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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20240910Direct Testimony of Nesbitt.pdf RECEIVED Tuesday, September 10, 2024 IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION ) OF IDAHO POWER COMPANY FOR ) CASE NO. IPC-E-24-35 AUTHORITY TO FUND ITS CONTINUED ) PARTICIPATION IN THE NORTHWEST ) ENERGY EFFICIENCY ALLIANCE IN ) 2025-2029 THROUGH THE ENERGY ) EFFICIENCY RIDER. ) IDAHO POWER COMPANY DIRECT TESTIMONY OF QUENTIN NESBITT 1 Q. Please state your name, business address, and 2 present position with Idaho Power Company ("Idaho Power" or 3 "Company") . 4 A. My name is Quentin Nesbitt. My business 5 address is 1221 West Idaho Street, Boise, Idaho 83702 . I am 6 employed by Idaho Power as the Customer Relations and 7 Program Manager in the Customer Operations Department. 8 Q. Please describe your educational background. 9 A. I earned a Bachelor of Science degree in 10 Agricultural Engineering from the University of Idaho in 11 1989 and received my Professional Engineering license in 12 1992 . 13 Q. Please describe your work experience with 14 Idaho Power. 15 A. I began my employment with Idaho Power in 16 1991 as an Agricultural Representative in the Company' s 17 Energy Management Department where I was responsible for 18 providing customer service to irrigation and agricultural 19 customers . Later in 1991, I was promoted to an engineering 20 position where I provided technical support for Idaho Power 21 Agricultural Representatives . This involved Demand Side 22 Management ("DSM") program design and operation, pump 23 testing, new service requests, investigation of high bills, 24 and irrigation system evaluation and consultation. In 2002, Nesbitt, DI 2 Idaho Power Company 1 the Department was reorganized as the Customer Relations 2 Department, and I took on additional duties as the 3 Agricultural Customer Segment Advocate/Expert where I 4 coordinated Company activities that affected agricultural 5 customers . In October of 2014, I was promoted to Energy 6 Efficiency Program Leader and was responsible for 7 overseeing the Company' s Commercial and Industrial and 8 Irrigation DSM programs . In June of 2020, I became the 9 Customer Research and Analysis Leader and was responsible 10 for overseeing the Company' s analysis and reporting of all 11 DSM programs . In December of 2023, I was promoted to my 12 current position as Customer Relations and Program Manager. 13 Q. What is the purpose of your testimony in 14 this matter? 15 A. The purpose of my testimony is to describe: 16 (1) Idaho Power' s involvement with the Northwest Energy 17 Efficiency Alliance ("NEEA") , (2) how the Company evaluated 18 the cost effectiveness of participating in NEEA, (3) the 19 2025-2029 NEEA business cycle ("Cycle 7") , and (4) the 20 Company' s stakeholder engagement leading up to its decision 21 to contract to participate in Cycle 7 . 22 Q. Are you sponsoring any exhibits? 23 A. Yes . I am sponsoring the following exhibits : 24 • Exhibit No . 1 - NEEA EM&V Report Nesbitt, DI 3 Idaho Power Company 1 • Exhibit No . 2 - NEEA EM&V Report Addendum 2 • Exhibit No . 3 - NEEA 2023 Annual Savings Report 3 - Idaho Power 4 • Exhibit No . 4 - NEEA Operational Guidelines for 5 Estimating Cost Effectiveness 6 • Exhibit No . 5 - 2024-04 Idaho Power NEEA 7 Presentation to Idaho PUC Staff 8 • Exhibit No . 6 - 2024-05 Idaho Power NEEA 9 Presentation with Avista to Idaho PUC Staff 10 Q. What is Idaho Power' s request in this case? 11 A. Idaho Power requests authority to use the 12 Idaho Energy Efficiency Rider ("Rider") to fund the 13 Company' s continued participation in NEEA. 14 I . IDAHO POWER' S INVOLVEMENT WITH NEEA 15 Q. What is NEEA? 16 A. NEEA is a non-profit organization whose 17 purpose is to maximize energy efficiency in the Northwest 18 via the acceleration and adoption of energy efficient 19 products, services, and practices through market 20 transformation. NEEA is funded by several Northwest 21 utilities, l the Energy Trust of Oregon ("ETO") , and the 1 Funding utilities include Avista, Cascade Natural Gas, Chelan County Public Utility District ("PUD") , Clark Public Utilities, Idaho Power, Northwestern Energy, Northwest Natural, Pacific Power, Portland General Electric, Puget Sound Energy, Seattle City Light, Snohomish PUD, and Tacoma Power. Additional funders can be found at: https://neea.org/about-neea under "With Further Support From". Nesbitt, DI 4 Idaho Power Company 1 Bonneville Power Administration ("BPA") . This strategic 2 alliance is built around recognition that greater market 3 transformation can be achieved across Washington, Oregon, 4 Montana, and Idaho by working together rather than by 5 working as individual organizations . NEEA was established 6 in 1997, and Idaho Power has funded NEEA since the 7 organization' s inception. 8 Q. Besides providing financial support, how 9 else has the Company supported NEEA' s efforts? 10 A. The Company participates in NEEA' s 11 initiatives and coalitions, including the Commercial 12 Building Stock Assessment ("CBSA") Residential Building 13 Stock Assessment ("RBSA") and the Advanced Heat Pump 14 Coalition (`Coalition") . For both the CBSA and RBSA, Idaho 15 Power has participated in monthly work group meetings to 16 discuss and provide feedback on each studies' objectives, 17 frameworks, sampling designs, billing analysis plans, and 18 communication plans . For the Coalition, Idaho Power attends 19 regular meetings and provides input and guidance. 20 Idaho Power representatives have also provided input 21 and support by participating in the Regional Portfolio 22 Advisory Committee, Cost-Effectiveness and Evaluation 23 Advisory Committee ("CEAC") , Regional Emerging Technology 24 Advisory Committee, the Idaho Energy Code Collaborative, 25 Integrated Systems Coordinating Committee, Products Nesbitt, DI 5 Idaho Power Company 1 Coordinating Committee, and numerous working groups . I 2 currently serve on the NEEA Board of Directors and the 3 Company has had representation on the NEEA Board of 4 Directors since 1997 when NEEA began. 5 Q. What benefits do the Company' s customers 6 receive from its participation in NEEA? 7 A. NEEA provides pooled resources, market 8 research, and market engagement in participating states, 9 creating a greater likelihood that market change will be 10 regional, on a scale that manufacturers are more likely to 11 respond to, but which Idaho Power could not achieve on its 12 own. Further, the Company' s participation creates the 13 potential to allow it to influence the direction of NEEA' s 14 activities in a way that brings benefits to its customers . 15 Since Idaho Power began participating in NEEA in 16 1997 through 2023, NEEA and the Northwest utilities have 17 delivered 959 average megawatts ("aMW") of co-created 18 electric savings2 to the region as shown in Chart 1 below. 3 19 In 2023 alone, NEEA estimates that the alliance and local 20 utilities delivered almost 39 aMW of co-created energy 21 savings, approximately 78 percent of which are the result 22 of investments made during previous business cycles . 2 Co-Created (or shared) energy savings include all savings above the baseline that occur in the market due to the combined efforts of NEEA and its partners. 3 Chart reproduced from NEEA 2023 Annual Report. Available at: https://neea.org/annual-report/2023 Nesbitt, DI 6 Idaho Power Company 1 Chart 1 . Additive* Co-Created Savings (aMW) : 1997-2023 959 aMW Cycle 1&2(1997-2004, . Cycle 3(2005-2009) Cycle 4(2010-2014) Cycle 5 Cycle 6(2020-2023) — _ M M7 1996 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 20W 2005 2006 2007 2009 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2016 2019 2020 2021 2022 M3 2 * Additive energy savings are defined as the sum of new 3 first year savings occurring each year across multiple 4 years. 5 Idaho Power' s allocated portion of cumulative NEEA 6 Net Market Effects energy savings over this same time 7 period (1997 through 2023) was 471, 777 megawatt hours 8 ("MWh") or 53 . 86 aMW. Net Market Effects are savings 9 associated with market change and not counted as locally 10 incented savings or baseline savings . See Attachment 1 to 11 the Application for savings allocation by year. 12 II . INDEPENDENT EVALUATIONS, MEASUREMENTS & VERIFICATION 13 ("EM&V") REPORT 14 Q. Please explain why the Company pursued the 15 completion of an EM&V Report of NEEA. 16 A. In Case No. IPC-E-21-04 Idaho Public 17 Utilities Commission ("Commission") Staff ("Staff") raised Nesbitt, DI 7 Idaho Power Company 1 concerns that NEEA claims savings it is not directly 2 responsible for producing. To address its concerns and 3 support the continued funding of NEEA, Staff recommended an 4 independent EM&V be conducted to: " (1) clarify the savings 5 NEEA claims; (2) the allocation of those savings to its 6 member utilities : and (3) the cost-effectiveness of those 7 savings to the member utilities based on the utilities' DSM 8 avoided cost . "4 9 In Order No . 35270, the Commission noted Staff' s 10 concerns and directed the Company to address the items 11 raised by Staff and verify the accuracy of NEEA' s claimed 12 savings through an independent EM&V. The Commission further 13 directed the Company, to the extent possible, to work with 14 other Idaho electric utilities that are conducting similar 15 EM&V reports .5 Similarly, in Order No. 35129 in Avista' s6 16 prudence case, AVU-E-20-13, the Commission directed it to 17 conduct an EM&V for NEEA.? 18 Based on the Commission' s directive, Idaho Power and 19 Avista collaborated to examine NEEA claimed savings, hiring 20 a single evaluator, ADM Associates Inc. ("ADM" or 21 "Evaluator") , to complete a single EM&V on behalf of both 4 In the Matter of Idaho Power Company's Application for a Determination of 2020 Demand-Side Management Expenses as Prudently Incurred, Case No. IPC-E-21-04, Staff Comments at 10 (Aug. 2, 2021) . 5 Id. , Order No. 35270 at 9 (Dec. 27, 2021) . 6 Avista Corporation dba Avista Utilities. ' In the Matter of Avista's Applications for a Prudency Determination for its 2018-2019 Electric and Gas Energy Efficiency Expenditures, AVU- E-20-13, Order No. 35129 at 9 (Aug. 13, 2021) . Nesbitt, DI 8 Idaho Power Company 1 utilities and prepare a report with its findings . The 2 resulting EM&V Report was completed in April 2023 and is 3 provided as Exhibit No . 1 to my testimony. 4 Q. What did the Evaluator determine regarding 5 Idaho Power' s participation in NEEA? 6 A. The Evaluator found that Idaho Power' s 7 participation in NEEA is cost effective. More specifically, 8 it found that during the 2017-2021 program years the 9 Company' s Idaho customers received $73 . 2 million in 10 benefits from NEEA activity at a cost of $12 . 9 million. 11 This yielded an overall cost effectiveness of 5 . 68 from a 12 Utility Cost Test ("UCT") perspective. However, the 13 Evaluator also found that the savings are heavily reliant 14 on code efforts, and it is likely that code savings are 15 overestimated. This is because NEEA claims 100 percent 16 influence on all construction within a 10-year period after 17 any code changes go into effect within the region, without 18 consideration of a naturally occurring baseline . 19 Q. Did the Evaluator make any recommendations 20 based on its findings? 21 A. Yes . Please refer to the table on pages 12- 22 16 of Exhibit No . 2 to my testimony for a comprehensive 23 list of the Evaluator' s 18 findings and nine 24 recommendations . The recommendations included changing to a 25 service territory savings allocation methodology, Nesbitt, DI 9 Idaho Power Company 1 completing influence evaluations to verify savings 2 associated with federal standards, completing evaluations 3 for code updates to quantify NEEA' s influence, updating how 4 annual savings and costs are reported, and other updates to 5 how savings are accounted for and reported. Each of the 6 Evaluator' s recommendations ultimately influence the 7 quantification of NEEA' s cost-effectiveness . 8 Q. How has NEEA responded to the 9 recommendations from the Evaluator? 10 A. NEEA has expressed a general willingness to 11 make several of the recommended changes . In summary, NEEA 12 has indicated that it can implement the changes in 13 Recommendation Nos . 1, 2, and 4 but expects additional 14 labor costs to do so. Regarding Recommendation No. 3, Idaho 15 Power requested that going forward, NEEA rely on the 16 service territory allocation approach to report energy 17 savings for state building codes and NEEA has complied. For 18 Recommendations Nos . 5, 6, and 8, NEEA stated that there 19 are no changes necessary as these match current practices . 20 Regarding Recommendation No. 7, the Company will use net 21 market effects whenever performing cost effectiveness 22 tests . 23 Finally, for Recommendation No. 9, NEEA states that 24 it is willing to consider the recommendation but has 25 emphasized that any changes to its current approach on Nesbitt, DI 10 Idaho Power Company 1 reporting code energy savings would have to be aligned on 2 by its CEAC because the current approach of claiming one- 3 third of code savings by assuming a code life cycle of 10 4 years rather than 30 years was originally decided on by the 5 CEAC. 6 Table 1 below summarizes NEEA' s responses to each of 7 the Evaluator' s Recommendations : 8 Table 1 : Evaluator' s Recommendations and NEEA' s Response Recommendation No. Evaluator Recommendation Response Report annual savings via NEEA agreed to implement Recommendation No. 1 the service territory methodology for each measure claimed by NEEA Request annual savings NEEA agreed to implement reports to include estimates of Recommendation No. 2 administrative costs, incentive costs, and non- incentive costs by service territory NEEA work with utilities NEEA agreed to implement - to accurately produce has transitioned to report service territory-level energy savings for state Recommendation No. 3 savings and to best serve building codes using a each state's current state allocation approach regulatory environment and utility's localized concerns Track progress for each NEEA agreed to implement code change relative to administrative dollars Recommendation No. 4 spent towards state-level codes and associated energy savings accrued by each state-level code Only include measure-level No action needed; matches values in annual reports current practices for measures in which savings are claimed; continue to document each value as accurately as Recommendation No. 5 possible, and that each field is completed in the workbook to allow for year-over-year tracking of regional units, baseline units, retirement units, and unit energy savings values over time Nesbitt, DI 11 Idaho Power Company Distribute naturally No action needed; matches occurring baseline units current practices Recommendation No. 6 more equitably between local program units and total regional units In the case that cost Idaho Power agrees to use effectiveness tests are net market effects completed using NEEA- whenever performing cost Recommendation No. 7 reported savings, effectiveness tests calculate cost- effectiveness using net market effects rather than total regional savings Complete third-party No action needed; matches influence evaluations for current practices the federal standards in which energy savings are Recommendation No. 8 claimed by NEEA, as well as any federal standards in which NEEA hopes to claim savings for in the future Complete an evaluation for Willing to consider but each code update to any changes to its current estimate NEEA's approach on reporting code qualitative and energy savings would have quantitative influence to be discussed by its towards the code update, CEAC Recommendation No. 9 or, alternatively, incorporating a quantitative method for isolating incremental savings due to NEEA- specific efforts approved by a third-party evaluator 1 2 Q. Has the CEAC had the opportunity to discuss 3 Recommendation No. 9 from the EM&V Report? 4 A. Yes . At CEAC' s November 30, 2023, meeting, 5 NEEA presented the results and recommendations from the 6 EM&V Report . NEEA explained that several of the 7 recommendations could be accommodated with minimal impacts, 8 but the recommendation regarding evaluating NEEA' s 9 influence on codes required further evaluation and 10 alignment from the CEAC due to its impact on other 11 utilities in the region. 12 Nesbitt, DI 12 Idaho Power Company 1 Q. Does NEEA have a plan for addressing 2 Recommendation No . 9? 3 A. Yes . NEEA presented its proposed process and 4 timeline to follow up on this recommendation at the 5 November 2023 meeting. Figure 1 shows its proposed process 6 and timeline . 7 Figure 1 : CEAC Process & Timeline CEAC Process & Timeline 042023 Provide background and process. Nov. 30. 01 2024 Provide an overview of the work NEEA does to influence state energy codes, including how it Feb 28 compares to its work in influencing federal standards. Provide current stale of evaluation approaches used to evaluate state energy codes,federal appliance standards work, and other federal standards work. 022024 Review approach and key assumptions used In eslimatIng and reporting energy savings from state April 30 energy codes work Present draft approaches with an opportunity for discussion and feedback, including early assessment from the 3rd party evaluator. 032024 Present refined draft approaches with 3rd party evaluator assessment. Aug 28 Staff provides initial recommendation 042024 Staff provides final recommendation with Implications. Nov 4 Staff will also address if this recommendation would need to be tested before full implementation 8 The staff from NEEA has been actively working with 9 Idaho Power, CEAC, and a third-party evaluator, NMR Group, 10 Inc. , $ ("NMR") to assess influence evaluation approaches and 11 the incorporation of a quantitative method of estimating 12 influence . The Impact Evaluation method ADM referenced in 13 its EM&V report is one of the methods being assessed; this 8 NMR was hired by NEEA to perform the third-party assessment pursuant to the CEAC process and timeline set forth in Figure 1. Nesbitt, DI 13 Idaho Power Company 1 method analyzes NEEA' s market savings impacts and 2 attributes those to Idaho Power' s and Avista' s Idaho 3 service areas . More information on this method can be found 4 in section 2, Impact Evaluation Approach, in Exhibit No. 1 . 5 Q. Has the NMR offered any initial findings? 6 A. Yes . NMR presented its preliminary 7 assessment to CEAC at a July 31, 2024, meeting, where it 8 identified a number of opportunities for improving the 9 qualitative approach NEEA has historically conducted. 10 Notably, NMR recommended that NEEA stop incorporating a 11 quantitative influence score as part of its evaluations, 12 due to concerns over cost and reliability. 13 Q. Does the Company agree with NMR' s 14 recommendations? 15 A. Yes . The Company believes the changes 16 recommended by NMR in its initial assessment will increase 17 the rigor and defensibility of NEEA' s influence on code 18 advancement for each state. 19 Q. What other actions is NEEA taking to address 20 concerns related to code savings? 21 A. Notwithstanding NMR' s recommendation for 22 NEEA to exclude a quantitative influence score from its 23 influence evaluations, the staff at NEEA has committed to a 24 separate third-party review of its approach for 25 establishing and estimating baselines for its state energy Nesbitt, DI 14 Idaho Power Company 1 codes work. The role of baselines is to quantitatively 2 estimate influence from market transformation, which is 3 then used in reporting energy savings . 4 For its market transformation work, including state 5 energy codes influence, NEEA has developed two baselines : 6 (1) a pre-intervention baseline condition, and (2) an 7 estimate of what would happen in the market over time 8 without any intervention or influence. Actual market uptake 9 of a product, practice, or code changes is then compared to 10 the baselines, and savings are reported above the 11 baselines . That is, NEEA only reports energy savings above 12 the pre-intervention point and annual estimated baseline. 13 NEEA adopted this approach in recognition that markets 14 would transform eventually on their own without NEEA and 15 its partners' influence, so that NEEA can quantify the 16 savings due to that influence. Baselines are reviewed by 17 third parties for each NEEA initiative. 18 NEEA reports energy savings for code-to-code 19 advancements it has sought to influence per its logic model 20 and planned activities, in new construction only. No above- 21 code savings or savings from major renovations are 22 reported. Reported savings are 100 percent minus code 23 compliance minus the baseline (for the first 10 years of 24 the code' s implementation after a permit/start completion 25 assumption) . Nesbitt, DI 15 Idaho Power Company 1 Assumptions NEEA plans to review include but are not 2 limited to : 3 • The assumption that NEEA' s intervention in the 4 regional and national codes process accelerates 5 adoption of more efficient energy code measures by 6 10 years (approximately two code cycles) . After 10 7 years, the assumption is the energy code would have 8 advanced to the same level on its own. This means 9 that the baseline assumption goes from 0 percent to 10 100 percent over the 10-year period. 11 • The assumption that it takes approximately one year 12 from the construction start date for a commercial 13 building to be complete . 14 • The schema NEEA has developed for mapping 15 inconsistent commercial building categories across 16 relevant datasets (e.g. , Dodge Construction Network, 17 Department of Energy) . 18 • The assumption that NEEA should not track above-code 19 savings as resulting from its influence on the 20 market . 21 Q. Have other activities occurred since the 22 July 2024 CEAC meeting? 23 A. Yes . On August 28, 2024, NEEA staff 24 presented to CEAC its initial responses to the 25 recommendations based on the feedback received at the July Nesbitt, DI 16 Idaho Power Company 1 CEAC meeting. NMR' s recommendations and NEEA' s initial 2 responses are contained within Table 2 : 3 Table 2 : NEEA' s Initial Responses to NRM' s Recommendations Recommendation NMR Recommendation NEEA Response No. In Market Progress Accepts Recommendation- Evaluations ("MPERs") , proposes incorporating conduct deeper, state evaluation methodologies Overall specific qualitative that support deeper research, and collaborate qualitative assessment of with partners to improve NEEA's collaborative code outcomes influence on energy code outcomes Does not have evidence Accepts Recommendation- that NEEA should develop NEEA will continue to and apply a downward incorporate estimated adjustment factor to the code compliance rates as Supporting No. 1 co-created savings, a decrementing factor though future evaluations when calculating energy could suggest an code savings and conduct adjustment regular third-party reviews of its market baseline assumptions Create a strategy plan Accepts Recommendation- for each state and code NEEA codes team has begun cycle and integrate the the development of state plan' s development and and cycle specific Supporting No. 2 execution in Codes strategy plans to align Program Theory and Logic market intervention Model ("PTLM") activities and intended outcomes as articulated in the PTLM Use MPERs to document and Accepts Recommendation- highlight the story of NEEA intends to leverage NEEA's code work, include future code MPERs as a historical context, platform for increasingly collaborative approaches rich qualitative with co-created savings, documentation of its Supporting No. 3 and the rationales for collaborative efforts, NEEA' s chosen code NEEA Staff intends to activities, in public- include interviews or facing documents other qualitative data collection as a necessary component of future codes MPERs 4 CEAC members were generally supportive of NEEA' s 5 initial response to NMR' s recommendations . 6 Q. Is Idaho Power generally supportive of 7 NEEA' s initial responses to the NMR' s recommendations? Nesbitt, DI 17 Idaho Power Company 1 A. Yes . While Idaho Power had hoped the NMR 2 recommendation would identify how code savings would be 3 calculated, it is encouraged by NEEA' s proposed next steps . 4 Q. When does Idaho Power expect final 5 resolution on how NEEA will address Recommendation No. 9? 6 A. NEEA staff is expected to provide final 7 recommendations to the CEAC during its November 4, 2024, 8 meeting. Following that meeting, I expect the third-party 9 assessment of NEEA' s state energy codes baseline 10 methodology and key assumptions used to quantitatively 11 estimate influence will kick off in the fourth quarter of 12 2024 . The results of the third-party assessment will be 13 discussed with CEAC in the first quarter of 2025 . 14 III . IDAHO POWER' S ANALYSIS OF NEEA' S COST EFFECTIVENESS 15 Q. How does NEEA calculate savings? 16 A. In the spring of each year, NEEA sends Idaho 17 Power an annual savings report for the prior year. NEEA 18 reports savings in five ways : 19 • Total Regional Savings - estimated savings 20 associated with all market changes in the 21 Northwest . 22 • Baseline Savings - estimated savings from 23 naturally occurring market changes without 24 utility, NEEA, BPA, and ETO intervention . 25 • Local Program Savings - savings reported from Nesbitt, DI 18 Idaho Power Company 1 participating utilities, BPA, and ETO. 2 • Net Market Effects - calculated by subtracting 3 Baseline Savings and Local Program Savings from 4 Total Regional Savings . 5 • Co-Created Savings - sum of Net Market Effect 6 Savings and Local Program Savings . 7 The relationship between the type of savings is 8 reflected in Figure 2 . 9 Figure 2 : Market Transformation Approach Wr MARKET TRANSFORMATION APPROACH ACTUAL MARKET SHARE Net Market a-Co-Created Effects Savings W � Q MARKET Total = SHARE (!) BASELINE Regional f— Savings W Y Q .S years •10 years •15 years 20•years TIME 10 Q. How does NEEA calculate Idaho Power' s 11 savings? 12 A. As noted above, for the Cycle 7, NEEA will 13 determine Idaho Power' s Net Market Effect savings using the 14 service territory savings methodology. For codes, NEEA Nesbitt, DI 19 Idaho Power Company 1 models code savings rates by state and then applies savings 2 rates to Idaho Power' s share of the state residential 3 customers from the Energy Information Administration. For 4 non-codes, NEEA collects data at the state and zip code 5 level and determines the number of Net Market Effect units 6 and applies a savings rate to determine Idaho Power' s share 7 of Net Market Effect energy savings . NEEA' s data source 8 and allocation methodology are provided for each measure in 9 the final savings report, which is provided as Exhibit No. 10 3 to my testimony. 11 Q. What is NEEA' s approach to cost- 12 effectiveness? 13 A. NEEA evaluates cost effectiveness at the 14 portfolio level over a 20-year horizon. This allows for the 15 analysis to capture the full scope of the market 16 transformation investment and return on investment. Because 17 NEEA looks at the total societal impacts of transforming a 18 market, NEEA considers all incremental costs and benefits 19 of the Total Regional Savings . Finally, NEEA' s benefit 20 value in its cost-effectiveness analysis aligns with the 21 Northwest Power and Conservation Council' s current Power 22 Plan. NEEA' s cost-effectiveness guidelines can be found in 23 Exhibit No. 4 to my testimony. 24 Q. Is NEEA cost effective under this approach? 25 A. Yes . Based on the savings assumptions, the Nesbitt, DI 20 Idaho Power Company 1 levelized cost of the Cycle 7 is $0 . 014 - $0 . 019 per 2 kilowatt-hour ("kWh") as reported by NEEA compared to the 3 levelized cost estimate for a gas combined-cycle combustion 4 turbine plant of $0 . 089 per kWh9. 5 Q. How does Idaho Power' s method of assessing 6 cost-effectiveness differ from NEEA' s approach? 7 A. Under Idaho Power' s traditional cost- 8 effectiveness methodology, the Company calculates the cost- 9 effectiveness of a program or measure annually using the 10 first-year costs compared to the present value of the 11 benefits over the average measure life, obtained from a 12 third-party source, of an energy efficient technology or 13 system. Market transformation uses a longer-term look 14 because it requires high up-front investment with the 15 benefits of those investments appearing years later. 16 Q. Did the Company perform an analysis to 17 determine whether the Cycle 7 would be cost effective under 18 Idaho Power' s traditional cost-effectiveness approach? 19 A. Yes . As part of its due diligence leading up 20 to Idaho Power' s entering into the agreement to fund Cycle 21 7, the Company requested NEEA provide a 20-year, service 22 area Net Market Effects savings forecast based on NEEA' s 23 2025-2029 business plan that Idaho Power could use to 24 perform its own cost effectiveness analysis . 9 Idaho Power' s 2023 Integrated Resource Plan at 116. Nesbitt, DI 21 Idaho Power Company 1 In response, NEEA provided a high-range savings 2 forecast, which accounts for both quicker market adoption 3 of energy efficiency measures and increased economic 4 activity, and a low range savings forecast, which is NEEA' s 5 base-case forecast. Due to the uncertainty in later years, 6 the forecast provided by NEEA was for 15-years, and it did 7 not include savings from new product standards because NEEA 8 estimates these savings after the Department of Energy 9 approves the standards and a third-party evaluation of 10 influence can be completed. The result of NEEA' s cumulative 11 first-year savings for the 15-year time period is 28 . 46 aMW 12 (249, 304 MWh) under the high range forecast and 19 . 82 aMW 13 (173, 609 MWh) under the low range forecast. 14 As previously stated, under Idaho Power' s 15 traditional cost-effectiveness methodology, the Company 16 calculates the cost-effectiveness of a program or measure 17 annually using the first-year costs compared to the present 18 value of the benefits over the average measure life, 19 obtained from a third-party source, of an energy efficient 20 technology or system. Market transformation uses a long- 21 term look because it requires high up-front investment with 22 the benefits of those investments appearing years later. To 23 assess cost-effectiveness, Idaho Power used a 15-year 24 portfolio look using: 1) Idaho Power' s Cycle 7 funding 25 share for the years 2025-2029, 2) NEEA' s Cycle 7 Net Market Nesbitt, DI 22 Idaho Power Company 1 Effects energy savings forecasts for the years 2025-2039, 2 and 3) Idaho Power' s DSM avoided costs from the 2023 3 Integrated Resource Plan ("IRP") . 4 Q. Did the Company modify any assumptions based 5 on the feedback received from the Evaluator? 6 A. Yes . To address the concerns raised by the 7 Evaluator regarding the overstating of code savings, the 8 Company looked at four different scenarios as it evaluated 9 NEEA' s cost-effectiveness : (1) the low range of code and 10 voluntary savings as reported by NEEA; (2) no code savings; 11 (3) code and voluntary savings reduced by 50 percent; and 12 (4) no code savings and voluntary savings reduced by 50 13 percent . 14 Q. What were the results of Idaho Power' s cost- 15 effectiveness analysis? 16 A. Table 3 shows the cost-effectiveness results 17 for the four scenarios that were analyzed. All scenarios 18 were cost-effective with UCTs greater than 1 . 0 . 19 Table 3 : Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Results . . Avoided Costs 2025-2039 Lifetime NPV DSM Scenarios Total First Year UCT Savings (MWh) Avoided Costs Savings (MWh) Cycle 7 as reported: Low 173,609 3,079,042 $53,945,867 3.43 Range No codes 128,050 1,681,079 $36,210,755 2.30 Savings reduced by 50% 86,804 1,539,521 $26,972,934 1.71 No codes,voluntary savings 64,025 840,539 $18,105,378 1.15 reduced by 50% 20 Nesbitt, DI 23 Idaho Power Company 1 Q. Do you believe participation in NEEA' s 2025- 2 2029 business cycle will bring cost-effective energy 3 efficiency to Idaho Power' s customers . 4 A. Yes . Based on the Company' s assessment, I 5 believe NEEA will provide benefits to customers residing in 6 Idaho Power' s service area. 7 IV. 2025-2029 BUSINESS CYCLE 8 Q. How did NEEA determine the Company' s funding 9 share? 10 A. Each NEEA member' s funding percentage is 11 based upon four components : (1) a regional share of total 12 customers, (2) a regional share of energy sales, 10 (3) load 13 growth forecast for 2025-2029, and (4) a 40 percent cap on 14 increases as compared to the prior funding cycle. This 15 funding percentage calculation places a 12 . 5 percent 16 weighting on the customer component and an 87 . 5 percent 17 weighting on the energy sales component. Load growth is 18 assumed to increase at a rate of 1 percent annually. 19 Q. What is Idaho Power' s funding share for 20 Cycle 7? 21 A. Idaho Power' s funding share is 9 . 56 percent. 22 This equates to $20, 256, 217 over the five-year funding 23 cycle or approximately $4 . 1 million annually. io Based on 2021 EIA Form 861 data for retail customer and energy sales and Final Contract High Water Mark (CHWM) Contract amounts for BPA public power customers. Nesbitt, DI 24 Idaho Power Company 1 Q. What was Idaho Power' s funding share in the 2 previous 2020-2024 business cycle ("Cycle 6") ? 3 A. Idaho Power' s funding share in Cycle 6 was 4 9 .23 percent . This equated to $14, 710, 808 over the five- 5 year funding cycle or approximately $2 . 9 million annually. 6 Q. Why did Idaho Power' s level of funding 7 increase in the new cycle? 8 A. Idaho Power' s funding share increased for 9 two primary reasons : (1) its portion of the total regional 10 customers and kWh sales were higher than in previous 11 cycles, and (2) NEEA' s overall budget increased for Cycle 12 7 . 13 Q. What drove the increase to the overall 14 budget? 15 A. The overall budget increase is due to new 16 and expanded work planned in Cycle 7 including: (1) 17 increased engagement across all product groups; (2) a new 18 focus on finding opportunities in faster-moving, higher- 19 volume markets; (3) greater emphasis on efficient 20 technologies that save energy during peak load times; (4) 21 more duel-fuel opportunities; (5) research to identify 22 customer segments that are not directly benefiting from 23 market transformation activities; (6) increased investments 24 in regional stock assessments; (7) base funding for the Nesbitt, DI 25 Idaho Power Company 1 Efficiency Exchange" to ensure the event continues to be 2 held each year and remains accessible; and (8) 3 opportunities for the region to support special projects 4 outside of core business plan funding. 12 Additionally, 5 inflationary pressures have caused a need for NEEA to 6 increase funding amounts . NEEA notes that between 2018 and 7 the start of Cycle 7 in 2025, the Consumer Price Index is 8 forecasted to increase by 28 percent. To recover some of 9 the lost purchasing power, NEEA has factored estimates for 10 inflation into the Cycle 7 budget. If inflation continues 11 during Cycle 7, NEEA is committed to making additional cost 12 reductions and operational adjustments to remain within the 13 five-year fixed budget.13 14 Q. What are NEEA' s goals for Cycle 7? 15 A. NEEA' s efforts will be guided by four 16 strategic goals : (1) transform markets for energy 17 efficiency; (2) accelerate the adoption of grid-enabled 18 end-use technologies through market transformation; (3) 19 advance strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions 20 through market transformation; and (4) advance the 21 equitable delivery of energy efficiency benefits to 11 Efficiency Exchange is an annual conference that provides a forum for knowledge-sharing and networking to help regional energy efficiency professionals achieve their goals. 12 See NEEA Cycle 7 (2025-2029) Strategic & Business Plans, Exhibit A to the Agreement provided as Attachment 2 to the Application at 6. 13 Id. at 20. Nesbitt, DI 26 Idaho Power Company 1 Northwest consumers through market transformation. 14 2 Q. Have you executed an agreement with NEEA to 3 participate in Cycle 7? 4 A. Yes . The Cycle 7 Core Funding Agreement 5 ("Cycle 7 Agreement") was fully executed by Idaho Power and 6 NEEA on August 30, 2024 . The Cycle 7 Agreement can be found 7 as Attachment 2 to the Application. 8 Q. Please generally explain how the contract 9 language in the Cycle 7 Agreement compares to the agreement 10 for Cycle 6 . 11 A. The Cycle 7 Agreement is similar to the 12 agreement for Cycle 6 and includes the same general terms . 13 In addition to incorporating basic contract updates, the 14 Cycle 7 Agreement also includes other changes to improve 15 clarity, consistency, and efficiency to maximize the 16 collective work of the alliance as well as revisions to 17 better mitigate risks and strengthen protections for the 18 Company. Notably, the Cycle 7 Agreement adds robust 19 confidentiality, data security, and insurance provisions 20 with more consistency, clarity, better processes, stronger 21 protections, and more stringent requirements while 22 maintaining the negotiated safeguards from the Cycle 6 23 contract to help ensure the Company can terminate funding 24 if the Company or the Commission find that participation is i4 Id. at 5. Nesbitt, DI 27 Idaho Power Company 1 no longer advisable . 2 Q. What terms in the agreement are intended to 3 safeguard Idaho Power' s customers? 4 A. The Cycle 7 Agreement, like the Cycle 6 5 Agreement, includes provisions intended to provide 6 protections for Idaho Power' s customers that allow the 7 Company to terminate the Agreement for a variety of reasons 8 including: lack of regulatory approval, a material change 9 to NEEA' s Bylaws that the Company does not approve, or if 10 the NEEA Board of Directors finds that NEEA has made 11 insufficient progress in achieving its objectives or that 12 NEEA does not have sufficient funds to meet its objectives . 13 The agreement also has a provision that allows for the 14 Company to terminate at any time without cause with 365 15 days' notice . 16 V. STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT 17 Q. Did Idaho Power discuss the findings of the 18 EM&V Report and its plan participation in Cycle 7 with its 19 Energy Efficiency Advisory Group ("EEAG") ? 20 A. Yes, the Evaluator presented the results of 21 the EM&V Report to EEAG at the May 10, 2023, meeting and 22 the Company shared NEEA' s 2025-2029 business plan and the 23 approval process timeline at the August 17, 2023, meeting. 24 Throughout those discussions, EEAG members provided general 25 support for the Company' s continued involvement in NEEA. Nesbitt, DI 28 Idaho Power Company 1 Q. Did Idaho Power meet with Staff to discuss 2 the Company' s participation in the Cycle 7? 3 A. Yes . The Company held an initial meeting on 4 April 2, 2024, where it provided an overview of market 5 transformation and the states that participate in it, which 6 includes the states that fund NEEA (Washington, Oregon, 7 Idaho, and Montana) as well as California, Minnesota, 8 Wisconsin, Illinois, New York, and Hawaii . It then provided 9 an explanation of how market transformation differs from 10 traditional utility managed programs (resource acquisition) 11 including a comparison between how savings are quantified 12 under each model . 13 Next, the Company discussed how its energy 14 efficiency efforts differ from NEEA' s . Idaho Power focuses 15 on midstream and downstream efforts with proven savings 16 over a one-year cost effectiveness perspective. NEEA 17 focuses on upstream and midstream efforts in emerging or 18 new technologies, practices, and influences the development 19 of new codes or standards over its 20-year portfolio. 20 Additionally, the Company discussed how NEEA 21 calculates savings from its efforts and how much of those 22 savings get attributed to Idaho Power' s service area. The 23 Company reviewed the results of a cost-effectiveness 24 analysis it conducted on the 2010-2014 business cycle. 25 Finally, the Company discussed the EM&V Report and how Nesbitt, DI 29 Idaho Power Company 1 Idaho Power was addressing the recommendations provided 2 therein. 3 Throughout the meeting, Staff asked questions and 4 requested specific follow-up on several topics . 5 Q. Did the Company hold an additional meeting 6 with Staff? 7 A. Yes . The Company held a follow up meeting to 8 address and respond to Staff' s questions and requests for 9 analyses from the initial meeting. This second meeting was 10 held jointly with Avista and took place on May 30, 2024 . 11 Q. Were there outstanding issues the Company 12 committed to address? 13 A. No . Outside of the prior discussion around 14 how code savings will be calculated and claimed, there were 15 no additional items outstanding. The presentations from the 16 meetings are included as Exhibits Nos . 5 and 6 to my 17 testimony. 18 VI . CONCLUSION 19 Q. Does Idaho Power believe it is in the best 20 interest of its customers to continue to fund NEEA through 21 the next business cycle, 2025-2029? 22 A. Yes, the Company is committed to the pursuit 23 of all cost-effective energy efficiency, and it believes 24 that the energy savings occurring for its customers based 25 on NEEA' s efforts are cost effective. Further, the Company Nesbitt, DI 30 Idaho Power Company 1 believes continuing to use Rider funds for the Cycle 7 is 2 prudent . The Company will continue to document NEEA funding 3 amounts and annual savings from participation in its annual 4 DSM Report that is filed with the Commission on or before 5 March 15th of each year. Safeguards negotiated in the 6 contract with NEEA would allow the Company to terminate 7 funding for the remainder of the business cycle if the 8 Company or the Commission finds that participation is no 9 longer advisable . The Company respectfully asks that the 10 Commission approve its request for authority to use the 11 Rider to fund its continued participation in NEEA. 12 Q. Does this conclude your direct testimony in 13 this case? 14 A. Yes, it does . 15 16 17 18 Nesbitt, DI 31 Idaho Power Company a 3 / _ t / t ° _\ . ƒ © / -/ ~ / ® \ o / / / -4 / § / 0) / . \ \ / \ 0 ® w g % % e & .e t & m y C@ $ 0 \ \ / \ \ / / « ©1 / / e 04 / \ / / \ + o ® 4--) -H o B cog / / au/ m w / � ® & « B j w = c % r / r t a R $ m@ k \ \ / ^ \ / / \ j ^ § ƒ / 2 ) / / / \ ° / / Q4 } Q @ v e & / r o \ / / \ / / / / \ © . \ $ ® / ) m .,A / ) / \ © o04Z �A / \ -H / / \ � / b 44 \ { \ / 0 -P / \ n c R © \ Ol \ o / \ / ) / -H ( .ZT H H © « •H U 4-40 e Q e w t co ® @ w e 8 � x ® m I c z ¢ / / ƒ / / e ° \ m o d O � / / / \ \ � / � \/ } • ® = t •H A 4 / co / / « / * a / Cl) / / e 0 = -e \ / / f / / \ Ol \ e Q « % -P g U & o /H ± / \ •\ / « } ¥ / m / / / % / M \ / -H I -H e « e « Q o @ @ o CO -H o / / § a -H / e / o / / / / -P / / / a a o # @ e » c e c a a 2 # @ @ m m e o w G 2 v a a a a a a a a a a a a G a a BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-E-24-35 IDAHO POWER COMPANY NESBITT, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO. 1 Evaluation of NEEA Impacts Allocated to Idaho Power Company and Avista Utilities Within the State of I d a h o SUBMITTED TO: IDAHO POWER COMPANY & AVISTA UTILITIES SUBMITTED ON : APRIL 6, 2023 SUBMITTED BY: ADM ASSOCIATES, INC. ADM Associates, Inc Idaho Power Company Avista Utilities 3239 Ramos Circle 1221 W Idaho St 1411 E Mission Ave Sacramento, CA 95827 Boise, ID 83702 Spokane, WA 99202 916-363-8383 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 1 of 122 Prepared by: Melissa Kosla Heather Polonsky Hannah Lopez Adam Thomas II Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 2 of 122 Acknowledgements We would like to thank the staff at NEEA for their time and effort in contributing to the evaluation of the Idaho-specific NEEA impacts.This evaluation was conducted with regular coordination with staff at NEEA, Idaho Power Company, and Avista,who each provided quick feedback and turnaround to the requests of the evaluation team as well as open and forthright insights into the operations of their initiatives and efforts. III Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 3 of 122 Table of Contents 1 Executive Summary...........................................................................................................................12 1.1 Evaluation Objectives..................................................................................................14 1.2 NEEA Background ........................................................................................................15 1.3 Data Provided..............................................................................................................16 1.4 Findings and Recommendations .................................................................................16 2 Impact Evaluation Approach.............................................................................................................20 2.1 Activity-Specific M&V..................................................................................................23 2.2 Step 1: Database Review.............................................................................................25 2.3 Step 2: Document-Based Verification .........................................................................25 2.4 Step 3: UES Review......................................................................................................25 2.5 Step 4: Market Transformation Baseline Review........................................................26 2.6 Step 5: Staff Interviews................................................................................................26 2.7 Step 6: Cost-Effectiveness Testing...............................................................................27 3 Evaluation Results.............................................................................................................................29 3.1 Ex Ante Savings............................................................................................................31 3.2 Verified Ex Post Savings...............................................................................................39 3.3 Allocation Methodology Review..................................................................................50 3.4 Cost Effectiveness Methodology Review.....................................................................56 3.5 Utility Staff Interview Results......................................................................................58 3.6 Impact Evaluation Results ...........................................................................................65 4 Appendix A: Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative............................................................................96 4.1 Efficiency Measures.....................................................................................................96 4.2 Standards...................................................................................................................101 4.3 Codes.........................................................................................................................104 5 Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results...........................................................................................107 5.1 Efficiency Measures...................................................................................................107 5.2 Standards...................................................................................................................114 5.3 Codes.........................................................................................................................116 6 Appendix C: NEEA-Allocated Costs..................................................................................................119 7 Appendix D: Summary of Missing Values........................................................................................121 iv Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 4 of 122 List of Figures Figure 3-1: Net Market Effects....................................................................................................................29 Figure 3-2: Illustration of Naturally Occurring Market Adoption Approach...............................................29 Figure 3-3: Contributions to Ex-Ante Avista Idaho Electric Savings by Measures, Standards, and Codes.33 Figure 3-4: Contributions to Ex-Ante Idaho Power Idaho Electric Savings by Measures, Standards, and Codes...........................................................................................................................................................34 Figure 3-5: Efficiency Measure Avista Idaho Electric Savings—WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante (Funder Share)vs Ex-Post(Service Territory).............................................................................................35 Figure 3-6: Code Avista Idaho Electric Savings—WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante (Funder Share)vs Ex-Post (Service Territory) ..........................................................................................................................35 Figure 3-7: Standards Avista Idaho Electric Savings—WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante (Funder Share) vs Ex-Post (Service Territory)......................................................................................................................36 Figure 3-8: Efficiency Measure Idaho Power Idaho Electric Savings—WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante (Funder Share)vs Ex-Post(Service Territory).............................................................................................36 Figure 3-9: Code Idaho Power Idaho Electric Savings—WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante (Funder Share)vs Ex-Post (Service Territory)...........................................................................................................37 Figure 3-10: Standards Idaho Power Idaho Electric Savings—WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante (Funder Share)vs Ex-Post (Service Territory)...........................................................................................................37 Figure 3-11: Efficiency Measure Avista Idaho Gas Savings—WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante (Funder Share)vs Ex-Post (Service Territory)...........................................................................................................38 Figure 3-12: Code Avista Idaho Gas Savings—WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante (Funder Share)vs Ex- Post(Service Territory) ...............................................................................................................................39 Figure 3-13: Current NEEA Electric Funding Share by Organization...........................................................52 Figure 3-14: Example of Single-Family Code Savings Claimed by NEEA.....................................................90 v Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 5 of 122 List of Tables Table 1-1 Summary of Idaho Power ID Verified Electric Savings................................................................12 Table 1-2 Summary of Avista ID Verified Electric Savings...........................................................................12 Table 1-3 Summary of Avista ID Verified Gas Savings ................................................................................12 Table 1-4: Idaho Power Electric Idaho Overall Cost Effectiveness by Program Year..................................13 Table 1-5: Avista Electric Idaho Overall Cost Effectiveness by Program Year ............................................14 Table 1-6:Avista Gas Idaho Overall Cost Effectiveness by Program Year..................................................14 