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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20241031Staff 1-5 to PAC.pdf RECEIVED Thursday, October 31, 2024 1:04:23 PM IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION MICHAEL DUVAL DEPUTY ATTORNEY GENERAL IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION PO BOX 83720 BOISE, IDAHO 83720-0074 (208) 334-0320 IDAHO BAR NO. 11714 Street Address for Express Mail: 11331 W CHINDEN BLVD, BLDG 8, SUITE 201-A BOISE, ID 83714 Attorney for the Commission Staff BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER THE APPLICATION OF ) ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER TO UPDATE ) CASE NO. PAC-E-24-12 LOAD AND GAS FORECASTS USED IN THE ) INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN AVOIDED ) COST MODEL ) FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE COMMISSION STAFF TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER Staff of the Idaho Public Utilities Commission, by and through its attorney of record, Michael Duval, Deputy Attorney General, requests that Rocky Mountain Power, a division of PacifiCorp, ("Company")provide the following documents and information as soon as possible, but no later than THURSDAY,NOVEMBER 21, 2024. This Production Request is to be considered as continuing, and the Company is requested to provide,by way of supplementary responses, additional documents that it, or any person acting on its behalf, may later obtain that will augment the documents or information produced. Please provide answers to each question, supporting workpapers that provide detail or are the source of information used in calculations, and the name,job title, and telephone number of the person preparing the documents. Please also identify the name,job title, location, and telephone number of the record holder. FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER 1 OCTOBER 31, 2024 In addition to the written copies provided as response to the requests,please provide all Excel spreadsheets and electronic files with formulas intact and enabled. REQUEST NO. 1: On Page 2 of the Application, the Company states that the change between the June 2024 load forecast and the May 2023 load forecast is "primarily due to growth expectations for industrial and commercial customers in Utah and Oregon." Please explain why the change starts after 2030, as shown in Figure No. 1. Additionally, given the fact that the May 2023 load forecast already considered the commercial and industrial customers' increase as noted in the previous case (Case No. PAC-E-23-20), please explain why the June 2024 load forecast has a higher load than the May 2023 load forecast "primarily due to growth expectations for industrial and commercial customers in Utah and Oregon."Application at 2. 100,000 80,000 -0-0-o- - -o-'o-Q- L C7 � 60,000 m u N O 40,000 c�a -Load Forecast-June 2024 0 J 20,000 --0--Load Forecast-May 2023 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Figure No. 1: System Load Forecast Comparison REQUEST NO. 2: Please explain why the 2024 load forecast for Idaho is consistently lower than the 2023 load forecast for Idaho throughout the entire forecast period from 2024 through 2043, as shown in Figure No. 2. FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER 2 OCTOBER 31, 2024 4,000 3,900 a r �o a_o 3,800 a-o-o-a-o-o-o v 0 LL 3,700 m 0 J f Load Forecast-June 2024 i n Idaho 3,600 --0--Load Forecast-May 2023 in Idaho 3,500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Figure No.2: Comparison of Load Forecast in Idaho REQUEST NO. 3: Please explain why the"Load Forecast—June 2024"in the Figure No. 3 is lower than the"Draft 2025 IRP Load Forecast"presented in the 2025 Integrated Resource Plan("IRP") Public Input Meeting on June 26-27, 2024, as shown in Figure No. 3. Load Forecast 120,000 100,000 - 80,000 y 60,000 3 u 40,000 20,000 0 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 --*--Load Forecast-June 2024 fDratt 2025 IRP load Forecast t20231RP Update t2023IRP Figure No. 3: Comparison of Load Forecast between June 2024 Forecast to 2025 IRP Load Forecast(draft) FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER 3 OCTOBER 31, 2024 REQUEST NO. 4: Please explain why the 2024 gas forecast for Henry Hub proposed in this case is lower than the 2023 gas forecast approved in Case No. PAC-E-23-20 in the near term, as shown below. Also, please explain why the 2024 gas forecast proposed in this case is approximately the same as the 2023 gas forecast starting in 2029. Gas Forecast for Henry Hub 10 9 8 7 6 S 4 3 2 1 0 �� tiro �A �1 ti� ,�O �N ";V 1'5 3R �� 30 :,5� ,ti0 ,ti0 �0 ,ti0 <ti0 -6) ,LO O ,ti0 ,ti0 ,ti0 .IO 4) ,55 45 ,ti0 'ti0 ti0 ti0 2024 Gas Forecast for Henry Hub 2023 Gas Forecast for Henry Hub REQUEST NO. 5: Please explain whether monthly Official Forward Price Curve ("OFPC") is used in the IRP model to determine IRP-based avoided cost rates. If hourly OFPC is used, please explain how monthly OFPC is converted to hourly OFPC. DATED at Boise, Idaho, this 31 st day of October 2024. -��4 11�-�- c;0< -- Michael Duval Deputy Attorney General L•\Utility\UMISC\PRDREQ\PAC-E-24-12 PR#Ldocx FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER 4 OCTOBER 31, 2024 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS AY OF OCTOBER 2024, SERVED THE FOREGOING FIRST PRODUCTION EQUEST OF THE COMMISSION STAFF TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER, IN CASE NO. PAC-E-24- 12, BY E-MAILING A COPY THEREOF, TO THE FOLLOWING: MARK ALDER JOE DALLAS ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER 1407 WEST NORTH TEMPLE STE 330 825 NE MULTNOMAH ST SALT LAKE CITY UT 84116 STE 2000 E-MAIL: mark.alder(cpacificoKp.com PORTLAND OR 97232 E-MAIL: Jose 2h.dallas(&pacificorp.com DATA REQUEST RESPONSE CENTER E-MAIL ONLY: datarequestgpacificorp.com � � PATRICIA JORDAN, SE RETARY CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE