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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20240912Reply Comments.pdf 0IQAW POWER. DONOVAN WALKER Lead Counsel RECEIVED dwalker(Mclahopower.com Thursday, September 12, 2024 IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION September 12, 2024 VIA ELECTRONIC FILING Monica Barrios-Sanchez, Secretary Idaho Public Utilities Commission 11331 W. Chinden Blvd., Bldg 8, Suite 201-A (83714) PO Box 83720 Boise, Idaho 83720-0074 Re: Case No. IPC-E-24-16 In the Matter of Idaho Power Company's Application for a Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity for the Boise Bench Battery Storage Facility Dear Ms. Barrios-Sanchez: Attached for electronic filing please find Idaho Power Company's Reply Comments. Please feel free to contact me directly with any questions you might have about this filing. Very truly yours, i 2�GlJ�1 Pam` Donovan E. Walker DEW:sg Attachment DONOVAN E. WALKER (ISB No. 5921) Idaho Power Company 1221 West Idaho Street (83702) P.O. Box 70 Boise, Idaho 83707 Telephone: (208) 388-5317 Facsimile: (208) 388-6936 dwalker(o-)idahopower.com Attorney for Idaho Power Company BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER ) COMPANY'S APPLICATION FOR A ) CASE NO. IPC-E-24-16 CERTIFICATE OF PUBLIC CONVENIENCE ) AND NECESSITY FOR THE BOISE ) IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S BENCH BATTERY STORAGE FACILITY. ) REPLY COMMENTS COMES NOW, Idaho Power Company ("Idaho Power" or "Company"), and, pursuant to Idaho Public Utilities Commission's ("Commission") Rule of Procedure' 203 and the Notice of Modified Procedure, Order No. 36250, hereby respectfully submits the following Reply Comments in response to Comments filed by Commission Staff ("Staff") and Clean Energy Opportunities for Idaho ("CEO") on August 28, 2024. I. BACKGROUND 1. As discussed in the Company's initial Application in this case, Idaho Power has generally been resource-sufficient since the addition of the Langley Gulch natural- gas fired power plant in 2012 until the filing of the 2021 Integrated Resource Plan ("IRP"). IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 1 However, as discussed in detail in the Direct Testimony of Mr. Jared Ellsworth, Idaho Power rapidly moved to a near-term capacity deficiency starting in 2023 due to several dynamic and converging factors. This deficiency led to multiple requests for certificates of public convenience and necessity ("CPCN") for resources to be online in 2023, 2024, and 2025, while additional resources are expected to be needed each year through at least 2028. 2. Given the expected resource need in 2026 and 2027, on September 15, 2022, Idaho Power commenced the competitive bidding process established by the Public Utility Commission of Oregon ("OPUC"), which the Company is required to follow per Commission Order No. 32745 issued in Case No. IPC-E-10-03. Over the subsequent months all required steps of the OPUC competitive bidding process were completed. The approved Request for Proposals ("2026 RFP") was issued in June 2023, resulting in the Company receiving 192 bids from 31 different bidders across 47 resource sites. After performing a detailed analysis of these bids and presenting the results to the OPUC, a final shortlist ("FSL") representing the least-cost, least-risk resources was approved by the OPUC on February 22, 2024. Idaho Power immediately began negotiating with the projects on the FSL to procure the resources necessary to meet the identified 2026 capacity deficit of 236 megawatts ("MW"). 3. Through an analysis of the projects on the FSL, it was determined that the three lowest cost projects would be sufficient to meet the identified capacity deficit: (1) a market purchase product with PowerEx Corp. ("PowerEx"), (2) a 200 MW solar photovoltaic ("PV") plus 100 MW battery storage project, and (3) an Idaho Power-owned battery energy storage system ("BESS"). With regard to the market purchase product, the IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS -2 Company immediately executed an agreement with PowerEx and filed a request for approval with the Commission in Case No. IPC-E-24-12. On August 29, 2024, the Commission issued Order No. 36309 approving the market purchase agreement. The second least-cost project on the FSL was the combination 200 MW solar PV plus 100 MW battery storage project. At the time the current Application was filed, contract negotiations were in progress with this developer. However, subsequent to the filing of this case, this project encountered a development hurdle related to their county permit, thus eliminating the ability to rely on the 2026 commercial operation date. The procurement process for the 150 MW Company-owned BESS was initiated concurrently with negotiations for other projects on the FSL. On April 3, 2024, the Company filed the current Application requesting that the Commission issue a CPCN for the Boise Bench BESS ("BESS Project"). 4. On August 28, 2024, Comments were filed by CEO and Staff. CEO indicated that they support the use of batteries and do not oppose the issuance of the CPCN in this case but encouraged the Company to further explore opportunities for demand-side load shifting, offering suggestions for how such an analysis could be structured. Staff's Comments supported the granting of the CPCN for the BESS Project and found that the Company's 2026 RFP process fairly solicited a wide range of resource alternatives reasonably achievable within the time constraints of the capacity requirement. However, Staff also proposed multiple caps on allowable cost recovery to be applied to various components of the project: (1) a soft cap for manufacturer-supplied BESS equipment costs, Idaho sales tax, and Allowance for Funds Used During Construction ("AFUDC"), (2) a soft cap on future annual augmentation costs, and (3) a IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 3 hard cap for the balance of system ("BOS") cost with 5 percent contingency and interconnection costs. These cost cap proposals were based on concerns that the BESS Project may not be the least-cost resource available to meet the 2026 deficit. 5. In these Reply Comments, Idaho Power responds to the suggestions offered by CEO, and addresses Staff's concerns with regard to the least-cost determination for the BESS Project and the cost cap proposals stemming from these concerns. II. REPLY COMMENTS A. The Commission Should Adopt CEO and Staff's Recommendation to Grant the Company a CPCN for the BESS Project. 6. In order to comply with its continuing obligations to serve customers, the Company must at times acquire additional resources to meet the identified capacity deficits on its system when the need arises. Idaho Power performed a quantitative and qualitative evaluation with an objective scoring methodology to reasonably evaluate the price and non-price attributes of each project proposal submitted through the 2026 RFP process, ultimately identifying the final shortlist of projects, including six with commercial operation in 2026. The request for a CPCN to acquire 150 MW of dispatchable energy storage is the result of those efforts. 7. Idaho Power appreciates Staff's thorough review of the Company's filing. Staff issued four sets of discovery and performed a detailed and thorough review of the Company's 2026 RFP process—including both the need identified therein and the process through which the Company solicited resource bids—as well as the underlying analysis of the final bids that led to the Company's decision to procure 150 MW of BESS capacity at the Boise Bench site. Through their review Staff determined that the IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS -4 Company's forecast of a 236 MW capacity deficit in 2026 is valid,' that the 2026 RFP fairly and reasonably solicited a wide range of bids with the potential to meet this need,2 and ultimately recommended the Commission grant a CPCN for the BESS Project to help meet the identified 2026 capacity deficiency.3 B. Idaho Power Completed a Robust Competitive Resource Procurement Process for Identifying the Least-Cost, Least-Risk 2026 Resource Acquisitions which included the BESS Project. 8. Staff's conclusion that the BESS Project at issue in this case may not be the least-cost resource available to meet the 2026 deficit appears to be based on a misunderstanding of the robust analysis process applied by the Company and fails to recognize key information relied upon by Idaho Power in this comprehensive, competitive RFP process. Idaho Power formally issued the 2026 RFP, soliciting bids for (1) energy market purchases and (2) new or existing resources, which was well received with 192 bids from 31 different bidders across 47 resources sites, summing to more than 15 gigawatts of resources. The bids included a variety of ownership structures, including many bids that would result in bidder-owned resources (i.e., Power Purchase Agreements and Battery Storage Agreements), as well as three benchmark bids across three sites, submitted by Idaho Power's Power Supply department. The Direct Testimony of Mr. Hackett details the bid evaluation process which was consistent and prescriptive as described in the 2026 RFP, ultimately identifying the final shortlist of projects, including six with commercial operation in 2026. In their Comments, however, Staff indicated they were not able to verify the BESS Project was a least-cost resource.4 Staff Comments, page 3. 2 Staff Comments, page 2. 3 Id. 4 Staff Comments, pages 4 and 5. IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 5 9. Staff believes that Idaho Power's evaluation of the bids resulting from the 2026 RFP lacked comparable alternative resources in the selected portfolios, stating that "[o]ne of the ways for Staff to determine if the BESS Project is least-cost, is for the Company to perform a stochastic analysis through AURORA comparing the net present value over a 20-year period of a model run of the resources the Company selects against other combinations of short-listed resources that would resolve the deficit.115 Staff is misunderstanding the process for the determination of the least-cost resources. First, the Long-Term Capacity Expansion ("LTCE") modeling is utilized to develop 11 optimal portfolios. This is done by forcing AURORA to utilize each of the 11 preliminary FSL projects at least once, then allowing the LTCE model to select the remaining resources to optimally meet the identified resource need. Once the 11 portfolios are developed, the Company then performs the 60 stochastic runs to determine a mean portfolio cost for each portfolio. The stochastic analysis is utilized to cost-rank those resources that have been selected into the preliminary 2026 FSL. It is important to note that a cost-ranked list of FSL projects is crucial within the context of a dynamic resource procurement process, which is different from an IRP analysis. In the resource procurement process, Idaho Power must simultaneously negotiate with all projects on the FSL in the event that negotiations are unsuccessful with one or more projects, as evidenced by the failure of the second-ranked project to obtain the necessary permits to ensure a 2026 online date. 10. As detailed in London Economics International LLC's Closing Report—2026 All Source Request for Proposals for Peak Capacity and Energy Resources ("Closing Report"),6 the Independent Evaluator's overview and assessment of the eligibility and 5 Staff Comments, page 3. 