Table 2-1: Impact Evaluation Tasks by NEEA Activity.................................................................................21 Table 2-2: Summary of NEEA Initiatives......................................................................................................22 Table 2-3: Summary of NEEA Efficiency Measures by Sector.....................................................................24 Table 2-4: Summary of NEEA Codes&Standards Measures......................................................................25 Table 2-5: Summary of Staff Interviews......................................................................................................27 Table 2-6: Data Sources to Answer Research Questions............................................................................27 Table 3-1: Summary of Idaho Power Electric Idaho Ex Ante Savings..........................................................32 Table 3-2: Summary of Avista Electric Idaho Ex Ante Savings....................................................................32 Table 3-3: Summary of Avista Gas Idaho Ex Ante Savings..........................................................................32 Table 3-4: Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Program Year.................40 Table 3-5: PY2017 Summary of Idaho Power Electric Idaho Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative............40 Table 3-6: PY2018 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative............41 Table 3-7: PY2019 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative............42 Table 3-8: PY2020 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative............43 Table 3-9: PY2021 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative............44 Table 3-10: Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Program Year .........................44 Table 3-11: PY2017 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative ....................45 Table 3-12: PY2018 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative ....................46 Table 3-13: PY2019 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative ....................47 Table 3-14: PY2020 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative....................48 Table 3-15: PY2021 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative....................49 Table 3-16: Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Savings by Program Year...............................49 Table 3-17: PY2019 Summary of Avista Gas Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative ....................................50 Table 3-18: PY2020 Summary of Avista Gas Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative ....................................50 Table 3-19: PY2021 Summary of Avista Gas Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative ....................................50 vi Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 6 of 122 Table 3-20: Avista Electric Funder Share ....................................................................................................53 Table 3-21: Avista Gas Funder Share..........................................................................................................53 Table 3-22: Idaho Power Electric Funder Share..........................................................................................54 Table 3-23: Summary of Allocation Share Findings and Recommendations..............................................55 Table 3-24: NEEA and IPC/Avista Cost Effectiveness Methodology Comparison.......................................57 Table 3-25: Summary of Allocation Share Findings and Recommendations..............................................63 Table 3-26:NEEA Code Initiatives...............................................................................................................65 Table 3-27: Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by ProgramYear..............................................................................................................................................69 Table 3-28: Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Program Year.............................................................................................................................................................69 Table 3-29: Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Program Year ....................................................................................................................................................................70 Table 3-30: Idaho Power Electric Idaho Efficiency Measures Cost Effectiveness by Program Year...........71 Table 3-31:Avista Electric Idaho Efficiency Measures Cost Effectiveness by Program Year......................71 Table 3-32:Avista Gas Idaho Efficiency Measures Cost Effectiveness by Program Year............................71 Table 3-33: Summary of Efficiency Measure Findings and Recommendations..........................................72 Table 3-34: NEEA Standards Initiatives.......................................................................................................74 Table 3-35: Summary of NEEA Standards Influence Evaluations................................................................76 Table 3-36: NEEA Measure-Level Standards...............................................................................................79 Table 3-37: Idaho Power Electric Standards Ex-Ante Savings by Influence Evaluation Completion ..........79 Table 3-38: Idaho Power Electric Standards Ex-Post Savings by Influence Evaluation Completion...........80 Table 3-39:Avista Electric Standards Ex-Ante Savings by Influence Evaluation Completion.....................80 Table 3-40:Avista Electric Standards Ex-Post Savings by Influence Evaluation Completion......................80 Table 3-41: Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Program Year ....................................................................................................................................................................82 Table 3-42: Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Program Year.......82 Table 3-43: Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Program Year.............82 Table 3-44: Idaho Power Electric Idaho Standard Cost Effectiveness by Program Year.............................83 Table 3-45:Avista Electric Idaho Standard Cost Effectiveness by Program Year.......................................83 Table 3-46: Summary of Federal Standards Findings and Recommendations...........................................84 Table 3-47: NEEA Code Initiatives Claimed in 2017-2021...........................................................................85 Table 3-48: Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Program Year.....91 Table 3-49: Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Program Year...............92 vli Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 7 of 122 Table 3-50: Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Program Year.....................92 Table 3-51: Idaho Power Electric Idaho Code Cost Effectiveness by Program Year...................................93 Table 3-52:Avista Electric Idaho Code Cost Effectiveness by Program Year..............................................93 Table 3-53: Avista Gas Idaho Code Cost Effectiveness by Program Year....................................................93 Table 3-54: Summary of Code Findings and Recommendations................................................................94 Table 4-1: PY2017 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings byInitiative .................................................................................................................................................96 Table 4-2: PY2018 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings byInitiative .................................................................................................................................................97 Table 4-3: PY2019 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings byInitiative .................................................................................................................................................97 Table 4-4: PY2020 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings byInitiative .................................................................................................................................................98 Table 4-5: PY2021 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings byInitiative .................................................................................................................................................98 Table 4-6: PY2017 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative......................................................................................................................................................98 Table 4-7: PY2018 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative......................................................................................................................................................99 Table 4-8: PY2019 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative......................................................................................................................................................99 Table 4-9: PY2020 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative....................................................................................................................................................100 Table 4-10: PY2021 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative....................................................................................................................................................100 Table 4-11: PY2019 Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative....................................................................................................................................................101 Table 4-12: PY2020 Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative....................................................................................................................................................101 Table 4-13: PY2021 Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative....................................................................................................................................................101 Table 4-14: PY2017 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative....................................................................................................................................................101 Table 4-15: PY2018 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative....................................................................................................................................................102 Table 4-16: PY2019 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative....................................................................................................................................................102 vili Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 8 of 122 Table 4-17: PY2020 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative....................................................................................................................................................102 Table 4-18: PY2020 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative....................................................................................................................................................102 Table 4-19: PY2017 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative 103 Table 4-20: PY2018 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative 103 Table 4-21: PY2019 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative 103 Table 4-22: PY2020 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative 103 Table 4-23: PY2021 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative 104 Table 4-24: PY2017 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative ..................................................................................................................................................................104 Table 4-25: PY2018 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative ..................................................................................................................................................................104 Table 4-26: PY2019 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative ..................................................................................................................................................................105 Table 4-27: PY2020 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative ..................................................................................................................................................................105 Table 4-28: PY2021 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative ..................................................................................................................................................................105 Table 4-29: PY2017 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative........106 Table 4-30: PY2018 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative........106 Table 4-31: PY2019 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative........106 Table 4-32: PY2020 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative........106 Table 4-33: PY2021 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative........107 Table 4-34: PY2019 Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative..............107 Table 4-35: PY2020 Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative..............107 Table 4-36: PY2021 Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative..............107 Table 5-1: PY2017 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative .......108 Table 5-2: PY2018 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative .......108 Table 5-3: PY2019 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative .......109 Table 5-4: PY2020 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative .......109 Table 5-5: PY2021 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative .......110 Table 5-6: PY2017 Avista Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative..................110 Table 5-7: PY2018 Avista Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative..................111 Table 5-8: PY2019 Avista Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative..................111 ix Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 9 of 122 Table 5-9: PY2020 Avista Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative..................112 Table 5-10: PY2021 Avista Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative................113 Table 5-11: PY2019 Avista Gas Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative......................113 Table 5-12: PY2020 Avista Gas Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative......................113 Table 5-13: PY2021 Avista Gas Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative......................113 Table 5-14: PY2017 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative....................114 Table 5-15: PY2018 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative....................114 Table 5-16: PY2019 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative....................114 Table 5-17: PY2020 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative....................114 Table 5-18: PY2021 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative....................115 Table 5-19: PY2017 Avista Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative...............................115 Table 5-20: PY2018 Avista Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative...............................115 Table 5-21: PY2019 Avista Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative...............................115 Table 5-22: PY2020 Avista Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative...............................116 Table 5-23: PY2021 Avista Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative...............................116 Table 5-24: PY2017 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative..........................117 Table 5-25: PY2018 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative..........................117 Table 5-26: PY2019 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative..........................117 Table 5-27: PY2020 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative..........................117 Table 5-28: PY2021 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative..........................117 Table 5-29: PY2017 Avista Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative.....................................118 Table 5-30: PY2018 Avista Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative.....................................118 Table 5-31: PY2019 Avista Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative.....................................118 Table 5-32: PY2020 Avista Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative.....................................118 Table 5-33: PY2021 Avista Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative.....................................119 Table 5-34: PY2019 Avista Gas Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative...........................................119 Table 5-35: PY2020 Avista Gas Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative...........................................119 Table 5-36: PY2020 Avista Gas Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative...........................................119 Table 6-1: 2014—2019 5-Year Actual NEEA Costs....................................................................................120 Table 6-2: 2020-2022 Actual NEEA Costs..................................................................................................120 Table 7-1: Avista Electric Summary of Missing Values..............................................................................121 Table 7-2:Avista Gas Summary of Missing Values ...................................................................................121 Table 7-3: Idaho Power Electric Summary of Missing Values...................................................................122 X Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 10 of 122 XI Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 11 of 122 NEEA Impacts on IPC and Avista Within the State of Idaho 1 Executive Summary This report is a summary of the evaluation, measurement, and verification (EM&V) effort of the Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance (NEEA) activities and energy impact estimates as it relates to savings allocated to Idaho Power Company (IPC) and Avista Utilities (Avista)within the state of Idaho for the program years 2017-2021.The evaluation was administered by ADM Associates, Inc(herein referred to as the "Evaluators"). The Evaluators collected data for the evaluation through review of NEEA codes and standards methodology documents, NEEA cost-effectiveness methodology documents, previously completed NEEA measure evaluations, application of prescriptive unit energy savings (UES), annual savings reports, and collection of historical funding invoices.The Evaluators estimated the energy impacts of the energy efficiency measures and codes and standards updates through application of Regional Technical Forum (RTF) prescriptive savings, International Energy Conservation Code (IECC) simulation models, and data documented from field studies.Table 1-1 through Table 1-3 summarizes NEEA's ex-ante electric savings (aMW)for the past 5 years (2017 through 2021) for Idaho Power Company electric savings in the state of Idaho,Avista electric savings in the state of Idaho, Avista gas savings in the state of Idaho, respectively. Table 1-1 Summary of Idaho Power ID Verified Electric Savings Ex Ante Ex Post Realizatio Year aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings 2017 2.65 1.72 64.75% 2018 2.77 1.04 37.65% 2019 1.99 2.43 122.00% 2020 1.91 2.72 142.28% 2021 1.82 1.71 93.51% Total 11.15 9.61 86.23% Table 1-2 Summary of Avista ID Verified Electric Savings Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Year aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings 2017 0.60 0.31 51.19% 2018 0.57 0.36 63.33% 2019 0.43 0.50 115.22% 2020 0.41 0.48 118.44% 2021 0.39 0.40 103.32% Total 2.41 2.06 85.41% Table 1-3 Summary of Avista ID Verified Gas Savings Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Year Therms Therms Rate Savings Savings 2019 43,745 22,808 52.14% 2020 5,678 385 6.79% Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 12 of 122 Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Year Therms Therms Rate Savings Savings 2021 1 152,881 1 152,881 100.00 Total 1 202,304 1 176,074 1 87.03% During this evaluation work,the Evaluators compared service territory share to funder share allocation. The Evaluators ultimately used service territory allocation methodology to estimate total verified savings and cost-effectiveness of efforts benefitting Idaho customers within Avista's and Idaho Power's service territories, as seen in the tables above.The tables present the average megawatt hours (aMW) and Therms verified to claim within the state of Idaho for each utility.The Evaluators estimated verified savings by multiplying verified net market units,verified UES, and verified savings allocation share. The Evaluators concluded that the savings estimates for the 2017 through 2021 program years verified to be allocated to Idaho Power electric is 9.61 aMW at 86.23% realization rate.The verified Idaho electric savings for Avista during this period is 2.06 aMW at 85.41% realization rate. The verified Idaho gas savings for Avista during this period is 176,074 Therms at 87.03% realization rate. The Evaluators also conducted cost-effectiveness testing for each measure, initiative, and program year. The Evaluators summarize the overall cost-effectiveness by program year. The Evaluators found that codes and standards efforts were cost effective for all program years,with cost-benefit ratios ranging between 8 to 49.The Evaluators believe that the cost effectiveness and the savings of the code efforts are currently overestimated, due to lack of estimation of NEEA influence over code updates.The Evaluators describe this caveat in detail under the Codes section of the report. The Evaluators found that all efficiency measure efforts were not cost effective for all program years, with cost-benefit ratios ranging between 0 and 0.7.Therefore,Avista and Idaho Power funding towards NEEA remains cost effective due to codes and standards efforts. Further cost-effectiveness testing for each efficiency measure, standard, and code effort is further detailed in the results section below. Table 1-4:Idaho Power Electric Idaho Overall Cost Effectiveness by Program Year Program Year UCT Costs' UCT Benefits 2017 $2,532,792.41 $13,374,742.01 5.28 2018 $2,492,098.69 $9,900,643.72 3.97 2019 $2,491,376.81 $18,155,345.04 7.29 2020 $2,612,183.81 $20,639,160.48 7.90 2021 $2,762,562.35 $11,091,961.06 4.02 Total $12,891,014.08 $73,161,852.31 5.68 Due to carry over dollars between quarters and program years,the total annual funding amounts may not match with Idaho Power reported spend towards NEEA efforts. Executive Summary 13 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 13 of 122 Table 1-5:Avista Electric Idaho Overall Cost Effectiveness by Program Year Program Year __J 2017 $576,173 $3,040,522 5.28 2018 $566,915 $4,279,882 7.55 2019 $510,076 $5,984,066 11.73 2020 $432,580 $5,237,060 12.11 2021 $480,617 $3,408,526 7.09 Total $2,566,361 $21,950,055 8.55 Table 1-6:Avista Gas Idaho Overall Cost Effectiveness by Program Year 2019 $154,261 $315,142 2.04 2020 $139,208 $6,048 0.04 2021 $157,375 $2,491,877 15.83 Total $450,844 $2,813,068 6.24 As seen in the tables above, NEEA efforts by program year remained cost-effective using the Idaho Power and Avista avoided costs and updated verified Ex Post savings to demonstrate savings and cost- effectiveness in their respective Idaho service territories. 1.1 Evaluation Objectives The Evaluators identified the following research objectives for the energy efficiency and codes and standards impact evaluations as it pertains to IPC and Avista within the state of Idaho: 1. Verify and validate the energy and demand (kWh, Therms) impacts attributable to NEEA activities taking the following into account: a. The savings calculation methodologies NEEA employs for claiming savings b. The allocation method of those savings to IPC And Avista c. The cost-effectiveness of those savings for IPC and Avista; 2. Interview NEEA, IPC, and Avista staff to understand the NEEA savings methodology, NEEA baseline creation for market transformation and energy saving impacts of NEEA efforts; 2 Due to carry over dollars between quarters and program years,the total annual funding amounts may not match with Avista reported spend towards NEEA efforts. 3 Due to carry over dollars between quarters and program years,the total annual funding amounts may not match with Avista reported spend towards NEEA efforts. Executive Summary 14 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 14 of 122 3. Report findings and observations. Make recommendations as applicable; 4. Review and comment on NEEA assumptions and methods for determining and calculating savings; 5. Review and verify the methodologies and claimed energy impacts that are attributable to IPC and Avista; and, 6. Complete reviews and verify calculations with 90/10 confidence and precision, where applicable 7. If applicable, propose alternate methods that would result in more accurately quantified and allocated savings. This evaluation was requested from Idaho Power and Avista staff due to the Idaho Public Utilities Commission (IPUC or Commission) Order Number 35270 in case IPC-E-21-04 and Order Number 35129 in AVU-E-20-13/AVU-G-20-08.The Evaluators cite language from Order Number 35270 for which similar language was used in Order Number 35129: "The Commission notes Staffs concern with NEEA claimed energy savings and directs the Company to conduct an independent EM&V to clarify the NEEA claimed savings. We agree it is concerning for NEEA to claim savings from electrical codes in jurisdictions outside of Idaho. We direct the Company to verify the accuracy of these claimed savings through an independent EM&V. If the savings from interjurisdictional codes and standards cannot be verified, then the method for claiming NEEA savings should be adjusted to remove non-Idaho electrical code savings. If NEEA is no longer cost-effective after an independent EM&V is conducted, the Company should reexamine its continued participation. (IPUC Order Nos. 35129 and 35270) To the extent possible, the Company may work with other Idaho regulated electric utilities that are conducting a similar EM&V to examine NEEA claimed savings."(IPUC Order No. 35270) 1.2 NEEA Background NEEA was established in 1997 by the energy efficiency community in Idaho, Oregon, Washington, and Montana. NEEA operates on the philosophy that the region can accomplish more energy savings than that of the sum of its individual organizations.The alliance works at a regional and national level to influence the supply chain and increase the market's ability to deliver energy efficiency at a larger scale. NEEA claims savings for three types of programs: 1. Efficiency measures 2. Federal standards 3. Building codes The methodology for calculating net market effects differs between each of the above program types. NEEA completes efforts for each of the above program types throughout the Northwest region to garner regional savings that benefit all utilities and customers throughout.This involves training and education for contractors, outreach, collaboration with large manufacturers and market actors, and maintaining an overall involvement in standards and codes updates to ensure maximum energy efficiency potential is reached. Executive Summary 15 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 15 of 122 NEEA plays a large and significant role in energy efficiency within the Northwest. Its contributions have amounted to large energy efficiency savings across the region. The goal of this evaluation work is to determine the energy efficiency benefits are benefitting Idaho customers directly. Although NEEA's work contributes to the entire region, how much of those savings are accrued within Idaho and how much of those savings affect the local Idaho grid? The Evaluators' approached this project with those questions in mind as they verified energy efficiency savings attributable within the state of Idaho to each Avista and Idaho Power. 1.3 Data Provided The Evaluators requested and received the following documentation from NEEA to facilitate this evaluation work: ■ Allocation methodology documentation ■ Cost effectiveness documentation ■ 2017-2021 invoices for Avista electric,Avista gas, and Idaho Power electric ■ 2017-2021 annual savings reports for Avista electric,Avista gas, and Idaho Power electric ■ Idaho codes documentation, codes contracts completed, market progress evaluation reports, and logic models ■ Consumer products, HVAC,water heating, next step homes, and federal standards UES methodology documentation ■ Federal standards influence evaluation reports 1.4 Findings and Recommendations The Evaluators offer the following findings and recommendations for the evaluation of NEEA efforts in Idaho. 1.4.1 Findings ■ Overall,the Evaluators found that contribution to NEEA efforts for standards, and codes remained cost-effective across program years 2017 through 2021, with cost-benefit ratios ranging between 11.92 to 167.66, with the exception of one codes program in Avista Gas. However,the Evaluators found that all efficiency measure efforts were not cost effective for all program years,with cost-benefit ratios ranging between 0.0 and 0.7. Using the service territory methodology, measures and codes had overestimated savings accrued out-of-state and had underestimated savings accrued within Idaho. The Evaluators estimated savings using service territory allocation methodology, which led to realization rates for individual measures under 100%and over 100%; however,the overall effect of this change revealed NEEA efforts remained cost-effective for each Idaho Power electric,Avista electric, and Avista gas due to codes and standards savings. General Findings Executive Summary 16 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 16 of 122 ■ Finding#1: Utilities that fund NEEA can choose whether savings are reported by allocation share methodology or service territory methodology. The allocation share methodology overrepresents out-of-state and out-of-service territory savings across measures, codes, and standards while simultaneously underrepresenting in-state and in-service-territory savings across measures, codes, and standards. However,the service territory methodology accurately represents benefits directed to Avista and Idaho Power customers within the state of Idaho. ■ Finding#2:The data NEEA utilizes to estimate net market savings is available at resolutions that allow NEEA to estimate precise savings for each utility service territory. ■ Finding#3:The Evaluators found that the methodology in which savings were estimated across measures were inconsistent. For some measures, service territory methodology was used, and for others,funder share allocation methodology was used. ■ Finding#4: NEEA prioritizes cost-effective savings in terms of regional benefit.Therefore, savings and cost-effectiveness are distributed across the region evenly, despite observed distribution of savings across states.Although this philosophy has merit, more precise estimates of utility-level and program-level savings help NEEA's stakeholders relay relevant savings and cost-effectiveness results to their respective regulatory commissions.This remains critical, due to some state-level commission orders to pursue all cost-effective energy efficiency efforts. ■ Finding#5:The interviews revealed that although the three parties fundamentally want to improve energy efficiency and increase market adoption of emerging technologies, their preferred approaches to this shared goal vary. Unlike the utilities, who strive to demonstrate the cost-effectiveness of their initiatives and investments on an annual or bi-annual cycle, NEEA operates on a five-year funding cycle, which is different than the typical annual or biannual utility planning cycle. ■ Finding#6: NEEA's programs are designed with a broader constituency in mind than that of its member utilities. While the Idaho utilities' programs are targeted to produce benefits for their ratepayers,—NEEA is tasked with developing programs that need to consider what is best for the entire four-state region. At its core, NEEA's ethos assumes that changes made in one state will eventually spillover into another state and that in the long run, regional change will be realized. ■ Finding#7: NEEA currently allocates code savings via funder share methodology,which estimates a proportion of total NEEA funding to each utility based on number of electric retail customers and overall load.Therefore,savings from code adoption in other states are in-part assigned to Idaho.The Evaluators found that out-of-state code building savings are currently being attributed to Idaho utilities. The Evaluators are skeptical that spillover from out-of-state code changes result in energy savings within the state of Idaho.Although the barriers to code adoption from one state to the next may be similar,there is no evidence to suggest that these learnings transfer to observable and measurable savings. NEEA has stated that starting in 2022, code savings will be allocated via service territory allocation. ■ Finding#8:The NEEA Cost Effectiveness Advisory Committee (CEAC) meets quarterly with the NEEA objectives to provide space for discussion around results of recently completed Executive Summary 17 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 17 of 122 evaluation, progress of field studies, relevant updates to programs, and acceptance or questioning of NEEA methodology towards calculation of savings. Efficiency Measure Findings ■ Finding#9:The Evaluators estimated verified Ex Post aMW for the efficiency measures to display 39%, 52%, and 0% realization rates for Idaho Power electric,Avista electric, and Avista gas savings within the state of Idaho, respectively.The difference in claimed savings and verified savings is due to the change to using service territory allocation rather than funder share allocation.The efficiency measures category Ex Ante savings included savings for measures completed in Washington, Oregon, and Montana—therefore,for some measures,the funder share allocation methodology underestimated Idaho-specific savings while others overestimated out-of-state savings.The overall effect of this change resulted in a lower than 100% realization rate. ■ Finding#10:The database review revealed that a variety of fields (measure life, UES)were empty across measure types due to lack of savings claimed for the measure, which made verification of values difficult and complicates tracking of a measure progress over time. ■ Finding#11:The database review revealed that NEEA's current method for distribution of modeled naturally occurring baseline units between local program and NEEA efforts is not reasonable.A portion of energy efficient technology sales are due to naturally occurring baseline. NEEA nets out modeled naturally occurring baseline in order to avoid claiming savings for units that would have been sold had no program or NEEA-effort been provided within the market. However,the method in which these baseline units are netted out is not distributed equitably. For some measures, NEEA estimates that a large proportion of local program units are baseline, and therefore a larger proportion of the remaining net market effects is assigned to NEEA efforts.The Evaluators raise concern for this assumption, as it is unlikely locally incentivized, rebated measures display the same free ridership as non-incentivized measures in the region. ■ Finding#12:The Evaluators reviewed the utilized UES via the Regional Technical Forum (RTF) workbooks,field study data, and simulation analysis findings and note no large concerns with NEEA UES methodology or market baseline assumptions. ■ Finding#13:The Evaluators found that NEEA calculates cost-effectiveness of its portfolio using the total regional savings rather than the net market effects.The Evaluators determined that this methodology raises concern, and the NEEA cost-effectiveness tests currently account for all measure, standard, and code completions across the entire region, effectively double counting local program savings and simultaneously claiming naturally occurring baseline savings. Because Avista and Idaho Power calculate their own internal cost effectiveness tests,this finding does not impact Idaho Power or Avista reporting. However,the Evaluators highlight this finding, as NEEA savings allocation and cost allocation methods are not currently consistent with regulatory requirements. Standards Findings Executive Summary 18 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 18 of 122 ■ Finding#14:The Evaluators estimated verified Ex Post aMW for the standards efforts to display 34% and 50% realization rates for Idaho Power electric and Avista electric within the state of Idaho, respectively.Avista gas did not claim any savings for standards.The difference between claimed savings and verified savings is due to the change to using service territory allocation rather than funder share allocation. A minor cause of discrepancy is due to corrected baseline units using influence evaluation values. ■ Finding#15: NEEA contracts third-party evaluators to conduct "influence evaluations"for each standard,which summarizes NEEA's overall qualitative and quantitative influence towards federal standards updates. NEEA uses the quantitative assessment as an estimate of federal standards naturally occurring baseline.The Evaluators found that some of these influence scores were not integrated properly to estimate baseline units.The Evaluators also found more than half(13 of 25)federal standard measures lack influence evaluations. Code Findings ■ Finding#16:The Evaluators estimated verified Ex Post aMW for the code efforts to display 137%, 125%, and 87% realization rates for Idaho Power electric,Avista electric, and Avista gas savings within the state of Idaho, respectively. The difference between claimed savings and verified savings is due to the change to using service territory allocation rather than funder share allocation. Overall,the funder share allocation underestimated Idaho-specific code savings using the current NEEA policy of claiming 100%code after code is implemented. ■ Finding#17: Currently, NEEA does not complete third-party evaluations of NEEA"influence" towards codes updates as is currently done for federal standards updates.Therefore, NEEA currently claims 100%savings for code-built homes. As summarized in the standards influence evaluations summarized in Table 3-35, NEEA influence towards standards ranges between 2.6% and 61%. If codes are evaluated similarly, and portray a similar range of influence, NEEA code savings could be significantly overrepresenting savings. NEEA's current policy is to report 100% of code-built residential and commercial building savings (while integrating compliance rates) for 10 years after the effective code update date. Currently, NEEA does not maintain a model to estimate naturally occurring baseline over time, as it does for its energy efficiency measures. Essentially,the current NEEA methodology assumes that there would be a 10-year lag in current residential and commercial building code if NEEA did not participate in code update efforts. ■ Finding#18:The Evaluators reviewed simulation model methodology used by NEEA to estimate code savings and found that UES methodology for code savings do not present any concerns. 1.4.2 Recommendations ■ Recommendation#1:The Evaluators recommend Avista and Idaho Power request NEEA to report annual savings via the service territory methodology for each measure claimed by NEEA for each Idaho Power electric,Avista electric, and Avista gas. (Based on Finding#1, #2,#3) Executive Summary 19 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 19 of 122 ■ Recommendation#2:The Evaluators recommend that Avista and Idaho Power request annual savings reports to include estimates of administrative costs, incentive costs, and non-incentive costs by service territory.This will allow each utility to calculate more accurate cost- effectiveness tests for each initiative to determine whether extension of funding is a viable option within each utility's regulatory environment. (Based on Finding#4) ■ Recommendation#3:The Evaluators recommend that NEEA work with utilities to accurately produce service territory-level savings and to best serve each state's current regulatory environment and utility's localized concerns. (Based on Finding#5) ■ Recommendation#4:The Evaluators recommend that NEEA track progress for each code change relative to administrative dollars spent towards state-level codes and associated energy savings accrued by each state-level code. With the 20-year market transformation in mind,the service-territory-level savings will still accrue over the 20-year horizon, however, using this methodology, actual market transformation effects of co-created savings will be more accurately tracked. (Based on Finding#6,#7) ■ Recommendation#5:The Evaluators recommend that measure-level values are detailed as accurately as possible, and that each field is completed in the workbook to allow for year-over- year tracking of regional units, baseline units, retirement units, and unit energy savings values over time. (Based on Finding#10) ■ Recommendation#6 The Evaluators recommend that NEEA distribute naturally occurring baseline units more equitable between local program units and total regional units. (Based on Finding#11) ■ Recommendation#7: In the case that cost effectiveness tests are completed using NEEA- reported savings, the Evaluators recommend that Avista and Idaho Power calculate cost- effectiveness using net market effects rather than total regional savings, as is consistent with current regulatory requirements to report gross savings that would not have occurred without program intervention. (Based on Finding#13) ■ Recommendation#8:The Evaluators recommend that third-party evaluations are completed for the federal standards claimed by NEEA, as well as any federal standards in which NEEA hopes to claim savings for in the future. Using the quantitative estimate of NEEA influence,the Evaluators recommend that NEEA calculate a naturally occurring baseline for each standard. (Based on Finding#15) ■ Recommendation#9:The Evaluators recommend an evaluation is completed for each code update to estimate NEEA's qualitative and quantitative influence towards the code update. (Based on Finding#17) 2 Impact Evaluation Approach The primary objective of the impact evaluation was to determine ex-post verified net energy savings. This section describes the impact evaluation activities that performed for the evaluation of NEEA's net market savings impacts attributed to Idaho service territory as well as the partition of those Idaho Impact Evaluation Approach 20 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 20 of 122 savings to IPC and Avista, respectively.The Evaluators summarize the general approach to validate the energy and demand impacts attributable to NEEA activities in relation to savings calculation methodologies for claiming energy savings, allocation of those savings to IPC and Avista, and cost- effectiveness of those savings for IPC and Avista. The Evaluators used the following approaches to review and validate NEEA's energy savings assumptions associated with the efficiency measures, market transformation, and codes and standards efforts employed by NEEA. Each of these approaches are in accordance with the protocols defined by the International Performance Measurement and Verification Protocols (IPMVP) and the Uniform Methods Project(UMP).Table 2-1 summarizes the impact evaluation activities by initiative. Table 2-1:Impact Evaluation Tasks by NEEA Activity Initiative Database Document Electric/Gas Impact Review Verif. Methodology Efficiency measures ✓ ✓ Deemed Savings/ Codes and standards ✓ ✓ Engineering Algorithms The M&V methodologies are activity-specific and determined by ex-ante methodology as well as relative contribution of a given activity to NEEA's overall energy efficiency impacts.The Evaluators reviewed relevant information on infrastructure,framework, and guidelines set out for EM&V work in several guidebook documents that have been published over the past several years.These included the following: ■ Northwest Power& Conservation Council Regional Technical Forum (RTF) ■ Workpapers of previous NEEA measure savings estimate evaluations ■ National Renewable Energy Laboratory(NREL), United States Department of Energy (DOE)The Uniform Methods Project(UMP): Methods for Determining Energy Efficiency Savings for Specific Measures, April 20134 ■ International Performance Measurement and Verification Protocol (IPMVP) maintained by the Efficiency Valuation Organization (EVO)with sponsorship by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)s All components of the data collection and analysis are available to stakeholders and will remain available through prudence review and investigation as required by the Idaho Public Utilities 4 Notably,The Uniform Methods Project(UMP)includes the following chapters authored by ADM.Chapter 9(Metering Cross- Cutting Protocols)was authored by Dan Mort and Chapter 15(Commercial New Construction Protocol)was Authored by Steven Keates. s Core Concepts: International Measurement and Verification Protocol.EVO 100000—1:2016,October 2016. Impact Evaluation Approach 21 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 21 of 122 Commission subsequent to the evaluation period. Table 2-2 summarizes the measures, codes, and standards implemented by and claimed by NEEA between the 5-year period of 2017 through 2021. Table 2-2:Summary of NEEA Initiatives 1 F measure, Electric or Sector InitiatiZ Standard, Gas orCode Agriculture Other Non-Residential Standards Standard Electric Building Operator Certification Expansion Measure Electric Commercial Code Enhancement Code Electric Commissioning Buildings Measure Electric Condensing Rooftop Units Measure Electric Desktop Power Supplies Measure Electric Efficient Rooftop Units Measure Gas Extended Motor Products Measure Electric Commercial Luminaire Level Lighting Controls Measure Electric Other Codes(Commercial) Code Electric/Gas Other Non-Residential Standards Standard Electric Other Strategic Energy Management Measure Electric Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement Measure Electric Window Attachments Measure Electric XMP Pumps Measure Electric Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES) Measure Electric Commissioning Buildings Measure Electric Industrial Drive Power Measure Electric Other Non-Residential Standards Standard Electric Other Strategic Energy Management Measure Electric Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement Measure Electric Ductless Heat Pumps Measure Electric Efficient Gas Water Heater Measure Gas Efficient Homes Code Electric Extended Motor Products Measure Electric Heat Pump Water Heaters Measure Electric Manufactured Homes Measure Electric Next Step Homes Measure Electric/Gas Residential Other Codes(Multifamily) Code Electric Other Residential Standards Standard Electric Residential Lighting Measure Electric Residential New Construction Code Electric Residential New Construction/Next Step Homes Measure Electric/Gas Retail Product Portfolio Measure Electric Super-Efficient Dryers Measure Electric Televisions Measure Electric XMP Pumps Measure Electric Impact Evaluation Approach 22 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 22 of 122 The Evaluators estimated savings for each of the initiatives listed in the table above by verifying total regional units,total local program units,total baseline units, and total retirement units are incorporated correctly, in addition to measure LIES values. Once the net market units and LIES values were verified, the Evaluators then verified that the most reasonable methods for allocating savings to the Idaho and utility service territory are incorporated to estimate savings for each Avista and IPC service territories. 2.1 Activity-Specific M&V In this section,the Evaluators detail our evaluation activities to evaluate the following activities that result in energy impact savings from NEEA in Idaho: ■ Efficiency Measures ■ Standards ■ Codes 2.1.1 Efficiency Measures NEEA offers a variety of energy efficiency measures to residential and nonresidential customers in the Northwest region by working with manufacturers and retailers to lower barriers for customers to purchase and install energy efficiency measures.This effort allows NEEA the ability to identify opportunities to increase the overall efficiency of entire product categories, such as air conditioners, furnaces, and clothes washers and dryers. For the purpose of this report,we refer to the energy efficiency measures and the energy savings claimed through each of these measures in the ESRPP and measure initiatives as: "Efficiency Measures". One of the main objectives of this evaluation is to review and verify NEEA's methodology for claiming energy and demand savings through the efficiency measures offered through various NEEA efforts.The Evaluators presents the following measure list for this activity in the table below. Impact Evaluation Approach 23 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 23 of 122 Table 2-3:Summary of NEEA Efficiency Measures by Sector Sector Building Operator Certification Expansion Commissioning Buildings Condensing Rooftop Units Desktop Power Supplies Efficient Rooftop Units Commercial Extended Motor Products Luminaire Level Lighting Controls Other Strategic Energy Management Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement Window Attachments XMP Pumps Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES) Commissioning Buildings Industrial Drive Power Other Strategic Energy Management Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement Ductless Heat Pumps Efficient Gas Water Heater Extended Motor Products Heat Pump Water Heaters Manufactured Homes Residential Next Step Homes Residential Lighting Residential New Construction/Next Step Homes Retail Product Portfolio Super-Efficient Dryers Televisions XMP Pumps The Evaluators summarize the initiative-specific and measure-specific impact analysis activities and requirements for the Efficiency Measures in the section below. 