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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20030422Shooshan Rebuttal.pdfMary S. Hobson, 1SB #2142 Stoel Rives LLP 101 S. Capitol Blvd., Suite 1900 Boise, 1D 83702-5958Telephone: (208) 389-9000Facsimile: (208) 389-9040 HECEIVEO 0 il r: r I I-I..' 2il03 ~rR 22 ~M 8: - " 'I If"';'.\I:\ F b...I'-' iJT\L"~:r\'ES- COr--H1\SSIDH Adam L. Sherr , WSBA #25291 Qwest 1600 7 th Avenue , Room 3206Seattle, WA 98191Telephone: (206) 398 -2507Facsimile: (206) 343-4040 Attorneys Representing Qwest Corporation BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION OF QWEST CORPORATION FOR PRICE DEREGULATION OF BASIC EXCHANGE SERVICES Case. No. QWE-02- LOCAL REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF Harry M. Shooshan III On Behalf of QWEST CORPORATION APRIL 21, 2003 II. III. IV. VI. VII. TABLE OF CONTENTS SUBJECT PAGE IDENTIFICATION OF WITNESS.... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. PURPOSE OF TESTIMONY............................... 1 SUMMARY OF REBUTTAL TESTIMONY...................... 2 DR. JOHNSON'S ECONOMIC ANALYSIS IS FLAWED.......... 3 WIRELESS SERVICES ARE REASONABLY AVAILABLE.. . . . . . .. WIRELESS SERVICES ARE FUNCTIONALLY EQUIVALENT...... 7 THE WIRELESS SERVICE OFFERINGS IN QUESTION ARE COMPETITIVELY PRICED.............................. 23 VIII. QWEST'S APPLICATION IS IN THE PUBLIC INTEREST..... 26 IDENTIFICATION OF WITNESS PLEASE STATE YOUR NAME,BUSINESS ADDRESS,AND CURRENT POSITION. principal Inc. Shoo shanHarry III.name and co- founder Strategic Policy Research SPR" ) , public policy and economics consultancy located at 7979 Old Georgetown Road, Suite 700, Bethesda, Maryland 20814. PROCEEDING? HAVE YOU PREVIOUSLY PROVIDED TESTIMONY IN THIS Yes. I filed direct testimony in this proceeding on December 17 , 2002. II.PURPOSE OF TESTIMONY WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF YOUR REBUTTAL TESTIMONY? My testimony rebuts portions of the testimony of Wayne Hart and Ben Johnson filed on behalf of the Staff of the Commission.In particular, I offer rebut tal on claims made services andMr.Johnson that the wirelessHartDr. available throughout the exchangesseven QWE-02- APRIL 21, 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) - Qwest Corporation Boise,Nampa,PocatelloCaldwellIdaho Falls Meridian and Twin Falls do not provide the functional equivalent of basic local exchange service, that these wireless services are not competitively priced and that these offerings will constrain the rates that Qwest fornotelectsto charge basic relieflocalexchangeservice,thereby making the be ing sought this proceedingQwest thenot public interest. III. SUMMARY OF REBUTTAL TESTIMONY WILL YOU PLEASE PROVIDE OVERVIEW YOUR REBUTTAL TESTIMONY? My rebuttal testimony demonstratesYes.that, contrary to Staff's assertions competition from wireless services seventhe exchanges satisfies the statutory standard Qwest'for price deregulation basic local exchange whileservicethoseexchanges.Further wireless and wireline services offer variety different funct ionalfeaturesand capabilities,they are equivalents when comes to making and receiving voice telephone Dr.Johnson misappliescalls.discuss how certain economic concepts in his analysis or offers only QWE - T - 02 - 2 5 APRIL 21, 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) - Qwest Corporation interpretations arethesethatconcept sverynarrow largely unsupported any authority.then rebu t Dr. Johnson s unsupported assertions that wireless service is a complement to--not a substitute for--basic local exchange service.along with Mr. Teitzel and Dr. LincolnNext respond to the arguments of Staff that wireless services competitively exchangepricedwithbasiclocalarenot service.Finally,re spond Staff'view that the public interest should construed form basis for rej ecting this application by Qwest that clearly satisfies the statutory requirements.I conclude that the level of wireless competition now present in these seven I daho exchange s sufficient to support a determination Qwest'the Commission that basic local exchange service should be deregulated. IV.DR. JOHNSON'S ECONOMIC ANALYSIS IS FLAWED WHAT YOUR VIEW DR.JOHNSON'ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF THE ISSUES IN THIS PROCEEDING? While Dr.Johnson invokes relevant economic offersmisappliesoftenthoseconceptsconcepts only very narrow Forinterpretations.example his QWE - T - 02 - 2 5 APRIL 21, 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) - Qwest Corporation discussion Dr.substi tute and complementary goods, Johnson offers no support for the conclusions he reaches. Contrary to Dr.Johnson two goods may be substi -Vlew, thoughtutes,good preferred over theevenonemay other consumers because certain featuressome possesses. areIndeed,different features expected satisfy preferences.Dr.different discuss below Johnson differences between wirelessenumeration of the and wireline services simply ill ustrati the different they possess that may cause a customerfeatures to choose one over the other depending on that customer personal preferences. 1 Michael L. Katz and Harvey S. Rosen Microeconomics, Second Edition(Boston: Richard Irwin Inc., 1994) at 32-33, 63, where the concepts of substitutes and complements , including "perfect" substitutes and complements, are discussed. Unlike Dr. Johnson, these well-known economists broadly consider substitute pairs such as Toyota and Honda vehicles; coffee and tea; and air conditioners and fans (at 63).(hereinafter , Katz and Rosen. 2 Many producers engage in product differentiation, meaning that their products are placed in the market space according to their features,and different features would appeal to different consumers. In "ver- tical differentiation," producers ' goods are unanimously perceived as distinguished by their quality differences , reflected in price differ-ences. For example, a Mercedes Benz and a Hyundai would be examples of two products that are vertically differentiated. In "horizontaldifferentiation" producers place their products along a continuum based on differences in features that the relevant set of goods mighthave. Prices will likely vary among horizontally differentiated goods as well. A pickup truck and a passenger car would fit this model ofdifferentiation, as would wireless and wireline services. See, for example, a brief explanation in Stephen Martin, Advanced Industrial Economics (Blackwell: 1993) at 261. QWE-02- APRIL 21, 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) - Qwest Corporation Further contrary Dr.Johnson,good may broadly conce i ved include wide range products that could considered substitutes.Katz and aresimply:Intuitively,Rosen substi tutesstate goods onethatsatisfy about the that,want,same becomes more consumer turnsexpens i ve ,the to the other (emphasis added).They also point out that goods need not com-perfect substitutes (i.e.,where goodone pletely abandoned for the other good). Dr.JohnsonYet, acknowledges discussion ofthispossibilityin hisnever economic principles. Johnson concepts thatalsointroducesDr.economic have little or no bearing on the in thi s proceed-issues ing.conceptexample,offersFor economist' effecti ve competition (Johnson 21-22)for which provides no support in the economic literature 4 and which 3 Katz and Rosen at 63. 4 Indeed, his "economist's concept of effective competition" is not widely shared. See, for example , F.M. Scherer and David Ross , " The Welfare Economics of Competition and Monopoly,Industrial Market Structure and Economic Performance (Houghton Mifflin Company, Boston: 1990) at 52', for an enumeration of the characteristics of "workablecompetition(as "effective competition" is often called in economicliterature). Dr. Johnson asserts that effective competition requires that no one firm have a dominant market share. Scherer-Ross, a widely used text in graduate economics courses, says nothing about this. Addi tionally, Dr. Johnson believes that it is important that theproducts are "reasonably uniform," whereas Scherer~Ross, as well as (footnote continued) QWE-T- 02 - APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) - 5- Qwest Corporation introduces a number of factors that are not referenced in the statute being applied in this proceeding. The Commission must carefully consider Dr.Johnson use economic concepts.sometimes misapplies the concepts raises and also introduces concepts that have relation whatsoever the finding the Commlssion directed by the statute to make this proceeding. WIRELESS SERVICES ARE REASONABLY AVAILABLE MR.HART AND DR.JOHNSON DISPUTE THE FACT THAT WIRELESS SERVICES ARE REASONABLY AVAILABLE THE SEVEN QWEST EXCHANGES THAT ARE THE SUBJECT THIS PROCEEDING? No.Mr. Hart effectively concedes that wireless is reasonably available in the seven exchanges except for some unspecified minori customers who may not be able to receive wireless signals.(Hart at 27.Even if Staff'concerns about few randomly-located pockets of (con tinued) Martin , cited above, anticipate some product differentiation. Workable competition provides a more realistic description of most markets today, as the theoretical model of perfect competition is so rare. See M. Clark, "Toward a Concept of Workable Competition The American Economic Review Vol. XXX, No., June 1940. QWE-02- APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) - Qwest Corporation poor wireless reception are well-founded,no witness this thatcase has challenged the incontrovertible fact wireless service from carriers offeringnumerous multitude of is available in nearly everyservlce plans location sevenwi thin the exchanges.the Burley deregulation case (Docket No. USW-99-15j Order No. 28369), the not findCommissionopinedthatcouldprobably competi tion localeffecti ve and throughout exchange area if fewer than hal f of the customers in the exchange even Staffhadchoiceproviders.Here admits that nearly every customer in the seven exchanges has access mul tiple wireless providers services. Assuming the Commission intended to establish a floor of 50%availability by 28369,its discussion in Order No. that standard is clearly met in this case. VI.WIRELESS SERVICES ARE FUNCTIONALLY EQUIVALENT WOULD YOU RESPOND TO THE CLAIMS BY MR. HART AND DR.JOHNSON THAT WIRELESS SERVICES ARE NOT "FUNCTIONALLY EQUIVALENT" TO BASIC LOCAL EXCHANGE SERVICE? the firstYes.place,andMr.Hart Dr. Johnson appear to be fundamentally at odds with each other QWE-T- 02 - 2 5 APRIL 21, 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) - 7- Qwest Corporation on this point.Mr.Hart correctly reads the statute as providing that services that are not technically the same might nevertheless be substitutes for each other.