6 See Confidential Exhibit No. 8 to the Direct Testimony of Mr. Hackett, Section 8.2. IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 6 shortlist evaluations for the 2026 RFP, Idaho Power performs a portfolio sensitivity analysis on the preliminary FSL projects following identification of the preliminary FSL. The overarching purpose of the stochastic analysis is to further understand the range of net present value ("NPV") portfolio costs over a wide range of stochastic shocks (i.e., across the full set of 60 stochastic iterations performed) and consequently the range of difference in portfolios costs.'The results are utilized to rank the preliminary FSL projects, resulting in the creation of the cost-ranked FSL. 11. Staff's assertion that the BESS Project is not definitively least-cost appears to be based on the statement that "...the BESS Project was included within the portfolios that were ranked V 5t" and 611, in the list of selected least-cost and least-risk portfolios."8 A key component missing from Staff's interpretation of the stochastic results is the two- step nature of the process. As explained earlier, the LTCE modeling develops 11 optimal portfolios. Once those are developed, the Company then performs the 60 stochastic runs to determine a mean portfolio cost for each portfolio. 12. The final cost ranking of projects as detailed in Figure 39 of the Closing Report is determined first by how many times each project was selected by the LTCE, and by the relative cost among portfolios in which each resource was selected. Based on this methodology, the PowerEx agreement holds the highest position due to its selection across all 11 portfolios. Similarly, the 200 MW solar PV plus 100 MW battery storage project ranked second as it was selected in three stochastic analysis portfolios, reflecting the first, second, and fourth ranked mean portfolio costs. Finally, the third The portfolio sensitivity analysis used in this process is consistent with the stochastic risk analysis methodology used in the Company's 2023 Integrated Resource Plan ("IRP") and in alignment with discussions during public meetings and the 2023 IRP Advisory Council. 8 Staff Comments, page 3. IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 7 ranked project was the BESS Project, also selected in three stochastic analysis portfolios, though these three portfolios reflected higher costs than those that included the second- ranked 200 MW solar PV plus 100 MW battery project.9 No other project on the FSL was selected more than twice. In other words, the BESS Project was selected in 3 of 11 modeling scenarios, which outranks every other feasible project on the FSL not already under contract. Based on this analysis, the BESS Project was identified as a least-cost resource as part of the AURORA LTCE modeling and further as a least-cost resource necessary to meet the 2026 capacity deficiency. 13. In their review of the FSL projects, Staff also indicated they were not able to identify a suitable alternative to the BESS Project "to make a useful comparison",10 concluding that the lack of availability of alternatives indicated the BESS Project could not be verified as least-cost. Staff's analysis cited Idaho Power's response to a production request in which the Company indicated that projects with differing product types were not comparable on a Levelized Cost of Capacity ("LCOC") basis." Staff fails to recognize that the determination of the LCOC or Levelized Cost of Energy ("LCOE") is for input into AURORA's LTCE model, which provides a consistent, common evaluation tool, with consistent assumptions in that tool, for reasonable evaluation results and the relative ranking of the initial shortlist project submittals. The LCOC and LCOE alone do not indicate the cost-effectiveness of a resource; the results of the LTCE modeling however, do. 9 Closing Report, pages 61-63. 10 Staff Comments, page 4. " Id. IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 8 14. Staff further concluded that because the FSL did not include other standalone BESS resources, the cost-effectiveness of the BESS Project could not be verified. Staff's conclusion does not consider the evaluation performed in order to determine the FSL, which was outlined in the 2026 RFP and described in detail in the Closing Report. Once the pricing and non-pricing scores were developed, the first phase of the initial shortlist creation involved a ranking methodology: The ranking resulting from the sum of the non-pricing and pricing scores determined for each bid was meant to indicate the completeness and competitiveness of bids for each resource technology group. A ranking of bids within each individual technology group was also meant to ensure that like bids were assessed against one another before being compared with bids of resource types with differing physical characteristics