2.1.2 Codes and Standards NEEA has supported code activities in the Northwest states since its founding in 1997, principally by funding staff positions or organizations responsible for code adoption and education. NEEA's goals with these efforts are to encourage the adoption of more stringent residential and nonresidential energy codes and to improve energy code program adherence and effectiveness. Energy codes function to lock into place energy efficiency measures that are commonly used within the building construction industry.This occurs by eliminating the option of having an efficiency less than that mandated by code for newly constructed buildings.This can effectively produce significant energy savings even when the code minimum is set at the market average efficiency by eliminating the option to install less-than-average efficient products still in the marketplace today. Impact Evaluation Approach 24 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 24 of 122 One of the main objectives of this evaluation is to review NEEA's impact on adopted code and the associated claimed energy savings allocated by NEEA towards NEEA's energy codes and standards efforts, and furthermore,to verify the allocation of those estimated savings to each IPC and Avista. Table 2-4:Summary of NEEA Codes&Standards Measures Initiative Commercial Code Enhancement Other Codes(Commercial) Code Efficient Homes Other Codes(Multifamily) Residential New Construction Other Non-Residential Standards—Commercial Standard Other Non-Residential Standards—Industrial Other Non-Residential Standards—Agricultural Other Residential Standards The following sections detail the impact methods used for each of the codes and standards NEEA has implemented and in which NEEA claims energy efficiency savings. 2.2 Step 1: Database Review Before conducting each impact analysis, the Evaluators conducted a database review for each of the measures.The Evaluators requested all available program tracking data from NEEA that pertains to the 2017 through 2021 program years and consolidated these datasets into one consistently formatted summary of NEEA's efforts and initiative impacts. This exists as a unified dataset with indicator variables for calendar year and for applicability to Avista, IPC, or both utilities. This dataset was then reviewed thoroughly to identify and address any inconsistencies in formatting, data entry,formula entry, and functionality. 2.3 Step 2: Document-Based Verification This section describes the Evaluator's general methodology for conducting document-based verification for NEEA's initiatives in which energy efficiency savings are achieved and quantified. Documentation for this task will include documented measure specifications, UES workbooks, whitepapers,testing procedures, previous evaluations, logic models, and presentations that communicate details used to estimate Idaho-level savings for each measure. In the case that the Evaluators found any deviations between the sales data, model qualifications, UES values, engineering algorithms, or assumed input values,the Evaluators noted and summarize these differences in the aggregated workbooks. 2.4 Step 3: UES Review To facilitate our review of savings calculations,the Evaluators reviewed and documented whether(1) NEEA's methodology used for the calculation was appropriate, (2) NEEA's assumptions used were reasonable and appropriate, and (3) NEEA's savings calculations were completed correctly. With these Impact Evaluation Approach 25 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 25 of 122 findings,the Evaluators report observations as well as make recommendations to revise such methodologies. The Evaluators employed the following approaches to complete impact evaluation activities for reviewing and evaluating NEEA estimated energy savings: ■ Deemed Savings ■ Engineering Algorithms The Evaluators did not explore simulation model analysis or billing analysis, as reliable deemed savings estimates, field data, and technical reference manuals were readily available to verify savings estimates used in NEEA's analysis. In the following sections,we summarize the general guidelines and activities the Evaluators followed while conducting each of the above analyses. 2.5 Step 4: Market Transformation Baseline Review One of the main objectives of this evaluation is to review and verify NEEA's methodology for baseline creation for NEEA's market transformation and energy savings impact efforts.The Evaluators interviewed NEEA staff to gain further context on the documentation, procedures, and assumptions used during baseline creation, and second, review such documentation and the application of the assumed values to each measure in which a market transformation baseline is created. The Evaluators also reviewed, in detail, documentation, previous evaluations, and whitepapers,for each to gather more understanding of how NEEA calculates naturally occurring baseline for each of its measures, codes, and standards. NEEA's product baselines represent the market share of qualified products that would exist at a given time in absence of NEEA's intervention in the market. NEEA develops baseline curves or forecasts to anticipate the proportions each qualified product market share will naturally occur long-term by employing available market data and assumptions. 2.6 Step 5: Staff Interviews The Evaluators conducted thorough interviews with NEEA, IPC, and Avista staff to further understand the NEEA savings methodology for estimating measure and codes impact savings and the methodology and assumptions in creating the NEEA baseline for market transformation. As detailed below,the staff interviews addressed all the objectives identified in the RFP. The following subsections present overviews of our approach to staff interviews,followed by information on how we identified and answered important research questions, how we approached data collection, and how we implemented these interviews. Table 2-5 summarizes our data collection approaches for each initiative. Impact Evaluation Approach 26 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 26 of 122 Table 2-5:Summary of Staff Interviews Initiative Staff/Implementers j Measures ■ 4 NEEA staff ■ 2 IPC staff Codes and Standards ■ 2 Avista staff The Evaluators used the various information sources—program documentation review and staff interviews to provide convergent information to address the identified research questions. We made effective use of each source by identifying which sources will provide the most applicable information to each question, as shown in Table 2-6. Table 2-6: Data Sources to Answer Research Questions Process Evaluation Research Question Are initiatives run per design and efficiently/effectively? ✓ ✓ Is staffing/organization sufficient and appropriate? ✓ ✓ What is the methodology for allocating co-created energy savings to Idaho ✓ ✓ Power Company,Avista,and other utilities in Idaho? Are the methodologies employed for calculating and allocating savings ✓ ✓ documented and followed consistently across measures and initiatives? What is the basis of the assumptions used in each the calculating and ✓ ✓ allocation of savings across measures and initiatives? What is the methodology for NEEA's baseline creation for market ✓ ✓ transformation and energy savings impacts of NEEA's efforts? Are the baseline creation methodologies followed consistently across ✓ ✓ initiatives and measures? How has cost-effectiveness changed over the past years and why? ✓ ✓ Are quality assurance procedures appropriate and effective? ✓ ✓ Are management and implementation tools appropriate and effective? ✓ ✓ Are program materials effective and complete? ✓ ✓ 2.7 Step 6: Cost-Effectiveness Testing Finally, the Evaluators calculated each utility's cost-effectiveness, avoided energy costs, and implementation costs. We used our in-house-developed cost-effectiveness tool to provide cost- effectiveness assessments for the IPC and Avista Portfolios by NEEA energy savings activity. NEEA calculated cost effectiveness for the NEEA portfolio using avoided costs from the 71h Power Plan, a least- cost power plan for the Pacific Northwest created by the Northwest Power and Conservation Council and updated approximately every 6 to 7 years. Impact Evaluation Approach 27 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 27 of 122 However,the Evaluators calculate cost-effectiveness assessments for this evaluation work using Idaho Power's and Avista's specific avoided cost relevant to each program year. As Idaho utilizes the Utility Cost Test (UCT)to evaluate a program,the Evaluators determined the economic performance with UCT. This test assists with identifying avenues to improve cost- effectiveness, such as adjustments to measure incentive levels, administration spending, or adjustment to program offerings. Cost-effectiveness workbooks were built "ground-up", at the highest granularity level supported by the program data.The Evaluators calculated cost effectiveness at the measure-level, which was then aggregated to initiative-and portfolio-level values.This allows IPC and Avista to address individual NEEA offerings and potentially select lower-performing initiatives to consider for funding reductions or reallocations. Impact Evaluation Approach 28 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 28 of 122 NEEA Impacts on IPC and Avista Within the State of Idaho 3 Evaluation Results This section provides the results of the overall impact evaluation, as well as the results between efficiency measures and codes and standards measures.The Evaluators calculated the verified electric and natural gas savings estimated to reasonably claim as NEEA net market effects within the state of Idaho for each Avista and Idaho Power. Net market effects are summarized by NEEA in the following figure: Figure 3-1:Net Market Effects' ProgramNet Market Effects Total Regional Local Occurring Savings Savings Baseline Savings Market transformation is achieved through removing barriers from consumers, manufacturers, and the market so that consumers adopt these technologies at a faster pace than without these efforts.The following figure displays the philosophy behind NEEA's market transformation progress. Figure 3-2:Illustration of Naturally Occurring Market Adoption Approach' 100% 90% Market so% Transformation 70% - 1c0 60% C 1 N 50% O - 40% O �0 30% 20% - - - 10% 0% 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 —Total Market —Naturally Occumng Baseline The Evaluators outline NEEA's general Ex Ante savings methodology steps as the following: 6 NEEA Operational Guidelines for Estimating Electric Energy Savings, 2022. 7 NEEA Operational Guidelines for Estimating Electric Energy Savings, 2022. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 29 of 122 1. Total regional units are quantified using regional program and sales data 2. Local program units are quantified using local program data 3. Baseline units are quantified using market transformation baseline models 4. Retired units are quantified using market transformation baseline models 5. Net market units for the Pacific Northwest region are calculated using the above inputs 6. Net market units for the funding utility are allocated using service territory or funder share allocation methodology 7. Claimable net savings allocated to funding utilities are calculated by multiplying net market units by the measure-level LIES The Evaluators outline the above steps in each of the equations detailed below. Each equation input listed below were reviewed by the Evaluators to confirm that the estimates are reasonable for current use.The Evaluators also identify opportunities to improve estimates using currently available data. NEEA calculates net market units to represent energy efficiency upgrades that would not have occurred without NEEA intervention in the Northwest. Net market units are calculated in a way that nets out upgrades completed due to local program intervention, upgrades completed due to naturally occurring baseline, and units estimated to retire.The net market units are calculated for each individual measure as follows: Equation 3-1:Regional Net Market Units Net Market UnitsNorthwest Region = Total Regional UnitsNorthwestRegion — Local Program UnitsNorthwest Region — Baseline UnitsNorthwest Region — Retirement UnitsNorthwest Region Where, Total Regional Units =The total number of measures installed within the northwest region (Idaho, Montana, Oregon, and Washington) Local Program Units =The total number of measures rebated by local programs, estimated using Energy Trust of Oregon, Bonneville Power Administration, and local utility program data Baseline Units =The estimated baseline units using the measure-level NEEA market transformation baseline models Retirement Units =The estimated retired units, also calculated using NEEA market transformation baseline models In order to convert the net market units for the northwest region into net market units for the Idaho- specific region, an allocation method is utilized to allocate a portion of those savings to the Avista and Idaho Power utilities within the state of Idaho.The utilities are provided a choice as to whether savings are reported with one of the following two options: ■ Funder Share Allocation: This methodology was developed by NEEA and allocates a percent share of total funding amounts to each utility.These values include inputs such as: total load growth forecasts, weighted retail customers by utility,weighted retail energy sales by utility, Evaluation Results 30 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 30 of 122 and caps on funding share increases. Further details of this methodology are provided in Section 3.3.2. ■ Service Territory Allocation:This methodology produces a percent share of total measure completes or new construction completes estimated to occur within the utility shareholder's utility.This value is aggregated using utility-provided data within the Northwest region, which provides resolution that allows NEEA to assign each project to a specific utility service territory. Further details of this methodology are provided in Section 3.3.1. Further details of each allocation method are presented in Section 3.3.The following equation details how the service territory allocation value chosen above is incorporated to calculate the utility-specific net market units. Equation 3-2:Service Territory Allocation of Savings Net Market Unitsutility service Territory = Net Market UnitsNorthwest Region *Service Territory Allocationutility Territory The following equation details how the funder share territory allocation value chosen above is incorporated to calculate the utility-specific net market units. Equation 3-3: Funder Share Allocation of Savings Net Market Unitsutility service Territory = Net Market UnitsNorthwest Region * Funder Share Allo cation Utility service Territory As depicted above,the Idaho-specific share of total Avista service territory net market units is estimated by multiplying against the estimated proportion of Idaho service territory within the Avista Utilities service territory. Further details are presented in Section 3.3. Finally,the initiative-level savings are calculated by multiplying the net market units by the verified UES, by program year. NEEA references the Regional Technical Forum (RTF) UES for the majority of measures offered.The resulting equation is as follows: Equation 3-4: Verified Ex-Post Idaho-Specific Savings Verif ied Ex Post Savings = Net Market Unitsutility idaho service Territory * Veri f tied UES The verified Ex-Post savings are then divided by the NEEA Ex-Ante savings to calculate the resulting realization rate.The verified Ex-Post Idaho-specific savings and realization rate is calculated by initiative and sector for each individual year and 5-year period evaluated. 3.1 Ex Ante Savings In this section,the Evaluators summarize the Ex-Ante savings estimated by NEEA and reported on an annual basis to Avista and Idaho Power. Evaluation Results 31 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 31 of 122 Table 3-1:Summary of Idaho Power Electric Idaho Ex Ante Savings Ex-Ante Savings: Ex-Ante Savings: Program Year Measures Ex-Ante Savings: Standards 2017 0.31 0.89 1.45 2.65 2018 0.40 1.23 1.15 2.77 2019 0.28 1.32 0.40 1.99 2020 0.39 1.12 0.41 1.91 2021 0.42 1.00 0.41 1.82 Total 1.78 5.56 3.81 11.15 Table 3-2:Summary of Avista Electric Idaho Ex Ante Savings CodesEx-Ante Savings: 4V Ex-Ante Savings: Program Year Measures Ex-Ante Savings: Standards Ex-Ante Savings: 2017 0.06 0.18 0.37 0.60 2018 0.06 0.22 0.30 0.57 2019 0.06 0.28 0.09 0.43 2020 0.08 0.24 0.09 0.41 2021 0.08 0.21 0.09 0.39 Total 0.34 1.13 0.94 2.41 Table 3-3:Summary of Avista Gas Idaho Ex Ante Savings Ex-Ante Savings: Ex-Ante Savings: Ex-Ante Savings: Program Year Measures Ex-Ante Savings: Standards (Therms) Codes(Therms) (Therms) Total(Therms) 2019 636 43,109 0 43,745 2020 0 5,678 0 5,678 2021 0 152,881 0 152,881 Total 636 201,667 0 202,304 One of the objectives of this evaluation was to review the proportional savings of measures, codes, and standards savings attributed to Avista and Idaho Power. During in-depth interviews,Avista and Idaho Power staff noted that they had noticed savings from codes and standards have increased in proportion to total savings over the years,whereas the proportion of savings from measures have decreased over time.The following figures summarize the proportional contributions of each the measures, codes, and standards Ex-Ante savings determined by NEEA between 2017 and 2021 for each utility.As seen below, the proportion of savings developed through code and standards efforts has slowly decreased across the 5-year time period, starting from 92%and ending at 77%for Avista and starting at 89%and ending at 77%for Idaho Power. Evaluation Results 32 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 32 of 122 Figure 3-3: Contributions to Ex-Ante Avista Idaho Electric Savings by Measures,Standards, and Codes 0.50 0.37 0.30 sn° 0.40 (61%) (5^) 0.09 2 (21. 0.09 (23%) 0.09 (23%) 0.30 c Q x w 0.20 0.24 0.21 0.22 (58%) (58%) 0.18 (37%) (29%) 0.10 2017 2018 2019 021 ■Measure Code ■Standard Evaluation Results 33 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 33 of 122 Figure 3-4: Contributions to Ex-Ante Idaho Power Idaho Electric Savings by Measures, Standards, and Codes 2.50 1.15 (41%) 2.00 oa 0.40 m (20 6) 0.41 `� (21%) 0.41 150 (224�) M a M+ C Q - x 1.23 1.00 (44%) 1.32 1.12 1.00 0.89 (66%) (58%) (55%) (34%) 0.50 0.00 ■ ■ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2Ci21 ■Measure Code ■Standard Although codes and standards contributions to savings are slowly decreasing over this 5-year evaluation period,the Evaluators note that a significant proportion of codes and standards savings originate from regional measure, standards, and code projects completed out-of-state.The Evaluators summarize the Ex-Ante savings categorized by state-level source of savings.The figures below depicts the total Ex-Ante savings attributed to Avista and IPC that had been accrued outside the state of Idaho under the funder share methodology versus the Ex-Post savings based on the service territory methodology. Evaluation Results 34 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 34 of 122 Figure 3-5:Efficiency Measure Avista Idaho Electric Savings— WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante (Funder Share) vs Ex-Post(Service Territory) 0.50 0.45 0.40 c� 0.35 v, 0.30 to 0.25 c� 0.20 0.15 0.02 0.03 Q 0.10 (30%) (39%) 0.05 0.00 Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ■ID ■WA/OR/MT Figure 3-6: Code Avista Idaho Electric Savings— WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante(Funder Share) vs Ex- Post(Service Territory) 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.23 0.30 (80%) 0.19 (79%) 0.18 0.25 (82%) �^ 0.20 0.15 - 0.10 0.05 0.00 Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ■ID u WA/OR/MT Evaluation Results 35 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 35 of 122 Figure 3-7:Standards Avista Idaho Electric Savings—WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante(Funder Share) vs Ex-Post(Service Territory) 0.50 0.45 0.40 2 0.35 c� 0.30 0.19 .5; 0.25 4796) ti 0.20 0.06 0.15 (51%) 0.01 0.01 Q 0.10 (12%) (15%) 0.05 ■ ■ 0.00 Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ■ID L.WA/OR/MT Figure 3-8:Efficiency Measure Idaho Power Idaho Electric Savings— WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante (Funder Share) vs Ex-Post(Service Territory) 7.00 6.00 5.00 ti ao 4,00 c n 300 c 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Q (0%) (0%) (0%) (0%) 1.00 0.31 0.12 m 0.12 0.00 � Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ■ID F WA/OR/MT Evaluation Results 36 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 36 of 122 Figure 3-9: Code Idaho Power Idaho Electric Savings—WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante(Funder Share) vs Ex-Post(Service Territory) 7.00 6.00 2 5.00 4.69 ti 4.00 (SONS) c 3.00 1.14 1.06 (92%) (80%) 0.87 0.87 0.76 c 2.00 (5%) (78%) (86%) Q 1.00 . = 6■ ■�� 0.26 oxi 0.249 0,00 Am Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ■ID ■WA/OR/MT Figure 3-10:Standards Idaho Power Idaho Electric Savings— WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante(Funder Share) vs Ex-Post(Service Territory) .ou 6.00 5.00 �U 4.00 2.34 I 3.00 (85%) c 2.00 1.16 0.86 0.03 Q 90% (90%) (50,6) (11%) 0.03 1.o0 (18%) = 0.04jAiglo 0.09 4 0.00 vJ Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ■ID s WA/OR/MT Figure 3-6 confirms that service territory allocation was utilized for 2017 and 2018 for Avista,which is portrayed by the lack of Washington, Oregon, or Montana-contributed savings towards Avista annual savings. In addition,the proportion of code savings from out-of-state efforts are significantly higher than the proportion of measure or standards savings from out-of-state efforts.Therefore, code savings reported to Avista and IPC currently claim the majority of savings, (nearly 80%of savings) due to Washington, Evaluation Results 37 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 37 of 122 Oregon, or Montana code change efforts and benefits by utilizing the funder share allocation methodology. The trends seen in each of the figures above for each Avista and Idaho Power are similar, as expected, due to identical total regional units,total local program units,total baseline units, and total retirement units.The differences among the two utilities are determined solely through allocation methodology and values of each allocation methodology.Therefore, proportions of savings between the two should be similar,while magnitudes differ. For Avista gas service territory in Idaho, NEEA-assigned Ex Ante savings consisted of almost entirely code savings, as seen in the figure below. Figure 3-11:Efficiency Measure Avista Idaho Gas Savings— WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante(Funder Share) vs Ex-Post(Service Territory) 180,OCJO 160,00) E 140,000 v 120,000 100,000 c 80,000 Ln 60,000 40,000 Q 20,000 636 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post 2019 2020 2021 ■ID n WA/OR/MT Evaluation Results 38 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 38 of 122 Figure 3-12: Code Avista Idaho Gas Savings— WA/OR/MT Contribution to Ex-Ante(Funder Share) vs Ex- Post(Service Territory) 180,000 160,000 E 140,000 120,000 r' 100,000 c 80,000 23,655 Ln 60,000 (55%) 5,603 c 40,000 (99%� d 20,000 0 Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante Ex Post Ex Ante E. P , t 2019 2020 202i ■ID u WA/OR/MT The Avista gas measure savings reported by NEEA in 2019 consisted of no projects completed within the state of Idaho. Additionally, 55%and 99%of the code savings claimed consisted of projects originating outside the state of Idaho in 2019 and 2020, respectively. However, NEEA reported the 2021 annual savings via service territory methodology and therefore no savings were accrued outside the state of Idaho in 2021. It is important to note the significant impact to savings that each the funder share methodology and service territory methodology contribute to overall savings for each of the measure, standards, and codes programs. In addition, the Evaluators note that inconsistencies among allocation methodology are seen within these two Idaho utilities,within service territories, within fuel types, and within initiatives. 3.2 Verified Ex Post Savings In this section,the Evaluators summarize verified Ex Ante and Ex Post electric and gas savings for Avista and Idaho Power, along with realization rates across program years and NEEA initiatives. 3.2.1.1 Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings The Evaluators summarize the verified electric savings and realization rates for Idaho Power within the state of Idaho by program year in the table below. Evaluation Results 39 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 39 of 122 Table 3-4:Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Program Year Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Year aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings 2017 2.65 1 1.72 64.75% 2018 2.77 1.04 37.65% 2019 1.99 2.43 122.00% 2020 1.91 2.72 142.28% 2021 1.82 1.71 93.51% Total 11.15 9.61 86.23% Table 3-5 through Table 3-9 summarizes the Idaho Power Idaho verified electric savings and realization rates by initiative for each of the program years between 2017 and 2021.The Evaluators note that for the entirety of the report, the realization rates are based off more than two significant figures. Table 3-5:PY2017 Summary of Idaho Power Electric Idaho Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative Measure, Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Standard, Code Savings Savings Measure Industrial Certified Refrigeration Energy 0.00 0.00 0.00% Specialist(CRES) Measure Commercial Commissioning Buildings 0.03 0.00 0.00% Standard Industrial Drive Power 0.03 0.06 216.45% Measure Residential Ductless Heat Pumps 0.06 0.00 6.72% Code Residential Efficient Homes 0.35 0.60 172.50% Measure Residential Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.10 0.01 5.68% Measure Commercial Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.00 0.00 0.00% Code Commercial Other Codes(Commercial) 0.38 0.34 90.56% Code Residential Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.05 0.02 46.03% Standard Commercial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.27 0.29 108.52% Standard Residential Other Residential Standards 1.15 0.00 0.12% Measure Commercial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.03 0.06 198.85% Replacement Code Residential Residential New Construction/Next 0.11 0.26 245.22% Step Homes Measure Residential Retail Product Portfolio 0.02 0.02 75.23% Measure Residential Super-Efficient Dryers 0.05 0.02 32.89% Measure Residential Televisions 0.02 0.02 103.12% Total 2.65 1.72 64.75% Evaluation Results 40 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 40 of 122 Table 3-6:PY2018 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative Measure, Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Standard, Sector Initiative aMW aMW Rate Code Savings Savings Measure Commercial Building Operator Certification 0.00 0.00 0.00% Expansion Measure Industrial Certified Refrigeration Energy 0.03 0.00 0.00% Specialist(CRES) Measure Commercial Commissioning Buildings 0.02 0.00 0.00% Measure Industrial Commissioning Buildings 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Desktop Power Supplies 0.15 0.11 73.13% Standard Industrial Drive Power 0.02 0.00 0.00% Measure Residential Ductless Heat Pumps 0.03 0.00 0.00% Code Residential Efficient Homes 0.38 0.81 215.05% Measure Residential Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.04 0.00 0.00% Measure Residential Manufactured Homes 0.00 0.00 0.00% Code Commercial Other Codes(Commercial) 0.62 0.00 0.00% Code Residential Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.05 0.04 73.04% Standard Commercial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.08 0.02 29.61% Standard Industrial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.22 0.02 8.49% Standard Residential Other Residential Standards 0.82 0.00 0.16% Measure Industrial Other Strategic Energy Management 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Other Strategic Energy Management 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.05 0.00 0.00% Replacement Measure Industrial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.01 0.00 0.00% Replacement Code Residential Residential New Construction/Next 0.18 0.00 0.00% Step Homes Measure Residential Retail Product Portfolio 0.02 0.01 57.04% Measure Residential Super-Efficient Dryers 0.05 0.03 65.20% Measur I Residential Televisions 0.00 0.00 104.70% Total 2.77 1.04 37.65% Evaluation Results 41 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 41 of 122 Table 3-7.PY2O19 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative Standard,Measure, Ex Ante Ex Post Realization . Code Savings Savings Measure Commercial Commissioning Buildings 0.03 0.00 1 0.00% Measure Industrial Commissioning Buildings 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Desktop Power Supplies 0.01 0.01 79.15% Standard Industrial Drive Power 0.01 0.00 11.90% Measure Residential Ductless Heat Pumps 0.05 0.00 1.02% Code Residential Efficient Homes 0.37 0.81 217.23% Measure Residential Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.04 0.00 3.74% Measure Commercial Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Residential Manufactured Homes 0.00 0.00 0.00% Code Residential Next Step Homes 0.21 0.47 225.25% Code Commercial Other Codes(Commercial) 0.69 0.92 132.61% Code Residential Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.04 0.02 38.13% Standard Commercial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.08 0.03 40.51% Standard Industrial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.23 0.00 0.00% Standard Residential Other Residential Standards 0.07 0.06 81.29% Measure Industrial Other Strategic Energy Management 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Other Strategic Energy Management 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.04 0.04 85.46% Replacement Measure Industrial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.01 0.01 85.46% Replacement Measure Residential Retail Product Portfolio 0.01 0.00 6.92% Measure Residential Super-Efficient Dryers 0.08 0.06 81.85% Measure Residential Televisions 0.00 0.00 0.00% Total 1.99 2.43 122.00% Evaluation Results 42 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 42 of 122 Table 3-8:PY2O2O Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative Measure, Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Standard, Sector Initiative aMW aMW Rate Code Savings Savings Measure Industrial Certified Refrigeration Energy 0.00 0.00 0.00% Specialist(CRES) Measure Commercial Commissioning Buildings 0.03 0.00 0.00% Measure Industrial Commissioning Buildings 0.00 0.00 18.80% Measure Commercial Desktop Power Supplies 0.01 0.00 0.00% Standard Industrial Drive Power 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Residential Ductless Heat Pumps 0.06 0.00 5.17% Code Residential Efficient Homes 0.32 0.89 281.70% Measure Residential Extended Motor Products 0.01 0.00 5.00% Measure Commercial Extended Motor Products 0.01 0.00 28.78% Measure Residential Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.08 0.00 4.17% Measure Commercial Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.01 0.01 56.71% Measure Residential Manufactured Homes 0.01 0.00 0.00% Code Residential Next Step Homes 0.22 0.50 222.51% Code Commercial Other Codes(Commercial) 0.54 0.77 142.92% Code Residential Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.04 0.02 41.94% Standard Commercial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.09 0.04 43.64% Standard Industrial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.23 0.30 128.37% Standard Agriculture Other Non-Residential Standards 0.00 0.00 257.68% Standard Residential Other Residential Standards 0.08 0.06 75.37% Measure Industrial Other Strategic Energy Management 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Other Strategic Energy Management 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.04 0.04 105.76% Replacement Measure Industrial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.01 0.01 105.09% Replacement Measure Residential Retail Product Portfolio 0.12 0.08 65.79% Total 1.91 2.72 142.28% Evaluation Results 43 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 43 of 122 Table 3-9:PY2021 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative Measure, Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Standard, Sector Initiative aMW aMW Rate Code Savings Savings Measure Commercial Desktop Power Supplies 0.01 0.00 1 0.00% Measure Residential Ductless Heat Pumps 0.05 0.00 2.96% Code Residential Efficient Homes 0.27 0.60 223.90% Measure Residential Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.10 0.00 4.18% Measure Commercial Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.01 0.00 51.59% Measure Residential Manufactured Homes 0.01 0.00 0.00% Code Commercial Other Codes(Commercial) 0.40 0.46 113.98% Standard Commercial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.10 0.04 43.48% Standard Industrial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.24 0.30 128.37% Standard Agriculture Other Non-Residential Standards 0.00 0.00 257.68% Standard Residential Other Residential Standards 0.07 0.06 74.00% Measure Commercial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.02 0.02 105.99% Replacement Measure Industrial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.00 0.00 105.99% Replacement Code Residential Residential New Construction 0.33 0.09 27.15% Measure Residential Retail Product Portfolio 0.17 0.11 67.14% Measure Commercial Window Attachments 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Residential XMP Pumps 0.03 0.00 4.19% Measure Commercial XMP Pumps 0.02 0.01 26.24% Total 1.82 1.71 93.51% 3.2.1.2 Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings The Evaluators summarize the verified electric savings and realization rates for Avista within the state of Idaho by program year in the table below. Table 3-10:Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Program Year I Ex Ante Ex Post 7--- Savings Savings f7Rate 2017 0.60 0.31 51.19% 2018 0.57 0.36 63.33% 2019 0.43 0.50 115.22% 2020 0.41 0.48 118.93% 2021 0.39 0.40 103.32% Total 2.41 2.06 85.41% Table 3-11 through Table 3-15 summarizes the Avista Idaho verified electric savings and realization rates by initiative for each of the program years between 2017 and 2021. Evaluation Results 44 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 44 of 122 Table 3-11:PY2017 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative Standard,Measure, Ex Ante Ex Post Realization . Code Savings Savings Measure Commercial Commissioning Buildings 0.00 0.00 1 0.00% Standard Industrial Drive Power 0.01 0.02 111.91% Measure Residential Ductless Heat Pumps 0.01 0.00 10.20% Code Residential Efficient Homes 0.09 0.09 100.00% Measure Residential Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.03 0.02 68.73% Measure Commercial Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.00 0.00 0.00% Code Commercial Other Codes(Commercial) 0.07 0.07 100.00% Code Residential Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.01 0.01 100.00% Standard Commercial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.09 0.08 91.43% Standard Residential Other Residential Standards 0.26 0.00 0.16% Measure Commercial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.00 0.00 98.27% Replacement Code Residential Residential New Construction/Next 0.01 0.01 96.99% Step Homes Measure Residential Retail Product Portfolio 0.00 0.00 42.21% Measure Residential Super-Efficient Dryers 0.01 0.01 94.03% Measure Residential Televisions 0.01 0.01 100.00% Total 0.60 0.31 51.19% Evaluation Results 45 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 45 of 122 Table 3-12:PY2O18 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative Standard,Measure, Ex Ante Ex Post Realization . Code Savings Savings Measure Commercial Commissioning Buildings 0.00 0.00 1 0.00% Measure Industrial Commissioning Buildings 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Desktop Power Supplies 0.02 0.02 100.00% Standard Industrial Drive Power 0.01 0.01 100.00% Measure Residential Ductless Heat Pumps 0.01 0.00 6.02% Code Residential Efficient Homes 0.11 0.11 100.00% Measure Residential Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.01 0.00 57.22% Measure Commercial Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.00 0.00 N/A Measure Residential Manufactured Homes 0.00 0.00 0.00% Code Commercial Other Codes(Commercial) 0.08 0.08 100.00% Code Residential Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.01 0.01 100.00% Standard Commercial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.02 0.01 63.92% Standard Industrial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.08 0.08 100.00% Standard Residential Other Residential Standards 0.19 0.00 0.22% Measure Commercial Other Strategic Energy Management 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.00 0.00 98.89% Replacement Measure Industrial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.00 0.00 98.89% Replacement Code Residential Residential New Construction/Next 0.01 0.01 100.00% Step Homes Measure Residential Retail Product Portfolio 0.00 0.00 54.86% Measure Residential Super-Efficient Dryers 0.01 0.01 93.09% Measure Residential Televisions 0.00 0.00 99.98% Total 0.57 0.36 63.33% Evaluation Results 46 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 46 of 122 Table 3-13:PY2O19 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative Standard,Measure, Ex Ante Ex Post Realization . Code Savings Savings Measure Commercial Commissioning Buildings 0.01 0.00 1 0.00% Measure Industrial Commissioning Buildings 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Desktop Power Supplies 0.00 0.00 79.14% Standard Industrial Drive Power 0.00 0.01 293.18% Measure Residential Ductless Heat Pumps 0.01 0.00 4.01% Code Residential Efficient Homes 0.08 0.12 154.66% Measure Residential Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.01 0.00 43.16% Measure Commercial Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Residential Manufactured Homes 0.00 0.00 0.00% Code Residential Next Step Homes 0.05 0.11 236.51% Code Commercial Other Codes(Commercial) 0.15 0.20 133.91% Code Residential Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.01 0.00 42.77% Standard Commercial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.02 0.01 69.19% Standard Industrial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.05 0.00 0.00% Standard Residential Other Residential Standards 0.02 0.02 99.67% Measure Industrial Other Strategic Energy Management 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Other Strategic Energy Management 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.01 0.00 30.55% Replacement Measure Industrial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.00 0.00 31.71% Replacement Measure Residential Retail Product Portfolio 0.00 0.00 11.15% Measure Residential Super-Efficient Dryers 0.02 0.02 109.48% Total 0.43 0.50 115.22% Evaluation Results 47 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 47 of 122 Table 3-14:PY2O2O Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative Standard,Measure, Ex Ante Ex Post Realization . Code _JML Savings Savings Measure Industrial Certified Refrigeration Energy 0.00 0.00 0.00% Specialist(CRES) Measure Commercial Commissioning Buildings 0.01 0.00 0.00% Measure Industrial Commissioning Buildings 0.00 0.00 41.60% Measure Commercial Desktop Power Supplies 0.00 0.00 0.00% Standard Industrial Drive Power 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Residential Ductless Heat Pumps 0.01 0.00 9.35% Code Residential Efficient Homes 0.06 0.10 161.42% Measure Residential Extended Motor Products 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Extended Motor Products 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Residential Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.01 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Residential Manufactured Homes 0.00 0.00 0.00% Code Residential Next Step Homes 0.05 0.06 134.25% Code Commercial Other Codes(Commercial) 0.12 0.17 142.74% Code Residential Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.01 0.00 52.83% Standard Commercial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.02 0.01 63.24% Standard Industrial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.05 0.08 157.01% Standard Agriculture Other Non-Residential Standards 0.00 0.00 258.22% Standard Residential Other Residential Standards 0.02 0.02 92.40% Measure Industrial Other Strategic Energy Management 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Other Strategic Energy Management 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.01 0.00 27.67% Replacement Measure Industrial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.00 0.00 27.49% Replacement Measure Residential Retail Product Portfolio 0.02 0.03 114.44% Measure Residential Televisions 0.00 0.00 0.00% Total 0.41 0.48 118.4% Evaluation Results 48 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 48 of 122 Table 3-15:PY2O21 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative Standard,Measure, Ex Ante Ex Post Realization . Code Savings Savings Measure Commercial Commissioning Buildings 0.00 0.00 1 0.00% Measure Commercial Desktop Power Supplies 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Residential Ductless Heat Pumps 0.01 0.00 20.19% Code Residential Efficient Homes 0.06 0.07 123.85% Measure Residential Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.02 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Residential Manufactured Homes 0.00 0.00 0.00% Code Commercial Other Codes(Commercial) 0.09 0.10 111.55% Standard Commercial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.02 0.01 62.90% Standard Industrial Other Non-Residential Standards 0.05 0.08 157.01% Standard Agriculture Other Non-Residential Standards 0.00 0.00 258.22% Standard Residential Other Residential Standards 0.02 0.02 102.71% Reduced Wattage Lamp o Measure Commercial 0.00 0.00 27.73/ Replacement Measure Industrial Reduced Wattage Lamp 0.00 0.00 27.73% Replacement Code Residential Residential New Construction 0.07 0.08 112.68% Measure Residential Retail Product Portfolio 0.03 0.04 112.24% Measure Commercial Window Attachments 0.00 0.00 0.00% Measure Residential XMP Pumps 0.01 0.00 0.00% Measure Commercial XMP Pumps 0.00 0.00 0.00% Total 0.39 0.40 103.20% 3.2.1.3 Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Savings The Evaluators summarize the verified natural gas savings and realization rates for Avista within the state of Idaho by program year in the table below. Table 3-16:Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Savings by Program Year Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Year Therms Therms Rate Savings Savings 2019 43,745 22,808 52.14% 2020 5,678 385 6.79% 2021 15 2,881 152,881 100.00% Total 202,304 176,074 87.03% Table 3-17 through Table 3-19 summarizes the Avista Idaho verified natural gas savings and realization rates by initiative for each of the program years between 2019 and 2021. Evaluation Results 49 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 49 of 122 Table 3-17.PY2019 Summary of Avista Gas Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative Measure, Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Standard, . Code Savings Savings Measure Commercial Condensing Rooftop Units 636 0 0.00% Code Residential Next Step Homes 43,109 22,808 52.91% Total 43,745 22,808 52.14% Table 3-18:PY2020 Summary of Avista Gas Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative Measure, Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Standard, Sector Initiative Therms Therms Rate Code Savings Savings Code Residential I Next Step Homes 5,678 385 6.79% Total 5,678 385 6.79% Table 3-19:PY2021 Summary of Avista Gas Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative Measure, Ex Ante Ex Pos Standarld, Sector Initiative Therms Therms Rate Code Savings Savings Code Residential Residential New Construction 152,881 152,881 100.00% Total 152,881 152,881 100.00% 3.3 Allocation Methodology Review Allocation methodology review was a key component of this evaluation in this section. It is the method by which NEEA splits total regional net market transformation savings between each NEEA funding utility. The allocation methodology is applicable for each efficiency measure as well as for codes and standards. As described in the equations above, the allocation of savings is currently calculated using one of the following two methodologies: ■ Service Territory Methodology ■ Funder Share Methodology Currently, NEEA allows the utility to choose which of the two methodologies is employed to calculate utility-level savings in the end-of-year annual reporting of savings. Idaho Power had elected to report NEEA savings using funder share methodology, as indicated by NEEA annual reports between 2017 and 2021. Avista had elected to report NEEA savings using service territory methodology in 2017 and 2018. In 2019,Avista changed their preferred reporting to funder share methodology. However, NEEA continues to provide estimates of service territory share for each measure, despite allocation methodology chosen. Evaluation Results 50 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 50 of 122 NEEA reports both the service territory allocation and the funder share allocation for each measure in each of NEEA's annual report of savings to each funder utility. During this evaluation work,the Evaluators compared service territory share to funder share allocation and ultimately used service territory allocation methodology to estimate total verified savings and cost effectiveness of efforts benefitting Idaho customers within Avista's and Idaho Power's service territories. The Evaluators further summarize each methodology in the section below. 3.3.1 Service Territory Allocation The service territory allocation methodology estimates the proportion of projects completed within a measure that can reasonably be allocated to a specific funding utility.This is completed by reviewing and aggregating the source data in a way that preserves the originating location of the projects,which can include zip code information, city information, county information, or state information. The Evaluators were unable to review total regional and local program unit values reported by NEEA, as this data is provided to NEEA under individual non-disclosure agreements with local utilities, Energy Trust of Oregon, BPA, manufacturers, and market actors. However,the calculations reviewed confirm that the data NEEA aggregates for use in the annual savings reports contains fields that grant NEEA the ability to calculate service territory allocation based on either zip-code level data, county-level data, or state-level data. Therefore, it is possible to estimate net market units for smaller segments of the Northwest region,which can then be aggregated to the utility service territory for each utility that currently funds NEEA initiative efforts. The benefit of this service territory method is that NEEA stakeholders can identify states or regions that are performing well and are cost-effective, and states or regions that are underperforming and are not cost-effective. This level of transparency assists NEEA staff and stakeholders by identifying real, unique barriers to energy efficiency in local regions. Once these areas and barriers are identified,work performed to remove these barriers benefits the entire region, while creating equitable benefits within the NEEA service territory. In order to report transparency of program benefits, it is necessary to estimate savings at a higher resolution than northwest regional savings. For example, it is recommended to report savings at the state-level, utility-level, or county-level, if source data permits.As the Evaluators have verified that such source data exists,the Evaluators recommend that NEEA utilize this resolution of data to more accurately estimate,track, and report savings to its stakeholders. 3.3.2 Funder Share Allocation One of the main objectives for this evaluation was to review and validate NEEA's methodology for allocating co-created savings to Idaho Power Company and Avista Utilities. Currently, NEEA employs a "funder share" allocation method to allocate claimable savings to each Avista and IPC. NEEA staff describe the funder share allocation as a "core tenet" of how NEEA allocates savings.This funding mechanism was built 20 years ago.The following figure displays the current NEEA electric funding share by organization. It is worth noting that a large portion of the current NEEA funding share is owned by Evaluation Results 51 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 51 of 122 Bonneville Power Administration, an organization that is not a utility, and therefore serves no electric customers directly. Despite lack of electric customers,this organization receives claimable energy efficiency savings through contribution to NEEA. Figure 3-13: Current NEEA Electric Funding Share by Organization' Chelan PUD(1.0%) Tacoma Power(.95%) Clark PUD (1.3%) Snohomish PUD(0.7%) PacifiCorp(2.6%) Seattle City Light(3.5%) Northwestern Energy(4.0%)— Avista Utilities(5.7%) , b' Bonneville Power Administration (37%) Idaho Power(9.2%) Energy Trust(20.2%) The calculation NEEA built to estimate the allocation share of funding to each utility is built on the following components and assumptions: 1. A forecast of load growth: Estimated load growth during funding cycle, determined by Pacific Northwest Utilities Conference Committee (PNUCC) and Northwest Power and Conservation Council. 2. Number of retail customers: Estimated by Energy Information Administration (EIA) Form 861 at the time of establishing funding shares for a funding period. A 12.5%weighting is applied to this value. 3. Retail energy sales: Native electricity sales to "bundled" retail customers as reported in the EIA Form 861. All wholesale "energy only" or"transmission only" sales are excluded.An 87.5% weighting is applied to this value. 8 https://neea.org/resources/neea-current-funder-share-by-organization Evaluation Results 52 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 52 of 122 4. Cap on funding share increases:To minimize the impacts to any one direct funder, a maximum 40%funder share growth cap is applied for each investor. The funder share methodology above is founded on the following NEEA principles: ■ Keep the alliance and collaboration between the funding utilities and regional market actors intact; ■ Be fair and equitable to funders; • Equitably distribute burden of cost and allocation of benefits; ■ Incorporate number of utility customers and loads to address utilities dominated by few large industrial customers; and, ■ Provide funding diversification. These allocation shares are determined at the beginning of NEEA's 5-year program cycle and are invoiced to each utility on a quarterly basis. In the event that a funder is lost, the total funding amount is recalculated such that other funders' dollar amounts are unchanged and total funding is reduced. In the event that a funder is gained,the total funding amount is recalculated such that other funder's dollar amounts are unchanged and total funding is increased. The NEEA Board reviews the funder allocation methodology policy during the first year of each funding cycle. The savings due to NEEA regional market transformation is allocated to utility stakeholders using each utility's current funding share (Washington, Oregon, Montana, and Idaho, combined). Therefore, since Avista contributed 5.7%of NEEA's funding to the total NEEA-region,Avista is allocated 5.7%of savings achieved through NEEA. To estimate Avista savings within the Avista's service territory in Idaho, NEEA allocates 30%of total Avista regional savings to Avista Idaho territory.To estimate Idaho Power savings within the Idaho Power service territory in Idaho, Idaho Power internally allocates 95%of savings to Idaho and 5%of savings to Oregon.The Evaluators followed these breakouts when allocating savings to the state of Idaho. The following tables summarize the funder allocation share values between 2017 and 2021 assigned to Avista and Idaho to estimate savings within the state of Idaho. Table 3-20:Avista Electric Funder Share Business Plan Avista Total Avista Idaho Funding Share Funding Share* 2020-2024 5.65% 1.69% 2015-2019 5.77% 1.73% 2010-2014 5.56% 1.67% Prior 3.95% 1.19% *NEEA allocates 30%of overall Avista funder share to Avista service territory in Idaho Table 3-21:Avista Gas Funder Share Business Plan Avista Total Avista Idaho Funding Share Funding Share* 2019 15.63% 3.37% 2020-2021 12.04% 3.55% Evaluation Results 53 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 53 of 122 *NEEA allocates 30%of overall Avista funder share to Avista service territory in Idaho Table 3-22:Idaho Power Electric Funder Share Idaho Power Idaho Power Business Plan Total Funding Idaho Funding Share Share* 2020-2024 9.23% 8.77% 2015-2019 8.01% 7.61% 2010-2014 8.67% 8.24% Prior 6.42% 6.10% *Idaho Power allocates 95%of overall Idaho Power funder share to the Idaho Power service territory in Idaho The values presented in the tables above were cross verified by reviewing total annual dollars invoiced by NEEA to Avista and to IPC, as well as reviewing each NEEA annual savings report and associated funder share value attributed to each measure. 