Companies' current 7 market-to-book ratios of 241% and low dividend yields are being affected by the 8 aforementioned policy of the Federal Reserve that has resulted in the mispricing of 9 capital due to artificial interest rates, not DCF fundamentals. 10 Although the DCF cost for common equity appears to be based upon 11 mathematical precision, the derived result does not reflect the reality of the marketplace 12 since the model proceeds from unconnected assumptions. The traditional DCF derived 13 cost rate for common equity will continuously understate or overstate investors' return 14 requirements as long as stock prices continually sell above or below book value. A 15 traditional DCF model implicitly assumes that stock price will be driven to book value 16 over time. However, such a proposition is not rational when viewed in the context of an 17 investor purchasing stock above book value. It is not rational to assume that an investor 18 would expect share price to decrease 59% (100%-241%=41%-100%=59%) in value to 19 equal book value. 37 The impact of the market's current market capitalization ratios on the resultant market value DCF cost rate is especially evidenced when the DCF result for individual companies in the Comparable Group is considered. For example, the resultant market value DCF cost rate for two of the individual companies in the Comparable Group produce cost rates that are more than 2.00 percentage points below the Comparable Group's average cost rate.e. PAGE 42 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Utility stocks do not trade in a vacuum. Utility stock prices, whether they are 2 above or below book value, reflect worldwide market sentiment and are not reflective of 3 only one element. 4 Q. What do you mean by your statement that utility stocks are not traded in a 5 vacuum? 6 A. Utility stocks cannot be viewed solely by themselves. They must be viewed in the 7 context of the market environment. Table 7 summarizes recent market-to-book ratios 8 ("MB") for well-known measures of market value reported in the October 4, 2024 issue 9 of Barron's and the Water Group's average MB as shown on page 1 of Schedule 14. M/B Ratios Dow Jones Industrials 532 Dow Jones Transportation 404 Dow Jones Utilities 223 S&P 500 520 S&P Industrials 691 Vs. Water Group 241 10 Table 7 11 Utility stock investors view their investment decisions compared with other investment 12 alternatives, including those of the various market measures shown in Table 7. 13 Q. How does a traditional DCF implicitly assume that market price will equal book 14 value? 15 A. Under traditional DCF theory, price will equal book value (M/B=1.00) only when a 16 company is earning its cost of capital. Traditional DCF theory maintains that a company PAGE 43 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I is under-earning its cost of capital when the market price is below book value 2 (MB<1.00), while a company over-earning its cost of capital will have a market price 3 above its book value (M/B>1.00). If this were true, it would imply that the capitalistic 4 free-market is not efficient because the overwhelming majority of stocks would currently 5 be earning more than their cost of capital. Table 7 shows that most stocks sell at an M/B 6 that is greater than 1.0. 7 Q. Please explain why such a phenomenon would show that the capitalistic free-market 8 is not efficient. 9 A. Historically, the S&P 500, which represented the largest 500 companies listed on 10 exchanges in the United States, have not sold at an MB of 1.0 during the last 25-years, 11 1999-2023. Based upon the traditional DCF assumption, which suggests that companies 12 with M/Bs greater than 1.0 earn more than their cost of capital, this data would suggest 13 that the S&P 500 companies have earned more than their cost of capital while competing 14 in a competitive environment over the 25-year period. In a competitive market, new 15 companies would continually enter the market up to the point that the earnings rate was at 16 least equal to their cost of capital. 17 During this period the S&P 500 sold at an average M/B of 311%while 18 experiencing a ROE of 19.4% over a period in which interest rates averaged 4.1%. It is 19 important to note that during this period the S&P 500 MB ranged from 206%to 460%, 20 all while competing in competitive markets. 21 Q. What is the significance of S&P 500 M/B and the cost of capital for a water utility? 22 A. As stated previously,utility stocks do not trade in a vacuum. They must compete for 23 capital with other firms including the S&P 500 stocks. Over time, there has been a PAGE 44 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I relationship between M/Bs of S&P 500 stocks and utility stocks. Although S&P 500 2 stocks have generally sold at a higher multiple of book value than utility stocks, both 3 have tracked in similar directions. Because utility and S&P 500 stock prices relative to 4 book values move in similar directions, it is irrational to conclude that stock prices that 5 are different from book value, either higher or lower, suggests that a firm is over-or 6 under-earning its cost of capital when competitive, free-markets exist. 7 Q. Does the market value DCF provide a reasonable estimate of the Water Group's 8 common equity cost rate? 9 A. No, the DCF only provides a reasonable estimate of the Comparable Group's common 10 equity cost rate when their market price and book value are similar(M/B=100%).38 A 11 DCF will overstate a common equity cost rate when M/Bs are below 100% and 12 understate when they are above 100%. Since the Comparable Group's current M/Bs 13 average 241%, the DCF understates their common equity cost rate. Schedule 15 provides 14 a numerical illustration of the impact of MBs on investors' market returns and DCF 15 returns. The reason that DCF understates or overstates investors' return requirements 16 depending upon M/B levels is because a DCF-derived equity cost rate is applied to a 17 book value rate base while investors' returns are measured relative to stock price levels. 18 Based upon this, I recommend that less weight be given to the market value DCF cost 19 rate unless the increased financial risk, resulting from applying a market value cost rate to 20 a book value, is accounted for. "Roger A Morin,Regulatory Finance-Utilities' Cost of Capital,Public Utility Reports,Inc., 1994,pp.236-237. PAGE 45 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Q. How do you resolve the financial risk difference between market value cost rates 2 and book value cost rates? 3 A. The basic proposition of financial theory regarding the economic value of a company is 4 based on market value. That is, a company's value is based on its market value 5 weighted average cost of capital.39 The American Society of Appraisers, ASA Business 6 Valuation Standards, 2009, and the National Association of Certified Valuation Analysts, 7 Professional Standards, 2007,use the same definition: 8 Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC). The cost of capital (discount 9 rate) determined by the weighted average, at market values, of the cost of 10 all financing sources in the business enterprise's capital structure. 11 (Emphasis added) 12 13 Accordingly, the market value derived cost rate reflects the financial risk or leverage 14 associated with capitalization ratios based on market value, not book value. 15 As shown on page 1 of Schedule 16, for the Water Group there is a large 16 difference in leverage as a result of the average $4.048 billion difference in market value 17 common equity and book value common equity. This difference in market values and 18 book values results in debt/equity ratios based on market value of 30.8%/69.2% 19 (debt/equity)verses 50.1%/49.9% (debt/equity)based on book value as shown on page 1 20 of Schedule 16. The larger the difference between market values and book values the 21 less reliable the models' results are because the models provide an estimate of the cost 22 of capital of market value, not book value. 39For other examples,see http://www.investin,ganswers.com/financial-dictionary/financial-statement- analysis/weighted-average-cost-capital-wacc-2905. Also see http://www.wallstreetmojo.com/weighted-average- cost-capital-wacc/,or http://accountingeNplained.com/misc/corporate-finance/wacc. PAGE 46 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Financial theory concludes that capital structure and firm value are related. Since 2 capital structure and firm value are related, an adjustment is required when a cost of 3 common equity model is based on market value and if its results are then applied to book 4 value. As explained previously, the market value derived cost rate reflects the financial 5 risk or leverage associated with capitalization ratios based on market value, not book 6 value. The authors Brealey, Myers and Allen provide a similar definition of the cost of 7 capital being based on market capitalization, not book value, 8 The values of debt and equity add up to overall firm value (D +E =V) 9 and firm value V equals asset value. These figures are all market values, 10 not book(accounting)values. The market value of equity is often much 11 larger than the book value, so the market debt ratio DN is often much 12 lower than a debt ratio computed from the book balance sheet.40 13 The work of Modigliani and Miller concludes that the market value of any firm is 14 independent of its capital structure and this is precisely the reason why an adjustment is 15 appropriate. The only way for the market value of a firm to remain independent of its 16 capital structure is if the capital cost rates change to offset changes in the capital 17 structure. If the capital cost rates do not change to offset changes in the capital structure, 18 then the value of the firm will change. Clearly an adjustment is required when a cost of 19 common equity model is based on market value and if its results are then applied to 20 book value because the capital structure is changed from market value capitalization to 21 book value capitalization.41 40Brealey,Myers and Allen,Principles of Corporate Finance, 10th edition,page 216(emphasis added). 41 For example,based on the Modigliani and Miller Theorem,the Comparison Group's overall rate of return reflecting their market capitalization and market value DCF is 8.10% and their net of tax overall rate of return is 7.66%. Therefore, to support their market value (e.g., stock price), the Comparison Group must produce a similar level of earnings on their book capitalization which would require a ROE of 10.8%to 11.35%. PAGE 47 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Differences in the amount of leverage employed can be quantified based upon the 2 Comparable Group's leveraged beta being "unleveraged"through the application of the 3 "Hamada Model." 4 The Hamada equation is a fundamental analysis method of analyzing a 5 firm's cost of capital as it uses additional financial leverage, and how that 6 relates to the overall riskiness of the firm. The measure is used to 7 summarize the effects this type of leverage has on a firm's cost of 8 capital—over and above the cost of capital as if the firm had no debt.42 9 The Hamada Model and its variants (e.g., Harris-Pringle formula) are integral parts of 10 corporate finance today, used by valuation professionals in their determination of the cost 11 of capital and by academics to explain ideal capital structure. The Hamada Model and its 12 variants combines two financial theorems: the Modigliani-Miller Theorem and the 13 CAPM.43 On page 2 of Schedule 16 I used two Hamada Models including the original 14 Hamada formula and the Harris-Pringle formula to account for the 19.3 percentage point 15 (69.2% -49.9% = 19.3%) change in common equity ratio that results from changing from 16 market value capitalization to book value capitalization. The results of the application of 17 the original Hamada formula and the Harris-Pringle formula determine a range of 18 adjustment of 0.61%to 1.10%, and average 0.86%.44 The details of the application of the 19 two Hamada models are shown on page 2 of Schedule 16. 20 For example, the inputs to the original Hamada formula for the Water Group 21 market value capitalization consist of their raw leveraged beta of 0.75, debt ratio of 42 Hargrave, Marshall. "Hamada Equation Definition, Formula, Example," Investopedia. Accessed 3/14/23. hops://www.investopedia.com/tenns/h/hamadaequation.asp. 43 "Hamada's Equation," Corporate Finance Institute. Accessed 3/14/23. https:Hcorporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/valuation/hamadas-equation/. 44 If the firm is assumed to rebalance its debt-to-equity ratio continuously, the Hamada formula is replaced with the Harris-Pringle formula. PAGE 48 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. 1 30.8%,preferred stock ratio of 0.0%, common equity ratio of 69.2% and combined tax 2 rate of 26.14%. The group's unleveraged beta is determined to be 0.56 through the use of 3 the following original Hamada formula: 4 B1=Bu(1 + (1 -t) D/E+P/E) 5 where: 6 B1= observed, leveraged beta 7 Bu=calculated,unleveraged beta 8 t =income tax rate 9 D =debt ratio 10 P =preferred stock ratio 11 E =common equity ratio 12 Applying the unleveraged beta of 0.56 along with the Water Group's book value 13 capitalization ratios of 50.1% long-term debt, 0.0%preferred stock and 49.9% common 14 equity and combined tax rate of 26.14%results in a leveraged beta of 0.98 applicable to 15 the group's book value capitalization. Based upon the Water Group's risk premium of 16 4.8% and the difference between Water Group's market value leveraged beta, their book 17 value leveraged beta of 0.23 (0.98 - 0.75) indicates that the Water Group's common 18 equity cost rate must be increased by 1.10 (0.23 x 4.8 = 1.10) in recognition of their book 19 value's exposure to more financial risk. 20 The inputs to the Harris-Pringle formula for the Water Group market value 21 capitalization consist of their raw leveraged beta of 0.75, debt ratio of 30.8%, preferred 22 stock ratio of 0.0%, common equity ratio of 69.2% and debt beta of 0.42. The group's 23 unleveraged beta is determined to be 0.65 through the use of the following Harris-Pringle 24 formula: PAGE 49 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I B1=Bu+ (Bu - Bd)(D/E) 2 where: 3 B1 =observed, leveraged beta 4 Bu=calculated,unleveraged beta 5 Bd=debt beta 6 D =debt ratio 7 P =preferred stock ratio 8 E =common equity ratio 9 Applying the unleveraged beta of 0.65 along with the Water Group's book value 10 capitalization ratios of 50.1% long-term debt, 0.0%preferred stock and 49.9% common 11 equity and debt beta of 0.42 results in a leveraged beta of 0.88 applicable to the group's 12 book value capitalization. Based upon the Water Group's risk premium of 4.8% and the 13 difference between Water Group's market value leveraged beta, their book value 14 leveraged beta of 0.13 (0.88 - 0.75) indicates that the Water Group's common equity cost 15 rate must be increased by 0.61 (0.13 x 4.8 0.61) in recognition of their book value's 16 exposure to more financial risk. 17 Q. Is there another way to reflect the financial risk difference that exists as a result of 18 market capitalization ratios being significantly different from book value 19 capitalization ratios? 