(Hart 5. )Dr.close reading Johnson testimony that twobelievessuggeststherequiresstatute services sameto have precisely the at tributes in order for them to be substitutes--that is,they must do all the same things in the same way.For(Johnson at 13. example,any support--tha t ,Johnson suggests--wi thoutDr. because the handsets used make receiveand wireless calls are "ergonomically different" than the handsets used with wireline phone the services cannottwo functionally equivalent.(Johnson at 27. both Dr.Moreover and JohnsonMr.confuseHart applications,arefeaturesand consumer preferences that unrelated to the functionality of the service at issue in this Idahocase--basic local exchange service.The Idaho localCode~62-603 (1),statute,defines basic exchange accessservicetheprovision lines residential customersandsmallbusiness with the associated two-waytransmission interacti ve switched voice communication wi thin a local exchange. It does not QWE - T - 02 - 2 5 APRIL 21, 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) - Qwest Corporation incorporate Internetconnect ions Service Providers ISPs or include data services such as the transmission faxes.correct In assertingThus,even if they were that wireless service does not support Internet access or f ac s i mi 1 e--whi ch not ----Mr.Dr.they andHart'are Johnson s assertions woul d(Hart at 23-24j Johnson at 30) irrelevant to the finding the Commission must make this proceeding. The fallacy In their reasoning is illustrated by Dr. Johnson accessthat connectionsstatement andInternet fax occurtransmissionstakeplaceusingsoundsthat wi thin the frequency the human VOlce. . .same range (Johnson at 32.Johnson states asLike much of what Dr. fact"not exactlyhistestimony,this statement 5 Indeed, this commission lacks jurisdiction over both calls to ISPs and data communications. See, FCC Order on Remand and Report and Order, In the Matter of Implementation of the Local Competition Pro- visions in the Telecommunications Act of 1996; Intercarrier Compensa- tion for ISP-Bound Traffic, Docket Nos. 96-98 and 99-68 (reI. April , 2001), in which the FCC determined that traffic to ISPs was inter- state traffic subject to its jurisdiction. See also, Peter W. Huber,Michael K. Kellogg, and John Thorne, Federal Telecommunications Law (Gaithersburg, MD: Aspen Law and Business, 1999) at 1093 , where the authors discuss that the courts upheld the FCC'Computer Inquiry II decision in which the FCC preempted state commissions on the regulation of data communications. See Shoo shan Direct at 8-9. Although it is not relevant to the finding required in this proceeding, I note that, contrary to theStaff's assertions, wireless services do support fax communications. Mr. Tei tzel explains this in greater detail in his rebuttal testimony. QWE-T- 02 - APRIL 21, 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) - Qwest Corporation Fax and Internettrue.transmissions are not sounds, al though telephonethey can be heard presented to handset.These are electrical signals that traverse the telephone network--all within the same frequency band--but which anydifferentinformation.Whattypescarry particular user does with those signals depends on his or her needs sheand preferences,and the equipment chooses thatattachtheendthephoneline carries those signals (much the same way that one personal preferences about what options are most important determines onewhatandmodeltype choosescar purchase) .The fact that the same phone line can be used both to carry voice calls--which are the subj ect of this proceeding--and dial-provide fax connection Internet access is irrelevant to a finding that wireline and wireless are in the provisionfunctionalequi valents of local two-way switched voice calling. Similarly,somethefactthat households choose use extension phones--as opposed,say,to having multiple phone notlines(Johnson 26)--also relevant determining whether the wireless services available subscribers in each of the seven exchanges can be used for QWE-02- APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) -10- Qwest Corporation two-way switched voice communications and,therefore considered the functional equi valents Qwest' s basic local exchange service. DR.JOHNSON CLAIMS THAT YOU AND OTHER QWEST WITNESSES MISAPPLY THE CONCEPTS SUBSTITUTABILITY AND FUNCTIONAL EQUIVALENCY.