3.3.3 Allocation Methodology Findings and Recommendations During this evaluation work,the Evaluators reviewed whether the high-level allocation strategy is reasonable for Idaho stakeholders and whether the funding share is accurately represented for each organization through documentation and invoices. Although the Evaluators were unable to cross- reference NEEA-aggregated sales and utility data due to non-disclosure agreements between NEEA and utility stakeholders in the Northwest region, we reviewed whether the funder share allocation method is reasonably estimates actual energy efficiency product uptake documented in sales data. It is critical to understand that the funder share allocation methodology allocate a proportion of the costs of NEEA's efforts to be invoiced to the utility, despite initiative focus, initiative service, or customer/regional targeting.This means that savings from Washington are allocated to Montana, Idaho, and Oregon based on each utility's funder share. For Idaho,this methodology underestimates observed local service territory savings while simultaneously overestimating out-of-state energy savings. In order to report transparency of initiative benefits, it is necessary to estimate savings at a higher resolution than northwest regional savings. For example, it is recommended to report savings at the state-level, utility-level, or county-level, if source data permits. The Evaluators were unable to review total regional and local program unit values reported by NEEA, as this data is provided to NEEA under individual contract with local utilities, Energy Trust of Oregon, BPA, manufacturers, and market actors with NDA's. However, NEEA confirms that the data provided from each of these stakeholders includes data at the zip code-level resolution. Therefore, it is possible to estimate net market units by zip code, which can then be aggregated to the utility service territory for each utility that currently funds NEEA initiative efforts. The Evaluators also estimated Idaho local program units using the service territory allocation share.This assumption assumes that the aggregated local program units from all utilities funding NEEA displays similar distribution to the total regional units distributed across the Pacific Northwest region. In the case that NEEA has utility-specific local program unit estimates,those values should be used instead. Evaluation Results 54 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 54 of 122 The funder share methodology and the service territory methodology do not rely on the same inputs. For example, the funder share methodology attempts to estimate utility regional growth in demand requirements, number of customers, and retail energy sales.This is then applied to program savings, regardless of the actual observed geographic distribution of measure completes. However,the service territory methodology does not attempt to forecast future growth. Instead, it estimates the proportion of total project completions that actually occurred during the evaluation period in question by summarizing,to the highest detail possible with the data provided,the total aMW most likely to have been saved within the Idaho Power or Avista service territory for the specific program and measure in question. Therefore,the funder share methodology and the service territory methodology do not share any relationship or interaction.The Evaluators are unable to estimate how selection of service territory allocation rather than funder share allocation would change the magnitude of savings for a program without additional information, such as the type of program being claimed,the regional distribution of measure completes in which savings are being claimed, and the utility service territory in which savings are being claimed. Each of these considerations have the ability to cause an increase or decrease in savings. Based on the findings detailed above,the Evaluators present the following findings and recommendations based on our review of NEEA's allocation methodology: Table 3-23:Summary of Allocation Share Findings and Recommendations Findings Recommendations Finding#1: Utilities that fund NEEA can choose whether savings are reported by allocation share methodology or service territory methodology.The allocation share methodology overrepresents out- of-state and out-of-service territory savings across measures,codes,and standards while simultaneously underrepresenting in-state and in- service-territory savings across measures, codes, and standards. However,the service territory methodology accurately represents benefits Recommendation#1:The Evaluators recommend directed to Avista and Idaho Power customers Avista and Idaho request NEEA to report annual within the state of Idaho. savings via the service territory methodology for Finding#2:The data NEEA utilizes to estimate net each measure claimed by NEEA for Idaho Power market savings is available at resolutions that allow electric,Avista electric,and Avista gas. NEEA to estimate precise savings for each utility service territory. Finding#3:The Evaluators found that the methodology in which savings were estimated across measures were inconsistent. For some measures,service territory methodology was used, and for others,funder share allocation methodology was used. Evaluation Results 55 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 55 of 122 Findings Recommendations Finding#4: NEEA prioritizes cost-effective savings in terms of regional benefit.Therefore,savings and Recommendation#2:The Evaluators recommend cost-effectiveness are distributed across the region that Avista and Idaho Power request annual evenly,despite observed distribution of savings savings reports to include estimates of across states.Although this philosophy has merit, administrative costs,incentive costs,and non- more precise estimates of utility-level and program- incentive costs by service territory.This will allow level savings help NEEA's stakeholders relay relevant each utility to calculate more accurate cost- savings and cost-effectiveness results to their effectiveness tests for each initiative to determine respective regulatory commissions.This remains whether extension of funding is a viable option critical, due to some state-level commission orders within each utility's regulatory environment. to pursue all cost-effective energy efficiency efforts. Based on the findings and recommendations of allocation methodology above,the remainder of the report estimates Ex Post electric and natural gas savings for NEEA efforts using the service territory methodology.The service territory allocation values are estimated by NEEA using confidential program and sales data from various organizations within the Pacific Northwest.Although the Evaluators are unable to review or replicate these values,the Evaluators have reviewed NEEA's service territory allocation methodology and find the steps to be reasonable. 3.4 Cost Effectiveness Methodology Review Although the Evaluators calculated cost effectiveness for this evaluation work independently from NEEA's cost effectiveness procedures and assumptions, the Evaluators provide in this section a comparison of cost effectiveness methodology between NEEA and Idaho Power and Avista. In response to a request for cost effectiveness methodology documentation, NEEA delivered the following information: ■ NEEA's 2021 portfolio cost effectiveness analysis ■ NEEA's Electric Cost Effectiveness Operational Guidelines ■ 2022 Q1 and Q2 Cost Effectiveness Advisory Committee PowerPoints summarizing NEEA introduction to savings and cost effectiveness procedures Within NEEA's Electric Cost Effectiveness Operational Guidelines document, NEEA states: "NEEA's purpose is to look at the total societal impact of transforming a market to ensure that the regional investment is an appropriate use of funds for the long term.Working under this perspective NEEA considers all incremental quantifiable costs and benefits of the total regional savings achieved through transformation, regardless of who accrues them. Ultimately, NEEA, as a regional organization, is attempting to answer the question: "will costs to society be reduced relative to an alternate resource?" The Evaluators note that NEEA's procedures to include total regional savings in NEEA's cost effectiveness calculations is in direct opposition to the RTF's Guidelines in which "costs and benefits should reflect the Evaluation Results 56 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 56 of 122 differences between the efficient and baseline cases."9 This methodology does not accurately represent the cost effectiveness of NEEA activities, rather,the cost effectiveness of NEEA activities in combination with naturally occurring baseline as well as locally incented measures through local utilities. NEEA's current cost effectiveness methodology essentially estimates the cost effectiveness of total current gross, non-incremental energy savings for the entire Northwest region, effectively double counting the benefits and costs already attributed to utilities.The Evaluators conclude that NEEA's current methodology for calculating cost effectiveness does not accurately reflect NEEA contributions. In addition to the difference in methodology summarized above,the Evaluators compare and contrast NEEA's and Idaho Power and Avista cost effectiveness methodology in the table below.The NEEA Cost Effectiveness Methodology column indicates the methodology NEEA employs to calculate portfolio cost effectiveness for each planning period. The Idaho Power/Avista Cost Effectiveness Methodology column indicates the methodology the Evaluators employed to estimate cost effectiveness for NEEA-related activities in the Idaho Power and Avista service territories for this work. Table 3-24: NEEA and IPC/Avista Cost Effectiveness Methodology Comparison Input NEEA Cost Effectiveness Methodology Idaho Power/Avista Cost Effectiveness Cost Test TRC UCT ■ Energy-related costs avoided by the utility ■ Energy-related costs avoided ■ Capacity-related costs by the utility avoided by the utility, ■ Capacity-related costs Benefits Included including generation, avoided by the utility, transmission,and distribution including generation, ■ Additional resource savings transmission,and distribution (non-energy benefits) ■ 10%conservation adder ■ Program overhead costs ■ Program overhead costs Costs Included ■ Program installation costs ■ Utility/program administrator ■ Incremental measure costs incentive costs Source of Avoided Costs 6t"or 7t" Power Plan Avoided costs from each utility IRP Total Regional: includes gross costs Net Market: includes net costs and and benefits within the total region, benefits accrued by the utility's Scope of Costs/Benefits regardless of who accrues it,or how it tracked.This includes only local is accrued.This includes units program units with naturally occurring categorized as naturally occurring baseline removed. baseline units and local program units. s https://rtf.nwcouncil.org/rtf-operative-guidelines/ 10 Idaho Power and Avista methodology in regards to this evaluation. Evaluation Results 57 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 57 of 122 Input NEEA Cost Effectiveness Methodology Idaho Power/Avista Cost Effectiveness Formally analyzed for each market transformation initiative in the Market Development phase, listed below (codes and standards are not included in NEEA cost effectiveness portfolio testing) Analyzed for each measure,standard, 1. Efficiency Measures: or code in which net market effect Programs Included in savings are claimed, listed below: a. Manufactured Portfolio 1. Efficiency Measures Homes b. Luminaire Level 2. Standards Lighting Controls 3. Codes c. Heat Pump Water Heaters d. Retail Product Portfolio Calculated based on estimated Calculated based on unit/savings Period of Analysis portfolio savings during the 20-year achieved for each calendar year planning horizon. evaluated,separately. As seen in the table above,the methodology employed by NEEA significantly differs from the methodology the Evaluators employed for both Idaho Power and Avista.The Evaluators aligned cost effectiveness methodology for Idaho and Avista to the procedures the utilities employ to report cost effectiveness of the utility portfolio to Idaho Commission each year.These methodologies portray large differences in inputs, scope of costs and benefit, definition of'portfolio', and period of analysis. Because these large differences exist,the Evaluators recommend that Idaho Power and Avista continue to evaluate cost effectiveness of NEEA impacts internally, and separate from NEEA cost effectiveness results. 3.5 Utility Staff Interview Results As part of this work,the Evaluators met with representatives from Idaho Power, Avista, and NEEA to discuss NEEA's market transformation work.The Evaluators also spoke with each of the Idaho utilities to gather additional information for the motivations for the evaluation of NEEA's initiatives.The conversations with the utility staff largely focused on: ■ Utility staffs' concerns towards NEEA's services and methodology; ■ Utility staffs' understanding of NEEA's current savings allocation and cost effectiveness models; and, ■ Utility staffs' perceived benefits of NEEA's regional market transformation efforts. The conversations with NEEA sought to better understand NEEA's operations;their baseline savings, savings allocation, and cost effectiveness models; as well as their opinions of the current market climate. This section summarizes the key findings from these interviews, highlighting areas of gaps in agreement or understanding across the three parties. Evaluation Results 58 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 58 of 122 3.5.1 Cost Effectiveness Advisory Committee Before summarizing the results of the staff interviews,the Evaluators find it necessary to outline the Cost-Effectiveness Advisory Committee (CEAC).The CEAC is a committee consisting of NEEA funding stakeholders with the objective of reviewing and advising NEEA staff on methods, data sources, and inputs for use in NEEA's cost-effectiveness analysis and savings reporting. The Committee, composed of NEEA funders and additional regional stakeholders, meets quarterly to track and review components of planned and completed market research and evaluation work. CEAC's responsibilities include: 1. Review and advise regarding NEEA cost-effectiveness and savings information to inform annual reporting 2. Review and advise regarding market transformation cost and savings measurement and estimation methods 3. Review evaluation findings that affect cost and savings information to inform annual regional tracking and reporting purposes 4. Work with your organization to provide NEEA staff with relevant incentive data for regional tracking and reporting purposes 5. Review and advise regarding new market research and evaluation methodologies Avista staff and Idaho Power staff participate in the quarterly CEAC meetings. NEEA provided the following documentation regarding the purpose of the CEAC and content of the CEAC meetings: ■ Cost Effectiveness Advisory Committee Charter: Describes CEAC's purpose, responsibilities, membership, meeting schedule, and charter review schedule ■ Q1 and Q2 2022 CEAC meeting slides In addition,the Evaluators asked NEEA Staff,Avista staff, and Idaho Power staff to describe the purpose of CEAC,the content of CEAC meetings,the frequency of CEAC meetings, and thoughts as to how CEAC meetings can be improved. The Cost Effectiveness Advisory Committee Charter document provided by NEEA supports NEEA's perspective regarding the purpose of CEAC meetings to be focused on reviewing and advising NEEA cost effectiveness and savings information towards annual reporting. In addition,the first slides in each of the 2022 CEAC meeting slides reiterate the direct responsibilities of the CEAC to review and advise NEEA on cost effectiveness and savings information used towards annual reporting. However,the slides following summarize year-over-year program market progress,forecasted number of units vs. actual number of units, and overall market growth for each measure, and co-created savings rather than the specific inputs and assumptions included in those values.The Evaluators reviewed each document for reference to codes and standards assumptions, however, mention of these topics were not included at detail greater than forecasted savings. Although the Evaluators did not review all CEAC meeting slides from 2017 through 2022,the Evaluators asked NEEA and utility staff to describe CEAC's purpose and the content of CEAC meetings to build a Evaluation Results 59 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 59 of 122 more complete narrative of CEAC understanding. Through these in-depth interviews, NEEA staff indicated that the meetings are provided to allow utilities to question and provide recommendations for assumptions, inputs, and results. However,the Evaluator found that utility staff described the CEAC meetings as informative. 3.5.2 Evaluation Motivation Idaho Power and Avista launched an evaluation to test the cost-effectiveness of NEEA's market transformation services. Idaho Commission staff have noticed that an increasing portion of the shared savings the Idaho utilities receive from NEEA's efforts stem from Washington and Oregon based codes and standard changes. As a result, commission staff"is concerned that NEEA claims savings it is not directly responsible for"and that "to support the continued funding of NEEA, an independent EM&V should be conducted to clarify the savings NEEA claimed plus the allocation and cost effectiveness of those savings to its member utilities based on the utilities'DSM avoided cost" (IPUC Order Nos. 35129 and 35270). Utility staff noted that a large portion of their energy efficiency-related budget is devoted to NEEA—one that is continually increased year after year--and "if NEEA is no longer cost-effective after an independent EM&V is conducted, the[companies]should reexamine its continued participation" (IPUC Order Nos. 35129 and 35270). Both sets of utility staff stated that they recognize the value and importance of NEEA's regionally- focused philosophy and acknowledge that NEEA's model depends on collaboration from as many utilities as possible within the region to succeed.The utility staff noted that NEEA began as a regional effort that sought to increase the market power of the four states through an alliance; it was founded on the notion that "if it's good for one area, it's good for all the areas and therefore the savings, the benefit of the program should be recognized regionally rather than to a specific jurisdiction or state" (utility staff). According to NEEA staff,when combined into a four-state region,the Pacific Northwest represents 5%of the national US market;they emphasize that although 5% may seem low, "with a consolidated, aggregated voice in that marketplace, it's pretty amazing what we've been able to ask from the national market actors"(NEEA staff). Utility staff cited the residential and commercial building stock assessments and other regional research efforts NEEA manages are useful in their initiatives and analyses. However, utility staff indicated they are skeptical of NEEA's customer-focused initiatives, noting that these initiatives overlap with their own programs. Utility staff explained they would prefer NEEA to focus more on upstream programs and the manufacturer and distributor levels of the supply chain. In general, utility staff recognize NEEA's value and the importance of regional collaboration, and see to ensure Idaho residents are directly benefitting from NEEA's efforts. 3.5.3 NEEA's Market Transformation Model NEEA staff explained that NEEA stemmed from the recognition that"utility programs are seeking to influence consumer behavior, ultimately, which includes the whole supply chain that deliver those products and services to consumers. And if we're going to do that, we need to understand better what are the mechanisms that bring those products and services to market. What are the things that consumers think about when they're deciding to buy those things and what are the sort of other dimensions to the problem?"(NEEA staff). Evaluation Results 60 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 60 of 122 At its inception, NEEA achieved funding from various utilities from four states in the Pacific Northwest— Washington, Oregon, Idaho, and Montana—as well as support from those states' regulatory commissions, consumer groups, and trade associations. Since NEEA's original three-year pilot phase in the late 1990s, it has received approval and funding on a five-year cycle. NEEA depends on this longer funder circle, as market transformation work takes time (typically viewed on a 20-year cycle),therefore the benefits are not seen immediately. When explaining their model, NEEA staff use a traditional S-curve to demonstrate the "diffusion of innovation theory" in which a new technology enters the market at the bottom end of the spectrum, is first adopted by a specific set of people known as "innovators,"followed by"early adopters," and eventually hits the mainstream market and becomes standardized via code and standards changes. NEEA staff explain that their role is to accelerate market adoption and get new technologies into the mainstream market stage of the S-curve quicker. When NEEA conducts market transformation work, they focus in on what it will take "to make market adopt[this product]at a high rate?...[we're]doing market characterization work, [we're]doing market test studies to see what kind of things[we]can do to help overcome barriers to market adoption"(NEEA staff). When forecasting their baseline market transformation calculations, NEEA works with third-party evaluators to collect data on current adoption rates and market trends. NEEA staff noted that they develop a baseline picture for every initiative in their portfolio and use this data to determine which initiative to move forward with. NEEA staff explained that throughout each five-year funding cycle they focus on a variety of technologies in all stages of the market transformation S-curve, noting that different technologies move through the curve, and ultimately the market adoption process, at varying speeds. Once NEEA decides which "energy savings opportunities"to focus on,they "spend a lot of time and effort often getting the[measure]ready for market adoption in the mainstream market adoption, sort of the middle of the S-curve. But once the market takes off, [their]basic theory is that the market itself will drive that adoption because[they]have readied the market to do that"(NEEA). 3.5.4 Defining Savings Utility staff explained that NEEA uses a funder share savings model to allocate savings. Under this model,the utilities receive a proportion of savings equal to their share of NEEA's overall budget. Funder share amounts are determined by each utility's electric load, with higher load utilities contributing more money than lower load utilities. Funder share amounts are reviewed and approved each funding cycle by NEEA's CEAC. Under NEEA's funder share and savings allocation model, it does not matter where the savings were garnered, and thus Idaho may receive savings that resulted from codes and standard changes that occurred in Washington or Oregon and not Idaho. Although the Idaho utilities staff understand why NEEA has structured their savings model in this way,they expressed concern that Idaho residents are not directly benefitting as much from NEEA's work, and simultaneously are funding efforts that are benefitting customers out-of-state rather than within Idaho, and as a result, NEEA may not be cost effective for Idaho. In IPUC Order No. 35270, Idaho Power"stated it believed customers benefited from its participation in NEEA but expressed that it had mentioned similar concerns to Staffs concerns in a past case, including its concerns about savings attributed to codes and standards, the allocation method Evaluation Results 61 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 61 of 122 of savings to customers, and cost effectiveness impacts from declining avoided cost in the current NEEA cycle;"this sentiment was echoed by Avista in IPUC Order No. 35129. Staff from both utilities noted that NEEA provides detailed data about where all their savings are coming from. Utility staff indicated that NEEA are very organized, and that each year,the utilities are provided an annual spreadsheet with detailed megawatt hour calculations and rolled up savings for each category. However, utility staff noted that there is a less transparency regarding how NEEA operationalizes their efforts and subsequently calculates those efforts into savings. Moreover, utility staff do not always agree with some of the assumptions NEEA includes in their cost-effectiveness models. For example, NEEA relies on winter capacity benefits for heat pumps, even though Idaho Power is a summer peaking utility. Additionally, NEEA uses total regional savings that includes baseline numbers, rather than net market effects. Lastly, although Idaho Power and Avista staff are members of NEEA's CEAC, neither utility's staff feel empowered to question NEEA's cost effectiveness calculations during those meetings. Utility staff described the committee's quarterly meetings as a basic report out of their activities over the past few months, rather than an opportunity to discuss the models and assumptions.This sentiment contradicts NEEA's perception of the Cost Effectiveness Advisory Committee meetings. NEEA staff indicated that CEAC meetings are an opportunity for member utilities, regulators, and other stakeholders to review and question NEEA's saving assumptions: "Every year every single input assumption to every savings claim that's reported to the utilities is reviewed by CEAC. That's a lot of work so I won't represent that everybody on the CEAC looks at every single assumption, but in theory, everything is open and available for comment and adjustment as needed."(NEEA staff) 3.5.5 Emphasis on Codes &Standards Referencing the Idaho Public Utilities Commission Order Nos. 35129 and 35270,one of the main impetuses of this evaluation has been the perceived shift away from measures and equipment upgrade programs towards codes and standards changes. When asked about this perceived shift, NEEA staff explained that their budget has remained consistent across their efforts and that codes and standards are one of the minority investments when comparing against all other NEEA efforts. One theory that could explain the disconnect between Idaho utilities' perception that there has been increased focus on codes and standards, rather than efficiency measures and emerging technologies, is the notion that much of the time and effort invested into the early stages of market transformation work does not result is substantial savings. It is feasible, that NEEA continues to invest the bulk of budget on the earlier stages of the market transformation S-curve, but that these savings are not realized until the codes and standards stage. When asked how they prioritize projects, NEEA staff noted that they consider the potential market transformation pathway for all proposed "energy savings opportunities" and prioritize those opportunities with clear paths.They explained that codes and standards changes are the clearest indicator of market transformation success, as codes and standards make the energy savings opportunities standard practice.Thus, NEEA tends to focus their work on energy savings opportunities that can ultimately result in codes and standards changes. In addition to concerns that NEEA's work has shifted more towards codes and standards changes,the Idaho utilities expressed the most trepidation over the fact that much of NEEA's codes and standards Evaluation Results 62 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 62 of 122 work is located outside of Idaho. As stated in the IPUC Order No. 35270, commission staff is "concerned that NEEA claim[s]savings it was not directly responsible for producing"and stated "if savings from codes and standards are removed, NEEA would not be cost-effective." NEEA staff indicated "[they]pay attention to what[they]call "regional equity", how do[they]have a balanced portfolio that has a chance of really delivering the allocation of savings back to the states, not down to the service territory" (NEEA staff).They went on to explain that they focus on state and regional efforts, rather than service territory efforts, because markets are not that different between the states and there's a lot"self- referencing between[their]states" (NEEA staff). Although NEEA's regional lens makes sense to the Idaho utility staff in theory, utility staff noted that this theory often falls short in practice. Idaho utility staff emphasized the contrasting political climate of their state versus that of Washington, Oregon, and Montana, noting that what works in one state may not work in another state. When asked about the political differences across the state, NEEA recognized the varying political climates across their four member states and acknowledged the hesitancy towards codes and regulation environment currently present in Idaho. However, NEEA staff went on to explain that current political climate does not worry them, as politics constantly change and evolve: "those political winds blow irrespective of kind of the code environment and the building construction industry"(NEEA staff). Because of their future forward visioning and five-year cycle planning, NEEA focuses more on long-term engagement and relationship building among the construction and manufacturing industries, assuming that politics will eventually catch up with market demands. NEEA staff indicated that much of this long- term engagement and relationship building with construction and manufacturing industries involves training and education, meeting with builders, manufacturers, and enforcement personnel. NEEA admitted that tracking and quantifying their code-based activities—like training, education, and outreach—is challenging. They noted "it's an evolving piece" and they have engaged third party evaluators to help them develop better and more effective metrics for these activities that focus more on actual behavioral changes that resulted from their activities, rather than just raw attendance and participation numbers. 3.5.6 Interview Findings and Recommendations It is evident from these interviews that there is a disconnect between the Idaho utilities and NEEA's understanding of the purpose and expectations of NEEA's market transformation work. "This disconnect between when NEEA's budget is being applied to the market and when we're seeing the benefits and being unable to report those benefits is one really key distinction between a traditional efficiency acquisition program and what we do in market transformation." (NEEA staff) The Evaluators present the following findings and recommendations based on our review of NEEA's allocation methodology: Table 3-25:Summary of Allocation Share Findings and Recommendations Evaluation Results 63 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 63 of 122 Findings Recommendations Finding#5:The interviews revealed that although the three parties fundamentally want to improve energy efficiency and increase market adoption of emerging technologies,their preferred approaches Recommendation#3:The Evaluators recommend to this shared goal vary. Unlike the utilities,who that NEEA work with utilities to best serve each strive to demonstrate the cost-effectiveness of their state's current regulatory environment and utility's initiatives and investments on an annual or bi- localized concerns. annual cycle, NEEA operates on a five-year funding cycle,which is different than the typical annual or biannual utility planning cycle. Finding#6: NEEA's programs are designed with a broader constituency in mind than that of its member utilities.While the Idaho utilities' programs are targeted to produce benefits for their ratepayers,—NEEA is tasked with developing programs that need to consider what is best for the entire four-state region.At its core, NEEA's ethos assumes that changes made in one state will eventually spillover into another state and that in the long run, regional change will be realized. Recommendation#4:The Evaluators recommend Finding#7: NEEA currently allocates code savings via that NEEA track progress for each code change funder share methodology,which estimates a relative to administrative dollars spent towards proportion of total NEEA funding to each utility state-level codes and associated energy savings based on number of electric retail customers and accrued by each state-level code.With the 20-year overall load.Therefore,savings from code adoption market transformation in mind,the service- in Washington State are in-part assigned to Idaho. territory-level savings will still accrue over the 20- The Evaluators found that out-of-state code building year horizon, however, using this methodology, savings are currently being attributed to Idaho actual market transformation effects of co-created utilities.The Evaluators are skeptical that spillover savings will be more accurately tracked. from out-of-state code changes result in energy savings within the state of Idaho.Although the barriers to code adoption from one state to the next may be similar,there is no evidence to suggest that these learnings transfer to observable and measurable savings. NEEA has stated that starting in 2022,code savings will be allocated via service territory allocation. Finding#8:The NEEA Cost Effectiveness Advisory Committee(CEAC) meets quarterly with the NEEA objectives to provide space for discussion around results of recently completed evaluation, progress of field studies, relevant updates to programs,and acceptance or questioning of NEEA methodology towards calculation of savings. Evaluation Results 64 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 64 of 122 The remainder of this report delivers the quantitative analysis of NEEA's claimable savings within the state of Idaho along with the associated cost effectiveness tests.The Evaluators balanced acknowledgments that NEEA's regional efforts provide intangible, and often difficult to quantify benefits to its member states, along with the recognition that the Idaho utilities want to invest their efforts into activities that are best for their customers within their service territories. 3.6 Impact Evaluation Results In this section,the Evaluators summarize the verified savings for each Idaho Power and Avista for each program year between 2017 and 2021, summarized by: ■ Efficiency measures ■ Standards • Codes 3.6.1 Efficiency Measures The Evaluators reviewed savings attributed to the efficiency measures in each of the 2017 through 2021 annual NEEA reports to each Idaho Power and Avista. In the table below, the Evaluators summarize the energy efficiency measure initiatives NEEA has claimed savings for between 2017 and 2021. Table 3-26: NEEA Code Initiatives Initiative I Ductless Heat Pumps Ductless heat pumps Heat Pump Water Heat pump water heaters Heaters Air purifiers Clothes washers Retail Product Portfolio Freezers Soundbars Televisions Residential Window AC Super-Efficient Dryers Clothes dryers Televisions Televisions Manufactured Homes HUD code/NEEM 2 Residential Lighting CFL bulb in existing LED bulb in existing Extended Motor Residential hydronic heating circulation w/EE ECM Products Residential circulator pumps with EE ECM/motor XMP Pumps DHW ECM circulator Commercial Commissioning Nonresidential new construction commissioning Buildings Retro commissioning commercial existing Evaluation Results 6S Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 65 of 122 Initiative Luminaire Level Lighting Controls Luminaire level lighting controls Reduced Wattage Lamp 25W 4ft T8s 7 Replacement 28W 4ft T8s Building Operator Building operator certification Certification Expansion Desktop Power ENERGY STAR desktop Supplies Other Strategic Energy Strategic energy management Management Extended Motor Commercial hydronic heating circulation w/EE ECM Products Commercial circulator pumps with EE ECM/motor Commercial variable speed clean water pump Window Attachments Commercial secondary windows XMP Pumps DHW ECM circulator Certified Refrigeration Savings from projects submitted by Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES) Energy Specialists Commissioning Nonresidential new construction commissioning Industrial Buildings Retro commissioning industrial existing Other Strategic Energy Strategic energy management Management Reduced Wattage Lamp 25W 4ft T8s Replacement 28W 4ft T8s NEEA claimed efficiency measure savings for measures completed in Washington, Oregon, Montana, and Idaho. Instead of claiming 100% savings for all efficiency measures completed in the region, NEEA nets out the number of measures completed through local utilities and naturally occurring baseline. To calculate verified savings, the Evaluators verified local program units and baseline units were netted out correctly. Where discrepancies were identified, the Evaluators updated the Ex-Post formulas to correctly account for NEEA influence values. The Evaluators also removed non-Idaho federal measure savings from all standards initiatives to estimate savings that benefit Idaho customers directly.Therefore, this section reports verified efficiency measure savings accrued within the state of Idaho only. The Evaluators summarize verified savings and cost effectiveness results in the tables below using service territory allocation methodology. The sections below detail the reviews completed to estimate verified savings through NEEA code efforts: Impact methodology review Cost effectiveness results Findings and recommendations 3.6.1.1 Impact Methodology Review In this section,the Evaluators summarize findings and recommendations for each of the following components towards verified impact results of NEEA's energy efficiency measures: Evaluation Results 66 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 66 of 122 ■ Database and document review(Section 3.6.1.1.1) ■ UES review(Section 3.6.1.1.2) ■ Market transformation baseline review (Section 3.6.1.1.3) ■ Funder share methodology review(Section 3.6.1.1.4) 3.6.1.1.1 Database and Document Review The Evaluators reviewed the 2017-2021 annual savings reports for Avista electric,Avista gas, and Idaho Power electric to identify and address any inconsistencies with data tracking methods and opportunities to improve year-over-year tracking of NEEA efforts. The Evaluators found during database review that a variety of fields are empty across measure types (for example, service territory share, UES, or comment, due to lack of savings claimed for the measure).This makes verification of values difficult and complicates tracking of a measure progress over time.The Evaluators summarize the missing values further in Appendix D. The Evaluators recommend that measure-level values are detailed as accurately as possible, and that each field is completed in the workbook, whether or not regional net units exist.This allows for year-over-year tracking of regional units, baseline units, retirement units, and unit energy savings values over time. Additionally,the Evaluators found that for some measures, the net regional unit calculations were completed incorrectly.Therefore, the local program units, baseline units, and retirement units were incorrectly netted out of total regional net savings. For some measures,this change resulted in lower savings, and for others,this change resulted in higher savings. The Evaluators also note that the distribution of baseline and retirement units differ across total regional units and local program units.That is,for some measures, NEEA estimates that a large proportion of local program units are baseline.The Evaluators raise concern for this assumption, as local program units are incentivized, and free ridership of programs is also tracked by local utilities. It is unreasonable to assume that locally incentivized, rebated measures display the same free ridership as non-incentivized measures in the region.Therefore,the Evaluators calculated verified net energy savings assuming that distribution of baseline units is equal, proportionally to each total regional units and local units.The Evaluators recommend, however,that NEEA integrate more accurate assumptions regarding free ridership to estimate baseline units within locally incentivized units. 3.6.1.1.2 UES Review The Evaluators reviewed the following documents and spreadsheets for this evaluation work: ■ 2017-2021 annual savings reports for Avista electric,Avista gas, and Idaho Power electric ■ Regional Technical Forum (RTF) UES workbooks ■ Consumer products UES methodology documentation ■ Field studies completed ■ Engineering algorithms utilized by NEEA The Evaluators reviewed each document listed above in order to identify and address any inconsistencies in UES value application and engineering algorithms employed by NEEA to estimate total regional savings. Evaluation Results 67 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 67 of 122 The Evaluators found that for the efficiency measures,the majority of measure UES are referenced from the RTF workbooks,weighted to regional climate zones, average household heating type, and average square footage.The majority of measure savings are also reviewed by third-party evaluators in order to verify correct per-unit savings allocation. Due to the high-level of third-party evaluator reviews conducted for each of the claimed efficiency measures,the Evaluators focused on the application of the UES values within the annual workbook rather than the validity of the UES themselves. 3.6.1.1.3 Market Transformation Baseline Review Calculates a naturally occurring baseline for each initiative in order to track the market transformation of each product in order to follow the market transformation S-curve displayed in Figure 3-2. NEEA models the counterfactual scenario of market potential that demonstrates how the market would have progressed without NEEA and utility intervention. NEEA accomplishes this by conducting market characterization studies early in program design, conducting large customer survey efforts, and collecting data which identifies trends of current level of practice. In the case that an event has occurred which has changed the market transformation of a product, for instance, a federal standard is implemented which updates the product's minimum efficiency, NEEA reconfigures the model which forecasts naturally occurring baseline. The Evaluators found that third-party evaluations are completed for the majority of modeled measure market transformation baselines. The Evaluators reviewed the evaluation reports and concluded that the market transformation baseline is thoroughly reviewed and defended.Therefore,the Evaluators focused on how the market transformation baselines are integrated to the annual savings workbook rather than investigating the assumptions involved in the creation of the baseline itself. 3.6.1.1.4 Funder Share Methodology Review As described in Section 3.3,the Evaluators calculated verified savings using the service territory allocation methodology.The service territory values were calculated by NEEA using confidential datasets from NEEA stakeholders.The Evaluators were unable to review the data or replicate the service territory values because the originating data is delivered to NEEA with non-disclosure agreements.The Evaluators used the service territory values as displayed in the NEEA annual workbooks. The Evaluators note that NEEA calculated Ex Ante savings for energy efficiency measures using a mix of service territory share and funder share allocation for the measures it claims savings for.The rationality behind using one methodology over the other is unclear. As described previously,the Evaluators conclude that the funder share methodology does not accurately reflect benefits claimed by Idaho utility customers.Therefore,the results displayed in this report reflect service territory savings.Additionally,the Evaluators recommend that Avista and Idaho Power request NEEA utilize service territory methodology for future NEEA annual savings reports in order to calculate energy savings and cost-effectiveness testing for the Commission. 3.6.1.2 Verified Ex Post Savings The Evaluators summarize verified Ex Post efficiency measure savings results by utility,fuel type, and program year in the tables below.The Evaluators provide initiative-level savings in Appendix A. Evaluation Results 68 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 68 of 122 Table 3-27:Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Program Year Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Year aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings 2017 0.31 0.12 39.20% 2018 0.40 0.15 38.34% 2019 0.28 0.12 43.78% 2020 0.39 0.14 37.32% 2021 0.42 0.15 36.93% Total 1.78 0.69 38.78% The overall verified realization rate for Idaho Power measure efforts due to NEEA was 39%. The discrepancy between Ex Ante and Ex Post savings are largely due to the difference between funder share allocation and service territory share among measures. Funder share allocation for Idaho Power ranged between 6.42% and 9.23%, as displayed in Table 3-22. In contrast,the service territory allocation share ranged between 0%and 16%for individual measures.The overall impact of this change resulted in a low realization rate, indicating that the majority of claimed measure savings accrue outside the state of Idaho. Table 3-28:Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Program Year Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Year aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings 2017 0.06 0.03 57.68% 2018 0.06 0.04 73.37% 2019 0.06 0.03 46.97% 2020 0.08 0.03 39.76% 2021 0.08 0.04 48.21% Total 0.34 0.18 52.11% The overall verified realization rate for Avista electric measure efforts due to NEEA was 52%. Similarly, the discrepancy between Ex Ante and Ex Post savings are also due to the difference between funder share allocation and service territory share among measures. Funder share allocation for Idaho Power ranged between 1.19% and 1.73%, as displayed in Table 3-22. In contrast,the service territory allocation share ranged between 0%and 19%for individual measures.The overall impact of this change resulted in a low realization rate, indicating that the majority of claimed measure savings accrue outside the state of Idaho. Evaluation Results 69 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 69 of 122 Table 3-29:Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Program Year Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Year Therms Therms Rate Savings Savings 2019 636 0 0.00% 2020 0 0 N/A 2021 0 0 N/A Total 636 0 0.00% NEEA allocated natural gas savings to Avista within the Idaho region for the program year 2019. Program years 2020 and 2021 did not claim savings for any measure initiatives for Avista Idaho gas measures. In 2019,the only initiative NEEA claimed energy savings for was the condensing rooftop unit initiative.The condensing rooftop units initiative estimated 636 Therms allocated to Avista Idaho via the funder share methodology. However,the associated service territory allocation for these measure completes was zero, and therefore, 0 Therms savings are verified to have benefitted Idaho customers for this initiative. 3.6.1.3 Cost Effectiveness Results The Evaluators found that NEEA calculates cost-effectiveness of its portfolio using the total regional savings rather than the net market effects. NEEA's rationality for this is the following: "We use the Total Resource Cost test(TRC) to assess the cost effectiveness of a product. As mentioned in the guidelines, NEEA's purpose is to look at the total societal impact in a market to ensure that the regional investment is an appropriate use of funds for the long term. Working under this perspective, NEEA considers all incremental quantifiable costs and benefits of the total regional savings achieved through transformation, regardless of where or how they are accrued. This is achieved through a total, regional framework.As a result, we include data from naturally occurring baseline in order to capture the full spectrum of costs and benefits for society. Note that the savings rates and costs we use do account for pre-market intervention baseline estimates, similar to the approach the Regional Technical Forum uses."(NEEA staff) The Evaluators determined that this methodology raises concern, and the NEEA cost-effectiveness tests currently account for all measure, standard, and code completions across the entire region, effectively double counting local program savings and simultaneously claiming naturally occurring baseline savings. The Evaluators recommend that Avista and Idaho Power do not implement this methodology, and instead calculate cost effectiveness using the reported net market effects (which nets out local program savings and naturally occurring baseline savings). Additionally, NEEA calculates cost-effectiveness using the current Power Plan, as stated in Section 2.7. The Evaluators calculated cost-effectiveness using Avista and Idaho Power avoided costs, rather than the avoided costs presented in the Power Plan The Evaluators summarize verified cost effectiveness results in the tables below. Further detail of measure-level cost-effectiveness is provided in Appendix B. Evaluation Results 70 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 70 of 122 Table 3-30:Idaho Power Electric Idaho Efficiency Measures Cost Effectiveness by Program Year Program Year UCT Costs UCT Benefits UCT 2017 $2,186,140.38 $466,619.15 0.21 2018 $2,151,016.22 $463,122.26 0.22 2019 $2,150,393.15 $448,341.19 0.21 2020 $2,215,102.95 $610,854.65 0.28 2021 $2,342,622.29 $602,148.92 0.26 Total $11,045,275.00 $2,591,086.18 0.23 Table 3-31:Avista Electric Idaho Efficiency Measures Cost Effectiveness by Program Year Program Year UCT Costs UCT Benefits UCT 2017 $497,315 $166,784 0.37 2018 $489,324 $145,951 0.30 2019 $440,264 $140,466 0.32 2020 $366,823 $152,948 0.42 2021 $407,558 $166,540 0.41 Total $2,201,284 $772,688 0.35 Table 3-32:Avista Gas Idaho Efficiency Measures Cost Effectiveness by Program Year Program Year UCT Costs UCT Benefits UCT 2019 $152,294 $0 0.00 2020 $126,061 $0 0.00 2021 $142,512 $0 0.00 Total $420,867 $0 0.00 Although NEEA provided gas efficiency measure efforts in the form of condensing rooftop units and efficient gas water heaters,the Evaluators found that none of the savings were allocated within the Idaho service territory. Therefore, the costs for each program year were distributed entirely towards code savings, and efficiency measure cost effectiveness for Avista gas Idaho NEEA efforts is not applicable. As seen in the tables above, all efficiency measure efforts were found to be not cost effective using Idaho Power's and Avista's avoided costs and updated verified Ex Post savings within the state of Idaho, as displayed by the annual measure UCT values ranging between 0.00 and 0.41. 