20 A. Yes, generally speaking. Although it is possible to know the direction of a financial risk 21 adjustment on common equity cost rate, a specific quantification of financial risk 22 differences is very difficult. Although the end result of a financial risk adjustment is very 23 subjective and specific quantification very difficult, the direction of the adjustment is 24 clearly known. However, hypothetically if the Comparable Group's debt were rated 25 based on market value debt ratios they would command an AAA rating. The Comparison PAGE 50 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Group currently has bonds rated A based upon their book value debt ratios. The yield 2 spread on a bond rated AAA versus A rated bonds averages about 55 basis points or 3 0.55% as shown on page 3 of Schedule 16. 4 The end result of the application of the Hamada Model and the bond yield spread 5 indicates that the Water Group market value common equity cost rate equity cost rate 6 should be adjusted upward by at least 0.70% (0.86% hamada est. +0.55%yield spread= 7 1.41%-2 = 0.7%) since it is going to be applied to a book value. 8 Accounting for the increased amount of leverage between market value derived 9 DCF cost rates and book value cost rates indicates a book value DCF cost rate of 10.00% 10 for the Water Group (9.3% +0.70% = 10.00%). 11 CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL 12 Q. Please briefly describe the theory of the capital asset pricing model. 13 A. The CAPM is based upon the assumption that investors hold diversified portfolios and 14 that the market only recognizes or rewards non-diversifiable (or systematic) risk when 15 determining the price of a security because company-specific risk(or non-systematic) is 16 removed through diversification. Further, investors are assumed to require additional or 17 higher returns for assuming additional or higher risk. This assumption is captured by 18 using a beta that provides an incremental cost of additional risk above the base risk-free 19 rate available to investors. The beta of a security reflects the market risk or systematic 20 risk of the security relative to the market. The beta for the market is always equal to 21 1.00; therefore, a company whose stock has a beta greater than 1.00 is considered riskier 22 than the market, and a company with a beta less than 1.00 is considered less risky than PAGE 51 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I the market. The base risk-free rate is assumed to be a U.S. Government treasury security 2 because they are assumed to be free of default risk. 3 Q. What risk-free rate and beta have you used in your CAPM calculation? 4 A. The risk-free rate used in CAPM should have approximately the same maturity as the life 5 of the asset for which the cost rate is being determined. Because utility assets are long- 6 lived, a long-term Treasury Bond yield serves as an appropriate proxy. Previously, I 7 estimated an appropriate risk-free rate of 4.2%based upon the recent and forward long- 8 term Treasury yields. I used the average beta of 0.85 for the Water Group as shown on 9 page 1 of Schedule 17. However, as stated previously, the Comparable Group's betas are 10 understated due to their small size which affects their stock price changes. 11 Q. After developing an appropriate beta and risk-free rate,what else is necessary to 12 calculate a CAPM derived cost rate? 13 A. A market premium is necessary to determine a traditional CAPM derived cost rate. The 14 market return rate is the return expected for the entire market. The market premium is 15 then multiplied by the company specific beta to capture the incremental cost of additional 16 risk(market premium) above the base risk-free rate (long-term treasury securities) to 17 develop a risk adjusted market premium. For example, if you conclude that the expected 18 return on the market as a whole is 15% and further assume that the risk-free rate is 8%, 19 then the market premium is shown to be 7% (15% - 8% =7%). 20 Further, assume there are two companies, one of which is considered less risky 21 than the market, and therefore has a beta of less than 1.00 or 0.80. The second company 22 has a beta that is greater than 1.00 or 1.20, and is therefore considered riskier than the 23 market. By multiplying the hypothetical 7.0%market premium by the respective betas of PAGE 52 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. 1 0.80 and 1.20, risk adjusted market premiums of 5.6% (7.0%x 0.80) and 8.4% (7.0%x 2 1.20) are shown for the company considered less risky than the market and for the 3 company considered riskier than the market, respectively. 4 Adding the assumed risk-free rate of 8%to the risk adjusted market premiums 5 results in the CAPM derived cost rates of 13.6% (5.6% + 8.0%) for the less risky 6 company and 16.4% (8.4% + 8.0%) for the company considered of greater risk than the 7 market. In fact, the result of this hypothetical CAPM calculation shows that: (1)the least 8 risky company, with the beta of 0.80, has a cost rate of 13.6%; (2)the market, with the 9 beta of 1.00, has a cost rate of 15.0%; and(3)that the higher risk company, with a beta of 10 1.20, has a cost rate of 16.4%. 11 Q. How did you develop a market premium for your CAPM? 12 A. The average projected market premium of 7.30% is developed on page 2 of Schedule 17. 13 It is based upon Value Line's average projected total market return for the next three to 14 five years of 10.80% less the risk free rate of 4.2% and the S&P 500's average projected 15 total market return for the next three to five years of 12.25% less the risk free rate of 16 4.2% from S&P Global Market Intelligence. I also reviewed market premiums derived 17 from Ibbotson Associates' most recent publication concerning asset returns that show a 18 market premium of 7.5%. The Ibbotson Associates' market premium may be on the low 19 side reflective of the higher interest rate environment found during their study, which 20 averaged 5.0%. The Value Line market premium reflects the Federal Reserve's current 21 artificial interest rate levels while the Ibbotson Associates' market premiums reflect a 22 higher interest rate environment. PAGE 53 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Q. How did you adjust for the impact that size has on the Comparable Group's beta? 2 A. The adjustment is reflected in the CAPM size premium. The CAPM size premium is 3 developed on page 4 of Schedule 17. The size premium reflects the risks associated with 4 the Comparable Group's small size and its impact on the determination of their beta. 5 This adjustment is necessary because beta(systematic risk) does not capture or reflect the 6 Comparable Group's small size. I reduced the size premium by the ratio of the 7 Comparison Group's beta to their respective market quartile's beta and estimated credit 8 spreads for the comparison companies and the quartile companies. 9 Q. What is the comparison group's market cost of equity based upon your CAPM 10 calculation? 11 A. The CAPM based on Ibbotson Associates' historical market returns shows a market cost 12 rate range of 10.6%to 11.3% for the Water Group. The CAPM based on projected 13 market returns shows a range of 10.4%to 11.1% for the Water Group, as shown on page 14 1 of Schedule 17. The Comparable Group's market value CAPM of 10.8% is based 15 50.0% on the results of the historical market returns and 50.0% on the projected market 16 returns. Adjusting the market value CAPM based upon the end result of the application 17 of the Hamada Model and the bond yield spread to account for the difference in leverage 18 between market value capitalization ratios and book value ratios discussed previously 19 indicates a cost rate of 11.50% for the Water Group applicable to book value (10.8%+ 20 0.70% = 11.50%). PAGE 54 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I RISK PREMIUM 2 Q. What is a risk premium? 3 A. A risk premium is the common equity investors' required premium over the long-term 4 debt cost rate for the same company, in recognition of the added risk to which the 5 common stockholder is exposed versus long-term debtholders. Long-term debtholders 6 have a stated contract concerning the receipt of dividend and principal repayment 7 whereas common stock investors do not. Further, long-term debtholders have the first 8 claim on assets in case of bankruptcy. A risk premium recognizes the higher risk to 9 which a common stock investor is exposed. The risk premium-derived cost rate for 10 common equity is the simplest form of deriving the cost rate for common equity because 11 it is nothing more than a premium above the prospective level of long-term corporate 12 debt. 13 Q. What is the appropriate estimated future long-term borrowing rate for the 14 Comparable Companies? 15 A. The estimated near term long-term borrowing rate for the Comparable Companies is 16 5.4%based upon their credit profile that supports an A bond rating 17 Q. What is the appropriate risk premium to be added to the future long-term 18 borrowing rate? 19 A. To determine a common equity cost rate, it is necessary to estimate a risk premium to be 20 added to the Comparable Group's prospective long-term debt rate. Investors may rely 21 upon published projected premiums; they also rely upon their experiences of investing in 22 ultimately determining a probabilistic forecasted risk premium. PAGE 55 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Projections of total market returns of 11.50% are shown on page 9 of Schedule 2 18. A projected risk premium for the market can be derived by subtracting the debt cost 3 rate from the projected market return as shown on page 9 of Schedule 18. However, the 4 derived risk premium for the market is not directly applicable to the Comparable 5 Companies because they are less risky than the market. The use of 85% of the market's 6 risk is a conservative estimation of their level of risk as compared to the market. Based 7 on this, a reasonable estimate of a longer term projected risk premium is 5.2% as shown 8 on page 9 of Schedule 18. 9 Q. How do investors' experiences affect their determination of a risk premium? 10 A. Returns on various assets are studied to determine a probabilistic risk premium. The 11 most noted asset return studies and resultant risk premium studies are those performed by 12 Ibbotson Associates. However, Ibbotson Associates has not performed asset return 13 studies concerning public utility common stocks. Based upon Ibbotson Associates' 14 methodology of computing asset returns, I calculated annual returns for the S&P utilities 15 and bonds for the period 1928-2023. The resultant annual returns were then compared to 16 determine a recent risk premium from a recent 20-year period, 2004-2023 and subsequent 17 periods that were each increased by ten years until the entire study period was reviewed 18 (pages 2 and 3 of Schedule 18). 19 A long-term analysis of rates of return is necessary because it assumes that 20 investors' expectations are, on average, equal to realized long-run rates of return and 21 resultant risk premium. Observing a single year's risk premium, either high or low, may 22 not be consistent with investors' requirements. Further, studies show a mean reversion in 23 risk premiums. In other words, over time, risk premiums revert to a longer-term average PAGE 56 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I premium. Moreover, since the expected rate of return is defined as "the rate of return 2 expected to be realized from an investment; the mean value of the probability distribution 3 of possible results,"45 a long-term analysis of annual returns is appropriate. 4 Q. What do you conclude from the information shown on pages 2 and 3 of Schedule 5 18? 6 A. The average of the absolute range of the S&P Utilities' appropriate average risk premium 7 (i.e., bonds rated AAA to A)was 4.5% during the seven periods studied, as calculated 8 from page 2 of Schedule 18. The credit adjusted longer term risk premiums (i.e.,bonds 9 rated A), 1928-2023, averages 4.4%. The appropriate average (i.e.,bonds rated AAA to 10 A) longer term risk premiums, 1928-2023, have an absolute range of 4.4% to 5.0%, and 11 averages 4.7%. 12 The aforementioned premiums are based on total returns for bonds; and reflect 13 their price risk. A bond's price risk is not related to its credit quality and is eliminated 14 when a bond is held to maturity from time of purchase. Using the income returns, page 4 15 of Schedule 18, for bonds eliminates price risk and better measures an investor's required 16 return based on credit quality. The appropriate average risk premium(i.e., bonds rated 17 AAA to A) based on income returns was 5.2% during the seven periods studied. The 18 credit adjusted longer term risk premiums (i.e., bonds rated A), 1928-2023, averages 19 4.7%. The appropriate average (i.e., bonds rated AAA to A) longer term risk premiums, 20 1928-2023, have an absolute range of 4.7%to 5.1%, and averages 4.9%. 45Eugene F.Brigham,Fundamentals of Financial Mana eg merit,Fifth Edition,The Dryden Press, 1989,p. 106. PAGE 57 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I Q. What information is shown on page 4 of Schedule 18? 2 A. Page 4 of Schedule 18 proves and measures the negative relationship between interest 3 rate levels and the resulting risk premium. That is, risk premiums are generally higher 4 when interest rates are low and risk premiums are generally lower when interest rates are 5 high. This was proven by sorting the 96-year period, 1928 to 2023, annual returns based 6 on interest rate level from lowest interest rate to highest interest rate and distributing the 7 results into two groups, a 48-year low interest rate environment group and a 48-year high 8 interest rate environment group. 9 During the period 1928-2023, the 48 years with the lowest interest rates had an 10 average interest rate of 2.9% and reflected a range of interest rates from 1.4%to 4.1%. 11 This period resembles the current interest rate environment of 4.2% discussed previously 12 regarding the CAPM's risk free rate. The risk premium based on total returns during this 13 low interest rate environment produced the appropriate average (i.e., bonds rated AAA to 14 A) longer term risk premium of 6.7% and a credit adjusted longer term risk premium 15 (i.e., bonds rated A) of 6.2%. The annual income return based risk premium during this 16 low interest rate environment produced the appropriate average (i.e., bonds rated AAA to 17 A) longer term risk premium of 7.4% and a credit adjusted longer term risk premium 18 (i.e., bonds rated A) of 7.1%. 19 However, during the period 1928-2023, the 48 years with the highest interest rates 20 had an average interest rate of 7.1% and reflected a range of interest rates from 4.1%to 21 13.5%. This period is far different from the current interest rate environment of 4.2%. 22 The risk premium based on total returns during the highest interest rate environment 23 produced an average longer term risk premium of 2.7% over bonds rated AAA to A and a PAGE 58 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I credit adjusted longer term risk premium (i.e.,bonds rated A) of only 2.7%. The annual 2 income return based risk premium during the highest interest rate environment produced 3 an average longer term risk premium of 2.5% over bonds rated AAA to A and a credit 4 adjusted longer term risk premium(i.e., bonds rated A) of only 2.4%. 5 Over time, risk premiums are mean reverting. They constantly move toward a 6 long-term average reflecting a long-term level of interest rates. That is, an above-average 7 risk premium will decrease toward a long-term average while a below-average risk 8 premium will increase toward a long-term average. In any single year, of course, 9 investor-required rates of return may not be realized and in certain instances, a single 10 year's risk premiums may be negative. Negative risk premiums are not indicative of 11 investors' expectations and violate the basic premise of finance concerning risk and 12 return. Negative risk premiums usually occur only in the stock market's down years (i.e., 13 the years in which the stock markets' return was negative). 14 When interest rate levels are not considered the credit adjusted longer term risk 15 premium(i.e., bonds rated A), 1928-2023, averages 4.7%, discussed previously regarding 16 page 4 of Schedule 18. However, the annual income return based risk premium during 17 the low interest rate environment produced a credit adjusted longer term risk premium 18 (i.e., bonds rated A) of 7.1%. Since this period more closely resembles the current 19 interest rate environment of 4.2%, a reasonable estimate of investors risk premium based 20 on historical returns is based on a 50%weighting on the results of the entire 1928-2023 21 historical market returns and a 50%weighting on the results of the low interest rate 22 environment to produce a 5.9%historical risk premium. However, the projected risk 23 premium is 5.2% (page 9 of Schedule 18) and I recognize that the current interest rate PAGE 59 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I environment of 4.2% is above the upper end of the low interest rate environment, which 2 ranged from 1.4%to 4.1%, and have lowered my estimate of the risk premium to 4.8%. 3 Adding the risk premium of 4.8% for the Comparable Group to the prospective 4 cost of newly-issued long-term debt of 5.4%results in a market value risk premium 5 derived cost rate for common equity of 10.2% as reflected on page 1 of Schedule 18. 6 Adjusting the market value risk premium based upon the end result of the application of 7 the Hamada Model and the bond yield spread to account for the difference in leverage 8 between market value capitalization and book value ratios discussed previously indicates 9 a cost rate of 10.90% applicable to book value (10.2% +0.70% = 10.90%). 10 SUMMARY OF COMMON EQUITY COST RATE 11 Q. What is your Comparable Group's common equity cost rate? 12 A. Based upon the results of the models employed, the Water Group's common equity cost 13 rate is in the range of 10.00%to 11.50% as reflected on Schedule 19. Based upon this 14 data, the common equity cost rate for the Water Group is at least 10.80%. My 15 recommendation is based upon the Water Group's 10.80% common equity cost rate. 16 Q. Do you recommend a cost of common equity of 10.80% for VWID? 17 A. Yes. Based upon the financial analysis and risk analysis, I conclude that VWID is 18 exposed to overall similar investment risk as the Comparable Group. This is evidenced 19 by the factors summarized in Table 5 discussed previously. 20 The results of the three models employed for the Water Group show a current 21 range of common equity cost applicable to book value of VWID of 10.00% (DCF), 22 11.50% (CAPM), and 10.90% (RP) as shown in Table 8. PAGE 60 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. Summary of the VWID's Equity Cost Rates DCF 10.00 CAPM 11.50 RP 10.90 1 Table 8 2 Q. What is your common equity cost rate recommendation for VWID? 3 A. As discussed above and as shown in Schedule 19, I recommend a 10.80% common equity 4 cost rate for VWID. 5 Q. Have you checked the reasonableness of your recommended common equity rate for 6 VWID? 7 A. Yes. Page 2 of Schedule 14 reflects the average projected earned return on average book 8 common equity for the companies in the Comparable Group for the period 2027-2029, 9 which is shown to average 11.1% and have median of 10.8%. Given the large degree to 10 which regulatory lag and attrition impacts water utilities' earning, the range of the 11 comparable utilities' projected earned returns suggests that my recommendation that 12 VWID be permitted an opportunity to earn 10.80% is reasonable, if not conservative. PAGE 61 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. I OVERALL RATE OF RETURN RECOMMENDATION 2 Q. What is your overall fair rate of return recommendation for the VWID? 3 A. Based upon the recommended capital structure and my estimate of the VWID's common 4 equity cost rate, I recommend an overall fair rate of return of 7.79%46. The details of my 5 recommendation are shown on Schedule 1. 6 Q. Have you tested the reasonableness of your overall fair rate of return 7 recommendation? 8 A. Yes. If my recommended overall rate of return is actually earned, it will give VWID 9 ratios that will allow VWID to present a financial profile that will enable it to attract 10 capital necessary to provide safe and reliable water service, at reasonable terms. 11 Q. Does this conclude your direct testimony? 12 A. Yes, it does. However, I reserve the right to supplement my testimony as additional 13 issues and facts arise during the course of the proceeding. 46 It should be noted that my current analysis contained in Exhibit No. 1 supports a cost of common equity of 10.8% for the Company. The Company's filing includes an overall rate of return of 7.47% and a 10.20%cost of common equity for filing purposes to minimize the requested revenue increase. PAGE 62 OF 65 WALKER,Di VEOLIA WATER IDAHO,INC. APPENDIX A Professional Qualifications of Harold Walker, III Manager, Financial Studies Gannett Fleming Valuation and Rate Consultants, LLC. EDUCATION Mr. Walker graduated from Pennsylvania State University in 1984 with a Bachelor of Science Degree in Finance. His studies concentrated on securities analysis and portfolio management with an emphasis on economics and quantitative business analysis. He has also completed the regulation and the rate-making process courses presented by the College of Business Administration and Economics Center for Public Utilities at New Mexico State University. Additionally,he has attended programs presented by The Institute of Chartered Financial Analysts (CFA). Mr.Walker was awarded the professional designation"Certified Rate of Return Analyst"(CRRA) by the Society of Utility and Regulatory Financial Analysts. This designation is based upon education, experience and the successful completion of a comprehensive examination. He is also a member of the Society of Utility and Regulatory Financial Analysts (SURFA) and has attended numerous financial forums sponsored by the Society. The SURFA forums are recognized by the Association for Investment Management and Research (AIMR) and the National Association of State Boards of Accountancy for continuing education credits. Mr. Walker obtained a license as a Municipal Advisor Representative (Series 50) by Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board(MSRB) and Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA). BUSINESS EXPERIENCE Prior to joining Gannett Fleming Valuation and Rate Consultants, LLC., Mr. Walker was employed by AUS Consultants - Utility Services. He held various positions during his eleven years with AUS, concluding his employment there as a Vice President. His duties included providing and supervising financial and economic studies on behalf of investor owned and municipally owned water, wastewater, electric, natural gas distribution and transmission, oil pipeline and telephone utilities as well as resource recovery companies. A-1 In 1996,Mr.Walker joined Gannett Fleming Valuation and Rate Consultants,LLC. In his capacity as Manager, Financial Studies and for the past twenty years, he has continuously studied rates of return requirements for regulated firms. In this regard, he supervised the preparation of rate of return studies in connection with his testimony and in the past, for other individuals. He also assisted and/or developed dividend policy studies, nuclear prudence studies, calculated fixed charge rates for avoided costs involving cogeneration projects,financial decision studies for capital budgeting purposes and developed financial models for determining future capital requirements and the effect of those requirements on investors and ratepayers, valued utility property and common stock for acquisition and divestiture,and assisted in the private placement of fixed capital securities for public utilities. Head, Gannett Fleming GASB 34 Task Force responsible for developing Governmental Accounting Standards Board (GASB) 34 services and educating Gannett Fleming personnel and Gannett Fleming clients on GASB 34 and how it may affect them. The GASB 34 related services include inventory of assets, valuation of assets, salvage estimation, annual depreciation rate determination, estimation of depreciation reserve, asset service life determination, asset condition assessment, condition assessment documentation, maintenance estimate for asset preservation, establishment of condition level index, geographic information system (GIS) and data management services, management discussion and analysis (MD&A) reporting, required supplemental information(RSI) reporting, auditor interface, and GASB 34 compliance review. In 2004, Mr. Walker was elected to serve on the Board of Directors of SURFA. Previously, he served as an ex-officio directors as an advisor to SURFA's existing President. In 2000,Mr.Walker was elected President of SURFA for the 2001-2002 term. Prior to that, he was elected to serve on the Board of Directors of SURFA during the period 1997-1998 and 1999-2000. He also served on the Pennsylvania Municipal Authorities Association, Electric Deregulation Committee. EXPERT TESTIMONY Mr. Walker has submitted testimony or been deposed on various topics before regulatory commissions and courts in 27 states including: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, New Hampshire, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia, and West Virginia. His testimonies covered various subjects including fair rate of return, lead-lag studies, fair market value,the taking of natural resources,benchmarking,appropriate capital structure and fixed capital cost rates, depreciation, purchased water adjustments, synchronization of interest charges for income tax purposes,valuation,cash working capital,financial analyses of investment alternatives, and fair value. The following tabulation provides a listing of the electric power, natural gas distribution, telephone, wastewater, and water service utility cases in which he has been involved as a witness. A-2 Client Docket No. Alpena Power Company U-10020 Armstrong Telephone Company - Northern Division 92-0884-T-42T Armstrong Telephone Company - Northern Division 95-0571-T-42T Artesian Water Company, Inc. 90 10 Artesian Water Company, Inc. 06 158 Aqua Illinois Consolidated Water Divisions and Consolidated Sewer Divisions 11-0436 Aqua Illinois Hawthorn Woods Wastewater Division 07 0620/07 0621/08 0067 Aqua Illinois Hawthorn Woods Water Division 07 0620/07 0621/08 0067 Aqua Illinois Kankakee Water Division 10-0194 Aqua Illinois Kankakee Water Division 14-0419 Aqua Illinois Vermilion Division 07 0620/07 0621/08 0067 Aqua Illinois Willowbrook Wastewater Division 07 0620/07 0621/08 0067 Aqua Illinois Willowbrook Water Division 07 0620/07 0621/08 0067 Aqua Pennsylvania, Inc A-2022-3034143 Aqua Pennsylvania Wastewater Inc A-2016-2580061 Aqua Pennsylvania Wastewater Inc A-2017-2605434 Aqua Pennsylvania Wastewater Inc A-2018-3001582 Aqua Pennsylvania Wastewater Inc A-2019-3008491 Aqua Pennsylvania Wastewater Inc A-2019-3009052 Aqua Pennsylvania Wastewater Inc A-2019-3015173 Aqua Pennsylvania Wastewater Inc A-2021-3024267 Aqua Pennsylvania Wastewater Inc A-2021-3026132 Aqua Pennsylvania Wastewater Inc A-2021-3027268 Aqua Pennsylvania Wastewater Inc A-2023-3041695 Aqua Virginia-Alpha Water Corporation Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Blue Ridge Utility Company, Inc. Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Caroline Utilities, Inc. (Wastewater) Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Caroline Utilities, Inc. (Water) Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Earlysville Forest Water Company Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Heritage Homes of Virginia Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Indian River Water Company Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- James River Service Corp. Pue-2009-00059 A-3 Client Docket No. Aqua Virginia- Lake Holiday Utilities, Inc. (Wastewater) Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Lake Holiday Utilities, Inc. (Water) Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Lake Monticello Services Co. (Wastewater) Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Lake Monticello Services Co. (Water) Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Lake Shawnee Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Land'or Utility Company (Wastewater) Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Land'or Utility Company (Water) Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Mountainview Water Company, Inc. Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Powhatan Water Works, Inc. Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Rainbow Forest Water Corporation Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Shawnee Land Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Sydnor Water Corporation Pue-2009-00059 Aqua Virginia- Water Distributors, Inc. Pue-2009-00059 Atlantic City Sewerage Company WR21071006 Berkshire Gas Company 18-40 Berkshire Gas Company 22-20 Bermuda Water Company, Inc W-01812A-22-0256 Borough of Brentwood A-2021-3024058 Borough of Hanover R-2009-2106908 Borough of Hanover R-2012-2311725 Borough of Hanover R-2014-242830 Borough of Hanover R-2021-3026116 Borough of Hanover P-2021-3026854 Borough of Royersford A-2020-3019634 Butler Area Sewer Authority A-2020-3019634 Chaparral City Water Company W 02113a 04 0616 California-American Water Company CIVCV 156413 Citizens Utilities Company Colorado Gas Division - Citizens Utilities Company Vermont Electric Division 5426 Citizens Utilities Home Water Company R 901664 Citizens Utilities Water Company of Pennsylvania R 901663 A-4 Client Docket No. City of Beaver Falls A-2022-3033138 City of Bethlehem- Bureau of Water R-00984375 City of Bethlehem-Bureau of Water R 00072492 City of Bethlehem-Bureau of Water R-2013-2390244 City of Bethlehem-Bureau of Water R-2020-3020256 City of Dubois—Bureau of Water R-2013-2350509 City of Dubois—Bureau of Water R-2016-2554150 City of Lancaster Sewer Fund R-00005109 City of Lancaster Sewer Fund R-00049862 City of Lancaster Sewer Fund R-2012-2310366 City of Lancaster Sewer Fund R-2019-3010955 City of Lancaster Sewer Fund R-2019-3010955 City of Lancaster Water Fund R-00984567 City of Lancaster Water Fund R-00016114 City of Lancaster Water Fund R 00051167 City of Lancaster Water Fund R-2010-2179103 City of Lancaster Water Fund R-2014-2418872 City of Lancaster Water Fund R-2021-3026682 City of Lancaster Water Fund P-2022-3035591 Coastland Corporation 15-cvs-216 Commonwealth Edison Company 23-0728 Commonwealth Edison Company 24-0087 Community Utilities of Pennsylvania-Water R-2023-3042804 Community Utilities of Pennsylvania-Wastewater R-2023-3042805 Connecticut-American Water Company 99-08-32 Connecticut Water Company 06 07 08 Consumers Pennsylvania Water Company Roaring Creek Division R-00973869 Consumers Pennsylvania Water Company Shenango Valley Division R-00973972 Country Knolls Water Works, Inc. 90 W 0458 East Resources, Inc. - West Virginia Utility 06 0445 G 42T Elizabeth Borough Municipal Authority A-2023-3038717 Elizabethtown Water Company WR06030257 ENSTAR Natural Gas Company U-22-081 Falls Water Company, Inc. FLS-W-23-01 Forest Park, Inc. 19-W-0168 & 19-W-0269 A-5 Client Docket No. Hampton Water Works Company DW 99-057 Hidden Valley Utility Services, LP R-2018-3001306 Hidden Valley Utility Services, LP R-2018-3001307 Illinois American Water Company 16-0093 Illinois American Water Company 22-0210 Indian Rock Water Company R-911971 Indiana Natural Gas Corporation 38891 Jamaica Water Supply Company - Kane Borough Authority A-2019-3014248 Kentucky American Water Company, Inc. 2007 00134 Kentucky American Water Company, Inc. 2023-00191 Middlesex Water Company WR 89030266J Millcreek Township Water Authority 55 198 Y 00021 11 Missouri-American Water Company WR 2000-281 Missouri-American Water Company SR 2000-282 Missouri-American Water Company WR-2022-0303 Missouri-American Water Company SR-2022-0304 Mount Holly Water Company WR06030257 Nevada Power Company d/b/a NV Energy 20-06003 Nevada Power Company d/b/a NV Energy 23-06007 New Jersey American Water Company WR 89080702J New Jersey American Water Company WR 90090950J New Jersey American Water Company WR 03070511 New Jersey American Water Company WR-06030257 New Jersey American Water Company WRO8010020 New Jersey American Water Company WRIO040260 New Jersey American Water Company WR11070460 New Jersey American Water Company WR15010035 New Jersey American Water Company WR17090985 New Jersey American Water Company WR19121516 New Jersey American Water Company WR22010019 New Jersey Natural Gas Company GR19030420 New Jersey Natural Gas Company GR21030679 Newtown Artesian Water Company R-911977 Newtown Artesian Water Company R-00943157 Newtown Artesian Water Company R-2009-2117550 Newtown Artesian Water Company R-2011-2230259 A-6 Client Docket No. Newtown Artesian Water Company R-2017-2624240 Newtown Artesian Water Company R-2019-3006904 North Maine Utilities 14-0396 Northern Indiana Fuel & Light Company 38770 Oklahoma Natural Gas Company PUD-940000477 Palmetto Utilities, Inc. 2020-281-5 Palmetto Wastewater Reclamation, LLC 2018-82-5 Pennichuck Water Works, Inc. DW 04 048 Pennichuck Water Works, Inc. DW 06 073 Pennichuck Water Works, Inc. DW 08 073 Pennsylvania-American Water Company A-2023-3039900 Pennsylvania Gas & Water Company(Gas) R-891261 Pennsylvania Gas &Water Co. (Water) R 901726 Pennsylvania Gas &Water Co. (Water) R-911966 Pennsylvania Gas & Water Co. (Water) R-22404 Pennsylvania Gas & Water Co. (Water) R-00922482 Pennsylvania Gas &Water Co. (Water) R-00932667 Philadelphia Gas Works R-2020-3017206 Philadelphia Gas Works R-2023-3037933 Public Service Company of North Carolina, Inc. G-5, Sub 565 Public Service Electric and Gas Company ER181010029 Public Service Electric and Gas Company GRI8010030 Presque Isle Harbor Water Company U-9702 Sierra Pacific Power Company d/b/a NV Energy 19-06002 Sierra Pacific Power Company d/b/a NV Energy 22-06014 St. Louis County Water Company WR-2000-844 Suez Water Delaware, Inc. 19-0615 Suez Water Idaho, Inc. SUZ-W-20-02 Suez Water New Jersey, Inc. WRI8050593 Suez Water New Jersey, Inc. WR20110729 Suez Water Owego-Nichols, Inc. 17-W-0528 Suez Water Pennsylvania, Inc. R-2018-3000834 Suez Water Pennsylvania, Inc. A-2018-3003519 Suez Water Pennsylvania, Inc. A-2018-3003517 Suez Water Rhode Island, Inc. Docket No. 4800 Suez Water Owego-Nichols, Inc. 19-W-0168 & 19-W-0269 Suez Water New York, Inc. 19-W-0168 & 19-W-0269 A-7 Client Docket No. Suez Westchester, Inc. 19-W-0168 & 19-W-0269 Town of North East Water Fund 9190 Township of Exeter A-2018-3004933 United Water New Rochelle W-95-W-1168 United Water Toms River WR-95050219 Upper Pottsgrove Township A-2020-3021460 Valley Township (water) A-2020-3019859 Valley Township (wastewater) A-2020-3020178 Valley Water Systems, Inc. 06 10 07 Veolia Water Idaho, Inc. VEO-W-22-02 Veolia Water Delaware, Inc. 23-0598 Veolia Water New Jersey, Inc. WR23110790 Veolia Water New York, Inc. 23-W-0111 Veolia Water Pennsylvania, Inc. R-2024-3045192 Veolia Water Pennsylvania, Inc. R-2024-3045193 Virginia American Water Company PUR-2018-00175 Virginia American Water Company PUR-2021-00255 Virginia American Water Company PUR-2023-00194 West Virginia-American Water Company 15-0676-W-42T West Virginia-American Water Company 15-0675-S-42T Wilmington Suburban Water Corporation 94-149 York Water Company R-901813 York Water Company R-922168 York Water Company R-943053 York Water Company R-963619 York Water Company R-994605 York Water Company R-00016236 Young Brothers, LLC 2019-0117 A-8 Preston N. Carter, ISB No. 8462 Morgan D. Goodin, ISB No. 11184 Megann E. Meier, ISB No. 11948 GIVENS PURSLEY LLP 601 West Bannock Street P.O. Box 2720 Boise, Idaho 83701-2720 Office: (208) 388-1200 Fax: (208) 388-1300 prestoncarter@givenspursley.com morgangoodin@givenspursley.com mem@givenspursley.com 18557695.1 [30-264] Attorneys for Veolia Water Idaho, Inc. BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION Case No. VEO-W-24-01 OF VEOLIA WATER IDAHO, INC. FOR A GENERAL RATE CASE BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION EXHIBIT TO ACCOMPANY THE DIRECT TESTIMONY OF HAROLD WALKER,III Veolia Water Idaho, Inc. Cost of Capital and Fair Rate of Return At September 30, 2024 Cost Weighted Type of Capital Ratios* Rate* Cost Rate Debt 47.22% 4.43 2.09% Preferred Stock 0.00 0.00 0.00 Common Equity 52.78 10.80 5.70 Overall Cost of Capital O.00% 7.790 Before Income Tax Interest Coverage (x) 4.7x (Based on effective income tax rate of 25.50%.) * Ratios and embedded cost rates are from Exhibit No, 6,page 1. The capital structure ratios are those of Veolia Water Resources, Inc. ** Cost Weighted Type of Capital Ratios Rate** Cost Rate Debt 47.22% 4.43 2.09% Common Equity 52.78 10.20 5.38 Overall Cost of Capital 100.00% 7.47% ** In order to mitigate rates, the Company will be utilizing 10.2% cost of common equity for filing purposes. Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 1 H. Walker Page 1 of 1 Capital Structure Ratios for The Water Group Followed by Analysts At 6/30/2024 and Estimated for 2028 Est.(1) 6/30/2024 2028 Water Group Followed by Analysts Long-term Debt 50.1 % 43.0 % Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 Common Equity 49.9 57.0 Total 100.0 % 100.0 % Notes: (1) Project by Value Line for the period 2027 to 2029. Source of Information: Value Line Investment Survey, 10/4/24, and S&P Capital IQ Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 2 H. Walker Page 1 of 2 Capital Structure Ratios for The Water Group Followed by Analysts At 6/30/2024 and Estimated for 2028 Actual at 6/30/24 Long-term Preferred Common Debt Stock Equity Water Group Followed by Anal American States Water Co 53.1 0.0 46.9 American Water Works Co Inc 56.6 0.0 43.4 California Water Service Gp 40.5 0.0 59.5 Essential Utilities,Inc. 53.6 0.0 46.4 Middlesex Water Co 45.8 0.3 53.9 SJW Corp 55.0 0.0 45.0 York Water Co 45.9 0.0 54.1 Average 50 11 0 00 49.9 Estimated at 2028 Long-term Preferred Common Debt Stock Equity Water Group Followed by Analysts American States Water Co 45.0 0.0 55.0 American Water Works Co Inc 40.0 0.0 60.0 California Water Service Gp 34.5 0.0 65.5 Essential Utilities,Inc. 55.0 0.0 45.0 Middlesex Water Co 40.5 0.0 59.5 SJW Corp 43.0 0.0 57.0 York Water Co NA NA NA Average 43 Q M 53A Source of Information: Value Line Investment Survey, 10/4/24,and S&P Capital IQ Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 2 H. Walker Page 2 of 2 Veolia Water Idaho,Inc. Five Year Analysis 2019-2023(1) Ln# 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 Average (Millions of$) Ann.CUM) Investor Provided Capital($) 1 Permanent Capital 310.628 284.463 255.838 218.627 193.554 12.6 2 Short-Term Debt 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 3 Total Capital 310.628 284.463 255.838 218.627 193.554 12.6 4 Total Revenue($) 56.124 52.379 51.098 47.423 46.062 5.1 5 Construction($) 38.386 43.782 33.916 40.179 23.877 17.4 Average Five Year Central Average Values(9) 6 Effective Income Tax Rate(%) 21.1 (2.5) 20.8 (12.5) 30.7 11.5 13.1 Capitalization Ratios(%) 7 Long-Term Debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8 Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9 Common Equity 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 10 Total Debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11 Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12 Common Equity 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Rates on Average Capital(2)(%) 13 Total Debt NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 14 Long-Term Debt NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 15 Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Coverage-Including AFC(3)(x) 16 PreTax Interest 3.3 4.0 5.5 4.5 5.3 4.5 4.6 17 PreTax Interest+Pref Div 3.3 4.0 5.5 4.5 5.3 4.5 4.6 18 PostTax Interest+Pref Div 2.8 4.1 4.6 5.0 4.0 4.1 4.2 Coverage-Excluding AFC(3)(x) 19 PreTax Interest 3.1 3.9 5.5 4.4 5.0 4.4 4.4 20 PreTax Interest+Pref Div 3.1 3.9 5.5 4.4 5.0 4.4 4.4 21 PostTax Interest+Pref Div 2.7 4.0 4.5 4.8 3.7 3.9 4.1 22 GCF/Interest Coverage(4)(x) 4.7 6.3 11.6 6.4 6.7 7.1 6.5 23 Coverage of Common Dividends(5)(x) 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 24 Construction/Avg.Tot.Capital(%) 12.9 16.2 14.3 19.5 12.8 15.1 14.5 25 NCF/Construction(6)(%) 47.7 58.9 124.4 54.7 93.0 75.7 68.9 26 AFC/Income for Common Stock 7.3 3.9 1.4 4.5 9.7 5.4 5.2 27 GCF/Avg.Tot.Debt(7)(%) NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 28 GCF/Permanent Capital(8)(%) 7.6 9.1 16.5 10.0 11.5 10.9 10.2 See page 3 of this Schedule for notes. Case No. VEO-W-24-0 1 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 3 H. Walker Page 1 of 2 Veolia Water Idaho, Inc. Five Year Analysis 2019-2023 Notes: (1) Based upon the achieved results for each individual company based upon the financials as originally reported. (2) Computed by relating total debt interest,long-term debt interest and preferred dividend expense to average of beginning and ending balance of the respective capital outstanding. (3) The coverage calculations,both including and excluding AFC,represent the number of times available earnings cover the various fixed charges. (4) GCF or gross cash flow(sum of net income, depreciation, amortization,net deferred income taxes and investment tax credits, less AFC), plus interest charges, divided by interest charges. (5) GCF (see note 4) less all preferred dividends which cover common dividends. (6) The percent of GCF (see note 4) less all cash dividends which cover gross construction expenditures. (7) GCF (see note 4) as a percentage of Permanent Capital (long-term debt, current maturities and preferred, preference and common equity). (8) GCF (see note 4) as a percentage of average total debt. (9) Average of the second, third and fourth quintile values. Source of Information: Annual Reports filed with the ID PUC Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 3 H. Walker Page 2 of 2 Water Group Followed by Analysts Five Year Analysis 2019-2023(1) Ln# 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 Average (Millions of$) Ann.Chg(%) Investor Provided Capital($) 1 Permanent Capital 6,157.328 5,496.176 5,149.929 4,667.439 3,933.051 11.9 2 Short-Term Debt 106.676 245.325 120.245 278.756 162.140 3 Total Capital 6,264.004 5,741.501 5,270.175 4,946.196 4,095.190 11.4 4 Total Revenue($) 1,226.546 1,180.169 1,124.265 1,040.317 899.254 8.2 5 Construction($) 682.346 603.652 511.706 488.708 414.853 13.4 Average Five Year Central Average Values(9) 6 Effective Income Tax Rate(%) 4.4 8.9 7.1 8.9 13.4 8.5 8.9 Book Capitalization Ratios(°/o) 7 Long-Term Debt 50.6 50.2 51.9 51.5 49.3 50.7 50.6 8 Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9 Common Equity 49.4 49.7 48.0 48.4 50.6 49.2 49.4 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 10 Total Debt 52.0 51.9 52.6 53.8 50.9 52.2 52.0 11 Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12 Common Equity 47.9 48.1 47.4 46.1 49.0 47.7 47.9 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Rates on Average Capital(2)(%) 13 Total Debt 4.1 3.6 3.5 3.8 4.4 3.9 3.8 14 Long-Term Debt 3.9 3.6 NA 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.9 15 Preferred Stock 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 Coverage-Including AFC(3)(x) 16 PreTax Interest 3.3 3.9 4.2 4.0 3.6 3.8 3.9 17 PreTax Interest+Pref Div 3.3 3.9 4.2 4.0 3.6 3.8 3.9 18 PostTax Interest+Pref.Div 3.1 3.6 3.9 3.7 3.3 3.5 3.6 Coverage-Excluding AFC(3)(x) 19 PreTax Interest 3.2 3.8 4.1 3.9 3.5 3.7 3.8 20 PreTax Interest+Pref.Div 3.2 3.8 4.1 3.9 3.5 3.7 3.8 21 PostTax Interest+Pref.Div 3.0 3.5 3.8 3.6 3.2 3.4 3.5 22 GCF/Interest Coverage(4)(x) 4.6 5.5 6.0 5.5 5.1 5.3 5.5 23 Coverage of Common Dividends(5)(x) 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.3 3.0 3.2 3.1 24 Construction/Avg.Tot.Capital(%) 12.8 12.3 12.0 12.9 12.8 12.6 12.8 25 NCF/Construction(6)(%) 41.4 45.9 55.3 48.9 46.7 47.7 46.7 26 AFC/Income for Common Stock 5.8 4.1 4.2 4.3 6.5 5.0 4.3 27 GCF/Avg.Tot.Debt(7)(%) 15.0 15.9 17.1 16.9 17.7 16.5 16.9 28 GCF/Permanent Capital(8)(%) 7.5 8.0 8.7 8.6 8.3 8.2 8.3 See page 2 of this Schedule for notes. Case No.VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 4 H.Walker Page 1 of 2 Water Group Followed by Analysts Five Year Analysis 2019-2023 Notes: (1) Average of the achieved results for each individual company based upon the financials as originally reported. (2) Computed by relating total debt interest,long-term debt interest and preferred dividend expense to average of beginning and ending balance of the respective capital outstanding. (3) The coverage calculations,both including and excluding AFC,represent the number of times available earnings cover the various fixed charges. (4) GCF or gross cash flow(sum of net income, depreciation, amortization,net deferred income taxes and investment tax credits, less AFC), plus interest charges, divided by interest charges. (5) GCF (see note 4) less all preferred dividends which cover common dividends. (6) The percent of GCF (see note 4) less all cash dividends which cover gross construction expenditures. (7) GCF (see note 4) as a percentage of Permanent Capital (long-term debt, current maturities and preferred, preference and common equity). (8) GCF (see note 4) as a percentage of average total debt. (9) Average of the second, third and fourth quintile values. Source of Information: Standard & Poor's and Annual Reports Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 4 H. Walker Page 2 of 2 S&P Utilities Five Year Analysis 2019-2023(1) Ln# 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 Average (Millions of$) Ann.Chg(%) Investor Provided Capital($) 1 Permanent Capital 65,507.440 61,319.477 58,569.168 54,096.938 49,657.526 7.2 2 Short-Term Debt 2,393.247 2,255.166 1,702.705 1,459.606 1,583.442 3 Total Capital 67,900.687 63,574.643 60,271.874 55,556.544 51,240.968 7.3 4 Total Revenue($) 17,916.430 17,023.665 14,267.276 13,234.956 14,461.345 6.0 5 Construction($) 8,913.403 7,539.074 6,780.629 6,323.839 6,157.879 9.8 Average Five Year Central Average Values(9) 6 Effective Income Tax Rate(%) 13.7 14.7 12.4 8.4 14.8 12.8 13.7 Book Capitalization Ratios(°/o) 7 Long-Term Debt 58.7 58.2 57.3 57.1 54.4 57.1 57.3 8 Preferred Stock 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.0 9 Common Equity 40.6 41.0 41.8 42.0 44.7 42.0 41.8 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 10 Total Debt 60.2 59.9 58.6 58.3 55.8 58.6 58.6 11 Preferred Stock 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 12 Common Equity 39.1 39.4 40.5 40.8 43.4 40.6 40.5 Total. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Rates on Average Capital(2)(%) 13 Total Debt 4.2 3.1 3.4 3.9 4.4 3.8 3.9 14 Long-Term Debt 4.4 NA NA NA NA 4.4 0.0 15 Preferred Stock 4.5 3.8 3.1 1.9 3.7 3.4 3.7 Coverage-Including AFC(3)(x) 16 PreTax Interest 3.0 3.7 3.0 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.0 17 PreTax Interest+Pref Div 3.0 3.7 3.0 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.0 18 PostTax Interest+Pref.Div 2.7 3.4 2.8 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 Coverage-Excluding AFC(3)(x) 19 PreTax Interest 2.9 3.6 3.0 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.0 20 PreTax Interest+Pref.Div 2.9 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.9 3.0 2.9 21 PostTax Interest+Pref.Div 2.6 3.3 2.7 2.4 2.8 2.8 2.7 22 GCF/Interest Coverage(4)(x) 4.8 6.9 5.5 4.9 5.0 5.4 5.0 23 Coverage of Common Dividends(5)(x) 3.7 3.2 3.1 3.2 4.2 3.5 3.2 24 Construction/Avg.Tot.Capital(%) 13.5 12.1 11.4 12.2 12.6 12.4 12.2 25 NCF/Construction(6)(%) 54.4 54.4 63.5 54.5 71.1 59.6 54.5 26 AFC/Income for Common Stock 6.7 3.6 0.4 12.6 5.2 5.7 5.2 27 GCF/Avg.Tot.Debt(7)(%) 15.9 13.9 14.4 14.8 17.2 15.3 14.8 28 GCF/Permanent Capital(8)(%) 9.1 8.2 8.4 8.2 9.6 8.7 8.4 See page 2 of this Schedule for notes. Case No.VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 5 H.Walker Page 1 of 2 S&P Public Utilities Five Year Analysis 2019-2023 Notes: (1) Market value weighted achieved results for each individual company based upon the financials as originally reported. (2) Computed by relating total debt interest,long-term debt interest and preferred dividend expense to average of beginning and ending balance of the respective capital outstanding. (3) The coverage calculations,both including and excluding AFC,represent the number of times available earnings cover the various fixed charges. (4) GCF or gross cash flow(sum of net income, depreciation, amortization,net deferred income taxes and investment tax credits, less AFC), plus interest charges, divided by interest charges. (5) GCF (see note 4) less all preferred dividends which cover common dividends. (6) The percent of GCF (see note 4) less all cash dividends which cover gross construction expenditures. (7) GCF (see note 4) as a percentage of Permanent Capital (long-term debt, current maturities and preferred, preference and common equity). (8) GCF (see note 4) as a percentage of average total debt. (9) Average of the second, third and fourth quintile values. Source of Information: Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Annual Reports Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 5 H. Walker Page 2 of 2 Risk Measures for the Common Stock of The Water Group Followed by Analysts and the S&P Utilities Recent Recent Recent S&P S&P Value Market Market Issuer Credit Stock Quality Line Value Market Quartile Rating Exchaue Rankin¢ Beta 9/30/24 Quartile Name (Mill$) Water Group Followed by Analysts American States Water Co A NYSE High(A) 0.75 3,119.810 2 Mid-Cap American Water Works Co hie A NYSE High(A) 1.00 28,496.770 1 Large-Cap California Water Service Gp A+ NYSE Above Average(A-) 0.75 3,189.498 2 Mid-Cap Essential Utilities,hie. A- NYSE High(A) 1.00 10,555.621 2 Mid-Cap Middlesex Water Co A NasdagGS High(A) 0.75 1,163.215 3 Low-Cap SJW Corp A- NYSE Average(B+) 0.85 1,900.871 3 Low-Cap York Water Co A- NasdagGS Hi A 0.85 538.004 3 Low-Can Average A Hi h A 0.85 3,119.810 2 Mid-Can S&P Public Utilities AES Corporation(The) BBB- NYSE Lower(B-) 1.20 14,261.142 1 Large-Cap Alliant Energy Corporation A- NasdagGS High(A) 0.90 15,566.959 1 Large-Cap Ameren Corporation BBB+ NYSE High(A) 0.90 23,335.791 1 Large-Cap American Electric Power Company,Inc BBB+ NasdagGS Above Average(A-) 0.85 54,595.511 1 Large-Cap American Water Works Company,Inc. A NYSE High(A) 0.95 28,496.770 1 Large-Cap Atmos Energy Corporation A- NYSE High(A) 0.85 21,532.345 1 Large-Cap CenterPoint Energy,Inc. BBB+ NYSE Average(B+) 1.15 19,173.637 1 Large-Cap CMS Energy Corporation BBB+ NYSE High(A) 0.85 21,099.260 1 Large-Cap Consolidated Edison,Inc. A- NYSE Above Average(A-) 0.80 36,044.308 1 Large-Cap Constellation Energy Corporation - NasdagGS NA NMF 81,305.415 1 Large-Cap Dominion Energy,Inc. BBB+ NYSE Below Average(B) 0.90 48,482.250 1 Large-Cap DTE Energy Company BBB+ NYSE Above Average(A-) 1.00 26,583.448 1 Large-Cap Duke Energy Corporation BBB+ NYSE Average(B+) 0.90 89,034.857 1 Large-Cap Edison International BBB NYSE Below Average(B) 1.00 33,632.133 1 Large-Cap Entergy Corporation BBB+ NYSE Average(B+) 1.00 28,142.278 1 Large-Cap Evergy,Inc. BBB+ NasdagGS Above Average(A-) 0.95 14,259.723 1 Large-Cap Eversource Energy A- NYSE Above Average(A-) 0.95 24,320.031 1 Large-Cap Exelon Corporation BBB+ NasdagGS Average(B+) NMF 40,570.202 1 Large-Cap FirstEnergy Corp. BBB NYSE Below Average(B) 0.90 25,542.159 1 Large-Cap NextEra Energy,Inc. A- NYSE Above Average(A-) 1.05 173,739.040 1 Large-Cap NiSource hie. BBB+ NYSE Below Average(B) 0.95 15,540.866 1 Large-Cap NRG Energy,Inc. BB NYSE Below Average(B) 1.10 18,801.203 1 Large-Cap PG&E Corporation BB NYSE In Reorganization(D) 1.10 42,257.591 1 Large-Cap Pinnacle West Capital Corporation BBB+ NYSE Above Average(A-) 0.95 10,064.843 2 Mid-Cap PPL Corporation A- NYSE Below Average(B) 1.15 24,405.541 1 Large-Cap Public Service Enterprise Group Incorpi BBB+ NYSE Average(B+) 0.95 44,441.002 1 Large-Cap Sempra Energy BBB+ NYSE Average(B+) 1.00 52,949.990 1 Large-Cap Southern Co(The) A- NYSE Average(B+) 0.95 98,707.938 1 Large-Cap Vistra Corp. BB+ NYSE NA 1.10 40,725.769 1 Large-Cap WEC Energy Group,hie. A- NYSE High(A) 0.85 30,400.517 1 Large-Cap Xcel Energy hie. BBB+ NasdagGS Hi A 0.85 36,404.794 1 Large-Cap Average BBB+ Average(B+) 0.97 28,496.770 1 Large-Can Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 6 H. Walker Page 1 of 3 Comparative Ratios For Veolia Water Idaho,Inc., For the Water Group Followed by Analysts, S&P Utilities,and S&P 500 For the Years 2019-20230) Five Year 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 Average Return on Common Equity(2) Veolia Water Idaho,Inc. 3.8 5.6 6.0 7.8 6.3 5.9 Water Group Followed by Analysts 9.4 9.6 11.3 10.5 9.5 10.1 S&P Utilities 10.4 8.2 8.3 7.3 8.5 8.5 S&P 500 18.2 17.0 20.5 10.3 15.8 16.4 Market/Book Multiple(3) Water Group Followed by Analysts 2.8 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.4 3.3 S&P Utilities 2.2 2.6 2.6 2.2 2.6 2.4 S&P 500 4.0 4.1 4.4 3.3 3.2 3.6 Eamings/Price Ratio(4) Water Group Followed by Analysts 3.4 3.0 3.1 3.2 2.7 3.1 S&P Utilities 5.4 3.7 3.5 3.5 4.1 4.0 S&P 500 4.5 4.1 4.7 3.2 4.9 4.3 Dividend Payout Ratio(5) Veolia Water Idaho,Inc. 47.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5 Water Group Followed by Analysts 65.8 58.9 53.7 57.4 73.2 61.8 S&P Utilities 54.4 72.2 80.0 76.8 60.8 68.8 S&P 500 35.8 38.3 30.2 60.4 42.0 41.3 Dividend Yield(6) Water Group Followed by Analysts 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 S&P Utilities 3.4 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.3 3.3 S&P 500 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.9 2.1 1.7 See next page for Notes. Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 6 H. Walker Page 2 of 3 Comparative Ratios For Veolia Water Idaho, Inc., The Water Group Followed by Analysts, The S&P Utilities, and the S&P 500 For the Years 2019-2023 (1) Notes: (1) The average of achieved results for the companies in each group. The information for the S&P Public Utilities is market weighted.The information for the S&P 500 is based upon per share information adjusted to price index level. (2) Rate of Return on Average Book Common Equity - income available for common equity divided by average beginning and ending year's balance of book common equity. (3) Market/Book Ratio-average of yearly high-low market price divided by the average of beginning and ending year's book value per share. (4) Earnings/Price Ratio - reported earnings per share yearly divided by the average of yearly high-low market price. (5) Dividend Payout Ratio is computed by dividing the yearly reported dividends paid by the yearly income available for common equity. (6) Dividend Yield - yearly dividend per share divided by the average yearly high-low market price. Source of Information: Standard & Poor's and Annual Reports Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 6 H. Walker Page 3 of 3 Capital Intensity and Capital Recovery Veolia Water Idaho,Inc. The Water Group Followed by Analysts,and S&P Utilities For the Year 2023 Rate of Capital Capital Capital Recovery Intensity Recovery Years Veolia Water Idaho,Inc. $1 1.34 1.69% 59.1 Water Group Followed by Analysts $6.81 2.15% 47.3 S&P Utilities $4.70 4.26% 31.5 Case No.VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 7 H.Walker Page 1 of I Relative Size of Veolia Water Idaho,Inc. Versus the Water Group Followed by Analysts For the Year 2023 Water Group Followed by Analysts Water Group Vs. Veolia Water Followed by Veolia Water Idaho,Inc. Analysts Idaho,Inc. Total Capitalization(000's) $310,628 $6,157,000 19.8 x Total Operating Revenues(000's) $56,124 $1,227,000 21.9 x Number of Customers 106,412 970,639 9.1 x Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 8 H. Walker Page 1 of 1 Institutional Holdings,Insider Holdings and Percentage of Shares Traded Annually for The Water Group Followed by Analysts,and the S&P Utilities Water Group Followed by S&P Analysts Public Utilities Percentage of common shares held by insiders(1) 3.0% 0.3% Percentage of common shares held by institutions(2) 77% 85% Percentage of Common Shares Traded in 2022 122% 172% Percentage of Common Shares Traded in 2023 133% 171% Average Number of Months For All Common Shares to Turnover(3) 10.4 7.4 Notes: (1) An insider is a director or an officer who has a policy-making role or a person who is directly or indirectly the beneficial owner of more than 10%of a certain company's stock.An insider may be either an individual or a corporation.Insiders are required to disclose their purchase/sale transactions to the SEC in which a change in beneficial ownership has occurred.The filings must be submitted before the end of the second business day following the day on which the transaction had been executed. (2) Institutional holders are those investment managers having a fair market value of equity assets under management of$100 million or more.Certain banks,insurance companies,investment advisers,investment companies,foundations and pension funds are included in this category. (3) Based on average turnover(shares traded)over the past five years. Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 9 H. Walker Page 1 of 1 Bond and Credit Ratings for Veolia Water Idaho,Inc. The Water Group Followed by Analysts S&P Credit Rating Veolia Water Idaho,Inc. NA Veolia Utility Resources LLC A Water Group Followed by Analysts American States Water Co A American Water Works Co Inc A California Water Service Gp * A+ Essential Utilities,Inc. A- Middlesex Water Co A SJW Corp A- York Water Co A- Average A * - The A+bond rating is that for California Water Service,Inc. Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 10 H. Walker Page 1 of 4 Comparison of Credit Measures of Financial Risk Veolia Water Idaho,Inc.and For the Water Group Followed by Analysts(1) Spot in Credit Measures of Trend in Credit Measures of Financial Risk(For the Year 2023) Financial Risk(Five-Year Average 2019-23) Water Group Water Group Credit Subject Followed by Credit Subject Followed by Implication Company Analysts Implication Company Analysts 1.Base Credit Metrics 2. PreTax Interest Coverage(2)(x) Lower 3.lx 3.2x Higher 4.4x 3.7x 3. Total Debt/Total Capital(%) NA NA 52.0% NA NA 52.2% 4. GCF/ Interest Coverage(3)(x) Higher 4.7x 4.6x Higher 7.lx 5.3x 5. GCF/Average Total Debt(4)(%) NA NA 15.0% NA NA 16.5% 6. NCF/Construction(5)(%) Higher 47.7% 41.4% Higher 75.7% 47.7% 7. Construction/Average Total Capital(6)(%) Lower 12.9% 12.4% Lower 15.1% 12.1% 8. Standard&Poor's Credit Metrics 9. Funds from Operation/Average Total Debt(7)(%) NA NA 14.5% NA NA 16.0% 10. Average Total Debt/EBITDA(8)(x) NA NA 5.4x NA NA 5.2x 11. FFO/Interest Coverage(9)(x) Higher 4.7x 4.5x Higher 7.1x 5.2x 12. EBITDA/Interest(10)(x) Higher 5.Ox 4.7x Higher 7.6x 5.3x 13. CFO/Average Total Debt(11)(%) NA NA 15.0% NA NA 16.5% 14. FOCF/Average Total Debt(12)(%) NA NA -9.7% NA NA -7.5% 15. DCF/Average Total Debt(13)(%) NA NA -15.0% NA NA -13.0% 16.Mood s Credit Metrics 17. Cash Flow Interest Coverage(3)(x) Higher 4.7x 4.6x Higher 7.1x 5.3x 18. Cash Flow/Average Total Debt(4)(%) NA NA 15.0% NA NA 16.5% 19. Retained Cash Flow/Average Total Debt(14)(%) NA NA 9.7% NA NA 11.0% 20. Average Total Debt/Average Adjusted Total Capital(15)(%) NA NA 46.7% NA NA 46.6% 21. Capital Credit Metrics 22. Standard&Poor's Credit Metrics-Adjusted to Total Capital 23. Funds from Operation/Average Total Capital(16)(%) Higher 8.0% 7.4% Higher 11.6% 8.1% 24. Average Total Capital/EBITDA(17)(x) Higher 9.4x 10.5x Higher 7.4x 9.9x 25. CFO/Average Total Capital(18)(%) Higher 8.0% 7.7% Higher 11.6% 8.4% 26. FOCF/Average Total Capital(19)(%) Lower -4.9% -4.7% Higher -3.6% -3.7% 27. DCF/Average Total Capital(20)(%) Higher -6.7% -7.4% Higher -3.9% -6.5% 28. Moody's Credit Metrics-Adjusted to Total Capital 29. Cash Flow/Average Total Capital(21)(%) Higher 8.0% 7.7% Higher 11.6% 8.4% 30. Retained Cash Flow/Average Total Capital(22)(%) Higher 6.2% 5.0% Higher 11.2% 5.6% See the next page for notes. Case No.VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 10 H.Walker Page 2 of 4 Comparison of Credit Market Financial Risk Metrics For Veolia Water Idaho, Inc. and The Water Group Followed by Analysts 2019 - 2023 Notes: (1) Average of the achieved results for each individual company based upon the financials as originally reported. (2) Represents the number of times available pretax earnings("EBIT"),excluding AFC, cover all interest charges. (3) GCF or gross cash flow(sum of net income,depreciation,amortization,net deferred income taxes and investment tax credits,less AFC),plus interest charges,divided by interest charges. (4) GCF (see note 3) as a percentage of average total debt. (5) The percent of GCF (see note 3) less all cash dividends which cover gross construction expenditures. (6) Construction expenditures as a percentage of average total capital. (7) Funds from operations ("FFO"), revenue minus operating expenses, plus depreciation and amortization expenses ("EBITDA") less net interest expense less current tax expense, as a percentage of average total debt. (8) Average total debt divided by EBITDA (see note 7). (9) FFO (see note 7)plus interest charges, divided by interest charges. (10) EBITDA(see note 7) divided by interest charges. (11) Cash flow from operations ("CFO"), GCF (see note 3) plus changes in operating assets and liabilities (working capital), as a percentage of average total debt. (12) Free operating cash flow("FOCF"),CFO(see note 11)minus capital expenditures, as a percentage of average total debt. (13) Discretionary cash flow ("DCF"), FOCF (see note 12) minus cash dividends as a percentage of average total debt. (14) The percent of GCF (see note 3) less all cash dividends as a percentage of average total debt. (15) Average total debt divided by average of total capital plus deferred taxes (balance sheet). (16) Funds from operations ("FFO"), revenue minus operating expenses, plus depreciation and amortization expenses ("EBITDA") less net interest expense less current tax expense, as a percentage of average total capital. (17) Average total capital divided by EBITDA(see note 7). (18) Cash flow from operations ("CFO"), GCF (see note 3) plus changes in operating assets and liabilities (working capital), as a percentage of average total capital. (19) Free operating cash flow("FOCF"),CFO(see note 11)minus capital expenditures, as a percentage of average total capital. (20) Discretionary cash flow ("DCF"), FOCF (see note 12) minus cash dividends as a percentage of average total capital. (21) GCF (see note 3) as a percentage of average total capital. (22) The percent of GCF (see note 3) less all cash dividends as a percentage of average total capital. Source of Information: Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Annual Reports Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 10 H. Walker Page 3 of 4 Distribution of Bond and Credit Ratings for All Companies Contained in S&P's Capital10 Database(1) Number of Companies Range of Reported Permanent In Each S&P Bond and Credit Ratings Capital By Groupings(Million$) Grouping Average Median Maximum Minimum Smallest Average Largest 100 B+ B+ AA- CCC 41.700 697.813 1,126.040 100 BB BB- AA- CCC+ 1,131.700 1,480.706 1,834.800 100 BB BB AA CCC+ 1,842.800 2,160.662 2,445.300 100 BB+ BB A+ B- 2,451.900 2,821.080 3,272.000 100 BB+ BB+ AA CCC- 3,276.000 3,780.821 4,304.600 100 BB+ BB+ AA+ CCC+ 4,333.000 4,898.788 5,379.400 100 BBB- BBB- A+ CCC+ 5,382.000 6,054.457 6,812.000 100 BBB- BBB- AA- CCC- 6,817.000 7,934.041 8,982.900 100 BBB BBB A+ CCC+ 8,986.000 10,214.092 11,605.000 100 BBB BBB A+ CCC+ 11,646.476 13,376.106 15,748.800 100 BBB BBB+ AA CCC+ 15,912.000 19,600.155 23,202.900 100 BBB+ BBB+ AA+ CCC+ 23,315.200 29,233.122 36,209.000 100 BBB+ BBB+ AA+ CCC- 36,893.000 53,142.581 76,211.000 56 A- A- AAA BB 76,489.000 150,571.448 363,302.000 Total 1,356 Number of Companies Range of Reported Permanent In Each Capital By Groupings(Million$) Distribution of S&P Bond and Credit Ratings By Size Grouping Grouping Smallest Average Largest AAA AA I A I BBB BB B CCC CC 100 41.700 697.813 1,126.040 0% 1% 4% 8% 16% 58% 13% 0% 100 1,131.700 1,480.706 1,834.800 0% 2% 4% 15% 39% 35% 5% 0% 100 1,842.800 2,160.662 2,445.300 0% 1% 8% 13% 44% 33% 1% 0% 100 2,451.900 2,821.080 3,272.000 0% 0% 7% 26% 40% 27% 0% 0% 100 3,276.000 3,780.821 4,304.600 0% 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2% 0% 100 4,333.000 4,898.788 5,379.400 0% 3% 11% 32% 38% 15% 1% 0% 100 5,382.000 6,054.457 6,812.000 0% 0% 11% 46% 31% 10% 2% 0% 100 6,817.000 7,934.041 8,982.900 0% 1% 15% 48% 25% 6% 5% 0% 100 8,986.000 10,214.092 11,605.000 0% 0% 17% 55% 24% 2% 2% 0% 100 11,646.476 13,376.106 15,748.800 0% 0% 18% 56% 22% 3% 1% 0% 100 15,912.000 19,600.155 23,202.900 0% 5% 26% 54% 8% 4% 3% 0% 100 23,315.200 29,233.122 36,209.000 0% 6% 35% 48% 5% 4% 2% 0% 100 36,893.000 53,142.581 76,211.000 0% 12% 37% 42% 6% 1% 2% 0% 56 76,489.000 150,571.448 363,302.000 4% 16% 41% 30% 9% 0% 0% 0% 1,356 Note:(1) Includes all non-financial public and private companies located in the US that are contained in S&P's Capital IQ Database that have a S&P bond or credit ratings of CC or higher and reported permanent capital for the year 2023(as of 6/11/24). Companies were sorted based on amount of reported permanent capital and then separated into groups of 100 companies from smallest to largest. Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 10 H. Walker Page 4 of 4 Interest Rate Trends for Investor-Owned Public Utility Bonds Yearly for 2018-2022 Monthly for the Years 2023 and 2024 Years Aaa Rated Aa Rated A Rated Baa Rated 2018 NA 4.09 4.25 4.67 2019 NA 3.61 3.77 4.19 2020 NA 2.79 3.02 3.39 2021 NA 2.97 3.11 3.36 2022 NA 4.53 4.72 5.03 Average NA 3.60 3.77 4.13 Jan 2023 NA 4.98 5.20 5.49 Feb 2023 NA 5.12 5.29 5.54 Mar 2023 NA 5.24 5.39 5.68 Apr 2023 NA 5.00 5.13 5.47 May 2023 NA 5.24 5.36 5.71 Jun 2023 NA 5.26 5.38 5.73 Jul 2023 NA 5.30 5.41 5.73 Aug 2023 NA 5.58 5.71 6.01 Sep 2023 NA 5.72 5.86 6.15 Oct 2023 NA 6.19 6.34 6.61 Nov 2023 NA 5.90 6.05 6.29 Dec 2023 NA 5.27 5.42 5.68 Avg 2023 NA 5.40 5.55 5.84 Jan 2024 NA 5.34 5.48 5.73 Feb 2024 NA 5.42 5.56 5.79 Mar 2024 NA 5.43 5.55 5.79 Apr 2024 NA 5.67 5.79 6.01 May 2024 NA 5.62 5.74 5.97 Jun 2024 NA 5.50 5.61 5.84 Jul 2024 NA 5.54 5.64 5.85 Aug 2024 NA 5.27 5.39 5.61 Sep 2024 NA 5.09 5.21 5.43 Source of Information: MERGENT BOND RECORD Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 11 H. Walker Page 1 of 7 Credit Risk Spreads of Investor-Owned Public Utility Bonds Yearly for 2018-2022 Monthly for the Years 2023 and 2024 Aa A Baa Baa Over Over Over Over Years Aaa Aa A Aaa 2018 NA 0.16 0.42 NA 2019 NA 0.16 0.42 NA 2020 NA 0.23 0.37 NA 2021 NA 0.14 0.25 NA 2022 NA 0.19 0.31 NA Average NA 0.18 0.35 NA Jan 2023 NA 0.22 0.29 NA Feb 2023 NA 0.17 0.25 NA Mar 2023 NA 0.15 0.29 NA Apr 2023 NA 0.13 0.34 NA May 2023 NA 0.12 0.35 NA Jun 2023 NA 0.12 0.35 NA Jul 2023 NA 0.11 0.32 NA Aug 2023 NA 0.13 0.30 NA Sep 2023 NA 0.14 0.29 NA Oct 2023 NA 0.15 0.27 NA Nov 2023 NA 0.15 0.24 NA Dec 2023 NA 0.15 0.26 NA Avg 2023 NA 0.15 0.29 NA Jan 2024 NA 0.14 0.25 NA Feb 2024 NA 0.14 0.23 NA Mar 2024 NA 0.12 0.24 NA Apr 2024 NA 0.12 0.22 NA May 2024 NA 0.12 0.23 NA Jun 2024 NA 0.11 0.23 NA Jul 2024 NA 0.10 0.21 NA Aug 2024 NA 0.12 0.22 NA Sep 2024 NA 0.12 0.22 NA Source of Information: MERGENT BOND RECORD Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 11 H. Walker Page 2 of 7 Interest Rate Trends Of Long-Term Treasury Constant Yearly for 2018-2022 Monthly for the Years 2023 and 2024 10-Year 20-Year 30-Year Long-term Years T-Bond T-Bond T-Bond T-Bond Yield 2018 2.91 3.02 3.11 3.01 2019 2.14 2.40 2.58 2.37 2020 0.89 1.35 1.56 1.27 2021 1.44 1.98 2.05 1.82 2022 2.95 3.30 3.12 3.30 Average 2.07 2.41 2.48 2.36 Jan 2023 3.53 3.81 3.66 3.74 Feb 2023 3.75 3.95 3.80 3.88 Mar 2023 3.66 3.94 3.77 3.86 Apr 2023 3.46 3.80 3.68 3.74 May 2023 3.57 3.96 3.86 3.91 Jun 2023 3.75 4.04 3.87 3.96 Jul 2023 3.90 4.15 3.96 4.06 Aug 2023 4.17 4.46 4.28 4.37 Sep 2023 4.38 4.65 4.47 4.56 Oct 2023 4.80 5.13 4.95 5.04 Nov 2023 4.50 4.84 4.66 4.75 Dec 2023 4.02 4.32 4.14 4.23 Avg 2023 3.96 4.25 4.09 4.17 Jan 2024 4.06 4.39 4.26 4.33 Feb 2024 4.21 4.49 4.38 4.44 Mar 2024 4.21 4.46 4.36 4.41 Apr 2024 4.54 4.77 4.66 4.72 May 2024 4.48 4.71 4.62 4.67 Jun 2024 4.31 4.54 4.44 4.49 Jul 2024 4.25 4.56 4.46 4.51 Aug 2024 3.87 4.25 4.15 4.20 Sep 2024 3.72 4.10 4.04 4.07 Source of Information: Federal Reserve Bulletin Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 11 H. Walker Page 3 of 7 Spread in Average Long-Term Bond Yields Versus Public Utility Bond Yields Yearly for 2018-2022 Monthly for the Years 2023 and 2024 Spread in Average Long-Term T-Bond Yields Versus Public Utility Bonds: Years Aaa Rated Aa Rated A Rated Baa Rated 2018 NA 1.08 1.24 1.66 2019 NA 1.24 1.40 1.82 2020 NA 1.52 1.75 2.12 2021 NA 1.15 1.29 1.54 2022 NA 1.23 1.42 1.73 Average NA 1.24 1.42 1.77 Jan 2023 NA 1.25 1.47 1.76 Feb 2023 NA 1.25 1.42 1.67 Mar 2023 NA 1.39 1.54 1.83 Apr 2023 NA 1.26 1.39 1.73 May 2023 NA 1.33 1.45 1.80 Jun 2023 NA 1.31 1.43 1.78 Jul 2023 NA 1.25 1.36 1.68 Aug 2023 NA 1.21 1.34 1.64 Sep 2023 NA 1.16 1.30 1.59 Oct 2023 NA 1.15 1.30 1.57 Nov 2023 NA 1.15 1.30 1.54 Dec 2023 NA 1.04 1.19 1.45 Avg 2023 NA 1.23 1.37 1.67 Jan 2024 NA 1.02 1.16 1.41 Feb 2024 NA 0.98 1.13 1.36 Mar 2024 NA 1.02 1.14 1.38 Apr 2024 NA 0.96 1.08 1.30 May 2024 NA 0.96 1.08 1.31 Jun 2024 NA 1.01 1.12 1.35 Jul 2024 NA 1.03 1.13 1.34 Aug 2024 NA 1.07 1.19 1.41 Sep 2024 NA 1.02 1.14 1.36 Comment: Derived from the information on pages 1 and 3 of this Schedule. Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 11 H. Walker Page 4 of 7 Interest Rate Trends for Federal Funds Rate and Prime Rate Yearly for 2018-2022 Monthly for the Years 2023 and 2024 Fed Funds Prime Years Rate Rate 2018 1.83 4.90 2019 2.16 5.28 2020 0.38 3.54 2021 0.08 3.25 2022 1.68 4.85 Average 1.23 4.36 Jan 2023 4.33 7.50 Feb 2023 4.57 7.74 Mar 2023 4.65 7.83 Apr 2023 4.83 8.00 May 2023 5.05 8.22 Jun 2023 5.08 8.25 Jul 2023 5.12 8.29 Aug 2023 5.33 8.50 Sep 2023 5.33 8.50 Oct 2023 5.33 8.50 Nov 2023 5.33 8.50 Dec 2023 5.33 8.50 Avg 2023 5.02 8.19 Jan 2024 5.33 8.50 Feb 2024 5.33 8.50 Mar 2024 5.33 8.50 Apr 2024 5.33 8.50 May 2024 5.33 8.50 Jun 2024 5.33 8.50 Jul 2024 5.33 8.50 Aug 2024 5.33 8.50 Sep 2024 5.13 8.30 Source of Information: Federal Reserve Bulletin Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 11 H. Walker Page 5 of 7 Blue Chip Financial Forecasts-October 1,2024 Fourth First Second Third Fourth Five Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 2024 2025 2025 2025 2025 Average Prime Rate Top Ten Average 8.1 % 7.6 % 7.3 % 7.1 % 6.9 % 7.4 % Group Average 7.8 7.3 6.9 6.7 6.5 7.0 Bottom Ten Average 7.4 6.9 6.6 6.3 6.2 6.7 Three-Month Treasury Bills Top Ten Average 4.8 4.3 4.0 3.8 3.7 4.1 Group Average 4.5 4.0 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.8 Bottom Ten Average 4.2 3.7 3.3 3.1 2.9 3.4 Ten Year Treasury Notes Top Ten Average 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.1 Group Average 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 Bottom Ten Average 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.3 Thirty Year Treasury Bonds Top Ten Average 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.4 Group Average 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.0 Bottom Ten Average 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.7 Aaa-Rated Corporate Bonds Top Ten Average 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.0 Group Average 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 Bottom Ten Average 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.4 Baa-Rated Corporate Bonds Top Ten Average 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 Group Average 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 Bottom Ten Average 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 Derived Public Utility Bond Yield Forecasts Based on Aaa and Baa Corporate Yields Aa-Rated Public Utili, Bonds Top Ten Average 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.1 Group Average 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 Bottom Ten Average 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.6 A-Rated Public Utility Bonds Top Ten Average 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.2 Group Average 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.3 Bottom Ten Average 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 Baa-Rated Public Utility Bonds Top Ten Average 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 Group Average 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 Bottom Ten Average 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 11 H. Walker Page 6 of 7 Settled Yields on Treasury Bond Future Contracts Traded on the Chicago Board of Trade at the Close of October 9,2024 Treasury Bonds Delivery Date CBOT Dec-24 4.291 % Mar-25 4.286 Jun-25 4.228 Average 4.268 % Source of Information: Chicago Board of Trade Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 11 H. Walker Page 7 of 7 Market Value Discounted Cash Flow for The Water Group Followed by Analysts Water Group Followed by Analysts Dividend Yield(1) 2.5 % Growth in Dividends(2) 0.1 Adjusted Dividend Yield 2.6 Stock Appreciation(3) 6.7 Market Value DCF Cost Rate 9.3 % Notes: (1) Developed on page 2 of this Schedule. (2) Equal to one-half the assumed growth in value. (3) As explained in the direct testimony,the growth in value is supported by the information shown on Schedules 13 and 14. Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 12 H. Walker Pagel of 2 Market Value Dividend Yield for the Water Group Followed by Analysts For the Twelve Months Ended September 2024 Recent Longer Term Dividend Dividend Average Yields 1 Yields(2) Yields Water Group Followed by Analysts American States Water Co 2.3 % 2.3 % American Water Works Co Inc 2.1 2.3 California Water Service Gp 2.1 2.2 Essential Utilities,Inc. 3.4 3.4 Middlesex Water Co 2.0 2.2 SJW Corp 2.7 2.7 York Water Co 2.2 2.3 Average 2.4 % 2.5 % 2.5 % Notes: (1) Average of the high and the low dividend yield for the month of September 2024. (2) Average of the high and the low dividend yield for each of the twelve months ended September 2024. Source of Information: S&P Capital IQ Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 12 H. Walker Page 2 of 2 Development of Long Term Projected Growth in Value Based Upon Growth Over The Next Five Years For the Water Group Followed by Analysts A B C D E F G H Analysts'Projected Growth in EPS Other Projected Growth First Value Value Value Call S&P ZACK's Line Line Line Average Average EPS EPS EPS EPS DPS Cash Flow EPS All Growth Growth Growth Growth Growth Growth Growth Growth Water Group Followed by Analysts American States Water Co 4.4 % 8.0 % 6.3 % 6.5 % 8.5 % 5.5 % 6.3 % 6.5 % American Water Works Co Inc 7.5 7.5 7.9 4.5 8.5 3.0 6.8 6.5 California Water Service Gp 10.8 10.0 NA 13.0 6.0 5.0 11.3 9.0 Essential Utilities,Inc. 5.2 6.4 5.8 7.0 8.0 6.5 6.1 6.5 Middlesex Water Co 2.7 NA NA 7.0 5.0 3.5 4.9 4.6 SJW Corp 7.5 5.4 6.0 6.5 4.5 -1.5 6.4 4.7 York Water Co 4.9 NA NA NA N A NA 4.9 4.9 Average 6.1 % 7.5 % 6.5 % 7.4 % 6.8 % 3.7 % 6.7 % 6.1 % Industry Specific Average Projected Growth Rates 9.9 % 9.9 % 9.9 % Historical 5-Year Growth in EPS First Value Call ZACK's Line Average EPS EPS EPS EPS Growth Growth Growth Growth Water Group Followed by Analysts American States Water Co 6.7 % 8.9 % 9.0 % 8.2 % American Water Works Co Inc 5.9 8.1 15.0 9.7 California Water Service Gp 6.9 -7.7 4.0 1.1 Essential Utilities,Inc. 3.4 5.6 7.0 5.3 Middlesex Water Co -1.6 -0.3 5.5 1.2 SJW Corp 18.1 4.2 -0.5 7.3 York Water Co 5.7 9.5 0.0 5.1 Average 6.4 % 4.0 % 5.7 % 5.4 % Source of Information: Value Line Investment Survey, 10/4/24;S&P Capital IQ 10/9/24; FirstCall 10/9/24;and Zacks Investment Research 10/9/24 Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 13 H. Walker Page 1 of 1 Recent Payout Ratios, ROEs,P-E Multiples,Market/Book Multiples,and Market Value For the Water Group Followed by Analysts Current Current Return Market to Current Dividend on PE Book Market Payout Equity Mult Mult Value (Mill$) Water Group Followed by Analysts American States Water Co 60 13.5 29.0 3.74 3,119.810 American Water Works Co Inc 59 9.6 29.9 2.81 28,496.770 California Water Service Gp 36 12.0 17.9 2.06 3,189.498 Essential Utilities,Inc. 60 9.4 18.8 1.71 10,555.621 Middlesex Water Co 62 8.7 31.5 2.69 1,163.215 SJW Corp 57 7.2 21.3 1.49 1,900.871 York Water Co 52 10.5 23.4 2.39 538.004 Average 55 10.1 24.5 2.41 6,994.827 Source of Information: S&P Capital IQ,spot date of 9/30/2024 Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 14 H. Walker Page 1 of 2 Value Line Projected ROE Based on Year-End and Average, Dividend Payout Ratio,and Common Equity Ratio for The Water Group Followed by Analysts for 2027-2029 Value Line Projected Value Line Projected Value Line Average Projected Common Projected ROE Dividend Equity ROE (1) Pam Ratio Water Group Followed by Analysts American States Water Co 13.5 % 14.0 % 64.1 % 55.0 % American Water Works Co Inc 11.0 11.7 58.6 60.0 California Water Service Gp 9.5 9.7 43.1 65.5 Essential Utilities,Inc. 9.5 9.8 66.0 45.0 Middlesex Water Co 13.5 13.5 50.8 59.5 SJW Corp 8.0 8.1 52.1 57.0 York Water Co NA NA NA NA Average 10.8 % 111 % 55.$ % 57..0 % Median 11a % Notes: (1) Value Line ROE,which is a year-end ROE,is converted to average ROE by the factor derived from the following formula: 2((1+g)/(2+g)),where"g"is the rate of growth in common equity. Source of Information: Value Line Investment Survey, 10/4/24 Case No.VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 14 H.Walker Page 2 of 2 Illustration of the Effect of Market-To-Book Ratio on Market Return Ln# Situation 1 Situation 2 Situation 3 1 M/B Ratio 50% 100% 200% 2 Market Purchase Price $25.00 $50.00 $100.00 3 Book Value $50.00 $50.00 $50.00 4 1 DCF Return 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 5 DCF Dollar Return $5.00 $5.00 $5.00 6 Dividend Yield 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 7 DPS $1.25 $2.50 $5.00 8 Dollar Growth in Value $3.75 $2.50 $0.00 9 Market Sale Price $28.75 $52.50 $100.00 10 FTotal Market Return 20.0% 10.0% 5.0% "The simple numerical illustration....demonstrates the impact of market-to-book ratios on the DCF market return....The DCF cost rate of 10%,made up of a 5% dividend yield and a 5%growth rate, is applied to the book value rate base of$50 to produce$5.00 of earnings. Of the $5.00 of earnings,the full$5.00 are required for dividends to produce a dividend yield of 5.0%on a stock price of$100.00,and no dollars are available for growth. The investor's return is therefore only 5% versus his required return of 10%.A DCF cost rate of 10%,which implies$10.00 of earnings,translates to only$5.00 of earnings on book value,or a 5% return.....Therefore,the DCF cost rate understates the investor's required return when stock prices are well above book,as is the case presently." The above illustration is taken from Roger A Morin,Regulatory Finance- Utilities'Cost of Capital,Public Utility Reports,Inc., 1994,pp. 236-237. Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 15 H. Walker Page 1 of 1 Differences in Book Value and Market Values for the Water Group Followed by Analysts Recent Recent Difference in Book Value Market Value Average Average Market Value Capitalization Capitalization Book Value Market Value and Ratios Ratios of Common of Common Book Value (6/30/24) (9/30/24) Equity Equity Common Equity (Millions) (Millions) Water Group Followed by Analysts: Long Term Debt 50.1 % 30.8 % Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 Common Equity 49.9 69.2 $2,946.602 $6,994.827 $4,048.225 Total 100.0 % 100.0 % Differnce in Common Equity Ratio 19.3% Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 16 H. Walker Page 1 of 3 Water Group Followed by Analysts Financial Risk Adjustment Using the"Hamada Models" Original Hamada Formulas Harris-Pringle Formulas Market Value @(9/30/24) Market Value @(9/30/24) Line Line No. DEBT PREF CE TAX BETA No. DEBT PREF CE TAX BETA DEBT BET? 1. (D) (P) (E) (t) (Bl) 1. (D) (P) (E) (0 (Bl) (Bd) 2. 30.8% 0.0% 69.2% 26.14% 0.75 2. 30.8% 0.0% 69.2% 26.14% 0.75 0.42 3. Bl=Bu(1+(l-t)D/E+P/E) 3. B1=Bu+(Bu-Bd)(D/E) 4. 1-t= 0.7386 4. B1= 0.75 5. D/E= 0.4451 5. Bd= 0.42 6. P/E= 0.0000 6. D/E= 0.4451 7. B1= Bu* 1.3287 7. Bl+Bd(D/E)= 0.9369 8. Bu= 0.56 8. 1+D/E= 1.4451 9. 9. Bu= 0.65 Book Value @(6/30/24) Book Value @(6/30/24) BETA BETA 10. DEBT PREF CE TAX UNLEVERED 10. DEBT PREF CE UNLEVERED it. (D) (P) (E) (t) (Bu) 11. (D) (P) (E) (Bu) 12. 50.10% 0.00% 49.90% 26.140% 0.56 12. 50.10% 0.00% 49.90% 0.65 13. B1=Bu(1+(1-t)D/E+P/E) 13. B1=Bu+(Bu-Bd)(D/E) 14. 1-t= 0.7386 14. Bu= 0.65 15. D/E= 1.0040 15. Bd= 0.42 16. P/E= 0.0000 16. Bu-Bd= 0.2284 17. B1= Bu* 1.7416 17. D/E= 1.0040 18. B1= 0.98 18. Bl= 0.88 Cost Adjustment Based on Original Hamada Cost Adjustment Based on Harris-Pringle 19. Book Beta(Raw) = 0.98 19. Book Beta(Raw) = 0.88 20. Market Beta(Raw) = 0.75 20. Market Beta(Raw) = 0.75 21. Beta difference = 0.23 21. Beta difference = 0.13 22. Risk premium = 4_8 22. Risk premium = 4_8 23. Risk adjustment = 1.10 23. Risk adjustment = 0.61 Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 16 H. Walker Page 2 of 3 Default Spread for Aaa Rated Corporate Bonds and A Rated Investor-Owned Public Utility Bonds Yearly for 2018-2022 Monthly for the Years 2023 and 2024 A Corporate Public Utility Over Years Aaa Rated A Rated Aaa 2018 3.93 4.25 0.32 2019 3.39 3.77 0.38 2020 2.50 3.02 0.52 2021 2.71 3.11 0.40 2022 4.09 4.72 0.63 Average 3.32 3.77 0.45 Jan 2023 4.40 5.20 0.80 Feb 2023 4.56 5.29 0.73 Mar 2023 4.60 5.39 0.79 Apr 2023 4.47 5.13 0.66 May 2023 4.67 5.36 0.69 Jun 2023 4.65 5.38 0.73 Jul 2023 4.66 5.41 0.75 Aug 2023 4.95 5.71 0.76 Sep 2023 5.13 5.86 0.73 Oct 2023 5.61 6.34 0.73 Nov 2023 5.28 6.05 0.77 Dec 2023 4.74 5.42 0.68 Avg 2023 4.81 5.55 0.74 Jan 2024 4.87 5.48 0.61 Feb 2024 5.03 5.56 0.53 Mar 2024 5.01 5.55 0.54 Apr 2024 5.28 5.79 0.51 May 2024 5.25 5.74 0.49 Jun 2024 5.13 5.61 0.48 Jul 2024 5.12 5.64 0.52 Aug 2024 4.87 5.39 0.52 Sep 2024 4.68 5.21 0.53 Source of Information: MERGENT BOND RECORD Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 16 H. Walker Page 3 of 3 Market Value CAPM for The Water Group Followed by Anal Water Group Followed by Analysts Estimation Based Upon Historical Information Market Premium(1) 7.5 % 7.5 % x Beta(2) 0.85 0.85 Risk Adjusted Market Premium 6.4 6.4 Size Adjustment Premium(2) 0.7 Plus Risk Free Rate(1) 4.2 4.2 Market Value CAPM Cost Rate 11.3 % 10.6 % Estimation Based Upon Projected Information Market Premium(1) 7.3 % 7.3 % x Beta(2) 0.85 0.85 Risk Adjusted Market Premium 6.2 6.2 Size Adjustment Premium(2) 0.7 Plus Risk Free Rate(1) 4.2 4.2 Market Value CAPM Cost Rate 11.1 % 10.4 % Market Value CAPM is: 10.8% Notes: (1) Developed on page 2 of this Schedule. (2) Developed on page 4 of this Schedule. Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 17 H. Walker Pagel of 4 Development of Market Premiums for Use in a CAPM Model Estimated Based Upon Projected Information Value Line Summary and Index Project Return Date 10/4/24 Market's Price Appreciation Next 3-5 Years(1) 40 % Annual Price Appreciation(1) 8.80 % Forecasted Market Dividend Yield(1) 2.00 Value Line's Annual Total Return(1) 10.80 % S&P 500 Projected Market Return S&P 500's Projected Growth Rate in EPS(2) 10.95 % S&P 500's Dividend Yield(3) 1.30 S&P 500 Projected Market Return(4) 12.25 % Average Projected Total Market Return(5) 11.50 % Less Risk Free Rate(6) 4.20 Estimated Market Premium Based Upon Projected Information 7.30 % Estimated Based Upon Historical Information Estimated Market Premium Based Upon Historical Information(7) 7.50 % See next page of this Schedule for Notes. Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 17 H. Walker Page 2 of 4 CAPM The Water Group Followed by Anal Notes: (1) A projected market premium is based upon the projected market return rate derived from the Value Line Summary and Index for the various dates shown. For example,Value Line projects(Oct-24)that the market will appreciate in price 40%over the next three to five years. Using a four-year midpoint estimate,Value Line's appreciation potential equates to 8.8% annually([1.40]11.25). Additionally,Value Line estimates the market will have a dividend yield of 2%. Combining the market dividend yield of 2%with the market appreciation results in a projected market return rate of 10.8%(g 8%+2%) (2) S&P Global Market Intelligence, S&P Capital IQ (Oct. 9, 2024) reports projected 5-year EPS growth rate for the S&P 500 of 10.95%. (3) Barron's Market Lab(Oct.4,2024)reports S&P 500's dividend yield of 1.3%. (4) Combining the S&P 500 market dividend yield of 1.3%with the S&P 500 market appreciation results in a projected market return rate of 12.25%(10.95%+ 1.3%). (5) Average of Value Line's projected total market return and projected total market return for the S&P (6) As discussed in the direct testimony,the risk-free rate is 4.2%. (7) The historical market premium is based upon studies conducted by Ibbotson Associates concerning asset returns. Ibbotson Associates'asset return studies are the most noted asset return rate studies available today. The results are widely disseminated throughout the investment public. Ibbotson Associates'long-term common stock total market return is 12.33%which,when reduced by the long-term historic risk-free rate of 4.87%results in a market premium of 7.5%(12.33%-4.87%). Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 17 H. Walker Page 3 of 4 Recent Market Values and Beta Adjusted Ibbotson Associates Size Premiums For The Water Group Followed by Analysts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Recent Adjusted Market Market Quartile Value Size Quartile Value Quartile Market Size Quartile Line Premium Size 5/31/24 Name Quartile Premium Beta Beta Ratio* Premium (Mill$) Water Group Followed by Analysts American States Water Co $3,119.810 Mid-Cap 2 2.48 1.13 0.75 25% 0.62 American Water Works Co Inc 28,496.770 Large-Cap 1 0.00 1.00 1.00 0% 0.00 California Water Service Gp 3,189.498 Mid-Cap 2 2.48 1.13 0.75 25% 0.62 Essential Utilities,Inc. 10,555.621 Mid-Cap 2 2.48 1.13 1.00 25% 0.62 Middlesex Water Co 1,163.215 Low-Cap 3 3.95 1.23 0.75 25% 0.99 SJW Corp 1,900.871 Low-Cap 3 3.95 1.23 0.85 25% 0.99 York Water Co 538.004 Low-Can 3 3.95 1.23 0.85 25% 0.99 Average Mid-Can 2 2.48 1.13 0.85 21% 0.69 *- Estmated based on diffences in raw betas and credit spreads for the comparison companies and the quartile companies. Source of Information: 2022 SBBI Yearbook,Stocks,Bonds,Bills,and Inflation,and Value Line Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 17 H. Walker Page 4 of 4 Market Value Risk Premium For the Water Group Followed by Analysts Water Group Followed by Analysts Prospective Public Utility Bond Yields(1) 5.4 % Estimated Risk Premium(2) 4.8 Market Value Risk Premium Indicated Cost Rate 10.2 % Notes: (1) Based upon the current and prospective long-term debt cost rates,it is reasonable to expect that if the comparable group(i.e.,Water Group) issued new long-term bonds,it would both be priced to yield about 5.4%based upon credit profiles of A for the Water Group. (2) A 4.8%risk premium is concluded for the Group after reviewing the tabulation of risk spreads shown on pages 2-5 and 9 of this Schedule. Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 18 H. Walker Page 1 of 9 Annual Total Returns and Risk Premiums of S&P Public Utility Stocks and Bonds for the Years 2004-2023, 1994-2023, 1984-2023, 1974-2023,1964-2023, 1954-2023 and 1928-2023 Annual Total Returns Public Utility Bonds Public Utility L-Term AAA Periods Stock T-Bonds AAA &AA AA A BBB Average Annual Rates of Return 2004 to 2023 0.1216 0.0479 0.0000 0.0577 0.0577 0.0578 0.0649 1994 to 2023 0.1095 0.0611 0.0746 0.0696 0.0698 0.0711 0.0769 1984 to 2023 0.1285 0.0855 0.1253 0.0929 0.0932 0.0931 0.0997 1974 to 2023 0.1328 0.0805 0.1033 0.0880 0.0888 0.0894 0.0957 1964 to 2023 0.1140 0.0698 0.0815 0.0768 0.0775 0.0782 0.0840 1954 to 2023 0.1197 0.0620 0.0687 0.0687 0.0694 0.0705 0.0763 1928 to 2023 0.1095 0.0533 0.0594 0.0621 0.0630 0.0653 0.0722 Average Risk Premiums 2004 to 2023 0.0737 0.1216 0.0640 0.0640 0.0638 0.0567 1994 to 2023 0.0484 0.0349 0.0399 0.0397 0.0384 0.0326 1984 to 2023 0.0430 0.0031 0.0355 0.0353 0.0354 0.0287 1974 to 2023 0.0442 0.0325 0.0372 0.0365 0.0357 0.0300 1964 to 2023 0.0442 0.0325 0.0372 0.0365 0.0357 0.0300 1954 to 2023 0.0578 0.0511 0.0510 0.0503 0.0492 0.0435 1928 to 2023 0.0561 0.0500 0.0474 0.0464 0.0442 0.0373 Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 18 H.Walker Page 2 of 9 Annual Total Returns,Annual Income Returns and Risk Premiums of S&P Public Utility Stocks and Bonds for the Years 2004-2023, 1994-2023, 1984-2023, 1974-2023,1964-2023, 1954-2023 and 1928-2023 Annual Income Returns Annual Total Returns Public Utility Bonds Public Utility L-Term AAA Periods Stock T-Bonds AAA &AA AA A BBB Average Rates of Return 2004 to 2023 0.1216 0.0342 0.0000 0.0462 0.0462 0.0482 0.0530 1994 to 2023 0.1095 0.0433 0.0749 0.0556 0.0557 0.0574 0.0618 1984 to 2023 0.1285 0.0546 0.0870 0.0664 0.0666 0.0685 0.0726 1974 to 2023 0.1328 0.0633 0.0936 0.0745 0.0750 0.0773 0.0817 1964 to 2023 0.1140 0.0621 0.0858 0.0728 0.0733 0.0755 0.0797 1954 to 2023 0.1197 0.0583 0.0761 0.0680 0.0685 0.0706 0.0745 1928 to 2023 0.1095 0.0498 0.0609 0.0588 0.0595 0.0620 0.0667 Average Risk Premiums 2004 to 2023 0.0875 0.1216 0.0754 0.0754 0.0734 0.0686 1994 to 2023 0.0663 0.0346 0.0539 0.0538 0.0521 0.0477 1984 to 2023 0.0738 0.0414 0.0621 0.0618 0.0599 0.0558 1974 to 2023 0.0519 0.0282 0.0412 0.0406 0.0385 0.0343 1964 to 2023 0.0519 0.0282 0.0412 0.0406 0.0385 0.0343 1954 to 2023 0.0614 0.0437 0.0517 0.0512 0.0491 0.0452 1928 to 2023 0.0597 0.0486 0.0507 0.0500 0.0474 0.0427 Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 18 H.Walker Page 3 of 9 Annual Total Returns,Annual Income Returns and Risk Premiums of S&P Public Utility Stocks and Bonds For the 48 Years of the Lowest Interest Rate Environment and the 48 Years of the Highest Interest Rate Environment For The Years 1928-2023 Current Interest Rate Environment:4.2% Public Utility Bonds Public Utility L-Term AAA Periods Stock T-Bonds AAA &AA AA A BBB Annual Total Returns Low Interest Rate Environment: 48 Years of the Lowest Interest Rates,Ranging from 1.4%to 4.1%with an Average Rate of 2.9% Average Rates of Return 0.1113 0.0268 0.0366 0.0438 0.0450 0.0498 0.0613 Average Risk Premiums 0.0845 0.0747 0.0675 0.0663 0.0615 0.0500 High Interest Rate Environment: 48 Years of the Highest Interest Rates,Ranging from 4.1%to 13.5%with an Average Rate of 7.1% Average Risk Premiums 0.1076 0.0799 0.0788 0.0803 0.0811 0.0808 0.0831 Average Risk Premiums 0.0277 0.0288 0.0273 0.0265 0.0268 0.0245 Annual Income Returns Low Interest Rate Environment: 48 Years of the Lowest Interest Rates,Ranging from 1.4%to 4.1%with an Average Rate of 2.9% Average Rates of Return 0.1113 0.0286 0.0340 0.0367 0.0374 0.0402 0.0460 Average Risk Premiums 0.0827 0.0773 0.0746 0.0739 0.0711 0.0653 High Interest Rate Environment: 48 Years of the Highest Interest Rates,Ranging from 4.1%to 13.5%with an Average Rate of 7.1% Average Risk Premiums 0.1076 0.0710 0.0837 0.0809 0.0816 0.0838 0.0875 Average Risk Premiums 0.0366 0.0239 0.0267 0.0260 0.0238 0.0201 Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 18 H.Walker Page 4 of 9 Annual Total Returns of S&P Public Utility Stocks and Bonds for the Years 1928-2023 Annual Total Returns Public Utility Bonds Public Utility L-Term AAA Years Stocks T-Bonds AAA &AA AA A BBB 1928 0.5431 -0.0030 0.0370 0.0388 0.0406 0.0372 0.0392 1929 0.1376 0.0410 0.0209 0.0193 0.0178 0.0163 -0.0076 1930 -0.2149 0.0509 0.0917 0.0892 0.0869 0.0820 0.0378 1931 -0.3193 -0.0782 0.0058 -0.0059 -0.0171 -0.0608 -0.1089 1932 -0.0724 0.1736 0.1073 0.1037 0.1003 0.0685 0.0570 1933 -0.2170 0.0090 0.0142 -0.0145 -0.0401 -0.0686 -0.0601 1934 -0.1743 0.0962 0.1712 0.2000 0.2272 0.3264 0.4593 1935 0.6914 0.0610 0.1053 0.1243 0.1427 0.1760 0.2885 1936 0.2357 0.0691 0.0783 0.0916 0.1046 0.1079 0.1078 1937 -0.3337 -0.0091 0.0290 0.0323 0.0357 0.0272 -0.0626 1938 0.1020 0.0662 0.0720 0.0773 0.0825 0.0884 0.1505 1939 0.1538 0.0692 0.0435 0.0473 0.0510 0.0851 0.0923 1940 -0.1643 0.0910 0.0480 0.0506 0.0532 0.0949 0.1359 1941 -0.3050 0.0234 0.0255 0.0291 0.0327 0.0428 0.0681 1942 0.1079 -0.0735 0.0261 0.0287 0.0313 0.0314 0.0590 1943 0.4750 0.0228 0.0312 0.0346 0.0380 0.0405 0.0564 1944 0.1879 0.0268 0.0343 0.0353 0.0362 0.0303 0.0459 1945 0.5665 0.1075 0.0298 0.0349 0.0383 0.0683 0.0805 1946 -0.0130 -0.0006 0.0233 0.0238 0.0242 0.0267 0.0377 1947 -0.1236 -0.0165 -0.0139 -0.0187 -0.0234 -0.0213 -0.0105 1948 0.0451 0.0202 0.0287 0.0317 0.0347 0.0225 0.0073 1949 0.3074 0.0760 0.0718 0.0746 0.0773 0.0892 0.0757 1950 0.0152 -0.0034 0.0126 0.0131 0.0135 0.0107 0.0233 1951 0.2075 -0.0541 -0.0393 -0.0393 -0.0393 -0.0468 -0.0268 1952 0.1947 0.0101 0.0373 0.0390 0.0407 0.0442 0.0399 1953 0.0918 0.0062 0.0078 0.0063 0.0048 0.0107 0.0037 1954 0.2269 0.0676 0.0668 0.0701 0.0733 0.0745 0.0909 1955 0.1357 -0.0264 -0.0107 -0.0127 -0.0147 -0.0100 0.0146 1956 0.0416 -0.0484 -0.0703 -0.0703 -0.0703 -0.0714 -0.0816 1957 0.0541 0.0472 0.0246 0.0229 0.0213 0.0054 -0.0131 1958 0.3827 -0.0439 -0.0081 -0.0032 0.0017 0.0123 0.0339 1959 0.0958 -0.0320 -0.0231 -0.0234 -0.0237 -0.0120 -0.0102 1960 0.1680 0.1106 0.0764 0.0735 0.0705 0.0791 0.0994 1961 0.3646 0.0135 0.0432 0.0448 0.0464 0.0502 0.0442 1962 -0.0519 0.0650 0.0831 0.0829 0.0828 0.0852 0.0891 1963 0.1261 -0.0022 0.0171 0.0202 0.0232 0.0294 0.0329 1964 0.1685 0.0439 0.0394 0.0391 0.0387 0.0409 0.0396 1965 0.0489 -0.0064 -0.0010 -0.0014 -0.0018 -0.0044 0.0050 1966 -0.0504 0.0085 -0.0501 -0.0509 -0.0518 -0.0602 -0.0990 1967 -0.0216 -0.0650 -0.0525 -0.0539 -0.0553 -0.0592 -0.0271 1968 0.1419 0.0149 0.0268 0.0224 0.0181 0.0286 0.0243 1969 -0.1769 -0.0640 -0.0792 -0.0839 -0.0885 -0.0960 -0.0892 1970 0.1494 0.1537 0.0970 0.0978 0.0987 0.0952 0.0761 1971 0.0050 0.0999 0.1168 0.1241 0.1313 0.1510 0.1681 1972 0.1464 0.0661 0.0912 0.0980 0.1047 0.1103 0.1387 1973 -0.2106 -0.0893 0.0158 0.0138 0.0118 0.0156 0.0150 1974 -0.2135 0.0092 -0.0315 -0.0360 -0.0405 -0.0683 -0.1033 1975 0.4364 0.0465 0.0915 0.0863 0.0813 0.0872 0.0940 Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 18 H. Walker Page 5 of 9 Annual Total Returns of S&P Public Utility Stocks and Bonds for the Years 1928-2023 Annual Total Returns Public Utility Bonds Public Utility L-Term AAA Years Stocks T-Bonds AAA &AA AA A BBB 1976 0.3245 0.1955 0.1976 0.2017 0.2058 0.2475 0.2806 1977 0.1076 0.0074 0.0459 0.0545 0.0629 0.0683 0.0903 1978 -0.0174 -0.0189 -0.0083 -0.0055 -0.0027 -0.0026 0.0000 1979 0.1221 -0.0289 -0.0424 -0.0509 -0.0590 -0.0655 -0.0823 1980 0.1275 -0.0804 -0.0782 -0.0778 -0.0773 -0.0702 -0.0649 1981 0.1464 0.0472 0.0616 0.0674 0.0730 0.0416 0.0674 1982 0.2292 0.4323 0.3294 0.3750 0.3942 0.3708 0.3808 1983 0.2372 -0.0049 0.0721 0.0691 0.0763 0.1406 0.1347 1984 0.2219 0.1611 0.1770 0.1796 0.1768 0.1783 0.2075 1985 0.3232 0.3143 0.3473 0.3276 0.3259 0.3143 0.3098 1986 0.3575 0.3692 0.2994 0.2720 0.2698 0.2835 0.2933 1987 -0.0544 -0.1013 -0.1132 -0.0637 -0.0566 -0.0435 -0.0505 1988 0.1849 0.1026 0.2027 0.1615 0.1594 0.1643 0.1919 1989 0.4351 0.2176 0.1770 0.1743 0.1715 0.1692 0.1781 1990 0.0069 0.0482 0.0685 0.0689 0.0722 0.0738 0.0728 1991 0.0931 0.1472 0.1813 0.1647 0.1624 0.1715 0.1878 1992 0.1183 0.1093 0.1264 0.1312 0.1324 0.1355 0.1315 1993 0.1661 0.2162 0.1926 0.2126 0.2190 0.1429 0.1590 1994 -0.0825 -0.1075 -0.0802 -0.0656 -0.0657 0.0065 -0.0351 1995 0.3772 0.3268 0.2860 0.3074 0.3089 0.2164 0.2442 1996 0.0550 0.0020 0.0279 0.0211 0.0214 0.0279 0.0415 1997 0.1959 0.1454 0.1181 0.1157 0.1169 0.1238 0.1496 1998 0.1896 0.1786 0.1431 0.0365 0.0289 0.1074 0.0981 1999 -0.0998 -0.1062 -0.0792 -0.0275 -0.0237 -0.0921 -0.0684 2000 0.5475 0.1922 0.1076 0.1150 0.1146 0.1101 0.1196 2001 -0.2877 0.0596 0.0734 0.0788 0.0873 0.0780 0.0534 2002 -0.2934 0.1362 0.1851 0.1851 0.2461 0.1746 2003 0.2509 0.0488 0.1678 0.1678 0.1529 0.2329 2004 0.2763 0.0861 0.1162 0.1162 0.0782 0.0919 2005 0.2151 0.0520 0.0869 0.0869 0.0732 0.0541 2006 0.2323 0.0421 0.0486 0.0486 0.0596 0.0759 2007 0.1434 0.0814 0.0043 0.0043 0.0143 0.0042 2008 -0.3160 0.2953 0.0733 0.0733 0.0132 -0.1109 2009 0.1801 -0.1460 0.1159 0.1159 0.1662 0.3279 2010 0.0795 0.0755 0.0809 0.0809 0.0871 0.0893 2011 0.2051 0.3271 0.2701 0.2701 0.2505 0.2019 2012 0.1272 0.0622 0.0801 0.0801 0.0955 0.1287 2013 0.1363 -0.1592 -0.0850 -0.0850 -0.0758 -0.0494 2014 0.3017 0.2419 0.1577 0.1577 0.1872 0.1333 2015 -0.0629 0.0115 -0.0031 -0.0031 -0.0227 -0.0682 2016 0.1834 -0.0224 0.0443 0.0443 0.0512 0.1625 2017 0.1966 0.0714 0.1224 0.1224 0.1211 0.1505 2018 0.0644 -0.0579 -0.0566 -0.0566 -0.0477 -0.0680 2019 0.2690 0.2127 0.2209 0.2209 0.2098 0.2471 2020 0.0301 0.1584 0.1505 0.1505 0.1465 0.1557 2021 0.1510 -0.0679 -0.0499 -0.0499 -0.0335 -0.0210 2022 0.0763 -0.2760 -0.2457 -0.2457 -0.2515 -0.2493 2023 -0.0562 -0.0302 0.0218 0.0218 0.0337 0.0417 Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 18 H. Walker Page 6 of 9 Annual Total Returns of S&P Public Utility Stocks And Annual Income Returns of Bonds for the Years 1928-2023 Annual Total Income Returns Returns Public Utility Bonds Public Utility L-Term AAA Years Stocks T-Bonds AAA &AA AA A BBB 1928 0.5431 0.0329 0.0451 0.0460 0.0470 0.0499 0.0541 1929 0.1376 0.0361 0.0468 0.0479 0.0490 0.0522 0.0578 1930 -0.2149 0.0332 0.0458 0.0470 0.0482 0.0514 0.0591 1931 -0.3193 0.0338 0.0434 0.0449 0.0463 0.0511 0.0635 1932 -0.0724 0.0350 0.0474 0.0504 0.0535 0.0640 0.0815 1933 -0.2170 0.0315 0.0436 0.0468 0.0499 0.0604 0.0833 1934 -0.1743 0.0306 0.0402 0.0436 0.0471 0.0559 0.0713 1935 0.6914 0.0278 0.0351 0.0376 0.0402 0.0466 0.0544 1936 0.2357 0.0273 0.0324 0.0343 0.0362 0.0415 0.0465 1937 -0.3337 0.0275 0.0320 0.0334 0.0347 0.0395 0.0486 1938 0.1020 0.0263 0.0303 0.0316 0.0329 0.0392 0.0510 1939 0.1538 0.0239 0.0286 0.0296 0.0305 0.0360 0.0448 1940 -0.1643 0.0224 0.0277 0.0285 0.0293 0.0331 0.0410 1941 -0.3050 0.0197 0.0269 0.0276 0.0283 0.0304 0.0366 1942 0.1079 0.0239 0.0272 0.0279 0.0287 0.0305 0.0358 1943 0.4750 0.0246 0.0264 0.0269 0.0273 0.0296 0.0338 1944 0.1879 0.0248 0.0265 0.0268 0.0272 0.0294 0.0333 1945 0.5665 0.0229 0.0256 0.0261 0.0266 0.0285 0.0318 1946 -0.0130 0.0208 0.0250 0.0254 0.0257 0.0268 0.0293 1947 -0.1236 0.0215 0.0257 0.0261 0.0264 0.0273 0.0297 1948 0.0451 0.0240 0.0282 0.0287 0.0292 0.0301 0.0327 1949 0.3074 0.0223 0.0270 0.0274 0.0277 0.0291 0.0324 1950 0.0152 0.0216 0.0262 0.0264 0.0267 0.0276 0.0312 1951 0.2075 0.0244 0.0285 0.0288 0.0291 0.0307 0.0334 1952 0.1947 0.0265 0.0300 0.0303 0.0305 0.0324 0.0351 1953 0.0918 0.0300 0.0325 0.0328 0.0331 0.0347 0.0371 1954 0.2269 0.0266 0.0296 0.0298 0.0301 0.0317 0.0348 1955 0.1357 0.0287 0.0307 0.0309 0.0311 0.0324 0.0341 1956 0.0416 0.0310 0.0335 0.0337 0.0340 0.0357 0.0374 1957 0.0541 0.0355 0.0397 0.0400 0.0403 0.0428 0.0452 1958 0.3827 0.0344 0.0384 0.0386 0.0389 0.0414 0.0447 1959 0.0958 0.0409 0.0445 0.0448 0.0451 0.0470 0.0494 1960 0.1680 0.0409 0.0450 0.0453 0.0455 0.0473 0.0489 1961 0.3646 0.0391 0.0442 0.0445 0.0449 0.0462 0.0476 1962 -0.0519 0.0401 0.0434 0.0437 0.0439 0.0450 0.0466 1963 0.1261 0.0403 0.0427 0.0429 0.0431 0.0437 0.0456 1964 0.1685 0.0419 0.0441 0.0442 0.0443 0.0450 0.0466 1965 0.0489 0.0424 0.0448 0.0450 0.0451 0.0458 0.0475 1966 -0.0504 0.0475 0.0513 0.0515 0.0518 0.0531 0.0552 1967 -0.0216 0.0494 0.0553 0.0556 0.0559 0.0576 0.0605 1968 0.1419 0.0543 0.0621 0.0627 0.0633 0.0651 0.0684 1969 -0.1769 0.0624 0.0706 0.0716 0.0725 0.0743 0.0778 1970 0.1494 0.0692 0.0822 0.0833 0.0844 0.0870 0.0913 1971 0.0050 0.0614 0.0766 0.0777 0.0789 0.0825 0.0868 1972 0.1464 0.0601 0.0744 0.0751 0.0758 0.0778 0.0815 1973 -0.2106 0.0701 0.0762 0.0767 0.0773 0.0789 0.0812 1974 -0.2135 0.0800 0.0849 0.0861 0.0873 0.0899 0.0929 1975 0.4364 0.0817 0.0894 0.0912 0.0929 0.0978 0.1057 Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 18 H. Walker Page 7 of 9 Annual Total Returns of S&P Public Utility Stocks And Annual Income Returns of Bonds for the Years 1928-2023 Annual Total Income Returns Returns Public Utility Bonds Public Utility L-Term AAA Years Stocks T-Bonds AAA &AA AA A BBB 1976 0.3245 0.0794 0.0864 0.0880 0.0895 0.0928 0.0987 1977 0.1076 0.0765 0.0814 0.0829 0.0845 0.0859 0.0896 1978 -0.0174 0.0840 0.0877 0.0888 0.0900 0.0917 0.0947 1979 0.1221 0.0921 0.0962 0.0978 0.0995 0.1017 0.1064 1980 0.1275 0.1115 0.1182 0.1211 0.1241 0.1271 0.1352 1981 0.1464 0.1349 0.1427 0.1458 0.1489 0.1529 0.1616 1982 0.2292 0.1309 0.1439 0.1448 0.1464 0.1532 0.1610 1983 0.2372 0.1115 0.1247 0.1229 0.1237 0.1298 0.1350 1984 0.2219 0.1247 0.1297 0.1339 0.1341 0.1374 0.1434 1985 0.3232 0.1104 0.1187 0.1179 0.1189 0.1228 0.1270 1986 0.3575 0.0802 0.0908 0.0930 0.0940 0.0973 0.1015 1987 -0.0544 0.0843 0.0934 0.0946 0.0953 0.0985 0.1027 1988 0.1849 0.0897 0.1013 0.1009 0.1014 0.1040 0.1083 1989 0.4351 0.0854 0.0938 0.0949 0.0955 0.0980 0.1001 1990 0.0069 0.0858 0.0943 0.0959 0.0964 0.0985 0.1009 1991 0.0931 0.0818 0.0891 0.0915 0.0921 0.0943 0.0961 1992 0.1183 0.0769 0.0822 0.0860 0.0869 0.0887 0.0897 1993 0.1661 0.0671 0.0737 0.0776 0.0780 0.0805 0.0816 1994 -0.0825 0.0730 0.0794 0.0799 0.0802 0.0826 0.0868 1995 0.3772 0.0708 0.0781 0.0774 0.0776 0.0813 0.0857 1996 0.0550 0.0672 0.0745 0.0742 0.0745 0.0762 0.0805 1997 0.1959 0.0670 0.0746 0.0743 0.0746 0.0747 0.0782 1998 0.1896 0.0572 0.0682 0.0674 0.0677 0.0687 0.0710 1999 -0.0998 0.0592 0.0710 0.0740 0.0748 0.0743 0.0766 2000 0.5475 0.0607 0.0790 0.0817 0.0821 0.0830 0.0839 2001 -0.2877 0.0557 0.0747 0.0777 0.0780 0.0787 0.0810 2002 -0.2934 0.0542 0.0730 0.0730 0.0754 0.0818 2003 0.2509 0.0496 0.0646 0.0646 0.0623 0.0673 2004 0.2763 0.0505 0.0608 0.0608 0.0617 0.0641 2005 0.2151 0.0465 0.0546 0.0546 0.0566 0.0592 2006 0.2323 0.0499 0.0583 0.0583 0.0607 0.0632 2007 0.1434 0.0493 0.0591 0.0591 0.0605 0.0629 2008 -0.3160 0.0448 0.0619 0.0619 0.0650 0.0711 2009 0.1801 0.0401 0.0579 0.0579 0.0610 0.0721 2010 0.0795 0.0405 0.0525 0.0525 0.0548 0.0598 2011 0.2051 0.0375 0.0489 0.0489 0.0514 0.0565 2012 0.1272 0.0256 0.0385 0.0385 0.0416 0.0490 2013 0.1363 0.0302 0.0417 0.0417 0.0441 0.0492 2014 0.3017 0.0316 0.0424 0.0424 0.0435 0.0485 2015 -0.0629 0.0254 0.0397 0.0397 0.0408 0.0496 2016 0.1834 0.0221 0.0373 0.0373 0.0394 0.0474 2017 0.1966 0.0267 0.0386 0.0386 0.0404 0.0443 2018 0.0644 0.0307 0.0404 0.0404 0.0420 0.0460 2019 0.2690 0.0248 0.0369 0.0369 0.0385 0.0429 2020 0.0301 0.0141 0.0285 0.0285 0.0307 0.0345 2021 0.1510 0.0194 0.0293 0.0293 0.0308 0.0334 2022 0.0763 0.0314 0.0436 0.0436 0.0454 0.0485 2023 -0.0562 0.0422 0.0538 0.0538 0.0553 0.0583 Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 18 H. Walker Page 8 of 9 Development of the Projected Risk Premium Value Line Summary and Index Project Return Date 10/4/24 Market's Price Appreciation Next 3-5 Years 40 % Annual Price Appreciation 8.80 % Forecasted Market Dividend Yield 2.00 Value Line's Annual Total Return 10.80 % S&P 500 Projected Market Return S&P 500's Projected Growth Rate in EPS 10.95 % S&P 500's Dividend Yield 1.30 S&P 500 Projected Market Return 12.25 % Average Projected Total Market Return 11.50 % Less Prospective Public Utility Bond Yields 5.40 Forecasted Equity Premium 6.10 % Estimated Risk Adjustment 85% Forecasted Risk Premium 5.20 % Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 18 H. Walker Page 9 of 9 Veolia Water Idaho, Inc. Common Equity Cost Rate Summary Water Group Followed by Analysts DCF Ul CAPM 2 RP U3 Common Equity Cost Rate Range 10.00 % 11.50 % 10.90 % Investment Risk Adjustments (4) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Veolia Water Idaho, Inc. Adjusted Common Equity Cost Rate Range: 10.00 11.50 10.90 Veolia Water Idaho, Inc. Recommended Common Equity Cost Rate (5) 10.80 % Check of Reasonableness of Common Equity Cost Rate (6) 10.8 % to 11.1 % Notes: (1) From Schedule 12 and explained in the Direct Testimony. (2) From Schedule 17 and explained in the Direct Testimony. (3) From Schedule 18 and explained in the Direct Testimony. (4) As explained in the Direct Testimony. (5) As explained in the Direct Testimony, the recommendation is only applicable to a rate making common equity ratio of 52%. (6) See page 2 of Schedule 14. Case No. VEO-W-24-01 Exhibit No. 1 Schedule 19 H. Walker Page 1 of 1