and associated costs.'2 These technology-specific rankings were used by the Company to develop its narrowed down initial shortlist. The Company also advanced bids with pricing proposals that were viewed as more attractive than those of other bids of the same technology group. Figure 22 in the Closing Report presents the initial shortlist bids for 2026 resource-based products, identifying six different standalone BESS projects, of which the top three bidders amongst four different resource sites moved forward as the most cost-effective resources for the standalone BESS technology group. The FSL did not include other standalone BESS resources, because they were not more cost-effective than the other FSL projects. The BESS Project was the only standalone BESS resource that was more cost-effective than resources of other technology groups. While Idaho Power understands Staff's desire to compare like projects, the process discussed in the Closing Report did 12 Closing Report, page 36. IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 9 just that, resulting in the BESS Project moving forward to the FSL in place of other higher- cost battery projects. C. Idaho Power Will Justify All 2026 Resource Costs as Part of a Future Proceeding. 15. Due to their concerns verifying the BESS Project was least-cost, Staff "recommends the Commission set the future cost recovery of the BESS with cost caps.1113 Idaho Power does not believe cost caps are necessary. As explained in the Company's Application, Idaho Power is not requesting binding ratemaking treatment in this case, rather the Company's request in this case is that the Commission find Idaho Power has met the requirements of Idaho Code § 61-526 and issue an order granting a CPCN to acquire 150 MW of energy storage necessary to meet the identified capacity deficiency in 2026. The Company will make a future filing to address the cost recovery associated with these projects. It is in this future proceeding that Idaho Power will justify all costs associated with BESS Project, not just those costs over the soft cap, if any. 16. If, however, the Commission finds it necessary to implement cost caps, the Company would like to correct assertions made by Staff in support of the cost cap components. First, due to Staff's "lack of confidence of the BESS Project being the least- cost resource,1114 Staff recommends a hard cap be established on the remaining balance of system ("BOS") costs with a 5 percent contingency and the interconnection costs, "to hold the Company accountable to its cost estimate for its bid."15 As described earlier, Staff's conclusion that the BESS Project is not least-cost is unfounded. Further, implementing a hard cap on the estimated BOS and interconnection costs is 13 Staff Comments, page 6. 14 Staff Comments, page 7. 15 Id. IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 10 inappropriate. When asked to provide support for the cost estimate, Idaho Power explained that the values were simply an estimate because the bid submittal did not provide the necessary level of detail.16 Further, the support the Company provided included the BOS cost estimate, which was made up of 18 different cost categories suggesting the complexity behind the BOS work to be performed and materials to be installed. Yet, Staff recommends a hard cap on these costs indicating "there is no uncertainty with contracted material prices"17 providing no support for this assumption. In addition to material costs being only one component of the BOS costs, the material prices have not yet been contracted. Finally, Staff's assertion that "[a]ny additional costs above the hard cap could make the resource not cost-effective, therefore making the resource not least-cost"18 is simply not true. Increased BOS and interconnection costs could be offset by lower BESS equipment costs and not affecting the cost-effectiveness of a project. It is premature to recommend a hard cap on the BOS and interconnection costs that are merely estimates at this point in the procurement process. 17. In addition to proposing "a soft cap that includes the manufacturer supplied BESS equipment costs, Idaho sales tax, and AFUDC,"19 Staff's proposal is to implement a "soft cap on future augmentation costs"20 for the BESS Project. Staff is concerned the Company could continually augment its battery systems above what is needed to offset degradation outside of a traditional RFP process."21 Staff's suggestion is unsubstantiated. Augmentation is an approach to addressing the degradation of battery cells that occurs 16 Idaho Power's Response to Request for Production No. 21. 17 Staff Comments, page 7. 1s Id. 19 Id. 20 Id. 21 Staff Comments, page 6. IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 11 once a BESS is in operation. For project evaluation purposes and to ensure bids are comparable, the Company includes an annual augmentation cost through the life of all BESS projects. However, Idaho Power has not entered into battery augmentation agreements because the potential planned augmentation for the BESS Project is unknown. The time, scale, and costs of any future augmentation will require analysis of then-current operational characteristics. Augmentation is dependent on past usage including cycle counts, total megawatt-hour throughput, and longevity. Further, battery suppliers generally will not even provide firm quotes for future augmentation agreement costs because of the myriad of factors that play into potential future augmentation requirements unless a long-term agreement is executed which the Company believes is more expensive than augmentation purchases will be at the time of need. As it committed to Staff, prior to making any determination related to expenditures associated with augmentation, the Company will review the current operational capacity of each project, future identified deficits, and costs compared to alternative resources.22 Proposing any sort of cost cap on future unknown costs is inappropriate due to the myriad factors that could impact not only the cost of BESS augmentation but other components of the prudent decision-making process. 