3.6.1.4 Findings and Recommendations Overall, the efficiency measures Ex Ante savings claimed savings for measures completed in Washington, Oregon, and Montana—therefore, some measures underestimated Idaho-specific savings, Evaluation Results 71 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 71 of 122 while others overestimated out-of-state savings. The overall effect of this change resulted in a lower than 100% realization rate. Based on the findings detailed above,the Evaluators present the following findings and recommendations based on our review of NEEA's efficiency measures: Table 3-33:Summary of Efficiency Measure Findings and Recommendations Findings Recommendations Finding#9:The Evaluators estimated verified Ex Post aMW for the efficiency measures to display 39%,52%, and 0%realization rates for Idaho Power electric,Avista electric, and Avista gas savings within the state of Idaho, The Evaluators reference Recommendation respectively.The difference in claimed savings and #1:The Evaluators recommend Avista and verified savings is due to the change to using service territory allocation rather than funder share allocation. Idaho request NEEA to report annual savings The efficiency measures category Ex Ante savings via the service territory methodology for each included savings for measures completed in Washington, measure claimed by NEEA for each Idaho Power electric,Avista electric, and Avista gas. Oregon,and Montana—therefore,some measures underestimated Idaho-specific savings,while others overestimated out-of-state savings.The overall effect of this change resulted in a lower than 100%realization rate. Recommendation#5:The Evaluators Finding#10:The database review revealed that a variety recommend that measure-level values are of fields(measure life, UES)were empty across measure detailed as accurately as possible,and that types due to lack of savings claimed for the measure, each field is completed in the workbook to which made verification of values difficult and allow for year-over-year tracking of regional complicates tracking of a measure progress over time. units, baseline units, retirement units,and unit energy savings values over time. Finding#11:The database review revealed that NEEA's current method for distribution of modeled naturally occurring baseline units between local program and NEEA efforts is not reasonable.A portion of energy efficient technology sales are due to naturally occurring baseline. NEEA nets out modeled naturally occurring baseline in order to avoid claiming savings for units that would have Recommendation#6:The Evaluators been sold had no program or NEEA-effort been provided recommend,that NEEA distribute naturally within the market. However,the method in which these occurring baseline units more equitable baseline units are netted out is not distributed equitably. between local program units and total For some measures, NEEA estimates that a large regional units. proportion of local program units are baseline,and therefore a larger proportion of the remaining net market effects is assigned to NEEA efforts.The Evaluators raise concern for this assumption,as it is unlikely locally incentivized, rebated measures display the same free ridership as non-incentivized measures in the region. Finding#12:The Evaluators reviewed the utilized LIES via the Regional Technical Forum (RTF)workbooks,field Evaluation Results 72 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 72 of 122 study data, and simulation analysis findings and note no large concerns with NEEA LIES methodology or market baseline assumptions. Finding#13:The Evaluators found that NEEA calculates cost-effectiveness of its portfolio using the total regional savings rather than the net market effects.The Evaluators determined that this methodology raises concern,and Recommendation#7: In the case that cost the NEEA cost-effectiveness tests currently account for all effectiveness tests are completed using measure,standard,and code completions across the NEEA-reported savings,the Evaluators entire region,effectively double counting local program recommend that Avista and Idaho Power savings and simultaneously claiming naturally occurring calculate cost-effectiveness using net market baseline savings. Because Avista and Idaho Power effects rather than total regional savings, as is calculate their own internal cost effectiveness tests,this consistent with current regulatory finding does not impact Idaho Power or Avista reporting. requirements. However,the Evaluators highlight this finding,as NEEA savings allocation and cost allocation methods are not currently consistent with regulatory requirements. 3.6.2 Standards In the table below,the Evaluators summarize the federal standards NEEA has claimed savings for within Avista Idaho and Idaho Power Idaho annual reports between 2017 and 2021. Evaluation Results 73 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 73 of 122 Table 3-34:NEEA Standards Initiatives Sector Initiative Measure Battery chargers Clothes dryers Residential Other Residential Standards Central AC Furnace fans Heat pumps Fluorescent lamp ballasts Air compressors Beverage vending machines Ceiling fan light kits Ceiling fans Commercial fryers Commercial PRSVs Commercial refrigeration equipment Commercial Other Non-Residential Standards Commercial unitary ACs Electric motors External power supply Rooftop units Small electric motors Steam cookers Walk-in coolers/freezers Pumps Fluorescent lamp ballasts Industrial Drive Power Motors Industrial Other Non-Residential Standards Air compressors Pumps Agriculture Other Non-Residential Standards Pumps NEEA claimed federal standard savings for measures completed in Washington, Oregon, Montana, and Idaho. Instead of claiming 100%savings for all federal standard equipment measures completed in the region, NEEA completes an influence evaluation in which a third-party evaluator estimates the qualitative and quantitative influence NEEA contributed towards these federal standard updates.The quantitative value represents the percent of savings from the federal standard update that was influenced by NEEA.This value is incorporated in NEEA Ex-Ante calculations to estimate the baseline units.Therefore, if the influence evaluation concludes that NEEA contributed 3%of the code update energy savings, NEEA estimates that 97% of the total regional units for that measure is equivalent to the baseline regional units for the measure.The Evaluators reviewed and verified that these values were integrated correctly in NEEA workbooks. Where discrepancies were identified, the Evaluators updated the Ex-Post formulas to correctly account for NEEA influence values. The Evaluators also removed non-Idaho federal standards savings from all standards initiatives to estimate savings that benefit Idaho customers directly.Therefore,this section reports verified federal standards savings accrued within the state of Idaho only. The sections below summarize the reviews completed to estimate verified savings through NEEA code efforts: Evaluation Results 74 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 74 of 122 ■ Impact methodology review ■ Staff interview conclusions ■ Cost effectiveness results • Findings and recommendations 3.6.2.1 Impact Methodology Review In this section,the Evaluators summarize findings and recommendations for each of the following components towards verified impact results of NEEA's federal standards: ■ Database and document review(Section 3.6.2.1.1) ■ UES review(Section 3.6.2.1.2) ■ Market transformation baseline review (Section 3.6.2.1.3) ■ Funder share methodology review(Section 3.6.2.1.4) 3.6.2.1.1 Database and Document Review The Evaluators reviewed each of the supplemental documents provided by NEEA, which included the following: ■ 2017-2021 annual savings reports for Avista electric,Avista gas, and Idaho Power electric ■ Completed influence evaluations The Evaluators reviewed each of the documents above to identify and address any inconsistencies with data tracking methods and opportunities to improve year-over-year tracking of NEEA efforts. The Evaluators found during database review that a variety of fields are empty across code tracking data, similar to our finding for efficiency measure database review.The Evaluators summarize the missing values further in Appendix D. The Evaluators recommend that measure-level values are detailed as completely as possible. The Evaluators found that naturally occurring baseline is calculated through "influence evaluations" completed by third-party evaluations (summarized in the following sections).The Evaluators found that the influence evaluation findings were not properly integrated into each standard savings estimate, thereby underestimating baseline units and overestimating overall net market effects. 3.6.2.1.2 UES Review The Evaluators reviewed each of the unit energy savings (UES)values assigned to each federal standard in which savings are claimed by NEEA. NEEA utilizes UES values determined by third-party evaluators for each of the measures claimed. Each measure unit-level savings is weighted by heating and cooling zone across three housing types (single family, multifamily, and manufactured home), if applicable.These values are then multiplied by the net market units for each measure after netting out baseline units for each measure, described in further detail in 3.6.2.1.3.1.The Evaluators summarize the measure-level standards and UES methodologies employed by NEEA between 2017 and 2021 in the table below. Evaluation Results 75 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 75 of 122 Due to the thorough third-party evaluations and estimates of UES verified for use by NEEA,the Evaluators do not note any concern for discrepancies with the standards UES values applied to estimate NEEA savings. Instead,the Evaluators focused on the rationality of NEEA's high-level application of regional units, baseline methodology, allocation methodology, and overall calculations for each Avista and Idaho Power. 3.6.2.1.3 Market Transformation Baseline Review This section summarizes NEEA's methodology for estimating naturally occurring baseline for federal standards in which NEEA contributed. NEEA does employ baseline models for federal standards updates.Alternatively, an "influence evaluation" is completed by a third-party evaluator, which summarizes NEEA's overall qualitative and quantitative influence towards federal standards updates,which result in energy savings. NEEA uses the quantitative assessment from each of these evaluations to estimate the proportion of total regional units to categorize towards naturally occurring baseline.Therefore, NEEA nets out any units that would have occurred in the absence of NEEA efforts towards increasing the energy efficiency of measures through standard updates. In the section below,the Evaluators provide further detail of the integration of influence evaluations towards estimation of federal standards baseline units. 3.6.2.1.3.1 Influence Evaluation Review The Evaluators reviewed third party independent evaluations of NEEA's "influence"towards updates in measure standards.The table below summarizes the third-party standards "influence evaluations" provided by NEEA. Table 3-35:Summary of NEEA Standards Influence Evaluations QuantitativeEvaluation Qualitative Assessment Completed Assessment NEEA achieved most of the activities Beverage Vending identified in NEEA's Codes&Standards logic mode. NEEA submitted comments in the Machines Standard TRC 2019 20% Evaluation public review process, including written comments and participation in public meetings. TRC found that NEEA engaged in most of the Ceiling Fan activities identified in NEEA's Codes and Standard TRC 2019 Standards. NEEA focused particularly on 9% Evaluation Report submitting comments in the public review process and participating in public meetings. TRC found that NEEA engaged in most of the Commercial and activities identified in NEEA's Codes& Industrial Pumps Standards logic model. NEEA participated in Standard TRC 2021 the Working Group,comments submitted in 24% Evaluation Report the public review process, including written comments and participation in public meetings. Commercial Pre- TRC 2021 TRC found that NEEA engaged in most of the 4% Evaluation Results 76 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 76 of 122 QuantitativeStandard T Third Evaluation Qualitative Assessment Party Completed Assessment Rinse Spray Valves activities identified in NEEA's Codes& Standard Standards logic model. NEEA submitted Evaluation comments in the public review process, including written comments and participation in public meetings. TRC found that NEEA played a moderate role Commercial in the development and adoption of this Refrigeration standard. In the early stages of the standard Equipment TRC 2018 development process, NEEA submitted 15°% Evaluation independent comments on the test procedure. Commercial TRC found that NEEA engaged in several Unitary Air activities prescribed in the codes and o Conditioners TRC 2018 standards logic model, particularly through 19% Evaluation the NEEA staff member's participation in the ASRAC Working Group. The Motor Coalition,of which NEEA was a key member, heavily influenced the rulemaking, recommending expansion of the scope of the standard to cover all motors First year: Electric Motors 100% Cadmus 2016 except specifically defined exceptions. NEEA Evaluation was found to provide technical expertise to After first year: 61% the Motor Coalition and served as a trusted voice in a negotiation process that has been contentious historically. Overall,TRC found that NEEA played a small role in the development and adoption of this standard.This is because there were a few barriers to this standard once the DOE External Power removed battery chargers for separate Supply Evaluation TRC 2017 regulation, manufacturer opposition to the 2.60% EPS standard was minimal. In addition, NEEA's contribution to the federal process is generally to provide technical comments or analysis, but there were few technical needs for this standard. TRC believes that efficiency stakeholders had a "moderate to low" effect on this Fluorescent Lamp TRC 2016 23% standard,and TRC translates this influence o Ballasts Evaluation of all efficiency stakeholder efforts into a range between 12%and 24%of all energy savings from the standard. TRC found that NEEA played a moderate role Residential in the development and adoption of this Furnace Fans TRC 2018 standard. However, in the development of 15% Evaluation the test procedure, NEEA played a significant role. Small Electric Cadmus 2016 The majority of the responding 33% Evaluation Results 77 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 77 of 122 QuantitativeStandard Third Evaluation Qualitative Assessment Party Completed Assessment Motors Evaluation manufacturer interviewees(5 of 6)said NEEA was"somewhat effective" or"very effective" in supporting the small motors standard adoption. For the 2014 standard,TRC found that NEEA engaged in several activities prescribed in the codes and standards logic model, Walk In Coolers particularly through comments submitted in Freezers TRC 2019 the public review process. 2014: 12% Evaluation For the 2017 standard,TRC found that NEEA 2017: 20% engaged in several activities prescribed in the codes and standards logic model, particularly through comments submitted in the public review process. As described above, NEEA makes use of the quantitative assessments from each of these evaluations as follows: Equation 3-5:Standards Baseline Units Estimation Baseline Unitsstandard = Total Regional Unitsstandard * Quantitative Assessmentstandard First, NEEA uses the quantitative assessment percentage to estimate regional baseline units.Then, NEEA calculates net market units for the standard by netting out baseline units from the total regional units for the standard. Equation 3-6: Net Market Units Estimation Net Market Unitsstandard = Total Regional Unitsstandard — Baseline Unitsstandard This methodology ensures that NEEA only claims electric or gas savings towards a standard update resulted due to their participation and efforts in standard update meetings, proposals, and comments. The Evaluators carefully reviewed each of the third-party evaluation reports above in order to identify whether these evaluations result in independent and reasonable quantitative assessments for estimating claimed savings. We considered the following key topics in our analysis: ■ Evaluation indicated that NEEA staff attended standards update meetings ■ Evaluation conducted interviews with NEEA Staff ■ Evaluation conducted interviews with other parties participating in standards update meetings ■ Evaluation reviewed NEEA-specific proposed changes to standards ■ Evaluation reviewed and estimated NEEA-specific energy-savings changes dependent on NEEA- specific proposed changes only ■ Evaluation qualitative assessment concluded that NEEA contributed a decent amount of effort towards standards updates ■ Evaluation quantitative assessment estimated the percentage of savings contributed by each individual NEEA-specific change, supported by documentation that NEEA submitted as proposed changes to the standard ■ Each evaluation is conducted consistently and thoroughly Evaluation Results 78 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 78 of 122 Through careful review,the Evaluators determined that each of the influence evaluations were adequately conducted and that the resulting quantitative assessment for each standard is a sufficient way to estimate NEEA contributions and therefore claimable savings towards each measure.The Evaluators recommend that NEEA continue to complete independent third-party evaluations of NEEA influence towards standards. The Evaluators note that 13 of the 25 federal standard measures lacked influence evaluations.The Evaluators summarize the federal standard measures in which a third-party evaluation has not been completed to estimate NEEA's quantitative influence towards updates in the table below. Table 3-36: NEEA Measure-Level Standards StandardInitiative Federal Ceiling Fan Kits Residential Central AC Other Residential Residential Heat Pumps Residential Standards Residential Heat Pump Water Heaters New Construction Heat Pump Water Heaters Battery Chargers Clothes Dryers Ceiling Fans Other Non-Residential Ceiling Fan Light Kits Commercial Standards Commercial Air Compressors Steam Cookers Commercial Fryers Industrial Other Non-Residential Industrial Air Compressors Standards The Evaluators provide a summary of the contributions to standards and overall portfolio Ex-Ante and Ex-Post savings for the standards in which an influence evaluation was conducted vs. standards in which an influence evaluation was not conducted. Table 3-37:Idaho Power Electric Standards Ex-Ante Savings by Influence Evaluation Completion Ex-Ante 1 Ex-Ante Ex-Ante Ex-Ante Ex-Ante Ex-Ante Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Ex-Ante Ex-Ante Savings of Savings of Savings of Savings of Savings of Savings of Program Standard Portfolio Standards Standards Standards Standards Standards Standards Year Savings Savings with without with without with without (aMW) (aMW) Influence Influence Influence Influence Influence Influence Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Standards) Standards) Total) Tota 1) 2017 1.45 2.65 0.31 1.14 21% 79% 12% 43% 2018 1.15 2.77 0.35 0.80 30% 70% 13% 29% 2019 0.40 1.99 0.40 0.00 100% 0% 20% 0% 2020 0.41 1.91 0.41 0.00 100% 0% 21% 0% 2021 0.41 1.82 0.41 0.00 100% 0% 22% 0% Total 3.81 11.15 1.87 1.94 49% 51% 17% 17% Evaluation Results 79 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 79 of 122 I/ I/ I •/ / I I I •/1 p I I 0 /dd I I Ex-Post Ex-Post Ex-Post Ex-Post Standard Standard Ex-Post a Standard Standard Standard Standard Ex-Post Ex-Post Savings of Savings of Savings of Savings of Savings of Savings of Program Standard Portfolio Standards Standards Standards Standards Standards Standards Year Savings Savings with without with without with without Influence Influence Influence Influence (aMW) (aMW) Influence Influence Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation (aMW) (aMW) (as%of (as%of (as%of (as%of Standards) Standards) Total) Total) Ex-Ante -Ante -Ante Ex-Ante Ex-Ant x-Ante Standard Standard tandard Standard Standard Standard Savings of Savings of Savings of Savings of Ex Ante Ex-Ante Savings of Savings of Standards Standards Standards Standards Program Standard Portfolio Standards Standards with without with without Year Savings Savings with without Influence Influence Influence Influence (aMW) (aMW) Influence Influence Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation (as%of (as%of (as%of (as%of (aMW) (aMW) Standards) Standards) Total) Total) I I I I I I I I •/ I I I I I / / I / Ex-Post Ex-Post Ex-Post Ex-Post Standard Ex-Post Standard Ex-Post Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Savings of Savings of Savings of Savings of Ex-Post Ex-Post Savings of Savings of Standards Standards Standards Standards Program Standard Portfolio Standards Standards with without with without Year Savings Savings with without (aMW) (aMW) Influence Influence Influence Influence Influence Influence Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation (aMW) (aMW) (as%of (as%of (as%of (as%of Standards) Standards) Total) Total) The Evaluators conclude that standards in which no influence evaluation was completed for contributed 1.94 aMW (51%) of total evaluation period Ex-Ante savings towards standards Idaho Power electric, which is equivalent to 17%of total Ex-Ante measure, code, and standards savings combined.The Evaluators conclude that standards in which no influence evaluation was completed for contributed 0.49 aMW (47%) of total evaluation period Ex-Ante savings towards standards for Avista electric, which is equivalent to 18%of total Ex-Post measure, code, and standards savings combined. No savings from standards were claimed for Avista gas measures. However, after removing savings accrued in Oregon, Montana, and Washington by using the service territory allocation methodology, standards savings in which no influence evaluation was completed contributed less than 0.02 aMW(less than 1%)towards total Ex-Post savings for Idaho Power Electric, and 0.0 aMW (0%)towards Ex-Post savings for Avista electric. This demonstrates that the standards that lack influence evaluations contributes the majority(over 50%) of standards Ex-Ante savings and that the integration of influence evaluations for the standards which lack them could drastically reduce savings for standards overall. In order to ensure that only energy savings above market baseline is claimed by NEEA,the Evaluators recommend that third-party evaluations are completed for the federal standards claimed by NEEA in the table above, as well as any federal standards that NEEA claims savings for in the future. It is unreasonable to claim 100%of savings due to a federal standard update. Unless an evaluation is completed to quantify and validate NEEA influence towards federal standards updates, the savings should be categorized as naturally occurring baseline. 3.6.2.1.4 Funder Share Methodology Review As described in Section 3.3,the Evaluators calculated verified savings using the service territory allocation methodology.The service territory values were calculated by NEEA using confidential datasets from NEEA stakeholders.The Evaluators were unable to review the data or replicate the service territory values because the originating data is delivered to NEEA with non-disclosure agreements.The Evaluators used the service territory values as-displayed in the NEEA annual workbooks. The Evaluators note that NEEA calculated Ex-Ante savings for federal standards using funder share allocation. As described previously,the Evaluators conclude that the funder share methodology does not accurately reflect benefits claimed by Idaho utility customers.Therefore,the results displayed in this report reflect service territory savings.Additionally,the Evaluators recommend that Avista and Idaho Power request NEEA utilize service territory methodology for future NEEA annual savings reports in order to calculate energy savings and cost-effectiveness testing for the Commission. 3.6.2.2 Verified Ex Post Savings The Evaluators summarize verified Ex Post federal standards savings results by utility,fuel type, and program year in the tables below.The Evaluators provide initiative-level savings in Appendix A. Evaluation Results 81 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 81 of 122 Table 3-41:Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Program Year Ex Ante Ex Post RealizationM Year aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings 2017 1.45 0.36 24.70% 2018 1.15 0.04 3.88% 2019 0.40 0.09 23.49% 2020 0.41 0.40 97.88% 2021 0.41 0.40 98.46% Total 3.81 1.29 34.01% The overall verified realization rate for Idaho Power standards efforts due to NEEA was 34%.The Evaluators conclude this realization rate is due to two reasons:first, the Evaluators used the service territory allocation share to estimate Idaho savings. Second,the Evaluators identified and corrected any standards that lacked integration of influence evaluation quantitative estimates towards baseline units. Table 3-42:Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Program Year Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Savings Savings Rate 2017 0.37 0.10 26.87% 2018 0.30 0.10 34.85% 2019 0.09 0.04 41.00% 2020 0.09 0.11 124.51% 2021 0.09 0.12 125.13% Total 0.94 0.47 49.71% The overall verified realization rate for Avista electric standards efforts due to NEEA was 50%. Table 3-43:Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Program Year Ex Ante Ex Post—FRealization Year Therms Therms Rate Savings Savings 2019 0 0 N/A 2020 0 0 N/A 2021 0 0 N/A Total 0 0 N/A NEEA did not claim any standards gas initiatives in this timeframe. 3.6.2.3 Cost Effectiveness Results The Evaluators summarize verified cost effectiveness results in the tables below. The Evaluator allocated 14% of electric costs to codes and standards for 2017-2019 and 15%of electric costs to codes and standards for 2020-2021.The Evaluator allocated 1%of gas costs to codes and standards for 2019 and 9%of gas costs to codes and standards for 2020-2021.The distribution of costs aligns with NEEA's Evaluation Results 82 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 82 of 122 reported actual spending towards codes and standards. Further detail of measure-level cost- effectiveness is provided in Appendix B and further detail of NEEA cost breakdown is provided in Appendix C. Table 3-44:Idaho Power Electric Idaho Standard Cost Effectiveness by Program Year Program Year UCT Costs UCT Benefits UCT 2017 $77,800.13 $1,173,841.02 15.09 2018 $17,010.57 $270,271.44 15.89 2019 $13,790.76 $529,252.85 38.38 2020 $61,513.62 $2,433,071.48 39.55 2021 $108,258.31 $2,168,234.69 20.03 Total $278,373.40 $6,574,671.48 23.62 Table 3-45:Avista Electric Idaho Standard Cost Effectiveness by Program Year Program1 2017 $28,374 $717,397 25.28 2018 $25,286 $708,443 28.02 2019 $5,458 $283,445 51.94 2020 $16,403 $871,386 53.12 2021 $23,256 $623,376 26.81 Total $98,777 $3,204,048 32.44 NEEA does not provide any gas standards efforts in the Northwest region and therefore there is no cost- effectiveness testing completed for Avista Gas Idaho standards. As seen in the tables above, all standards efforts remained cost-effective using Idaho Power's and Avista's avoided costs and updated verified Ex Post savings within the state of Idaho. 3.6.2.4 Findings and Recommendations Similar to the efficiency measures findings, NEEA claimed savings for measures completed in Washington, Oregon, and Montana—therefore, some measures underestimated Idaho-specific savings, while others overestimated out-of-state savings. The overall effect of this change resulted in a lower than 100% realization rate. Based on the findings detailed above,the Evaluators present the following findings and recommendations based on our review of NEEA's federal standards measures: Evaluation Results 83 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 83 of 122 Table 3-46:Summary of Federal Standards Findings and Recommendations Findings Recommendations Finding#14:The Evaluators estimated verified Ex Post aMW for the standards efforts to display 34% and 50%realization rates for Idaho Power electric The Evaluators reference Recommendation#1: and Avista electric savings within the state of Idaho, The Evaluators recommend Avista and Idaho respectively.The difference between claimed request NEEA to report annual savings via the savings and verified savings is due to the change to service territory methodology for each measure using service territory allocation rather than funder claimed by NEEA for each Idaho Power electric, share allocation.A minor cause of discrepancy is due Avista electric,and Avista gas. to corrected baseline units using influence evaluation values. Finding#15: NEEA contracts third-party evaluators to conduct"influence evaluations"for each standard,which summarizes NEEA's overall Recommendation#8:The Evaluators recommend qualitative and quantitative influence towards that third-party evaluations are completed for the federal standards updates. NEEA uses the federal standards claimed by NEEA,as well as any quantitative assessment as an estimate of federal federal standards in which NEEA hopes to claim standards naturally occurring baseline.The savings for in the future. Using the quantitative Evaluators found that some of these influence estimate of NEEA influence,the Evaluators scores were not integrated properly to estimate recommend that NEEA calculate a naturally baseline units.The Evaluators also found more than occurring baseline for each standard. half(13 of 25)federal standard measures lack influence evaluations. 3.6.3 Codes In the table below,the Evaluators summarize the codes and new construction initiatives NEEA has claimed savings for within Avista Idaho and Idaho Power Idaho annual reports between 2017 and 2021. Evaluation Results 84 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 84 of 122 Table 3-47:NEEA Code Initiatives Claimed in 2017-2021 2006 1 ECC 2003 IECC w MT 2009 IECC 2009 WSEC 2009 Specialty amend. 2012 IECC w ID Residential Efficient 2012 WSEC 2011 Specialty 2009 IECC w MT amend. Homes 2015 WSEC 2012 Specialty amend. 2006 WSEC 2012 IECC w MT 2009 WSEC amend. 2012 WSEC Above code SF/MF Above code SF Above code SF/MF Above code SF Next Step building building building building Residential ENERGY STAR MF ENERGY STAR ENERGY STAR SF ENERGY STAR Homes Next Step Homes SF SF/MF 2018 IECC SF/MF Next Step Homes SF 2018 IECC SF ID HERS Residential WSEC 2015 MF 2011 Specialty SF 2018 IECC SF ID National ENERGY Residential New WSEC 2018 MF 2011 Specialty MF 2012 IECC w MT STAR Homes Construction WSEC 2018 SF 2017 Specialty MF amend. MF 2009 IECC MF 2018 IECC MF 2012 IECC w Idaho amend. MF 2018 IECC MF 2008 Or. Res Specialty 2011 Or. Res Other Codes 2006 WSEC Specialty 2009 IECC 2002009 IECC Residential 9 IECC (Multifamily) 2015 WSEC 2012 Or. Res 2012 IECC 2012 IECC Specialty 2017 Or. Res Specialty Commercial Commercial Code 2018 WSEC N/A N/A N/A Enhancement 2012 WSEC 2006 IECC Other Codes 2019 OZERCC 2012 IECC 2009 IECC Commercial (Commercial) 2015 WSEC 2021 OZERCC 2018 IECC 2012 IECC 2018 WSEC 2015 IECC As displayed in the table above, NEEA claimed codes and new construction savings for new construction single family and multifamily homes constructed in Washington, Oregon, Montana, and Idaho.The Evaluators are unable to reasonably assign out-of-state savings to Idaho without an evaluation verifying that out-of-state code updates lead to market transformation effects in Idaho. Additionally,the Evaluators recommend that influence evaluations are completed for each code update in order to estimate the proportion of savings NEEA may claim for its efforts towards building code updates, similarly to the NEEA influence evaluations completed for federal standards. It is likely that savings attributed to NEEA is currently being significantly overestimated, assuming that it is likely that Evaluation Results 85 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 85 of 122 similar code updates would have naturally occurred without NEEA participation in code update meetings. However, without NEEA influence evaluations completed for these code updates,the Evaluators assumed 100% code savings due to NEEA influence.The Evaluators did, however, remove non-Idaho code savings from all code initiatives to estimate savings that benefit Idaho customers directly. Therefore,this section reports verified code savings accrued within the state of Idaho only. The sections below summarize the reviews completed to estimate verified savings through NEEA code efforts: ■ Impact methodology review ■ Cost effectiveness results • Findings and recommendations 3.6.3.1 Impact Methodology Review In this section,the Evaluators summarize findings and recommendations for each of the following components towards verified impact results of NEEA's code updates: ■ Database and document review(Section 3.6.3.1.1) ■ UES review(Section 3.6.3.1.2) ■ Market transformation baseline review (Section 3.6.3.1.3) ■ Funder share methodology review(Section 3.6.3.1.4) 3.6.3.1.1 Database and Document Review The Evaluators reviewed each of the supplemental documents provided by NEEA, which included the following: ■ 2017-2021 annual savings reports for Avista electric,Avista gas, and Idaho Power electric ■ 2015 Idaho IECC UEC residential calculation approach ■ 2018 Idaho IECC UEC commercial calculation approach ■ Codes program logic model evaluations ■ Codes and standards contracts, including NEEA employee roles and responsibilities towards the codes program ■ Idaho energy code collaborative 5-year strategic plan ■ 2018 Idaho field study ■ Residential commercial codes logic models ■ Codes program market progress evaluation reports The Evaluators reviewed each of the documents above to identify and address any inconsistencies with data tracking methods and opportunities to improve year-over-year tracking of NEEA efforts. The Evaluators found during database review that a variety of fields are empty across code tracking data, similar to our finding for efficiency measure database review. The Evaluators summarize the Evaluation Results 86 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 86 of 122 missing values further in Appendix D. The Evaluators recommend that measure-level values are detailed as completely as possible. Most importantly,the Evaluators found that NEEA claims 100%of code-built home and facility savings 10 years after the code is implemented.Although NEEA integrates a compliance rate referenced from recent field studies,the Evaluators conclude that it is unreasonable to claim that 100%of code-built homes occur due to NEEA and stakeholder efforts. Code development and progress also displays a naturally occurring baseline. However, NEEA does not estimate a market baseline for code initiatives. In response to a data request for documents supporting code savings, NEEA delivered the following documentation: ■ Codes contracts:A workbook summarizing each of the contracts in progress and completed in relation to code education and training, code proposals, code analysis, code sponsorship, and code reporting for the 2017 through 2021 years. ■ Market progress evaluation reports (MPER): Reports summarizing the effectiveness of training and education activities and its associated outcomes ■ Savings methodology: Documentation regarding IECC unit energy calculations approach for newly updates codes ■ Code development:The history of Idaho's code adoptions of IECC over the last twenty years, an overview of code proposals NEEA funded or coordinated to have submitted, documentation of the process NEEA followed to prepare code proposals for 2018 IECC, including details of how NEEA commonly works with contractors to analyze and prepare code proposals that will benefit the Northwest, and documentation for how NEEA used the results of 2018 code proposals to prepare for the 2021 IECC code. ■ Field studies:The 2015 Idaho residential field study report The delivered documentation adequately summarizes NEEA's approach to collecting and submitting proposed changes to IECC codes, NEEA's scope for training and education within the region, estimation of total code-to-code savings, and compliance rates in the region. The above documents support NEEA claimed savings for Idaho code changes by estimating gross energy savings differences between previously implemented IECC code and newly implemented IECC code, as well as estimating regional compliance rates for new construction. However,the documentation provided does not provide details or support NEEA's policy for claiming 100%of code savings as NEEA- generated savings, nor does it provide any evaluation requests or estimation of NEEA-specific quantitative contributions to code savings. The Evaluators requested information, supporting documents, and/or evaluations of NEEA's contributions to support NEEA's policy to claim 100%of code savings. NEEA staff responded by stating the following: "[We claim] 100%of the amount of savings that we can measure through our code compliance studies. We have an ongoing building practices measurement where we go out into the field and find out how much of the code is being complied with. We don't assume 100%compliance.The Evaluation Results 87 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 87 of 122 agreement for NEEA to be 100%attributable was a settlement between the 4 states about 10 years ago.This was decided upon by the Cost Effectiveness Advisory Committee.Where we are today is a direct result of the settlement. NEEA has played such a large role in the code making process that CEAC decided this was a reasonable way to address NEEA's part in the code making process.This was a stipulated agreement between NEEA and state regulators." (NEEA Staff) The Evaluators asked NEEA staff how frequently this agreement is revisited and/or voted on. NEEA staff indicated that"every year, every single input assumption to every single savings claim is reviewed by CEAC. In theory, everything is open for comment and adjustment as needed. Which includes this 100% code savings factor." The Evaluators conclude that although compliance rate is integrated into claimed savings, it is likely that code savings are significantly overestimated due to this lack of baseline value, assuming that it is likely that similar code updates would not have been made without NEEA participation in code update meetings.The Evaluators highlight this lack of support as a large concern moving forward for claiming code savings. However,without proper evaluation work completed, and without prior similar work to reference for literature review,the Evaluators assume 100%savings for this evaluation work, with the expectation and recommendation for NEEA to integrate a baseline for code savings through evaluation of NEEA contributions in future program years. The Evaluators therefore recommend that an evaluation is completed for each code update to estimate NEEA's qualitative and quantitative influence towards the code update,which is currently completed for federal standard updates.This evaluation work will enable NEEA to estimate a baseline of homes that would have occurred without NEEA intervention in code meetings and updates. However, without NEEA influence evaluations completed for these code updates, the Evaluators assumed 100%code savings due to NEEA influence. Finally, as previously stated,the Evaluators conclude that out-of-state code buildings are currently being attributed to Idaho utilities.The Evaluators are skeptical that spillover from out-of-state code changes result in energy savings within the state of Idaho.The Evaluators recommend that if NEEA continue to allocate out-of-state code savings to Idaho utilities, an evaluation is completed that defends such assumptions. 3.6.3.1.2 UES Review The Evaluators reviewed each of the supplemental documents provided by NEEA, which included the following: ■ 2017-2021 annual savings reports for Avista electric,Avista gas, and Idaho Power electric ■ 2015 Idaho IECC UEC residential calculation approach ■ 2018 Idaho IECC UEC commercial calculation approach ■ 2018 Idaho field study ■ Codes program market progress evaluation reports Evaluation Results 88 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 88 of 122 The Evaluators reviewed each of the unit energy savings (UES)values assigned to each code update in which savings are claimed by NEEA. NEEA utilizes UES values determined by third-party evaluators for each of the code updates claimed. Each measure unit-level savings is weighted by heating and cooling zone across three housing types (single family, multifamily, and manufactured home), and across facility types for nonresidential code updates.These values are then multiplied by the net market units for each measure after netting out baseline units for each measure, described in further detail in 3.6.2.1.3.1. NEEA gathers the electric use, natural gas use, and total building area values developed by third-party evaluators to calculate the difference in energy use per square foot of building between code changes in IECC-code-built buildings. Due to the thorough third-party evaluations and estimates of UES verified for use by NEEA,the Evaluators do not note any concern or discrepancies with the code's energy per square-foot values applied to estimate NEEA savings for code-built buildings. Instead,the Evaluators focused on the rationality of NEEA's high-level application of regional units, baseline methodology, allocation methodology, and overall allocation of savings for each Avista and Idaho Power. 3.6.3.1.3 Market Transformation Baseline Review As described previously, NEEA claims savings for each IECC standard in Washington, Montana, Idaho, and Oregon.The current baseline for each of the IECC codes is the previously implemented IECC code. Therefore,to claim savings for residential buildings completed to meet IECC 2009 in Idaho, NEEA estimates the regional baseline as the total number of households built to prior code (IECC 2006). Similarly,to claim savings for residential buildings completed to meet IECC 2012 in Idaho with Idaho amendments, NEEA estimates the baseline regional units as the total number of households built to IECC 2009 code.The Evaluators provide the following figure to summarize NEEA's general methodology for claiming savings for code-built households in the Northwest region. Evaluation Results 89 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 89 of 122 Figure 3-14: Example of Single-Family Code Savings Claimed by NEEA s 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 IECC 2006 IECC 2009 IECC 2012 with Idaho Amendments ■NEEA-claimed savings for IECC 2012 with Idaho amendments ■NEEA-claimed savings for IECC 2009 ■NEEA-claimed savings for IECC 2006 *Proportions in figure above are not indicative of actual incremental savings The Evaluators note that NEEA does not assume 100%compliance rate. NEEA savings calculations integrate observed code compliance rates for each state based on code compliance studies,which are completed every one or two years.Therefore, each of the IECC code update savings are weighted by actual compliance within each state using the most recent, third party-evaluated, state-level field study. Currently, NEEA currently assumes a compliance rate of 75%for Idaho.The Evaluators agree with this approach and recommend continuing to include compliance rates in order to prevent claiming savings from homes that are not 100%compliant. The Evaluators note concern about specific code savings methodologies and policies currently implemented by NEEA: ■ Currently, NEEA does not complete third-party evaluations of NEEA"influence"towards codes updates as is currently done for federal standards updates.Therefore, NEEA currently claims 100%savings for code-built homes. As summarized in the standards influence evaluations summarized in Table 3-35, NEEA influence towards standards ranges between 2.6%and 61%. If codes are evaluated similarly, and portray a similar range of influence, NEEA code savings could be significantly overrepresenting savings. ■ NEEA's current policy is to report 100%of code-built residential and commercial building savings (while integrating compliance rates)for 10 years after the effective code update date. Currently, NEEA does not maintain a model to estimate naturally occurring baseline over time, as it does for its energy efficiency measures. Essentially,the current NEEA methodology assumes that there would be a 10-year lag in current residential and commercial building code if NEEA did not participate in code update efforts. ■ NEEA currently allocates out-of-state code compliance savings to Idaho utilities. Similarly, NEEA currently allocates Idaho code compliance savings to out-of-state utilities. However, NEEA has Evaluation Results 90 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 90 of 122 stated that starting in 2022, code savings will be allocated via service territory allocation. If this NEEA converts all code savings calculations to utilize service territory methodology, state-level code savings will be claimed only by utilities within the state. However, if NEEA continues to utilize funder share methodology for code savings,the Evaluators recommend that NEEA complete an evaluation which can demonstrate energy savings from out-of-state code updates can be realized across states, and specifically,within Idaho. 3.6.3.1.4 Funder Share Methodology Review As described in Section 3.3,the Evaluators calculated verified savings using the service territory allocation methodology.The service territory values were calculated by NEEA using confidential datasets from NEEA stakeholders.The Evaluators were unable to review the data or replicate the service territory values because the originating data is delivered to NEEA with non-disclosure agreements.The Evaluators used the service territory values as displayed in the NEEA annual workbooks. The Evaluators note that NEEA calculated Ex-Ante savings for code measures using a mix of service territory share and funder share allocation for the measures it claims savings for.The rationale behind using one methodology over the other is unclear. As described previously,the Evaluators conclude that the funder share methodology does not accurately reflect benefits claimed by Idaho utility customers.Therefore,the results displayed in this report reflect service territory savings.Additionally,the Evaluators recommend that Avista and Idaho Power request NEEA utilize service territory methodology for future NEEA annual savings reports in order to calculate energy savings and cost-effectiveness testing for the Commission. 3.6.3.2 Verified Ex Post Savings The Evaluators summarize verified Ex Post code savings results by utility, fuel type, and program year in the tables below.The Evaluators provide initiative-level savings in Appendix A. Table 3-48:Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Program Year Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Year aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings 2017 0.89 1.24 138.75% 2018 1.23 0.85 68.91% 2019 1.32 2.22 168.03% 2020 1.12 2.17 194.85% 2021 1.00 1.15 115.07% Total 5.56 7.63 137.25% The Evaluators emphasize that the savings from codes are likely overestimated due to lack of influence evaluations. The Evaluators pose that it is unreasonable to claim 100%of code savings due to NEEA participation in code update meetings.As stated previously,the Evaluators recommend that influence evaluations are completed for all code updates NEEA claims savings for.The resulting influence score will then be used to allocate a portion of total code savings towards NEEA efforts. Evaluation Results 91 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 91 of 122 The overall verified realization rate for Idaho Power code efforts due to NEEA was 137%. Although the Evaluators zeroed out non-Idaho code savings,the Idaho service territory allocation share for Idaho code new construction completes outweighed the deficit created by out-of-state new construction completes.The funder share methodology overestimated out-of-state code savings while underestimating Idaho code savings. The overall effect of this was a larger savings effect than estimated using the funder share allocation methodology. However,the Evaluators note again that these code savings are likely still overestimated due to lack of influence evaluation towards a naturally occurring baseline for code updates. Table 3-49:Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Program Year Ex Post Realization i Ex Ante Savings Savings 2017 0.18 0.18 99.88% F2018 0.22 0.22 100.00% 2019 0.28 0.43 153.74% 2020 0.24 0.34 143.02% 2021 0.21 0.25 115.20% Total 1.13 1.41 125.40% The overall verified realization rate for Avista electric code efforts due to NEEA was 125%, also for the reasons listed above. Table 3-50:Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Program Year Ex Ante Ex Post Realizationn Year Therms Therms Rate Savings Savings 2019 43,109 22,808 52.91% 2020 5,678 385 6.79% 2021 15 2,881 152,881 100.00 Total 201,667 176,074 87.31% The overall verified realization rate for Avista gas code efforts due to NEEA was 87%, also for the reasons listed above.A large portion of Ex Ante code savings accrued in 2019 and the large majority of Ex Ante code savings accrued 2020 due to Washington, Oregon, and Montana new construction projects. In 2021, NEEA claimed savings only for Idaho code updates.The overall realization rate across these program years for code gas saving is less than 100%. 3.6.3.3 Cost Effectiveness Results The Evaluators summarize verified cost effectiveness results in the tables below. The Evaluator allocated 14% of electric costs to codes and standards for 2017-2019 and 15%of electric costs to codes and standards for 2020-2021.The Evaluator allocated 1%of gas costs to codes and standards for 2019 and Evaluation Results 92 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 92 of 122 9%of gas costs to codes and standards for 2020-2021.The distribution of costs aligns with NEEA's reported actual spending towards codes and standards. Further detail of measure-level cost- effectiveness is provided in Appendix B and further detail of NEEA cost breakdown is provided in Appendix C. Table 3-51:Idaho Power Electric Idaho Code Cost Effectiveness by Program Year Program Year UCT Costs UCT Benefits UCT 2017 $268,851.90 $11,734,281.85 43.65 2018 $324,071.89 $9,167,250.01 28.29 2019 $327,192.90 $17,177,751.00 52.50 2020 $335,567.24 $17,595,234.34 52.43 2021 $311,681.75 $8,321,577.44 26.70 Total $1,567,365.68 $63,996,094.65 40.83 Table 3-52:Avista Electric Idaho Code Cost Effectiveness by Program Year Program Year UCT Costs UCT Benefits UCT 2017 $50,484 $2,156,341 42.71 2018 $52,305 $3,425,488 65.49 2019 $79,600 $7,331,020 92.10 2020 $49,354 $4,212,726 85.36 2021 $49,803 $2,618,611 52.58 Total $281,545 $19,744,185 70.13 Table 3-53:Avista Gas Idaho Code Cost Effectiveness by Program Year 2019 $1,967 $315,142 160.23 2020 $13,147 $6,048 0.46 2021 $14,863 $2,491,877 167.66 Total $29,977 $2,813,068 93.84 As seen in the tables above, all code efforts remained cost-effective using the Idaho Power and Avista avoided costs and updated verified Ex Post savings within the state of Idaho. 