(JOHNSON 11.HOW YOU RESPOND TO HIS CRITICISMS? Dr.Johnson discussion these concepts muddl ed,mi s taken and misleading.Consider the first analogy uses comparing automoti ve vehicles.Dr. Johnson says sports cars and pickup trucks may substi tutes sometimes, but for product functionally equivalent II must precisely the same product.In other words,to use Dr.Johnson example, the only functional equivalent of a dark blue Honda Accord lS a light blue Honda Accord.The test Dr. Johnson would have the Commission apply is one that would find services functionally equivalent"only they were the same 7 As an aside, Mr. Teitzel details in his rebuttal testimony thatStaff's and the Intervenors ' concern about extension phones isfactually incorrect (besides being legally irrelevant to this case), as wireless phones can be used in one s home or business withextensions. QWE - T - 02 - 2 5 APRIL 21, 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) -11- Qwest Corporation service or werein every virtually identical. respect (Johnson at 11. Ironically,testunderJohnson the onlyDr. functional Qwest'equi valent basic local exchange service would be that same service repackaged under some other narrowlabel.Johnson def ini tionDr. functionally ~62 -equi val en t effect eliminates 622(3) (b)as a method of demonstrating "effective competi- tion and would require Qwest in every case to prove (at a minimum)facilitiesthat Qwest faces competition from a based competitor lI as required by ~62-622(3) (a).This is one of several instances in which Staff's advocacy seeks rewrite supporttheIdaho its position.statute Obviously,subpart sif the legislature had intended that ( a)(b)and both refer competition from competitors using samethe tradi tional landline technology used they notwouldQwe s t ,have enacted subpart (b) . Similarly,onlyhadthelegislatureintendedthatthe funct ionally sameequi valent service woul d the service used theresold by a competitor,would have more familiar and explicit term "resale to describe the type of competition intended. QWE-T- 02 - 2 5 APRIL 21, 2003 Shoo shan , H. (REB) -12- Qwest Corporation Common sense--as well as economic theory--illuminates Dr. Johnson s flawed reasoning.In terms of their ability to transport a person from point A to point B (their basic function) ,sports cars and pickup trucks are functionally equi valent.use theirThefactthatpeoplealsosome vehicles to transport potatoes or feed grain while others their vehicles the weekends for recreationaluse dri ving preference,matter customer not at tribute of the basic function being provided. The most Johnson isstunning assertion made by Dr. that,onenearlyallstoppedusingevenconsumers service completely when they purchase another one might conclude that the two services were close substitutes but still not functionally equivalent.Dr.(Johnson at 12. Johnson uses satellite television and cable as examples of two products that are "close substitutes,lI but which still do not functional equi valents despi tecount the fact that cablevirtually all television consumers disconnect when con-they purchase satellite television.Yet, sumers substitute one service for another--or even if they know they could substitute but choose not to--i t shows that the in theservicesare both substitutes and equivalent QWE-T- 02 - 2 5 APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) -13- Qwest Corporation basic function they provide (in Dr. Johnson s example, the delivery maymul tichannel video)though theyeven differ other at tributes (e. g., some one requlres antenna while the other does not) . Johnson werethat,servicesDr.states two functionally equivalent they would be redundant and that paywould for both.waste money concludes users also maintainthat,since wirelessmost wireline cannot functionallyservice,the two equivalent.To adapt one(Johnson at 13.He is wrong. each mayhis many analogies,an apple and an orange satisfy part of my minimum daily requirement for fruits, but I may choose to keep both on hand because I sometimes like to make apple pie.while both wirelessSimilarly, and wireline services allow me to make and receive local voice calls I may subscribe to both for other reasons, g., redundancy.I may have two vehicles in part so that spousetheshopor wi th my still haveone access to transportation. QWE-02- APRIL 21 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) -14- Qwest Corporation DO YOU HAVE ANY OTHER COMMENTS ON DR. JOHNSON' OBSERVATIONS THAT WIRELINE AND WIRELESS SERVICES ARE COMPLEMENTS AND NOT SUBSTITUTES? In reaching his conclusion that wirelineYes. and wireless areservices complements rather than substitutes,cross-Johnson considers the concept ofDr. elastici ty the price/demand responsiveness be-that tween the two services.in the case ofHe explains that, two goods that are complements, demand for both goods move in the same direct ion (i. e ., both increase or decrease) response to a change in the price of one of the goods. the one goodsubsti tutes,when the pricecase changes,demand for the other good moves in the opposite direction.In other words, when goods are substitutes and the price of one lncreases, demand for that good decreases while demand for the substitute increases. Applying these price/demand observations to wireline and wireless services would mean that Johnson isif Dr. that are comple-wireless and wireline servicescorrect when increases,the price wirelinefor servicements demand Likewise,wirelessfor service will decrease. under Dr.Johnson theory,the price for wireless QWE-T- 02 - APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) -15- Qwest Corporation service decreases,and wirelinedemand for both wireless services andwillincrease.These scenarios logicdefy are contrary to what we observe as industry trends e. , wireless usage continues to increase while wireline voice usage continues to decrease. doesOne need conductnot formal empirical study of cross-elasticity of demand when experience tells us that Dr.Johnson is wrong.With all due respect, talking buns.about hamburgersnot and hamburgerare (Johnson at 18.the customer survey introducedFurther by Dr.Lincoln in this proceeding provides ample evidence that Idaho wireline consumers in the seven exchanges view wireless service as a substitute for basic local exchange service.(Lincoln Direct at 32. MR.HART SAYS THAT THE COMMISSION MUST CONSIDER THE EXTENT TO WHICH WIRELINE AND WIRELESS SERVICES DIFFER See for example, Christine Nuzum, "Fourth Quarter Another Difficult One for Telecom Carriers," Dow Jones Business News (January 29, 2003);Tim Schooley, "More People are Hanging Up Land-Line Phones in Favor of Cell Phones Pittsburgh Business Times (July 5 , 2002); and "Wireless to Capture 25% of US Telecom Traffic by 2004 as The Low Mobility Miser Segment Ramps Up,Strategy Analytics Insight, Strategy Analytics (September 11 , 2002). QWE - T - 02 - 2 5 APRIL 21, 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) -16- Qwest Corporation WELL THEIR (HARTSIMILARITIES.5. )YOU AGREE? I suppose that is something to be considered in order Butdetermineoverallfunctionalequivalency. again,appears to beMr.Hart attempting to divertonce the Commission s attention from the central issue in this proceeding.ob-While wireline and wireless services viously differ over which(for example in the "platform they are delivered and the ergonomics of the handset),the question answertheCommission whether themust wireless sevenservicesavailablethenumerous exchanges permit subscribers to perform the same function as basic local exchange service.That function is to make and receive local voice calls (as defined in the statute ) , have emergency services,directory andaccess operator assistance and to beand long-distance calling, able wanted.Theobtaindirectorylisting, 9 Idaho Code ~62-603 (1) . 10 See Mr. Souba s Rebuttal Testimony where he cites the testimony from the Burley case in which Staff witness Cusick agreed with a similar definition of local exchange service proposed by Qwest in that proceeding. QWE-T- 02 - APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) -17- Qwest Corporation evidence Qwe s tpresented overwhelmingly demonstrates tha t they do. MR. HART AND DR. JOHNSON CLAIM THAT WIRELESS AND WIRELINE SERVICES CANNOT CONSIDERED FUNCTIONALLY EQUIVALENT FOR A NUMBER OF REASONS INCLUDING DIFFERENCES IN SERVICE QUALITY AND ACCESS TO 911.HOW DO YOU RESPOND? I think the Commission should look critically at what Mr. Hart and Dr. Johnson say.Mr. Teitzel's rebuttal testimony tenre sponds each the key attributes that Dr. Johnson claims distinguish wireless from wireline service.responselimit Johnson and Hart' claims about As toservice quality and access to 911. service Hart'quality, would point thatout Mr. resulted in only one of fifty calls beingtest (or 2%) dropped.squares(Hart 18-19) .that thisHe notes wi th the HoweverConsumer Reports nationwide figures. the most common reason for dropped wireless calls is the failure of a cell site to "hand off II the call to another cell site.canThisfunctionmobilityand 11 william Schaff, "Taking Stock: Superconductors May Become More Important with 3G Wireless,Information Week (November 26, 2001). (footnote continued) QWE-02- APRIL 21, 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) -18- Qwest Corporation happen for example , when either a calling or called party is on a mobile phone and moves from a digital to an analog When the call is placed from or receivedcoverage area. at a fixed location (home or business)--which is the proper basis for comparison this proceeding--there funct ional wirelessdifferencebetweenwirelineand call in this respect.the one dropped call out ofIndeed fifty histhatexperiencedMr.when dialingHart from wireless phone while in his office could have been placed to a wireless subscriber who was moving between coverage areas or cells at the time.In response to a data request anythisproceeding,unable provideMr.Hart documentation surrounding that one dropped call which attaches much weight in his analysis. access 911 Mr.Hart concedes that the Consumer findings areReports inapt here since the calls in that (continued) From http:/ /www. informationweek. com/story/IWK20011120S0015. 12 Staff Response to Qwest Request for Production No.9 and Staff Response to Qwest Interrogatory No.8. On the issue of service quality, the FCC recently rejected the contention that wireline andwireless "cannot be considered economically meaningful substitutes if there are substantial quality differences between the services.See Memorandum Opinion and Order, In the Matter of Application by Qwest Communications International , Inc. for Authorization To Provide In- Region, InterLATA Services in New Mexico, Oregon and South Dakota, (footnote continued) QWE-02- APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) -19- Qwest Corporation study were placed from remote locations outside the home business.(Hart 20.Mr.Hart and Dr.Johnson concede that wireless services provide access 911. Ibi d . )anyasserts--wi thoutHoweverMr.Hart support--that access to 911 from the home or business may weather-relatedcompromisednetworkcongestion signal bothblockage.Network congestion can occur wireline areandwirelessnetworksbasedhowthey engineered.I am not clear what weather-related problems Hart is referring to and(he produces no references),Mr. problems withtherebeingwidespreadunaware service at those frequencies.in response to dataIndeed in this wastheStaff unable identifyrequestscase, any such problems in Idaho wi thinspecifically occurring the months.maytwel ve therepastcourse, comparable problems with wireline access to 911 e. g. ,the deterioration loop time line duecutover (continued) Docket No. 03-11 (reI. April 15 , 2003) at fn. 46. 13 In response to Qwest Request for Production No. 11 , Staff responds that it "is not aware of any Idaho-specific evidence of Consumer (sic) having difficulty in reaching E-911 PSAPs via wireless telephones in the past 12 months. (hereinafter Qwest 271 Order) QWE - T - 02 - 2 5 APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) -20- Qwest Corporation construction or a natural disaster (problems one does not encounter with a wireless connection) . ARE THERE OTHER DEVELOPMENTS THE TELECOMMUNICATIONS INDUSTRY THAT SUPPORT YOUR OPINION THAT WIRELESS SERVICE PROVIDES THE FUNCTIONAL EQUIVALENT BASIC LOCAL EXCHANGE SERVICE AND UNDERCUT DR.JOHNSON' AND MR. HART'S VIEWS TO THE CONTRARY? The FCC very recently granted petitionsYes. filed by Qwest seeking reliefand by SBC Communications under Section 271 of the Telecommunications Act of 1996 in order servlcesprovidein-region InterLATA New Mexico respectively. cases,theandNevada,both showings made by the companies under "Track rested on the existence of wireless competition for local exchange service.case,the Mexico the found thatNewFCC wireless service " is commercial al ternati ve Qwe s t customers. had recognized inTheFCC noted that 14 See FCC Memorandum Opinion and Order, In the Matter of Application by SBC Communications Inc., Nevada Bell Telephone Company, and South- western Bell Communications Services, Inc., for Authorization ToProvide In-Region, InterLATA Services in Nevada, WC Docket No. 03- (reI. April 14 , 2003) and Qwest 271 Order. 15 Qwest 271 Order at ~ 20. QWE - T - 02 - 2 5 APRIL 21, 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) -21- Qwest Corporation other contexts increased mobile telephony and local added) . The FCC also concluded technical anddifferences wireless providedofferings telephone serviceexchange substi tution between wireless telephony service_(emphasis that,while there were the the differences features The key alternative evidence of wireless competition presented by both Qwest and uponSBC--and relied proceedings the(as customer survey. offered by Qwest. FCC--the these 271 wascaseproceeding) I should emphasize that the FCC based its decision on the singleexistence Cricket offeredservice this wireless al ternati ve (the the numerous cellular and broadband PCS offerings available in Wireless) ,Leap not the seven exchanges in this proceeding. 16 Qwest 271 Order at fn.53. 17 Qwest 271 Order at ~ 18. QWE-T- 02 - APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) -22- Qwest Corporation VII. THE WIRELESS SERVICE OFFERINGS IN QUESTION ARE COMPETITIVELY PRICED MR.HART AND DR.JOHNSON CLAIM THAT QWEST HAS FAILED TO DEMONSTRATE THAT THE WIRELESS SERVICES OFFERED THE SEVEN EXCHANGES ARE COMPETITIVEL Y PRICED. MOREOVER,THEY ASSERT THAT CURRENT WIRELESS PRICES ARE (HARTNOTSUSTAINABLE"16)AND THAT SOME WIRELESS PROVIDERS ARE NOT VIABLE.(HART AT 12 (CITING JOHNSON); JOHNSON AT 38-39.HOW DO YOU RESPOND? and JohnsonMr.Hart Dr.allarewrong counts.Mr. Tei tzel and Dr. Lincoln respond to Mr. Hart' analysis ratethevariouswireless plans.They demonstrate competi ti vely pricedthattheseplansoffer alternatives to Qwest's basic local exchange service. I respond to Staff's contention that current wireless prices is the case with theirsustainable.are not testimonies generally, they offer sweeping assertions with little or no evidence them.In making hissupport claim about the non-sustainability of wireless prices , Mr. pointsHart single article from The Wall Street Journal to noteOnl ine for support.interesting that this same article goes on to quote "experts " to the QWE-T- 02 - APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) -23- Qwest Corporation effect that price cuts are expected return and that many plans still offer more minutes than before the promotions. (Hart Exhibit 103.A report by the INSIGHT Research Corporation in January 2003 noted that prices of some wireless plans have dropped dramatically. This lS behavior that apparently eludes Mr. Hart that is, prices rising and falling over time in a competitive market. report by UBS Warburg,found thatci ting industry trends, the acrosseffecti ve minute theprlceperwas same wireline networks.the problem ofand mobile This relying on a "snap-shot" view of the market as opposed to looking at the market over time. Johnson off -hand dismissalDr.Leap Wireless an unlimited(which he acknowledges does offer local withcallingplanthatcompetitivelypriced Qwest's basic local exchange service)as being financially troubled (Johnson at 38 - 3 9), I think he misses the point. granting 271 authori ty in New Mexico (asQwe s t discussed above),the FCC specifically rej ected arguments 18 "The 2003 Telecom Industry Review: An Anthology of Market Facts andForecasts," The INSIGHT Research Corporation (January 2003) . 