18. Finally, Idaho Power acknowledges the evaluation of the 2026 RFP bids is performed on bids that include the most up-to-date cost estimates at the time. However, it is unrealistic for Staff to conclude that developers would be "contractually held to their cost estimates.1123 With a competitive bidding process that spans nearly 15 months, excluding contract negotiation, contract execution, and material procurement, costs will 22 Response to Request for Production No. 71, Case No. IPC-E-24-07. 23 Staff Comments, page 4. IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 12 change; inflation may lead to higher costs or legislation may drive some cost components down. In fact, Staff noted in their Comments that "the Company's updated bid cost estimate was less than the initial bid's cost,"24 highlighting the changing costs of the resource bids. 19. Idaho Power does not believe cost caps are necessary. If, however, the Commission finds it necessary to implement a cost cap, the Company believes that first, only a soft cap should apply, and second, the soft cap should only apply to those costs necessary for the BESS Project to become operational on June 1, 2026, or the manufacturer supplied BESS equipment costs, Idaho sales tax, AFUDC, BOS, and interconnection costs. D. Exploration of the Value of Load Shifting is More Appropriate in a Rate Design Proceeding 20. Idaho Power appreciates CEO's comments in support of the Company's request in this case, acknowledging that "battery systems can play key roles in maintaining reliable and affordable service in the face of rapid load growth1125 and not opposing the Commission's granting of a CPCN for the BESS Project. In their Comments however, CEO asks that the Company be encouraged to further explore opportunities for demand-side load shifting in an effort to avoid procuring more expensive resources. CEO believes that with the appropriate price signals Idaho Power's incremental load growth may be served during lower-cost hours.26 Idaho Power does not disagree with CEO's suggestion that "price signals offer meaningful opportunity for a customer to save 21 Staff Comments, page 6. 25 CEO Comments, page 6. 26 Id. IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 13 money"27 but believes a proceeding in which rate design changes are considered is a more appropriate time to consider load shifting impacts, not a CPCN proceeding resulting from procurement of resources through the competitive bidding process. III. CONCLUSION 21. Idaho Power acknowledges and appreciates CEO and Staff's review of the Company's application and respectfully requests the Commission (1) accept Staff's recommendation to grant the Company a CPCN to acquire new dispatchable energy storage with 150 MW operating capacity, and (2) reject Staff's proposed establishment of cost caps, or in the alternative, implement a soft cap that only applies to those costs necessary to ensure the BESS Project is operational on June 1, 2026. DATED at Boise, Idaho this 12th day of September 2024. DONOVAN E. WALKER Attorney for Idaho Power Company 27 CEO Comments, page 1. IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 14 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY that on the 12th day of September, 2024, 1 served a true and correct copy of Idaho Power Company's Reply Comments upon the following named parties by the method indicated below, and addressed to the following: Commission Staff Hand Delivered Chris Burdin U.S. Mail Deputy Attorney General Overnight Mail Idaho Public Utilities Commission FAX 11331 W. Chinden Blvd., Bldg No. 8 FTP Site Suite 201-A (83714) X Email Chris.Burdin(a)puc.idaho.gov PO Box 83720 Boise, ID 83720-0074 Micron Technology, Inc. Hand Delivered Austin Rueschhoff U.S. Mail Thorvald A. Nelson Overnight Mail Austin W. Jensen FAX Holland & Hart LLP X Email darueschhoff(a)hollandhart.com 555 17th Street, Suite 3200 tnelson hol land hart.com Denver, CO 80202 awiensen(a)hollandhart.com aclee hollandhart.com mamcmillen(c�hollandhart.com Micron Technology, Inc. Hand Delivered Jim Swier U.S. Mail 8000 S. Federal Way Overnight Mail Boise, ID 83707 FAX X Email jswier(a�micron.com Clean Energy Opportunities for Idaho Hand Delivered Kelsey Jae U.S. Mail Law for Conscious Leadership Overnight Mail 920 N. Clover Dr. FAX Boise, ID 83703 X EMAIL Kelsey(a-)_kelseyjae.com IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 15 Courtney White Hand Delivered Mike Heckler U.S. Mail Clean Energy Opportunities for Idaho Inc. Overnight Mail 3778 Plantation River Dr., Suite 102 FAX Boise, Idaho 83703 X EMAIL Courtney(c)cleanenergyopportunities.com mike(a�_cleanenergyopportunities.com Stacy Gust, Regulatory Administrative Assistant IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S REPLY COMMENTS - 16