3.6.3.4 Findings and Recommendations Similar to the efficiency measures findings, NEEA claimed savings for measures completed in Washington, Oregon, and Montana—therefore, some measures underestimated Idaho-specific savings, while others overestimated out-of-state savings. The overall effect of this change resulted in a higher than 100% realization rate. Evaluation Results 93 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 93 of 122 Based on the findings detailed above,the Evaluators present the following findings and recommendations based on our review of NEEA's code initiatives: Table 3-54:Summary of Code Findings and Recommendations Findings Recommendations Finding#16:The Evaluators estimated verified Ex Post aMW for the code efforts to display 137%, 125%,and 87%realization rates for Idaho Power electric,Avista electric,and Avista gas savings within The Evaluators reference Recommendation#1: the state of Idaho, respectively.The difference The Evaluators recommend Avista and Idaho between claimed savings and verified savings is due request NEEA to report annual savings via the to the change to using service territory allocation service territory methodology for each measure rather than funder share allocation. Overall,the claimed by NEEA for each Idaho Power electric, funder share allocation underestimated Idaho- Avista electric,and Avista gas. specific code savings using the current NEEA practice of claiming 100%code savings for 10 years after code is implemented. The Evaluators reference Finding#10 also applies The Evaluators reference Recommendation#6: for the codes review:The database review revealed The Evaluators recommend that measure-level that a variety of fields(measure life, UES)were values are detailed accurately and that each field is empty across measure types due to lack of savings completed in the workbook to allow for year-over- claimed for the measure,which made verification of year tracking of regional units, baseline units, values difficult and complicates tracking of a retirement units, and unit energy savings values measure progress overtime over time. Finding#17:Currently, NEEA does not complete third-party evaluations of NEEA"influence"towards codes updates as is currently done for federal standards updates.Therefore, NEEA currently claims 100%savings for code-built homes.As summarized in the standards influence evaluations summarized in Table 3-35, NEEA influence towards standards ranges between 2.6%and 61%. If codes are evaluated similarly,and portray a similar range of influence, NEEA code savings could be significantly Recommendation#9:The Evaluators recommend overrepresenting savings. NEEA's current policy is to an evaluation is completed for each code update report 100%of code-built residential and to estimate NEEA's qualitative and quantitative commercial building savings(while integrating influence towards the code update. compliance rates)for 10 years after the effective code update date.Currently, NEEA does not maintain a model to estimate naturally occurring baseline over time, as it does for its energy efficiency measures. Essentially,the current NEEA methodology assumes that there would be a 10-year lag in current residential and commercial building code if NEEA did not participate in code update efforts. Finding#18:The Evaluators reviewed simulation Evaluation Results 94 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 94 of 122 Findings Recommendations model methodology used by NEEA to estimate code savings and found that UES methodology for code savings do not present any concerns. Evaluation Results 95 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 95 of 122 NEEA Impacts on IPC and Avista Within the State of Idaho 4 Appendix A: Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative This section summarizes the Evaluator's verified Ex Post savings for each Avista electric,Avista gas, and Idaho Power electric, parsed by program year, and initiative. 4.1 Efficiency Measures This section summarizes the realization rates for efficiency measure savings. 4.1.1 Idaho Power Electric This section summarizes the realization rates for Idaho Power electric measure verified savings. Table 4-1:PY2017 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative Savings Savings Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES) 0.00 0.00 0.00% Commissioning Buildings 0.03 0.00 0.00% Ductless Heat Pumps 0.06 0.00 6.72% Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.10 0.01 5.68% Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.00 0.00 0.00% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement 0.03 0.06 198.85% Retail Products Portfolio 0.02 0.02 75.23 Super-Efficient Dryers 0.05 0.02 32.89% Televisions 0.02 0.02 103.12% Total 0.31 0.12 39.20% Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 96 of 122 Table 4-2: PY2018 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post IrRealization Savings Savings Rate Building Operator Certification Expansion 0.00 0.00 0.00% Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES) 0.03 0.00 0.00% Commissioning Buildings-Commercial 0.02 0.00 0.00% Commissioning Buildings-Industrial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Desktop Power Supplies 0.15 0.11 73.13% Ductless Heat Pumps 0.03 0.00 0.00% Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.04 0.00 0.00% Other Strategic Energy Management-Industrial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Other Strategic Energy Management- 0.00% Commercial 0.00 0.00 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement- Commercial 0.05 0.00 0.00% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial 0.01 0.00 0.00% Retail Product Portfolio 0.02 0.01 57.04% Super-Efficient Dryers 0.05 0.03 65.20% Televisions 0.00 0.00 104.70% Total 0.40 0.15 38.34% Table 4-3: PY2019 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative X Ante M�wx Post Realization Initiative MRNVF aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Commissioning Buildings-Commercial 0.03 0.00 0.00% Commissioning Buildings-Industrial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Desktop Power Supplies 0.01 0.01 79.15% Ductless Heat Pumps 0.05 0.00 1.02% Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.04 0.00 3.74% Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.00 0.00 0.00% Manufactured Homes 0.00 0.00 0.00% Other Strategic Energy Management-Industrial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Other Strategic Energy Management- 0.00% Commercial 0.00 0.00 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement- Commercial 0.04 0.04 85.46% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial 0.01 0.01 85.46% Retail Product Portfolio 0.01 0.00 6.92% Super-Efficient Dryers 0.08 0.06 81.85% Televisions 0.00 0.00 0.00% Total 0.28 0.12 43.78% Appendix A:Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative 97 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 97 of 122 Table 4-4: PY2020 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post IrRealization Savings Savings Rate Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES) 0.00 0.00 0.00% Commissioning Buildings-Commercial 0.03 0.00 0.00% Commissioning Buildings-Industrial 0.01 0.00 18.80% Desktop Power Supplies 0.01 0.00 0.00% Ductless Heat Pumps 0.06 0.00 5.17% Extended Motor Products-Residential 0.01 0.00 5.00% Extended Motor Products-Commercial 0.01 0.00 28.78% Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.08 0.00 4.17% Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.01 0.01 56.71% Manufactured Homes 0.01 0.00 0.00% Other Strategic Energy Management- Commercial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Other Strategic Energy Management-Industrial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement- Commercial 0.04 0.04 105.76% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial 0.01 0.01 105.09% Retail Product Portfolio 0.12 0.08 65.79% Total 0.39 0.14 37.32% Table 4-5: PY2021 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative --inow- Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Initiative aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Commissioning Buildings 0.00 0.00 0.00% Desktop Power Supplies 0.01 0.00 0.00% Ductless Heat Pumps 0.05 0.00 2.96% Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.10 0.00 4.18% Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.01 0.00 51.59% Manufactured Homes 0.01 0.00 0.00% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement- a Commercial 0.02 0.02 105.99/0 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial 0.00 0.00 105.99% Retail Product Portfolio 0.17 0.11 67.14% Window Attachments 0.00 0.00 0.00% XMP Pumps-Residential 0.03 0.00 4.19% XMP Pumps-Industrial 0.02 0.01 26.24% Total 0.42 0.15 36.93% 4.1.2 Avista Electric This section summarizes the realization rates for Avista electric measure verified savings. Table 4-6:PY2017 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative Appendix A:Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative 98 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 98 of 122 Ex Ante Ex Post I Initiative aMW aMW Realization Savings Savings Rate Commissioning Buildings 0.00 0.00 0.00% Ductless Heat Pumps 0.01 0.00 10.20% Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.03 0.02 68.73% Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.00 0.00 0.00% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement 0.00 0.00 98.27% Retail Product Portfolio 0.00 0.00 42.21% Super-Efficient Dryers 0.01 0.01 94.03% Televisions 0.01 0.01 100.00% Total 0.06 0.03 57.68% Table 4-7:PY2018 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post Realization 7witiative aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Commissioning Buildings-Commercial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Commissioning Buildings-Industrial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Desktop Power Supplies 0.02 0.02 100.00% Ductless Heat Pumps 0.01 0.00 6.02% Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.01 0.00 57.22% Manufactured Homes 0.00 0.00 0.00% Other Strategic Energy Management- Commercial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement- Commercial 0.00 0.00 98.89% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial 0.00 0.00 98.89% Retail Product Portfolio 0.00 0.00 54.86% Super-Efficient Dryers 0.01 0.01 93.09% Televisions 0.00 0.00 99.98% Total 0.06 0.04 73.37% Table 4-8:PY2019 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative Ex Ante T Realization Initiative aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Commissioning Buildings-Commercial 0.01 0.00 0.00% Commissioning Buildings-Industrial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Desktop Power Supplies 0.00 0.00 79.14% Ductless Heat Pumps 0.01 0.00 4.01% Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.01 0.00 43.16% Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.00 0.00 0.00% Manufactured Homes 0.00 0.00 0.00% Other Strategic Energy Management-Industrial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Other Strategic Energy Management-Commercial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Commercial 0.01 0.00 30.55% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial 0.00 0.00 31.71% Appendix A:Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative 99 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 99 of 122 Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Initiative aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Retail Product Portfolio 0.00 0.00 11.15% Super-Efficient Dryers 0.02 0.02 109.48% Total 0.06 0.03 46.97% Table 4-9:PY2O20 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative x Ante Ex Post Realization Initiative aMW aMW Rate 'Savings Savings Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES) 0.00 0.00 0.00% Commissioning Buildings-Commercial 0.01 0.00 0.00% Commissioning Buildings-Industrial 0.00 0.00 41.60% Desktop Power Supplies 0.00 0.00 0.00% Ductless Heat Pumps 0.01 0.00 9.35% Extended Motor Products-Residential 0.00 0.00 0.00% Extended Motor Products-Commercial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.01 0.00 0.00% Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.00 0.00 0.00% Manufactured Homes 0.00 0.00 0.00% Other Strategic Energy Management-Industrial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Other Strategic Energy Management-Commercial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Commercial 0.01 0.00 27.67% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial 0.00 0.00 27.49% Retail Product Portfolio 0.02 0.03 114.44% Televisions 0.00 0.00 0.00% Total 0.08 0.03 39.76% Table 4-10: PY2021 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post!_rRea I ization _IUMInitiative aMW aMW Savings Savings Rate Commissioning Buildings-Commercial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Desktop Power Supplies 0.00 0.00 0.00% Ductless Heat Pumps 0.01 0.00 20.19% Heat Pump Water Heaters 0.02 0.00 0.00% Luminaire Level Lighting Controls 0.00 0.00 0.00% Manufactured Homes 0.00 0.00 0.00% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement- Commercial 0.00 0.00 27.73% Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial 0.00 0.00 27.73% Retail Product Portfolio 0.03 0.04 112.24% Window Attachments 0.00 0.00 0.00% XMP Pumps-Residential 0.01 0.00 0.00% XMP Pumps-Commercial 0.00 0.00 0.00% Total 0.08 0.04 48.21% Appendix A:Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative 100 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 100 of 122 4.1.3 Avista Gas This section summarizes the realization rates for Avista gas measure verified savings. Table 4-11: PY2019 Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post _� Realization Initiative Therm Therm Rate Savings Savings Condensing Rooftop Units 1 636 0 0.00%77 Total 636 0 0.00% Table 4-12: PY202O Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Initiative Therm Therm Rate Savings Savings Condensing Rooftop Units 0 0 N/A Efficient Gas Water Heaters 0 0 N/A Total 0 0 N/A Table 4-13: PY2021 Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Efficiency Measure Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Initiative Therm Therm Rate Savings Savings Efficient Gas Water Heaters 0 0 N/A Efficient Rooftop Units 0 0 N/A Total 0 0 N/A 4.2 Standards This section summarizes the realization rates for standards savings. 4.2.1 Idaho Power Electric This section summarizes the realization rates for Idaho Power electric standards verified savings. Table 4-14: PY2O17 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Initiative aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Drive Power 0.03 0.06 216.45% Other Non-Residential Standards 0.27 0.29 108.52% Other Residential Standards 1.15 0.00 0.12 Total 1.45 0.36 24.70% Appendix A:Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative 101 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 101 of 122 Table 4-15: PY2018 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative Ex Ante 40�MFE_x Post IrRealization Savings Savings Rate Drive Power 0.02 0.00 0.00% Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial 0.08 0.02 29.61% Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial 0.22 0.02 8.49% Other Residential Standards 0.82 0.00 0.16% Total 1.15 0.04 3.88% Table 4-16: PY2019 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative Ex AnteTEa Post Realizatio �W W Ini lativU aM aMW Rate Savings Savings Drive Power 0.01 0.00 11.90% Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial 0.08 0.03 40.51% Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial 0.23 0.00 0.00% Other Residential Standards 0.07 0.06 81.29% Total 0.40 0.09 23.49% Table 4-17: PY2020 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative M JEW ExA Ex Post Rate Savings Savings Drive Power 0.00 0.00 0.00% Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial 0.09 0.04 43.64% Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial 0.23 0.30 128.37% Other Non-Residential Standards-Agricultural 0.00 0.00 257.68% Other Residential Standards 0.08 0.06 75.37% Total 0.41 0.40 97.88% Table 4-18: PY2020 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post Initiative aMW aMW Realization Savings Savings Rate Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial 0.10 0.04 43.48% Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial 0.24 0.30 128.37% Other Non-Residential Standards-Agricultural 0.00 0.00 257.68% Other Residential Standards 0.07 0.06 74.00% Total 0.41 0.40 98.46% Appendix A:Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative 102 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 102 of 122 4.2.2 Avista Electric This section summarizes the realization rates for Avista electric standards verified savings. Table 4-19: PY2017 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative Ex Ante�G�Ex Post OF— IrRealization Savings Savings Rate Drive Power 0.01 0.02 111.91% Other Non-Residential Standards 0.09 0.08 91.43% Other Residential Standards 0.26 0.00 0.16% Total 0.37 0.10 26.87% Table 4-20:PY2O18 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative Ex Ante x CIS I Realization -WinitWiative aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Drive Power 0.01 0.01 100.00% Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial 0.02 0.01 63.92% Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial 0.08 0.08 100.00% Other Residential Standards 0.19 0.00 0.22% Total 0.29 0.10 34.85% Table 4-21: PY2019 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative Ex Ante I Ex Post Realization Initiative aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Drive Power 0.00 0.01 293.18% Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial 0.02 0.01 69.19% Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial 0.05 0.00 0.00% Other Residential Standards 0.02 0.02 99.67% Total 0.09 0.04 41.00% Table 4-22: PY2020 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Initiative aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Drive Power 0.00 0.00 0.00% Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial 0.02 0.01 63.24% Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial 0.05 0.08 157.01% Other Non-Residential Standards-Agricultural 0.00 0.00 258.22% Other Residential Standards 0.02 0.02 92.40% Total 0.09 0.11 122.33% Appendix A:Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative 103 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 103 of 122 Table 4-23: PY2021 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Standards Savings by Initiative Ex Ante 90�MrEx Post Realization Savings Savings Drive Power 0.00 0.00 N/A Other Non-Residential Standards—Commercial 0.02 0.01 62.90% Other Non-Residential Standards—Industrial 0.05 0.08 157.01% Other Non-Residential Standards—Agricultural 0.00 0.00 258.22% Other Residential Standards 0.02 0.02 102.71% Total 0.09 0.12 125.13% 4.2.3 Avista Gas NEEA did not claim any standards update savings for gas measures. 4.3 Codes This section summarizes the realization rates for code savings. As stated in Section 3.6.3, the following results are presented with a caveat: currently, NEEA does not conduct influence evaluations for code updates. It is likely that these code savings are overestimated since a naturally occurring baseline is not integrated. However, without NEEA influence evaluations completed for these code updates, and with no literature to reference on similar code-based evaluations, the Evaluators assumed 100%code savings due to NEEA influence. 4.3.1 Idaho Power Electric This section summarizes the realization rates for Idaho Power electric code verified savings. Table 4-24: PY2017 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative — Ex Ante Ex Postq 97 Realization Savings Savings Efficient Homes 0.35 0.60 172.50% Other Codes(Commercial) 0.38 0.34 90.56% Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.05 0.02 46.03% Residential New Construction/Next Step Homes 0.11 0.26 245.22% Total 0.89 1.24 138.75 Table 4-25: PY2018 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post '077-alization I _mMF"'Inn7tiative� aMW aMW Re Rate Savings Savings Efficient Homes 0.38 0.81 215.05% Other Codes(Commercial) 0.62 0.00 0.00% Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.05 0.04 73.04% Appendix A:Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative 104 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 104 of 122 Ex Ante Ex Post I Realization Initiative aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Residential New Construction/Next Step Homes 1 0.18 0.00 0.00% Total 1.23 0.85 68.91% Table 4-26: PY2019 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post 7 Realization Initiative aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Efficient Homes 0.37 0.81 217.23% Next Step Homes 0.21 0.47 225.25% Other Codes(Commercial) 0.69 0.92 132.61% Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.04 0.02 38.13% Total 1.32 2.22 168.03% Table 4-27: PY2020 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Initiative aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Efficient Homes 0.32 0.89 281.70% Next Step Homes 0.22 0.50 222.51% Other Codes(Commercial) 0.54 0.77 142.92% Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.04 0.02 41.94% Total 1.12 2.17 194.85% Table 4-28: PY2021 Summary of Idaho Power Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative Ex Ante ., Rea a ion -TMW Rate Savings Savings A Efficient Homes 0.27 0.60 223.90% Other Codes(Commercial) 0.40 0.46 113.98% Residential New Construction 0.33 0.09 27.15% Total 1.00 1.15 115.07% 4.3.2 Avista Electric This section summarizes the realization rates for Avista electric code verified savings. Appendix A:Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative 105 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 105 of 122 Table 4-29: PY2017 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative Ex Ante 'WrEx Post 0 Savings Savings Rate Efficient Homes 0.09 0.09 100.00% Other Codes(Commercial) 0.07 0.07 100.00% Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.01 0.01 100.00% Residential New Construction/Next Step Homes 0.01 0.01 96.99% Total 0.18 0.18 99.88% Table 4-30:PY2O18 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative 11111111111111VInitiativf-"d Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Savings Savings Efficient Homes 0.11 0.11 100.00% Other Codes(Commercial) 0.08 0.08 100.00% Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.01 0.01 100.00% Residential New Construction/Next Step Homes 0.01 0.01 100.00% Total 0.22 0.22 100.00% Table 4-31:PY2O19 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Initiative aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Efficient Homes 0.08 0.12 154.66% Next Step Homes 0.05 0.11 236.51% Other Codes(Commercial) 0.15 0.20 133.91% Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.01 0.00 42.77% Total 0.28 0.43 153.74% Table 4-32:PY2020 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative Ex Ante I Ex Post Realization Initiative aMW aMW Rate Savings Savings Efficient Homes 0.06 1 0.10 161.42% Next Step Homes 0.05 0.06 134.25% Other Codes(Commercial) 0.12 0.17 142.74% Other Codes(Multifamily) 0.01 0.00 52.83% Total 0.24 0.34 143.02% Appendix A:Verified Ex Post Savings by Initiative 106 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 106 of 122 Table 4-33: PY2021 Summary of Avista Idaho Electric Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative Ex Ante 'WrEx Post Savings Savings Rate Efficient Homes 0.06 0.07 123.85% Other Codes(Commercial) 0.09 0.10 111.55% Residential New Construction 0.07 0.08 112.68% Total 0.21 0.25 115.20% 4.3.3 Avista Gas This section summarizes the realization rates for Avista electric code verified savings. Table 4-34: PY2019 Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post Therm Therm I FRWe a r lization LM Savings Savings Rate "Next Homes 43,109 1 22,808 1 52.91% Total 43,109_1 22,808 1 52.91% Table 4-35: PY2020 Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative Ex Ante I Ex Post I Realization Initiative Therm Therm Rate Savings Savings Next Step Homes 5,678 385 6.79% Total 5,6781 385 6.79% Table 4-36: PY2021 Summary of Avista Idaho Gas Verified Ex Post Code Savings by Initiative Ex Ante Ex Post Realization Initiative Therm Therm Rate Savings Savings Residential New Construction 152,881 152,881 100.00% Other Codes(Commercial) 0.00 0.00 N/A Total 152,881 152,881 100.00% 5 Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results 5.1 Efficiency Measures This section summarizes the cost effectiveness tests for efficiency measure savings. Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results 107 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 107 of 122 5.1.1 Idaho Power Electric This section summarizes the cost effectiveness results for Idaho Power electric measures. Table 5-1:PY2017 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Building Operator Certification Expansion -Commercial- $0 $0 0.00 Large Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES)-industrial $0 $0 0.00 Commissioning Buildings-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Ductless Heat Pumps-Residential $76,441 $17,513 0.23 Heat Pump Water Heaters-Residential $101,261 $28,386 0.28 Luminaire Level Lighting Controls-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Commercial-Large $1,155,809 $235,198 0.20 Residential Lighting-Residential $0 $0 0.00 Retail Product Portfolio-Residential $273,673 $61,990 0.23 Super-Efficient Dryers-Residential $275,738 $72,602 0.26 Televisions-Residential $303,217 $50,931 0.17 Total $2,186,140 $466,619 0.21 Table 5-2:PY2018 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Building Operator Certification Expansion-Commercial- $0 $0 0.00 Large Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES)-Industrial $0 $0 0.00 Commissioning Buildings-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Commissioning Buildings- Industrial $0 $0 0.00 Desktop Power Supplies-Commercial-Large $1,537,781 $241,160 0.16 Ductless Heat Pumps-Residential $0 $0 0.00 Heat Pump Water Heaters-Residential $0 $0 0.00 Manufactured Homes-Residential $0 $0 0.00 Other Strategic Energy Management-Industrial $0 $0 0.00 Other Strategic Energy Management-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial $0 $0 0.00 Retail Product Portfolio- Residential $121,903 $58,449 0.48 Super-Efficient Dryers-Residential $453,479 $155,218 0.34 Televisions-Residential $37,852 $8,294 0.22 Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results 108 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 108 of 122 Total $2,151,016 $463,122 0.22 Table 5-3: PY2019 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Building Operator Certification Expansion-Commercial- $0 $0 0.00 Large Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES) -Industrial $0 $0 0.00 Commercial Code Enhancement-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Commissioning Buildings-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Commissioning Buildings-Industrial $0 $0 0.00 Desktop Power Supplies-Commercial-Large $159,989 $17,355 0.11 Ductless Heat Pumps-Residential $9,673 $1,973 0.20 Heat Pump Water Heaters-Residential $23,768 $6,127 0.26 Luminaire Level Lighting Controls-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Manufactured Homes-Residential $0 $0 0.00 Other Strategic Energy Management-Industrial $0 $0 0.00 Other Strategic Energy Management-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Commercial-Large $675,913 $123,236 0.18 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial $167,547 $30,548 0.18 Residential Lighting-Residential $0 $0 0.00 Retail Product Portfolio-Residential $8,693 $2,510 0.29 Super-Efficient Dryers-Residential $1,104,808 $266,593 0.24 Televisions-Residential $0 $0 0.00 Total $2,150,393 $448,341 0.21 Table 5-4:PY202O Idaho Power Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Building Operator Certification Expansion-Commercial- $0 $0 0.00 Large Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES)-Industrial $0 $0 0.00 Commercial Code Enhancement-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Commissioning Buildings-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Commissioning Buildings-Industrial $13,915 $1,780 0.13 Desktop Power Supplies-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Ductless Heat Pumps-Residential $48,160 $11,844 0.25 Extended Motor Products-Residential $8,254 $2,381 0.29 Extended Motor Products-Commercial-Large $61,653 $23,976 0.39 Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results 109 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 109 of 122 Heat Pump Water Heaters-Residential $48,619 $14,973 0.31 Luminaire Level Lighting Controls-Commercial-Large $82,678 $25,433 0.31 Manufactured Homes-Residential $0 $0 0.00 Other Strategic Energy Management-Industrial $0 $0 0.00 Other Strategic Energy Management-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Commercial-Large $584,542 $126,571 0.22 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial $143,053 $30,975 0.22 Residential Lighting-Residential $0 $0 0.00 Retail Product Portfolio-Residential $1,224,230 $372,922 0.30 Super-Efficient Dryers-Residential $0 $0 0.00 Televisions-Residential $0 $0 0.00 Total $2,215,103 $610,855 0.28 Table 5-5:PY2021 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Initiative UCT Benefits LICT Commissioning Buildings-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Desktop Power Supplies-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Ductless Heat Pumps-Residential $23,906 $6,085 0.25 Heat Pump Water Heaters-Residential $61,897 $16,483 0.27 Luminaire Level Lighting Controls-Commercial -Large $65,807 $16,850 0.26 Manufactured Homes-Residential $0 $0 0.00 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Commercial-Large $309,492 $51,618 0.17 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial $61,851 $10,316 0.17 Retail Product Portfolio-Residential $1,713,122 $465,264 0.27 Window Attachments-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 XMP Pumps-Residential $17,362 $4,294 0.25 XMP Pumps-Commercial-Large $89,185 $31,239 0.35 Total $2,342,622 $602,149 0.26 5.1.2 Avista Electric This section summarizes the cost effectiveness results for Avista electric measures. Table 5-6:PY2017 Avista Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Commissioning Buildings-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Ductless Heat Pumps-Residential $18,720 $10,772 0.58 Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results 110 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 110 of 122 Heat Pump Water Heaters-Residential $257,390 $99,636 0.39 Luminaire Level Lighting Controls-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Commercial-Large $22,674 $4,869 0.21 Retail Product Portfolio-Residential $25,272 $5,313 0.21 Total $324,057 $120,589 0.37 Table 5-7:PY2018 Avista Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Building Operator Certification Expansion -Commercial- $0 $0 Large Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES)-Industrial $0 $0 Commissioning Buildings-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Commissioning Buildings-Industrial $0 $0 Desktop Power Supplies-Commercial-Large $270,624 $39,975 0.15 Ductless Heat Pumps-Residential $5,821 $3,998 0.69 Heat Pump Water Heaters-Residential $54,146 $26,752 0.49 Luminaire Level Lighting Controls-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Manufactured Homes-Residential $0 $0 Other Strategic Energy Management-Industrial $0 $0 Other Strategic Energy Management-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Commercial-Large $24,912 $6,871 0.28 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial $6,532 $1,801 0.28 Residential Lighting-Residential $0 $13,096 Retail Product Portfolio-Residential $21,719 $7,552 0.35 Super-Efficient Dryers-Residential $96,709 $43,964 0.45 Televisions-Residential $8,861 $1,943 0.22 Total $489,324 $145,951 0.30 Table 5-8:PY2019 Avista Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Building Operator Certification Expansion -Commercial- $0 $0 Large Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES)-Industrial $0 $0 Commissioning Buildings-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Commissioning Buildings-Industrial $0 $0 Desktop Power Supplies-Commercial-Large $31,059 $3,631 0.12 Ductless Heat Pumps-Residential $7,380 $3,902 0.53 Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results 111 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 111 of 122 Heat Pump Water Heaters-Residential $53,241 $20,220 0.38 Luminaire Level Lighting Controls-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Manufactured Homes-Residential $0 $0 Other Strategic Energy Management-Industrial $0 $0 Other Strategic Energy Management-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Commercial-Large $46,915 $9,968 0.21 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial $12,068 $2,564 0.21 Residential Lighting-Residential $0 $0 Retail Product Portfolio-Residential $2,721 $1,029 0.38 Super-Efficient Dryers-Residential $286,880 $99,151 0.35 Televisions-Residential $0 $0 Total $440,264 $140,466 0.32 Table 5-9:PY2O20 Avista Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Initiative LICT Benefits LICT Building Operator Certification Expansion -Commercial- $0 $0 Large Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES)-Industrial $0 $0 Commissioning Buildings-Commercial-Large $4,566 $588 0.13 Commissioning Buildings-Industrial $0 $0 Desktop Power Supplies-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Ductless Heat Pumps-Residential $15,135 $9,700 0.64 Extended Motor Products-Residential $0 $0 Extended Motor Products-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Heat Pump Water Heaters-Residential $0 $0 Luminaire Level Lighting Controls-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Manufactured Homes-Residential $0 $0 Other Strategic Energy Management-Industrial $0 $0 Other Strategic Energy Management-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Commercial-Large $33,048 $8,262 0.25 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial $0 $0 Residential Lighting-Residential $0 $0 Retail Product Portfolio- Residential $314,074 $134,398 0.43 Super-Efficient Dryers- Residential $0 $0 Televisions-Residential $0 $0 Total $366,823 $152,948 0.42 Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results 112 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 112 of 122 Table 5-10:PY2O21 Avista Electric Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Certified Refrigeration Energy Specialist(CRES)-Industrial $0 $0 Commissioning Buildings-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Commissioning Buildings- Industrial $0 $0 Desktop Power Supplies-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Ductless Heat Pumps-Residential $24,660 $15,454 0.63 Heat Pump Water Heaters-Residential $0 $0 Luminaire Level Lighting Controls-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Manufactured Homes-Residential $0 $0 Other Strategic Energy Management-Industrial $0 $0 Other Strategic Energy Management-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Commercial-Large $12,254 $2,801 0.23 Reduced Wattage Lamp Replacement-Industrial $2,449 $560 0.23 Retail Product Portfolio-Residential $368,195 $147,725 0.40 Window Attachments-Commercial-Large $0 $0 XMP Pumps-Residential $0 $0 XMP Pumps-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Total $407,558 $166,540 0.41 5.1.3 Avista Gas This section summarizes the cost effectiveness results for Avista gas measures. Table 5-11:PY2019 Avista Gas Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Conde7Gas ooftop Units 17,. $0 0.00 EfficieWater Heaters $0 N/A Total 52,294 $0 0.00 Table 5-12:PY2O2O Avista Gas Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Condensing Rooftop Units $126,061 $0 0.00 Efficient Gas Water Heaters $0 $0 N/A Total $126,061 $0 0.00 Table 5-13:PY2O21 Avista Gas Idaho Efficiency Measure Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Condensing Rooftop Units $21,077 $0 0.00 Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results 113 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 113 of 122 Efficient Gas Water Heaters $121,435 $0 0.00 Total $142,512 $0 0.00 5.2 Standards This section summarizes the cost effectiveness tests for standards savings. 5.2.1 Idaho Power Electric This section summarizes the cost effectiveness results for Idaho Power standards. Table 5-14:PY2017 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Drive Power- Industrial $14,017 $238,156 16.99 Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial-Large $63,494 $929,391 14.64 Other Residential Standards-Residential $289 $6,294 21.76 Total $77,800 $1,173,841 15.09 Table 5-15:PY2018 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Drive Power- Industrial $0 $0 0.00 Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial-Large $9,238 $129,369 14.00 Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial $7,263 $134,391 18.50 Other Residential Standards-Residential $510 $6,512 12.76 Total $17,011 $270,271 15.89 Table 5-16:PY2019 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Drive Power- Industrial $238 $5,290 22.21 Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial-Large $5,014 $155,648 31.04 Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial $0 $0 0.00 Other Residential Standards-Residential $8,538 $368,315 43.14 Total $13,791 $529,253 38.38 Table 5-17:PY2020 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Drive Power-Industrial $0 $0 0.00 Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results 114 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 114 of 122 Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial-Large $6,395 $194,435 30.40 Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial $46,092 $1,859,240 40.34 Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial-Small $50 $1,567 31.37 Other Residential Standards-Residential $8,977 $377,830 42.09 Total $61,514 $2,433,071 39.55 Table 5-18:PY2021 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial-Large $11,346 $168,080 14.81 Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial $81,969 $1,682,475 20.53 Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial-Small $0 $0 0.00 Other Residential Standards-Residential $14,943 $317,680 21.26 Total $108,258 $2,168,235 20.03 5.2.2 Avista Electric This section summarizes the cost effectiveness results for Avista standards. Table 5-19:PY2017 Avista Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Initiative LICT Costs LICT Benefits UCT Drive Power-Industrial $4,526 $53,952 11.92 Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial - Large $23,730 $661,032 27.86 Other Residential Standards-Residential $118 $2,413 20.46 Total $28,374 $717,397 25.28 Table 5-20:PY2018 Avista Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Drive Power-Industrial $2,878 $37,923 13.18 Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial-Large $2,859 $64,760 22.65 Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial $19,449 $603,853 31.05 Other Residential Standards-Residential $101 $1,907 18.97 Total $25,286 $708,443 28.02 Table 5-21:PY2019 Avista Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Drive Power-Industrial $1,149 $26,591 23.15 Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial - Large $1,913 $70,589 36.90 Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results 115 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 115 of 122 Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial $0 $0 Other Residential Standards-Residential $2,396 $186,265 77.75 Total $5,458 $283,445 51.94 Table 5-22:PY2020 Avista Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Drive Power-Industrial $0 $0 Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial-Large $14,047 $695,980 49.55 Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial $0 $0 Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial-Small $0 $0 Other Residential Standards- Residential $2,356 $175,406 74.45 Total $16,403 $871,386 53.12 Table 5-23:PY2021 Avista Electric Idaho Standards Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Drive Power-Industrial $0 $0 Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial-Large $2,722 $47,891 17.59 Other Non-Residential Standards-Industrial $17,002 $489,978 28.82 Other Non-Residential Standards-Commercial-Small $16 $338 20.60 Other Residential Standards-Residential $3,515 $85,169 24.23 Total $23,256 $623,376 26.81 5.2.3 Avista Gas There were no gas standards efforts completed by NEEA between 2017 and 2021. 5.3 Codes This section summarizes the cost effectiveness tests for code savings. As stated in Section 3.6.3, the following results are presented with a caveat: currently, NEEA does not conduct influence evaluations for code updates. It is likely that these code savings are overestimated since a naturally occurring baseline is not integrated. However, without NEEA influence evaluations completed for these code updates, and with no literature to reference on similar code-based evaluations, the Evaluators assumed 100% code savings due to NEEA influence. 5.3.1 Idaho Power Electric This section summarizes the cost effectiveness results for Idaho Power codes. Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results 116 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 116 of 122 Table 5-24:PY2017 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Efficient Homes-Residential $131,145 $6,357,207 48.47 Other Codes(Commercial)-Commercial-Large $74,954 $2,335,114 31.15 Other Codes (Multifamily) - Residential $5,311 $257,465 48.47 Residential New Construction/Next Step Homes- $57,442 $2,784,496 48.47 Residential Total $268,852 $11,734,282 43.65 Table 5-25: PY2018 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Efficient Homes-Residential $309,663 $8,759,652 28.29 Other Codes(Commercial)-Commercial-Large $0 $0 0.00 Other Codes(Multifamily)-Residential $14,409 $407,598 28.29 Residential New Construction/Next Step Homes- $0 $0 0.00 Residential Total $324,072 $9,167,250 28.29 Table 5-26:PY2019 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Efficient Homes-Residential $119,241 $7,245,659 60.76 Next Step Homes-Residential $69,869 $4,245,586 60.76 Other Codes(Commercial)-Commercial-Large $135,576 $5,534,205 40.82 Other Codes(Multifamily)-Residential $2,506 $152,301 60.76 Total $327,193 $17,177,751 52.50 Table 5-27:PY2020 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Efficient Homes-Residential $137,603 $8,160,111 59.30 Next Step Homes-Residential $76,718 $4,549,508 59.30 Other Codes (Commercial)-Commercial-Large $118,840 $4,742,908 39.91 Other Codes(Multifamily)-Residential $2,406 $142,707 59.30 Total $335,567 $17,595,234 52.43 Table 5-28:PY2021 Idaho Power Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Efficient Homes-Residential $163,529 $5,047,965 30.87 Other Codes(Commercial)-Commercial-Large $123,982 $2,527,467 20.39 Residential New Construction-Residential $24,171 $746,146 30.87 Total $311,682 $8,321,577 26.70 Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results 117 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 117 of 122 5.3.2 Avista Electric This section summarizes the cost effectiveness results for Avista codes. Table 5-29:PY2017 Avista Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative 7Efficientes-Residential $24,720 $1,300,997 52.63 Commercial)-Commercial-Large $21,355 $623,326 29.19 Other Codes(Multifamily)-Residential $2,490 $131,049 52.63 Residential New Construction/Next Step Homes-Residential $1,919 $100,969 52.63 Total $50,484 $2,156,341 42.71 Table 5-30: PY2018 Avista Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative 7Efficientes-Residential $26,671 $2,295,012 86.05 Commercial)-Commercial-Large $19,900 $637,087 32.01 Other Codes(Multifamily)-Residential $2,902 $249,716 86.05 Residential New Construction/Next Step Homes-Residential $2,832 $243,673 86.05 Total $52,305 $3,425,488 65.49 Table 5-31: PY2019 Avista Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Commercial Code Enhancement-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Efficient Homes-Residential $17,357 $1,956,279 112.71 Next Step Homes-Residential $16,810 $1,895,989 112.79 Other Codes(Commercial)-Commercial-Large $29,567 $1,638,091 55.40 Other Codes(Multifamily)-Residential $619 $69,796 112.71 Total $64,354 $5,560,155 86.40 Table 5-32:PY2020 Avista Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Commercial Code Enhancement-Commercial-Large $0 $0 Efficient Homes-Residential $15,245 $1,770,866 116.16 Next Step Homes-Residential $9,239 $1,073,163 116.16 Other Codes(Commercial)-Commercial-Large $24,233 $1,294,717 53.43 Other Codes(Multifamily)-Residential $637 $73,981 116.16 Total $49,354 $4,212,726 85.36 Appendix B: Cost Effectiveness Results 118 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 118 of 122 Table 5-33:PY2021 Avista Electric Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Efficient Homes-Residential —r—$14,341 $772,522 53.87 Other Codes(Commercial)-Commercial-Large $20,011 $1,013,693 50.66 Residential New Construction-Residential $15,452 $832,395 53.87 Total $49,807 $2,618,614 52.57 5.3.3 Avista Gas This section summarizes the cost effectiveness results for Avista gas codes. Table 5-34:PY2019 Avista Gas Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Next Step Homes $1,967 $315,142 160.23 Total $1,967 $315,142 160.23 Table 5-35:PY2020 Avista Gas Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Next Step Homes $13,147 $6,048 0.46 Total $13,147 $6,048 0.46 Table 5-36:PY2020 Avista Gas Idaho Codes Cost Effectiveness by Initiative Residential New Construction-Residential $14,863 $2,491,877 167.66 Other Codes(Commercial)-Commercial-Large $0 $0 N/A Total $14,863 $2,491,877 167.66 6 Appendix C: NEEA-Allocated Costs This section summarizes the total NEEA budget for the 5-year 2015-2019 and the 2020 to 2024 business plans. The proportion of NEEA-allocated funds is used to distribute Avista-and Idaho Power-provided NEEA funding between the efficiency measures, codes, and standards. 6.1.1 2014-2019 Business Plan This section summarizes the actual costs reported by NEEA for the 2014 to 2019 5-year business plan. Appendix C: NEEA-Allocated Costs 119 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 119 of 122 Table 6-1:2014—2019 5-Year Actual NEEA Costs I Primary Strategies 5-Year Electric 5-Year Natural Actual Costs Gas Actual Costs Emerging technology $10,534,740.00 $2,364,765.00 Effective Portfolio Execution $25,762,239.00 $3,619,888.00 Building Envelope $698,671.00 Consumer Products $12,785,010.00 $394,407.00 HVAC $6,702,005.00 $1,777,354.00 Lighting $3,188,446.00 Motor-Driven Systems $1,525,470.00 New Construction $8,772,362.00 $400,000.00 Water Heating $19,665,505.00 $1,777,800.00 Enabling Infrastructure $10,819,593.00 LTMT $10,725,919.00 Codes&Standards $15,959,117.00 $102,923.00 Market Intelligence $9,518,708.00 $606,019.00 Convene and Collaborate $9,149,857.00 $0.00 Administration $21,276,009.00 $0.00 Allocate Shared Services ($3,012,494.00) $2,533,527.00 Total $164,071,157.00 $13,576,683.00 Highlighted in orange in the table above represents the total costs allocated to efficiency measures. Highlighted in light blue in the table above represents the total costs allocated to codes &standards. Based on the table provide above, the Evaluators distributed costs using the following methodology: Electric costs: o Efficiency measures capture 86%of shared category o Codes & Standards capture 14% of shared category Natural gas costs: o Efficiency measures capture 99%of shared category o Codes & Standards capture 1%of shared category NEEA codes and standards contribute a minority of total funding from NEEA, however, based on the impact evaluation, codes and standards provides the majority of claimable savings by NEEA. 6.1.2 2020-2024 Business Plan This section summarizes the actual costs reported by NEEA between 2020 and 2022 for the 2020 to 2024 5-year business plan. Table 6-2:2020-2022 Actual NEEA Costs Primary Strategies Actual Costs Natural Gas Actual Cost Emerging Technology $9,566.00 $1,958.00 Effective Portfolio Execution $74,149.00 $8,361.00 Appendix C: NEEA-Allocated Costs 120 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 120 of 122 Codes&Standards $13,292.00 $872.00 Market Intelligence $5,122.00 $488.00 Convene and Collaborate $7,700.00 $0.00 Administration $21,858.00 $0.00 Allocate Shared Services -$4,715.00 $3,136.00 Total Core Activities $126,972.00 $14,815.00 Highlighted in orange in the table above represents the total costs allocated to efficiency measures. Highlighted in light blue in the table above represents the total costs allocated to codes & standards. Based on the table provide above, the Evaluators distributed costs using the following methodology: Electric costs: o Efficiency measures capture 85%of shared category o Codes & Standards capture 15% of shared category Natural gas costs: o Efficiency measures capture 91%of shared category o Codes & Standards capture 9% of shared category 7 Appendix D: Summary of Missing Values In this section,the Evaluators summarize the elements missing from the tracking data delivered by NEEA to estimate total regional and utility savings for each Idaho Power Electric, Avista Electric, and Avista Gas savings reports. Table 7-1:Avista Electric Summary of Missing Values 020 2021 Load shape 6(11%) 23(12%) 23(12%) 25(11%) 101(100%) Measure Life 7(13%) 12(6%) 0(0%) 17(8%) 0(0%) kWh/unit energy savings 2(4%) 56(30%) 61(32%) 64(29%) 43(43%) Total Regional Units 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) Local Program Units 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) NEEA Baseline 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) Retirements 6(11%) 8(4%) 13(7%) 12(5%) 14(14%) Retirements allocated to local 3(5%) 9(5%) 11(6%) 10(5%) 15(15%) programs Retirements allocated to baseline 9(16%) 17(9%) 23(12%) 22(10%) 29(29%) Initiative Start Year 55(100%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 101(100%) Table 7-2:Avista Gas Summary of Missing Values Initiative 2019 020 2021 Load shape N/A N/A N/A Appendix D:Summary of Missing Values 121 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 121 of 122 Measure Life 24(100%) 25(100%) 43(100%) Therm/unit energy savings 3(13%) 0(0%) 8(19%) Total Regional Units 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) Local Program Units 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) NEEA Baseline 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) Retirements 24(100%) 25(100%) 43(100%) Retirements allocated to local 24(100%) 25(100%) 43 (100%) programs Retirements allocated to baseline 24(100%) 25(100%) 43(100%) Initiative Start Year 24(100%) 25(100%) 43(100%) Table 7-3:Idaho Power Electric Summary of Missing Values 020 2021 Load shape 14(9%) 12(11%) 23(12%) 24(11%) 101(100%) Measure Life 7(4%) 8(7%) 1(1%) 17(8%) 0(0%) kWh/unit energy savings 49(31%) 0(0%) 61(32%) 64(29%) 0(0%) Total Regional Units 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) Local Program Units 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) NEEA Baseline 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) Retirements 11(7%) 3(3%) 13(7%) 12(5%) 11(11%) Retirements allocated to local 8(5%) 5(5%) 11(6%) 11(5%) 3(3%) programs Retirements allocated to baseline 18(11%) 7(7%) 23(12%) 22(10%) 14(14%) Initiative Start Year 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 0(0%) 101(100%) The Evaluators imputed a likely load shape and appropriate measure life in cases in which the load shape or measure life was not defined by NEEA. For the line items missing kWh/unit or Therm/unit energy savings values,the Evaluators note that the number of units in which savings apply are zero do not affect savings, as the number of units claimed for those examples was zero. Although the total net market units for these measures are zero, and total net market effects are effectively zero, the Evaluators recommend that appropriate kWh/unit and Therm/unit energy savings values are still defined appropriately. NEEA includes in the tracking data estimates of total retired units in the region.The Evaluators note that in some instances, total regional retirement units are defined in aggregate, whereas in other instances, local program retirement and baseline retirement units are defined. The Evaluators recommend that in any instances where local program, baseline, or total regional retirement units is above 0, that those retirement units are then categorized under the local program or baseline retirement units.This will help with tracking how retirement units are partitioned between each category,for each measure, over time. Appendix D:Summary of Missing Values 122 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 122 of 122 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-E-24-35 IDAHO POWER COMPANY NESBITT, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO. 2 Addendum : Evaluation of NEEA Impacts Allocated to Idaho Power Company and Avista Utilities Within the State of Idaho SUBMITTED TO: IDAHO POWER COMPANY & AVISTA UTILITIES SUBMITTED ON: JUNE 15, 2023 SUBMITTED BY: ADM ASSOCIATES, INC. M. ADM Associates, Inc Idaho Power Company Avista Utilities 3239 Ramos Circle 1221 W Idaho St 1411 E Mission Ave Sacramento, CA 95827 Boise, ID 83702 Spokane, WA 99202 916-363-8383 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 1 of 16 Table of Contents 1. Response to NEEA's Feedback.............................................................................................................4 1.1 Summary.....................................................................................................................................................4 1.2 Recommendation#5 ..................................................................................................................................4 1.3 Recommendation#6..................................................................................................................................6 1.4 Recommendation#8..................................................................................................................................8 1.5 Recommendation#9................................................................................................................................11 1.6 Overall Conclusions..................................................................................................................................12 Addendum ii Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 2 of 16 List of Tables Table 1-1: NEEA Response to Recommendation#5.....................................................................................5 Table 1-2: NEEA Response to Recommendation#5 Examples.....................................................................5 Table 1-3: NEEA Response to Recommendation#6.....................................................................................7 Table 1-4: NEEA Response to Recommendation#6 Examples.....................................................................8 Table 1-5: NEEA Response to Recommendation#8.....................................................................................9 Table 1-6: NEEA Response to Recommendation#8 Examples...................................................................10 Table 1-7: NEEA Response to Recommendation#9...................................................................................11 Table 1-8: Revised Findings and Recommendations ..................................................................................12 admenergy.com 13239 Ramos Circle, Sacramento, CA 95827 1 916.363.8383 iii Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 3 of 16 1. Response to NEEA's Feedback ADM Associates (herein referred to as the "Evaluators") developed a report summarizing the evaluation,measurement,and verification(EM&V)of the Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance(NEEA) activities and energy impact estimates as it relates to savings allocated to Idaho Power Company(IPC) and Avista Utilities (Avista)within the state of Idaho for the program years 2017-2021. NEEA's executive team reviewed the evaluation findings and recommendations and submitted a response to IPC and Avista. ADM reviewed NEEA's response and is supplying this addendum to recharacterize language previously provided in the evaluation report and to clarify final conclusions and recommendations resulting from this evaluation. 