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Watters Exhibit No. 12.xls
Ranking Gadsby Peakers Delivery Mode Physical Delivery Pattern 6 x 16 On-peak DA Call 7 x 24 On-peak Hourly Call POD Mona NUB PCEU Option Type Fixed Strike Option Tolling Option NUB vs Malin Gas Tolling Option PCEU vs Rockies Gas Term Start Term End Heat Rate Delivery Months June - Sept Total Energy Possible - MWh Physical Firm - Net Benefit (PV $) @100 MW Net Benefit (PV $) RELATIVE RANKING Capacity - MW 6 x 16 On-peak Firm Premium Cost - $ (1 Year) Premium Cost - $ (3 Year) Premium Cost ($/MWh) Premium Cost ($/KW-mo) Average Strike Price ($/MWh) Energy Called Flat (MWh) Energy Called Flat (aMW) Energy Called HLH (aMW) Net Benefit Change @ 100 MW (PV $) West Valley Analysis Results of Physical Options for Utah (2/11/2002) Sempra Morgan Stanley 6 x 16 On-peak Analysis Results of Physical Options for Utah (12/7/2001) Notes: SD Reduction (note 1) Delta (Flat) (note 2) Delta (HLH) (note 2) (2) "Delta" refers to the percentage of time that the resource is expected to economically dispatch based upon the forward curves at the time. (1) "SD Reduction" refers to the change in the portfolio's standard deviation for cost with and without the transaction. ?6?/?1?/?2002 ?6?/?1?/?2002 ?6?/?1?/?2002 ?6?/?1?/?2002 ?6?/?1?/?2002 ?6?/?1?/?2002 ?9?/?30?/?2004 ?9?/?30?/?2004 ?9?/?30?/?2004 ?9?/?30?/?2004 ?9?/?30?/?2004 ?9?/?30?/?2004 10200.00 10000.00 12500.00 6940631.22 6314391.16 263074.09 -810635.06 -1504075.54 -4182876.90 5783859.35 3157195.58 263074.09 -810635.06 -1504075.54 -4182876.90 -5333333.33 -14983000.00 -2500000.00 -2502400.00 -2740000.00 -9715936.00 -16000000.00 -44949000.00 -7500000.00 -7507200.00 -8220000.00 -29147808.00 15.18 25.59 15.27 46.00 16.73 59.34 3.72 6.24 6.25 18.83 6.85 24.29 25.74 25.70 30.16 46.00 55.00 59.34 120.00 200.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 1054080.00 1756800.00 491200.00 122800.00 491200.00 491200.00 632448.00 1124352.00 348752.00 122800.00 112976.00 491200.00 72.00 128.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 117.60 188.00 71.00 25.00 23.00 100.00 0.60 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.94 0.71 1.00 0.23 1.00 6594494.41 3967830.64 1073709.15 0.00 2678801.36 -433424.87 -561283.69 -373884.00 -257061.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 Page All-in cost ($/MWh) Net Benefit ($ million)