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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20241106Direct Michael Eldred.pdf RECEIVED Wednesday, November 6, 2024 4:22:15 PM IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF THE ) APPLICATION OF IDAHO POWER ) CASE NO. IPC-E-24-07 COMPANY TO INCREASE RATES ) FOR ELECTRIC SERVICE TO ) RECOVER COSTS ASSOCIATED ) WITH INCREMENTAL CAPITAL ) INVESTMENTS AND CERTAIN ) ONGOING OPERATIONS AND ) MAINTENANCE EXPENSES ) DIRECT TESTIMONY OF MICHAEL ELDRED IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION NOVEMBER 6, 2024 1 Q. Please state your name and business address for 2 the record. 3 A. My name is Michael Eldred. My business address 4 is 11331 W. Chinden Blvd. , Building 8, Suite 201-A, Boise, 5 Idaho 83714 . 6 Q. By whom are you employed and in what capacity? 7 A. I am employed by the Idaho Public Utilities 8 Commission ("Commission") as a Utilities Analyst II in the 9 Utilities Division. 10 Q. Please describe your work experience and 11 educational background. 12 A. Please see Exhibit No . 111 that provides a 13 summary of my work experience and education background. 14 Q. What is the purpose of your testimony in this 15 proceeding? 16 A. The purpose of my testimony is to address : (1) 17 Idaho Power Company' s ("Idaho Power" or "Company") Revenue 18 Growth Offset; (2) the Company' s billing determinants; and 19 (3) the Company' s proposed rate spread using the 2023 20 general rate case ("2023 GRC") Cost of Service Study 21 ("COSS") and the 2023 GRC cap and spread parameters . 22 Q. How is your testimony organized? 23 A. My testimony is subdivided into the following 24 sections : 25 1 . Revenue Growth Offset Page 2 CASE NO. IPC-E-24-07 ELDRED, M. (Di) 1 11/6/24 STAFF 1 2 . Billing Determinants Page 6 2 3 . Rate Spread Page 7 3 4 Q. Please summarize your testimony. 5 A. I do not support the Company' s 2024 kilowatt hour 6 ("kWh") sales forecast being used to determine incremental 7 sales growth used as an input to calculate the Revenue 8 Growth Offset . I propose a different method for 9 determining the incremental sales growth resulting in a 10 $6 . 8 million Revenue Growth Offset for 2024 as compared to 11 the Company' s $5 . 5 million Revenue Growth Offset and a 12 reduction in the Company' s proposed Revenue Requirement 13 increase of $1 . 3 million. 14 Furthermore, I propose that the Company adjust 15 the billing determinants to coincide with Staff' s proposed 16 Revenue Growth Offset . 17 I support the Company' s proposed rate spread 18 using the 2023 GRC COSS and cap and spread parameters . I 19 believe the 2023 COSS and cap and spread parameters are 20 reasonable to use for this case . 21 Revenue Growth Offset 22 Q. What are your recommendations regarding the 23 Revenue Growth Offset? 24 A. I recommend increasing the Revenue Growth Offset 25 by $1 . 3 million resulting in a Revenue Growth Offset of CASE NO. IPC-E-24-07 ELDRED, M. (Di) 2 11/6/24 STAFF 1 $6 . 8 million compared to the Company' s proposed $5 . 5 2 million Revenue Growth Offset . 3 Q. Please describe the Company' s Revenue Growth 4 Offset . 5 A. The Company proposed a Revenue Growth Offset of 6 $5 . 5 million. It represents the incremental revenue due to 7 sales growth associated with plant and labor embedded in 8 rates approved in the 2023 GRC. This incremental revenue 9 offsets the incremental costs included for recovery in this 10 case . 11 Q. Please describe how the Company calculated its 12 Revenue Growth Offset . 13 A. The Company first determined a cent per kWh rate 14 for the plant and labor that is currently embedded in rates 15 from the 2023 GRC that was the product of a settlement 16 accepted by the Commission in Case No . IPC-E-23-11 . This 17 rate is referred to as the Mill Rate . Next the Company 18 determined the kWh sales growth based on the sales 19 authorized through the 2023 GRC and the Company' s 2024 20 sales forecast proposed in this case . The difference 21 between the 2023 GRC settlement sales and the 2024 sales 22 forecast are the incremental sales used to determine the 23 Revenue Growth Offset . In the Company' s Application, the 24 incremental sales amount was multiplied by the Mill Rate to 25 calculate the final Revenue Growth Offset of $5 . 5 million. CASE NO. IPC-E-24-07 ELDRED, M. (Di) 3 11/6/24 STAFF 1 Q. Do you agree with the Company' s 2024 kWh sales 2 forecast? 3 A. No . The Company' s 2024 sales forecast is a pure 4 forecast and may not accurately reflect actual normalized 5 sales in the 2024 calendar year. I propose a different 6 method for determining 2024 incremental sales . 7 Q. Please summarize your method for determining 8 Staff' s 2024 incremental sales . 9 A. My proposed method compares Idaho January through 10 August 2024 actual normalized kWh sales to the 2023 GRC kWh 11 sales approved by the Commission, for the same months . My 12 method results in an actual 1 . 04% increase in kWh sales in 13 the first eight months of 2024 compared to 2023 . Next, I 14 multiplied the 1 . 04% increase by the total 2023 GRC 15 settlement kWh sales to determine Staff' s proposed 2024 16 incremental sales of 154, 483, 419 kWh. 17 Q. Why is Staff' s proposed 2024 incremental sales 18 more appropriate than the Company' s 2024 sales forecast? 19 A. The Company' s 2024 sales forecast is a pure 20 forecast and may not accurately reflect actual incremental 21 sales growth in the 2024 calendar year. When the Company 22 was preparing to file this Application, only a limited 23 amount of actual 2024 sales information was available . A 24 2024 pure forecast that did not incorporate any actual 2024 25 sales information was used to estimate revenue growth. CASE NO. IPC-E-24-07 ELDRED, M. (Di) 4 11/6/24 STAFF 1 During Staff' s review of the Application, additional months 2 of actual 2024 sales became available . I believe using 3 actual data that has been normalized in place of purely 4 forecasted values provides a better representation of the 5 incremental sales and revenue growth in 2024 . I also 6 believe that my method better aligns with the overall 7 incremental approach the Company took using the 2023 GRC as 8 a baseline to develop its Application. 9 Q. What is the result of using Staff' s 2024 10 incremental sales to calculate the Revenue Growth Offset? 11 A. Using Staff' s 2024 incremental sales to calculate 12 the Revenue Growth Offset results in a Revenue Growth 13 Offset of $6 . 8 million. This value was determined by 14 multiplying the Company' s proposed Mill Rate by Staff' s 15 proposed 2024 incremental sales . Staff' s Revenue Growth 16 Offset is $1 . 3 million higher than the Company' s offset and 17 is illustrated with Staff' s calculation in Table No . 1 18 below. 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 CASE NO. IPC-E-24-07 ELDRED, M. (Di) 5 11/6/24 STAFF I Table No. 1 - Staff Revenue Growth Offset Calculation 2 Line 3 1 Company's Idaho Jan.-Aug.2024 Normalized Actuals kWh Sales 10,225,299,633 2 Idaho Jan.-Aug.2023 GRC Settlement kWh Sales 10,120,426,055 4 Percent Increase in kWh Sales o 3 (%increase of Line 2 compared to Line 1) 1.04/o 5 6 4 2023 GRC Settlement Idaho kWh Sales 14,907,835,244 5 Staff Proposed 2024 Incremental Sales 154,483,419 7 (Line 3 x Line 4) 8 6 Company Mill Rate(Plant and Labor Rev/Sales) 0.044077544 9 Staff's Revenue Growth Offset 7 $ 6,809,250 10 (Line 5 x Line 6) 8 Company's Revenue Growth Offset $ 5,497,548 11 Revenue Difference 9 $ 1,311,701 12 (Line 7-Line 8) 13 Billing Determinants 14 Q. Given your adjustment to the amount of 2024 15 incremental sales, are changes needed to the billing 16 determinants used to calculate the final rates? 