19 See Mobile Communications Report, Warren Publishing, Inc. (November , 2002). QWE-T- 02 - APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) -24- Qwest Corporation that actualCricketshouldconsiderednot provider due Leap financial difficul ties (incl uding its recent filing for protection under Chapter 11 of the Bankruptcy Code) .The noted that thereFCC evidence that Cricket has ceased adding customers and that has continueLeapstatedthatdailyoperationswill normally,stores will remain open and network service will not be lnterrupte is every reason toIn fact,there that emergeLeap--and its Cricketexpect subsidiary--will from Chapter 11 a stronger and even more viable competitor exchangetheprovisionQwe s t basic local service. thereMoreover,other wireless carriersaremany providing service in the seven exchanges.Among them Clear the MobileTalk which advertises its offering Local calls.Phone which includes all your local 20 Qwest 271 Order at fn. 94. 21 See Leap Moves to Reorganize Capital Structure," CBS MarketWatch(4/14/03) at http: / / cbs. market watch. com/tools/quotes/newsarticle. asp? s i teid=mktw&sid= 11 7 3 2 &quid=%7B9BB4 521C%2D9ECE%2D4 7BB%2DA 7BB%2DA3CF%2D4 1ECB4B3910E%7D. 22 See Clear Talk web site at www.cleartalk.net/T7fxc98/ and www.clear-talk. net/T7fxc98/ coverage. html. I note further that Clear Talk hasapplied for "ETC status " in Idaho and has promised to provide unlimited local calling which is one of the Commission s requirements. Idaho Public Utilities Commission Order No. 27715, Case No. GNR-98- USF. QWE-02- APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) -25- Qwest Corporation Second,many other wireless providers have plans that provide generous distance calling.amounts any Third ci ted Leap Wireless as an example of a company that has targeted its service at those who primarily make local rangecallsorderdemonstratethewide options numerousprovidedthe wireless providers serving seventhecustomers exchange s and did not that Leap was the only such option availablesuggest consumers. VIII. QWEST'S APPLICATION IS IN THE PUBLIC INTEREST BOTH MR. HART AND DR. JOHNSON ARGUE THAT QWEST' APPLICATION SHOULD BE REJECTED BECAUSE IT IS NOT "IN THE (HART AT 40;PUBLIC INTEREST.JOHNSON AT 47.HOW DO YOU RESPOND TO THEIR ARGUMENTS? In the first place,I would distinguish the two lines believe,simplyargument.Mr.Hart, mistaken do not--andin his vlew that wireless services more importantly would not in the future--constrain Qwest' 23 Indeed, as I pointed out, at least one other wireless operator Nextel, proposes that its phone can do everything a customer needs. (Shooshan Direct at 6- QWE-T- 02 -2 5 APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) -26- Qwest Corporation pricing moredecisions.Johnson logic muchDr. dangerous since would resul t the public interest finding "swallowing the rest of the statute and thereby frustrate the clear intent of the legislature. To his credit , Mr. Hart concedes that Qwest has lost some lines to wireless providers and says that it may be about 3-5%----consistent with the national estimates that cited in my Direct Testimony.(Shooshan Direct at 9. then goes narrowthisthatsuggestrepresents niche charac -market without specifically defining the teristics of that market.The fact that Qwest subscribers have dropped Qwest' s basic for alocalexchangeservice wireless alternative and that they are aware that they can substi tute wireless service (Lincoln Directfor wireline 28)demonstrates,in my opinion that the prices wireless services will adequately constrain the prices of basic localQwest'exchange service the absence regulation. In fact,Mr.Hart concedes that Qwest' s decision to increase the "cost II of wireline service by tightening its credi t somepolicyhasdri ven subscribers find al ternati ves (Hart 29. )While he doesn specify QWE-02- APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) -27- Qwest Corporation precisely what be,thinks those al ternati ves might presumably they are chiefly wireless options.If so, his observation appears to be at odds with Staff's contention that wireless is a complement to--rather than a substitute for--basic local exchange service Dr. Johnson would go even further.He maintains that " (e) ven if the maj ority of customers were willing to 'cut the cord'II there would be some customers who would not be willing to do so due to personal preferences (they prefer cars to pickup trucks even though both can provide them basic transportation)therefore , Qwest "will continueand to have substantial monopoly power. (Johnson at 42. is wrong.it must beFor a firm to exercise market power able to raise prices profi tably. If a substantial number of customers would substitute wireless service for basic local exchange service should Qwest increase the price of the latter, Qwest cannot profi tably raise its prices. Al though relyingQwest the existencenot CLECs to make the showing required by the statute in this proceeding,oneleast CLEC has already collocated 24 Katz and Rosen at 420. QWE-T- 02 - APRIL 21, 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) -28- Qwest Corporation each of presenttheseven exchanges.wi th CLECs the market and actively offering service--and others able rapidly UNEs " ) us ingenter unbundled network elements and resale--Qwest risks significant competitive losses to CLECs as well if it raises prices. Both Dr.Johnson and Mr. Hart urge the Commission to deny Qwest' s them thatpet it ion because clear raiseQwest the price charges for basic localmay exchange service.(Hart at 39i Johnson at 43-44, 47. we have seen with wireless providers that compete in an unregulated,competi ti ve market,prices and down time.force commi t Qwest advanceover disclose notwhatwillor will with its pricing freedom in order to satisfy the Staff's concept of "public interest II would eviscerate the price deregulation statute. In essence, Mr. Hart and Dr. Johnson seek a determination that the exercise of pricing flexibili (the ability to drop or raise prices and package services in response to market publicforces)itself inconsistent with the interest basicandthusprecl udes price deregulation of local exchange Staff's witnesses appearservice.Again to favor a reading and application of public interest that QWE-02- APRIL 21, 2003 Shooshan , H. (REB) -29- Qwest Corporation so broad that and makesstatute swallows the plain meaning of the the legislature for provingtest effective competition impossible to satisfy. DOES THIS CONCLUDE YOUR REBUTTAL TESTIMONY? Yes. QWE-T- 02 -2 5 APRIL 21 , 2003 Shooshan, H. (REB) - 3 0- Qwest Corporation CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I hereby certify that on this 21 st day of April, 2003 , I served the foregoing REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF HARRY M. SHOOSHAN III ON BEHALF OF QWEST CORPORATION upon all parties ofrecord in this matter as follows: Jean Jewell, Secretary Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472 West Washington Street Boise, ill 83720-0074 Phone: (208) 334-0300 Fax: (208) 334-3762 ii ewell~puc.state.id. us Weldon Stutzman, Deputy Attorney General Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472 West Washington Street O. Box 83720 Boise, ill 83702 Telephone: (208) 334-0300 Facsimile: (208) 334-3762 Wstutzm~lmc.state.id. MarlinD. Ard Willard L. Forsyth Hershner, Hunter, Andrews, Neill & Smith LLP 180 East 11 th Avenue O. Box 1475 Eugene, OR 97440-1475 Attorneys for Verizon Executed protective agreement John Gannon, Esq. 1101 West River - Suite 110 Boise, ill 83702 Telephone: (208) 433-0629 Attorney for Meierotto, Padget, Herrick Neal Hand Delivery U. S. Mail Overnight Delivery Facsimile Email Hand Delivery U. S. Mail Overnight Delivery Facsimile Email Hand Delivery U. S. Mail Overnight Delivery Facsimile Email Hand Delivery U. S. Mail Overnight Delivery Facsimile Email Dean J. Miller McDevitt & Miller LLP 420 West Bannock Street O. Box 2565 Boise, ill 83701 Telephone: (208) 343-7500 Facsimile: (208) 336-6912 i oe~mcdevitt -miller. com Attorneys for WorldCom, Inc. Attorneys for AT&T Attorneys for Time Warner Telecom Executed protective agreement Dean Randall Verizon Northwest Inc. 17933 NW Evergreen Parkway Beaverton, OR 97006-7438 dean. randall ~v erizon. com Executed protective agreement Hand Delivery ---1L U. S. Mail Overnight Delivery Facsimile Email Hand Delivery U. S. Mail Overnight Delivery Facsimile Email Mary Jane Rasher 10005 South Gwendelyn Lane Highlands Ranch, CO 80129-6217 Telephone: (303) 470-3412 mirasher~msn.com Hand Delivery U. S. Mail Overnight Delivery Facsimile Email Adam Sherr Qwest 1600 ih Avenue - Room 3206 Seattle, W A 98191 Telephone: (206) 398-2507 Facsimile: (206) 343-4040 asherr(tp,q west com Hand Delivery ---1L U. S. Mail Overnight Delivery Facsimile Email Clay R. Sturgis Moss Adams LLP 601 West Riverside - Suite 1800 Spokane, WA 99201-0663 Hand Delivery U. S. Mail Overnight Delivery Facsimile Email Brian Thomas TimeWarner Telecom 223 Taylor Avenue North Seattle, W A 98109 Brian. Thomas(tp,twtelecom.com Hand Delivery ---1L U. S. Mail Overnight Delivery Facsimile Email Susan Travis WorldCom, Inc. 707 1 ih Street - Suite 4200 Denver, CO 80202 Telephone: (303) 390-6333 Susan.a. Travis~worldcom.com Conley E. Ward, Jr. Givens Pursley LLP 277 North 6th Street - Suite 200 O. Box 2720 Boise, ill 83701-2720 Telephone: (208) 388-1200 Facsimile: (208) 388-1300 cew~givenspursley.com Attorneys for Idaho Telephone Association Executed protective agreement Hand Delivery ---.2L u. S. Mail Overnight Delivery Facsimile Email Hand Delivery U. S. Mail Overnight Delivery Facsimile Email ~(JI Brandi L. Gearhart, PLS Legal Secretary to Mary S. Hobson Stoel Rives LLP