1.1 Summary Upon review of the evaluation report, NEEA provided responses to conclusions and recommendations from the evaluation work summarized above. In this addendum, the Evaluators elaborate on the following recommendations: ■ Recommendation#5:The Evaluators recommend that measure-level values are detailed as accurately as possible, and that each field is completed in the workbook to allow for year-over- year tracking of regional units, baseline units, retirement units, and unit energy savings values over time. (Based on Finding#3 and Finding#10) ■ Recommendation#6:The Evaluators recommend that NEEA distribute naturally occurring baseline units more equitably between local program units and total regional units. (Based on Finding#11) ■ Recommendation#8:The Evaluators recommend that third-party evaluations are completed for the federal standards claimed by NEEA, as well as any federal standards in which NEEA hopes to claim savings for in the future. Using the quantitative estimate of NEEA influence,the Evaluators recommend that NEEA calculate a naturally occurring baseline for each standard. (Based on Finding#15) ■ Recommendation#9:The Evaluators recommend an evaluation is completed for each code update to estimate NEEA's qualitative and quantitative influence towards the code update. (Based on Finding#17) The Evaluators outline the revised recommendations in the sections below. 1.2 Recommendation #5 The Evaluators summarize the Evaluators'findings and recommendations, NEEA responses, and the Evaluator's summarizing response for Recommendation #5. Addendum 4 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 4 of 16 Table 1-1:NEEA Response to Recommendation#5 ■ Finding#3:The Evaluators found that the methodology in which savings were estimated across measures was inconsistent. For some measures,service territory methodology was used,and for others,funder share allocation methodology was Finding used. ■ Finding#10:The database review revealed that a variety of fields(measure life, UES)were empty across measure types due to lack of savings claimed for the measure,which made verification of values difficult and complicates tracking of a measure progress over time. ■ Recommendation#5:The Evaluators recommend that measure-level values are Recommenclatio detailed as accurately as possible,and that each field is completed in the workbook to allow for year-over-year tracking of regional units, baseline units, retirement units,and unit energy savings values over time. ■ In the savings workbook provided annually to each funder, NEEA already enters all NEEA Response data fields for active programs and measures within each program for which we are reporting savings. NEEA references all the data sources in the workbook. 1.2.1 Evaluator Examples In response to NEEA feedback, the Evaluators provided examples of incomplete and inconsistent data provided in NEEA's annual reports delivered Idaho Power Company and Avista Utilities between the 2017 and 2021 program years. The table below summarizes the Evaluator's examples as well as NEEA's response to said examples. Table 1-2: NEEA Response to Recommendation#5 Examples ■ The inconsistency in allocation method within a single program year is observed in the Avista 2017 and 2018 workbooks. In both years, most measures displayed Evaluator service territory share, but a handful showed funder share allocation.Although we Examples see that this practice does not continue into more recent years(2019-2021), we note that this should be an area to consider in quality assurance and quality control. ■ NEEA allocates the savings using the most disaggregated data available.The data sources can range from service-territory level to regional. When NEEA only has regional data,the reports allocate the savings using funding shares. ■ Of the 30 observations provided,only 4 of the measures(13%) had savings.The NEEA Response savings for these measures amounted to approximately 1%of the Net Market Effects. In all four cases, NEEA did not have data/analysis available that would have provided a more accurate estimate of the service territory allocation. ■ NEEA provides all detailed data annually as called out in recommendation#5.The only missing data,as finding#10 states,were fields intentionally left empty due to NEEA not reporting savings for that measure. Addendum 5 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 5 of 16 1.2.2 Recommendation #5 Summary The Evaluators provide the following feedback to NEEA's response summarized above. ■ The Evaluators understand that measure-level values are dependent on resolution of data available to NEEA. To the fullest extent possible,the Evaluators recommend NEEA weigh regional savings most aligned with funder-selected methodology.Therefore, although the approved service territory share methodology is not entirely feasible with the data available,the results in some way consider the allocation methodology perspective when summarizing results. ■ In addition,the Evaluators recommend that for any measures NEEA currently does not claim savings,these measure line items are removed from funder annual reports.This will ensure that funders only receive complete and verified reports. 1.3 Recommendation #6 The Evaluators summarize the Evaluators'findings and recommendations, NEEA responses, and the Evaluator's summarizing response for Recommendation #6. Addendum 6 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 6 of 16 Table 1-3:NEEA Response to Recommendation#6 ■ Finding#11:The database review revealed that NEEA's current method for distribution of modeled naturally occurring baseline units between local program and NEEA efforts is not reasonable.A portion of energy-efficient technology sales are due to naturally occurring baseline. NEEA nets out modeled naturally occurring baseline to avoid claiming savings for units that would have been sold had no program or NEEA-effort been provided within the market. However,the method in which these baseline units are netted out is not distributed equitably. For some measures, NEEA estimates that a large proportion of local program units are baseline, and therefore a larger proportion of the remaining net market effects is assigned to NEEA efforts.The Evaluators raise concern for this assumption,as it is unlikely locally incentivized, rebated measures display the same free ridership as non-incentivized measures in the region. ■ Recommendation#6:The Evaluators recommend that NEEA distribute naturally Recommendation occurring baseline units more equitably between local program units and total regional units. ■ NEEA disagrees with ADM's assertion that the distribution method of baseline units NEEA uses is not reasonable or equitable.A foundational principle of NEEA,as an alliance, is that local programs support market adoption and are therefore a part of the market transformation taking place. NEEA's baseline market share estimate represents the adoption that would have occurred without the intervention of NEEA or its funders' local programs,so NEEA's approach assumes that a portion of NEEA Response the baseline market share applies to the local incentive units. ■ Regarding the question of equitability, NEEA does not assign savings to NEEA efforts separately from funder programs; rather, it measures the full market transformation savings from our collective efforts(Co-created Savings)and reports that to funders.To help our funders avoid double-counting, in our savings reports we net out local program savings.The remaining savings,called net market effects savings are not representative of distinct NEEA efforts, nor do they reflect attribution. 1.3.1 Evaluator Examples The distribution of local program baseline units refers to the value characterized in the annual reports as "retirement units replaced by local programs." In response to NEEA feedback,the Evaluators provided examples of retirement units in which local programs were over decremented, referring to line items provided in Idaho Power Company and Avista Utilities annual reports.The table below summarizes the Evaluator's examples as well as NEEA's response to said examples. Addendum 7 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 7 of 16 Table 1-4: NEEA Response to Recommendation#6 Examples ■ The Evaluators found that the retirement units for some measures were distributed entirely to local programs, rather than total regional units.Therefore, a large Evaluator portion of local program units were nullified.Although this does not affect the Examples aggregate total net market units for the measure, it underestimates the proportion of total net market units that the local program units account for.We provided examples referencing the 2021 annual report for Idaho Power for the clothes washers,clothes dryers,and refrigerators. ■ In the examples provided,the"retirement units replaced by local programs" is the estimate of local program units allocated to Baseline. NEEA Response ■ The share of the local program units allocated to baseline looks high because the report does not show the market shares. ■ NEEA provided to the Evaluators back-end calculations portraying how baseline units are calculated for each measure. 1.3.2 Recommendation #6 Summary The Evaluators provide the following feedback to NEEA's response summarized above. ■ In reviewing the example NEEA provided for calculating total regional unit baseline and local program unit baseline units,the Evaluators rescind our Recommendation#6. NEEA currently integrates a method for distributing retirement units replaced by local programs proportional to estimated market baseline. 1.4 Recommendation #8 The Evaluators summarize the Evaluators'findings and recommendations, NEEA responses, and the Evaluator's summarizing response for Recommendation #8. Addendum 8 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 8 of 16 Table 1-5:NEEA Response to Recommendation#8 ■ Finding#15: NEEA contracts third-party evaluators to conduct"influence evaluations"for each standard,which summarizes NEEA's overall qualitative and quantitative influence towards federal standards updates. NEEA uses the quantitative assessment as an estimate of federal standards naturally occurring baseline.The Evaluators found that some of these influence scores were not integrated properly to estimate baseline units.The Evaluators also found more than half(13 of 25)federal standard measures lack influence evaluations. ■ Recommendation#8:The Evaluators recommend that third-party evaluations are completed for the federal standards claimed by NEEA,as well as any federal Recommendation standards in which NEEA hopes to claim savings for in the future. Using the quantitative estimate of NEEA influence,the Evaluators recommend that NEEA calculate a naturally occurring baseline for each standard. ■ NEEA does not agree with these two assertions:that influence scores were not integrated properly and that reported energy savings lacked evaluations.The variance was either due to rounding or a reduction of the percentage based on NEEA's participation (Fluorescent Lamp Ballasts). NEEA Response ■ There is one case(Pumps)where the assumptions contained a preliminary value and is to be updated based on the final evaluation value'. ■ In cases where NEEA reported co-created energy savings and ADM is stating no evaluation was conducted,they are mistaken. NEEA reviewed all appliance standards for which we claimed co-created savings and confirmed evaluations are available in each instance. 1.4.1 Evaluator Examples In response to NEEA feedback, the Evaluators provided examples of the 13 federal standards update savings claimed by NEEA in which no influence evaluations were conducted.The table below summarizes the Evaluator's examples as well as NEEA's response to said examples. 1 NEEA does not request any revisions or comment regarding this statement. Addendum 9 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 9 of 16 Table 1-6: NEEA Response to Recommendation#8 Examples ■ The Evaluators found that the following standards were claiming savings, but lacked influence evaluation documentation, both in requested information during the evaluation,and during independent research to locate an influence evaluation: o Battery standards in Oregon Evaluator o Commercial HPWH (Existing) Examples o Commercial HPWH (New construction) o Residential AC o Clothes Dryers o Residential Heat Pumps o Nonresidential ceiling fans o Nonresidential ceiling fan kits ■ For the following measures, NEEA provided program-level evaluation reports completed by third party evaluators: o Battery standards in Oregon o Commercial HPWH (Existing)3 o Commercial HPWH (New construction)' ■ For the following measures, no influence evaluation was conducted. NEEA never reported Net Market Effects from these standards.The measures are listed in the NEEA Response Table View of the Savings reports because they were part of NEEA's database for other reporting purposes.The Table View of the report is meant to be a database view of the savings reported on the individual tabs. o Residential AC o Clothes Dryers o Residential Heat Pumps o Nonresidential ceiling fans o Nonresidential ceiling fan kits o Residential ceiling fan light kits 1.4.2 Recommendation #8 Summary The Evaluators provide the following feedback to NEEA's response summarized above. ■ In reviewing the document provided for the battery standards in Oregon,the Evaluators found that the program evaluation documentation does not sufficiently estimate NEEA influence towards the standard.The influence evaluations completed for other standards provide clear objectives and conclusions towards NEEA proportional influence towards quantitative savings. Although the document provided in replacement of a battery standards influence evaluation provides verification for estimating energy savings in Oregon overall, the report does not provide a clear quantitative estimate for NEEA influence towards the standard update. ■ NEEA confirmed that the Evaluators used the correct influence percentage (24%)for the Pumps standard. ■ In reviewing the document provided for the commercial heat pump water heater standard for existing and new construction facilities,the Evaluators again found that the program evaluation z https://neea.org/img/uploads/long-term-monitoring-and-tracking-report-on-2011-activities.pdf 3 https://neea.org/img/documents/Heat-Pump-Water-Heater-Benefit-Cost-Model-Review.pdf 4 ibid. Addendum 10 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 10 of 16 documentation does not sufficiently estimate NEEA influence towards the standard.The influence evaluations completed for other standards provide clear objectives and conclusions towards NEEA quantitative and proportional influence towards quantitative savings. However, the documents provided in replacement of an influence evaluation for these standards does not estimate or conclude a clear influence value towards NEEA efforts. ■ In reviewing the remaining measures (residential AC, clothes dryers, residential heat pumps, nonresidential ceiling fans, nonresidential ceiling fan kits, and residential ceiling fan kits),the Evaluators recognize that savings claimed for these standards are negligible (demonstrating 1.9E-17 aMW savings in total).Therefore,the Evaluators rescind our conclusion for completing influence evaluations for these standards in which no measurable savings are claimed. 1.5 Recommendation #9 The Evaluators summarize the Evaluators' findings and recommendations, NEEA responses, and the Evaluator's summarizing response for Recommendation #9. Table 1-7:NEEA Response to Recommendation#9 ■ Finding#17:Currently, NEEA does not complete third-party evaluations of NEEA "influence"towards codes updates as is currently done for federal standards updates.Therefore, NEEA currently claims 100%savings for code-built homes.As summarized in the standards influence evaluations summarized in Table 3-35, NEEA influence towards standards ranges between 2.6%and 61%. If codes are evaluated similarly,and portray a similar range of influence, NEEA code savings could be significantly overrepresenting savings. NEEA's current policy is to report 100%of code-built residential and commercial building savings(while integrating compliance rates)for 10 years after the effective code update date. Currently, NEEA does not maintain a model to estimate naturally occurring baseline over time, as it does for its energy efficiency measures. Essentially,the current NEEA methodology assumes that there would be a 10-year lag in current residential and commercial building code if NEEA did not participate in code update efforts. ■ Recommendation#9:The Evaluators recommend an evaluation is completed for Recommendation each code update to estimate NEEA's qualitative and quantitative influence towards the code update. ■ NEEA already conducts third-party evaluation of its energy codes work.Since the current influence approach's application to reported energy savings was recommended by CEAC,any changes would need to be discussed by that committee. Possible implementation in 2025 with cost implications to be NEEA Response determined. ■ As outlined in Finding#17, NEEA's significant influence in the state building energy code process is distinct from federal appliance standards and therefore we would like to understand ADM's basis for this recommendation before suggesting any changes to process or reporting. If there were a change,their most likely would be cost implications to NEEA. 1.5.1 Evaluator Examples Additional examples were not provided to NEEA for this recommendation. Addendum 11 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 11 of 16 1.5.2 Recommendation #9 Summary The Evaluators did not provide to NEEA specific examples towards Recommendation#9. Instead, the Evaluators provide the following feedback. ■ The Evaluators understand that NEEA's current policy effectively claims savings for 1/3 of the code life cycle by claiming 10 years of savings rather than 30 years of savings.Therefore,there does exist some form of baseline integration to the savings claimed for codes. However,the Evaluators note that NEEA's 100%savings for 10 years policy arose from a decision made by the Cost Effectiveness Advisory Group (CEAC) nearly 25 years ago. It is unclear whether this assumption or policy has been reassessed since its original decision over two decades ago. Since then, a framework for quantitatively estimating NEEA's influence has been solidified for standards. It is of the Evaluator's view that a similar framework can be developed for quantitatively estimating NEEA's influence towards code updates.The Evaluators recommend NEEA's 100%savings claimed for 10 years policy is revisited by CEAC and further methods for estimating NEEA influence and market baseline is explored when claiming code savings in future program years. 1.6 Overall Conclusions The Evaluators took into consideration NEEA's responses and associated documents in order to provide revised findings and recommendations for the evaluation, measurement, and verification (EM&V) effort of the Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance (NEEA) activities and energy impact estimates as it relates to savings allocated to Idaho Power Company(IPC) and Avista Utilities (Avista) within the state of Idaho for the program years 2017-2021.The findings and recommendations presented in the section below provide the most up-to-date conclusions for this evaluation work. 1.6.1 Revised Findings and Recommendations The Evaluators provide a summary of the revised findings and recommendations to the evaluation report, based on additional feedback from NEEA. Table 1-8: Revised Findings and Recommendations Findings Recommendations Finding #1: Utilities that fund NEEA can choose whether savings are reported by allocation share methodology or service territory methodology. The allocation share methodology overrepresents out-of-state and out-of- Recommendation #1: The Evaluators recommend service territory savings across measures, codes, and Avista and Idaho Power request NEEA to report standards while simultaneously underrepresenting in- annual savings via the service territory methodology state and in-service-territory savings across measures, for each measure claimed by NEEA for each Idaho codes, and standards. However, the service territory Power electric,Avista electric,and Avista gas. methodology accurately represents benefits directed to Avista and Idaho Power customers within the state of Idaho. Addendum 12 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 12 of 16 Finding#2:The data NEEA utilizes to estimate net market savings is available at resolutions that allow NEEA to estimate precise savings for each utility service territory. Finding#3:The Evaluators found that the methodology in which savings were estimated across measures were inconsistent. For some measures, service territory methodology was used, and for others, funder share allocation methodology was used. Finding#4: NEEA prioritizes cost-effective savings in terms of regional benefit. Therefore, savings and cost- Recommendation #2: The Evaluators recommend effectiveness are distributed across the region evenly, that Avista and Idaho Power request annual savings despite observed distribution of savings across states. reports to include estimates of administrative costs, Although this philosophy has merit, more precise incentive costs, and non-incentive costs by service estimates of utility-level and program-level savings help territory. This will allow each utility to calculate NEEA's stakeholders relay relevant savings and cost- more accurate cost-effectiveness tests for each effectiveness results to their respective regulatory initiative to determine whether extension of commissions.This remains critical,due to some state-level funding is a viable option within each utility's commission orders to pursue all cost-effective energy regulatory environment. efficiency efforts. Finding #5: The interviews revealed that although the three parties fundamentally want to improve energy efficiency and increase market adoption of emerging Recommendation #3: The Evaluators recommend technologies, their preferred approaches to this shared that NEEA work with utilities to accurately produce goal vary. Unlike the utilities, who strive to demonstrate service territory-level savings and to best serve each the cost-effectiveness of their initiatives and investments state's current regulatory environment and utility's on an annual or bi-annual cycle, NEEA operates on a five- localized concerns. year funding cycle, which is different than the typical annual or biannual utility planning cycle. Finding#6: NEEA's programs are designed with a broader Recommendation #4: The Evaluators recommend constituency in mind than that of its member utilities. that NEEA track progress for each code change While the Idaho utilities'programs are targeted to produce benefits for their ratepayers, — NEEA is tasked with relative to administrative dollars spent towards state-level codes and associated energy savings developing programs that need to consider what is best for the entire four-state region. At its core, NEEA's ethos accrued by each state-level code. With the 20-year market transformation in mind, the service- assumes that changes made in one state will eventually spillover into another state and that in the long run, territory-level savings will still accrue over the 20- year horizon, however, using this methodology, regional change will be realized. Addendum 13 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 13 of 16 Finding #7: NEEA currently allocates code savings via actual market transformation effects of co-created funder share methodology, which estimates a proportion savings will be more accurately tracked. of total NEEA funding to each utility based on number of electric retail customers and overall load. Therefore, savings from code adoption in other states are in-part assigned to Idaho.The Evaluators found that out-of-state code building savings are currently being attributed to Idaho utilities. The Evaluators are skeptical that spillover from out-of-state code changes result in energy savings within the state of Idaho. Although the barriers to code adoption from one state to the next may be similar,there is no evidence to suggest that these learnings transfer to observable and measurable savings. NEEA has stated that starting in 2022, code savings will be allocated via service territory allocation. Finding #8: The NEEA Cost Effectiveness Advisory Committee (CEAC) meets quarterly with the NEEA objectives to provide space for discussion around results of recently completed evaluation,progress of field studies, relevant updates to programs, and acceptance or questioning of NEEA methodology towards calculation of savings. Finding#9:The Evaluators estimated verified Ex Post aMW for the efficiency measures to display 39%, 52%, and 0% realization rates for Idaho Power electric, Avista electric, and Avista gas savings within the state of Idaho, respectively.The difference in claimed savings and verified The Evaluators reference Recommendation#1:The savings is due to the change to using service territory Evaluators recommend Avista and Idaho request allocation rather than funder share allocation. The NEEA to report annual savings via the service efficiency measures category Ex Ante savings included territory methodology for each measure claimed by savings for measures completed in Washington, Oregon, NEEA for each Idaho Power electric,Avista electric, and Montana—therefore, for some measures, the funder and Avista gas. share allocation methodology underestimated Idaho- specific savings while others overestimated out-of-state savings. The overall effect of this change resulted in a lower than 100%realization rate. Recommendation #5: The Evaluators recommend that measure-level values are only included in annual reports for measures in which savings are Finding#10: The database review revealed that a variety claimed. In addition, the Evaluators recommend of fields (measure life, UES) were empty across measure NEEA continue to document each value as types due to lack of savings claimed for the measure,which accurately as possible, and that each field is made verification of values difficult and complicates tracking of ameasure progress over time. completed in the workbook to allow for year-over- year tracking of regional units, baseline units, retirement units, and unit energy savings values over time. Addendum 14 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 14 of 16 Finding #11: The database review revealed that NEEA's current method for distribution of modeled naturally Recommendation #6: Rescinded based on occurring baseline units between local program and NEEA additional information provided by NEEA. efforts is reasonable. Finding#12: The Evaluators reviewed the utilized UES via the Regional Technical Forum (RTF)workbooks,field study data, and simulation analysis findings and note no large concerns with NEEA UES methodology or market baseline assumptions. Finding #13: The Evaluators found that NEEA calculates cost-effectiveness of its portfolio using the total regional savings rather than the net market effects.The Evaluators determined that this methodology raises concern,and the Recommendation #7: In the case that cost NEEA cost-effectiveness tests currently account for all effectiveness tests are completed using NEEA- measure, standard, and code completions across the reported savings, the Evaluators recommend that entire region, effectively double counting local program Avista and Idaho Power calculate cost-effectiveness savings and simultaneously claiming naturally occurring using net market effects rather than total regional baseline savings. Because Avista and Idaho Power savings, as is consistent with current regulatory calculate their own internal cost effectiveness tests, this requirements to report gross savings that would not finding does not impact Idaho Power or Avista reporting. have occurred without program intervention. However, the Evaluators highlight this finding, as NEEA savings allocation and cost allocation methods are not currently consistent with regulatory requirements. Finding #14: The Evaluators estimated verified Ex Post aMW for the standards efforts to display 34% and 50% realization rates for Idaho Power electric and Avista The Evaluators reference Recommendation#1:The electric within the state of Idaho, respectively. Avista gas Evaluators recommend Avista and Idaho Power did not claim any savings for standards. The difference request NEEA to report annual savings via the between claimed savings and verified savings is due to the service territory methodology for each measure change to using service territory allocation rather than claimed by NEEA for each Idaho Power electric, funder share allocation. A minor cause of discrepancy is Avista electric,and Avista gas. due to corrected baseline units using influence evaluation values. Finding #15: NEEA contracts third-party evaluators to Recommendation #8: The Evaluators recommend conduct "influence evaluations" for each standard, which that third-party influence evaluations are summarizes NEEA's overall qualitative and quantitative completed for the federal standards in which influence towards federal standards updates. NEEA uses energy savings are claimed by NEEA, as well as any the quantitative assessment as an estimate of federal federal standards in which NEEA hopes to claim standards naturally occurring baseline. The Evaluators savings for in the future.This third-party evaluation found that some of these influence scores were not must include the objective to quantitatively integrated properly to estimate baseline units. The estimate NEEA influence towards the standard Evaluators also found a small number (3 of 19) federal update as a proportion of incremental savings.This standard measures in which savings are claimed by NEEA influence evaluation is suitable for removing the lack influence evaluations. market baseline counterfactual in which NEEA did not participate in standards update efforts. Addendum 15 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 15 of 16 Finding #16: The Evaluators estimated verified Ex Post aMW for the code efforts to display 137%, 125%, and 87% realization rates for Idaho Power electric, Avista electric, The Evaluators reference Recommendation#1:The and Avista gas savings within the state of Idaho, Evaluators recommend Avista and Idaho Power respectively.The difference between claimed savings and request NEEA to report annual savings via the verified savings is due to the change to using service service territory methodology for each measure territory allocation rather than funder share allocation. claimed by NEEA for each Idaho Power electric, Overall,the funder share allocation underestimated Idaho- Avista electric,and Avista gas.s specific code savings using the current NEEA policy of claiming 100%code after code is implemented. The Evaluators reference Recommendation#5: The Evaluators recommend that measure-level values The Evaluators reference Finding#10 also applies for the are only included in annual reports for measures in codes review:The database review revealed that a variety which savings are claimed. In addition, the of fields (measure life, UES) were empty across measure Evaluators recommend NEEA continue to document types due to lack of savings claimed for the measure,which each value accurately and that each field is made verification of values difficult and complicates completed in the workbook to allow for year-over- tracking of a measure progress over time year tracking of regional units, baseline units, retirement units, and unit energy savings values over time. Finding #17: Currently, NEEA does not complete third- party evaluations of NEEA "influence" towards codes updates as is currently done for federal standards updates. Therefore, NEEA currently claims 100% savings for code- built homes. As summarized in the standards influence evaluations summarized in Table 3 35, NEEA influence towards standards ranges between 2.6%and 61%. If codes Recommendation #9: The Evaluators recommend are evaluated similarly, and portray a similar range of an evaluation is completed for each code update to influence, NEEA code savings could be significantly estimate NEEA's qualitative and quantitative overrepresenting savings. NEEA's current policy is to influence towards the code update, or, report 100% of code-built residential and commercial alternatively, incorporating a quantitative method building savings(while integrating compliance rates)for 10 for isolating incremental savings due to NEEA- years after the effective code update date.Currently,NEEA specific efforts approved by a third-party evaluator. does not maintain a model to estimate naturally occurring baseline over time, as it does for its energy efficiency measures. Essentially, the current NEEA methodology assumes that there would be a 10-year lag in current residential and commercial building code if NEEA did not participate in code update efforts. Finding #18: The Evaluators reviewed simulation model methodology used by NEEA to estimate code savings and found that UES methodology for code savings do not present any concerns. Addendum 16 Exhibit No.2 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 16 of 16 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-E-24-35 IDAHO POWER COMPANY NESBITT, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO. 3 SEE ATTACHED SPREADSHEET BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-E-24-35 IDAHO POWER COMPANY NESBITT, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO. 4 February 15, 2023 >> neea NEEA Operational Guidelines for Estimating Cost-Effectiveness Title: Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of Energy Efficiency Owner: NEEA Data, Planning and Analytics Department, Principal Planning Analyst Type:Guidelines Description:These guidelines provide NEEA's methodology to estimate cost-effectiveness of energy efficiency Last Update Date: February 2023 OF • 1. INTRODUCTION.........................................................................................................................................2 1.1. NEEA'S APPROACH......................................................................................................................................2 1.2. NEEA'S COST-EFFECTIVENESS GOAL..................................................................................................................3 2. CORE PRINCIPLES OF ESTIMATING COST-EFFECTIVENESS..........................................................................4 3. NEEA'S COST-EFFECTIVENESS TEST............................................................................................................5 3.1. COST-EFFECTIVENESS METRICS......................................................................................................................6 3.1.1 Benefit Cost Ratio.....................................................................................................................6 3.1.2 Levelized Cost...........................................................................................................................7 4. INPUTS......................................................................................................................................................8 4.1 AVOIDED COST OF ELECTRIC RESOURCES.............................................................................................................8 4.2 CARBON SAVINGS.........................................................................................................................................9 4.3 REGIONAL ACT CREDIT....................................................................................................................................9 4.4 DEFERRED TRANSMISSION,DISTRIBUTION,AND GENERATION CAPACITY COSTS..............................................................9 4.5 INCREMENTAL CAPITAL COSTS...........................................................................................................................9 4.5.1 Pre-Conditions..........................................................................................................................9 4.5.2 Current practice/initial capital cost.........................................................................................10 4.6 REPLACEMENT COSTS...................................................................................................................................12 4.7 OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE COSTS(O&M)..................................................................................................12 4.8 INITIATIVE ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS..................................................................................................................12 4.9 NEEA INITIATIVE IMPLEMENTATION AND EVALUATION COSTS.................................................................................12 4.10 OTHER QUANTIFIABLE NONELECTRIC BENEFITS OR NEGATIVE COSTS.....................................................................13 4.11 PERIOD OF ANALYSIS..................................................................................................................................13 4.12 DISCOUNT RATE AND DOLLAR VALUE.............................................................................................................13 5. AGGREGATING THE MEASURE-LEVEL RESULTS........................................................................................ 13 6. MANAGING COST-EFFECTIVENESS ACROSS NEEA'S PORTFOLIO.............................................................. 13 7. COST-EFFECTIVENESS REVIEW PROCESS..................................................................................................14 Q2023 Copyright NEEA Page 1 1 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 1 of 14 1. � •D • Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of energy efficiency is essential to identifying how much of the region's potential for energy efficiency resources could be captured. Defining cost-effectiveness helps energy efficiency compete with the broad range of other resource options. In its simplest form,energy efficiency cost-effectiveness is measured by comparing the benefits of an investment with the costs. Five key cost-effectiveness tests have been used for over 20 years as the principal approaches for energy efficiency program evaluation.These five cost-effectiveness tests are the participant cost test(PCT),the utility/program administrator cost test(PACT),the ratepayer impact measure test(RIM),the total resource cost test(TRC)and the societal cost test(SCT). The most common primary measurement of energy efficiency cost-effectiveness is the TRC,followed closely by the SCT.A positive TRC result indicates that the program will produce a net reduction in energy costs in the utility service territory over the lifetime of the program.The distributional tests(PCT, PACT,and RIM)can then be used to indicate how different stakeholders are affected. Historically, reliance on the RIM test has limited energy efficiency investment, as it is the most restrictive of the five cost-effectiveness tests. The choice of where to apply each cost-effectiveness test has a significant impact on the ultimate set of measures offered to customers. In general,there are three places to evaluate the cost-effectiveness test:at the"measure" level,the"initiative" level,and the"portfolio" level. A key position in any of the cost-effectiveness tests is understanding the baseline against which the cost and benefits are measured.What costs and benefits would have been realized absent energy efficiency? 1.1. NEEA'S APPROACH NEEA's purpose is to look at the total societal impact of transforming a market to ensure that the regional investment is an appropriate use of funds for the long term.Working under this perspective NEEA considers all incremental quantifiable costs and benefits of the total regional savings achieved through transformation, regardless of who accrues them. Ultimately, NEEA, as a regional organization, is attempting to answer the question:"will costs to society be reduced relative to an alternate resource?" NEEA considers a 20-year horizon when estimating the cost-effectiveness of a market transformation initiative. This allows the full effect of the investment and market results of efficiency conditions and resulting adoption to manifest. Choosing a narrower time slice for assessing cost-effectiveness would yield misleading results because the analysis would not capture the full scope of the Market Transformation investment and return on investment horizon. Examples include the following: Page 1 2 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 2 of 14 Investment RA 1 RA 2 RA 3 in MTI Codes&Standards Z Market 0 Share of MTI ' Innovation > ' D 0 z Z X Z ' TRANSFORMATION ; t.................. ,,L Natural 0 Baseline LU Forecast Q x LA H W Y cc CQ C Innovators Early Adopters/Majority Late Majority/Laggards TIME RA signifies Range of Analysis RA 1: Investment is high, market has yet to materialize. Benefits will be low, and this paradigm forces incorrect decision-making to either significantly reduce costs, leading to poor program results, or shut down the program completely before it can pay dividends. RA 2: Investment is winding down, market structures are building,and consumers are adopting.This is still an early slice of consumer potential and may inadvertently signal that the market is too small or that investment must conclude immediately, sabotaging the likelihood of securing sustainable mechanisms in the market. RA 3: Investment has concluded, market has shifted, and consumer adoption has reached take-off point.This is a positive state in the MT initiative and yields positive cost-effectiveness results but doesn't account for the investment period that enabled the results to materialize and may signal overoptimistic expectations for future programs. MT:The construct spans the complete horizon of investment to market saturation to capture the full costs and benefits of the effort. 1.2. NEEA'S COST-EFFECTIVENESS GOAL NEEA's goal is to maintain a portfolio of programs that are cost effective. Its 2020-2024 Business Plan defines cost effective as having a portfolio Benefit-Cost Ratio equal to or greater than one.To maintain a cost-effective portfolio, NEEA evaluates the Benefit-Cost Ratio of its initiatives prior to adding them its portfolio.As part of its due diligence, NEEA also reports levelized costs. Page 1 3 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 3 of 14 2. O. PRINCIPLES Where possible and sensible, NEEA aligns with the Northwest Power and Conservation Council's(NWPCC) approach. Key concepts here include valuing efficiency as a resource and alignment with regional policy goals and objectives. NEEA also applies principles from the National Standard Practice Manual. NEEA makes few adjustments to these principles to better reflect Market Transformation work.Table 2 lists the Core Principals by source. Table 1:Core Principles . - 111. . . ROOM Mil .- Be incremental to baseline. Costs and benefits should reflect the differences between the efficient and baseline cases. Represent costs/benefits throughout measure life.The entire stream of costs and lir benefits associated with the efficient and baseline cases over the measure life should be accounted for. For example,for an early retirement measure,the efficient case capital costs are incurred when the measure is implemented, but baseline replacement costs(assumed to be the full cost of the current practice equipment)are incurred at the end of the Remaining Useful Life(RUL). Use the same baseline as for savings.The same baseline that is used for savings should be used for costs and benefits and may differ during the RUL and balance of measure life periods. .. . Be specific to measure application.Where possible, costs and benefits should be specific to the measure application, defined by identifiers such as delivery mechanism, geographic region, market sector, building type,and business type. + Be discounted to present value. Costs and benefits incurred later than the time of measure delivery should be discounted to the time of measure delivery. �. Be in real dollars for the base year of the current Power Plan. When converting costs in different base years to the base year of the assessment,the national Gross Domestic Product(GDP)deflators published in the SIW should be used. - Reflect the average for expected participants. Costs and benefits should reflect the average incremental cost for expected participants. Where costs are significantly different across groups of expected participants and data are sufficient to discern this, measure identifiers can be used to differentiate, even if savings are not different. . Represent a Northwest regional perspective. Costs and benefits should be expressed as net values across the region. Program incentives should not be included as a cost or a benefit because the cost to program is equal to the benefit to the participant(i.e., it is simply a financial transfer). All of the costs and benefits of electricity and natural gas savings(or increases)are computed by ProCost as a function of the measure application's annual savings, load profiles, and measure life', and other financial parameters approved by the RTF for use across all measures. Cost-effectiveness practices should be symmetrical,where both costs and benefits are included for each relevant type of impact. .. - Cost-effectiveness practices should be completely transparent, and should fully document all relevant sources, inputs,assumptions, methodologies,and results. ' NEEA will deviate from the RTF's Measure life assumption if it has newer data. 2 National Standard Practice Manual for Assessing Cost-Effectiveness of Energy Efficiency Resources. May 2017. https://nationalefficiencyscreening.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/NSPM May-2017 final.pdf. Page 14 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 4 of 14 Cost-effectiveness practices should account for all relevant,substantive impacts,even those that are difficult to quantify and monetize. Using best-available information, proxies, alternative thresholds, or qualitative considerations to approximate hard-to- monetize impacts is preferable to assuming those costs and benefits do not exist or have no value.These impacts should also be reviewed regularly as some may become easier to quantify over time. PrinciplesRelevant . NEEA assesses cost and benefit streams throughout the process of transformation. This can include: • Declining costs as market barriers are removed • Increasing savings as technology advances NEEA will include costs and benefits of efficiency that occur anywhere along the supply chain from production to consumption if they impact the NW region. NEEA adds the present value of administrative costs to the analysis. NEEA also includes midstream incentives in the administrative costs. 3.�NEEAS COST-EFFECTIVENESS TEST NEEA uses a similar perspective as the NWPCC.This perspective originates from the Pacific Northwest Electric Power Planning and Conservation Act3 passed by Congress on December 5, 1980.While this legislation was written before the terms from the National Standard Practice Manual (such as Total Resource Cost or Societal Cost tests) were in the vernacular,specific sections that establish this perspective include: 3(4)(A). "Cost-effective", when applied to any measure or resource referred to in this chapter, means that such measure or resource must be forecast-- 3(4)(A)(i). to be reliable and available within the time it is needed, and 3(4)(A)(ii). to meet or reduce the electric power demand, as determined by the Council or the Administrator, as appropriate, of the consumers of the customers at an estimated incremental system cost no greater than that of the least-cost similarly reliable and available alternative measure or resource, or any combination thereof. 3(4)(B). For purposes of this paragraph, the term "system cost"means an estimate of all direct costs of a measure or resource over its effective life, including, if applicable, the cost of distribution and transmission to the consumer and, among other factors, waste disposal costs, end-of-cycle costs, and fuel costs (including projected increases), and such quantifiable environmental costs and benefits as the Administrator4 determines, on the basis of a methodology developed by the Council as part of the plan, or in the absence of the plan by the Administrators, are directly attributable to such measure or resource. NEEA considers benefits and costs such as Health, Safety and Comfort currently not considered by the NWPCC if the values can be quantified and directly tied to the measure. Unlike the Council, NEEA is not comparing the output with other energy resources for decision making. NEEA is only looking at the cost-effectiveness for the 3 Northwest Power Act Summary Webpage. NWPCC.January 2010. https://www.nwcouncil.org/reports/northwest-power-act. 'Administrator" means the Administrator of the Bonneville Power Administration Page 1 5 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 5 of 14 measure in question using the best available data. If NEEA does deviate from the Council for these reasons, NEEA will clearly document and communicate the deviation. Given this, NEEA looks at the total societal impact of transforming a market to ensure that the regional investment is an appropriate use of funds for the long term. Working under this perspective NEEA considers all incremental costs and benefits of the total regional savings achieved through transformation, regardless of who accrues them. Ultimately, NEEA, as a regional organization, is attempting to answer the question:"Will the benefits to society be greater than the costs?" 3.1. COST-EFFECTIVENESS METRICS NEEA calculates both Benefit-Cost ratios and Levelized Costs. 3.1.1 BENEFIT COST RATIO The benefit-cost ratio is the summation of the monetized benefits divided by the monetized costs. The Calculation converts all negative costs to positive benefits and all negative benefits to positive costs before dividing the total benefits in dollars by the total costs in dollars. The conversion means that the CE Index can never be negative. A measure is cost-effective if the ratio is greater than or equal to one.All costs and benefits are incremental values to the non-initiative market alternative products or services. The Benefit-Cost Ratio has the following formula: " Benefitst,m _ � (1+r)t Benefit-Cost Ratio: n, Costst,m Yt_,=, (l+r)t Where, t=year n=period of analysis r=discount rate m=measure within the initiative The benefits include any monetized benefits associated with the measure. These include: • Avoided Cost of Electric Resource • Carbon Savings • Deferred Transmission, Distribution, and Generation Capacity Costs • Other Quantifiable Non-Electric Benefits or Negative Costs The costs comprise monetized incremental per unit cost associated with measure. Page 6 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 6 of 14 These include: • Incremental Capital Cost • Replacement Costs • Operation and Maintenance Cost • Local Program Administrative Costs • NEEA Initiative Implementation and Evaluation Costs • Other Quantifiable Incremental Costs 3.1.2 LEVELIZED COST The Levelized Cost is the net present value of all the costs(capital, 0&M, and negative non-energy benefits) annualized over the initiative life and divided by the annual electricity savings in kWh.The value is often used to compare the cost of efficiency to other generating resources. � NetCostsr,m , Levelized Cost(Cents/kWh)= L+ t (1+r)r YEBenefitsr,m , (1+r)` Where, t=year n=period of analysis r=discount rate m=measure within the initiative The Net Costs comprise monetized incremental per unit cost associated with initiative less the monetized non- electric benefit. These include: • Incremental Capital Cost • Replacement Costs • Operation and Maintenance Cost • Local Program Administrative Costs • NEEA Initiative Implementation and Evaluation Costs • Other quantifiable incremental costs such • Less: — Deferred transmission,distribution, and generation capacity costs — Other quantifiable non-electric benefits or negative costs such as gas savings or a decrease in Operation and Maintenance cost. Page 1 7 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 7 of 14 The Electricity Benefit is the average incremental per-unit savings(kWh)'at busbar associated the initiative over the period of analysis. UES* (1 +Bulk T&D Loss Factor) * (1 +LocalDistributionLossFactor) Where UES=Unit Energy Savings in kWh per Year The Bulk System T&D Loss Factor and the Local System Distribution Loss Factor comes from the current Power Plan. This section describes how NEEA calculates each of the inputs. • Avoided Cost of Electric Resource • Carbon Savings • Regional Act Credit • Deferred Transmission, Distribution, and Generation Capacity Costs • Incremental Capital Cost • Replacement Costs • Operation and Maintenance Cost • Local Program Administrative Costs • NEEA Initiative Implementation and Evaluation Costs • Other Quantifiable Non-Electric Benefits or Negative Costs • Period of Analysis • Discount Rate and Dollar Value 4.1 AVOIDED COST OF ELECTRIC RESOURCES The 2021 Power Plan defines avoided cost as: An investment guideline, describing the value of conservation and generation resource investments in terms of the cost of more expensive resources that would otherwise have to be acquired.' Deterred electricity consumption is one of the main components of the benefits portion of the Benefit-Cost Ratio. The value of the energy conservation by time segment depends upon the energy price by time segment. NEEA's uses the NWPCC's electric energy price forecasts by time segment to estimate the values of electric savings.These values are available on the RTF's website htti)s://rtf.nwcouncil.org/work-products/supportinq- documents/procost. 6 The difference between the amount of energy savings acquired or planned to be acquired as a result of energy efficiency activities in one year, and the amount of energy savings acquired or planned to be acquired as a result of the energy efficiency activities in the prior year. 62021 Power Plan Glossary(nwcouncil.org) Page 18 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 8 of 14 4.2 CARBON SAVINGS The reduction in energy consumption can also reduce carbon emissions.The Council has a carbon price forecast ($/MWh)that it adds to the avoided cost forecast. The carbon values are available on the RTF's website.' 4.3 REGIONAL ACT CREDIT NEEA includes the Council's application of the Regional Act Credit in its calculations. For the 2021 Power Plan,the credit is: Used in the act to give economic preference to conservation resources.When estimating incremental cost of an energy-efficiency measure,this cost is reduced by 10%of the value of the energy system benefits. 4.4 DEFERRED TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, AND GENERATION CAPACITY COSTS In addition to the value of electricity conservation, savings occur because of the elimination of line losses. If utilities produced the equivalent power as opposed to conserved,then that electricity would have moved across power lines resulting in power line losses. Measures can also reduce peak demand. NEEA's uses the Council's definition of peak. For the 2021 Power Plan,the definition is: Peak-load hours are defined as the four hours beginning at 7pm and ending at 11pm, Monday through Saturday. Off-peak hours are the remaining 20 hours in the day(M-Sa)and all day Sunday. For Council analysis,the winter period is roughly defined as the months of October through March.The summer period runs from April through September. However,the most important winter months with respect to resource planning are December,January and February. Similarly,the most critical summer months for resource planning are July and August. NEEA also runs the analysis using winter and summer peak assumptions for additional perspectives. For winter peaking, NEEA assumes the peak hours are 6 pm weekday, December-February. For summer peaking, NEEA assumes the peak hours are 6 pm weekday,July-August. 4.5 INCREMENTAL CAPITAL COSTS Incremental costs are a key assumption that drives cost-effectiveness, and therefore is evaluated by third party evaluations.The 2021 Power Plan defines the Incremental Costs as: The difference between the cost of baseline equipment or service and the cost of alternative energy-efficient equipment or service. Capital Costs should represent the cost of efficiency gains and not non-energy value. 4.5.1 PRE-CONDITIONS For retrofits, NEEA uses the full cost of the device plus installation costs.The incremental cost of Ductless heat Pumps,for example, is the full cost of installation and equipment.The data often comes from NEEA or utility programs. 'httr)s:Hrtf.nwcouncil.org/work-products/supporting-documents/r)rocost. Page 9 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 9 of 14 For early replacements,the full costs are adjusted based on the remaining present value of the old device. 4.5.2 CURRENT PRACTICE'/ INITIAL CAPITAL COST For replacements or new construction/lost opportunity measures,the cost should reflect the incremental cost of increased efficiency.This approach is not the same a comparing the difference between the cost of an efficient product and a non-efficient option.The measurement should control for key product attributes that also influence price. NEEA uses three approaches for this analysis. • Component analysis:determine which technology options enable a product to improve EE,then find cost data for the necessary components. • Hedonic pricing model:collect online retail products data and fit a regression model to the data. • External Estimates:use estimates already completed by external parties such as the Department of Energy(mostly used for initiatives prior to Market Development). The biggest difference between the component analysis and Hedonic model is that one is measuring the cost to the manufacturer and the other—Hedonic Model—is measuring the cost to the consumer. NEEA will use either approach; but the approach should best represent the capital cost to the region. Component analysis measures the incremental measure cost(IMC) based on the component within the product that makes it more efficient. Figure 1 shows the steps. NEEA has used this approach with televisions and new construction measures. For televisions, NEEA identified that the cost of backlighting was a proxy for the IMC. The Televisions initiative purchased industry data on component costs and linked the components to its efficiency measures,which were a function of the ENERGY STAR versions and the screen size. Finally, NEEA compared the lighting options to estimate the IMC. Figure 1: Method to Estimate Component Costs STAGE OUTCOME 1. ..uct-specific technical - 1.Attributes that affect efficiency 2.Acquire component-level data 2. Costs and impacts of efficient components 3.Analyze paths to efficiency 3. Determine cost effectiveness of component combinations 4. Minimum cost of efficiency Compare4. product options improvements for diverse set of products Lim- Options for acquiring the cost data: Page 10 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 10 of 14 • Search for available component-level data • Contact manufacturers • Perform teardown analysis • Purchase teardown analysis data • Contact installers for installation • Field tests for installation. • Research (lab and/or field)for operations and maintenance Hedonic Price modeling uses pricing data and regression analysis to isolate the IMC. NEEA uses this approach for most consumer products.Steps to estimate IMC include web-harvesting, data cleaning, multiple regression analysis,and model selection and verification (Figure 2).Some advantages to this approach are: 1. Measures consumer price differences, not manufacturer cost 2. Yields insights about which product features most strongly influence price 3. Less expensive than component analysis 4. Over time, more data leads to more precise IMC estimates 5. New products can be added as needed Figure 2: Method to Create a Hedonic Price model STAGE OUTCOME 1. • harvesting 1 . Raw data data attributes 2. Likely key attributes that 2. Clean influence price 3. Multiple regression ana3. Identify models that explain price variance 4. Model " " •n & validation 4. Identify the best model �1 5. Convert EE coefficient 5. EE IMC estimate to $ Some limitations to consider with Hedonic Price Models are: 1. The price is not tied to the specific technology pathways for efficiency 2. Price to the consumer does not always reflect cost to the manufacturer 3. Online product selection could differ from brick and mortar store selection 4. The regression can only control for product features that are listed online As a result,cross-checking the results with market data is important. Page 11 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 11 of 14 External estimates are the most common source in the Department of Energy's Technical Support documents. Other sources include the Regional Technical Forum,consulting firms, and/or staff's best professional judgment. This approach is limited because the information is often dated and difficult to align with initiative baselines. 4.6 REPLACEMENT COSTS Because NEEA looks at cost-effectiveness over a 20-year period, NEEA considers how the capital costs could decline over time;thus, affecting the cost to replace the measure over the analysis period. Replacement costs can account for economies of scales.An example of economies of scale would be the declining average cost of an ENERGY STAR product as manufacturers switch production. It is important to note that the cost should still be incremental to the initial baseline.As a result,the replacement cost does not go to zero because the measure becomes a code or standard. 4.7 OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE COSTS (0&M) The RTF defines the 0&M costs as: The ongoing and periodic incremental costs required to operate and maintain the measure affected building components or equipment over the measure life. Operation and Maintenance includes costs for fuels(except electricity and gas)and water. Other materials or services that may be required for operation and maintenance should be valued if the incremental cost or benefit is expected to be substantial. 0&M Costs should represent the annualized maintenance for the efficient measure compared with the baseline option.The value can be either positive or negative. For example,the longer life of CFLs led NEEA to use a negative 0&M estimate based on cost savings from not needing to replace the bulb with an incandescent. NEEA generally uses third-party research or RTF assumptions for 0&M inputs. Initiative data can also support 0&M estimates. 4.8 INITIATIVE ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS The RTF 2018 Operative Guidelines defines Initiative administration costs as: The administrative costs(such as audits, design services, marketing and overhead)incurred by the initiative operator...incentives are not included as they are transfer payments and do not impact regional cost-effectiveness. NEEA estimates these costs incurred by utilities,the Bonneville Power Administration and the Energy Trust and governments using the following approach. • Market Transformation Administrative Cost: Utilities,the BPA and the Energy Trust incur additional costs to oversee NEEA's initiative. NEEA estimates this cost as 3%-20%of the NEEA's direct costs.The percentage depends on the level of involvement that the local programs have with the initiative. Generally, if the utilities do not have a local program for the measure,the cost would be 3%. • Local Program Administrative Costs: NEEA's partners incur a cost to administer its initiatives. Generally, NEEA estimates the value is 20%of the incentive cost. NEEA tracks the incentives costs through its initiative team or its Annual Local Programs survey.The 20%is a standard percentage that NEEA uses to estimate administrative costs that utilities incur for their incentive programs. 4.9 NEEA INITIATIVE IMPLEMENTATION AND EVALUATION COSTS Page 1 12 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 12 of 14 NEEA costs comprise the implementation and contracts costs, upstream incentives, evaluation,and overhead costs. • Implementation and Contracts:The implementation and contracts costs comprise payments to contractors, marketing efforts and website enhancements. • Incentives:The costs should include incentives as part of the TRC if the incentives are upstream and not included in the consumer's cost. • Evaluation: NEEA evaluates currently and previously funded initiatives. NEEA includes these and other evaluation costs in its cost-effectiveness calculation as well as its budget forecasts. Historical costs come from NEEA's accounting department.The forecasts come from the initiative team. 4.10 OTHER QUANTIFIABLE NON-ELECTRIC BENEFITS OR NEGATIVE COSTS NEEA attempts to quantify all other non-energy benefits that result from a measure including such items as environmental costs and benefits directly tied to the measure such as wastewater and water savings. 4.11 PERIOD OF ANALYSIS From initiative-level analysis, NEEA assesses the benefits and costs over a 20-year period starting from the inception of the initiative.The length of time aligns with the length of time the Northwest Power and Conservation Council uses for power planning purposes. 4.12 DISCOUNT RATE AND DOLLAR VALUE NEEA discounts the costs and savings based on the most recent Power Plan discount rate assumption.This value is meant to represent a societal discount rate and is expressed in real terms(accounting for inflation).Additionally, the dollar values are in the Plan Power's base year. For the 2021 Power Plan,the year is 2016. 5.�AGGREGATING THE MEASURE-LEVEL RESULTS NEEA evaluates cost-effectiveness at both the initiative and portfolio level, however;to do this the values are first calculated at the individual measure-level.When possible, measures are disaggregated if components of the measure are subject to different benefits,costs or load shapes. Measures are aggregated to the initiative and then portfolio level based on the relative 20-year Total Regional Savings. • • • PORTFOLIO NEEA uses a management framework called the Initiative Lifecycle(Figure 1)to progress initiatives from concept development to initiative development and finally full-scale market development. Page 1 13 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 13 of 14 Figure 3:NEEA's Initiative Lifecycle ---- concept program SCANT CONCEPT MARKETS MARKET LONG-TERM OPPORTUNITY PRODUCT ASSESSMENT ASSESSMENT DEVELOPMENT MONITORING Concept Initiative Start Product Readiness Scale-up Approval Initiative Review Transition Advancement RPAC Vote Approval RPAC Vote (IR#1&#2) Complete (CA) (IS) (PRA) (SA) (TC) The goal is always to have a benefit cost ratio greater than or equal to 1 for both the initiative and the portfolio, but NEEA manages cost-effectiveness calculations differently for initiatives depending upon the phase they are in. NEEA-developed cost-effectiveness metrics are only fully generated for initiatives in the Market Development$ phase because it is at this point when the transformation objectives and associated costs and benefits are more clearly defined.The cost-effectiveness metric should be one criterion considered by the Regional Portfolio Advisory Committee when voting to advance an initiative through the Scale-Up Approval stage gate. For initiatives in phases prior to Market Development, NEEA generates a preliminary cost-effectiveness metric and runs sensitivity analysis on uncertain variables to determine the likelihood that it will be a cost effective. Initiatives without a viable pathway to cost-effectiveness are unlikely to advance in the initiative lifecycle framework. NEEA uses the benefits and costs of initiatives in Market Development to assess its portfolio. NEEA also adds the remaining Business Plan budget to the costs.The goal is to have a portfolio with a Benefit-Cost Ratio greater than 1. PROCESS[�:ICOST-EFFECTIVENESS REVIEW NEEA vets and receive advice on cost-effectiveness topics through the Cost-Effectiveness Advisory Committee. NEEA provides the information to the Committee for review on an annual basis and at any time upon request. s Market Development is a phase of NEEA's Initiative Lifecycle management framework.This is the phase in which the products, markets and interventions are clearly defined and NEEA is actively engaged in transforming the market. Page 1 14 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 14 of 14 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-E-24-35 IDAHO POWER COMPANY NESBITT, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO. 5 �I 0 POWER, Idaho ower and Background and Next Steps Billie McWinn Kathy Yi Quentin Nesbitt 4 Exhibit No.5 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 4Nesbitt, IPC Page 1 of 22 IQAHO POWER. • What is Market Transformation • Background • Cost-effectiveness framework • Types of savings • What has NEEA delivered ? • 1997-2023 expenses and savings • Cycle 4 (2010-2014) savings and cost-effectiveness • ADM Evaluation • Decision Timeline • Considerations Exhibit No.5 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 2 of 22 IQAHO POWER. Actual Market Investment Adoption N i v Naturally- _ rt Occurring Baseline C Transformation , --------------- W dA L C W Emerging Early Market Mainstream Market Adoption Technologies Adoption Exhibit No.5 Casg3W. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 3 of 22 Who is Engaged in • ' • 0 MT? By State WA 1 OR MN � • Not every state does Market NY Transformation • NEEA is the only multistate I� organization ca • Hawaii is training / education program • New York is "beyond EF program • Every group does savings / cost- effectiveness differently ExhibitHI . Nesbitt,Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. ..-4 of 22 -w§IQAHO POWER. MARKET TRANSFORMATION RESOURCE • • Scale Entire defined market Program level Target All consumers Participants Goal Structural changes in market leading to Near-term savings long-term savings Approach Save energy through mobilizing the Save energy through incenting customer market for lasting savings participation Scope of Effort Results from effects of multiple efforts or Usually from a single program interventions Technology focus Emerging or new technologies, practices Established, proven technologies, or services practices or services with reliable savings What is tracked, Interim and long-term indicators of Quantifiable results that can be measured, and market penetration and structural controlled, predicted and measured, such evaluated changes, attribution to the program and as energy savings and number of cumulative energy impacts participants Timeframe for cost Is usually planned over a 5-10 year Usually based on 15t year or cycle savings effectiveness timeframe or longer Exhibit No.5 Cash No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 5 of 22 What is Market • ' • Transformation ? NEEA Efforts vs Idaho Power Efforts Approach to • Midstream (Distributor, • Upstream (Manufacturers) Market contractor) • Midstream (Distributor, contractor) . Downstream Customers Transformation (Customers) Portfolio Technology • Emerging or new technologies, * Proven Savings practices, services Focus *Theory based evaluations Portfolio Metrics& Evaluation * Market progress evaluations • Impact and process evaluations Approach • Influence evaluations • Potential studies •Stock assessments Cost . Measured over 20-year portfolio *One year perspective Effectiveness IQAHO POWER. Cost-Effectiveness Market Transformation Resource Acquisition Calculation Elements • • • Codes & Standards savings Included for market Excluded • transformation initiatives that are proposed to lead to a code or • - : • • - - • • standard • • • • • Timeframe of forecasted Cost & Lifetime of the market Program funding period Benefits transformation initiative (forecast 20 years forward from current period and continue accruing costs and savings from the date of inception for the initiative) Incremental Costs Typically decline over time Typically remain static Exhibit No.5 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 7 of 22 What is Market • ' • 0 Transformation ? NEEA's Approach to Savings MARKET TRANSFORMATION APPROACH • Total Regional Savings ACTUAL MARKET Savings associated with ALL market SHARE change. Used in NEEA's portfolio cost- Net Market o-Cr_ _ effectiveness. Effects Savings LU ly < MARKET • Co-Created Savings • - a) BASELINE Regional All energy savings above baseline that Savings occur in the market due to the combined LIJ efforts of utilities, NEEA and other • actors. • Net Market Effects Savings reported to utilities (funder vs 20+years service territory share) 5 years 0 10 years 15 years ExhibitTIME . Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, Page : . What is Market • ' • 0 Transformation ? NEEA's Approach to Savings — Total Regional MARKET TRANSFORMATION APPROACH Savings "NEEA's purpose is to look at the ACTUAL total societal impact of MARKET transforming a market to ensure SHARE that the regional investment is an .. .d appropriate use of funds for theSavings longterm. Working under this , Local perspective NEEA considers all MARKET incremental quantifiable costs SHARE Total and benefits of the total regional Cn BASELINE Regional savings achieved through tranSavings sformation, regardless of who accrues them. Ultimately, NEEA, : as a regional organization, is attempting to answer the question: will costs to society be reduced relative to an alternate resource?" 0 5 years 0 10 years 0 15 years 20+ TIME NEEA-O erational-Guidelines-for- Estimatin -E ectric-Cost- E Fe-c-tiveness.Of ExhibitNo. Nesbitt,Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Page • . IQAHO POWER. Additive'Co-Created Savings(aMW):1997-2022 • • . . • While NEEA is funded in 5-year increments,market transformation is typically a 15-20-year endeavor.The following chart depicts how NEEA's early direct intervention investments for each business cycle resulted in permanent market change that led to continued long-term energy savings. • • Working together,the region has achieved more than 919 average megawatts(aMW)of Co-Created electric energy savings since 1997—equivalent to enough energy to power more than 670,000 Northwest homes • each year. • mdwe�,m•s,.,ms xe eenree ss me�ar M+•n�rrex sa..,ys xo.my exn f�x�n.emNe man_ ' • 919 aMW . • . Cycle 1&2(1997.2004 1 . Cycle 3(2005-2009) Cycle 4(2010.2014) S Cycle 5 Cycle 6(2020.2022) Figure l Co-Created Savings Estimate(2020-2039) Forecasted Energy Savings based on Proposed Cycle 7 Market Transformation Portfolio _ 50 Cycle 7 Cycle 8 Cycle 9 • 40 30 20 10 0 2020 20212022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20312032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 Prior Investments ■Active Programs,Codes and Standards Exhibit No.5 , New Programs Developed in Cycle 6 New Emerging Technology for Cycle 7 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 10 of 22 UIQAHO R® • - - - - - Initiative Lifecycle - - • • - • • : concept development i program development market transformation -- • • _ • CONCEPT &TRACKING Advisory Committee Vote: Advisory Committee Vote: Concept Advancement Program Advancement Ben fits Al I N E EA Costs Exhibit No.5 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 11 of 22 0IQAHO R® ' - • • - • • Manufactured Homes Current Programs in Portfolio eat Pump Water OHeaters Ef6c'ent Gas ' • • • 1 • Water Heaters Retail Products • Portfolio Dual-fuel ResKlential HVAC Ol 10 Luminaire Level • • Lighting Controls High-efficiency DOAS(natural Advanced Commercial O Extended Motor gas) Gas Water Heating © Products-Pumps O Power Drive - O High-Performance Ole High-Performance Windows Systems Windows � HYAC • 50+ Emerging Market 0 Efficient Fans O Roocftop ient Units O Monitonng • and Technology 3 Previous +A Opportunities Advanced Heat © Programs •- •• • Pumps concept development prograin development inarket transformation TRACKINGCONCEPT MARKE7T LONG-TERM .,,,-a caQm<»NEEA �=Pivgrams that advanced in Cycle 9 Exhibit No.5 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 12 of 22 UIDIAHO R.,, 2025-2029 $4.5M Cycle 7 $4.OM 2010-2014 Cycle 4 2020-2024 $3.5M I 2015-2019 Cycle 6 Cycle 5 • $3.OM 1997- 1 $2.5M 1999 Cycle 1 $2.OM 2000-2004P � Cycle 2 _ • 2005-2009 $1.5M Cycle 3 , $1.0m $0.5M $0.0M - °� °� o° o0 oti oti o� o� oh o° o� o� o° do titi titi ti3 ti� tih ti° ti� ti� do ,yo ,yti titi ti� ti� ti� ti° ti� ti� do ti° ti� ti° ,yo ,yo do ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo do 1�0 ,yo do Exhibit No.5 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Page 13 of 22 What has NEEA • ' • 0 Delivered ? Idaho Powers Savings 30,000 $4.OM and Expenses • Measure savings 25,000 • 2010— most measure savings from CFLs ' and clothes washers. 1 • 2011 — most measure savings from CFLs 20,000 and efficient TVs • 2012-2014— most measure savings from efficient TVs 111 $2.OM • Standards savings • 2014—first year of battery charger standards savings 10,000 • 2016-2018 - electric motor & battery chargers $1.0m PF • Codes savings 5,000 • Funder share included code savings from other states • Service territory savings as of 2022 report 1 • Expenses and savings not synced Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q...- . of 22 • IQAHO POWER. - $4.OM 18,000 $3.5M 16,000 14,000 12,000 • • • . - $2.5M 10,000 $2.OM 8,000 $1.5M 6,000 $1.0M 4,000 $0.5M 2,000 $0.0m 0 do titi titi ti3 ti� ti`' ti° ti� ti� do ,yo ,yti titi ti� ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo do ,yo Exhibit No.5 Savings ■ Expenses Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 15 of 22 What has NEEA • ' • Delivered ? 2010-2014 Cycle 4: Cost-effectiveness 2009 IRP Avoided 2023 IRP Avoided Costs Costs 2010-2023 • NEEA's cost-effectiveness is based on forecast of future Savings Avoided Avoided savings. Costs • Based on estimated savings Savings as reported 93,212 0:. . . associated with Cycle 4, was cycle 4 cost-effective? r No Codes ; , • At the time the Cycle 4 contract was signed, the 2006 Integrated No Codes . Standards ' ' ' Resource Plan was the acknowledge IRP. • Used assumptions from the filed Savings reduced by 50% • • •• • 2.19 $10,799,923 : • 2009 IRP. • Ran another scenario with the currently filed 2023 IRP. Exhibit . Nesbitt,Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Page 16 of 22 0 ADM Evaluation What are Codes & Standards? Codes . • Codes Codes Buildings • . • Appliances • Envelope Equipment • Mechanical systems • Lighting density --a • Standards �.. . • Consumer products • Lighting products • System components ` uu Exhibit • Case • Q. Nesbitt, .•' 17 of IQAW R® • . Product Examples Standards Codes and Standards Codes Stand alone products . Controls • System performance • Sizing • Installation Practices • Installation Practices LU D i Exhibit No.5 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 18 of 22 %6 IQAHO POWER. Recommendation 9. Complete influence evaluations Possibly, pending further NEEA already conducts third-party for each code update to estimate discussion with evaluation of its energy codes work. Since NEEXs qualitative and the Cost Effectiveness the current influence approach's application quantitative influence towards and Evaluation Advisory to reported energy savings was the code update. Committee (CEAC). recommended by CEAC, any changes would need to be discussed by that committee. Possible implementation in 2025 with cost implications to be determined. Exhibit No.5 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 19 of 22 • [ • NEEA provide background and process to the Cost-Effectiveness Advisory Committee (CEAC) Decision timeline � - Filin i • Decision Deadline i • Provided CEAC an overview of NEEA work to influence codes • Provided CEAC current state of evaluation approaches used to evaluate codes and standards � • 1 Review with CEAC approach and key assumptions used to estimate savings from state energy codes work Present to CEAC draft approach with opportunity for discussion and feedback i IPC Internal ' • Present CEAC refined draft approach DeclSlOn _ • NEEA Staff provide initial recommendation • NEEA Staff provides final recommendation with implications to CEAC Exhibit No.5 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 • NEEA Staff to address if recommendation needs tested before implementation Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 20 of 22 Considerations How is the Market Transformed? Alliance Structure: Funder Participation, Staff Expertise, Market Relationship • Emerging Technology Trusted Reputation, Market Data Collection + Analysis • Testing on heat pump water heaters and clothes dryers • Market Strategy & Execution • Program implementation, planning • Codes & Standards Emerging Market Codes Analytics, Convene • Influencing the adoption of federal Technology Strategy + Standards Research + Collaborate standards for vending machines, Execution valuation motors, walk-in coolers, etc. • AnalY tics Research & Evaluation • Work on residential and commercial building stocks, market progress Benefits: Customer Engagement Opportunities, Peak & Cost-Efficient Energy evaluations (used by RTF and potential studies) Savings, Lowered Risk, Energy Efficiency Resources, Permanent Market Change • Convene & Collaborate • Committees, working groups 0IQAW R® • • • How do we want to define Market Transformation activities ✓ Acquisition programs also can lead to MT, but has not been an emphasis • Cost-Effectiveness is inherently different ✓ Savings timeframe ✓ Net market vs Total market • NEEA Cycle 7 Business Plan is set ✓ Idaho Power influence limited ✓ Requires trust, but some opportunity for verification ✓ NEEA MT model requires some faith vs all facts • Code Savings Issue (recommendation #9) ✓ 100 % for 10 years vs ? ✓ Political issues • Standards ✓ Influence evaluations ✓ DOE vs NEEA vs Other organizations • Replacement expectation? ✓ Does the "all cost-effective energy efficiency" directive include market transformation? Exhibit No.5 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 22 of 22 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-E-24-35 IDAHO POWER COMPANY NESBITT, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO. 6 �I 0 POWER, Idaho ower an EEA Follow-up and Next Steps May 1 2024Quentin Nesbitt ; .� Mary Alice Taylor ver Exhibit No.6 Kathy Yi - ►- Case No. iPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 1 of 28 Agenda `10n"0 POWER. April Meeting Recap Follow- up Items Various Topics Upstream/Midstream/ Downstream Efforts Code Activities Cycle 7 Cost-effectiveness — Idaho Power Avista Follow- up General Discussion 0 Meeting Recap April 2, 2024 Agenda • What is Market Transformation • Background • Cost-effectiveness framework • Types of savings • What has NEEA delivered? • 1997-2023 expenses and savings • Cycle 4 (2010-2014) savings and cost-effectiveness • ADM Evaluation • Decision Timeline • Considerations Exhibit . . Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. .. of 28 0-10AM R® Actual Market ' • , Adoption • Investment • Naturally- ' A, Occurring Baseline C Transformation V - W \. Gl C I Emerging Early Market Technologies Adoption Mainstream Market Adoption . Time ~ HI • 1997- expenses and NEEA Idaho Power • Cycle 4 (2010-2014 sa Approach to Upstream(Manufacturers) -Midstream(Distributor, cost-effectiveness Market contractor) MidstreamTransformation ' Cost-Effectiveness Market Transformation Resource Acquisition • ADM n /I Evaluation Calculation Elements !'1 I V IPortfolio Emerging new Codes&Standards savings Included for market Excluded • Decision Timeline • • • technologies, -Proven transformation initiatives that are Focusproposed to lead to a code or standard • ConsiderationsTimeframe of forecasted Cost& Lifetime of the market Program funding period -Theory.. •• • • - Benefits transformation initiative &Evaluation .Market progress evaluationsImpact and process . (forecast 20 years forward from -Influence evaluations -Potential st . - current period and continue Approach -Stock assessments accruing costs and savings from the date of inception for the initiative) Cost Incremental Costs Typically decline over time Typically remain static MeasuredEffectiveness over 1 •• •lio -One year perspective Exhibit - .- Exhibit No.6 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 4 Q.Nesbitt,IPC Page 4 of 28 TRANSFORMATIONMARKET -w DIM POWRO Am ACTUAL • • MARKET _ SHARE NO 113l1z1 Current Programs in Portfolio Effects o-Created Savings �, irir • , ' , • • , Q MARKET 0• • 2 SHARE Total •� (/7 BASELINE Regional `�; 0 rl. H Savings IL O�s QwE.Nrousw Qs..r.. O mwo N,..9 � N ran%r ®3 Rwns Ij aa..... •,� amva,. s r.— ior..R .....rs 3o.y... �.w.�...r�.a.. TIME $4.0M 18,000 2025-2029 54.sM Cyc( Ae� $3.SM 16,000 54.UM 2010-2014 4 Cya4 2020-2024 14,W0 N 53.SM r--J1 203s-2019 Cyc1a6 —" 12,000 cycles 1, $2.SM 53.UM � 3992- 10,00[I 52— 1999 1 S2.OM • Cyc1l B4OW 2000-2004 r 1 Cycle 2 $1.5M 2005-2U09 6,W0 53.SM � Cyrlw 3 • • $1.1M I I I I I I1 I) $1.OM 4,OW . = Sn.SM $O.SM 1,W0 SO.OM SO.OM O o"d'r 41 Qs ss -61 .e"s ,a" 41 4a I I I I , ■Sevin R' t.p- 2009 IRP Avoided 2023 • ADM Eva uation Costs sts 2010-2023 • Decision Timelin First Year NPVDSM NPVDSM Savings Avoided Avoided Scenarios (MWh) Costs UCT Costs UCT • Considerations Savings as reported 93,212 $55,089,397 4.37 $21,599,847 1.72 No Codes 86,791 $46,417,976 3.68 $19,214,205 1.53 No Codes&Standards 18,850 $12,564,328 1.00 $4,791,642 0.38 Exhibit No.6 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Savings reduced by 50% 46,606 $27,544,699 2.19 $10,799,923 0.86 Page 5 of 28 0IQAM R, Codes and Standards Product Examples Codes = Buildings Standards = Appliances / Standards Codes and Standards Codes Stand alone products Controls System performance M Sizing Installation Practices Equipment Installation Practices KS." at has EV d • 1997. 3 expenses an savings Recommendation Cycle 4 (2010-201 1 ' " and cost-effectiven 9. Complete influence evaluations Possibly, pending further NEEA already conducts third-party for each code update to estimate discussion with evaluation of its energy codes work. Since NEEXs qualitative and the Cost Effectiveness the current influence approach's application quantitative influence towards and Evaluation Advisory to reported energy savings was the code update. Committee (CEAC). recommended by CEAC, any changes would • Considerations need to be discussed by that committee. Possible implementation in 2025 with cost implications to be determined. Exhibit No.6 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 6 of 28 0IQAW R® • How do we want to define Market Transformation activities • 1 - • ✓ (Acquisition programs also can lead to MT but has not been an emphasis • Cost-Effectiveness is inherently different ✓ Savings timeframe ✓ Net market vs Total market • NEEA Cycle 7 Business Plan is set ✓ Idaho Power influence limited ✓ Requires trust, but some opportunity for verification ✓ NEEA MT model requires some faith vs all facts • Code Savings Issue (recommendation #9) ✓ 100 % for 10 years vs ? at has� �'E�'A�d ✓ Political issues • 1997 .E expenses •an Standards savings ✓ Influence evaluations Cycle 4 (2010-201 ✓ DOE vs NEEA vs Other organizations and cost-effectiven • (Replacement expectation?) ✓ Does the "all cost-effective energy efficiency" directive include market transformation? • ADM Evaluation Alliance Structure: Funder Participation,Staff Expertise,Market Relationship, ed 'on Trusted Reputation,Market Data Collection+Analysis Market Codes+ Analytics, Emerging Strategy+ Research+ Technology I Execution I standards Evaluation I . _.. . In E7 Exhibit No.6 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Lowered� Energy Opportunities,mer Engagement _ncy _Peak� Cost-Efficient Permanent Market Change Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 7 of 28 Agenda 91 of ML A April Meetin Recap 0 i,-I f-a_.%W pstr am/ Midstream / Downstream Efforts Code Activities Cycle 7 Cost-effectiveness Avista Follow- up General Discussion N6 •IQAHO POWER, • What will the impacts to the Company be if we don't participate? • How will operations look different? • Will we be able to see benefits elsewhere? • How is the increase in cost to the Company justified? • What will we be getting from the increase? • How does the influence of government IRA affect thoughts on NEEA's role in market transformation? • How can NEEA further separate out how much savings they claim vs. the utilities? • How much can the Company expand into midstream and what would costs look like? • Are there replacement options (NEEA will cost $4,000,000 annually) • Currently look at all cost-effective measures • Brio vs NEEA • Evaluate/claim MT savings from Acquisition programs? • What Agreement exit provisions are there? Exhibit No.6 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 9 of 28 0 Follow-up Items Various Topics - • • - • ' " = - • ' • • • • Agreement Exit Provisions from Cycle 6 "If the Board of Directors determines at any time that NEEA has made insufficient progress in achieving objectives set forth in the Business Plan, or that NEEA does not have sufficient funds to operate or meet all objectives, I..Funder may choose to terminate or reduce its Cycle 6 Core Funding obligations." Agenda ML A April 1,Meetain Recap K(e 1 0 pie ) Various Topics Code Collaborative Cycle 7 Cost-effectiveness Avista Follow- up General Discussion • ' - IQAHO POWER. NEEA Activities Idaho Power Activities • Engaging in National Partnership • • Influencing ENERGY STAR specifications • Improving DOE and EPA test procedures • " • Developing code proposals • . • I with International Code .• • • Council Increasingsupply chain • - • • pp y awareness Increasing supply chain • • • Training, education, and awareness ' technical assistance (includes Training, education, and • technical assistance codes) Product incentives or sales • _ 0 Product incentives incentives • - Increasing consumer Increasing consumer awareness awareness • Marketing Marketing • Direct customer incentives Exhibit No.6 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 12 of 28 a Re Product Group Concept Development Program Market Development Long-term Monitoring • - Development • High Performance Windows(dual fuel) Consumer Products Retail Products Portfolio • - • • HVAC • Next Generation • High Performance Residential Heat Pumps HVAC • Rooftop Units with Heat ® .�0 Ductless Heat Pumps Pumps • Advanced Heat Pumps • Manufactured Homes Lighting • Luminaire Level Lighting Controls Motor-Driven • Expansion to New Pump Efficient Fans • Extended Motor Systems and Fan Applications Products(pumps) • Efficient Motor-Drive Systems Water Heating • Commercial/Multifamily Heat Pump Water Central Heat Pump Water Heaters Heater ® •VE : IL • Residential Heat Pump ii Exhibit No.6 Water Heaters for All Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Applications Page 13 of 28 Agenda 91 ML A April 1,Meetin Recap Various Topics Upstr m/ Midstream / Downstream Efforts Cyc e Cos -e fectiveness Avista Follow- up General Discussion IQAHO POWER, Recommendation 9. Complete influence evaluations Possibly, pending further NEEA already conducts third-party for each code update to estimate discussion with evaluation of its energy codes work. Since • • - NEEXs qualitative and the Cost Effectiveness the current influence approach's application quantitative influence towards and Evaluation Advisory to reported energy savings was the code update. Committee (CEAC). recommended by CEAC, any changes would need to be discussed by that committee. Possible implementation in 2025 with cost implications to be determined. Exhibit No.6 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 15 of 28 0IQAM R® The Four Alternative Evaluation Approaches . . .plus the current approach. 0 Qualitative Description of NEEA Influence Aligned wrth NEEA developed,cycle-specific state code support plans. 0 (Modified) Standards Influence Evaluation Approach Conduct a qualitative assessment to develop a quantitaMe influence"score"similar to NEEA's standards approach. 0 Index of NEEA's Effective Code Proposals Analysis of share of effectrve Isuccessful)proposals.would require defining and valuating'effecti%*ness" © Quantitative Measure-level Assessment Consistent with CA PM impact evaluation approach. 5. Current Evaluation Approach (Codes "MPER") Assessment of NEEA's influence on each code cycle through standard theory-based MPEP approach,intentionally aligned with NEEA's cycle-specific Code Support Plans. 13C Z=xayror.FFs Exhibit No.6 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 16 of 28 0IQAM R® 0 Comparing the Approaches 1 Incremental PrecedentsCos t Qualitative description of LOW NEEA MT Program Investment to develop data collectionand analysis methods.could scope influence Market Progress Evals this as part of a future Codes NIP ER. (MPERs) Modified standards approach Low Similar to`other Investment to develop data col IeRWn and analysis methods.Does not standards"evals (ether account for long-term approach Standards not part of MT associated with market programs) transformation. Effectiveness score for code Low Code proposals are a Does not capture key elements codes market intenpntions buildld er proposals logic model outcome; training,call center,continuous periodically assessed improvement of codes language,etcl Quantitative measure-level High California Public Utilities Data co!lectwn and analysis procedures A-ould need to be assessment Commission established and standardized;budget .,,oula need to be allocated. Current approach None MPERs 1, 2, and 3 Data collection and analysis procedures will be refined and (upcoming) standardized through NiPEa r3 and be-pond. Exhibit No.6 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 17 of 28 IQAHO POWER, • Active Participation in Code Development • Adaptive Management • Training and Education . • - • Compliance and Savings Measurement Collaborative • Market Development / Measure Awareness Exhibit No.6 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 18 of 28 010AW R® • Currently run by the Association of Idaho Cities through a NEEA • • - • . • • - funded grant • Contract is for $150,000 • Group of Idaho stakeholders that meets quarterly • AIC, NEEA, code officials (city and county), Office of Energy and Mineral Resources, utilities (Idaho Power and Avista), energy • , • • , _ , . code circuit rider, energy code trainers, Integrated Design Lab, • - - - - - Idaho Conservation League, and other energy code advocates . . - Recent Activities • Idaho building codes Zero Based Regulation review • Discuss trainings • Review of the 2021 and 2024 International Energy Conservation Code • Could Idaho Power manage in NEEA's absence? Exhibit No.6 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 19 of 28 Agenda 91 ML A April 1,Meetin Recap Various Topics Upstream/ Midstream / Downstream Efforts Code Activities Avista Follow- up General Discussion RECAP: What is Market Transformation? NEEA's Approach to Savings MARKET TRANSFORMATION APPROACH • Total Regional Savings ACTUAL MARKET Savings associated with ALL market SHARE change. Used in NEEA's portfolio cost- Net Market o-Cr_ _ effectiveness. Effects 1'z LLI ly < MARKET • Co-Created Savings SHARE Totala) BASELINE Regional All energy savings above baseline that Savings occur in the market due to the combined LIJ efforts of utilities, NEEA and other • actors. • Net Market Effects Savings reported to utilities (funder vs 20+years service territory share) 5 years 0 10 years 15 years TIME Exhibit . . Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC ..- • UIDIAHO R,,, 2025-2029 $4.5M Cycle 7 $4.OM 2010-2014 Cycle 4 2020-2024 $3.5M I 2015-2019 Cycle 6 Cycle 5 $3.OM 1997- • 1 $2.5M 1999 Cycle 1 $2.OM 2000-2004P � Cycle 2 � 2005-2009 $1.5M Cycle 3 , Follow up: Cycle 7 estimated to cost $1.oM $3.68 per residential customer per year $0.5M $O.OM o0 oti oti " 1 o" o6 o� o� o" do titi titi ti3 tia 11 ti° ti� ti� ti� do yti titi ti� ti� ti� ti° ti� ti� do ti° ti� ti° ,yo ,yo do ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo ,yo do 2�0 ,yo do Exhibit No.6 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Page 22 of 28 IQAHO POWER. In First Year Savings - Low Range ' - - 20,000.00 • • 18,000.00 16,000.00 14,000.00 12,000.00 10,000.00 8,000.00 • _ , 6,000.00 4,000.00 • • • 2,000.00 • 0.00 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 Year ■Voluntary ■Code Lifetime Savings — Low Range • . • • • 180,000.00 160,000.00 ••- • • • 140,000.00 120,000.00 100,000.00 • • • ' . • 80,000.00 60,000.00 40,000.00 20,000.00 , 1111111 11yyyyyrtyrill no . — ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti Year ■Voluntary ■Code Exhibit No.6 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 23 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 23 of 28 m N6 IQAHO POWER. In First Year Savings - Low Range • 20,000.00 18,000.00 16,000.00 14,000.00 12,000.00 10,000.00 • ' 1 2 8,000.00 •' •• • - • ''• •' 6,000.00 •• • • • 4,000.00 2,000.00 0.00 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 Year $4.5M 20,000.00 $4.OM ■Voluntary ■Code 18,000.00 $3.5 M 16,000.00 $3.OM 14,000.00 LA 12,000.00 $2.5M s v 10,000.00 Q $2.OM LU 8,000.00 $1.5M 6,000.00 $1.0m 4,000.00 $0.5 M 2,000.00 $0.0M 0.00 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 Exhibit No.6 Expenses First Year Savings Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 24 of 28 • IQAHO POWER. 2023 IRP Avoided Costs - 2025-2039 • ' • • • • Total First Lifetime NPV DSM Year Savings Savings Avoided • - • • - • Scenarios (MWh) (MWh) Costs UCT • Cycle 7 as reported: Low Range 173,609 3,079,042 $54,404,779 3.46 • - • • - • • . - No codes 128,050 11-681,079 $37,037,459 2.36 • • • • - Savings reduced by 50% 861804 11-539,521 $27,202,389 1.73 • - • - • • No codes, voluntary savings 64,025 840,539 $18,518,729 1.18 1' • reduced by 50% Exhibit No.6 Case No. IPC-E-24-35 Q. Nesbitt, IPC Page 25 of 28 Agenda ML A April Meeting Recap Follow- up Items Various Topics Upstream/ Midstream / Downstream Efforts Code Activities Cycle 7 Cost-effectiveness �4& 1 0 111:W General Discussion Agenda ML A April Meeting Recap Follow- up Items Various Topics Upstream/ Midstream / Downstream Efforts Code Activities Cycle 7 Cost-effectiveness Avista Follow- up N6 -U IQAHO POWER, • Do we agree/align with the NEEA market transformation savings model ? • If yes, NEEA is cost-effective • Is NEEA Market Transformation necessary? • Regardless, benefits from NEEA's activities will continue to occur in Idaho • Other implications of exiting NEEA Exhibit No.6 Case No.IPC-E-24-35 28 Q.Nesbitt, IPC Page 28 of 28