17 A. Yes, changes are needed. I recommend that the 18 Company develop the final rates using newly calculated 19 billing determinants that reflect my recommended Revenue 20 Growth Offset . 21 Q. Have you developed a method to determine the 22 billing determinants? 23 A. One potential method for determining the billing 24 determinants would be to use the Idaho normalized actual 25 billing determinants for January through August 2024 and CASE NO. IPC-E-24-07 ELDRED, M. (Di) 6 11/6/24 STAFF 1 extrapolate 4 additional months of billing determinants to 2 create 12 months of billing determinants . The 3 extrapolation would be based on the change in normalized 4 actual January through August 2024 billing determinants 5 compared to the same billing determinants used in the 2023 6 GRC settlement . This change would be applied to the 7 September through December 2023 GRC settlement billing 8 determinants . However, I am not opposed to other methods 9 as long as the billing determinants reflect my recommended 10 Revenue Growth Offset . 11 Rate Spread 12 Q. What are your conclusions and recommendations 13 regarding the Company' s rate spread? 14 A. I recommend using the Company' s proposed rate 15 spread that uses the COSS and cap and spread parameters 16 approved in the 2023 GRC. 17 Q. Please describe the Company' s method used to 18 spread the increase to the various customer classes . 19 A. The Company is proposing to allocate the rate 20 spread based on the same methods agreed to in the 2023 GRC 21 settlement . This includes using the COSS from the 2023 GRC 22 to allocate the incremental revenue requirement and the 23 same cap and spread parameters from the 2023 GRC 24 settlement . The parameters used in the 2023 GRC settlement 25 include a cap of 130 percent and a floor of 50 percent of CASE NO. IPC-E-24-07 ELDRED, M. (Di) 7 11/6/24 STAFF 1 the overall increase . Staff' s proposed 0 . 66 percent 2 overall increase results in a cap of 0 . 85 percent and a 3 floor of 0 . 33 percent using these parameters . Customer 4 classes not generating enough revenue to cover their cost- 5 of-service will be limited by the cap, while classes 6 generating more revenue than their cost-of-service will be 7 limited by the floor. 8 The Company is also proposing to collect the increase 9 through a uniform increase to each class ' s applicable 10 billing component with no change to the service charge 11 except for the residential classes' service charge that 12 will increase consistent with the second-year increase 13 approved by the Commission in the 2023 GRC in Case No . IPC- 14 E-23-11 . 15 Q. Is the method for the proposed rate spread 16 reasonable? 17 A. Yes . The method is reasonable because it is 18 based on the COSS developed for the 2023 GRC and the rate 19 spread parameters were agreed to by intervenors in the 2023 20 GRC settlement which was accepted by the Commission. The 21 method moves all classes towards producing enough revenue 22 to cover each classes' cost-of-service but places a limit 23 on the rate impact to individual classes that are 24 significantly under their cost-of-service, preserving rate 25 stability. CASE NO. IPC-E-24-07 ELDRED, M. (Di) 8 11/6/24 STAFF I Q. Does this conclude your testimony in this 2 proceeding? 3 A. Yes, it does . 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 CASE NO. IPC-E-24-07 ELDRED, M. (Di) 9 11/6/24 STAFF Professional Qualifications Of Michael Eldred Utilities Analyst II - Engineering Idaho Public Utilities Commission EDUCATION Mr. Eldred graduated with honors from Boise State University with a bachelor' s degree in mechanical engineering in 2014 and a master' s degree in business administration in 2016 . In addition to his formal education, he has attended the Institute of Public Utilities Annual Regulatory Studies Program at Michigan State University, attended Michigan State University' s NARUC Utility Rate School, EUCI Cost of Service and Rate Design Courses, and NWPPA Advance Rate Design and Cost of Service Courses . BUSINESS EXPERIENCE Mr. Eldred has worked with the Commission as a Utilities Analyst since 2017 . He has reviewed and provided recommendations to the Commission in a wide variety of cases due to his extensive knowledge, skills, and abilities . Some examples of cases he has processed include : (1) reviewing and providing recommendations on cost of service studies, consumption normalization, and rate design proposals in general rate cases; (2) conducting analyses and providing recommendations on electricity and natural gas prices in general rate cases; (3) conducting prudence reviews and providing recommendations on capital investments in general rate cases and Certificate for Public Convenience and Necessity cases; (4) providing technical advice on integrated resource plans for various utilities; and (5) reviewing and providing recommendations on utilities cost recovery mechanisms . Exhibit No . 111 Case No . IPC-E-24-07 M. Eldred, Staff 11/06/24 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS DAY OF NOVEMBER 2024, SERVED THE FOREGOING DIRECT TESTIMONY OF MICHAEL ELDRED, IN CASE NO. IPC-E-24-07, BY E-MAILING A COPY THEREOF TO THE FOLLOWING: LISA D. NORDSTROM TIMOTHY TATUM DONOVAN E WALKER CONNIE ASCHENBRENNER MEGAN GOICOECHEA ALLEN MATT LARKIN IDAHO POWER COMPANY IDAHO POWER COMPANY PO BOX 70 PO BOX 70 BOISE ID 83707-0070 BOISE ID 83707-0070 E-MAIL: lnordstrom a,idahopower.com E-MAIL: ttatumAidahopower.com dwalker a,idahopower.com caschenbrennerLidahopower.com mgoicoecheaallengidahopower.com mlarkinLidahopower.com dockets(cyidahopower.com ERIC L OLSEN LANCE KAUFMAN PhD ECHO HAWK& OLSEN PLLC 2623 NW BLUEBELL PLACE PO BOX 6119 CORVALLIS OR 97330 POCATELLO ID 83205 E-MAIL: lance(kae isg insi hg t.com E-MAIL: elo,c echohawk.com PETER J RICHRRDSON DR DON READING RICARDSON ADAMS PLLC 280 S SILVERWOOD WAY 515 N 27TH STREET EAGLE ID 83616 BOISE ID 83702 E-MAIL: dreading a,mindspring coin E-MAIL: peter Lcct richardsonadams.com BRAD HEUSINKVELD ID CONSERVATION LEAGUE 710 N 6TH STREET BOISE ID 83702 E-MAIL: heusinkveldkidahoconservation.org PETER MEIER EMILY W MEDLYN US DEPT OF ENERGY US DEPT OF ENERGY 1000 INDEPENDENCE AVE SW 1000 INDEPENDENCE AVE SW WASHINGTON DC 20585 WASHINGTON DC 20585 E-MAIL: peter.meierghq.doe.gov E-MAIL: Emily medlynghq.doe.gov CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE JIM SWIER AUSTIN RUESCHHOFF MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC THORVALD A NELSON 8000 S FEDERAL WAY AUSTIN W JENSEN BOISE ID 83707 KRISTINE A.K. ROACH E-MAIL: jswier a,micron.com HOLLAND & HART LLP 555 17TH ST STE 3200 DENVER CO 80202 E-MAIL: darueschhoff(cthollandhart.com tnelson(cthollandhart.com awjensen a hollandhart.com karoach,,hollandhart.com acleeghollandhart.com mamcmillenLr hollandhart.com ED JEWELL STEVEN HUBBLE DEPUTY CITY ATTORNEY BOISE CITY DEPT OF PUBLIC WORKS BOISE CITY ATTORNEY'S PO BOX 500 PO BOX 500 BOISE ID 83701-0500 BOISE ID 83701-0500 E-MAIL: shubble�,cityofboise.org E-MAIL: ejewell(atcityofboise.org boisecityattorneyncityofboise.org PATIZICIA JORDAN, CRETARY CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE